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View DetailsEpisode 115: Young JFK: Lessons for Democracy Today
01:05
It’s our pleasure to have you. Fred is the author of 10 books. He’s the author and editor of 10 books on American politics and Foreign Policy. Among my favorites and those which I know everyone has read, uh, choosing war, the Lost Chance for peace and the escalation of war in Vietnam, which really transformed our understanding of Lyndon Johnson’s choices for war in 1964 65 America’s Cold war. The Politics of Insecurity, which Fred co wrote with Campbell Craig, another historian, which looks at the influence of domestic politics on American Cold War foreign policy. Members of war. The Fall of an Empire in the Making of America’s Vietnam, which is really about early French and American activities in Vietnam. Before we would, we traditionally called the Vietnam War in the United States. Embers of War won the Pulitzer Prize as well as many other rewards and then his most recent book, which I hope all of our listeners will read and I know you’ll be reading a lot about soon as well.
01:41
Embers of War, The Fall of an Empire and the Making of America's Vietnam, which is really about early French and American activities in Vietnam before what we traditionally call the Vietnam War in the United States. Embers of War won the Pulitzer Prize as well as many other awards. And then his most recent book, which I hope all of our listeners will read and I know you'll be reading a lot about soon as well, JFK, Coming of Age in the American Century.
03:09
The ghost of JFK yielded its head today as I spoke with my teacher of memory. As I spoke with my teacher of memory, he told me of the fateful day when he was to see JFK on the aged steps of the Capitol. On the aged steps of the Capitol, I stood on an afternoon in May and watched all the children play as we marched past to the Capitol door. As we marched past to the Capitol door, I thought of the man that day when he bled to death in a limousine and all hope went away.
03:38
It was youth that was killed from the book depository on the square in Dallas by the grassy hill. It was youth that was killed in Dallas and we're waiting again for it still.
04:58
You know, I think it comes for Jack Kennedy from, in part, a bedridden childhood. He was sick a lot as a kid and read, became a voracious reader and his preferred genre or the things he liked to read about were, in fact, politics, especially European politics, diplomacy, statecraft, tales of adventure and chivalry. He was drawn to that stuff.
06:01
It developed in college, his wartime service, which we could discuss. But you do see these early influences as well.
06:13
Well, and let's turn to his wartime service. Much of your book actually covers that. And I have to say, it's a really riveting part of the book and an area where I think you have a lot of new, many new things to say about both his wartime service and his travels.
06:27
I was really taken with the many quotations you have from his travel diary, Fred. So tell us more about how the travels and the World War II experience contributed to his development as a political animal.
06:39
I mean, one of the things that I suggest in the book is that he developed both a historical sensibility, but also an international sensibility. And here again, I think Rose, who often doesn't get enough credit, it seems to me, in the scholarship, his mother encouraged him to have this wider lens, to look to the outside world.
07:07
And as you say, he traveled, beginning in a serious way in 1937 with his good friend Len Billings during college. They traveled through Europe and then there was a major excursion, which I think is really consequential in 1939, right on the eve of war, where young JFK is traveling in about a dozen countries, meeting with officials, seeing the sites.
08:02
And I think it is probably like it was for many people who were in combat. It was, I think, a profound, had a profound effect on Kennedy. Made him, in two different ways.
08:17
The first was that it made him, I think, wary of the military instrument as a means of solving political problems that I think he had, and I trace this in the book. He continued to have this really for the remainder of his life. But secondly, I think he came out of the war convinced that the United States had to play a major leadership role on the global stage.
08:47
So it's in some ways almost a kind of contradictory, or they don't, the two attributes, the two conclusions don't necessarily mesh perfectly, but I think it's partly what he took from the war, no question. And it's worth underlining the fact, and this is a point you make, that really most of the leadership of American society for the next 50 years would have come out of this experience of World War II.
12:36
And so the most dramatic example of this, I think, is the, in effect, the split between the father and the son, between Joe Sr. and Jack on the issue of U.S. intervention, on the issue of, if you want to put it this way, isolationism versus interventionism, where Joe Sr., as ambassador to Britain, and then long after having been ambassador to Britain, was a kind of unvarnished, was an unapologetic appeaser and isolationist. And Jack decided he could not be. And I think this is where the Harvard years are especially illuminating, because you see that gradually, clearly, but gradually, but clearly, this shift away from the father's position.
13:59
I was surprised to learn of the degree to which isolationism, if we want to use that term, excuse me, the degree to which isolationism really held pretty firmly, pretty firm within the student body at Harvard. But the professors, his own reading, I think his travels that we've discussed, all of them, I think, convinced JFK by, let's say, by late 1940, or by the middle part of 1940, around the time that he completes his thesis, publishes the book, that it's really an untenable position that his father holds.
14:53
It certainly has to support the British and the French to a very large extent. And therefore, his father's position, which is that you can have a kind of fortress America in which the country more or less seals itself off from the rest of the world, just is not going to fly. And he is willing, as I've said, in a way, Joe Jr. is not, to actually confront his father with this position.
15:51
Can you say more about what Kennedy takes from what you just described so well, his emerging internationalist outlook? You called it earlier a liberal internationalist outlook to some extent, tempered with realism.
16:54
Jack, I think, is very much committed to what Truman is trying to do in 46 and 47. He endorses the Truman Doctrine. He is wholly supportive of a kind of expansive American global posture.
17:11
But alongside this, emerging, I think, in 1950, 51, and thereafter, is also a nuanced understanding of the power of decolonization, the power of nationalism in the developing world. And he argues, I think, quite presciently, when he visits Indochina in 1951, for example, but also other parts of Asia, that the United States, if it wants to be on the right side of history, and if it wants to succeed in the broader superpower struggle, needs to be attentive to what these voices are clamoring for, and including people like Ho Chi Minh.
18:07
So this is still sort of preliminary. But that tension, in some ways, exists right through to the end. He argues in his inaugural address for a...we often think of that address as being a kind of Cold War call to arms, but I don't think it really is.
18:27
If you look at the address in its entirety, it's really quite conciliatory in tone. And he says, we shall never, let us never fear to negotiate. So it's a complex picture, Jeremy, but one that I think, I hope in the second volume to further flesh out.
24:53
How does that affect your judgment of him as an early politician? Yeah, it's something obviously that I grapple with a lot, Jeremy, and I will continue to grapple with as I work on volume two, because one of the things that I conclude is that he shows a capacity for empathy, empathetic understanding, which I think is critical in a leader. And we see it maybe most notably at the time of the Cuban Missile Crisis, where he's actually able to put himself into Khrushchev's shoes, which is what empathy is, to be able to see things from the other side.
Episode 121: Historical Memory and National Trauma
11:38
And it was, it became so evident to me as we were planning a conference on World War Two memory, how little Americans have thought critically about our own war experience. And that's in no way to trash the experience of the United States in World War Two, but how much more advanced German thinking was on this. And this is a theme that resonates, I think, in your book.
13:02
And one can say if there's any moral agreement in the world, it's that the Nazis committed the worst crimes in human history. I'll agree with that. And of course, since they were devastated at the end of the war, there was some pressure on them from the outside to, you know, do something about their history, although it was slow and faltering, certainly in the West.
13:36
And I think that's a very important message for Americans to learn. We tend to assume that the crimes of the Nazis were so awful that the minute the war was over, they fell on their knees and begged for atonement. That is not what happened at all.
13:52
In West Germany, in particular, they thought of themselves as the war's worst victims. And when I realized that, and it took me decades to realize this because it's not something they like to talk about at all. You have to work to ferret it out.
14:09
I realized that the tropes with which, West Germans in the first decades after the war spoke about the war, you know, we lost a quarter of our territory and seven million people were killed and our men were in POW camps if they survived at all. Or they were wounded and our cities were burned and we were hungry, just barely alive. Maybe you'll catch the reference there. And on top of it, the damn Yankees wanted to tell us it was all our fault.
14:42
And I suddenly realized they sound just like the defenders of the lost cause.
17:15
So what about a personal, confrontation? I remember reading recently a book called Germany and the Germans by John Arda in from the 1990s. And he describes going to, I think it was at the University of Stuttgart, where they had like the grandfathers and grandmothers who had lived through the war, [talk] one on one with students who grew up after the war. And there was very much a sort of generational tension.
17:50
So that's a really good question. And of course, it depends whether the person you're confronting is your grandfather or your father. In the late 60s, when people were confronting their parents who had served in the Wehrmacht or, you know, and certainly gone along with the Nazis. Even if they hadn't actually been members of the party, the confrontations were terrible, understandably.
18:17
And you had a sense of family structures being quite destroyed in many cases. The interesting thing, I felt like the family structures weren't destroyed. I mean, I was once invited to, you know, spend a weekend in the country with somebody who said her parents were away and said, use our house. And the parents had, you know, pictures of the father in uniform over the house. And I left the next day.
18:54
[Laughter] You know, if this is what it means to have a nice relationship with your parents, I'm not sure that I'm going for it. Look, I think so. So there are people now talking about the ways in which people, you know, didn't confront their grandparents and where the grandparent was, in particular, a Nazi criminal or even a serious Nazi, that has left real scars. One of the people I interviewed in the book, Alexandra Semft, has written about her grandfather, who was actually one of the very few people executed as a war criminal, and, you know, talked about the way that that destroyed her family.
19:42
So, you know, the confrontations didn't happen at all for decades. And they certainly happened. You know, there are sort of waves of these things.
24:36
There's a second issue that I'm only going to mention because I know we don't have time to go into it. I think we are still living in a time where the Cold War has cast its shadow over American history, which is why great, you know, civil rights activists like Paul Robeson [are] almost forgotten, which is why we don't talk about Hiroshima and we don't talk about Vietnam. But that's a question for a podcast in itself.
26:20
And they have certainly played a role in Germany with reparations to Holocaust victims, reparations to the state of Israel. And here is something that Americans tend to forget or not ever to have known about. The Wehrmacht laid waste to Poland and Russia and killed 14 million Slavic civilians.
26:47
So East Germany paid a huge amount of reparations to Poland and the Soviet Union as well. So obviously, where there's been damage and, you know, again, it's a complicated subject. The damage needs to be materially repaired if there are still people who need to be brought to justice. They need to be brought to justice. We need to think about the iconography of our cities, as I say in the book. There is no Hans Wehrmacht in Germany.
28:41
I see a lot of hope at the moment, but I think we're in a perilous time. It surprises me to complain about polarization because it's such a centrist thing to do. And I am not a centrist. I'm a Social Democrat and I'll say it to anybody who wants to hear it. I've always been on the left. But I think we need to be very, very careful in this moment.
Episode 169: Vietnam War Legacies
00:25
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. This week we're going to discuss the Vietnam War and its legacies, its continuing legacies in American society, in global policy, and particularly in light of a recent set of conflicts that produced similarly controversial outcomes for American society and global policy, the conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq. We are very fortunate to be joined by a friend, colleague, distinguished author, and distinguished scholar, Mark Lawrence.
02:18
It is hard to build utopias when you burn their children in the jungle. It is hard to build utopias when you burn their children in the jungle, and your carpet bombings make whole nations synonymous with tragedy. It is hard to build utopias when you burn their children in the jungle, and your carpet bombings make whole nations synonymous with tragedy, and you shoot your own children smack dab in the middle of their righteousness. It is hard to build utopias when they are already covered in your own rusty tanks and pierced by your own bullets, when they have already realized they don't need to be saved by you, when your own children are blowing up buildings just so you'd turn around and care a little.
04:53
This was a period of intense competition, as you well know, Jeremi, between the East and West for the loyalty and sympathy of societies all around the world. So it really mattered, I think, to Americans that they had the keys to unlocking development and democratization and progress in a broad way. Vietnam was just one of many places where Americans tried to achieve those objectives.
05:19
And why were our failures there? And of course, you and others have written in depth on the sources of our shortcomings in these activities. But why was it so disruptive? Why did it have such a deep effect at home, as Zachary refers to in his poem? And also,as your new book really narrates in such depth and in such compelling detail, why did it have such an effect on American foreign policy in so many other areas?
06:57
And I think what happens across the 1960s, and this is really what I try to get at in the book, is that Americans lose that sense of ambition. And the Vietnam War is a crucial reason, well, only one of the reasons, but a crucial reason why Americans lose that sense of ambition and American foreign policy undergoes a transformation to something quite different by the late 1960s.
07:22
But there are a lot of people who, especially nowadays, who would argue that American intervention abroad was, if not purely self-interested, was motivated mainly by self-interest. Is that accurate?
07:35
Well, I think one of the things that makes American foreign policy so difficult to understand sometimes is the ways in which self-interest and altruism blend in the way Americans think about the world. The old adage was, what's good for General Motors is good for the world. And I think that there's something really important in that kind of comment. Right? So many American policymakers believe that the United States was on the side of righteousness and had the keys to assuring progress and uplift for the whole world. But they had no doubt at the same time that the same policies would also serve the United States. So I think this distinction between self-interest and the larger global interest is clearer in retrospect than it was in the minds of the people who tended to make policy in the United States. And that was certainly true, I would say, during the 1960s.
08:37
And Mark, I think your book is really brilliant on that point because it shows, especially in your country-specific chapters, and I hope all of our listeners will go ahead and buy and read the book. Mark has chapters on Brazil, India, Iran, Indonesia, and Southern Africa. In each of these chapters, there's kind of a similar narrative arc, it seems to me, where the United States is initially pursuing self-interested goals, but also goals that are merged to some sense of democratic hope, some sense of positive change. And then in almost every one of these chapters, Mark, to my reading, the effects of the Vietnam War to push the United States toward more support for authoritarianism and often more militaristic behavior or supportive militaristic behavior on the ground. Is that a fair reading? And if so, why does that happen?
09:29
I think that is a fair reading. I tried to pick case studies, and you've listed them, Jeremi, thank you, that would illustrate a range of patterns in American behavior across the s. Two of them, Brazil and Indonesia, are very similar in demonstrating the ways in which Americans supported right-wing coups that basically eliminated very uncertain political situations in very important countries in favor of regimes, military regimes, that would clearly serve American interests much more directly and be reliable partners of the United States.
11:36
And Mark, why this arc? Why in each case does it seem not only that the United States is less ambitious as you put it so well in your title, but also that the United States becomes, I don't know if this is fair, but it seems to me more cynical in its policies.
11:53
Yeah, I think that's right. I think that it's important to recognize that the American attitude toward the wider world in the early s depended on a certain degree of confidence, right? That Americans could have their way in the wider world. It depended as well on the idea that the United States had the resources to pump into these areas to achieve the results that it wanted. And it relied as well, I think, on the idea that it was okay to take some risks, right? It might not ultimately pan out in every place, but it was worth the effort. And I think what you see across the 1960s, particularly as the Vietnam War heats up and really consumes debate in the United States, is that Americans question all of those ways of thinking that were easy to see at the beginning of the decade.
12:47
Resources are pumped into Southeast Asia in a way that makes them much less likely to want to expend resources elsewhere. LBJ becomes quite risk-averse, losing much of that tolerance for taking chances that I think had been part of the American approach in the early part of the decade, because he understood that the war was deeply controversial. And the last thing that he wanted was another controversy or another problem, another headache in the world.
13:15
So if there were reliable alternatives to be had out there in the third world, LBJ was increasingly likely to seize on those and privilege stability above change across the board, I think you could say, by the end of the decade.
13:28
And just to build on that, Mark, another thing that struck me in your book was how often LBJ, the President of the United States, was willing to work with people he wouldn't work with otherwise if they were willing to support him in Vietnam. So in a strange way, the Vietnam War became a driver of American policy rather than American interests and ideals. Again, is that fair? And what are your thoughts on that?
13:57
I do think that's true. I think by certainly, LBJ is so focused on Vietnam tha the sees every other policy challenge globally through that prism. And so even in relatively distant and perhaps somewhat unlikely places where you wouldn't think Vietnam was a major issue, LBJ is talking about Vietnam. So when he meets the generals in Brazil, when they come to visit him, I suppose I should say, or when he's talking to the Shah, Vietnam is very much on the agenda and he's looking for support. He's looking for indications that these regimes will support him, even if it's in a relatively symbolic way. That mattered a lot to LBJ as time passed.
14:45
So Mark, could you just say a little more about why that happens though? I mean, your book narrates that so well. And I was particularly struck by the Brazilian generals as well, because to me, you couldn't get farther from Vietnam than Brazil, right? But why is, I mean, this is the most powerful person in the world, President Lyndon Johnson. He's got so much experience also dealing with political failure as well as political success. Why does this small, as he says, this small country far away, why does it come to dominate everything this way?
17:07
Yeah, that's a fascinating question. And, you know, Jeremi is one of the great authorities on this issue. But the way I would answer this question is as follows. I think that LBJ, as time passed and as Vietnam consumed his agenda, became increasingly concerned with exerting control, exerting control over an increasingly chaotic situation. And that chaos was apparent not only in Southeast Asia, but also in the streets of the United States and in the streets, frankly, of other cities around the world, particularly in the all important year of 1968.
17:53
He was aware that activism and unrest was increasingly a global phenomenon. And I think for this reason, was drawn to the idea that where stability seemed to be possible, where he could find partners who would cooperate with him and clamp down on at least some of this unrest, he was ready to seize those opportunities. So, you know, I bite off a piece of that larger story by looking at American relationships with countries in the third world.
19:54
I think that the result of the trends that I write about in the book is that the United States by the early 1960s is drawn very strongly to the notion of stability in the third world. As I've said, most of that ambition that was so characteristic of the early s has disappeared. I think it really was Richard Nixon and someone you know, Jeremi, better than anyone, Henry Kissinger, who fully articulated the logic that had become clear to the Johnson administration as the 1960s passed.
20:32
What jumps out at me in connection with the history of the 1970s is how unstable some of those, many of those relationships that the United States had formed in the interest of assuring stability turned out to be. So the relationship with the Shah of Iran, very appealing, right? Under the chaotic circumstances of the 1960s gives way to massive instability in the 1970s. The quest for stability in Latin America gives rise to a new period of instability and chaos in some places, at least, as the 1970s advances. And on and on, we could go looking really around the world.
21:14
So I think what I would try to emphasize by way of the larger implications of the book is that this search for stability, which made a lot of sense under a very particular set of circumstances, gives rise to precisely the opposite as time passes and tends to confront the United States with a number of really pressing challenges. And I don't push this too far in the book, but I think it's not too much of a stretch to connect some of this instability to trends that continue to play out in the 21st century.
21:44
Southern Africa, Southern Asia, right? Southwest Asia, at least, remain areas of real contention. And they remain areas of contention for a whole lot of reasons. But I think that the history of the 1960s is not unimportant in understanding why it is that those areas remain sources of concern many years after the period that I write about.
22:12
Sure. And the Middle East, you talk about and write about Iran, and that certainly would be a major element of what you're talking about here. Mark, how then should we explain, taking in all that you've shared with us in elucidating these changes in American policy and the implications for American democracy and for international affairs, how then do we situate that in relationship to the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, which have an eerie echo of the period you're writing about?
22:45
You are not kidding. I mean, the similarities between Iraq and Afghanistan, on the one hand, and Vietnam on the other, have been a subject of a vast amount of writing. I'm certainly persuaded that the similarities are eerie in many, many ways. And we could certainly spend some time, if you like, talking about some of the ways in which those wars were similar. The way I would tell the story of the way in which Americans have thought about and tried to draw lessons from the history of the Vietnam War would go something like this. In the 1960s, with the end of the Cold War, Vietnam lost some of its power in American politics and society.
24:45
I think that's super helpful, but then it opens up another question, right? If so many American leaders who were making policy and American voters who were voting for those leaders had the experience of Vietnam in mind in one way or another, and here I'm thinking about people like recently passed Secretary of State Colin Powell, former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, former Vice President Richard Cheney, Obama himself, who was reading about Vietnam at the start of his presidency. How could they make mistakes of excessive ambition, if that's what happened in Afghanistan and Iraq, if, as you point out, the lesson was so clearly to limit ambition?
26:47
There is an alternative set of lessons that would emphasize that really the key point about Vietnam is that you must not give up too early on American commitments overseas, that the United States really does have the wherewithal to achieve its objectives in the wider world. It's just that we don't sometimes have the staying power to see it through. I think there've been fascinating debates in connection with Iraq and to some extent in connection with Afghanistan that have really revealed the competing ways in which Americans of different political persuasions draw lessons from the war.
27:59
Well, one of the lessons I think is the predictable one and the one that we've already spoken about, that there are clear limits on what the United States has historically been able to achieve and presumably can achieve going forward in the world. I think that lesson of Vietnam, as I mentioned just a moment ago, was imperfectly learned, was learned only by some Americans. And yet I think it's a lesson that we constantly need to be reminded of and to consider as the United States confronts inescapably more Vietnam-like, Afghanistan-like, Iraq-like problems in the years to come.
28:46
But here's the other lesson that I think comes, that's a little more original, I suppose, and comes more directly to my book. And maybe there's something a little bit optimistic here. I think that my book shows the risks, the very pragmatic risks, the very practical risks that flow from pumping too much attention and resources into one part of the world. It shows the destructive impacts that can occur in connection with American foreign policy globally if Americans lose the ability to prioritize, to decide what's really important and how much resources any particular problem is worth as Americans confront it.
29:35
And the reason why I say I think there's something a little bit optimistic in that observation is that this is probably a lesson that many Americans, regardless of where they stand on the big questions of the legacy of the Vietnam War, could perhaps agree on. We recognize that there are risks in going too far in one place and sort of losing a sense of proportionality, losing an ability to prioritize. Um, so it may be that. When the problem is framed in that way, what are America's priorities? Where, where should it attach greater importance and devote more resources? We could find space for agreements or at least broad consents.
31:41
I think there's a lot to that. And there's a lot between cynicism and the utopia. You talked about it in your poem, right? I think, I think Mark's book shows that there actually are. There's a lot that can be done in between maybe that's, what's abandoned because of the obsession with Vietnam. Mark, this has been a really insightful conversation. I encourage everyone to go out and read and read your book and buy it and give it away as gifts as well. The End of Ambition: The United States and the Third World in the Vietnam era. Mark, thank you so much for joining us.
Episode 206: Leadership
03:20
Never Again the Same. Let's hear it. Sometimes there are words when whispered they are meaningless, but they mean the world when you shout them in the shadow of a wall or on a football field under a hot sun which obscures the moon. Sometimes there are places when you see them on a map they seem hollow, a couple of old municipal buildings and a square in the town.
03:44
But you can see in the video recorded hazy from across the lawn how this was once for a few moments the center of the world. Sometimes there are moments when described to you they are meaningless, they seem so abstract, so absurd, unexplainable, a bullet flying unimagined. But you would have had to be there, had to have seen the way she held him as he was dying.
04:10
What would we give not to remember how it really was, to stay in that imagined moment when we all cried at the same time, to stay forever remembering the promise that was never fulfilled, the hope that was never realized, words and places and moments that never really were and would never again be the same.
04:34
My poem is about the huge mark that John F. Kennedy, his presidency, his assassination left on the American psyche, but also the ways in which he and his family have sort of become mythologized. And we remember them in hindsight perhaps differently than we experience them as a country.
05:08
Well, first of all, Zachary, what a magnificent poem. And we'll come back to this, I'm sure, Jeremi, but just that phrase, a bullet flying unimagined, is just an incredible way of depicting the unimaginable assassination of John F. Kennedy when it occurred in 1963. But to answer your very good question, Jeremi, yeah, there's an old adage, write the book you want to read.
06:23
Well, you absolutely succeeded, at least for this reader, in both of the things you just mentioned. It's a brisk read, as you said, but it's also a moving, cinematic, but more than cinematic, rueful and thoughtful account of his life. You open with one of the low points of his presidency, which might surprise a lot of readers, the Vienna Summit of 1961, when in a certain way, the leader of the Soviet Union embarrasses this young president. Why did you start there?
06:54
Because you mentioned Scotty Reston, who was the renowned columnist on the presidency for the New York Times. After this two-day summit that happened in early June of 1961, Kennedy, as you said, has just been ravaged by Nikita Khrushchev through these two grueling days, where Khrushchev is just constantly nipping at his heels and getting the better of Kennedy. Kennedy knows he's been bested.
07:24
He talked about the great chess match of leadership, and he knew he was outmatched by Khrushchev during those two vital days, and knows that Khrushchev leaves that summit emboldened, thinking that Kennedy was, in Khrushchev's words, too intelligent and too weak. By too intelligent, he means he's book smart, but he's not street smart. I can exploit this guy, Khrushchev thinks, coming out of this.
07:50
Kennedy knows this. He goes back to the American embassy in Vienna and talks off the record to Scotty Reston, and he admits to Reston that he has been savaged by Khrushchev. He realizes until Khrushchev doesn't respect him that there could be a crisis that emerges out of Khrushchev's deep confidence that he can outmaneuver Kennedy.
08:16
And he admits to Restin that he has been savaged by cruise Jeff. And he realizes until cruise Jeff doesn't respect him that there could be a. That emerges out of, uh, cruise Jeff's deep confidence that he can out-maneuver Kennedy. So that becomes this crucible in, in Kennedy's leadership. He knows he needs to show Chris Jeff, that he is a strong leader or Cru Jeff will move to exploit him. That becomes this crucible in Kennedy's leadership. He knows he needs to show Khrushchev that he is a strong leader, or Khrushchev will move to exploit him.
08:29
In your vivid description of this, and it really is vivid, and you bring out Kennedy's words, you bring out his emotions, it does resonate with, I think, the central challenge of contemporary leadership, what President Biden must live with every day, which is the sense that you're in the most powerful office in the world, but you have almost unceasing opposition from external actors of Vladimir Putin or Nikita Khrushchev, internal actors, in Kennedy's case, the military that doesn't trust him.
09:02
You're really detailed in your description, Mark, also in former President Eisenhower and others who really don't think this man is up to the job, this man who barely wins the presidency in the closest election, as you say, in the 20th century. How does Kennedy deal with that? How does he move forward in this almost unwinnable situation?
10:56
But we also realize that it was so important to have a strong leader at a time when the Soviet Union was vying for hearts and minds across the world and trying to dominate much of the world landscape. That was the central crisis of the age. In that moment, Jeremi, and then at that desperate moment in his presidency, I think Kennedy shows to some degree his character. He's humble. He takes accountability. As he says in a press conference, success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan. But at the end of the day, the buck stops with me, as Truman might have said. He took responsibility and vowed to the American people to do better. And he does.
21:53
Well, I think he was able to convey those ideas very effectively and successfully to the American people and to a large extent the world. When Kennedy stands in front of the Berlin Wall and says, Ich bin ein Berliner, I am a Berliner because I'm a citizen of freedom, hence a citizen of Berlin, that makes a marked impression. But I think you're right, Zachary.
28:00
Right, and you certainly show that very well, in a really well-described few chapters, I think, on the Cuban Missile Crisis, and I want readers to read the book. I don't want us to share all that with them. I want them to buy the book to read that, because I think the Cuban Missile Crisis, as you say, is probably the most significant Cold War crisis.
28:18
I'd like us to close, Mark, on the natural place to close, the assassination, and not so much what happens. I think everyone knows the story, but more how we should think about it today. Is it really a turning point in our history, and how do you look upon it?
28:40
It's one of the things I think you do that's very new in this book. You're looking upon that assassination now, not just about 50 years hence, but also from the perspective of what's happened in the last decade or two, to the nature of American democracy. How do you look upon that moment right now?
29:01
It's a great tragedy. We have seen this president through almost three years of, again, this incredibly consequential time in our history, and he is showing tremendous promise. Kennedy is cut down, I'm going to use Zachary's words here, by a bullet flying unimagined when he is in his prime.
29:28
He's 46 years of age. He's gone through perhaps the most dangerous hour of humankind with the Cuban Missile Crisis, and stands on the world at that point unparalleled. There is nobody who has the stature of John Fitzgerald Kennedy when he is killed in Dallas on November 22nd, 1963.
Episode 247: Strikes by Autoworkers
11:56
And the auto industry has been, you know, at the core of that, right? They've been, we've seen declining numbers of people. It's not so much that the, you know, the cars use fewer workers. It's that a lot of the parts that are used in cars are manufactured overseas. So increasingly, auto plants in the US are really assembly plants. They're, you know, taking things from all over the world and putting them together into a finished product, and that takes fewer workers than if you have to make those products from scratch. And that has really challenged unions like the auto, the UAW. They've responded in a number of ways.
28:06
It has to do with, you know, getting products from overseas and trade policies that affect that. It has to do with, with the compensation that goes to management, and also, more importantly, the compensation that goes to shareholders and out in profit. And I think it's important to, you know, to keep in mind that those all mean that we can actually, in many cases, it's beneficial for the broader economy to make sure that people have better wages. It stimulates consumption. And that there's certainly not a contradiction between improving conditions for workers and promoting a prosperous economy.
Episode 251: Middle East in the 1970s and Today
01:52
Salim Yaqub is the author of three books that I highly recommend to all of our listeners. His first book, Containing Arab Nationalism, is really, I think, as close to the definitive work as is possible on the Eisenhower Doctrine in the Middle East, which was really the first American Cold War Doctrine for major influence, even perhaps for attempted dominance in the region.
03:27
Isaac Singer once said you were an encounter with the supposedly dead, and I suppose he is right. You're a land of old men and infants held tight and sandy ancient ruined coasts. All of them were always supposed to be ghosts. Few wars can be fought with history, but you have fought them all, have saved a generation from fighting back the fall. Yet, though you have somehow survived on promises that you revived, it must be said you've built yourself a cage. No war should be fought with rage
04:05
The grandchildren of the widower, the children of the hollowed, held in their tunnels underground, are lost and must be found. Your neighbors remain, to say the least, uncharitable, Lips smacking for the feast, break through the garden fence. Can there be any recompense? No, I am convinced all moral questions will remain unanswered. You are alive, and soon you must have peace. If only so, it might be said, all had a chance to count their debt.
05:33
And to understand that mindset, but also to apply that to today and how that history informs this moment of violence. between Israel and Hamas and maybe the lessons we can draw from these many decades of conflict.
06:52
But, in answer to your question Jeremi, the the seventies really are a very pivotal decade for a lot of reasons and in a lot of places, but certainly for the history of the Middle East and the history of U.S. involvement in that region. I mean, what you see in the 70s is the you know, sort of the last vestiges of European imperialism being removed with the British withdrawal from the Persian Gulf region in the, in the first couple years of the decade. You know, the French had vacated North Africa in the previous decade and earlier than that. And so what you see then is a new, or maybe the continuation of a previous era in which the superpowers, the United States and the Soviet Union becoming more and more active in that region.
07:49
It's also, and also, you know, they're bringing the Cold War struggle, you know, to the region in a way that hadn't quite happened previously. Also, I mean, certainly the 1973 war is very key for all sorts of reasons that we'll probably get into. It's, you know, during and shortly after that war that the power of the oil producing Middle Eastern states, and in this case, particularly the Arab states, because they actually mount an embargo against the United States and some Western countries becomes, you know, unavoidable, you know, it becomes impossible to ignore.
08:29
And of course, the lingering after effects of the oil embargo and of the OPEC price increases are gonna last for the remainder of the decade and into the following one. And, you know, also the manner in which the Arab Israeli War of 1973 ends and the kind of diplomacy that comes in its wake sets the agenda for Arab Israeli peacemaking for years and in some cases, you know, arguably decades to come.
09:03
So it's, and then I guess you could, I would just add that, if you fast forward to the closing years of the decade, you start seeing the emergence of political Islam as a really powerful force, primarily with the Iranian revolution of 1978 to 1979. But there also were some pretty important events taking place in the Arab world. The seizure of the Grand Mosque in Mecca in 1979, you know, right around the same time that the Iranian hostage crisis begins.
09:38
And if, you know, if you want to count, consider the Middle East in its more, in a broader geographical frame, you could look at the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan, also right around that time in December 1979 as ushering in a whole new set of issues that will define the last years of the Cold War and set the agenda for the way in which the Cold War ends.
10:14
Why was the 1973 war, which you mentioned, so transformative for Jews, Arabs, Muslims, and also for, for many Americans?
10:24
Yeah, that's a great question. Well certainly it's transformative for Arabs and Israelis because it's sort of place puts the Arab Israeli conflict into a new dimension, you know, the immediately preceding years, you know, between 1967 and 1973 were ones in which the Israelis were occupying the lands that they had taken over in that war. And they sort of felt invincible. They didn't think that they really needed to, take seriously the diplomatic overtures that the Egyptian government under President Sadat had extended to them early, you know, earlier in the decade. They felt that they could really hold out for a much more dramatic set of concessions coming from the Arab side.
11:23
And essentially what happens with the 1973 war, which is on the Arab side, waged by Egypt and Syria primarily, is that it kind of shocks the Israelis out of their complacency and forces them to confront the fact that they actually really are still vulnerable. And that in turn, you know, makes it increasingly clear to them that they have to reach some kind of political accommodation with their Arab neighbors perhaps on terms, you know, not quite as favorable as the ones that they had been holding out for previously. And it's also, it's from the Arab side, it's important because it rekindles a sense of pride or restores a sense of pride that had been very seriously damaged by the debacle of 1967.
12:16
And in fact, I mean, from the standpoint at least of Egypt. It's psychologically very important because Egypt and Sadat feel that they need to show the world, and maybe more particularly the United States and Israel, that they're not total pushovers, that they are, you know, that Egypt is a force to be reckoned with. And having made that case, even though Militarily, the war ends up going quite badly for both Egypt and Syria. Nonetheless, because they do a lot better than they did in 1967, that restores a measure of respect, and maybe more importantly, self respect, and that gives at least Sadat the confidence to move forward and enter into increasingly intimate peace negotiations with Israel, you know, at first brokered by the United States, but eventually face to face.
13:19
I don't want us to jump too quickly to the present. I want us to stay in the seventies, but the question really has to be asked. Many have made an analogy between the October, 2023 Hamas attack on Israel and the 1973 attack by the Arab states on Israel, do you see an analogy between those two events?
13:43
Well, I mean, there are some similarities, but in the end, I would say they're kind of superficial. I mean, I guess the, you know, one, obviously, it's an attack on Israel. Although in the 1973 case, it's not an attack on Israel per se. It's an attack on Israeli forces in the Sinai Peninsula and the Golan Heights. But nonetheless, it's an attack that the Israelis are not prepared for. And, is much more damaging to the Israelis than anyone thought possible.
14:16
Of course, the major difference between 1973 and 2023 is that this is, the attack by Hamas is, you know, primarily against civilians. It entails not traditional military methods, but really horrific, and, you know, close up forms of attack that were, of course, recorded in very grisly ways that, and so that the level of shock, I think extends, it's a different kind of shock. It's a much more visceral sort of shock. And I think it is extended, it has extended much more, powerfully around the world then and especially the Western world than the shock of 1973 did, you know, partly because of the nature of the attack, and also because of the nature of media now as opposed to 50 years ago.
15:15
One of the things that's striking about the '73 war to me as a historian, Salim, and I wonder if you react the same way, is how this terrible war, and a war that initially looked like it might lead to the collapse of Israel and then, as you said, turns around relatively quickly with Israel occupying for a short time more territory than it had before the war. Correct. How, this terrible war then leads to a peace process? First of all, do you see a connection between what many call the Camp David process that eventually leads to an agreement between Israel and Egypt brokered in part by the United States? Do you see a strong connection there? And how should we understand that connection?
16:03
Oh yeah, there is a very strong connection. I mean, I would frame it in the following way, that the war and its immediate aftermath opened up a new phase in which it was widely recognized that some sort of diplomatic process between Israel and its Arab neighbors was both possible and necessary. I mean, on that, virtually everyone agreed. The difference was on the scope and nature of that diplomatic process.
16:37
There was, at the end of the war, an emerging international consensus that what really needed to happen was, as some sort of comprehensive settlement, between Israel on the one hand and its Arab neighbors on the other, you know, with the Palestinians playing some kind of role, although that was not clearly understood as yet. And as a result of this process, you know, according to this vision, you would have a full Israeli withdrawal from all of the territories occupied in 1967. That would be the West Bank, Gaza Strip, the Golan Heights, the Sinai Peninsula, and in exchange for that withdrawal, the Arab states would extend recognition to Israel and commit to living in peace with Israel, which was something they had not previously done.
17:26
And in most cases continued to refuse to do in the years after 1960 and 1973. So that was the emerging consensus that you start to see in late '73 early 1974. But there's also, there's a contrary scenario and this is the one that is put forward most powerfully and resourcefully by Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, who does not think that it would be a good idea for the United States to pressure Israel to withdraw from all of the territory occupied in 1967. He thinks that a more stable scenario is one in which Israel is allowed to hold on to significant portions of that occupied territory. Now, we can later talk about why he felt that way, but that's was what he wanted to do. And so what Kissinger sets out to do, and it's really a pretty remarkable diplomatic performance, is he brokers or he encourages the development of a dialogue between Egypt and Israel.
18:39
He quite early intuits that Anwar Sadat of Egypt, although he would much prefer a comprehensive settlement in which Israel withdraws from all of the occupied territory from 1973, nonetheless, I'm talking about Sadat now, would be willing to accept some, a more bilateral arrangement where Egypt gets back the Sinai and the remaining Arab territories are either, you know, either remain under Israeli control or their status is you know, less certain. I mean, the sine qua non for Sadat is getting back the Sinai, and he's willing to take a less hardline view regarding the other occupied territories. Kissinger, you know, very brilliantly senses this. You know, almost immediately after the war ends. So Kissinger, you know, very skillfully cultivates Sadat and, you know, takes advantage of the fact that Sadat is willing to be a lot more conciliatory in negotiations with Israel than other Arab parties, especially, Assad, Hafez al Assad of Syria is prepared to be.
19:54
And so through a series of very complicated and clever diplomatic initiatives, he manages to sideline Syria, although that takes, that process takes a couple of years and it's something that Asad himself is not quite aware is occurring until it's too late for him to stop it. He ends, he brings an end to the Arab oil embargo and he, essentially puts in place a diplomatic process where Egypt withdraws from the confrontation with Israel, and the beauty of that, from Kissinger's perspective, is that it results in the subtraction of Egyptian power from the Arab Israeli equation.
20:42
And once that has been accomplished, the ability of the remaining Arab actors, Syria, Jordan, the Palestine Liberation Organization, you know, these, the other parties that have territorial claims, that they want to see satisfied, their ability to get those claims satisfied is sharply diminished in the absence of Egyptian power. And that in a sense makes it impossible for another Arab Israeli war like the one that occurred in 1973 to break out. And indeed, if you look over the history over the last five decades, there's been plenty of really, really horrific strife, but there has been no general Arab Israeli war of that sort.
21:27
And, you know, that achieves Kissinger's objectives of first removing a flashpoint that he fears could spark a superpower confrontation, but it also eases the pressure on Israel. And makes it possible for Israel to take its time about considering withdrawal from any other occupied territories. And you know, as we've seen, the extent to which Israel has relinquished territories after giving up the Sinai Peninsula to Egypt, that was the big key that Egypt, that was the key gain that Egypt made. And that was realized, not under Kissinger, but under Jimmy Carter a few years later with Camp David.
22:13
Once Egypt has the Sinai Peninsula back, it's out of the war. And then Israel's occupation of the remaining territories is fortified. Now obviously the conflict has taken ups and downs. The diplomacy has gone through ups and downs ever since that time. But I think the key ingredients. The key sort of strategic realities that we need to keep in mind to understand, you know, what kind of diplomatic scenarios have been possible in the years since 1973, we need to keep in mind this achievement of Henry Kissinger of pulling Egypt out of confrontation with Israel and thereby, in his view, making the diplomacy more manageable. Right.
23:03
And this is something many of us have chewed on for a long time, right? How to evaluate Kissinger's diplomatic shuttle diplomacy and his efforts to, as you say, take Egypt out of what had been a coalition of anti Israeli states. One other point I thought I'd add for you to comment on, and then I know Zachary has a question too, is part of what he's also doing is making the United States the most powerful external actor in the region. He's sidelining the Soviet Union, which had been an ally of Egypt, right? And that, of course, has implications for the United States in the region, taking us all the way up to the Iraq war, correct?
23:43
Oh, yes, absolutely. I mean, essentially what Camp David accomplishes, and this is often missed because it wasn't something that Jimmy Carter, I think, really was focusing on. I mean, he really, I think Carter genuinely was trying to make peace between Arabs and Israelis. But one byproduct of the Camp David Agreement is that, you know, Egypt is removed from confrontation with Israel. It enters into an alliance with Israel. I mean, with the United States, whereby it starts receiving nearly as much economic and other kinds of aid as Israel does for some years.
24:23
And that's a huge strategic blow to the Soviet Union. And again, that gets masked because the Soviet Union in some ways is more visibly active in the region in the years thereafter. I mean, it really, you know, it flexes its muscles. It, you know, has all kinds of agreements and makes various diplomatic gains on the Arabian peninsula with its relationship with South Yemen and, you know, further to the East, it's invading and occupying Afghanistan. It's cementing its strategic alliance with Syria. It's doing all these things that are on the surface fairly menacing, but that masks the underlying diplomatic reality, which is that the Soviet Union has basically been frozen out of Arab Israeli diplomacy and becoming increasingly irrelevant to it. And then, of course, it's not too much longer after that, that the Soviet Union itself ceases to exist.
25:29
In the United States, even though it had already been flexing its muscles pretty aggressively in the Middle East during the 1980s. And for that reason, I sometimes argue that, the cold war, the post cold war era began a decade earlier, a decade early in the Middle East. Nonetheless, by the time we get to the early nineties, it's unmistakable because the Soviet Union has ceased to exist. And the United States really is now the sole remaining superpower. And its ability to call the shots is made even more unmistakable by the victory in the first Gulf war of 1991.
26:11
Right. Right. Zachary. In this context of bilateral agreements, and a sort of cooling of the conflict during this period, why do these efforts fail to produce a Palestinian state and achieve a two state solution? Was that the point of these efforts or why do the sort of claims to statehood of the Palestinian people during this period fail to be represented at these, in these major agreements?
26:44
Well, that's a great question. I mean, there are lots of different aspects to it. I mean, on one level, you can answer it by pointing out that the gap between, if we're talking first in the early 1970s and in the aftermath of the 1973 war, the gap between Palestinian aspirations and, reality was just unbridgeable. Now that gap narrows in the years ahead, because essentially what happens is the Palestinians. scale back their ambitions in ways that make them at least theoretically compatible with Israel's continued existence. So if, you know, in the early 1970s, the formal position of the Palestine Liberation Organization was the liberation of all of Palestine, essentially the dismantling of the Zionist state and the creation of the so called democratic state.
27:47
Sometimes it's referred to as the secular democratic state, but usually the term secular was not attached to it. It was just, you know, the democratic state in which, at least on the surface, Arabs and Jews, you know, Muslims, Christians and Jews would all have equal rights. If you look closer at the proposal, you could see that it wasn't quite that because there were, there was this expectation that a large portion of the Jewish Israeli population would actually leave. And so it's really not, it's not a very serious proposal. But it's also not serious because it's just, there's just no way that it can be realized militarily.
28:31
Now, what you see happening over the subsequent years, you know, the years after 1973, is that the Palestinian movement, and in particular Yasser Arafat, who is the chairman of the PLO, they start inching towards a compromise where they, you know, the first there's all sorts of qualifications and disclaimers, but, essentially they're moving closer to accepting a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza. And essentially, disavowing or at least setting aside their claims to the rest of Palestine. And over the years, this becomes increasingly explicit, you know, it becomes official in the late 1980s where the Palestinian, the PLO basically, you know, disavows its claims to the rest of Palestine and says that it is ready for a two state settlement, in which a Palestinian state will live alongside Israel.
29:35
So because the Palestinians have scaled back their demands, have essentially become more realistic, the international community takes note of this and starts becoming more forceful about pushing this two state settlement. And that's one of the reasons why I believe the 1970s are such a pivotal decade is that it's really during that decade, especially the second half, that the scenario for a two state settlement comes into existence. Now, at first, neither Israel nor the United States embraced this idea. Carter comes pretty close to doing so. I mean, if he, didn't have to think about domestic politics and other, you know, diplomatic obstacles, I think Carter, you know, during his presidency, probably would have. You know, come out in favor of a two state settlement himself, but he lands somewhere short of that because of, the issue from his standpoint just isn't quite ripe yet. But in subsequent years, you get to the point where, you know, even the United States embraces the idea of a two state settlement.
30:49
Well, the Israelis are, I mean, they've talked about the desirability of that, but they're not, they haven't made the same kinds of official undertakings that would bring that into being. And of course, I mean, a major obstacle to that is the continuing colonization of the West Bank, where you do have Israeli settlers increasing their number at a rate and, you know, in various configurations that make a viable Palestinian state harder and harder to imagine, but nonetheless, you know, the idea of a two state settlement gets enshrined, not just in, you know, international politics, but in American diplomacy as well.
31:34
Salim, the PLO, the Palestinian Palestinian Liberation Organization, which is the predecessor to the Palestinian organization led by Mahmoud Abbas today in the 1970s, it's often depicted at least within the United States, accurately or inaccurately as a terrorist organization. First of all, is that accurate? And how do we understand the intersection between concerns about terrorism, airplane hijackings, various other events, and the issues that you've laid out so well for us here?
32:08
Well, I mean, the PLO back then and in subsequent years was a very broad based organization, essentially a confederation of many disparate parties, some of which were committed to acts of terrorism and, you know, some of which actually did commit some pretty gruesome terroristic acts in the 1970s as in subsequent years.
32:39
The position of Yasser Arafat is somewhat ambiguous in that one gets the sense that he's not really crazy about this tendency and he would much prefer to see it ended, but he also feels limited in his ability to oppose some moves taken by Palestinians in the name of liberation, just because these movements have captured the imagination of Palestinian opinion, and to some extent have gained a certain cachet internationally, and there are also, you know, various, you know, more internecine disputes that he's navigating that, you know, from time to time, make it very difficult for him to stand in the way of groups like Black September. That's the organization that conducted the attack on the Munich Olympics in 1972 and similar groups. And sometimes he, you know, he goes further and actually pays lip service or, you know, praises groups that have not too long in the past committed acts of terrorism. So his position is definitely compromised. I mean, his hands are not clean in that respect.
33:58
And that of course is a, you know, a terrible political obstacle that he faces. I mean, in one respect, it, you know, his ambiguous stance on terrorism allows him to keep the Palestinian movement united. But it also serves to blacken the name of the PLO and the Palestinian movement in the eyes of many outside observers.
34:26
Is it effective though, Salim? I mean, I'm guessing that leaders of Hamas would look back and say, that the more radical PLO of the early seventies, when, for instance, Yasser Arafat comes to the United Nations and displays a weapon in his holster. And, you know, that image of radicalism and violence was more effective at getting attention than the scaling back of ambitions, as you put it before.
34:53
It's really hard to say. I mean, my overall inclination is to be, you know, very strongly opposed to the use of violence, especially terrorist violence, as a, you know, that's of course a more like a normative or moral stand. You know, when it comes to looking at it analytically and trying to assess, you know, in as detached a way as possible, you know, to what extent this move towards violence or these moves towards violence helped to put the Palestinian issue on the map I think there definitely there is a sense in which that kind of activity drew attention to the Palestinian cause and gave it a kind of visibility and stature that it might not otherwise have gained. But at the same time, it's also, as I said, blackened the name of the movement. So I would, I guess, you know, if I had my druthers and if I could wave a wand and change history, none of this, of these at least none of the really heinous forms of violence would have taken place.
36:10
I mean, obviously resisting occupation, you know, when you're confronting armed occupiers, that's a whole different ball game. So I would, I definitely, I very much regret that this move towards violence has occurred and has been embraced by so many. And of course, you know, even to, especially today, seeing, you know, what it's leading to makes me all the more firm in that conviction now, even today, though, there you're going to get arguments and they won't necessarily be completely off base that the October 7th attacks revived the Palestinian issue in a way that perhaps few other events could have done.
36:58
You know, because if you think about where things were, just, you know, in the weeks and days leading up to the attack with, Jake Sullivan, you know, kind of gloating that, oh, we've got the Middle East under control. Now we're moving towards normalization between Israel and its Arab neighbors and Arab countries further afield like Saudi Arabia. And the implication of all of that was, We're not going to be so hung up on the Palestinian issue that, you know, the Arab states will make peace with Israel and they will not condition their willingness to make peace on serious movement on the Palestine issue. I mean, there may be some fig leaf that they demand, but seriously, you know, fundamentally, they're not letting the Palestine issue stand in their way.
37:50
So there was the scenario that was coming into view of Israel normalizing relations with a whole bunch of Arab countries, especially very prosperous ones, developing all kinds of lucrative trade relations and joint ventures, you know, with these wealthy Arab states and essentially being able to continue colonizing the West Bank. And, you know, I was very depressed by that scenario. I didn't see any way of breaking out of it. Now I am utterly aghast at what's happened on October 7th. And I don't by any means favor breaking out of the impasse by those means, but that is what has happened. And the Palestine issue is on the map and on the diplomatic agenda in ways that it wasn't two months ago. So, you know, so that's the kind of logic that people will invoke. To make the case that there is a place for this kind of violence, even though I very firmly reject that argument.
39:08
How should we understand the legacy of these sort of failed, but also to a certain extent successful peace agreements in the 1970s, and then also, of course, the war in '73, the developments that we've been discussing, how should we understand the legacies of these events today? I'm thinking in particular, of their legacy, in regards to the creation of Hamas and the situation pre-October 7th, which precipitated the current conflict.
39:38
Yeah, that's a really, uh, good question. A difficult one, but a good one. I mean, the way I think about what was achieved in the 1970s is that it, there's a scenario in which the moves towards greater cooperation between, let's say, Egypt and Israel, in that decade, could have led to broader peace settlements, but they did not. And essentially, that was what I think Jimmy Carter, and I think it was what, Anwar Sadat hoped for, but in a curious way. Anwar Sadat ultimately proved less adamant about linking peace with Israel between, you know, a bilateral peace between Egypt and Israel to a broader set of agreements between Israel and its other Arab neighbors, and especially, some arrangement for the Palestinians.
40:38
So there was kind of this. curious situation where Jimmy Carter, you know, he really wanted the bilateral agreement that he was brokering between Egypt and Israel to be a stepping stone to broader agreements between Israel and other Arab countries and between Israel and the Palestinians. But because of the kind of agreement that Carter was ultimately obliged to accept and because I know, frankly, the very hard line and determined stance that Menachem Begin, the Israeli prime minister at the time took. And because of, you know, Carter had other issues on his plate that were becoming more pressing, especially the Iranian revolution. You have to think, you just, when you think about the chronology, you really get a sense of how these issues fit together.
41:41
You know, the Camp David Agreement, the first agreement, the one you actually forged at Camp David, was in September 1978. The Iranian Revolution erupts in the weeks and months right after that. By the time the actual formal agreement, the peace treaty between Egypt and Israel that was kind of blocked out in general terms at Camp David is achieved. That's March 1979. So that's a couple months after the Shah has fled and the new Islamist government has taken over in Iran. And you know, it's not too long after that, that the American hostages in Tehran get taken. So Carter's attention is increasingly sucked into this black hole of misery that, you know, ultimately, you know, arguably ends his presidency.
42:39
So you know, Carter really wasn't in a position to build on the peace agreement that he had brokered at Camp David in, in the way that he hoped. And in fact, there's some poignant statements by Carter, private statements that he makes around this time and, you know, the summer of 1979 or so where he says, wow, you know, if I end up leaving office without really making a dent in the Palestinian issue, people will rightly say that I was a failure. And, you know, sadly, that was his legacy. At least as far as the Israel Palestine issue is concerned.
43:47
The Arab states, as you say, in 1973 are united and they show that they are not as weak as they had been in 67. The Saudis and the other oil rich states are able to use oil as a weapon in many ways to bring down the American economy or to cause enormous pain in the United States, both at the beginning of the 1970s period, and then also at the end of the decade. So there's rising Arab power.
44:16
Israel also seems to recognize, as you said, that it has to make some kind of deal with its neighbors. So why do the Palestinians continue to be victimized? Why is that one of the overriding legacies from this period?
44:33
Well, I mean, there are lots of complexities to that question, but you can also answer it in a very simple way. Which is, I would say, because of the Camp David Agreement. It pulled Egypt out of confrontation for good. I mean, Egypt was already drifting away from its prior commitments to the other Arab countries, but it, you know, it formalized it. It formalized Egypt's removal from the conflict, you know, transformed Egypt into an ally of the United States, and that really did make it a lot easier for Israel to withstand international calls for some kind of accommodation with the Palestinians.
45:17
And again, you've got, you know, I was just talking about poignant statements by Carter. There's another one that he makes in 1985, in a book that he wrote called The Blood of Abraham. Mm-Hmm. in which he very starkly and in a kind of self-incriminating way, says that. What the Camp David Agreement did was subtract Egyptian power from the Arab Israeli equation, and that made it easier for Israel to continue dominating its neighbors and continuing to occupy the West Bank. He just says that very starkly. And I think that's true.
45:55
There are, you can go a little bit further into the 20th century and look, for example, at the Oslo peace process, where there was kind of a second chance that the parties had to really come to grips with the Israel Palestine dispute. And you do have, I mean, a major transformation occurs in the sense that the United States recognizes the Palestine Liberation Organization. The Israelis, you know, get into dialogue with the PLO and with Yasser Arafat, you have, you actually do have the, you know, establishment of the Palestinian Authority. So there is some, there's like a physical presence. There's a, like a beachhead that the Palestinian movement is able to establish in both the West Bank and Gaza. And it, at least on the surface, it appears that there's an opportunity to build on that nucleus and transform it into a two state settlement.
46:59
But what happens is that the Israelis are able to continue expanding Jewish settlements in the West Bank and the way the agreements are drafted are such that, you know, the Israelis are able to invoke certain loopholes and the Palestinians complain, but they don't have sufficient leverage with the United States to get the Americans to take that seriously.
47:27
And of course that gets complicated by the fact that you do have Palestinian militants who reject the Oslo Accords and try to sabotage them by engaging in increasingly grisly terrorist attacks against not just settlers in the West Bank, but, you know, against civilians inside Israel, and that of course gives Israel justification to conduct, you know, massive retaliatory raids against the Palestinians.
47:59
And so essentially what happens is the, you know, the settler population during the very decade in which the Oslo peace process is unfolding doubles. And so that, you know, from the standpoint of ordinary Palestinians, this is really antithetical to any notion that a two state settlement is on the horizon. And because, you know, the way in which the Palestinians react against this creeping annexation often takes violent forms, the Israelis respond in, you know, with their own forms of violence and the, you know, you get this kind of vicious cycle where each side becomes more and more entrenched in its rejection of the other.
48:51
I mean, I, you know, these issues are never simple, but, I do wish that the Clinton administration had come to grips with this settlements issue in a much more serious and thorough going way. When it had the opportunity to do so, because the, I think the consequences of that failure are very much with us today.
49:17
Right. Just one follow up question on this, because I think your explanation is so thoughtful and balanced. So many Israelis that you and I know, and Zachary knows, and others know want peace. Why, in your narrative, has it been so hard for Israel to pursue peace? In your narrative, in your description, Israel is in some ways using its alliance with Egypt to avoid hard decisions with the Palestinians. Why do you think that's the case?
49:57
Well, because it's also using its alliance with the United States to avoid hard decisions regarding the Palestinians. And this is something that I think the United States really bears some responsibility for and needs to correct if we're going to see any serious movement on this issue.
50:16
I mean, I think it's understandable that within the context of Israeli politics, you see a move to the right, you know, over the last couple of decades, and that it's politically very difficult for groups or politicians advocating compromise with the Palestinians to gain popular support, just because it's so easy to point to acts of really horrific violence coming from the Palestinian side and to make the case that there is no suitable partner for the Israelis to make peace with.
50:54
I think, I mean, again, these are very complicated issues and I don't, you know, want to sound, you know, glib you'd just be sitting back and pontificating and saying that it's easy to reverse course or change the direction. Nonetheless, I think fundamentally what needs to happen is for the United States to start to become a lot firmer with the Israelis and to set clearer limits on what the United States will tolerate. In that context, that would, in my view, create political space for forces within Israel that wish to take a more conciliatory stance towards the Paelstinians. Because essentially the only limits against which Israel is brushing up, the only limits it encounters are the limits imposed by its immediate adversaries.
51:55
There aren't really significant diplomatic constraints or other kinds of constraints being imposed by the United States. I'll give you an example of an instance where that occurred and was promising and, you know, make the case that that kind of thing needs to happen again. Back in the early 90s, there, when Yitzhak Shamir was the prime minister, you know, he wanted a loan guarantee from the First Bush administration, and President Bush refused to extend that guarantee or refused to sign off on it, unless he could get a commitment from Shamir that there would be a cessation of settlement building in the occupied territories. This created a huge diplomatic crisis between the United States and Israel, and there was enormous pressure on Bush to back down. And he didn't. He stuck to his guns and eventually that resulted in a change of government inside Israel because figures on the more dovish labor side were able to say, look, this is what happens when we follow the approach of Likud and figures like Shamir. We get into a confrontation with the one country whose help we cannot afford to lose. So if you follow our approach, the more dovish Labor Party approach, we will restore our good relationship with the United States, and that will be better for Israel's security.
53:34
And that worked, and it resulted in the election of Yitzhak Rabin in place of Shamir. Now, there are ways in which Bush subsequently dropped the ball that caused the victory that he had achieved on the settlements issue to be a Pyrrhic one, which I can go into if you wish, but I don't think that's important. But what it shows is the ability of the United States, if it flexes some diplomatic muscle, to affect change inside Israel.
54:09
And I think in the, when those sorts of things start to happen on the Israeli side, I think that also empowers Moderate forces on the Palestinian side in situations like the one we're in now with situations of polarization that tends to strengthen hardliners on each side. I mean, it's more complicated in Israel now because Netanyahu was so unbelievably unpopular but in absent those complicating political issues, the general dynamic is one in which the more polarization, the more violence you get.
54:45
The stronger hardliners on each side become. So I think in a situation in which the United States is exercising greater leverage that's nudging the Israelis toward a more conciliatory position, that will make it easier for moderate form of forces on the Palestinian side to assert themselves. And this certainly won't happen overnight, but I think you could start a process that ultimately results in the political, diminution of Hamas. I mean, we're far from that now, but we, that's where we need to start heading.
55:25
Right. Which is the opposite of full scale siege warfare in Gaza. Exactly. Exactly
56:16
I think it's very helpful, certainly, in pointing to places, lost opportunities, and hopefully, lays out a series of of mistakes that that cannot be made again. I worry, though, about the, I think that maybe one of the things it points to as well is a sort of dilemma that sort of maybe contradictory forces that are shaping the problem today, which is that in order for there to be a sort of viable, moderate Palestinian force with which Israel can make peace, there has to be a moderate sort of political force in Israel willing to make peace.
57:03
But in order for that to occur, there has to be a sort of cessation of radical Palestinian violence that enables those on the far right in Israel. And so, and I think, one of the key lessons that at least I will take from Professor Yaqub's, very, Yaqub's very helpful analysis and history for us is the importance of the role of the United States in maybe catalyzing that process in, at the very least, putting our thumb on the scales to sort of break out of that cycle and of that, sort of constant, sort of lost opportunity, if you will.
57:48
Yeah, no, I think one of the real strengths, one of the many strengths of Salim's account and his scholarship is that it doesn't make the United States all powerful, far from it, but it does show how the United States might be the one actor that can play a role at certain moments in bringing the different sides together or pushing them apart. I think there, Salim's account gives us evidence of both of those things. As a final word, Salim, if you had a few seconds with President Biden, then what would you say as a historian that he should be thinking about?
58:28
Yeah. I mean, I think it would be the point that I made most recently, just about the need to show some greater firmness and to really attend to the details, particularly regarding what's happening on the West bank. I think, you know, one, when I said that George H. W. Bush eventually dropped the ball. He allowed the, you know, the next president, Yitzhak Rabin, to essentially use a form of words to get around the settlement issue. What Yitzhak Rabin said was, you're right, President Bush, there should be no more additional Jewish settlements in the West Bank. I will seize the building of new settlements. But what he then promptly did was start expanding existing settlements. And, you know, Bush accepted that distinction. But, you know, from the standpoint of the Palestinians, it really was not a difference at all. So I would say that you just, you need to pay really close attention to the details of what's taking place and, you know, to think about their impact on all of the parties to this dispute.
59:46
And I think Salim, that's a perfect place for us to not really close, but sort of, no, but bring this discussion to a point. I think what your scholarship displays and what you have provided today are two lessons for us above all. You know, one is that close attention to the history really matters. The events that we're living with today, reflect long developing, many long developing historical trajectories, and we can't really understand them. And we certainly shouldn't take sides before we understand this history. We have to pause and spend some time to look at where we've come from.
1:00:29
And that second to that one can speak for the interests, as I think you have, the historical interests of Palestinians, without in any way embracing the most extreme forms of violence, which you have clearly renounced and also argued are ineffective, in fact. And, I think that's really important. One doesn't have to give up on the Palestinian cause or the Israeli cause because the more extreme voices and extreme actors are the ones that are getting the most attention. Absolutely. So, Salim, thank you for educating us, for providing us a really valuable and missing background for most of our discussions. I hope our listeners will take what you say, read more, and think deeply before they jump to conclusions one way or another in this conflict. Salim, it's really been a pleasure and an honor to have you on our podcast. Thank you for joining us.
Episode 264: Free Trade and Peace
00:24
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week we're going to discuss a term that is thrown around almost every day in newspapers and political discussion, but a term that is rarely defined or historicized, and that term is free trade. The United States calls itself a free trade nation. Whether that's true or not is something we'll discuss, but more significantly we'll discuss what free trade really means, and how a group of thinkers, pioneering thinkers and political activists and policy makers in the 19th century pioneered a new way of pursuing free trade with certain ideals of peace attached to it.
03:16
Sometimes when the sun is setting, I wonder if a hope is nothing more than mud to scrub away with soap. I watch the darkness coming with its ominous smile, and the birds no longer humming are erased in single file. And yet each morning when it comes at last, I see a new world rising and it's rising fast. A world of peace that isn't stale, a world at sea, a world at sail. We are chasing Earth's still spinning tail, like birds who sing at every dawn. The hate has flown, the fear is gone, I spy your ports, you spot my shores, you sell my treasures in your stores. Each setting sun is now a kind of hoping that tomorrow will be in the harbours roping.
04:07
I love the imagery, Zachary, and I love the evocations of peace and peacemaking. What is your poem about?
04:17
My poem is about the ways in which, even in the points in our lives, and in our politics when we are the most cynical. That trade, and sort of physical connection across the vast seas of the world, can offer a real opportunity for peace and real hope, even when things seem sort of impossible abysmal around us. Right.
04:50
Marc. I think that's a great place to really dive into your book. So much of your book, especially the first 2 to 3 chapters is about the efforts of certain activists, seems to me, to escape what they see is the imperialism and economic nationalism and cruelty of of the 19th century of the world of empire that we all know a fair amount about. Why did these activists, Richard Cobden is one of them who stands out, why did they turn to free trade as a source of peace and anti imperialism, as you call it?
05:21
I mean, this is, you know, it gets this sort of Enlightenment era ideas that this is building off of, but it's also, I think, building off of something new that's developing in the mid 19th century was, which is, a truly global economic system in a, in ways that we, you know, understand it today and global food systems and so forth. And pushing back against the mercantilist system that had dominated the imperial order up until the mid 19th century, a mercantilist system of protectionism, of closed imperial markets and seemingly constant war, and geopolitical conflict.
06:02
And so when this free trade movement that Richard Cobden in Britain spearheads, this middle class pressure group, the anti corn law league, it's beyond just lowering Britain's trade walls and allowing for cheap goods and cheap food to flow in. He actually sees this direct connection between those domestic reforms and reforming the international order. Something that if we, I guess in international relations scholarship, we would think we call capitalist peace theory or interdependence theory, the idea that the more countries trade with one another, the less likely they are to go to war. This is kind of when this is really starting to take root, at the left of center into the political spectrum in remarkable ways. And so yeah, go ahead.
08:52
And this allows for greater democratization. It also means that if you democratize foreign policy and you minimize the power of these militant aristocratic elites on foreign policymaking, then you can create a more peaceful foreign policy system that doesn't require large standing armies and navies, which means you can lower taxes and thus, make things even more affordable to a mass majority of people. So that's the kind of in a nutshell, how they connect that domestic element with the foreign policy.
12:04
And so with their dominance of American politics throughout most of the decades that follow up, until the election of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, you have this republican style protectionist policy. It's a very anglophobic one. Fear, hatred of the British is a common political tact that's taken to reinforce these protectionist demands, but it's also, you know, the American industries were certainly less developed than those of the British, and so they saw this as a way to catch up to and rival, the more industrially advanced British, who had recently adopted free trade.
12:41
So this seemed like a nice counterbalance to it, and also led to all sorts of geopolitical conflicts with America's neighbors, especially the British colony to the north, Canada. And then when the United States becomes a proper, formal empire in its own right under Republican auspices in 1898 after the Spanish American war, it's a protectionist economic nationalist empire that comes into being here that the Republicans oversee. And, you know, pushing back against that common understanding that we, I think we tend to make of this late 19th, early 20th century, those decades leading up to the first world war as some sort of Gilded Age era of free markets and laissez faire run amok. One of the things I've been trying to push back against is to say that, that's actually, it was quite the opposite.
13:59
So, Marc, one of the really interesting parts of your book is your reinterpretation of the late 19th and early 20th century, just along the lines we've been discussing. Traditionally, people have argued that, this is a period of, growing trade, growing interdependence between countries, and that actually causes violence and imperialism. You see this the opposite way, right? And tell us more about that.
14:30
Yeah. And I mean, this gets into a lot of kind of historiographical minefields about, you know, why the late 19th, early 20th century is tended, tends to be portrayed as an area of free trade and laissez faire, you know, run amok, as I described. But in reality, this is aside from the British who embraced free trade from the 1840s until the 1930s, one rival empire, the British after another, led by the United States and its growing empire, turned to economic nationalism and imperial expansion across the late 19th, early 20th centuries. And this is exacerbated with the onset of a global depression in 1873. Something we can probably relate to nowadays, which is, during times of economic crises, nations tend to look inwards, tend to retreat from the international system, as we've seen so clearly, in the wake of the great recession and then the pandemic.
15:25
And so this is what's happening in the late 19th, early 20th century. Yes, ties are still growing, but that's because of these new tools of globalization, transportation costs are drastically falling, steamships and transcontinental railways and so forth. And so you can still have an increase in integration, even though you're seeing a growth of economic nationalism. And of course that imperial expansion that the United States and other rival empires are practicing, is globalizing the world in a certain sense too, through the forceful incorporation of colonies into the kind of Anglo European sphere that they're developing here.
16:03
But again, it's through these restrictive economic nationalist empires that we're seeing coming to us. And it's this growth. And if you want to take the kind of Marxist approach, the growth of the divvying up of the world amongst these rival protectionist empires that culminates in the first world war.
16:19
And just to underline a point before we get to the First World War, you make this clear in your book that the free traders criticize the United States in particular for building a closed empire, closed to external trade empire that benefited U. S. trade in the Philippines, for example. That this was not a free trade empire, as some have argued, but in fact, what the United States was doing was building an economically nationalist empire, correct?
16:46
Correct. That's correct. And if, and yeah, and one of the things that I tease out here is how it needs these former Spanish colonies that become American colonies in the context of Puerto Rico, say, or the Philippines, or informally with Cuba. Yeah, you start to see this even from the anti colonial nationalists themselves. Who are demanding free trade with the United States, who are poverty stricken from years of internal conflict, fighting the Spanish and so forth, and who are suddenly unable to afford food, afford clothes because of these new protected tariffs that are placed upon them by the protectionist Republican empire builders back in Washington.
17:23
And so, yeah, so even from the colonies themselves, you can start to see this protectionist makeup of the American empire project. And it's this American system idea. This is what it was called, right? This, this protectionist ideology that kind of grew in many ways in the United States across the 19th century that became the American system of protectionism. It's this ideology that's actually going to shape at least more shape that Imperial order amongst Britain's rivals than free trade Britain itself will.
17:54
Zachary. You mentioned in your previous answer that there's a connection between this sort of divvying up of the world's resources, and the beginnings of World War One. Could you maybe explain that in more detail? And also, maybe talk a little bit about, you mentioned as well that many leftists have taken this interpretation in particular to make a point about free trade. Could you talk about how that's been interpreted as well?
18:24
Sure, yeah, and this is a critique that's made by what we call kind of center left critics like J.A. Hobson, this famous British critic of imperialism, liberal radical critic of imperialism, writing around the turn of the 20th century. This is then going to be built upon from an even farther left framework, by V. I. Lennon, imperialism in the highest stage of capitalism, writing amidst the first world war, trying to understand and make sense of how the world had become a world in conflict, how these rival empires turn against one another. And, you know, that's one of the fascinating things about this, if you actually look at this and of course, from the, from the left wing internationalist free trade perspective in general, this is exactly what they've been saying from the get go. And that is that it's this expansion of the protectionist empires, you end up with, and yeah, so what are they trying to do? They're trying to expand empires because according to this critique, at least, you know, protectionism creates monopolies, monopolies create inefficient markets at home. This leads to the apparent necessity to search for new markets, to export surplus capital abroad and to exploit raw materials from these newfound colonies to then be used by these industrializing powers back at home.
19:38
This is how people from across the left wing spectrum are explaining the growth of imperial expansion across the late 19th, early 20th centuries. And in the case of V.I. Lennon and trying to explain the outbreak of the first world war itself. Once these empires, these expanding empires have run out of new colonies to exploit for exporting surplus capital for exploiting raw materials, they finally turn on one another. And so you can actually see these really fascinating connections and commonalities by capitalist critics of the imperial system and Marxist critics of the imperial system. Indeed, in the context of Hobson and Lenin, this is even called the Hobson Lenin thesis, because Lenin is explicitly drawing on these capitalist theories of imperialism to make his own, even more extreme critiques of the system.
20:32
So as I understand it, Marc, you have a real resuscitation of Norman Angle in your book. Norman Angle, as you point out, was this incredibly popular writer in the early 20th century who predicted that countries that trade together will not go to war together. And of course, those countries did go to war in World War I and realists, those who have dominated international relations scholarship really in the last 70 years, kind of use Norman Angle as a whipping boy, right? They say, you see these liberal internationalists, these left wing thinkers who believe that if you create a world of cooperation, you won't have war. See how wrong they are, and the world is filled with inevitable conflict and war. That's the realist argument, of course. You're bringing Norman Angle back, though you're saying he was actually more correct than realists have given him credit for. Do I understand that right?
21:24
Yeah. You know, he's often seen as an early 20th century, Edwardian disciple of Cobdenism. He puts forward this more pragmatic appeal to a businessman's pocketbook with his book, as you point out, the very, very famous and influential, The Great Illusion that gets published in 1910. And that takes the kind of Euro American Left by storm. Norman Angle clubs are getting started all over the place. So he really does pick on a moment here. But if you actually, you know, he spent much of his life actually pushing back against the misunderstandings of it. He intimately understood the growth of political nationalism that was growing across the early 1900s, as well as the economic nationalism of the early 19th century. His, The Great Illusion was not a optimistic call saying that, global, the global, the degree of globalization now means that no wars can happen, it was actually a pessimistic appeal to say that even the winners of a war would lose because the world is so integrated. And I think that's the thing that gets lost along the way, as you point out, by international relations theorists drawing on these early 20th century ideas, boiling him down to a single sentence, it actually has lost the main point, the main thrust of what he was saying.
22:42
He was trying to warn business and then he was trying to warn, you know, the political right really that this continued nationalism, this continued economic nationalism would leave few if any winners, even those who supposedly would win a war at that point.
24:50
And of course the protectionists would win that one. And then of course, Cordell holds lessons that he learned from the first world war really firmly ingrained the fact that he connects free trade with anti imperialism and peace, and he sees the first world war clearly as one that was begun by these economic conflicts, these trade wars that led up to the outbreak of the First World War.
25:15
So that, those are lessons he takes, but the question is then, how do FDR and Cordell Hull succeed where their predecessors had failed? And I think you put your finger on it there with Herbert Hoover. The Republican protectionist project that began in the 1860s finally loses the support that it was able to maintain from American laborers through these kind of political debates that dominated the scene for so long. And that's because of the infamous Hawley Smoot, or Smoot Hawley Tariff of 1930. That is this protective tariff that Hoover's administration passes just on the heels of the outbreak of the Great Depression. And it's clear to everybody by 1932, and the presidential elections that this protective tariff had exacerbated and made worse the great depression that had created these trade tensions, shrunk international trade when it needed to be increased. And so FDR and Cordell Hull are able to build on this shift happening within the American body politic to start turning it towards a freer trade direction.
26:41
Right. And this, as you describe it, becomes a kind of true golden age for free trade, if we might call it that, from the end of World War II until, I don't know, late 1960s, early 1970s, is that correct?
26:54
Or at least it could have been. It, was really, actually, when I first started thinking about this way back, you know, 10 or so years ago, that is how I kind of thought that the story was going to progress or at least in that nice, neat way. What I ended up finding, the more I dug into the, around, I guess, right after the end of the Second World War is that, yeah, it does seem from 1945 until 1950, especially, things seem to be going their way. That these supranational organizations are, are able to kind of clamp down a bit at least on nations' predilections for, for protectionism. We have a new, better, stronger supranational structure under the United Nations than they had with the League of Nations. And the left wing free traders that I'm tracing actually have, they actually have a direct line to the State Department. There's a remarkable relationship that develops between Cordell Hull and these left wing free traders.
27:54
The Young Women's Christian Association is really big on this. But it brings in a broad umbrella of these free trade advocates to support the Roosevelt administration's free trade reforms. And so this is going to lead to, yes, these Bretton Wood, you know, structures, the IMF and so forth, but even more important here is the creation of the general agreement on tariffs and trade in 1947, which Hull is broadly considered to have created. And of course this will become the world trade organization in 1995. So at least the structures of what we associate with multilaterals and with free trade had come into being in the late 1940s and the left wing free traders, you know, I think to a certain extent, plausibly pat themselves on the back for helping to bring it about.
28:41
But of course the cold war decolonization, the growth of a right wing free trade tradition that we touched on at the very beginning of this discussion, all of these things are going to start muddying the waters, so to speak, and make the, what seemed like a new freer trade system, much less easy to maintain.
29:30
Well, from the left wing free traders perspective, there's an evolution that happens. So maybe it's a generational evolution that's happening here too. They're much more sympathetic by the 1950s, 1960s, 1970s of the decolonizing world, of what we might call the global South, the G77, these demands for temporary protectionism by these recently decolonized States.
30:22
And so that's one of the big differences here. So, yes, you have Thatcher in the seventies coming onto the political scene in Britain, who's going to slam down a book by Hayek as soon as she walks in and says, you know, this is what we believe. Frederick Hayek, one of the intellectual founding fathers of neoliberalism. And in a similar way, Reagan is going to surround himself with, you know, neoliberal, right wing economists who are extremely distrustful of anti colonial nationalist demands for protectionism. They're increasingly dis trustful of democracy itself, of course of the welfare state, of trade unions, there's really quite key differences here, but I think the two biggest are where these neoliberals are willing to do at the foreign policy realm and, and how they associate free trade with democracy.
31:17
So the free, the left wing free traders of the book, the main actors in the story closely associate free trade with democratization. And a foreign policy of non interventionism, right? You don't force free trade onto another state unwillingly. This is something that neoliberals 1980s onwards are going to deviate from drastically, even though in many ways they're drawing from the same intellectual wellspring. And so this is where we have the neoliberals who are gonna you know, support Pinochet's Chile, this, you know, dictatorship in Chile and apartheid South Africa, and who are increasingly gonna see democracies, especially democracies from the left, as a threat. An impediment to free trade rather than as an accompaniment to free trade. And so using military interventionism and being suspicious of democratic movements, in the name of free trade, this shows them to be something quite different from the free trade internationalist tradition that I was tracing in previous chapters.
32:24
And you make the, you make the argument that neoliberalism, as you say, this is from your book, page 218, that neoliberals have effectively co opted free trade as a neo colonial tool. So you are clearly making the case, there's a different version of free trade that's not neo-colonial, that's not mercantilist. As you call the, the moment from 2016 on. What would that be? I mean, one of the real goals of our podcast each week is to try to use history to help uncover alternative pathways. Things we could do today that would be hopeful. So what is the hopeful alternative to the world of US-China market rivalry that often seems to disempower smaller countries and smaller cultures. What's the alternative pathway from the left wing free trade vision that you've excavated so well here, Marc?
33:23
Yeah, great. Really, really, that's a really difficult, but really important question. And maybe we can end it on a positive note if I do this correctly. Yeah, I, so we have these multilateral institutions that, It comes into being precisely to create a more peaceful and interdependent world in the late 1940s. But they increasingly become controlled, taken over by this more right leaning, internationalism of the neoliberals and of multinational corporations within the kind of context of the Milton Cold War. And so this is, I think, the beginning of it. And so because of that too, you also see a lot less of a strict adherence to free trade internationalism, especially once Cordell Hull is no longer in the State Department.
34:13
And so you still start to see, kind of the hangover of this imperialism of economic nationalism that had dictated American foreign policy for so many decades leading up to the Second World War. And you see this most visibly even today with the Cuban embargo, something done under Democratic auspices, but continued under both parties.
34:34
And so in an interesting way, the legacy of the imperialism of economic nationalism in the United States, it's still very, was very much with us even before 2016, even before we ended up electing. an avowedly protectionist Republican president. You know, it was one of those things in 2016 that I was not surprised by at all. And of course, you could point back to most of the history of the Republican party as a party of protectionism, that Trump was by no means an anomaly, but a return to the status quo, from this longer viewpoint. But it was interesting to see how the Democrats from 2020, started just borrowing from and echoing Trump's protectionist platform to the point now that we're going to have, it looks like, a Republican protectionist running for president, and we're going to have a Democratic protectionist running for president in the 2024 elections. And like you say, in the context of trade wars and steel tariffs against the EU, and geopolitical conflict that's being drawn from that, sanctions against a variety of states as well, food embargoes and blockades, and then of course the Cuban embargo itself is still very much a thing.
35:47
And so what remains of the left wing free trade movement has been still fighting this fight. We still have a variety of left wing peace organizations that have been and remain very critical of, say, the U. S. Cuban embargo. We still have organizations like the Fair Trade Movement, which was created in Oxford in 1968 with the Hasselmeyer Declaration, but which was an alternative form of globalization and an alternative form of, ethical free trade as they put it and there's something I'm sure we're all listening here are familiar to a certain extent. But you know, we see the fair trade stamped on our bars of chocolate or our coffee bags, but it actually has a history, that I argue at least, that goes back to the 1840s. And it's also putting forward this idea that we can, you know, can pay a bit more if it means making sure that the things we're buying are not using exploited labor, that people are getting paid a fair wage.
37:12
But I think maybe one way to think about it, and one thing you can draw from this book as a way of going forward here is how the left wingers, the liberal radicals, the socialists, the women's suffragists, the Christian pacifists, they all, by the early 1900s, by around the time of the First World War, came together and were working together in ways that would probably surprise us, especially with our Cold War lenses on, the idea that Marxist internationalists were working alongside capitalists to try to create a more interdependent, peaceful order. That is still a possibility, and maybe that is the only way to revitalize this if you do see the world in a way that these left wing internationals see it. It's through a new coalition form of like minded, dare we say globalists who see the kind of, inward looking, turn towards autarky and trade wars that have become so commonplace now as something that they want to oppose. It was an interesting lesson to be drawn from this book where actually, in surprising ways, there was a really broad left wing coalition that was in many ways successful in working together to overturn the protectionist system.
38:39
Certainly more so than their Republican counterparts, certainly more so. I, you know, I do try to make the point though, that even still their foreign policy credentials when it comes to military interventionism. In the case of, say, Haiti or, in the context of Clinton, for example, his sanctions against Iraq in the 1990s, these are, you know, these are limiting trait. These are things that the leftwing free traders, the non-interventionists would've been vocally opposed to. But I think it, to a certain extent, they're still there. You can certainly see it in the rhetoric of Clinton, and I think with Obama, perhaps even more so in the policy practices that he was operating under, his attempts to support the Trans Pacific Partnership, despite the critiques from the alt left, that were still critical of too much of an influence for the multinational corporations. And some elements of this certainly still at play within democratic internationalism of Clinton and Obama. I think that's fair.
40:07
I think it does. I think it's also the last question in particular, last answer, was a really important reminder that oftentimes the questions that need to be asked or are not necessarily, like, ones of ideology, but of whose interests certain policies are serving. I think the sort of description of how the, at least the ages of free trade, was overtaken by neoliberalism in the 70s and 80s is a really important lesson about the importance of keeping in mind whose interests our policies serve, because, looking at it on paper, it can seem that the neoliberal policies are of the same tradition, but, in reality they were serving very different interests. And I think also this vision of left wing free trade is something that we should all take very seriously, especially at a moment when our, when the sort of liberal international institutions, which this movement created or the descendants of this movement created after World War II seem most threatened. And certainly when our, when the sort of free trade world order that developed after the end of the Cold War seems most threatened as well.
41:20
Yes, I think that's really well said, Zachary. And one thing, Marc, I've been thinking about as I was re-reading your book, and as I've been listening to your really thoughtful and inspiring comments today, you know, we are entering a moment where it does seem that protectionism is the main valence of politics. As you say, both presidential candidates in the U. S. this year will be running as protectionists, as advocates of industrial policy of one kind or another. Certainly that's the way China operates. The E. U. Has been moving more in that in that direction, and of course, we're witnessing wars, economic nationalist wars across the world from the Middle East to Ukraine and Russia.
42:00
But as all that's happening, there is a desire to move beyond this moment in a search for an alternative. And especially in a world that's torn by inequalities and warfare, this vision of interdependence, of trade, of openness, of, building prosperity, shared prosperity through open connections that are not militarized and mediated by international institutions. That actually might become a more compelling vision. Much of the discussion around the International Criminal Court is in many ways a discussion about this. And so we might be on the cusp, just as we were in the late 1920s, we might be on the cusp again of another free trade international peace activist moment. That would seem to be the hopeful democratic message in much of this. Do you agree with that Marc?
42:55
You both put it so, so well as far as what might be possible hereafter. And of course, if I were to take maybe even a more cynical approach at looking back to the successes, not just of the FDR and 1930s, but, you know, why it was that the free traders succeeded in Britain in the 1840s. And, you know, for them it connected to peace and, but I think the prosperity element, I think, is the other important thing here too. And I think for maybe a lot more people, the connection between interdependence and peace is going to be less important than what it means for their pocketbooks.
44:02
Yes, I think that's very well said, Marc, and a very nice connection to one of the central issues of our world today, which is the inequalities in food and nutritional access across, within countries and across countries. Of course, this brings us full circle, as always, to, in some ways, the inspiration for our podcast, which is Franklin Roosevelt. We started this podcast with his inspiration for how each generation writes a new chapter in the book of democracy. And, as always, the new chapters build on old chapters. Chapters that might have been forgotten before. Marc, you have in your book, Pax Economica, that I recommend to all of our listeners, you have reminded us of such an important chapter in the evolution of Anglo American and international democracy in the 19th and 20th centuries. A chapter that seems more relevant than ever in this neo mercantilist age, as you call it. Thank you so much for joining us this week, Marc, and sharing your insights with us.
Episode 273: Venezuela Elections with Professor Kurt Weyland
05:47
So if you want to go back to the origins, I think Venezuela had democracy that was oligarchic and ossified and elitist, but that used to have from the late 1950s to the 1990s two party competition and alternation in power. So it was a democracy, but it was ossified and corrupt. So that allowed for the rise of Hugo Chávez, who was military nationalist, who had actually made a coup attempt against that ossified democracy, but to then took the electoral route, and due to vast popular discontent, he was swept into office in the landslide in 1998 and he started as a democratically elected leader, but he is a populist, and populists want power, and they want more power, and they want to stay in power for a long time. And so Hugo Chávez immediately transformed the institutions to concentrate more power to get control of the legislature, soon, pack the courts, push the opposition aside. So what Hugo Chávez did he transfer? He used his democratically elected position to transform Venezuela gradually, slowly, into what we call a soft authoritarian regime. And I say soft because Hugo Chávez was tremendously charismatic. He had an electrifying personality. So Hugo Chávez could do this transformation from democracy into authoritarian rule, but not using very much violence and repression at all. So he was illiberal. He was undemocratic. He used his charisma to essentially establish his political hegemony and cement cement his authoritarian regime. But he was not brutal and repressive. Then what happens is that Chávez dies an early age of cancer, and he had these charismatic leaders are so full of themselves they don't want to nurture rivals. So he had survived himself, typically, by comparing weaklings and sycophants. And when he was about to die, he nominated one of those weaklings and sycophants, Nicholás Maduro, as his successor. So then Maduro comes in, has an authoritarian regime, but doesn't have the charismatic authority and popular support of Hugo Chávez. So soon, Maduro faces opposition challenges. What do you do if you have an authoritarian regime, you don't have a lot of popular support, you use your control of the military and you crack down. And so Maduro cracked down hard in 2014 against opposition protests. He cracked down again in 2017 he cracked down in 2019 so what he did is he transformed Hugo Chávez's soft authoritarian regime into a harsh, repressive dictatorship. By the way, much, much harsher than Victor Orbán's in Hungary. So Orbán still has a soft authoritarian regime. Venezuela has turned into a really repressive dictatorship. So these dictatorships, they don't they don't respect elections. They still hold elections to have a window dressing because they claim to have to be democratic. But they do whatever they can, ban opposition politicians. Make life hard for the opposition, control the airwaves, spent tremendously before the election, so Hugo Chávez, Nicolás Maduro, got himself re-elected in 2018 in a complete sham election that the opposition boycotted, but the opposition has no leverage against him. Protests don't work. International pressure hasn't worked, so the opposition decided this time, when Maduro came up for re-election, to challenge him in the election, thinking that the time was right for a change, because at the same time that Maduro transformed Venezuela into a brutal dictatorship, he has also ruined the economy. I mean rowing, there hasn't been a country suffering so badly outside of war, than Venezuela. Venezuela, in the last 20 years has seen its GDP drop by 75% I'm talking about 75% which is a tremendous collapse, 75% so about three or four years ago, when the economy hit, worked. Autumn, about 80, 90% of the population lived in poverty. 8 million Venezuelans have left the country in despair, and so I mean, has done total mismanagement, but holding this election, the opposition thought they could finally make dent, and opinion polls showed overwhelming support for the opposition, very low support for Maduro. The exit polls show overwhelming support for the opposition, so they clearly, clearly won, but Maduro, for reasons that I can explain later, Maduro just simply claims to have won, sits there, has support from the military, has taken over all the institutions and justice I won, and the opposition can claim whatever they want, the international community can demand whatever they want. I'll just keep governing.
30:06
So this is a good point, and I think that two reasons that it hasn't happened in Venezuela, um, the first is that Hugo Chávez faced a coup attempt in 2002 and then he got of course scared and what do you do? And he was very close to Fidel Castro of Cuba, and Cuba sent 2,000 intelligence agents that essentially helped Chávez purge the military and install an internal surveillance and control system that was very strong and very effective. And so they essentially the military, I mean Maduro is aware that the only real threat he would face would be from the defection of military. And so they try to prevent it at all cost. Through surveillance, through harsh crack downs, through purges, I mean, there are a lot of stories that military people who showed some sign of disloyalty are being tortured, are being killed. So so coercion has enabled him to keep military loyalty. The second thing is the following. What is the situation in which lower level military people defect? Essentially, if you have sustained mass protests that get suppressed with large-scale violence, and it goes on and on and on. And then at some point or other, members of the military might say, I don't wanna I don't wanna do this anymore. But in some sense, you know, and I don't know how to say that, fortunately or unfortunately, from the perspective of what we are saying, unfortunately, there were large-scale protests in Venezuela for two, three days. Then it died down because the repression was effective. And so two, three days, you know, you crack down. Yes. You you imprison 2,000 people. You kill a bunch of people. It wasn't sustained enough, and it wasn't broad enough. And when you see where the so, like, the recent opposition protest last Saturday was in the eastern part of Caracas, which is a middle class neighborhood. If the protests had led to a mass outpouring of popular protests some some popular neighborhoods like Petare protested, but the whole western part of Caracas is the real stronghold of Chavista support. And there wasn't very much protest going on there if there had been really massive outpouring. If it hadn't only been, know, predominantly educated middle class people, but if there had been, you know, millions of poor Venezuelans just pouring down from the slums and hills and poor neighborhoods of Caracas into the city center, besieging the Presidential Palace. If there have been a real kind of popular assault on the regime and that had gone on and then there had been just killing, killing, killing, killing, then you might have seen defection. But but the regime managed very quickly to contain and suppress the protests and confine them primarily to the middle-class areas, and that is just simply not enough to prompt large-scale military defection.
35:18
What what do you think US policy should be? Are we is it appropriate to keep sanctions on Venezuela? Are there any any changes you would recommend in US policy?
35:30
I I think I think that the US has tried a number of things. You know, the Biden administration was involved in a negotiation effort last year and last fall, offering easing of sanctions if the regime actually went ahead with honest elections. And as we see now, it didn't work very well. I I'm sorry that I think kind of approximation doesn't work very much. That regime has negotiated on so many accounts essentially in bad faith using it as a stalling tactic, get over temporary problems, and then just simply cement its hold again. I think the only option is essentially to sanction the hell out of them. And, you know, for from the part of the United States. I I I do not think that the US has a lot of options. I mean, it shows in some sense how weak the United States has become internationally even in its own Western Hemisphere. I mean, when you think that the United States has been unable to forestall Venezuelans descend into authoritarianism, into brutal dictatorship, into total implosion and destruction of the country, that the United States has not had any real leverage over that process in a country so import, you know, even for the oil supply of the US and the world as Venezuela. It shows you when people talk about US or Germany and US predominance and whatever. I mean, the Venezuelan case is a striking example how weak the United States has become even in the Western Hemisphere.
39:17
No. I absolutely agree. I think the international community has to face up to that terrible paradox that this legalization of international affairs has this unintended side effect. And I do not know what could be done to, you know I mean, I made the joke about Saint Helena. There would have to be some kinda international safe haven, some way of sort of emergency amnesty, whatever, and it would have to be credible and enforced by the international community, unfortunately, limiting that international regime of prosecuting violators of human rights and other norms in order to I mean, not only induce, but allow them to step down from power. I mean and how to do that? Man, that is a very, very difficult how to build an international regime in a world that is so divided between the democratic forces that are on the defensive now and sort of ascending authoritarian forces of China and Russia and Iran, whatever. I do not know how that could be done, but it's an urgent agenda.
Episode 279: Hubert Humphrey & Civil Rights
03:42
My poem is about the temptation to become nostalgic for the politicians and the politics of the past, about maybe the kind of truth or at least representation of what we'd like to see in our politics that we can often find in looking back, but also the danger of believing that politics was ever easy, simple, honest, or good.
04:31
I think one simple reason is that we're very focused on who becomes president, and Hubert Humphrey was never able to fulfill his dream of being elected president. He loses to Richard Nixon very narrowly in 1968. He runs a kind of a pathetic campaign as the establishment candidate against George McGovern, the peace candidate for the Democratic nomination in 1972. And by 76, Humphrey is so ill with the cancer that'll kill him that he decides not to make one more try. And so he's not on that list of presidents. And I think even to the people who remember him, he suffers in the historical collective consciousness because the recollections of him are about the reviled latter part of his public life, when he's Lyndon Johnson's vice president, and they both support the escalation in Vietnam. When he gets the Democratic nomination in 1968, without having competed in any primaries, the party establishment hands it to him, and he receives it literally simultaneous to the Chicago police force attack on unarmed journalists and anti-war demonstrators. And the aforementioned runs the establishment old guard candidate in 1972. And when people remember that part of Humphrey, none of that’s incorrect, and the critical analysis is right. And Humphrey himself said that supporting the Vietnam War was the biggest mistake of his life. But all this completely effaces this valiant part, earlier part of his political career, starting as mayor of Minneapolis, going through the Senate, and really his first one or two years as LBJ's vice president, when he was essential to the passage of these key, and in fact, landmark civil rights laws in 64 through 66.
15:31
The truth is that I didn't go searching for a book about Hubert Humphrey. A part of my brain for the last 25 years was looking for a book about America immediately after World War II, deciding what kind of country it wanted to be. Because having spent all this blood and treasure to defeat fascism, America had a huge unfinished agenda with the discrimination on its home front... And I very quickly realized a couple of things that the book could do. Number one, it could fill this biographical gap about Humphrey because if people knew about him, as I said earlier, it was only the later part. And number two, it could fill a historical gap in the civil rights movement historiography... because we Americans tend to situate the start of that mass movement in the mid-50s... But there was this incredible decade of civil rights activism in the 40s led by people who don’t get nearly their due these days, like A. Philip Randolph and Walter White... and really catalyzed by the sacrifice of the Black GIs who went off to war and had this phrase they called Double V, victory over fascism abroad and then victory over Jim Crow at home.
21:52
One way I hope it will change us is to realize that the civil rights activity of the 40s... culminates with Humphrey and A. Philip Randolph, kind of Mr. Inside and Mr. Outside, successfully pressuring the Democratic Party to explicitly endorse civil rights... which leads to the exile of the Southern segregationists, the so-called Dixiecrats... [and] Harry Truman desegregating the military... and then winning election in 1948 because of a surge in the Black vote... That’s an answer to that, up until that point, unresolved question of are we going to revert back and be complacent or are we going to realize that we can't have practices in this country that we just went to global war against in other countries. There’s also something heartbreaking and poignant about the fact that with the rise of the Cold War, this moment is going to end very, very quickly.
24:27
That context is really helpful... Truman does, as you say, in 1948, embrace a civil rights plank, the minority report in the Democratic Party, and he runs on that. He desegregates the armed forces. He’s also the president who recognizes the state of Israel.
25:18
Right. How does this happen? Well, Truman blows hot and cold... On civil rights, Johnson reminds me a lot more of Truman. They’re both from border states... they both had some kind of deep reservoir of personal decency that was offended... With Truman... what gets to his heart is a series of attacks on returning Black GIs... incidents of Black GIs in the uniform of their country being beaten, being killed, being denied service... and Truman cannot bear the idea of people who serve the country being assaulted this way. And that moves Truman immediately into way ahead of his past... civil rights proposals. Then it gets close to the 48th Convention, and it’s as if he forgets he ever said those things. And what he wants to revert to is what was also the worst element of FDR... who made this almost literal devil’s bargain with the South that basically said, I’ll give you Jim Crow, and you'll give me your votes and your support in Congress. And Truman, heading into the 48 election, is ready to go right back to that. And what Hubert Humphrey and A. Philip Randolph and others did was basically force Truman to own what had been his own civil rights program to begin with.
35:15
Right. You can't be Pollyanna. You can't be Panglossian about this. You have to know. That joy is accompanied by struggle, but that is part of the energy you have to struggle forward. A lot of people talked about Hubert Humphrey’s phrase, the politics of joy, at the time of the Democratic Convention. And it was both ironic, and fitting that that was brought up. Ironic, because when Humphrey used that phrase, it was right when he announced his candidacy in 1968, in the wake of the assassination of Martin Luther King, in the midst of the horrible Vietnam War, and it sounded totally tone deaf. It was one of the times when Humphrey badly misread the mood of the country. And yet his idea that politics should have a joyful element is maybe now being redeemed because coming out of a period of time that has felt so bleak for a lot of us, so at times such despair and real dangers to democracy, that the idea that there could be something positive and exalting about the work of protecting democracy is really appealing to people. And this goes to other examples we’ve seen of leadership of whether it was, um, Fiorello LaGuardia as mayor of New York during the depression, reading the funnies over the radio mic, or whether it was FDR’s great orations about nothing to fear but fear itself. These were people speaking into bleak times, but also saying that there was reason to see something positive on the horizon.
37:28
Certainly, I think the point of the poem was not that we’ve never had political heroes or that we’ve never had, um, a politics of joy that’s successful. The point was that, um, all of those political heroes and all of the politics of joy, um, required hard work and met with stiff opposition. I think the point of the poem was that, like, politics is always messy and always difficult. Um, it’s more about how we approached it.
39:54
Not at all. Not at all. And certainly someone who’s my hero, Franklin Roosevelt, as you alluded to before, refused to sign anti lynching legislation. So the compromises, the dirty compromises of politics have a long history, unfortunately. Sam, I wanted to close us out by asking you one final question. Um, and I think it speaks to our moment and it speaks to your scholarship and it’s something that I struggle with, I know Zachary struggles with, I know many of our listeners struggle with. Um, you’re someone who’s deeply concerned and committed to combating anti Semitism. It’s in your scholarship. It’s in your journalism. It’s how I first encountered your work, actually. Oh, thank you. Uh, and you’re someone obviously deeply committed to civil rights, telling the story of civil rights. How do you think about these issues today with this historical vision with, um, uh, the challenges we face. Um, what is it? How do you as someone concerned about anti Semitism and racism approach our current world?
40:55
Well, first of all, I’m almost 69, and so I’ve been through many periods before when there’s been a discourse out there saying that the Black Jewish Alliance is all over and that Jews on the whole are going to be turning much more conservative. And, this was trotted out during the first attempt to go after Affirmative Action with the Mario De Funes and, uh, and Alan Bakke court cases. And it came up again when Ronald Reagan was running against, um, Jimmy Carter, and the argument was Jimmy Carter had been too pro Palestinian. And it’s happened again now. But at the end of the day, in almost every presidential election, of, you know, going back into the 70s, except for the Carter Reagan one, what, the Jewish vote for the Democratic Party has been the most emphatically solid vote of white Americans. It's the closest to the way black Americans vote for the party. At the end of the day, they’re voting similarly, Black Americans and Jewish Americans. On the other hand, there are real tensions and the war in Gaza is exercising them, and especially having spent a lot of time around Black Church for one book and World VHBCUs for others. It's not a surprise to me at all that many, many Black Americans look at the West Bank and Gaza and see the Jim Crow South, and they’re not, you know, and they’re not against the existence of Israel. And they’re, as I said before, steeped in the Hebrew Bible. But there is a deep empathy for the Palestinian experience that, that they feel. And I, just at a personal level, just yearn for some resolution to the war because I have despaired just individually about the strains the war has put on not only the Black Jewish alliance, but on what I felt was a really important Black and Muslim American alliance in domestic politics. And all of these groups would be losers if they didn't. Those alliances get blasted apart.
Episode 283: Barbara Jordan
01:18
Mary Ellen is the author of two books, the book she wrote a number of years ago Black Prisoners and Their World Alabama, 1865-1900 really a pioneering book looking at convict labor and the use of convict labor in the justice and political system in Alabama and much of the South during the second half of the 19th century, and most recently, the book we're going to discuss today, the book I hope everyone will purchase and read, is called She Changed the Nation: Barbara Jordan's Life and Legacy in Black Politics. It's hot off the presses, and as soon as it came out, I grabbed a copy and made sure to read it. And it's really an extraordinary book about Barbara Jordan and her life. Mary Ellen, thank you for joining us.
04:07
Well, that's a good question. So I had just been finishing my first book, and I'm glad I wrote, even though the the topics are quite different in a way, where they come together is that I'm a historian of the African American, Black experience, and so in my first book, I really try and elevate the voices and experience of people who were incarcerated. And that was, you know, rather than just looking at the system from the top down, which, of course, you have to understand, but to do everything I could to try and recover those voices, the letters, the pardon papers, anything that could really shed light on how the men and women themselves who were incarcerated were experiencing forced labor, and their resiliency, and how they tried to overcome and surpass such a living in such a terrible system.
13:21
Oh, my goodness, Zachary, you ask the best questions. All right. Those, as she put it, those men did not want her there, okay, however, the Texas Legislature is a small institution. Has 31 people. On one hand, you could say she did have allies because of this redistricting. There were other liberals that she had worked with as part of this coalition who were there with her. So in theory, you have a group of about 11 who could perhaps block terrible legislation and even find some way to promote good legislation, you know, progressive legislation, especially around the issue of taxation, fairer taxation. This had been, long been, a liberal goal in Texas, right?
14:59
She brings out her guitar quite often, and she uses this as a kind of armor and and icebreaker, because people all know, you know, there's a Texas culture of songs, and this is one way she kind of establishes relationships with people. Jordan is a person who wants to establish relationships, and with friends and foes. She understands that to be effective, she has to learn the rules of the Senate and build relationships with people in the Senate, and so I think it's a, it's an important learning experience for her. She's trying to forge her own way. She understands that she wants to gain the respect of these men, both because she feels that is the way forward to efficacy.
15:42
At the same time, there's a lot of pressure on the outside from other liberals who say, if you adopt this approach, that means you are selling out. That means you're not enough of a liberal. And I think you know, she doesn't see that as an especially productive way to be. So she does forge her own way, which is about building relationships. But I don't think, from looking at all the evidence, that she ever sacrificed an issue, that she ever caved in on an issue, I think she's feeling her way and trying to figure out the best way that she can be effective, and I think she is effective to a certain extent.
17:05
It's interesting because one of the points you make so well in the book, and you make it repeatedly, is that there's a civil rights agenda that involves working in and through the system. That those who are marching in the streets, who Barbara Jordan certainly sympathizes with and sometimes joins, that's one approach, and a valuable and necessary approach. But your argument is that getting into the system and working through the system is absolutely crucial. Do you want to say more about that?
17:30
I do. I do. Thank you, Jeremi. Yeah, this is, and I don't think it's just her, like, this is when the movement is moving from the streets to the State House. This is Bayard Rustin's vision, right? From protest to politics. How can we be effective in making the ideals of the Civil Rights Movement real? And this was her quest, (yes) you know, this was really her goal, (yes) to do that. And no one knew how to do it, right? It hadn't been done before. (yes) And this is, you know, Rustin is good, like in theory, all of this coalition should work, but as we see over time, coalitions are complicated and messy, and everyone has their own agenda. How do you get people to work together who don't really have a long history and sometimes their goals clash, so people have to give and take, (right, right) and it's a hard thing. And, so, but this, I do think that she, and many others, Julian Bond, for example, we forget about him running and succeeding in the Georgia State Legislature in 1965. (right, right)
19:28
Thank you so much. Well, I think again, we know her for this speech. I also think she played an important role behind the scenes in the Judiciary Committee. Again, this was sort of the Texas Senate. Now, in this committee, she's one of 37 as opposed to one of 31. And the goal here, again, working with her chair, Peter Rodino, is to create a consensus, bipartisan consensus. So again, this means being willing to talk with people who disagree with you, and trying to persuade them, or at least stop the negative effects of others, like, I think she's always trying to neutralize Charles Wiggins from California, who was a big Nixon defender, and she's always trying to intervene and neutralize his influence among the more concerned, you know, the men in the middle. They were called the men in the middle.
20:20
So there's that going on for months and months behind closed doors and then and finally, you know, the public has no idea what's been going on behind closed doors of the Judiciary Committee. And so you have the Summer of '74 when finally the committee is going to lay out its argument for impeachment and decide how to frame their articles for impeachment, given what John Doerr has laid out. John Doerr laid out 38 enormous number of possibilities, but they only, but they ended up concentrating on just a few. And these had to do with, as you said, the abuse of power. And I think, you know, there's a reason why she hones in on that. And I think the way that she frames the speech, however, is extremely important.
32:03
And now we're suffering a pushback against those decisions, and there's gonna be some, uh, uh, consequences to that, that extraordinary people are gonna, you know, even, like, you can have a lot of Black voting, but if the vote is not made meaningful, right, (Yes) through fair districting and other methods that were used to move things along after the Civil Rights Movement, there's terrible political consequences for our system.
32:31
I also think, though, that she believed in coalition politics. And, now we're hearing all kinds of criticisms about the party and, and perhaps, you know, there is gonna be a realignment, and a reckoning about what it means to be in a coalition. I think this is something that she and Shirley Chisholm and many others were always grappling with, and you can never really resolve, but it has to be faced head-on. So I think that's one thing she would say, too.
33:08
Probably. I mean, I think she is a realist in that she would say it's very important to look at, you know, the evidence. From my mind, thinking about this, again, I don't know how you overcome, though, these Supreme Court decisions that have weakened the Voting Rights Act (yeah) and have really led to a very strange phenomena where you have places like North Carolina voting for a Democratic governor, but then they're so, but then you have overwhelmingly conservative representation in Congress, right? (Yes, yes.) Because of redistricting. How do you fix, I don't know how you fix that. I don't know. I mean, I just don't know. But I think those are the kinds of things that we really need to look closely at: how can we overcome that weakness in (right, right) in the power structure? (Right.)
34:24
It is the lesson. And I would add one thing, again, that makes her extraordinary, is that not only could she mobilize Black voters and people who agreed with her, she was also really good at talking to people who had not experienced oppression (yes) and making them understand it. So she could speak to conservative White audiences, as she did time and time again in Texas, editors, White elites, and persuade them that it was in their interest to support change.
Episode 311: US-Latin American Relations
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. Today, we are going to talk about US Latin American relations. We're going to focus on one of the most important and enduring crises of US Latin American relations, the Cuban Missile Crisis, which everyone knows about. And then we're gonna also talk about the legacies of that moment for our own moment today, when the United States appears to be, uh, in a major crisis with Venezuela. We are fortunate to be joined by, uh, someone who I think is doing, uh, the most important and groundbreaking work on US Latin American relations. Uh, this is Professor Renata Keller. She's an associate professor of history at the University of Nevada, Reno. Uh, thank you for joining us, Rennie.
02:21
Uh, so we have Bob Dylan, uh, and this is from one of, uh, my favorite Bob Dylan songs. I have so many. Um, this is called Masters of War. This was originally written by Bob Dylan in late 1962 in the days and weeks after the Cuban Missile Crisis, and then first recorded in early 1963. So here we're getting, uh, this extraordinary artist's reaction to the Cuban Missile Crisis. And, um, if he had Rennie Keller's book, then he would've been reacting to that too, I'm sure. So here we have, uh, the first three stanzas of this incredible song about the Cuban Missile Crisis. Come you Masters of War, you that build the big guns, you that build the death planes you that build all the bombs, you that hide behind the walls, you that hide behind the desks. I just want you to know, I can see through your masks, you that never done nothing but build to destroy. You play with my world like it's your little toy. You put a gun in my hand and you hide from my eyes and you turn and run farther when the fast bullets fly. Like Judas of old, you lie and deceive a world war can be won. You want me to believe? But I see through your eyes and I see through your brain, like I see through the water that runs down my drain Rennie as, uh, as a scholar of the Cuban Missile Crisis and a scholar of US Latin American relations. How do you think about Bob Dylan's angry words in the context of that moment?
03:54
That is also one of my favorite songs that he wrote. And no surprise, right? Because they studied the crisis. But I think he actually expresses a lot of what a lot of people in Latin America were feeling, this, this outrage that that the United States was even contemplating nuclear war without consulting them, with risking their lives for what a lot of people argued was capitalist gain. There were congressional debates in Chile where people were saying these exact same things, that this is all about capitalism and US imperialism, and that if there is a war, there's there's not going to be any winners, we're all going to lose a nuclear war.
05:03
Yes, that was one of my main initial findings when I started this project, was that there was a huge range of reactions, and that's what drove my curiosity through, you know, a decade of research was finding out all the different ways that people responded. Some people sided enthusiastically with the United States. All the governments of Latin America voted unanimously in the Organization of American States to set up, to set up the quarantine and approve this idea that they didn't want nuclear weapons on Cuba. Pretty much everyone in the governments or in, you know, the executive branches of Latin American governments agreed on that. But when you look beyond that, there was a huge amount of disagreement about whether Cuba should be allowed to have these weapons. A lot of people argued that they were defensive weapons, just like Castro said that Cuba was clearly under attack and should have the right to defend itself, whereas other people said, No, you're increasing the danger for everyone in the hemisphere. This is unacceptable to have these weapons and you so you get divisions among Latin American countries and within Latin American countries, whereas you get huge protests. In contrast to what we see in the United States, there were a couple major peace protests, but in Latin America, they were huge, and they were all over the place, and in some cases, they devolved into riots, like in Bolivia, I was shocked to find out that more Bolivians died as a result of the Cuban missile crisis than Cubans, and that's because they also felt invested in the outcome, and it played the crisis, played into these existing divisions within Latin American societies like Bolivia, and kind of ignited the these conflicts that had been simmering for a long time.
07:08
That's a great question. We know more about what the United States was doing based on availability of US records, and they definitely were watching what was going on in Latin America. I read the Kennedy tapes, which was it's a transcription of secret recordings that Kennedy kept during his meetings in the White House during the Cuban Missile Crisis. It's an amazing resource. And in these meetings of the Executive Committee of the National Security Council or EXCOM, they were discussing what was going on in Latin America even before they decided to set up the quarantine, they were concerned. How is this going to look in Latin America? Are people going to see this as just the latest episode of US imperialism? Could the missiles in Cuba destabilize the balance of power in the region? Could it give Cuba like equal power as the United States, since they also would then have nuclear weaponry that they could use to kind of throw their weight around. And then during the crisis, they were discussing reactions in Latin America, and they were worried when they saw these riots and these very strong responses among Latin American publics against their own governments. They were worried about stability in Latin America, and worried that this crisis could spin out and destabilize countries like Mexico and Brazil and Bolivia. And so they were very closely following what was going on in Latin America. And then on the Soviet side, we do have evidence that they were also watching what was going on in Latin America, and they were aware of clearly, the OIS vote that had been all over the news. And they also knew which OAS countries were actually participating in the quarantine around Cuba. A lot of countries offered their air bases and their naval bases. Some countries, like Argentina and Venezuela even sent destroyers to participate in the quarantine. And the Soviets knew that a lot of countries were participating and were uniting against Cuba.
09:09
I'm glad you brought up the Kennedy tapes, Rennie, because, as you say, they're an extraordinary resource. We have recordings and transcripts from basically every one of the meetings of this special committee of his closest advisors that President Kennedy put together during the two weeks of the crisis. The editors of one version of the Kennedy tapes, Philip Zelikow and Ernest may are among a group of historians who have seen the Cuban Missile Crisis as a great triumph for Kennedy, not because of the danger that came with it, but because of the way they believe he managed, managed the communications with the Soviet Union, managed communications with the American public, and negotiated out of this crisis that could have gone to nuclear war. You don't seem to have the same heroic view of the Kennedy administration. I'd love to hear your thoughts on how you're view differs from what I think is that more conventional view.
10:03
Mm-hmm, that's a good point. I would say that, yes, I do differ a little bit from that conventional view, while I do also recognize that we came very close to nuclear war, and I'm grateful that Kennedy and Khrushchev decided to step back from the brink. I do see it as not as much of a clear victory, if when you look at the results for Latin America of the Cuban Missile Crisis, it brought a lot of death and destruction for decades to come. I mentioned Argentina earlier. That's an example of a country that, as a result of the Cuban Missile Crisis, became a lot closer to the United States, especially in terms of military relations. And there was one military leader in particular, Juan Carlos Ongania, who came to the attention of the United States during the missile crisis. He was the head of the Army, and he very enthusiastically supported the United States during the crisis, he organized a 3000 man unit that could be deployed in case of a land invasion. And then after the crisis, the United States was appreciative and especially trained him. Paid a lot of attention to Ondania, but also the United States signed a military assistance approach, military assistance program with Argentina, and Argentina was the final country in the Americas to really become much more closely aligned militarily with the United States. And then, four years after the missile crisis, Juan Carlos Ongania staged a coup in Argentina, a military coup that would usher in more than a decade of other military coups that brought a death 10s of 1000s of people, mostly civilians, were killed or disappeared during Argentina's dirty war. And you can trace some of the roots of that back to the Cuban Missile Crisis. And so, yes, I would say the idea that this was a victory or or a near escape is not true when you look beyond the United States.
14:18
One of the really interesting conclusions you draw. And I guess it's really two conclusions in one is that, on the one hand, you say the Cuban Missile Crisis shattered some of the solidarity among Latin American countries. You've talked about this already, the ways in which different countries reacted to it. At the same time, you make a very powerful argument that the crisis contributed to the negotiation of the first nuclear-free zone treaty, the Treaty of Tlatelolco in 1967, which most people don't know about, but created a nuclear weapons-free zone, which remains the case to this day in that region. I'd love to hear you reflect on what brought us from the Cuban Missile Crisis to this moment of horror to this moment of nuclear disarmament.
15:10
Yes, so the crisis, like I said, forced everyone to realize that they were living in a nuclear age and that they were living in the Cold War, that the Cold War wasn't just, you know, a faraway conflict between the United States and the Soviet Union that they could ignore. And so this experience of really being at the center of nuclear conflict revealed to a lot of Latin Americans their vulnerability. Their countries were unlikely to get nuclear weapons, except for places like Argentina and Brazil. And so a lot of countries within Latin America said, We don't want another missile crisis this, this was too close. And so Brazil and a number of other countries have been pushing before the missile crisis for a nuclear-free zone or some kind of agreement. And then Brazil came out of the crisis in not with a great relationship with the United States, to put it, to put it mildly. And so Mexico actually stepped into the breach and picked up where the Brazilians had left off. And the Mexicans did come out of the crisis with a very strong hemispheric position and relations with the United States. And so they started pushing for a nuclear weapons free zone, and it took about five years, but they were able to get another country, enough other countries, to sign on to establish the Treaty of Tlatelolco in 1967 like you mentioned, and that made Latin America the first nuclear weapons free zone in the world, and that set a precedent for other regions of the world to set up regional nuclear weapons free zones. And I think it was that experience of coming so close to nuclear war during the missile crisis, and this feeling of powerlessness that made a lot of people in Latin America willing to change their position and take action.
17:02
And I guess that, to me, is is a bridge to where we are today. It does seem that in the decades after the Cuban Missile Crisis, there are a number of efforts that are made not only to limit nuclear weapons in the region, but also to limit American and Soviet and other, I guess, Chinese military activity in the region, and although the United States is involved in many covert activities supporting groups like the Contras and Nicaragua invading Grenada, nonetheless, you could argue that we at least avoid another big crisis like The Cuban missile crisis. But then I look at Venezuela today, and I wonder, if you, as a historian, see certain parallels to the Cuban Missile Crisis. Obviously, there's no Soviet presence in the region, but, but there is, of course, a Russian and a Chinese presence. And you know, it does seem, as the United States is has mobilized the largest force in its Southern Command, present and at sea around Venezuela, and is using force to destroy boats rather than interdict boats on the high seas. How do you think about this moment in relation to what you've just written about.
18:23
I think there's a lot of parallels between our current moment and the Cuban Missile Crisis. One that jumps out to me is it's kind of the danger of saber rattling, right when we look at the causes of the Cuban Missile Crisis, I think that one of the main reasons that Khrushchev offered nuclear weapons to Castro in the first place was this clear sense that Cuba was under attack. You have the Bay of Pigs invasion in April 1961 you have Cuba being kicked out of the Organization of American States. You have Operation Mongoose, in which the United States is organizing all these covert activities against Cuba. And that sends a very clear message that the United States and the rest of the countries of Latin America do not intend to put up with Castro's government, and they want to undermine it and get Castro out of Cuba. And so I think we can see parallels today in Venezuela, where we are taking all these steps to undermine Maduro's government. I think, just like Castro, he is, he is incredibly unpopular in the Inter American community. And you know, we're building up this sense of threat. And what I wonder is this, how is Maduro going to react? How are countries like Russia and China is how are they going to react? And could this escalate into, I'm guessing, probably not, another nuclear conflict, but it could be a very drawn out war if the United States decides to actually. We militarily intervene in Venezuela, and the fact that we still live in a nuclear era means that any major conflict, even if it doesn't appear to be a nuclear one on on the face or at first, could potentially escalate into one.
22:32
That's very well said. Rennie. I also wonder if there's a lesson about the difficulties, perhaps the hazards of regime change the Trump administration is in a long line of American presidents, Democrat and Republican, who have perhaps overestimated the ability of the United States to force someone like Castro, who Kennedy was obsessed with, of course, or Maduro, who Trump seems to be obsessed with, they've overestimated the ability of the United States to overthrow them. What would you say about that?
23:01
I agree completely. I think there's a long history of the United States overestimating, overestimating its abilities to to determine other countries, political regimes, to target specific leaders. You know, in the case of Kasher, they tried so many ways to get him out of power, up to an including assassination and and invasion, and none of it works. And Cuba is a much smaller place than Venezuela, and so I would say there have been very few instances of success in that regard in Latin America. And then there's a question of, what happens next. So even if you do manage to remove a specific leader or change a specific government, like in the case of Chile, what happens next is, is the result or the conclusion any better? I would say, in most cases, know that the consequences have been extremely harmful for Latin Americans and for Inter American relations.
24:24
That's a great question. I don't think it's unfair at all. I think these are the kind of questions that people should be asking. My opinion is that we should work within regional organizations, like the Organization of American States. I think that's one of the overlooked lessons from the Cuban Missile Crisis, was that by working with regional allies, Kennedy was able to find to set the world on a path toward a peaceful resolution of the Cuban missile crisis by taking multilateral action instead of unilateral action. And so that would be my first recommendation was to would be to work with regional partners like. I said Maduro is extremely unpopular within the region, but by taking unilateral action, we are turning potential allies like Colombia against us, instead of working with them against Maduro,
26:23
That makes a lot of sense. That's That's well said, and I think it resonates with our friend Bob Dylan, getting us to think not of ourselves as Masters of War. But I think what Rennie is talking about is masters, perhaps, of peace and negotiation. And I love Rennie. I love everything about your book, but I love in particular the way in which you do take us to the story of the Treaty of Tlatelolco and the efforts to to build peace in the region after this horrible, horrible crisis and the the nearness of extinction. I really think there's, there's a there's a lesson in that. I want to encourage all of our listeners to buy Rennie's book and read it the fate of the Americas, the Cuban Missile Crisis and the hemispheric Cold War. It has a beautiful paperback version that's already out so it's readily accessible and can be read in all settings. Rennie, thank you so much for joining us and sharing your wisdom on our podcast this morning.
Episode 312: Ukraine Negotiations
00:20
Hello and welcome to our latest episode of This is Democracy. I'm Zachary Suri, today we will return to a topic we've already discussed many times on the show, the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, but there are a lot of developments to discuss, to say the least, for the first time in more than three years of war in Ukraine, both sides seem to have expressed hope, whether genuine or not, that there might soon be a diplomatic solution to the war. Meanwhile, further fissures seem to be opening in the US European Alliance, and Ukrainian President Zelensky's administration faces a wide-ranging corruption scandal. Joining us to discuss is our good friend Michael Kimmage. Michael is a professor of history at the Catholic University of America and the director of the Kennan Institute from 2014 to 2017 he served on the Secretary's policy planning staff at the US Department of State, where he held the Russia, Ukraine portfolio. His latest book is collisions the war in Ukraine and the origins of the new global instability. Thank you for joining us today, Michael, great to be back with you both. We're also joined as always, by Jeremi Suri. Hello.
03:04
Well, Michael, I wanted to start by asking a question that I think we've touched on a lot in our many discussions on the war in Ukraine, but I think is probably critical to understanding the movement we're in now as you understand it, what do you think Putin needs to end the war, and what does Zelensky and the Ukrainian administration need to bring a peaceful resolution to the conflict? Right?
03:27
Well, let me start backwards with what on paper is possibly a solution to the to the problem of the war. And I do think that the outlines are becoming visible of something. And this something is territorial concessions that Ukraine will make Crimea, plus some portion of territory in the SouthEast of Ukraine, and a security guarantee that Ukraine will get in return, either from Europe or from Europe, plus the United States. And so you can imagine, again, in theory, sort of seminar style, that if these two ingredients can be combined, you have the recipe, if not for a permanent stable piece, then for some long standing cessation of hostilities. But you know, I emphasize seminar style and on paper or in theory, because even with this formulation, there is the paradox of the war, or the dilemma of the war from the diplomatic side, which is that the very security guarantee that Ukraine would require for an end to the war, and that can't just be some kind of theoretical, you know, hypothetical commitment. It has to be real for it to work. And of course, Ukraine is highly aware of that. They've been sold down the river in the past and 2014 and in 2000 you know, in the in the in the 1990s and we can get into that, if of interest. But they can't be sold down a river. The River yet again, but that very commitment is going to be unacceptable to Russia that the war was fought in the first place. 2022 probably going all the way back to 2014 to break up the relationship between Ukraine and the West, and to break it up, most importantly, in the security space. And I don't think that Putin is going to give up that ambition. And so we arrive at the first part of your question, Zachary, which is what Russia wants? I think it's possible, possible to put that in quite blunt terms, what Russia wants, and it is not X amount of territory, as some American negotiators seem to believe, it is control over Ukraine's geopolitical destiny, and Ukraine is fighting the war to prevent Russia from acquiring that control. So the final point, of course, is that we're very far from some real diplomatic solution.
06:15
Let me give one charitable explanation and one uncharitable explanation, with the caveat that, although there's a lot of reporting on this, we don't really know what's motivating the White White House, you know, with the negotiations in general, and even more, with the timeline, which is indeed so surprising. But the charitable explanation is, I think, that Trump has a correct insight into this war, which is that neither side is going to win completely. And the end, when it comes, you know, if there is a diplomatic end, is going to be messy rather than clean. And I think, you know, President Trump is to be respected for arriving at that insight. Because it's, you know, it's real. It's a genuine insight. A lot of European countries and leaders, I think, are not quite there, so they look like they're a little bit in LA, LA land with all of this. And Trump is not, he's, you know, I think, a bit closer to the realities. And so again, in the charitable explanation, having come to this realization, you want to get there sooner rather than later. And, you know, here Jeremi, we could go back into the history of the Vietnam War, right at a certain point, the US realizes it's not going to win. And I think all of us, in retrospect, would prefer that that realization had been acted on seriously in 1968 or 1969 rather than a few years later. So that's the most charitable explanation I can give. But there are, of course, less charitable explanations. I think there's been a long phase of hubris in the White House about many things, but certainly about the peacemaking skills of the President, which have been, you know, effectively applied in certain crises. But, you know, I think that President Trump thought in September, October, that he was on a roll, and so he had solved all these problems, and Ukraine was just going to be the next one. And so let's get it done before Thanksgiving. So a kind of domestic political argument could be made, I think that that's, you know, sort of a less charitable explanation of why things are so rushed and are sort of working in this way. And you know, an additional and it's not mutually exclusive with the first uncharitable explanation, but an additional explanation is that they really want to get this war behind them, the Trump administration, so that they can focus on other things, the Indo Pacific, perhaps, and certainly the western hemisphere. And that takes us back to Trump's second inaugural address, and the focus on the Western Hemisphere that apparently is going to figure prominently in the new national security strategy. And you know, that's not a terrible explanation, because a conflict of the magnitude of the war in Ukraine is not to be swept under the carpet. And it's not like you can just rush past it and move on to other crises. Either you address it seriously or you don't address it at all. And I think that that's why the diplomacy has effectively gone nowhere in the last couple of weeks,
09:14
I think that the variable that matters here is Russian exhaustion, and we can say Putin will fight forever, and it's, you know, an authoritarian regime, and you can get people to follow Him, and, you know, or even you can look at some recent levada pollings, a sort of respected polling institution in Russia, and you can see fairly high levels of support for Putin and for the and for the war in those numbers. But I really don't know. I wonder. I mean, maybe it's my outsider's perspective. I think that this is a empty feudal war for Russia, in addition to being, you know, immoral and and criminal and execution. But, you know, I think it just doesn't bring Russia anything. And if you're a Russian sitting, you know, somewhere in Russia, and you're not, maybe enamored of Putin in the first place, and. You know, you sort of see all of this death and destruction and money and all of that for the sake of conquering Mariupol, you know, a medium sized city in Ukraine. You have to wonder what it's all what it's all for. So I do think exhaustion is a possible variable on the Russian side. It's not going to be next month or six months from now, but it could come. And if it does, then I think Putin will be obligated to cut his losses and think about some point of termination for the war. And so I think he will hold on to territory. I don't even think at this point that Eastern Ukraine is, you know, such attractive territory. And you know, gradually it may be possible for Ukraine to give some of it up. And Crimea, tacitly, has been given up already, so Putin can focus on that. And because of that exhaustion, he would have to tolerate this closer security bond between, you know, a big portion of Ukraine and Europe, or between Ukraine and the Transatlantic Alliance. He is not there at the moment. You know, as mentioned before, he's fighting the war to prevent that security bond from solidifying, but he may reach a point where it just seems like it's unpreventable, and the sacrifices on the Russian side are too great, and for domestic political reasons, it's necessary not to give up on every aspect of the war, but to compromise if that comes to pass. You know, I think that there's quite a bit of room to negotiation, but it's a big, you know, hypothetical, because there are lots of reasons why Putin might not want to go down that road. And, you know, he's been relatively successful at insulating big parts of Russia from the costs of the war. So it's, it's a hypothetical scenario for two, three years from now,
12:13
It does seem to be true at the moment. Of course, this is the Trump administration. So we could go back over the last eight, nine months and detail statements on social media and interviews, and sometimes, you know, Trump seems to be quite supportive of the Ukrainian military effort and supportive of Zelensky, and speculates even about, you know, sending Tomahawks to be used on Russian territory. And he can appear hawkish now and then, but that's not the prevailing mood, and hasn't been for the last sort of 10-11, months in the White House. I think it's correct. I think it is the assessment both of President Trump and Vice President Vance. You could put it in two ways that Ukraine is losing that it's the weaker country, and they do place a great premium on countries they believe to be strong in countries they believe to be weak. And I think Ukraine falls in the weaker category, and Russia falls in the in the stronger category. And in that sense, you know, if Ukraine is going to lose, then get a deal now and cut your losses and face reality. I think that that's probably the discourse and the tone in a lot of White House conversations. But I think in a different sense, when they look at Ukraine, they see it as a losing proposition for them. It's not just that the war is being lost, but the whole issue is a losing issue. So you could spend a lot of resources and put a lot of effort into it and work with the Europeans, which they don't really want to do, and you're not going to get much more than a kind of marginal set of gains from where we are at the present moment, the American population is not going to vote on the issue of the war in Ukraine. So you could put a lot of effort in, it won't yield you a big success. And so in some ways, it's just better to distance the American body politic from the conflict altogether, because it's a losing political proposition, Proposition they find. And there, there are, of course, you know, issues of the Trump campaign in 2024, and you know, sort of MAGA issues about the uses of American power and spending money, and Ukraine being sort of a distant country. And I think those two things combine to create this very hurried tempo and a kind of fantasy diplomacy aimed at ending the conflict, because in multiple ways, they see it as a loss. Interesting.
14:45
Yeah, I mean, it's, it's serious business. I don't mean to be flippant in making this point, but we want to be careful about what's particular to, let's say, Ukrainian politics and history in the last 30 years, and what's maybe particular to the world. War. And I'm not aware of any countries that become less corrupt during wartime. You know, wartime is a, is a is a motor of corruption, because it often diminishes media attention on the chief executive it. You know, there's a lot of spending in wartime, and, you know, just a lot of opportunities to feed at the trough. And that's definitely what's been happening with members of the Zelensky government who are quite close to Volodymyr Zelensky himself. The scandal focuses on, you know, sort of kickbacks and people making money off of off of contracts, and many of them, you know, perilously close to the to the inner circle of of of Volodymyr Zelensky. But the other story, and I don't think that we do Ukraine a service by not telling this story, is that since 1991 as in many post Soviet countries, there's just not a good separation of powers. And in particular, the judiciary and the executive are too intertwined. And in fact, the Maidan revolution of 2013 2014 we might think about that as geopolitics, and about Europe and about Russia and Ukraine's place in the world, and it was but the 2013 2014 revolution is an anti corruption revolution. When it's called the Revolution of Dignity, that's part of what's meant about the extreme corruption of the then president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, I don't think Poroshenko, the president who followed Yanukovych, was hugely corrupt, but he was an oligarch, and people around him sort of continued the old patterns. Zelenskyy also runs in 2019 as an anti corruption candidate. Kind of rises to fame in Ukraine as a protagonist of a television show that's about cleaning up Ukrainian politics. And I take him at his word. I don't think that Zelensky himself is personally corrupt, but perhaps there is inattention. He is jealous of his own authority and power, and I think he hasn't been great on media freedom in Ukraine since the start of the war, and that probably contributes to corruption, and it's just very hard. There's not really an incentive once you're in power, to diminish the power of the executive branch. And for that reason, the judiciary in Ukraine just never has the oversight that it that it needs. So it's a very, very serious issue because it damages Ukraine's chances of entering quickly into the European political fold, and it's just not what Ukraine needs at the present moment. And of course, Russia is exploiting it to the hilt. And to go back to Jeremi's question, when you look at Ukraine as let's use the term a kind of a loser, which I think Trump may well see when he looks at Ukraine, this is just further evidence, or could be used as further evidence for that. So it's completely unfortunate.
17:42
Michael, what are the chances that these two men at the center of this war, Putin and Zelensky, that they continue to go on as they've gone on? I mean, what's so striking to me as a historian, just just building on your last point, is how much of this war has been about the two of them, how much they have been front and center. Putin in launching this war, which was a completely unnecessary war, and Zelensky in rallying, at least initially, Ukrainians, and I think he continues to do this effectively, and rallying Europeans now, rallying Americans at different moments. So much of it has been about these two men, but history would lead us to believe that the conflict will will deteriorate their authority as well. So where do you see that going?
18:28
Yeah, that's a very you know, that's a profound question. And the nature of their authority is quite different, given the systems in which they operate, and also given that the war is not the same at all on the Russian side and and the Ukrainian side. So let's start with Zelensky. The man has his shortcomings. We've mentioned corruption that he's been unable to eradicate. I think the deeper shortcoming with Zelensky is that he overestimates his strategic ability, which we've seen, you know, Jeremi. We could go through a lot of examples of that with Churchill and others. Hitler, that's not, you know, the most useful example. But you know, sort of political leaders who think that they have too much, you know, sort of strategic acumen, or more than they do. And you know, Zelensky has made a lot of bad calls militarily, or has signed off on a lot of, a lot of bad calls. And, you know, I wonder about that. And one wonders, in the future, if you're to speculate about something bad happening in Ukraine, I don't think it's that Zelensky is going to fall because of corruption. And I don't think it's because Zelensky is going to lose the support of the Europeans. And over the US, Zelensky has some control. He's managed Trump really well over the last couple of months, but the US is going to do what it's going to do on its own terms. But where Zelensky can face real difficulties in his relations with the military, and you do see now certain figures, most importantly Zelensky, who had been the kind of head of the Ukrainian military and was. He was sent to London to be ambassador for a time, and is now, apparently back in in Ukraine, and he has an independent base of political support, and he does constitute something of a threat to Zelensky. I don't think that Zelensky or anyone else is just going to knock the system down during the war for the sake of gaining power, because it's too dangerous. But you know, there's where you see a certain shakiness on the Ukrainian side. And also, people talk about a bad deal for Ukraine, resulting in mutiny and resistance from the Ukrainian army. In other words, Zelensky goes to Washington, signs some kind of deal, giving the Donbas, all of the Donbas to Russia, and the Ukrainian military says, No way, and we're going to do what we're going to do, and that could become a real political crisis. I don't think we're there yet, but those, to me, seem the ways in which Ukraine is shaky, and even the personal charisma of a Volodymyr Zelensky probably can't paper over those tensions if they would get, you know, greater than they are, than they are now, you know, Putin is it's a very frustrating thing to analyze. I find one can't let one's emotions or sort of moral principles get too much in the way. It's important to see a system in its own light. Putin is quite secure in his power at the moment. He commands a very, very vertical and repressive state, but one that has traction and almost complete control over Russian politics, and it's hard to imagine the war dislodging that, you know, I think the shakiness that's there with Putin is connected to the realization that will come, I think, one day in Russia, that the war was a mistake. And you know, when that comes and when that instantiates itself. It may be that not just Putin loses his position, or that realization may come after Putin leaves the scene, but it could well be that Putinism itself unravels in Russia because it's based on something that is not in the national interest of the country, and it's based on something that's coded in deceptions and lies and and manipulations. And you know, if you could put the point in a general way, it's as if Putin has bet. Putin ism on the war. And I think over time it's going to be a losing bet. But over time could, unfortunately, mean 1015, 20 years, right?
22:32
Definitely. No, there's the devilish symmetry of this war, which I've mentioned already, this sort of dilemma that the closer Ukraine draws to the security structures of the West, the more Russia has incentives for continuing or perhaps for intensifying the war, I don't see a solution to that problem in the short to medium term. You could even be more pessimistic than that and say that there is no solution to that problem, that there's something zero sum about Ukraine's aspirations to independent statehood and participation in the European story and Russia's understanding of what Ukraine is and what Ukraine should be, or Putin's understanding at the very at the very least. And so that doesn't exclude the possibility of an operational pause, of a cessation of hostilities. It doesn't exclude the possibility that documents could be signed and what appears like conventional negotiation could take place. And here, you know, I'm sure our listeners are versed in these topics, but you do have the Budapest Memorandum of 1994 which was a document signed after Ukraine had given up its nuclear weapons in the post Soviet period, and a security guarantee was given to Ukraine by the US, by European countries, by by Russia. That proved to be, of course, meaningless. And more recently, you have minced diplomacy from 2014 to 2015 which was a very decorous series of meetings and agreements. And, you know, it really seemed like something was resolved, but it truly wasn't, in a way, the seeds of the 2022 war are planted in the very inadequate diplomacy of 2014 2015 so it's not to say that there isn't a role for diplomacy in all this. I think that there is a bit of crisis management, escalation management, conflict management. It's not wrong for Washington and Moscow to talk at any point, but that diplomacy can really wedge itself into the war at the present moment and solve the war's fundamental problems. I simply see zero evidence of that.
24:37
What about the other sort of line in the in the sort of triangular relationship on the Ukrainian side of the war, that between the United States and Europe, if anything, the sort of negotiations between the US and Russia at this moment seem to seem to hurt the US-European alliance the most is that you think an accurate reading and and what, might, what might these negotiations do to that sort of tenuous alliance between the United States and Europe in support of Ukraine?
25:07
I completely agree with that interpretation. And if Putin has any real objective here, it's not ending the war. You know, there are clearly 100 steps Putin could take to end the war that he's not taking, such as withdrawing troops and and scaling back the hostilities, etc. But that's, you know, not his bid and not his not his game. It's clear that he's going to create interest in Trump's Washington in an end to the war, and then string Washington along for as long as he can without changing the basics of the of the of the war. So you could ask the question, you know, going back to your first question, Zachary About What Motivates Putin, like, why do it in the first place? If you're not interested in ending the war, you know, why pursue this charade of diplomacy? And I think he does it in part, because it exhausts Ukraine. You know, it takes time and attention of Ukrainian policymakers, Zelensky, rushing from place to place, and just focusing on this. And that has its uses in wartime. But more than anything, what Putin is trying to do successfully, I would say, for him, is to shine a light on the space between the United States and Europe. And so for Europe, an unprincipled end to the war is certainly undesirable and it may really be impossible. In other words, it may not be possible for the EU, plus Germany, you know, France, UK, many other countries in Europe to sign on formally to the transfer of territory from Ukraine to Russia. That just for Europe, sets a precedent that is so dangerous that it runs counter to the core interests of the key European actors, even though there is domestic disagreement in Europe and each country has a different threat assessment. But rearranging Europe in that way is not going to work for Europe, and so that's why you see heightened defense spending, high levels of support for Ukraine, and the backing of Macron merits, Starmer and others for Zelensky as he goes into these negotiations, that Europe is serving as a backstop for Zelensky, and that's because of very clear European interest. Now the US, in my view, should adhere to those interests and support them. They seem to me like American interests, but the White House has a different read, of course, and the White House wants to for the reasons we were already talking about, wrap up the war, you know, park it, put it somewhere where it's no longer visible, sweep it under the carpet, move on to other things. Call it a great diplomatic success for the for the US, and that's a totally different approach from the mainstream European approach. So it's not a cosmetic transatlantic difference, it's a profound transatlantic difference. And so the more Putin can shed a light on that, put a spotlight on that, the weaker the transatlantic relationship seems, and the weaker the transatlantic relationship is. If there's no longer a shared threat assessment on an issue as significant as the war in Ukraine, is there really a transatlantic alliance in the full sense of the word. And I would just put a question mark there, and Putin really wants that question mark to be in bold face.
28:38
A couple of things that it's not doing. And I think you want to start just with a, you know, believable, accurate understanding of the war itself. And some of this is is so basic that it's almost embarrassing to repeat, but I'm not sure it's been internalized by by President Trump and some of the people who work for him, but that the war is Russia's fault. That the war begins with an outright Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, and of course, earlier, that the war was unprovoked, that the war reflects a will to control Ukraine on Russia's part. These don't seem to me like complicated arguments. They're almost statements of fact, but they do have to be internalized. So that would be the first point. The second point is that hastily planned, sloppy diplomacy is probably worse than no no diplomacy at all. So if you are to pursue, you know, and I think it's fine to inquire with diplomacy to just see where you stand and, you know, figure it out. But if you do that, you can do that privately. You don't necessarily have to do it in public. And this constant building up of expectations, you know, Secretary Rubio saying we made a huge amount of progress in Miami about a week ago, and there's no visible progress. President Trump going into. Alaska, implying that the, you know, the war is going to come to an end, they're kind of there. They've, they've, they've had a breakthrough, and there was no breakthrough. So that, I think, really weakens the US position, these kind of promises and claims that are so at odds with the with the reality. So you can do less in public, you can lower expectations, and at the same time, I think you can still explore and talk. You know, I think a third sort of and final point to make is that the US needs to have a very careful understanding of what its real leverage is in the situation. And this is no longer the 1990s when you can send Richard Holbrook somewhere to quote, unquote, end the war. To end a war, the title of Richard Holbrooks book about the Balkans in the 1990s that's not the role the US is going to play here. The US is one piece of a very big puzzle, which does include China and non European countries. US can facilitate. It can put forward ideas. It can convene. It can do things, but it has to understand its leverage, and its leverage has a lot of limits, which I think are not well understood in the White House, and most baffling of all the US is diminishing its leverage at the same time that it's trying to be the number one country solving the problem. So it's lowering its support to Ukraine, which diminishes us leverage. It's fouling up the transatlantic relationship, which is diminishing us leverage, and constantly suggesting that it would be in the interest of the United States to withdraw from Europe in general, which also diminishes us leverage in Europe, objectively. So there seems to be a very hazy understanding of what us leverage is, and that too makes the diplomacy just almost destined to fail.
31:45
I wanna avoid, uh, not trying to be rude here. I wanna avoid a think tank answer to that, uh, question. Cause I do think it's easy to sit in a think tank in Austin, Texas, or Washington DC or, uh, or New Haven, Connecticut. Uh, it's easy to sit in, think tank mode and say yes, we can resolve the problem of the war, uh, with a security guarantee to, to Ukraine. I do think that that's true, and I think it matters, but I also think that there's a real problem of domestic politics, uh, in Germany, uh, in France, in the UK, and in the United States, and I don't know how we overcome that problem in the short to medium term. In other words, sending troops to Ukraine is not a non-starter for strategic reasons, but it's a non-starter for domestic political reasons in all the countries, that I mentioned. Even large groups of technical experts and assistance to operate, you know, western weaponry in Ukraine, would I think be tricky. And then there are thresholds when it comes to financial support to Ukraine. All of these countries are puzzling through. You know, Trump does win the 2024 election on a campaign that includes lowering support to Ukraine. And I wouldn't wanna factor that out of the equation. So the question is, what's the credible commitment to Ukraine that can be managed, uh, that suits the contours of domestic political, domestic politics in the US and in the key European. Uh, actors and there, I think we arrive more at a strategy of containment than in a strategy based on NATO like security guarantees. Um, and you know, I think that if it's the next best thing, then it's worth focusing, uh, on that. Uh, and containment means close levels of cooperation, you know, the kind of intelligence sharing and targeting that the US does. Uh, with Ukraine, defense, industrial production. Maybe that's the real elixir, uh, in this, in this mix that if Europe and the US and Ukraine can get together and really succeed at defense industrial production, which actually they're not doing, uh, at the present moment. But, uh, if they could do that, then maybe that becomes the TA at security, guarantee for Ukraine, but a kind of formal NATO like commitment. I think it solves the problem, but I also don't think it's, it's realistic unless our domestic politic politics changes, uh, so much. So it's not a particularly satisfying answer to your question, but to me it's the most honest one I can, I can muster.
34:48
If I could Zachary just jump in with one further point, uh, since it sort of popped up at the end of my last, uh, last answer. I am, you know, all in favor of diplomacy. I'm all in favor of grand strategy. I'm all in favor of being able to think in abstract terms about the war in Ukraine. It's, it's necessary. It's important, it's necessary. The academic side is necessary on the, uh, on the policy side, but if there's any. Message in a way to leave listeners with when it comes to what can be done in a practical sense, a non defeatist, non fatalistic sense of supporting Ukraine. It resides very much in defense, industrial production, uh, and the production of drones, uh, in particular. Maybe the war will take on a new phase a year from now, or six months from now, and it'll be a different technology. But I was shocked to hear a briefing from Michael Kaufman noted, you know, military expert on the war. That Ukraine had an edge in drone warfare for the beginning of 2025, and that was helping Ukraine on the battlefield. For the last five, six months, Russia has had an edge in drone production and drone use on the, on the battlefield, and that's why Russia's making incremental gains. Now, how can that be when Russia's economy is one 10th the size of Europe's economy? And if you put the US into the mix, it's just such a small, uh, entity economically there, I think you can balance the equation. In ways that will really work in Ukraine's favor, uh, over time. So for, for all the abstractions that we just talked about in the last 40, minutes or so, the particulars of defense industrial production should demand a lot of our attention.
36:32
I don't really know. It's a question to ask a person who would be really inside of that question. All I can say, just as a general answer to, to your question, Jeremi, is that. The Russian economy is on a sort of mobilized wartime footing. The economy is the society is not, but the economy is with huge levels of defense spending at purchasing power parity, which of course we can say Russia has the eco, an economy the size of Italy's. But within the Russian economy, high levels of defense spending can, can bring about big results, and they're running factories 24 hours a day. And it's an authoritarian government, so they can force people to work there and sort of push production, uh, lines and levels at a, at a very, very high clip. And so in that sense, what we wanna be aware of, um, is the level of urgency on our side. It's way too low, uh, in the US. That feels clear to me. Uh, but I think it may even be too low in, in Europe, the level of urgency, uh, when it comes to this war, its potential consequences, uh, and the need to act quickly, uh, and resolutely so. You know, there, when you think of what Russia has done over the last four years, uh, to stick with the war and to gain certain kinds of advantage, that should be pretty sobering for us.
Episode 313: Civics and History Education
14:36
I think that’s so well said. Steve, one would think listening to you that there would be easy consensus around this and one would expect that, particularly in a state like Texas where you and I both teach that this would resonate with, Know more politically conservative ears, political conservatives who care about and claim to care a lot about presidential leadership, and executive power. why has this been so challenging? You’ve been involved deeply, through the American Historical Association and other organizations and trying to work on Texas history standards, and you have faced a lot of resistance. What’s the challenge at the state level?
15:20
Both sides believe rightly or wrongly, that the other side is acting in bad faith. When I read on Twitter from the Texas Public Policy Institute that the National Council of Social Sciences in the American Historical Association are fighting to advance a radical secular Marxist agenda. I wanna throw up my hands. As I’ve tried to explain to the State Board of Education, what concerns me is that students are coming into my class having never heard of the Enlightenment, the very philosophical foundation of this nation. How can that be? And part of the answer is that in our emphasis on mathematical literacy. And language arts. We’ve downplayed civics and social studies. We need to devote more time to this. I want students who are well prepared to take part in serious discussions, and I worry that’s not happening. But when I hear criticisms that. Seem to imply I have an ideological agenda or that the American Historical Association has an ideological agenda, my spine stiffens.
16:58
Yeah. Where do you think these, criticisms of historians, but not just historians, this is criticism of curricula in particular. it’s striking that this is a moment when, high school and middle school history curricula is at the center of national political debates. Why this attention to these questions now? What is making them such, potent political issues?
18:17
And I guess why is that, Steve? That we’ve been a partisan society, speaking of political history throughout our history and, people have always distrusted the other side. Just go back to the founding moment in Jefferson and Hamilton. they, accused each other of bad faith, as did Hamilton and, Aaron Burr. So, what, is it right now that makes this so much more difficult than it was in prior moments?
Episode 314: Reflections on 2025, Lessons for 2026
02:39
I think his voice is, uh, particularly relevant in this moment. Uh, especially his unwillingness to tolerate nonsense from anyone, uh, and his sort of unflagging commitment to humanity. In, in world events. Uh, and this is a section that I think speaks to that, that maybe I hope also offers us some words of consolation, uh, and maybe also put some fire, uh, behind this as well. This is, uh, of section again from Can socialists be happy? The inability of mankind to imagine happiness except in the form of relief, either from effort or pain, presents socialists with a serious problem. Dickens can describe a poverty stricken family tucking into a roast goose and can make them appear happy. On the other hand, the inhabitants of perfect universes seem to have no spontaneous gaity and are usually somewhat repulsive into the bargain. But clearly we are not aiming at the kind of world Dickens described, nor probably at any world he was capable of imagining. The socialist objective is not a society where everything comes right in the end because kind old gentlemen give away turkeys. What are we aiming at, if not a society in which charity would be unnecessary? We want a world where Scrooge with his dividends and tiny Tim with his tuberculous leg would both be unthinkable. But does that mean we are aiming at some painless, effortless utopia? At the risk of saying something, which the editors of Tribune, sorry, Tribune was the paper it was published in May not endorse. I suggest that the real objective of socialism is not happiness. Happiness hither two has been a byproduct, and for all we know, it may always remain. So the real objective of socialism is human brotherhood. This is widely felt to be the case, though. What is not usually said or not said loudly enough. Mens up their lives in heartbreaking political struggles or get themselves killed in civil wars, or tortured in the secret prisons of the Gestapo. Not in order to establish some central heated, air conditioned, strip lighted paradise, but because they want a world in which human beings love one another instead of swindling and murdering one another, and they want that world as a first step. Where they go from there is not so certain, and the attempt to foresee it in detail merely confuses the issue. Nearly all creators of Utopia have resembled the man who has toothache, and therefore things happiness consists in not having toothache. They wanted to produce a perfect society by an endless continuation of something that had only been valuable because it was temporary. The wider course would be to say that there are certain lines along which humanity must move. The grand strategy is mapped out, but detailed prophecy is not our business. Whoever tries to imagine perfection simply reveals his own emptiness.
07:20
Now. Responding to Inhumanity with humanity. I think we all know what inhumanity is, right? And unfortunately, we were just talking about this before we, we started the recording. Uh, this was a year, maybe not with more inhumanity than other years, but certainly with a fair share of inhumanity. Um, and one, one can think about, uh, the murders, the cold-blooded murders, assassinations of, uh, a legislator and her, uh, husband in Minnesota. Followed a few months later by the assassination of Charlie Kirk. Uh, we can think also of the assassination that occurred of a insurance executive this year and, and many others. Uh, just this was a murderous year where extremists of one kind or another used excessive on un uh, un unacceptable illegitimate violence, uh, against individuals. Uh, of course there was mass violence as well. Thousands and thousands of deaths in Ukraine and elsewhere. Um, we saw also the violence and inhumanity of deportations within our own country. People being seized off the street sometimes when they had gone to a, um, immigration hearing that they were invited to, seized from a court. Uh, when they had come voluntarily to, uh, appear, uh, believing that they were getting, um, legal access to our country, but instead being in a sense kidnapped and often. Deported to a country that he never had any connection to. Uh, El Salvador, Sudan, uh, things of that sort. So, so there was plenty of inhumanity, uh, and plenty of inhumanity with all kinds of political stripes attached to it, uh, in all kinds of places. So I think we know what Inhumanity is and we know what Orwell’s referring to there as himself being a child of the revolutions of the 1930s and, uh, wars of the 1940s. Um. What is humanity? What, when, when, when Orwell encourages us to respond to inhumanity with humanity, to not simply respond an eye for an eye, to not simply respond to the murder of our guy by murdering their guy. Uh, what, what does he, what do you think he means? Because I think that’s the hard part here, Zachary. What do you think he means?
09:41
Well, I think what he’s saying, um, particularly when he talks about. Brotherhood. He says, the real objective of the socialists is human brotherhood. Um, the real objective of socialism is human brotherhood. He says, I think what he really means is that the, the true usefulness of ideology or political programs of any stripe. And particularly from his perspective of left-wing ideology, um, is to push us towards, uh, humanity, to, to, to encourage and goad people to fight for their fellow human beings. I mean, the examples he gives are people tortured in the secret prisons of the Gestapo or getting themselves killed in civil wars. All of things he, he witnessed, uh, in his life. Those are. Those are examples of people who really aren’t dying for ideology, but dying for humanity. The ideology is secondary. It’s a tool. It’s something they’re using to push towards that. I think really what he’s saying is that the most important thing is not to lose sight. Of the fact that our politics and our societies have to aim at something higher than, as he puts it, replacing a toothache with the absence of Right.
10:59
Right. Right. And, and those who don’t know his history, it’s worth just stating Orwell had been involved in the, uh, fight against fascism in Spain. And became deeply disillusioned with the socialists who were in many ways leading the anti-fascist fight for becoming, uh, in their own partisan work, a tyranny of their own against the tyranny, the horrible tyranny. They were, they were fighting. I, I think there were examples maybe to help us, uh, from this year describe what humanity in response to inhumanity is. There were examples we saw of this one that certainly moved me and I think moved you even more, Zachary. Was the experience of, uh, the hostages, uh, hostages in, um, Israel, uh, Israelis who had been taken hostage brutally by Hamas. Uh, some of them held hostage for more than two years. Uh, and the release of those high hostages, uh, in many ways, uh. Their experiences once released. Um, I know you had the opportunity to talk to a few of these former hostages yourself, Zachary. My impression is that they, after being released from this nightmare-ish horror that I cannot even imagine, um, it’s not that they. Wanted to forgive Hamas. They certainly didn’t. Uh, there’s nothing that says we have to forgive the people who do horrible things to us, but they also, it seems to me, became voices against more violence and voices for peace. Is is that right?
12:26
Yeah, I think that’s, that’s true. I think one of the things that’s been really moving to watch is to see those individuals who survived captivity in Gaza come out and, and, and either speak for peace or for an end to hostilities in the region or. Uh, to or, and or to go out into the world and speak about their experience and speak against that kind of violence. Um, often it has taken the form of very political statements or protests in Israel against the current government or, uh, in less political ways. You know, traveling around the world and just sharing their ordeal with, with audiences. And I think it’s something very powerful to think about someone who’s gone through. Uh, that kind of experience. And then it’s not only willing, but excited to, and committed to talking about it. And I, I think that that kind of human connection Yeah. Someone who’s experienced something horrible and is willing and wants to share it, that kind of human connection is part of what that humanity is.
13:27
It, it reminds me in some ways of, of watching from afar. And reading of the lives of people like Eli Viel. Yeah, Nelson Mandela. I mean, these are larger than life figures in some ways, although actually Eli Viel was a figure of very small stature. But these are individuals intellectually and in their image of they’re larger than, larger than life, but in some ways, like these former hostages, they were ordinary people who had suffered the unthinkable and then came out as voices, not a vengeance. Not of revenge nor of forgiveness, but voices of finding a common brotherhood and sisterhood in our response to the horrors that we’ve experienced. Yes.
14:12
Yeah. I think it also reminds me a lot of, some of the activism we’ve seen from students and parents after school shootings in the United States. Yes. The parents of Sandy Hook, in particular.
14:23
Right, and Uvalde people who have become committed. Not, not to political or polemical statements, but to real policy change. Yeah. And to sort of not refusing to let their friends, family, children be forgotten. I think that has been really moving to watch. And I, I think that kind of space where ordinary people, um, who’ve suffered immensely, actually speak about their experiences instead of having it filtered through political or ideological. Um. Uh, frameworks, I think is, is, is really powerful in our world. And one of the few things that I think can break through a lot of the, uh, partisan noise that we live with.
15:17
Uh, it’s, it’s, it’s easy to support a cause. That kills a lot of people when you don’t think about the people you’re killing. Right? But what these former hostages have done is they’ve brought out, it doesn’t matter what your political position is on Israeli politics or on Middle East politics, they remind you of the individuals and the suffering that cannot be justified.
16:08
Uh, is, is so startling. Um, and I, I, I do think, um, in a very different context, that’s what Orwell does so well in his, and in all of his essays. It’s, I think what makes his writing powerful to me right now, or what speaks to me about it. I mean, his most famous essay probably Shooting an Elephant, he describes basically the entire network or reality of. Imperialism, British, uh, British imperialism in Southeast Asia simply by one personal experience he had as a police officer. And it’s, it’s,
19:35
Yeah. Right. I think that’s right. I, I think also, uh, as you said, the, the, the. As someone who’s also at a university campus, I think the hardest part about the way that universities are being talked about and the worst part about how they’re being talked about, uh, on, on both sides, uh, in international discourse, uh, is, is the sort of insistence on labels, as you’ve said, the insistence on, on making every academic question. One of are is this DEI or is this anti DI is this is this anti Right. Instead of focusing on, uh, complexity. And I think, I think if there’s one hopeful. Hopeful thing that I think we can take out of this moment for universities is that, uh, I think for, I think a lot of the sort of. Urges to grasp for labels. The urge for simplification is actually rooted in a genuine frustration with the lack of complexity, if that makes any sense. Yeah. I think we’re taking, people are taking, um, frustration at academic environments that don’t allow for complexity or don’t allow for certain perspectives to be heard and actually doing the exact same thing and turning them into oversimplified labels and, and, and talking about universities in oversimplified ways in response. But I think the urge or the frustration that’s there. Is is very genuine.
20:48
Yeah. Well this is sort of replacing a toothache with a toothache, right? Yeah. They’re, they’re, they’re recreating, they’re mirroring the problem that they saw by doing the exact opposite. I think that’s definitely happened. Um, I don’t know if you agree. I think that we, and I said this before in our podcast and in many other settings, um, I think we went too far with certain elements of DEI. Demanding, you know, diversity statements from people in a kind of McCarthyite way, loyalty oaths to diversity. And I think we went too far. Um, but I think now the response to having gone too far is going much too far in the other direction, to the point where now diversity has become a dirty word for some people. And you’re not supposed to, uh, assign. Work that points to perhaps the critical and not savory parts of our history, um, that that’s overreacting in the other direction. That’s mirroring, that’s a toothache for a toothache. Uh, if you’re against, um, preference for one direction, there shouldn’t be preference in the other direction either. And, and I think, I think one of the lessons we have to learn is that if we’re not attentive to complexity, all we do is just, uh, swing the, the spectrum back and forth. It’s like a seesaw. Rather than progress. So, so that brings us to, I think, the theme we wanted to close on, which is community. Um, I, I think one of the real, um, outcomes of 2025 is I’ve seen this with my students, with my colleagues around the country. I’ve seen this with all kinds of settings I’ve been in. People seem to be returning to community. They seem to have found in many cases that the world and the lives they were living. Online and elsewhere, we’re not satisfied. Clearly people are still living in those ways. Uh, but there is, there does seem to be a return to community and, um, I don’t know. It might be worth talking about that. I think that’s been an important part of your experience also. Right, Zachary?
Episode 315: Venezuela Intervention
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. Today we’re going to focus on Venezuela, one of the, most significant and confusing, I think, crises of our current moment. But a crisis in a region, of longstanding, American intervention and conflict, A crisis in a region that has gone through, extraordinary changes over the last 250 years. And a region where the United States and its relations with Venezuela and other countries have. Always been, not just complicated, but often quite controversial. we are fortunate to be drawn to, this topic, not only because of the prominence that it has in the news, but because we have a colleague who I think is one of the most interesting scholars writing on the region as a whole, who has a lot to share with us today. This is my colleague and friend, Professor Kurt Weyland. Kurt, thank you for joining us.
02:26
Yes, there was really a surprise this intervention and the situation is so fluid that, you know, we have to pay attention every day to what new things are happening. So a lot of interest in that topic.
02:44
Absolutely, especially because a lot of the situation in Venezuela and the decision making in the US is quite murky. We don’t really know why Trump did this whole thing. Both sides are playing strange games. We don’t know how the opposition in Venezuela will try to get into the game. So, you know, a lot of moving parts here.
03:05
Absolutely. Absolutely. We're gonna talk about all of that. I wanted to open today, by just reading, the key section from President James Monroe’s, annual address to congress. In December of 1823. So more than 200 or more than a hundred years ago. Actually, no, 200 years. More than 200 years ago. I’m gonna have to work on my math here. This is the key passage, written in fact by Secretary of State John Quincy Adams. That becomes known as the Monroe Doctrine. It wasn’t known as the Monroe Doctrine initially, but it became over time known as the Monroe Doctrine. And what Monroe said was that we, the United States, owe it to candor and to the amiable relations existing between the United States. And those European powers, he means the European powers, operating empires in Latin America. We owe it to declare that we, the United States, should consider any attempt on their parts to extend their system to any portion of this hemisphere as dangerous to our peace and safety with the existing colonies or dependencies of any European power. We have not interfered and shall not interfere, but with the governments who have declared their independence and maintained it, and whose independence we have, on great consideration and unjust principles, acknowledged we could not view any interposition for the purpose of oppressing them or controlling in any other manner their destiny by any European power. In any other light than as the manifestation of an unfriendly disposition toward the United States. What it seems to me, president Monroe was saying in this somewhat flowery language, was that the United States, would do all it could. To, make it difficult to not recognize, to hinder European powers from returning to colonies that they had lost in countries like Argentina, Colombia, and Venezuela in this period of revolution and independence in the early 19th century. but it seems to me Monroe is not saying. United States, will necessarily intervene militarily. Kurt, how do you, as a scholar of this region, think about what the Monroe Doctrine meant for the next 200 years, bringing us to today? I, I know it’s a big question, but I’m curious your reaction to it.
05:28
So you see, you see various elements in that statement. I mean, you can read it from a more realist perspective. The United States as, even then most powerful country in the Western Hemisphere is trying to keep competing powers out of the hemisphere. It, it sounds in, as you say, it’s flowery language in some sense, more from an idealist perspective. We, the United States know, thrown off the yoke of colonialism, don’t want the yoke of colonialism, reimposed on our Latin American brothers and sisters. And you know, as you say, I mean, the Spanish and Portuguese would’ve liked to. Repose colonialism and the French and Brits might also have wanted to get into the game. And so the way it reads in some sense is, you know, quite idealistic. We wanna protect the liberty of those countries. And what you see, of course in the subsequent 200 years, a lot of shift be, I mean, in some sense, more with the increase in American power, especially after the Spanish American War, and then the Roosevelt corollary to the Monroe Doctrine where the unit is. States appointed itself as the policeman of the Western hemisphere. You see, in many ways the realist aspect predominate. Then of course, also kind of the economic, we wanna com keep competitors out in a number of crises in the early 20th century, but every once in a while, that idealistic aspect also came to the fore. You know, with. President Wilson in the early 20th century with JFK and the Alliance for Progress for years in the early 1960s with Jimmy Carter. And so you see the, I mean, United States foreign policy has always been shifted between a more realist focus, more that idealism. And I think you see that in the poster of the us vis-a-vis the Western Hemisphere.
07:24
That, that’s very helpful, Kurt, and insightful. And, and in a sense, recapitulates one of the classic ways of, of seeing us foreign policy toward this region, which is a tension, a constant tension between, as you say, realist, materialist impulses, and idealistic, perhaps even democratic, impulses. And you can certainly see both in the Monroe Doctrine. You mentioned the Roosevelt corollary, of course, from 19 oh. Four, which is Theodore Roosevelt’s more aggressive, contention that the United States has a right to intervene in countries that are misbehaving or are mismanaged. on the idealistic side, though, this, intervention in Venezuela, how would you characterize it? Is it, is there any idealism in it? Is it a complete rejection? Has the Trump administration gone entirely in the materialist direction? How do you think about and understand, based on the little we know so far? Of what the United States is doing in Venezuela right now.
08:19
I think you see precisely that strange mixture of different facets in that recent Venezuela intervention, and maybe less in the motivations of President Trump, which are hard to figure out because on the one hand this is, You know, if you wish, clear assertion of American predominance in the Western Hemisphere. I’m concerned that the Chinese and the Russians and the Iranis have been messing around there. And this is the, you know, so-called backyard of the United States. So get out in that realist kind of spirit. You, you see President Trump then afterwards highlighting oil, oil, oil, kind of from an economic materialist. We need our fingers unimportant. Element in. Maduro was an awful, repressive, corrupt dictator who had blatantly stolen an election in mid 2024. So while that was probably not the motivation that drove President Trump, Maduro certainly deserved his fate and he was not, I mean he was at Target that similar to Manuel Noriega in Panama in 1989. Clearly, you know, had had committed so many misdeeds that an idealist would be happy that the guy was removed. and what is interesting there is, which is what I really have struggled with thinking about, is. From President Trump’s perspective, I still don’t completely understand why he would’ve done it. He has that, that urge to assert American predominance. But I wonder to what extent this was also driven by the agenda of Marco Rubio and Marco Rubio, of course, has been at the forefront at combating the left axis of evil in Latin America. Know Venezuela, Nicaragua, and. regime change if you wish, democracy promoting agenda. And so I wonder to what extent this was not only Trump asserting predominance in terms of motivation, but also Rubio pushing that regime change agenda partly in light of the upcoming presidential succession in 2028 where he might wanna put his chips into the game. And so I think. I think you might see precisely that strange mix of kind of Trumpian realism and Rubio regime change. You know, maybe not idealism, but you know, clearly trying to get rid of these left dictatorships.
11:06
Yeah, I want to ask, I mean clearly with the historical backward of the Monroe Doctrine and the, was a corollary, there was a lot of precedent, within that framework and beyond it for American intervention in Latin America, but. Is there a precedent for the kind of a targeted intervention that we saw, in Venezuela this month? Is there precedent for this kind of, you know, targeted, arrest or kidnapping, however you wanna see it, of a leader of another country? or is this a sort of unique kind of operation that the United States engaged in?
11:48
I, I would like to make several points on that. I think the case that is most similar in Early American intervention in Latin America is the case of Manuel Noriega in Panama in 1989, when you also had a ruthless, brutal, corrupt dictator who defied the United States. The United States in that sense did a less surgical strike by actually invading Panama at good cost of civilian lives and taking over the whole country, and then actually instituting democracy afterwards. So the target in Panama in 89 was quite similar. Some, I mean, just awful dictator who clearly deserve to be, put on trial. The Venezuelan case is different because it’s obviously not a full scale invasion, but that very, very surgical strike. but so there is a president in terms of the target, and you see in the avoidance of a full scale invasion, president Trump’s concern about getting dragged into. Regime change, potential trouble and turmoil, domestic conflict that could drag the United States into what the Trumpians would call nation building, Allah, Afghanistan, and Iraq. And so there is, there is a similarity in the target, but there’s also a different approach in doing this in a much more targeted way, which of course has, if you wish the disadvantage that you’ve. You decapitated, autocratic, corrupt, repressive regime, but most of the power structure of the regime is still in place.
17:23
There is certainly a possibility, and there is one reason why I’m surprised that then Donald Trump did this because there is clearly, there is a risk that Venezuela could dissent into internal strife and conflict and that somehow other, that could draw in the United States. And that’s of course what Donald Trump wants to avoid at all costs. So this, this is a possibility, but. I think when you think from the great powers that Trump wants to push out of Venezuela, but I think it’s much more likely not that the Chinese and the Russians, not to speak of Iran, are going to take a stand in or about Venezuela, but that this is the essentially. They will find compensation in their spheres of, in, in interest. And so what you see is that the whole Trumpian approach to international relations is kind of stone age realism. Great powers have their spheres of influence and they can do inside their sphere of influence as they wish. And so I think the. The kind of the, how should I say that? What China and Russia will get out of that is Trump’s acquiescence in them taking more control of their spheres of influence. You know, and I think you see that with Trump’s accommodation of Russia in the Ukraine war. I don’t know what it would exactly mean for China and the South China Sea in vis-a-vis Taiwan, but I think, I think kind of the game among the great powers will be less. That they will, that China and Russia will fight tooth and nail to maintain a stake in the US’ backyard, the western hemisphere, but that they will say, whoa, you did this in your own sphere of influence. Now we have a freer hand in our sphere of influence. I think that’s how that will work. And as regards to domestic power structure in Venezuela, I. I would assume that Trump knows about his own severe a tension deficit disorder, that he couldn’t pay attention to Venezuela very much. But I think he’s probably going to appoint kind of an informal Vice Roy in, in, in Ambassador in Vene in Venezuela. I bet the American Embassy in Venezuela is going to swell to hundreds of people who will keep an eye on things and the the factions. That are more radical and that are more they know, you know, have much clo, much more control of the organs of coercion in Venezuela, the defense minister, Patino and Di Caveo, who controls these thugs and goons and militias, the so-called collectives, I think they will know. That if they mess around too much and they cause too much trouble, they might get yanked out and put in the prison cell next to my daughter. And so I think they will have to swallow a lot of, what you call in Latin America, swallow a lot of toads and hang low for a while. They will of course, hope that the Trump administration will move on. You know, I, I think in many ways what, what the Venezuelan power structure is doing is what the Wolf did in the fairy tale of Little Red Riding Hole. They’re eating a lot of chalk and like, Hey, you know, we can play game. And of course, they’re hoping that Trump moves on, that the United States can’t actually control what’s going on and it sooner or later they can reassert their control. They can, you know, they can. Get their fingers again into the contraband, into the corruption, maybe not the drug trafficking as they did before. I think that’s the game that is being played, and in some strange way, it serves Trump and it serves that Venezuelan power structure. And who is left out in that cold is the Venezuelan opposition.
21:31
What about the larger international reaction, not just the potential, for Russia and China to use this as a sort of prerogative to, be more aggressive in their own. neighborhoods, if that’s even possible. But, the American relationship with our allies, do, has this moment you think further strained America’s relationship with its allies, is there a possibility at all for cooperation with American allies in Venezuela? not just allies in Europe, but also allies in, in Latin America?
22:07
The reaction has, in some sense been surprisingly muted because what is, you know, on the one hand, this is a brood reassertion of American power predominance, if you wanna use the term imperialism, but the, the reaction has been surprisingly mute. I think for two reasons. One is that this reassertion of American power scales a lot of allies. And so, you know, even the center left, left wing governments in Latin America, you know, like Lula and Brazil, they spoke out and whatever, but they’re not going really on the rampage. You know, Claudia Shane Baum in Mexico has to worry that she might be next in line and Trump threatened Pedro in colo and so that. Very reassertion of American power, I think has intimidated or kind of, if you wish, coercively motivated the reaction inside Latin America. Trump, of course, I don’t know whether it’s attention deficit or brilliant strategy, immediately move to Greenland, so the Europeans have something to worry about there, rather than getting involved in Venezuela. So in some sense, American power. I think has muted reaction among the allies, at least in the short one. You know, but you think in the long run, like OMG, this is awful. The other reason why I think the reaction has been muted is that Maduro was such an awful, dictator. I mean, you know, human rights violations in Corruption. I mean, he had indictments not only from the US but from the International criminal court. The head of the organization of American States at the time asked the ICC for an indictment of Maduro. And not only was he, you know, morally just awful, but utterly incompetent. I mean, who. Who in human history has destroyed a country as much as Maduro did during his 13 years in power? So who, who wants to defend Maduro? You know what I mean? You can say, well, the United States shouldn’t have intervened, but do you wanna look like sort of siding with defending, you know, one of the worst leaders that we can think of in recent decades?
24:19
Of course, I mean, this is the challenge, right? That one can be, very angry about the US intervention if you’re sitting in, in Brasilia, but you don’t wanna look like you’re defending Maduro. That that’s the, that’s the challenge. Do you see the other, sorry, Craig, go ahead. I.
24:30
You see the two facets again, you see the realist thing. You know, other countries are intimidated by American power, and you see the idealist streak. This. The United States chose a target that deserved its punishment. You see exactly that. Again, those two facets of kind of realist, power assertion, and idealists going after the bad guys, sorry to
24:50
No, not at all. Now, on this point of realism, do you see, large countries in the region like Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia to some extent, do you see them, In, in a, in a way working closely together to combat US intervention. Now, should we view, for example, Kurt, the, Mercosur, free trade agreement that was just signed with, Europe as, as an a way of pushing back on the United States.
25:19
Definitely. You think of you know, the European Union Agreement that had been lingering and languishing and being in the, in negotiation for 25 years and it just couldn’t break the resistance and deadlock and whatever. And I think the reason why that finally got signed is. You know, kind of if you wish, some sort of soft balancing against the United States, so you, you know, that would be an instance of that. Inland America. I haven’t seen any, I don’t know, like coordination, I don’t know what you would wanna call it. Alliance formation, partly because of course the ideological divisions. So you mentioned Argentina. You know, millet. Millet was bailed out by Trump a few months ago. He’s not going to oppose what Donald Trump, did in Venezuela. He’s ideologically happy that Donald Trump put it out, Maduro. And so, you know, given that a number of Latin American countries. governed by right-wing leaders who are ideologically have affinity with or alignment with Donald Trump. I think that is one big obstacle to any really coordinated Latin American response.
29:27
Right, right. What, what, we certainly see that there are high risks, but that we don’t know, what will happen, in, in, in closing, Zachary, I want to turn to you as one of many young people in the United States watching all of this unfold. How do you see your generation of Americans, responding to this, responding to what looks so different, at least from the rhetoric of American foreign policy for so long, the rhetoric of open markets and, freedom and democracy. does this, does this contradict that or does this look like more hip hop, more, more of the same hypocrisy? How, how are people viewing this?
30:06
I think for some it’s clear and for many it, it, it’s clear that this is something. at least, you know, to celebrate in the extent, to the extent that Maduro is gone, that that is obviously a positive development, for those who have relatives or family or friends in Venezuela or who fled Venezuela, which is not, not insignificant. Number of people in the United States. but I think there’s also a lot of concern that this could, you know, draw the United States into a larger war. and I think for, for the moment, a lot of people, young and not young alike are sort of waiting to see what happens. I think, you know. Obviously most hope that this does not draw the United States into a larger war with Venezuela. but, or with, you know, in the region in general. But I think a lot of the big questions that we raised today remain unanswered. So I think there is a degree of uncertainty and certainly there’s much greater fear of war in the region than there was before.
Episode 316: Minneapolis
00:19
Welcome to This Is Democracy. I’m Zachary Suri. Today we are joined by a scholar living at the center of perhaps one of the most consequential confrontations of our moment. That is, of course, the weeks long standoff between anti-ice protests in Minneapolis and the various immigration enforcement wings of the Department of Homeland Security standoff. That unfortunately, as we all know, has left at least two protestors, Renee Goode and Alex pretty dead. joining us is Professor David Iona Chang. Professor Chang is a historian at the University of Minnesota. He studies indigenous people, colonialism, borders, and migration in Hawaii and North America, focusing especially on the histories of Native American and Native Hawaiian people, as well as the history of social movements in the United States. Professor Chang, thank you so much for joining us.
01:12
Thank you. We are of course also joined, as always by Professor Jeremi Suri. Jeremi, thank you for joining us today. for the first time in a while. we will start not with a speech or an essay, but with an original poem that I wrote. this is called, Nicolette Avenue, which is the street where Alex Pretty was killed. At night when the street is sleeping, it tosses and turns ice cracking sounds of agony, softly rising from the salt. I think the street has nightmares, and I think it remembers the dead, the bullets that bounced off its skin and buried themselves in another. At night when the street is sleeping, it feels the boots that stomped across to the tune of swinging rifles, beating time on its surface like a song. I think the street is singing in its sleep. A Durge for the Dead and departed for the Cold Press of cold flesh. It remembers too well waking up last Sunday with Bloodstains. Yeah. So Professor Chang, would you be able to tell us just from your experience, you know, what it’s been like to live, in the Twin Cities at this moment? To live through, what all of us around the country and around the world are seeing on the news every day.
02:36
Thank you for asking that. It has been, everybody’s experiences in the cities is going to be different, and I'm speaking to you of course, as you know, a person with a lot of privilege. I’m a university professor. I have a lot of. I have a lot of privileges that softened my life, if you will. At the same time, it’s a very, intense period in the Twin Cities. It’s been a time though where I would emphasize it’s been both a time of terror and sadness, but also a time of inspiration. And hope, ter and sadness are obvious to anyone around the globe, of course, because they see that federal forces, who are heavily armed and undertrained and very much under, Under supervised, if you will. and there’s very, and under-regulated are terrorizing our neighbors and our communities arresting people, taking them into custody, abducting them, Around the clock, and we’re talking about hundreds and hundreds of people, the numbers that ICE is giving out can’t really be trusted ’cause they’re not really backed up with a lot of numbers. But clearly many people are being abducted. Many people have been physically hurt, many people have been traumatized, and their families as well. At the same time, I do think the national and global media has started to pick up on what is one of the most important parts of this story. And that’s the solidarity of the response. That’s the, the loving kindness of the community, the bravery and the courage in responding in ways that are very dramatic for the cameras, such as standing between, Ice and someone that they’re trying to abduct and also much quieter driving kids to high school or dropping off groceries or necessary SAN supplies at people’s homes. so that response has, a. It is, profoundly inspiring. It gives me great hope, not only for this movement, but also for other, for the political work, which is also of course the human work of society and community that we’ll have to do in the coming years.
05:11
I think that, I’d like to look to multiple routes. Like most things, they come from multiple. Most things that are strong, come from multiple roots. one of that is the very strong and specific social roots of the of, Minnesota. as well as the Twin Cities itself. There is a strong history. Civic nationalist, civic national engagement here with the notion that the United States is a nation of people committed to certain ideals. Those ideals are enshrined in certain documents, and those documents ensure certain rights and set up certain processes that must be followed. there is a strong commitment to this idea here, and, despite its limitations, view this kind of liberal nationalism right now, we’re seeing, what it can do in certain moments when institutions, processes, and the idea of EQ of equality under the law. Becomes threatened. That’s combined with a culture that has both religious and secular roots, that you know, everything from Lutheranism to Trotskyism that has been very strong in, Minnesota, the Northern Plains, and Minneapolis St. Paul for a very long time. And we can see this. In the strong religious, and church-based movements, that helped to create the welcoming environment that sponsored refugees from around the world after the American Secret War in Southeast Asia that welcomed people from East Africa, that west welcomed people from Korea after the Korean War, et cetera. This created a population that was, you know, diverse in a very specific way. and, and very globalized in a very specific way that combined with kind of the labor part of the farmer labor of the DFL, the democratic farmer labor, party, which is the form of the Democratic Party that we have here in the state, which has really strong, very labor left, kind of orientations, and that’s been important here. And then, so all of that’s local, right? and that’s been, it’s been nurtured here. And of course the, we’re coming here, you know, five years after the killing and the uprising following the murder of, of George Floyd on Chicago Avenue. And that created an idea. Solidarity. Many different kinds of ideas, many different kinds of soar where people understood themselves as responsible for the community. One of these ideas and practices, which is very strong here, is that of mutual aid. that we take care of us, that we stand up for us. and you see that in the everyday courage of people simply going around doing humble, simple things to support. Again, as well as the dramatic things that the cameras capture. All of that comes together with a national environment. We’re not the first city doing this, right? So there was Chicago, there was Portland, there was Los Angeles, there’s others, and already in those different places. One can find communities come together in order to support. We learned from Chicago, Chicago learned from other cities, right? The proliferation of neighborhood networks, of leaderless movements in order to, create a better, safer community that doesn’t come just from us. So and ho And I do not think it will stop just here either. Unfortunately, this is a national problem and it will continue in other cities, and I think that we can look forward to a historical moment that we can’t entirely anticipate, but it will be different because there is now a genealogy, a continuity of modes of resistance, which are drawing upon historical precedent elsewhere.
11:16
Sure that there’s more complexity, but that’s what vis that is what’s visible. Of course, I’m sure that there are some people are sympathetic, right to the golds and even perhaps the methods of these federal agents, right? But I have not seen, I have not that’s not apparent in on the streets, it’s not very apparent and opinion columns. It’s, you know, it’s more in the comments in social media, if you will. And that’s certainly available nationwide and you don’t know exactly where that’s coming from either. So, but no, it’s, it, is a very strong response. I think that partly this is, and this is something that I wanted to talk about, I thought it’d be interesting also to talk about, it’s partly. This is feels from here very much like a unilateral federal imposition on a state and it completely ignoring the elected leaders of that state.
12:15
And so, you know, the mayors of St. Paul in Minneapolis, the governor of Minnesota, our senators, the majority of our delegations have, are, very upset about this force coming from Washington, unbidden in which refuses resolutely to respond to explain transfer documents to, the state government. so even people who I, do think that this creates a real unhappiness even among people who might be more inclined towards the expulsion of people that they think are here illegally or they suspect they just don’t even want here.
15:15
Again, I don’t have a crystal ball, right? My specialty is the past, not the. but, but yeah, I do, I think that it’s the ending of the search, which, which probably does that mean that all immigration courts immediately close and go away. All immigration officials all go away. Probably not, right? But this is not a normal situation. What’s going on here? And the people who have control over stopping it, are not headquartered here in Minneapolis.
19:00
I can think of a number of reasons. For one thing, I mean, they came out so quickly with this term, domestic terrorists and paid protests and all that stuff, and that’s just so patently not true, and so demonstrably not true in the case. Of Renee Goodnell is pretty right. okay, now they have video that says that Alex got into a scuffle with some agents and kicked at headlights or something like that. That’s not a domestic terrorist, right? That’s not a domestic terrorist. So they got, they, they spoke too strong, too quick, and the data is too strong to, refute their narrative. on top of that, these are appealing young-ish. White people who are idealistic and good. So in other words, the media narrative on them is, cleaner. Right? So, I mean, it, these are not, racialized people, right? and so therefore they, the story plays in a certain way and I, want to take nothing away from them, right? I’m just saying that in terms of how media works. They, figure in a particular strength. And I think also it’s, it is, they are being seen as in some ways emblematic of the Minnesota movement, what’s going on in Minnesota and Minnesota. The upper Midwest, as you know, it occupies a certain kind of. Image in the American political imaginary right of innocence of community and all that sort of a thing. I’m delighted at that, frankly. but at the same time, you can see how that would, answer back in a particular way.
21:11
Yes. And a lot of people, you know, we’re trying to, people are trying to say, don’t forget, you know, the many, brown people. Who’ve been hurt in this, and black people who’ve been hurt in this, the hundreds and thousands of people who’ve been abducted, and all these other things. But it’s hard to push back. We’ve been pushing for a longer historical narrative. I and others have been saying that, remember the Bishop Whipple Building is on Fort Snelling, and Fort Snelling is federal land that was involved in a war on the Dakota and the seizing. Of this region. Right? And so there’s an effort to create that broader historical context and to try to, if you say, this is not all about these white faces, right? But it’s also about, black and brown faces and bodies and voices. we’re pushing uphill on that, right?
25:51
Yeah, I, think just to build on that, David, which you said so Well, I think. What’s happened, because of the excessive gross, excessive use of force in Minneapolis is that the issue of border security, which Trump is still relatively popular on, at least with some people that’s been lost and has become a discussion instead of brutality and federal overstep. and, there’s got, I would think that Republicans would like it to come back to a discussion of border security, which would mean taking the, the lens off of Minneapolis.
27:17
Well, I think a lot of young people, and I think people across the board are, sort of reacting in shock to this. I think there are a lot of, I, I mean, I think the public opinion polls, and, Conversations with any young person or any person, period. show the kind of anger or frustration with, this moment? I think there are varying degrees of, you know, outrage. Like some people I think are outraged, at, you know, the particular killings of Alex Pretti or Renee Good, or they, see. They see, those as the, thing to be out, outraged about. I think there are those who find who are most horrified or most focused on, the impact of the deportations on immigrant communities. so I think there are a range of political responses. I mean, here in New Haven. There is a big sort of walkout today for in solidarity with Minneapolis. so there, there, are a range of different responses that I think people are engaging in, but I would say, I think it’s, almost universal, universal shock at the shootings of, protesters in particular.
Episode 317: Vigilantism and Violence in American Society
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week we are very fortunate. We’re joined by a wonderful famous historian and also someone who I have so much, high regard for. I met her years and years ago, and I’ve been following her career for a long time, and it’s really a pleasure to finally have her on, this, podcast. This is Heather Ann Thompson. she’s a historian at the University of Michigan, where she’s a professor of course, and among many things, she’s the winner of the Pulitzer Prize and the Bancroft Prize for. Her book on the Attica Prison Uprising of 1971 called Blood in the Water. Most recently, she has published this really, stimulating and in some ways angering, but angering in a useful way, book, about vigilantism and the Bernard Getz, episode, which we’ll talk about in New York City in 1984 and what happened thereafter. The book is called Fear and Fury, the Reagan eighties, Bernie Goetz Shootings. And the rebirth of White Rage. professor Heather Ann Thompson, thank you for joining us.
02:02
Well, I think that we as historians, even while we live so much in the past, we cannot help but respond to the world unfolding around us with huge questions about how we got here. And, there’s always a million origin stories. But there is one thing for sure about where we were in, 20 23, 20 24, 20 22, that really felt jarring. I think just as a citizen of this country, just as a resident of the United States and that jarring feeling. So much to do with what was, what, just a palpable unleashing of, vigilante rage, episodes like Kyle Rittenhouse and, this, a Subway, much more recent subway, killing of a homeless man in New York City. Even more, probably more startling for most Americans. The storming of the capitol on January 6th, and then of course against all of this was the realization that when people were carrying out this rage, they were legally vindicated. Should it ever go to court. They were found not guilty. And I was just so struck by what felt to me as a historian is this weird return to. the 19th century, frankly, the, the unleashed lynching culture of 19 19th century and, something else that was happening that resonated with the 19th century, which was this extreme reconsideration of wealth. And I thought, God, these are two really interesting sides of the same coin. Let’s go back, let’s dig into it. And the eighties seemed like a really good place to start, both because we had taken a political detour, not even detour, I mean turn, abrupt turn with the Reagan, administration. And we also were witnessing one of the most dramatic of that period episodes of white vigilantism. So. Long-winded response, but that’s what got me there.
04:14
No, and you touched on so many things, obviously the, recurrence of violence from our past, the economic inequalities, the nature of urban decay. You have a really, very persuasive discussion of the South Bronx at the beginning, of your book. It brought back a lot of memories, to me. just to set the scene here. For many of our listeners who probably don’t know this particular incident, what is the Bernard Goetz shooting? Who is he and what is it that happens that you describe in such detail and details that I didn’t know at the time, from December of 1984?
04:55
Sure. for people of a certain age, we might be familiar with the name Bernard Goetz because he is this kind of rogue figure who ends up on a subway train in 1984 sitting across from four black teenagers, and, in a very, quick encounter suddenly leaps up. And pulls a gun out of his, waistband in a hidden holster and shoots one of them into the chest, shoots another in the back as he’s fleeing, shoots the third kid through his arm that went into his chest and with the fourth kid, tried to shoot him. And then walked over and coldly says to him, you look all right. Here is another, and shot in point, blank range. severing his spinal cord, paralyzing him for life. And that guy, became an overnight, folk hero celebrated by the tabloid media, gravitated to by countless. newly resentful and disaffected, white New Yorkers. and he became the stuff of Legends. He is in the lyrics of Billy Joel’s song. We didn’t Start the Fire. He’s in the song by the Beastie Boys. He is referenced, in so many popular culture context. So for some of us, we remembered his name, but notably, Speaking for myself anyway, I don’t think any of us really knew who his victims were. And, so I wanted to dig into that story because not only does he, shoot these kids, but then he is on the lamb. There’s a dramatic manhunt to find him, he turns himself in, offers a chilling videotape two hour long, confession. Where he doesn’t candy coat anything. He admits to everything. and nevertheless, what’s gonna unfold in my book, is this incredibly interesting story of how Americans are told that, up is down and down is up. There’s, this is the birth of the misinformation media. it takes, two grand juries to get ’em to trial. And, we can then talk about the trial, but it’s really a really pivotal moment in legal history because he will be acquitted. That acquittal sets us down a path, I think from which we really still real.
07:43
And just to get a couple of facts on the table that you go through in detail and document, very well in the book, the, four African American teenagers who approached him, actually, I guess only one or two approached him and they asked for $5, but they never violently threatened him. Is that correct?
08:01
Yeah, so this was a, this is super interesting to just go back and say, well, what, what actually happened? Because certainly the lore that has been handed down is that these four black teenagers, basically threatened Bernie Getz. They approached him with sharpened screwdrivers, armed with sharpened screwdrivers, threatened him and tried to rob him. For $5, but digging into the story, including the really, very detailed confession that gets himself offered, it turns out that’s not at all what happened. These are four kids from a very, economically depressed part of New York City, the South Bronx. Who were on their way that day downtown to a local video arcade where they’re going to, break into, Jimmy Open coin receptacles to get some quarters out. That’s really quite how poor they were. And so they did in fact have two screwdrivers in pockets, but they were never wielded, never taken out. No one even knew they were there. In fact, they were only found. Later as these kids are stripped, taken to the hospital, they’re in such extreme, extremely dire situation. And, the sharpened screwdriver was completely made up by, the media. And so what did they do? Well, it turns out that they had one kid, Joseph, only one had in fact asked him for $5. he said first, hi, how you doing? Gets returns to the greeting and then embolden. He says, Hey, do you have $5? Because in the eighties in New York, panhandling was as regular as breathing air. You might remember Jeremy, like everywhere you went, right? The squeegee guys?
09:53
You know, you got five bucks, you got a dollar. Very, commonplace. And the kid who asked his name was Troy Canty. His, thought process was, we can’t go into this video arcade with no money and plausibly be there to play games while we’re gonna try to get some quarters, so maybe I can get $5 from this guy. So, was it maybe alarming to have four teenagers, boisterous, rowdy teenagers? Sure. But what will be made of this story is completely, absent of facts. And at the end of the day, it is gonna be these four teenagers that are the villains. And Bernie Goetz becomes the victim. And that kind of up is down moment was really what, made me think about like today.
12:59
it’s one of the many strengths of your book in that, as you said, the cast of characters in front of us today are all displayed here in their farm system days, in a sense, right? In, a way sharpening their knives and learning their skills that they’re going to use later on for the politics of the next few decades. And that’s of course how you. Close the book, but I don’t wanna jump ahead. Why Heather, do so many people come out in support of Bernie Goetz? you have this extraordinary statistic in the book. I did not know this, that when the, police create a helpline to find tips, as you describe in the book, Bernie Getz actually goes out on the lamb. He runs to Vermont and, with a rental car and switches hotels and, is trying to stay away for a while. And you say 1500 people. Called into the, tip line soon after it was created to offer their support for the shooter. Why are people doing that?
13:57
Well, this of course is the million dollar question, and it’s, it, it’s the question that we ask often today, how is it that people can, for example, in Minneapolis, look at the murder of Alex Preti or Renee Goode and. say it’s okay, even celebrate it. And in, in fact say that what we just saw with our own eyes didn’t even happen. this is an origin story to that, and it turns out that, that emotion, that sentiment in ways I just did not fully appreciate. Was being curated, it was being deliberately stoked and it was being stoked in aid of a much broader, behind the scenes and frankly more insidious political agenda. And that was the agenda, particularly of the Reagan Republicans, but much more broadly, very wealthy Americans who were. really sick and tired of the liberal politics of the New Deal and of the great society. They hated the high taxes that the wealthy had to pay into it. They really did not like the, civil rights advances that they saw as. Cramping their style, in terms of who they might hire or who they might rent to. of course, Donald Trump’s father was really, very resentful of those things. And, these are people that had long, wanted to undo the new deal, but the seventies, the late seventies offered them this. Opportunity, frankly, a dual crisis, an economic crisis unfolding globally and the civil rights tensions at home that are already making white folks feel nervous and, uncomfortable. And the Reagan Republicans understand that this is an opportunity to really just say, look, liberalism in general. It’s all a failure. it’s the reason why we have crime. It’s the reason why the economy is going to hell in the hand basket. It’s a reason why, you, your, unions are not doing so well. you name it, they become the scapegoat. And then the irony here is that, this global fiscal crisis, it gets back on its feet everywhere else. But in this country, the Reagan Republicans doubled down on the austerity. That just creates a greater economic crisis at home. And yet they say that crisis is not because income inequality is getting worse and worse, and it’s not because your social services are getting cut and. Libraries are shuttering their doors and public schools are closing. It’s because of those thugs and criminals, that live in places like the South Bronx that don’t wanna work, The drug addicts that, and it was just this masterful narrative, the welfare queen, I didn’t appreciate the extent to which they relied on this burgeoning conservative media to promote it.
17:26
Absolutely. And in fact, the extent to which that was true was quite startling. people are making judgment calls about who’s the victim and who’s the villain in this based on what they’re learning in the media. But if you look at what they’re learning in the media, this is when I, keep using the word curated for a reason, because, people were given the facts. Many of the media had the facts in hand, but nevertheless distorted them. So. Thus the story of the sharpened screwdrivers. Here’s another really interesting one. These teenagers had amassed, really a slew of misdemeanor citations, in their youth. for things like jumping the sur subway, turnstiles, riding the subways ’cause they had no money. Or again, jimmying opened these coin receptacles. When they are in the hospital recovering from these horrendous gunshot wounds to Bronx judges, look at these misdemeanor ju violations, and they suddenly issue this blizzard of warrants for these kids’ arrest. So what do you think that does? Of course, the headlines then become. Victims, not so much. These, are, dangerous criminals who have 13 warrants out for their arrest. Right?
23:00
It’s interesting, as you were describing that, Heather, I was also thinking of Austin, Texas, and gentrification. Yes. In Austin. It’s really interesting. I think it’s a major contribution your book is making in taking this moment and saying that’s the moment that’s pregnant for our current world. Whereas the opposite is often I think what we think, certainly what Zachary expressed is to some extent what I feel as someone who grew up in New York, I go back to New York, it has all kinds of issues, but I at least until recently thought that the New Yorker, Bernard Goetz and Edward Koch, who was mayor then and others, that that was, that has gone away. that, that heavily racialized, violent vigilante in New York had gone away. Your argument is actually, it’s the origin of where we are today. Heather?
23:46
Yeah, and I think that was, someone who, like you have, spent time in, in the city. it was hard to get my head around the continuities. but then they became quite clear, I think, as I. Kind of peeled back the layers a little bit. There’s no question today that you know, you can go into New York City and it is, times Square. Times Square is no longer a place where you see. You know so much. Homelessness is not a place where you see the drug trade playing out in front of your eyes. It’s not a place that feels so unsafe, so, so crisis filled. But at the end of the day, New York has become a place that is. Utterly unlivable for people. And that means that you can look in the window of a Gucci store, right? And it is beautiful and it’s glittery and it glistens, but you can’t afford anything in it. And I think the real evidence of why that is the case or how true that is, is what’s happened in the recent. Mayoral election. the fact that a democratic socialist like Momani can win by a landslide indicates that, this glittery city, is, not in fact delivering. For the people who actually have to try to live there. And it is, again, it’s a lifting of the veil in New York City on the inequality, what it means to be in a city without sufficient safety net anymore. what it means to have undone the New Deal and the great society in our American cities. But the other thing we’ve inherited, of course, is meanwhile, we’ve inherited the carte bl for people who feel angry when they feel that, right? they can’t afford their rent. they can’t, make it anymore. They can’t put their own kids in college. Unfortunately, a lot of ’em are still susceptible to this idea. That’s because of the immigrants. That’s because of, the criminal class. That’s because of the people who are actually worse off than they are. So it’s a lot to unpack. I hope that the book, does it through this story because the tentacles to the past and present are pretty, pretty clear. Yeah. even the NRA gets. Intimately involved in the Bernie Goetz case, and it’s, it pays attention to what happens to the outcome of his trial and then runs with it. this is where we get stand your ground laws, this is where we get Supreme Court decisions that allow police officers and individuals to merely to say they felt unsafe. And it’s okay to kill another US citizen. So, it is, it’s a lot. I, it’s a, it leaves us a little bit with our head spinning, I think about where we are today, frankly.
27:47
Yes. Yes. And also I think what Heather’s getting at so well is that there isn’t a certain way a crackdown on small scale violence from certain groups, but a permission structure, I don’t know if that’s a good way to talk about it, Heather, but a permission structure given to certain people to use more violence for their own defense. Is that sort of what you’re getting at, Heather?
31:32
Well, I so appreciate that, Jeremy, because, again, I, began by saying, I’m embarrassed to say I didn’t know who the victims were, but I knew Bernie Goetz, and even to this day, he still alive. He lives in Greenwich Village. He gets to routinely tell the story through his perspective. And yet these teenagers lives were utterly destroyed. only two of them are still living and, not because they died of old age, but because of the wreckage that became of their lives and the one who is still living is paralyzed and brain damaged, and the other one has managed to escape this. He doesn’t wanna talk to anybody about this. It’s been so traumatizing and I thought it was really important that we, we, we told this story. From the perspective of the whole part of New York, that paid a huge price for all this, a huge price for the austerity politics We’ve been doubling down on with every administration since. Reagan, a huge price for the unleashing of racial violence, and I wanted to resurrect their stories, but also to end. With kind of a reminder that once we unleash this, that we, we forget about what it really looks like on the ground, when we endorse these kinds of politics. And so I wanted us to come back full circle to. The four teenagers who are going down trying to get some quarters out of a video machine because that’s what their lives are offering them, and then start back at that beginning as we imagine the future.
Episode 318: War In Iran
01:43
I am as well. So Professor Dennis, just to make sure we all have sort of a sense of what's really happened and what is happening now, given the sort of constant turnover and ongoing nature of the conflict, could you give us a sense, from your perspective at least, of what the sort of most important developments in this, what has really been a larger, longer protracted conflict in the last few days?
02:12
Yeah. So we are now in day seven of this conflict. And as each day brings new developments, it, on the one hand, becomes clearer to see some of the challenges that all sides are going to face moving forward, but also it sort of reveals some of the strategies. And so, as you know, the campaign had started from the United States and Israel, airstrikes against Iranian air defense and naval systems and nuclear facilities, missile batteries, really degrading Iranian capabilities to achieve what the U.S. military often wants, which is air superiority and sort of superiority across domains. So I'm sure there's a lot happening sort of in the space and cyber domain as well, where domain dominance has not taken place, of course, is within the ground domain. And so as of right now, the U.S. and Israel are still hitting a series of targets across the country. Now, it's not just in Iran. As you know, there have been attacks from both sides outside of the country as well. And so sort of most prominently here, the United States, a naval vessel, a submarine for the first time since World War II, used a torpedo to sink an Iranian frigate off the coast of Sri Lanka. Again, sort of a very interesting development in this conflict. Iran, for its part, has been sending out a series of missiles and one-layer attack drones to a number of countries in the region, largely hitting sort of economic targets, but also diplomatic posts as well, with the threat of more to come. And then the last sort of two developments that have happened, either yesterday or the day before, the U.S. had admitted to being in talks with some of the Kurdish factions within Iran and within the region, and for us to look to give them sort of not so much covert, but overt support to help weaken the regime. And then the second bit of information that just came out is that the Russians are sharing tactical and operational intelligence with the Iranian, basically giving them info on where U.S. warships and military personnel are stationed so that Iran can target them.
04:41
That makes sense. Thank you for that very helpful summation. I'm wondering from your perspective, what you think the Trump administration's logic for going to war was. There's of course been talk in American policy circles for decades about the potential conflict with Iran, but this seems to be something else. There's talk of an effort to stir a popular uprising, or that this might be the result of Israeli pressure. How do you understand that decision to go to war, at least from what we know now, so soon after?
05:17
Yeah, one of the big challenges here is that the motivation for this attack and the sort of the trigger, right, the timing. Iran has been a threat of varying degrees for nearly 50 years. And so why now is a real puzzle. And that's something that we have to grapple with. And hopefully in the years ahead, future historians like yourself will grapple with that. But all evidence seems to suggest at this point that in light of the recent U.S. and Israeli attacks over the last couple of years against nuclear facilities, against prominent Iranian proxy forces like Hezbollah and Hamas and the Houthis, that essentially Iran as a regime, and then of course with, as you noted, popular, sort of the population here with these massive protests. I mean, there have been protests across the years against the regime in Tehran. None were ever as big as they were this past year. And the response and the slaughter of, I was reading it this morning, anywhere between 3,000 and some estimates put it at 30,000, which of course seems high, but protesters slaughtered. So all of those things in combination, I think, gave from the U.S. side, from the president's side, the perception that Iran was at its weakest, that it was ever going to be, and now was just a target of opportunity, a window of opportunity. And of course, as you noted, Israel has for a very long time pressed the United States to do more. So in some ways, it's kind of this perfect storm, moment.
07:09
Yeah, I think there's two parts, and I'll float towards the second one. I think first, it's really interesting that we're doing this out of sequencing, at least as far as we can see. And that's the thing, we don't have all the information and that won't come out. But typically, when it comes to things like covert action or unconventional warfare, this is what the U.S. Special Forces and what the U.S. intelligence community, the CIA can do, it's that you go and you work with local partners, you provide material support or lethal aid or training or funding, and there's all sorts of problems with that. But you basically do that as a way to put pressure on the regime, as a way to shape conditions, and then you sort of have more kinetic action. And now, it's sort of operating in reverse, which again, it's on the one hand, we have to be very careful not to be quick in our judgment. It's the same thing with respect to the larger issues of decapitation and regime change. External regime change has a terrible record. Again, usually the external force is seen as illegitimate and they're working with illegitimate local partners, and it just never really works out. And we saw that to a degree in some of the recent conflicts that the U.S. has been involved in. But in this case, sort of decapitation without ground troops, we have to be attentive to or open to the idea that maybe this would work. And if so, how, why, and under what conditions? Now, to the idea of managing for post-conflict, this too is something that we always want to be attentive to history, right? But of course, he who remembers the past can commit the opposite mistakes. When we look at events in Iraq and Afghanistan and what seems on the face of it, how could we not know some of these dynamics and some of the violence and some of the things that happened in the aftermath, insurgencies and civil wars and proxy wars, that was not for the lack of planning. There was extensive planning across the U.S. government for that, but it just shows how difficult it is, right, to wage wars. Wars, it is far easier to start wars than end them, right? And I was just saying this to someone the other day. It's like all wars end, but they rarely end as expected. And even short, decisive wars like this can often produce post-conflict environments that are bloodier than the war itself. And not only that, the termination of one war often becomes the beginning of another. And then in doing so, the mistake that so many people make is they sort of graft on these a priori grievances and things onto the post-conflict environment. But the post-conflict environment, as we saw in Iraq, as we saw in Afghanistan, that violence unfolds over a range of complex evolving motives that can be even sort of either directly or even indirectly related to the war.
10:09
That makes sense. And I think there's a really interesting question that I hope we'll dive into a little bit more about the potential for a post-conflict or post-regime chaos in Iran. But I did want to ask first what you think, how plausible you think it is that the Iranian people, as President Trump has suggested in recent days, might actually rise up against the Iranian regime in a way that could effectively topple the regime? Is the regime really that weak in this moment?
10:38
Well, that's, again, the thing. The US and Israel have been successful at decapitating many of the senior Iranian leaders, right, from the Ayatollah down to sort of that top tier of leadership. But that is not the regime. And the regime itself, again, going all the way down to sort of sub-national municipal level, the regime is robust. You still have not just the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, you have their conventional military, the Artesh, you have what's called the Basij. These are sort of domestic kind of military forces. I mean, these folks are still ... They still have high capabilities. When it comes to resistance, one of the things that groups face are these typical challenges of coordination and collective action. And so here, thinking about, if the three of us were in Iran and we wanted to do something, how do we coordinate with the broader group of people that might want to do something? Technology is helping with that, but it also creates these vulnerabilities. Once we communicate, we're vulnerable. And of course, this has happened in Iran. But more broadly, the incentive structure is not for us to do something that is risky with an uncertain outcome that if someone else does it, we get to benefit from it. The incentive structure is to not do anything, to sit on the fence. And so when you talk about a resistance in Iran, you have to think about how are these populations going to overcome those central challenges. And there are more. There's something called sort of the GM squared guns, money, manpower. The idea is that in this type of environment, the state apparatus has the monopoly or the asymmetric comparative advantage on guns and money and manpower. And so from an insurgency perspective, you have to sort of secure those things. And it's a very, very difficult thing. And that's why most insurgencies fail right off the bat. Although in the ones that do become successful, conversely, the ones that are able to solve that problem tend to last on average about 10 to 12 years. So there are a lot of upfront sort of challenges that have to be made. The other side of this, of course, is, as I mentioned, the US has doctrine and dedicated forces to working with populations to help them overcome those challenges, to help them get the money and the guns and to give them the training. And that's where, again, we have to think analytically. When we talk about the quote unquote population in Iran, which population are we talking about? Once again, with the regime chain, I just want to say quickly, one of the big factors is you need to get regime defections to work. And we haven't seen that. But the other side is, again, what we saw in the news that I mentioned earlier. US is talking about supporting the Kurds, something that we've done for years and then withdrawn support and kind of left them in a fraught spot. But that's a different dynamic that what we're talking about here, this kind of unconventional warfare support to groups like the Kurds, or maybe even the Baluch, right, which is another ethnicity in Iran that's been fighting for independence for a number of years, and they are very capable militarily.
13:53
That makes sense. I do think, though, that there's maybe an even more basic question that hasn't been answered yet, which is, is there even will among the Iranian people for this kind of comprehensive regime change? And is there will on the American side for that? I mean, just today, President Trump said he doesn't care whether Iran becomes democratic or not. Do you think that's, at this point, a goal or even a desire of either side?
14:17
Yeah, I mean, that there is a great question. I mentioned the Kurds a moment ago. One of the things, despite our support to the Kurds over the years, and the Kurds, right, across whether you're talking about in Iran, in Iraq, in Turkey, in Syria, again, in all of these places, except for Turkey, we have supported the Kurds. But the Kurds in some places, like Iraq, have actually gotten a better deal not fighting for independence, but agreeing to regional autonomy. And so it's a great question to ask, what do these populations really want? Do they want regime overthrow, or do they want policy changes? And it seems that many of them do want some overthrow of the regime. But one of the other challenges that, again, if we go back to sort of history, it is extremely difficult analytically to gauge and to anticipate the very word that you used, will, right? Not just a word, it's a variable. The will to fight is often not just sort of revealed by conflict, but it's also sort of conditioned by conflict. And this is why during, most recently during the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, the United States sort of did not fully estimate the degree to which the government of Afghanistan had the will to persist after the US withdrawal in face of Taliban attacks. And then conversely, if just looking at Ukraine, here too, many in the US sort of, and even in the government structures, right? Not just talking about US public opinion, but many of the people that are tasked with knowing these things were really surprised that the Ukrainians not just sort of have lasted as long as they have, but even lasted outside of those original three days.
16:34
Yeah, I think, and that's a great point too. You know, what has happened over the last 50 years is in some ways, you know, kind of anomalous to much of that history. But I think the broader point that you would want to take away from that fact is just once again, going back to these post-conflict dynamics. And, you know, this is just an ever moving target. Today is again, the president, President Trump had said that, you know, well, yesterday he said that he wanted to determine who the next leader was. And then today he was talking about unconditional surrender. But in both of those instances, you are ignoring this central fact that you just described. Any sort of the greater, like the greater than an external power interferes in the domestic politics of a country, the greater to some degree that it can control those outcomes. But paradoxically, the greater that actor becomes involved, the greater the risk of instability because you are an external actor. And because for the United States, we have this history, right? Going back to 1953 and the election of Mosaddegh overthrown in a CIA coup. You know, so the US does not have a lot of legitimacy here as a particular actor, but more broadly, anytime you have these dynamics, and again, right? Under what conditions do things happen? When you have a highly nationalist population, right? With a long, rich history of proud people, it just makes it exceedingly difficult. And this is why external regime change has a terrible record for success.
18:27
Well, so here, that's another great question. And let me just say again, to take that step back, when it comes to long-term stability, that's the key word, long-term. When you look back at Iraq and Afghanistan, despite how long we were there, that was not the intent, right? The US military is optimized for decisive conventional combat. Yes, and some special operations missions, but it's about achieving that technological domain dominance, right? Own the air, own the land. But post-conflict stabilization takes political bargaining, institutional development, long-term legitimacy building. And just from our military to even our political system, right? US electoral cycles, incentivizing quick wins and visible progress and exit timelines. You need that decades-long commitment. You need the tolerance for ambiguity. You need institutional patience. That is why people point to, even though it's not exactly analogous, people point to post-World War II Germany and Japan as the exemplars of what successful post-conflict management could look like. So that being said, what could we do? I have to note that one of the things that we could have done prior to the last year in which the administration is defunded and dismantling things like Voice of America, things like the Radio Free series, which going back to the Cold War would publish the truth, right? Countering regime narratives in local languages. For me, this was a tremendous source of information. And for my own work with the Chechens, a lot of the Chechens, Radio Free Europe, Radio Marshal, Radio Freedom, I mean, this was a really valuable tool. And that's something we're not talking about here, our soft power levers, right? We have just shifted to a world, and people from the administration have said this, right? The iron law, what is it? The iron laws of power for Time Memorial, Stephen Miller said. But that's not really what has worked empirically. So when you ask, what would I do? I would say, you have to get that thing going. You have to get soft power moving. I think with respect to special forces and others, working with locals can bring great reward, right? They know the terrain. They have the local intelligence. But the challenge there is that they don't always share the same objectives beyond the most proximate. Both sides want to get rid of the regime or something like that. And what you see is a lot of times when the US or other actors have backed local groups, you tend to see that that makes conflicts more violent, more lethal. It makes them more protracted. So again, these are the things that in the policy world, it's often not the choice between good policy and bad. It's the least bad option. And when it comes to that least bad option, so things like supporting proxy groups, perhaps like the Kurds or the Baluch, that's going to give the United States some military and political advantage on the ground. But there are some real inherent latent risks. And not just latent, there could be some explicit ones like I described earlier that we should be very, very cautious and aware of.
21:55
Just building on these very insightful comments, Mike, how should we choose leaders to work with? It seems to me as a historian that our track record is pretty poor, whether we're talking Amit Chalabi, Ngo Dinh Diem, even Hamid Karzai, right? I mean, we tend to choose people who, first of all, have dubious legitimacy with certain groups that are important to the post-war environment, as you've described it so well. And also the act of choosing them often delegitimizes them further, right? So how should we do this?
22:29
That, again, is one of the really important questions. Again, by the very nature of our anointing these leaders, we have, by definition, made them in some ways illegitimate. I'm trying to think of what's the best way to get out of this. And it has to be somehow that the US just sets the conditions for the people to choose to select their own leader and to just kind of go with it from there. One of the things that's really sort of important to note too is when we look at these historical examples and think, what can we learn? What are generalizable insights? A lot has been said about how the US prosecuted the war in Afghanistan after 9-11, when they were then suddenly, small footprint, fine local actors you could work with, even though, yes, as you described, Karzai was incredibly problematic. We ignored the sort of tribal dynamics because Afghanistan was very, very heterogeneous. We ignored all of that and we seemed to have some surface level successes. When the US was thinking about the 2003 invasion, there are so many sort of memoirs and other stories that have come out where people had to tell senior leaders, Iraq is not Afghanistan. That was almost like the coffee cup, right? Hey, Iraq is not Afghanistan. And there, again, the ethnic breakdown was very, very different. Now, once again, talking about Iran, Iran is more ethnically homogenous. And on the one hand, you would think you would avoid all of that kind of potential for ethnic factionalization, but there are so many other fissure points, right? There are so many other ways in which society could either coalesce or come apart. And again, my mind automatically goes to beyond the leadership question that you asked that I'm not really giving a great answer for, which I think just in some ways, again, talks to there is no great option here. It's what's the least bad option. But even thinking about that, again, I mentioned this post-conflict sort of dynamic. One of the things that you need too are things like lustration courts and a reckoning for the crimes of the regime. And that's where, again, these cleavages that we see in conflicts, often it's not sort of the population versus the regime. That is one, but it's these very micro-level dynamics. This tribe doesn't like this tribe. This village doesn't like this village. This neighbor doesn't like this neighbor. And that too is part of the complexity, the mosaic of challenges that you find in post-conflict environments.
25:30
Right. You know, that to me, the first thing that comes to mind, as I said earlier, we should be open to the possibility that this ostensibly new way of fighting war, get away with the old pottery barn, right, from Colin Powell during the first and second Gulf Wars. When you break it, you own it, that you have a responsibility to manage post-conflict. Now people are saying that is gone, very publicly saying, you know, that is gone. And we have this new way of warfare. If that is the case, then what you've just described and what is potentially happening with the Ayatollah's son being possibly put forward and the president, not President Trump, being dismissive of that, that type of outcome, the outcome where we have encouraged the Iranian people to rise up, but given the still robust capabilities of the regime, if 30,000 are slaughtered this time, those types of conditions really put this strategy,the viability of this strategy to the test. Because to your very question, Jeremi, what do we do then? And from all indicators, I don't think, I don't see, I don't see that we have a very good plan for that. And even, you know, again, I think it was the, one of the German official, I think came to the White House the other day and came out saying exactly that. I don't see any sort of day after planning. So that puts us really, puts again, this strategy, this ostensibly new strategy to the test. To the question itself, if a leader were to come to power that we're not sort of hopeful with, you know, not happy with, here too, I think we're kind of at a crossroad moment. And I think there's a question of what should we do? And then there's a question of what is the most likely thing that would happen? Again, if that were to happen, the administration would be faced with either having to sort of escalate or to use that as an off ramp. And to basically say what I just said, yeah, it's not our preferred candidate, but it's better than before. And it just allows you to exit. So that's that side of it. But at the end of the day, I think again, if you take a long view, right, a crooked line from a distance looks straight. I think as long as local leaders are not sort of, right, acting and plotting in ways that threaten the sovereignty of your nation, like, you know, we're, we're a democracy. So you let the people have their, have their preferred leader.
28:40
Yeah, another great question. You know, in, so some of the classes I teach are, are, are on post-conflict. And I just taught this course in the fall, and we were talking about, like, you know, there's so many people in Washington at that point, we're not, you know, we're never going to do nation building again. We're never going to do these, these things again. And there was even a talk at UT with a very, with a former, I'm not going to name them, but a very senior US official. And now they're doing some consulting. And in response to a question, they said, you know, I'm going to tell you where we're telling, my company now is telling people to invest. It's the Middle East, because despite the October 7th attacks, in this person's estimation, the Middle East, because of some of the partnerships between Israel and the Gulf States, because of some of these other stabilization equilibrium that were sort of emerging, that it seemed like this was the place to invest. Liberalization was happening in Saudi Arabia, like all of these things. And it's just remarkable that we are in, you know, seven days later, we are in such a different world. You know, Iran is attacking from Azerbaijan, you know, to these Gulf states, economic targets. And, you know, for their part, I just want to say too, like the Gulf states, Qatar and the Emiratis and others, they are ready, you know, they are ready to kind of like end this right now. So there is some momentum to kind of off-ramp among some of these actors. But at this point, it just starts to go wider and wider and wider, right? The ripple effects, the kinetic ripple effects, have gone from the Indian Ocean in Sri Lanka to Azerbaijan. And what I would hope is, one of the things that I teach my students is, right, like, if you're proposing policies like this, you have to think about the unintended consequences. If you do this, what might happen? How? Why? Under what conditions? And this is very time and labor-intensive, but you need to kind of go around the map. So if the US and Israel are to start this, how does this matter for Iran, for India, for Sri Lanka, right? For Iran, you have to go through that. All of this to say, we are at a really fraught moment, and you know, things can settle down quickly. But that's not what appears to be happening right now, and not in the near term, to be sure. Again, there are sort of some ways in which this could sort of, you know, the US and Israel with respect to military operations, and we didn't even talk about that, Israel sort of expanding strikes into southern Lebanon, which has been going on for decades. You know, we can off-ramp, but then what? You know, then what? I just mentioned Lebanon, Lebanon is still feeling the effects of the civil war in the 1980s. I mean, we have destroyed so much infrastructure, and you know, it's the social rebuilding, the psychological rebuilding. You know, again, I work with the Chechens, those wars are 20 years old now, and those people still feel the scars of war.
Framing Elements
View DetailsEpisode 115: Young JFK: Lessons for Democracy Today
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33:34
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Episode 121: Historical Memory and National Trauma
00:00
This Is Democracy, a podcast that explores the interracial, intergenerational, and intersectional, unheard voices living in the world's most influential democracy. [Music]
00:21
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week we have with us one of the foremost scholars, philosophers, and public intellectuals in the world, writing about a topic that's very close to us. I think every day, where history matters for us every day, which is how we think about memory and the ways in which memories of the past, particularly memories of a traumatic, guilt ridden, difficult past, the ways those memories are used or not used to improve or limit our democracy. In other words, what is the role for historical memory in addressing past injustices?
01:02
Susan Neiman, who is our guest today. Susan has written some of the most important work on this. She is the director of the Einstein Forum in Berlin. She was born in Atlanta, Georgia, and that's central to a lot of her work. But she studied philosophy at Harvard and the Freie Universität in Berlin, was a professor of philosophy at Yale and Tel Aviv University before moving to Berlin, moving back to Berlin for the Einstein Forum. She is the author of numerous books of contemporary philosophy and political philosophy as well, a number that I just like to mention, Evil and Modern Thought, particularly relevant, perhaps to our world today. Moral Clarity: A Guide for Grown-Up Idealists, I'm not sure that I'm a grown up idealist, but at least give one a try.
01:46
You probably are if you're doing this podcast.
01:49
Thank you, Susan, that makes me feel a lot better. And her most recent book, the book that's really going to be at the center of our discussion today, which is really a phenomenal book. Both Zachary and I have read it: Learning from the Germans' Race and the Memory of Evil. It has just come out, in paperback, with a brand new final section, at least for now, on the Black Lives Matter movement, and how it relates to Susan's really in depth discussion of historical memory in Germany and the United States over the last century.
02:20
Susan, thank you for joining us today. It's a pleasure. Before we turn to our discussion, as always, we have our scene-setting poem from Mr. Zachary Suri and today's poem is actually a bilingual poem from Zachary. This is the first of your bilingual poems in one hundred and twenty or so [episodes], I think. Zachary, what is the title of your poem?
02:39
âHerbst ich erinnere mich,â or âFall I remember.â Let's hear it.
02:46
âFall, I remember. You sneak up on us from behind the orchard fence. You seem cold and distant until the signs at the gas station begin to freeze. Herbst, ich erinnere mich an dich, der alte Mann in dem Supermarkt mit kaltem Haar, zwischen geöffnet und geschlossen Hoffnung. Fall, I remember you like a blessing, a prayer for the lost souls in tandem with the damp leaves trodden underfoot. The air is burning now. The earth is burning. The fires are so hot they feel as if they could be frozen. Und dann von hinter der Regalen hat ein Mann deinen Arm berührt. And then from behind the shelves, a man has touched your arm. He is memory. Er ist die Erinnerung. And there are the eyes of your underlings, and the eyes of the mistreated ones, and the eyes of your fathers, and your mothers and your great, great forgotten ones. Es gibt die Schuld deines Land. There is the guilt of your country. Es gibt die Schuld deiner Hand. There is the guilt of your hand. Wie kommt das Ende der Geschichte mit dem Ende der Erinnerung? Wie kommt das Ende der Erinnerung mit dem Ende der Zeit? Wie kommt das Ende der Schuld mit Erbst, mit Zärtlichkeit?â
03:59
That was really powerful. Very powerful. I think you should translate that last section for us and tell us what your poem's about.
04:02
Well, so I'll answer the latter question first. So my poem is really about how we think about historical memory and guilt. And it's particularly about this moment we find ourselves in in the fall of 2020, right before the presidential election, sort of thinking about our history and how it's going to affect our future.
04:31
And the last six lines of the poem in German translate roughly as how does the end of history come with the end of memory? How does the end of memory come with the end of time? How does the end of guilt come with fall, with tenderness?
04:48
It evokes a little bit of T.S. Eliot, right? Not with a bang, but with a whimper.
04:54
Well, I was also thinking, Zachary, I don't know if you know, there's a fairly well known poem of Rilke. I don't know its title anymore, but it starts with es ist herbst, it's fall. Do you know that?
05:06
I think I may have come across it, but I was definitely going more T.S. Eliot.
05:11
But yeah, I prefer T.S. Eliot to Rilke myself, actually. But that, his herbst poem, is a good poem.
05:20
It is. You know, I'm glad you mentioned that, Susan. I read it years ago. I'm going to go back and find it when we're done and maybe put it up on the website with the link to your book. That's really, really wonderful. Susan, building on Zachary's poem and the sort of haunting elements of memory, maybe you can take us through a little bit about why you wrote this book, Learning from the Germans. It's a deep, thoughtful, intellectual book, but it's also a very personal book, which I loved.
05:46
Thank you. Yeah, it's not an academic book, although sometimes I call myself a recovering philosophy professor. [Laughter] But much of it's written in the first person.
33:53
Thank you for joining us from Berlin today for this discussion.
33:56
Well, it's been a pleasure, and now I'll look up your podcast more often.
34:01
I hope you will.
34:03
I will.
34:04
And Zachary, thank you, as always for a moving poem in two languages this time. You keep outdoing yourself every week and most of all, thank you to our listeners. And I do want to encourage everyone to pick up a copy of Susan's book. It's now in paperback, Learning from the Germans. The title, very easy to remember.
34:22
Thank you for joining us for this episode of This Is Democracy.
34:26
[Music] This podcast is produced by the Liberal Arts Development Studio and the College of Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. The music in this episode was written and recorded by Harrison Lemke, and you can find his music at HarrisonLemke.com.
34:47
Subscribe and stay tuned for a new episode every Thursday, featuring new perspectives on democracy. [Music]
Episode 138: The Filibuster
00:00
This is Democracy, a podcast about the people of the United States, a podcast about citizenship, about engaging with politics, and the world around you. A podcast about educating yourself on today's important issues and how to have a voice in what happens next. Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy.
00:29
This week we are going to discuss a perennial topic of congressional politics and a perennial debate within our democracy, one that's becoming perhaps more important than it's been in a long time. The question of whether the U.S. Senate should continue to have a rule for a filibuster, which allows a minority, a small minority, in the Senate to prevent legislation and other matters from moving forward.
00:55
This is, as I said, an age-old question. It's central to American legislation in American politics, and we're very fortunate to have with us one of the leading scholars of Congress in general, and this topic, among many others.
01:09
My friend and colleague, Sean Theriault. Good morning, Sean. Good morning, Jeremi. Sean is a professor in the Department of Government here at the University of Texas at Austin. As I said, he is an internationally recognized, widely published author and speaker on the various pathologies of the U. S. Congress. Sean has written five outstanding books, many of which have won awards.
01:31
He began his illustrious career with the book The Power of the People, appropriately titled for a Scholar of Congress. I guess that's the aspiration of Congress more than the reality. He then published a really prescient book in 2008: Party Polarization in Congress, then another book that I really enjoyed reading. I read this book on the prize committee years agoâThe Gingrich Senatorsâreally, one of the best books at explaining how Newt Gingrich and his generation transformed the U. S. Congress.
02:01
And then more recently, The Great Broadening. And just this last year, a really important book for educating all of us about these topics, Congress: The First Branch. Sean also writes widely in every major newspaper. He appears on all kinds of news shows.
02:16
We could call you, Sean, Mr. Congress. How does that sound?
02:18
I'll take that moniker, although Congress isn't so popular these days, Jeremi. [Laughter] Yeah, well, I think it's safe to say, Sean, you are more popular than Congress. Thanks, Jeremi.
02:30
Before our conversation with Sean, as always, we have our scene setting poem from Mr. Zachary Suri.
02:38
Zachary, what is the title of your poem today?
02:40
With a single speech.
02:42
Well, let's hear it.
02:44
âIt is a kind of arrogance that we think ourselves so sacrosanct that we build for our posterity, a temple of democracy, and hand any old fool a key. It is a kind of arrogance that we think ourselves so chosen that we steal votes from cities, for a slew of empty prairies, to send their any old Tom, Harry, Dick, and Larrys. It is a kind of arrogance that we think ourselves so holy that they can stand among the rubble that they burned right to the ground; and with their fist hollowed oaken desk of storied Asia's pound, and cry out for the freedom of ten hours for their mouths to sound. It is a kind of arrogance that we think are stars so well foretold to turn away the crying of a child for the banknotes, pristinely rolled. To rest our eyes on empty promises, where they rest in rot and mold, and wake up in a stupor, still in the middle of our speech. And sing to the great portraits about the horror to impeach. But the old poets of the tattered haunts, they know it all too well, and can recall of every second to you in a cafe with a screech, as their voices swell. Old men cannot solve our problems with a single speech.â
04:03
Zachary, that's lovely. What is your poem about?
04:06
My poem is really about the irony that we consider ourselves such an important and original democracy. And we think ourselves so great that we don't actually need to maintain our democracy and perform the basic maintenance of democratic institutions. And even while we have these very archaic institutions, like the filibuster, embedded in our very houses of government.
04:35
Well, that's just a fantastic opening for our conversation. Sean, is the filibuster an archaic element of Congress?
04:44
So first Jeremi, how dare you make us go after Zachary! [laughter] If I ever sign up to do this show again, I'm going to mandate that he go last, so I don't have to follow that! [laughter]
04:56
You're not the first guest to say that. So you should listen to your guests, Jeremi. How dare you sucker punch us off! [laughter]
29:12
Sean, this was fantastic. You offer such detailed and insightful knowledge on Congress and related political matters. And you're so good at explaining things and also making it fun and interesting, so thank you, Sean, for joining us today.
29:28
Oh, thank you for having me on, Jeremi. It's a pleasure talking to you and Zachary today. And Zachary, thank you for your poem, as always, and most of all, thank you to our listeners for joining us for this episode of This is Democracy.
29:39
This podcast is produced by the Liberal Arts ITS Development Studio and the College of Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. The music in this episode was written and recorded by Harris Komotini. Stay tuned for a new episode every week. You can find This is Democracy on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and Stitcher. See you next time!
Episode 169: Vietnam War Legacies
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Episode 206: Leadership
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34:30
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Episode 247: Strikes by Autoworkers
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Episode 251: Middle East in the 1970s and Today
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Episode 264: Free Trade and Peace
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Episode 273: Venezuela Elections with Professor Kurt Weyland
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41:53
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Episode 279: Hubert Humphrey & Civil Rights
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Episode 283: Barbara Jordan
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36:09
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Episode 299: Southern Politics: Past and Present
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Episode 302: Freedom Season 1963
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41:03
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Episode 310: Have we Outgrown the Constitution?
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Voiceover: A podcast about educating yourself on today’s important issues and how to have a voice in what happens next.
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Episode 311: US-Latin American Relations
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27:57
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Episode 312: Ukraine Negotiations
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37:55
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Episode 313: Civics and History Education
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41:57
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Episode 314: Reflections on 2025, Lessons for 2026
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30:43
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Episode 315: Venezuela Intervention
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Episode 316: Minneapolis
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Episode 317: Vigilantism and Violence in American Society
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Episode 318: War In Iran
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Uncategorized
View DetailsEpisode 115: Young JFK: Lessons for Democracy Today
13:27
Really interesting. And let's talk a little bit about JFK's distinctiveness from his father, his critique of appeasement, his critique of the isolationism, and even somewhat pro-Nazi tendencies of his father. How would you characterize his emerging, shall we say, Cold War viewpoint?
21:07
Over more than 100 episodes, we've seen, I think, in such a range of figures, how important those precise qualities that you just highlighted so brilliantly, that those qualities of compromise and attention to evidence and deliberative policymaking, how crucial they are to a democracy. How did Lyndon Johnson interact with John F. Kennedy? Because one of the issues that comes up quite often in some of our prior discussions and in a lot of the scholarship, as you know better than anyone, is this rivalry between Lyndon Johnson and the Kennedy family.
22:10
One is that Kennedy respected LBJ's unsurpassed skill at maneuvering in Washington, his ability to buttonhole lawmakers and to get them to do what he needed them to do. This is evident even when he's obviously the chieftain in the Senate. And I think Kennedy rightly marvels at this ability and respects Johnson for it.
22:43
One of the things that one of the appealing aspects of John F. Kennedy is I think he respects people who are really good at what they do, regardless of field. He could see this in Johnson. On the other hand, you know, it's clear that when he becomes vice president, and arguably has an important role to play in securing this razor thin victory against Nixon in the election in 1960, you know, he and his team, they don't treat Lyndon Johnson very well in terms of his role as vice president, the kinds of duties that they give him, the degree to which they include him on important policy decisions, especially in foreign affairs.
Episode 138: The Filibuster
14:58
But historians, I think, would argue, [it] took much longer to get that legislation. And Jim Crow, and of course, before that, slavery, last a lot longer than they might have otherwise because of the filibuster, so you can see both sides. Would you agree with that?
15:12
Oh, absolutely, right. So in part of the arguments that we're hearing today is that the filibuster should ultimately be revoked from the rules of the Senate, for perhaps most importantly, because of its racist past. Right?
15:26
So we don't get legislation on civil rights until the late 1950s and 1960s, in part because of the filibuster and in the power of the super majoritarian requirement in the Senate. That there was no way that you could [a] get sufficient number of senators to pass something, even though there might have been fifty-one votes much earlier.
Episode 169: Vietnam War Legacies
07:35
Well, I think one of the things that makes American foreign policy so difficult to understand sometimes is the ways in which self-interest and altruism blend in the way Americans think about the world. The old adage was, what's good for General Motors is good for the world. And I think that there's something really important in that kind of comment. Right? So many American policymakers believe that the United States was on the side of righteousness and had the keys to assuring progress and uplift for the whole world. But they had no doubt at the same time that the same policies would also serve the United States. So I think this distinction between self-interest and the larger global interest is clearer in retrospect than it was in the minds of the people who tended to make policy in the United States. And that was certainly true, I would say, during the 1960s.
08:37
And Mark, I think your book is really brilliant on that point because it shows, especially in your country-specific chapters, and I hope all of our listeners will go ahead and buy and read the book. Mark has chapters on Brazil, India, Iran, Indonesia, and Southern Africa. In each of these chapters, there's kind of a similar narrative arc, it seems to me, where the United States is initially pursuing self-interested goals, but also goals that are merged to some sense of democratic hope, some sense of positive change. And then in almost every one of these chapters, Mark, to my reading, the effects of the Vietnam War to push the United States toward more support for authoritarianism and often more militaristic behavior or supportive militaristic behavior on the ground. Is that a fair reading? And if so, why does that happen?
09:29
I think that is a fair reading. I tried to pick case studies, and you've listed them, Jeremi, thank you, that would illustrate a range of patterns in American behavior across the s. Two of them, Brazil and Indonesia, are very similar in demonstrating the ways in which Americans supported right-wing coups that basically eliminated very uncertain political situations in very important countries in favor of regimes, military regimes, that would clearly serve American interests much more directly and be reliable partners of the United States.
10:04
But in Iran, I think you see a similar pattern. There isn't a change in regime, but the United States becomes much more supportive and much less critical of the Shah, a deeply authoritarian figure over that time. And then I also threw in a couple of case studies that illustrate how the United States behaved in places where there was no reliable authoritarian alternative. So I look at India, where Americans had great hopes for a new kind of partnership with a regime that was hardly a candidate for a close alliance with the United States in the early 1960s. And I try to show how the United States sort of soured on that whole idea of building connections to India. And basically by the end of the decade was very much at arm's length with the Indian government and largely given up on its ambitions there.
13:15
So if there were reliable alternatives to be had out there in the third world, LBJ was increasingly likely to seize on those and privilege stability above change across the board, I think you could say, by the end of the decade.
13:57
I do think that's true. I think by certainly, LBJ is so focused on Vietnam tha the sees every other policy challenge globally through that prism. And so even in relatively distant and perhaps somewhat unlikely places where you wouldn't think Vietnam was a major issue, LBJ is talking about Vietnam. So when he meets the generals in Brazil, when they come to visit him, I suppose I should say, or when he's talking to the Shah, Vietnam is very much on the agenda and he's looking for support. He's looking for indications that these regimes will support him, even if it's in a relatively symbolic way. That mattered a lot to LBJ as time passed.
15:51
And for this reason was prone to seeing every other issue through that prism. And I think you see it not only in connection with foreign policy issues, where you might be more likely to see connections among different foreign policy questions. You also see it in the domestic arena, where LBJ's attitudes toward his advisors, toward members of Congress, were deeply informed by his perception of where they stood on Vietnam and how they were likely to support him or not. It's, I think, one of the tragedies of the Johnson presidency that Vietnam becomes so all-consuming for him that every other issue becomes in some ways subordinate to it.
17:53
He was aware that activism and unrest was increasingly a global phenomenon. And I think for this reason, was drawn to the idea that where stability seemed to be possible, where he could find partners who would cooperate with him and clamp down on at least some of this unrest, he was ready to seize those opportunities. So, you know, I bite off a piece of that larger story by looking at American relationships with countries in the third world.
18:29
But, you know, Jeremi, I think your book Power and Protest gets at another dimension of this broad phenomenon, the quest for stability and security and predictability in an increasingly uncertain world where governmental authorities are losing their ability to control. You know, everything that's happening around the world is in some ways a big story of the 1960s.
18:49
Yeah, I thought, Mark, your book did really a wonderful job of taking that story that some of us have focused on and really connecting it to the story of what was called the third world and how this impacted not simply detente policy, a search for stability between the US and the Soviet Union and a search for law and order at home. Lyndon Johnson's the first to really use that phrase, law and order. But as you show in this book, as I think no one has before, how this really comes to define, again, American policy in Brazil and Indonesia, which to me was, again, startling. I had seen hints of this, but my gosh, the depth of it, I think we have not appreciated until reading your book.
19:54
I think that the result of the trends that I write about in the book is that the United States by the early 1960s is drawn very strongly to the notion of stability in the third world. As I've said, most of that ambition that was so characteristic of the early s has disappeared. I think it really was Richard Nixon and someone you know, Jeremi, better than anyone, Henry Kissinger, who fully articulated the logic that had become clear to the Johnson administration as the 1960s passed.
29:35
And the reason why I say I think there's something a little bit optimistic in that observation is that this is probably a lesson that many Americans, regardless of where they stand on the big questions of the legacy of the Vietnam War, could perhaps agree on. We recognize that there are risks in going too far in one place and sort of losing a sense of proportionality, losing an ability to prioritize. Um, so it may be that. When the problem is framed in that way, what are America's priorities? Where, where should it attach greater importance and devote more resources? We could find space for agreements or at least broad consents.
Episode 206: Leadership
25:13
In particular, you very honestly and in great detail talk about Kennedy's affairs and it's hard to have a conversation about Kennedy today without talking about that, particularly the story of Mimi Beardsley, which we only learned about, I guess, a decade or two ago, this 19-year-old intern who I think it's fair to say is sexually exploited by the president. Yet there's the image, of course, of Camelot and Kennedy and Jackie and the children. You're also very clear that Kennedy was not the most engaged father.
25:56
Yeah, it's a fair question, Jeremi, and I had to wrestle with that too, as you do with any biography. Kennedy stands on feet of clay at times and shows flashes of greatness at others, and I think that his great moral failing is his womanizing. That said, I'm certainly not rationalizing womanizing, but I remember talking to Gerald Ford years ago and he was talking about Washington in that age.
26:23
He said that it was quite common. In fact, it was the general rule that a lawmaker on Capitol Hill had affairs, illicit or otherwise. Some were very open. Gerald Ford certainly did not. I think he was faithful to his wife. They had a very close relationship, but most of his contemporaries, most of his peers did.
26:47
Kennedy was certainly no exception. In the testosterone-filled Kennedy household, it was almost a way of keeping score, a way of competing with his father and his brothers, and to some degree, so you can chalk it up to being part of the zeitgeist. By the same token, there is that relationship with Mimi Beardsley that you referenced very astutely.
27:11
You just can't get over that. He not only exploits her, he really objectifies her. He makes her almost this concubine, and in fact, at one point commands her to perform a sexual act on a friend in aid. That just can't be chalked up to the zeitgeist. That is just a deep, deep personal flaw, and it's really hard to get around. By the same token, you see Kennedy in leadership and in these pivotal moments in the presidency, and as you suggested, Jeremi, he does show a certain grace that helps us to circumvent the crises that he was laden with during the course of his presidency.
Episode 247: Strikes by Autoworkers
11:09
Yeah. Well, I mean, so since the 1970s, we've seen a really dramatic change in the way in which labor laws have been enforced. We've again seen a weakening of the enforcement mechanisms. We've seen a sort of emboldening of employers to really ignore the labor laws, which are, in some ways sort of inherently weak, as there aren't very many enforcement mechanisms or serious enforcement mechanisms in them. At the same time, we've seen a decline in the number of workers who are employed in the core industries in the United States, partially due to automation, partially due to the globalization of manufacturing, the rise of the service economy.
14:07
Will, your discussion of the election of a new UAW leader brings up an important issue. I often hear people say very derogatory things about unions, and I think some of this comes out of the rhetoric of the 1970s and '80s that unions are corrupt and that unions are run only for the leadership. That's obviously not true, but why do you think that's said so often, and what's your response to that?
14:36
Well, I mean, it's said, it is in part true. I mean, there is a truth to the fact that there has been corruption in unions. I think like any large institution, there's room for corruption. I think it also has gained strength from the position that these big industrial unions have found themselves in, where they, it's been very difficult for them to actually deliver for their members, so there's this, you know, a sense that they don't get much done. You know, they've done an important, they've played important roles in at least holding the ground. But I think, you know, that's something that's very hard for people to see, and so there's a sort of, yes, sense that these are institutions that are on their back, and it's hard to sell them even to their own members.
20:28
I think the third thing that I'd point to is actually this reform movement within the union movement that, you know, really goes back to the 1970s, but that people have been working within the unions to make them both, you know, to sort of root out corruption, but also to make them more aggressive and to sort of take on some of these concessions. And that, I think we're seeing, you know, all of the leadership of many of the big unions and of the AFL-CIO comes out of these reform movements that started back in the 1970s. So I think we're in some ways seeing the results of those.
Episode 273: Venezuela Elections with Professor Kurt Weyland
00:23
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. This week, we are continuing our discussion of democracies and elections around the world. This is, as we've said many times on the podcast, this is a year with more democracies voting, and more non democracies voting as well in elections around the world than at any point in human history before. And these elections and democracies and non democracies will really set the course for so many countries and probably for our globe moving forward for the next years and decades we are going to discuss today the recent elections in Venezuela and the controversies over those recent elections in Venezuela. On July 28 2024 the country of Venezuela held elections, and the incumbent president and dictator, Nicolás Maduro, claims he won the elections, but almost all observers, including the United States, are pretty clear on the evidence that Maduro lost these elections, what has happened in Venezuela and where do we go from here? We're going to understand the history surrounding these elections, what occurred in these elections, and we're going to think about based on knowledge of what's happened in other societies, particularly in the same region. We're going to discuss where we think these election results might go in the future of Venezuela. We are fortunate to be joined by my colleague and friend and someone who I think has done some of the most impressive work on authoritarianism and related regime change issues in Latin America. This is my colleague, Professor Kurt Wayland. Kurt Wayland is the Mike Hogg Professor in the Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. He's done amazing primary source research and direct interviews, the kind of work that historians love when you get dirty with the primary sources. He's done this research in so many countries in the region, probably as many as anyone else, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Peru and, of course, Venezuela. I probably left off some other countries, and I've of course forgotten to mention that he's also done research in the United States. Professor Wayland is the author of seven books. I'm going to just name a few of them, The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies, which was published in 2002, Making Waves: Democratic Contention in Europe and Latin America. 2014. Assault on Democracy: Communism, Fascism and Authoritarianism During the Interwar Years, published in 2021 and published just this year, a book I need to read because I haven't kept up with everything Kurt's written. It's impossible to keep up with it. Democracy's Resilience to Populism Threat, a book that's probably directly relevant to our discussion today. Professor Kurt Wayland, Kurt, thanks for joining us today.
05:47
So if you want to go back to the origins, I think Venezuela had democracy that was oligarchic and ossified and elitist, but that used to have from the late 1950s to the 1990s two party competition and alternation in power. So it was a democracy, but it was ossified and corrupt. So that allowed for the rise of Hugo Chávez, who was military nationalist, who had actually made a coup attempt against that ossified democracy, but to then took the electoral route, and due to vast popular discontent, he was swept into office in the landslide in 1998 and he started as a democratically elected leader, but he is a populist, and populists want power, and they want more power, and they want to stay in power for a long time. And so Hugo Chávez immediately transformed the institutions to concentrate more power to get control of the legislature, soon, pack the courts, push the opposition aside. So what Hugo Chávez did he transfer? He used his democratically elected position to transform Venezuela gradually, slowly, into what we call a soft authoritarian regime. And I say soft because Hugo Chávez was tremendously charismatic. He had an electrifying personality. So Hugo Chávez could do this transformation from democracy into authoritarian rule, but not using very much violence and repression at all. So he was illiberal. He was undemocratic. He used his charisma to essentially establish his political hegemony and cement cement his authoritarian regime. But he was not brutal and repressive. Then what happens is that Chávez dies an early age of cancer, and he had these charismatic leaders are so full of themselves they don't want to nurture rivals. So he had survived himself, typically, by comparing weaklings and sycophants. And when he was about to die, he nominated one of those weaklings and sycophants, Nicholás Maduro, as his successor. So then Maduro comes in, has an authoritarian regime, but doesn't have the charismatic authority and popular support of Hugo Chávez. So soon, Maduro faces opposition challenges. What do you do if you have an authoritarian regime, you don't have a lot of popular support, you use your control of the military and you crack down. And so Maduro cracked down hard in 2014 against opposition protests. He cracked down again in 2017 he cracked down in 2019 so what he did is he transformed Hugo Chávez's soft authoritarian regime into a harsh, repressive dictatorship. By the way, much, much harsher than Victor Orbán's in Hungary. So Orbán still has a soft authoritarian regime. Venezuela has turned into a really repressive dictatorship. So these dictatorships, they don't they don't respect elections. They still hold elections to have a window dressing because they claim to have to be democratic. But they do whatever they can, ban opposition politicians. Make life hard for the opposition, control the airwaves, spent tremendously before the election, so Hugo Chávez, Nicolás Maduro, got himself re-elected in 2018 in a complete sham election that the opposition boycotted, but the opposition has no leverage against him. Protests don't work. International pressure hasn't worked, so the opposition decided this time, when Maduro came up for re-election, to challenge him in the election, thinking that the time was right for a change, because at the same time that Maduro transformed Venezuela into a brutal dictatorship, he has also ruined the economy. I mean rowing, there hasn't been a country suffering so badly outside of war, than Venezuela. Venezuela, in the last 20 years has seen its GDP drop by 75% I'm talking about 75% which is a tremendous collapse, 75% so about three or four years ago, when the economy hit, worked. Autumn, about 80, 90% of the population lived in poverty. 8 million Venezuelans have left the country in despair, and so I mean, has done total mismanagement, but holding this election, the opposition thought they could finally make dent, and opinion polls showed overwhelming support for the opposition, very low support for Maduro. The exit polls show overwhelming support for the opposition, so they clearly, clearly won, but Maduro, for reasons that I can explain later, Maduro just simply claims to have won, sits there, has support from the military, has taken over all the institutions and justice I won, and the opposition can claim whatever they want, the international community can demand whatever they want. I'll just keep governing.
10:51
Kurt, that's a incredibly helpful overview, and I'm amazed at how much you were able to pack into that one answer that really helps us understand the rise of what was first a populist authoritarian regime and what now sounds like almost an Orwellian nightmare, is dictatorship which is obviously destroying the country, and it also helps to explain the incredibly large number of Venezuelan refugees coming to the United States, for example. Why did Maduro hold this election? It was clear he was going to lose. He did ban the Leader of the Opposition, Maria Corina Machado, but even with the stand-in opposition figure, Edmundo Gonzalez, it was quite clear from weeks ago, I think, right, that the opposition was going to get more votes. Why did he subject himself to this election?
11:45
So this is interesting about these authoritarian regimes. When you go back and you mentioned my inter-war book in the inter-war years, authoritarian rulers were happy to call themselves dictators, and they were proud that they are dictators. But after the Second World War, dictatorship hasn't been that cool anymore, and especially after the end of the Cold War, when the United States in the 1990s had tremendous global hegemony and pushed countries to become liberal and democratic. Nowadays, it's not cool anymore not to hold elections. So virtually every country in the world holds elections, and a lot of these elections are complete sham. The incumbent wins by 98% of the vote. But the old elections say, oh, you know, we have a democratic facade. And I think that is especially the case in cases where authoritarian regime emerges fairly gradually from a democracy. I mean, there wasn't a military coup, you know, right now I'm down in Chile, when in Chile there was a military coup. Dictator Pinochet closed elections. I just want to do as a military dictator. But if you are populist leader who transforms his country from a democracy into an authoritarian regime, you don't want to cancel elections and then suddenly become a dictator. You try, and if you're Chávez, you have a lot of popularity, you think you can win all these elections, and you maintain elections. It's not cool not to have elections, especially in the Western Hemisphere, under the nose of the United States, in a region that in 2001 adopted a Democratic Charter that the region committed to democracy. And so you claim against all evidence that this is democratic, and this is democratic, and you all the elections, and then you try to manipulate the stage. You mentioned the banning of the main opposition candidate. You try to manipulate things in all kinds of ways so that somehow or other, you think he might be able to eke out victory. I don't know what Maduro thought, whether he thought somehow his manipulations would allow him to achieve some kind of shame victory, or whether he just thought, it doesn't matter, but not holding elections, it's just not legit anymore.
14:21
It's very hard to know. We don't have access to the inner, innner workings of the Maduro regime. We don't know some of these, some of these dictators are really quite united and believe their own propaganda. I mean, what is interesting and what I honestly do not understand, while Maduro outlawed the main opposition candidate and created all kinds of trouble for the opposition, and imprisoned opposition leaders, left and right and all the kind of thing. He allowed opinion polls to go forward, and every single credible opinion poll showed like the vote preference of 70% For the opposition and 25% for Maduro. So if so, I would find it kind of surprising if Maduro didn't know what the population was like. Maybe they thought that by for example, there are rumors that do it on election day, they created trouble for people to vote, especially opposition neighborhoods, you know, long lines and very slow movement, and whereas in their own neighborhoods, you know, so they maybe they thought, in just manipulating the voting process or that they could somehow others manipulate ballot boxes, that they would come up with the result. It's hard to know what exactly is going on, but, but what I frankly, wonder is whether Maduro just thought the result doesn't matter. I mean, he said before the election, the famous quote, I'll win by hook or crook. It doesn't matter. You know, this way or other. And so these dictators, you know, he knew that he had a lot of support from the military, which is absolutely decisive, for reasons that I can explain. And so in some sense, it doesn't matter to him what the election result is. He just sits there, protected by the military, knows he will stay in power. The domestic opposition can shout and yell. The international community can make pressure. He has enough support from China, Russia, Iran, and he'll just sit there. He sits on oil, so he has some economic lifeline and election result in some basic sense, doesn't matter that much to him.
16:45
So this is interesting, in any authoritarian regime, ultimately, it comes down to who controls organized coercion. Because if you're under an authoritarian regime, you don't have procedural, institutional legitimacy, and so you need, ultimately, the capacity to rely on coercion if there's problem, if there is protests, you need to have the capacity to clamp down. Now, front line of that is the police and these paramilitaries that they have in these paramilitary gangs that they have in Venezuela. But ultimately, when push comes to shove, it depends on the military. The military is the mainstay of every single authoritarian regime, the Ultima ratio. So and Maduro has that military support for the same reason that Maduro feels compelled to stay in power, which is the following. During his 11 years as a dictator, Maduro has committed a bunch of human rights violations. He has ensured military loyalty by allowing the military to engage in large scale corruption, contraband. The military and Maduro are involved in international drug trafficking. Two of Maduro's nephews were apprehended in 2015 for involvement in drug trafficking. So the whole clique in power, Maduro, his political support, his narrow aids and the military, which is the mainstay, they're all essentially a crime cartel mafia and so the problem is the international community has become legalized. The international community says we don't accept corruption. We don't accept human rights violations anymore. And so the international community has threatened to indict Maduro and a whole bunch of his underlings for their human rights violations, for their corruption, for their involvement in drug trafficking, not only the US, but also the International Criminal Court. And so that whole mafia in power essentially feels compelled to stay in power, because if they were to lose power, they go to jail, to jail. And you see the international presidents. When the president of Honduras, Juan Orlando Hernandez, stepped down in 2022 within three weeks, he was in chains and extradited to the United States. And so that's what Maduro and all the main generals fear. If they lose power, they're going to go to jail forever, and so that's the reason why they cling to power, regardless of what happens. And by Maduro can be assured of military support. They all, you know this saying they all have to hang together so that they don't hang separately.
21:18
That is the thing, right? I mean, you think France would want to have sit Maduro in some fancy, fancy mansion in the Riviera, you know, sipping Gin Tonic by lying around the pool in France? I mean, you know, this has become impossible. Can you imagine the outcry? Of course, nobody would want the guy. The only places that he could go to would be North Korea, which is not precisely, very attractive. And so that is a terrible dilemma, because you refer, you know, you probably alluded, to the south of France to former dictator of Haiti Duvalier. He went to France. At that time, there was still, you know, Haiti, former French colony. He could go to France. And he left. And so he ended that nightmare in Haiti. But nowadays Maduro go to France. I mean, no way. And so that is the problem we would be the international community would need to designate like St Helena or something at the safe haven dictators and give them beautiful mansions there. But, you see, for my joke, it's not a viable alternative, and it's right, it's not a credible offer. The opposition, knowing of the terrible dilemma, the opposition said, Maduro, you know, if we win, we will negotiate with you and exit. That's not credible, because if they win, and Maduro recognizes the victory is in a very weak position. Is he going to believe that they will give him safe haven, and even if the Venezuelan opposition would want it. How about the US and how about the International Criminal Court? I mean, now in this election controversy, the head of the OAS has requested the of the International Criminal Court to have an order order of imprisonment from Maduro. You can't easily have that go away.
23:42
So to talk about the support inside Venezuela, I mean, Hugo Chávez was hugely, hugely popular for all his failings. Hugo Chávez took on an ossified elitist democracy and claimed to do things for poorer people. And given that, Hugo Chávez benefited from the global commodities boom, he rolled over one a bunch of social programs, you know, he tried to advance popular health care, literacy campaigns, all these kinds of things. So some people benefited from Chávez, and Chávez was highly revered, and some of that still persists. But I think the main support for my guru is essentially people who are utterly dependent upon him. Every person who works in the vastly swelled public administration has to promise support to Maduro, otherwise they lose their job. And what Maduro has done, he has devilishly taken advantage of the terrible crisis that he helped to create by using a program of distribution of food packages to the poor who have nothing to eat, and controls that through a surveillance system to essentially say you only eat if you support me. And so when you see now people protesting in favor of Maduro, a lot of those are essentially bought lackeys. And so that is also, you know, there is the regime holds a whole bunch of people hostage, because if you don't vote, and people probably fear if they vote, they have to vote for Maduro, you don't vote, you don't eat. So that's the domestic support. So So is that voluntary? Autonomous? Probably not. I think a lot of that is coerced and dependent internationally. Unfortunately, as I said, I'm down in Chile and I was recently in Brazil, a number of left wingers still have this sort of strange ideological affinity. So the Chilean Communist Party has recognized the Venezuelan election, and Maduro has reelected the Brazilian Workers Party, the Workers Party of President Lula in Brazil, which rose under an authoritarian regime and was very important for Brazil's democratization, the Workers Party of Brazil has recognized Maduro's victory to be out of that kind of misunderstood ideological affinity. So there's this left-wing thing like, Oh yeah, you know, he's kind of bad, but he still is a left winger, and we need to support him, and also driven a little by anti-Americanism. So So you have this strange kind of sort of support for a left winger that leaves democracy out of the picture. And that is really very disturbing.
26:18
This is all very depressing. I have to say, Kurt, it sounds like we have a truly dystopian regime, but a dystopian regime that has developed coup-proof tentacles, as as many in the field would say, so. So what are the what are the options for going forward? I mean, there is a very well organized opposition, courageous, an opposition that was able to bring out a lot of voters, and also, as you said, the economy in Venezuela, despite Venezuela having more oil resources than any other country in the world, more oil than Saudi Arabia, even, nonetheless, this country is starving because of the mismanagement and the corruption and the International sanctions. So is there a breaking point? What does that look like? Where do you see this going?
27:08
I unfortunately do not see a breaking point, and I do not see a realistic chance for Maduro leaving office anytime soon. I think the opposition is enormously courageous. I admire the courage of people to not only to go out and campaign and to be opposition candidates, but even to vote for the opposition. I admire their courage in protesting, but I do not think that they have the cloud by far domestically to really do something. And the international community, the international community, of course, is divided, as I mentioned. Maduro, has support from the kind of bad axis of China and Russia and Iran and whatever Western countries, many countries have not recognized the result of the election, and they're pushing for Venezuela to make transparent the voting process and to negotiate and all this kind of thing. And Maduro just doesn't do it, you know. So here, in some sense, surprisingly, a group of left-wing governments in Latin America, led by Luna da Silva, who, as president, although his party recognized the election as President, hasn't done it. Gustavo Pedro of Mexico and of Colombia, sorry, and then AMLO of Mexico, they have all pushed Venezuela to make the Election Results transparent, and Maduro says, yeah, and maybe not, and maybe whatever, and just doesn't do it. And so I think the international community essentially has no leverage. What leverage do you have? I mean, the country, the country's economy, is going terribly, but oil gives it a little bit of a lifeline, and Maduro doesn't care. I mean, what does Maduro care? Sitting in his palace surrounded by military people who are compelled to support him, if 80% of the population starve, I mean, it just doesn't and what can the international community do? The United States has imposed sanctions. Doesn't do any good, because countries like China, Russia, Iran, enable Maduro to evade sanctions to a good extent. The Latin American governments, you know, they make like diplomatic moves, but they're not going to. I mean, what would it take? I mean, honestly, it would take a military invasion of Venezuela. And nobody is prepared to do that well.
29:43
Well Kurt, what about the possibility that we've seen in other countries such as Ukraine, where mid and lower level members of the military who see their families suffering, who see their neighborhoods destroyed, who are ashamed of what they're seeing, that they at some point. Point turn on the generals and and their dictator.
30:06
So this is a good point, and I think that two reasons that it hasn't happened in Venezuela, um, the first is that Hugo Chávez faced a coup attempt in 2002 and then he got of course scared and what do you do? And he was very close to Fidel Castro of Cuba, and Cuba sent 2,000 intelligence agents that essentially helped Chávez purge the military and install an internal surveillance and control system that was very strong and very effective. And so they essentially the military, I mean Maduro is aware that the only real threat he would face would be from the defection of military. And so they try to prevent it at all cost. Through surveillance, through harsh crack downs, through purges, I mean, there are a lot of stories that military people who showed some sign of disloyalty are being tortured, are being killed. So so coercion has enabled him to keep military loyalty. The second thing is the following. What is the situation in which lower level military people defect? Essentially, if you have sustained mass protests that get suppressed with large-scale violence, and it goes on and on and on. And then at some point or other, members of the military might say, I don't wanna I don't wanna do this anymore. But in some sense, you know, and I don't know how to say that, fortunately or unfortunately, from the perspective of what we are saying, unfortunately, there were large-scale protests in Venezuela for two, three days. Then it died down because the repression was effective. And so two, three days, you know, you crack down. Yes. You you imprison 2,000 people. You kill a bunch of people. It wasn't sustained enough, and it wasn't broad enough. And when you see where the so, like, the recent opposition protest last Saturday was in the eastern part of Caracas, which is a middle class neighborhood. If the protests had led to a mass outpouring of popular protests some some popular neighborhoods like Petare protested, but the whole western part of Caracas is the real stronghold of Chavista support. And there wasn't very much protest going on there if there had been really massive outpouring. If it hadn't only been, know, predominantly educated middle class people, but if there had been, you know, millions of poor Venezuelans just pouring down from the slums and hills and poor neighborhoods of Caracas into the city center, besieging the Presidential Palace. If there have been a real kind of popular assault on the regime and that had gone on and then there had been just killing, killing, killing, killing, then you might have seen defection. But but the regime managed very quickly to contain and suppress the protests and confine them primarily to the middle-class areas, and that is just simply not enough to prompt large-scale military defection.
34:02
No. No. You caught me you caught me on a blank. I I I mean, the only thing you can do is try to support the Venezuelan opposition, you know, support the many, many I mean, hundreds of thousands of people who left Venezuela, went to The United States. Somehow or other I mean, I don't even know what we can do to do that. Limit the crackdown that will happen. I mean, what I what I frankly predict, and I'm sorry that I'm not really providing much optimism, but I predict that in a couple of weeks, the regime will imprison the two opposition politicians that led the challenge. And, you know, then the best we can do is some personal exchange or whatever. I mean, I think the perspective is very, very bad negative. I'm sorry that I can't follow your your recommendation to come up with something. The most optimistic thing is that, you know, even Maduro at some point has to die. And, I mean, maybe then that succession issue will provide some hope.
35:30
I I think I think that the US has tried a number of things. You know, the Biden administration was involved in a negotiation effort last year and last fall, offering easing of sanctions if the regime actually went ahead with honest elections. And as we see now, it didn't work very well. I I'm sorry that I think kind of approximation doesn't work very much. That regime has negotiated on so many accounts essentially in bad faith using it as a stalling tactic, get over temporary problems, and then just simply cement its hold again. I think the only option is essentially to sanction the hell out of them. And, you know, for from the part of the United States. I I I do not think that the US has a lot of options. I mean, it shows in some sense how weak the United States has become internationally even in its own Western Hemisphere. I mean, when you think that the United States has been unable to forestall Venezuelans descend into authoritarianism, into brutal dictatorship, into total implosion and destruction of the country, that the United States has not had any real leverage over that process in a country so import, you know, even for the oil supply of the US and the world as Venezuela. It shows you when people talk about US or Germany and US predominance and whatever. I mean, the Venezuelan case is a striking example how weak the United States has become even in the Western Hemisphere.
39:17
No. I absolutely agree. I think the international community has to face up to that terrible paradox that this legalization of international affairs has this unintended side effect. And I do not know what could be done to, you know I mean, I made the joke about Saint Helena. There would have to be some kinda international safe haven, some way of sort of emergency amnesty, whatever, and it would have to be credible and enforced by the international community, unfortunately, limiting that international regime of prosecuting violators of human rights and other norms in order to I mean, not only induce, but allow them to step down from power. I mean and how to do that? Man, that is a very, very difficult how to build an international regime in a world that is so divided between the democratic forces that are on the defensive now and sort of ascending authoritarian forces of China and Russia and Iran, whatever. I do not know how that could be done, but it's an urgent agenda.
Episode 279: Hubert Humphrey & Civil Rights
02:51
At times it's easy to miss the old days, when good men walked and spoke of true ideals, when all that they would ask for was a raise, perhaps a pair of presidential seals. At times it's easy to miss that sweet age, when only honest men were put in charge, when lies provoked a strong and public rage, and every single heart was twice as large. At times it can be easy to miss that place, where all was silent and all were at peace, where no one shouted or spit in our face, and we all drove fast cars on long-term lease. So it was never. Such a place t'was not. Each problem we face is an ancient rot.
13:39
Exactly. Because in the South, not only does he live in Jim Crow and sees it really intimately... What he remembers indelibly are these moments of personal degradation of individual Black men and women. That's what really haunts him. The other thing that's much less expected in Baton Rouge is that that's where he makes Jewish friends for the first time, and also falls under the influence of this amazing Professor Rudolf Eberle, who's an exiled anti-Nazi... whose whole project as a scholar was to explore, how is it that democratic societies become totalitarian? And Humphrey is very, very affected by Eberle's instruction... And all that means that when he goes back North, instead of doing what you might expect a Northern New Dealer to do, which is to say, phew, I'm so glad I'm out of the benighted South and back in the enlightened North again, Humphrey feels none of that moral superiority. He suddenly sees all the warts in Minneapolis.
18:11
I trace the origin story of the Black Jewish Alliance to the rise of Hitler in Germany and to the parallels that Black Americans and Jewish Americans saw between the persecution of Jews in Germany and the persecution of Blacks in the United States. There was a real awareness, a mutual awareness of this as being one battle... And in Minneapolis, a city that had a horrible track record of both anti-Semitism and racism, and very small, very numerically vulnerable Black and Jewish communities that collectively made up about 5% of the population... it became very natural that they should become political allies... some of this is enlightened self-interest. Blacks and Jews realize they need each other, they can help each other. But some of it, I think, bonds at a deeper level than just expediency.
38:03
I completely agree with you, Zachary, and we really have to resist this idea of romanticizing some imagined political past. If you’re talking about polarization, for instance, what about a period where there when one huge faction of the Democratic Party supported white supremacy and racial inequality as a matter of policy, not this is what they thought privately or the way they acted in individual encounters with black Americans. This is what they wanted policy to be. How could that coexist with the rest of, uh, of a New Deal coalition? They were, the Dixiecrats were so serious about that, that they broke from the Democratic Party. And another example, if we think back to the 2020 attempted coup, and what was the goal of getting Mike Pence to refuse to accept the results, the goal, which fortunately he did not do, the goal would have been to throw the election into the House of Representatives. We’ve seen that play before. We’ve seen that movie before. In 1948, that was the intent of the Dixiecrats. They felt if they could win several states in the South, then neither Harry Truman nor nor Thomas Dewey would get 270 votes for an electoral college majority. The choice then goes to the House of Representatives, and each state’s delegation gets one vote. And the Southern segregationists dominated the delegations of about a dozen states, and it was going to let them be the kingmakers. They were going to make more money. Harry Truman and Tom Dewey come to them on bent knee and promise to preserve Jim Crow in order to get the southern states votes. So, there was nothing so wonderful and sentimental and all Norman Rockwell-y about politics at that time.
Episode 283: Barbara Jordan
01:18
Mary Ellen is the author of two books, the book she wrote a number of years ago Black Prisoners and Their World Alabama, 1865-1900 really a pioneering book looking at convict labor and the use of convict labor in the justice and political system in Alabama and much of the South during the second half of the 19th century, and most recently, the book we're going to discuss today, the book I hope everyone will purchase and read, is called She Changed the Nation: Barbara Jordan's Life and Legacy in Black Politics. It's hot off the presses, and as soon as it came out, I grabbed a copy and made sure to read it. And it's really an extraordinary book about Barbara Jordan and her life. Mary Ellen, thank you for joining us.
16:24
She does also suffer some pretty bad failures, and one I describe has to do with a corporate profits tax which almost passes and then fails by one vote, which was not her vote, by the way. So I think there's a lot of misconceptions about her time here in the Texas Senate that emphasize sort of her as part of a system. But what I try and do is draw out the nuance of saying no, I think she's just trying to find her way and also is effective and does make some important stands while she's a legislator and continues to be part of a larger struggle for Black freedom. She's involved in all sorts of issues outside of Texas at this time.
18:55
So, well said, so well said. So, what makes Barbara Jordan famous is her election to Congress, of course, in 1972, the first Black woman elected to Congress from the entire South. And then, of course, during the Watergate Hearings, which you describe in here, are her extraordinary speech about the ideals of the Constitution and why presidents need to be held to the law, which is, you know, a little relevant for today, as well, explain that evolution in Barbara Jordan, to me, it's a fascinating part of this book.
19:28
Thank you so much. Well, I think again, we know her for this speech. I also think she played an important role behind the scenes in the Judiciary Committee. Again, this was sort of the Texas Senate. Now, in this committee, she's one of 37 as opposed to one of 31. And the goal here, again, working with her chair, Peter Rodino, is to create a consensus, bipartisan consensus. So again, this means being willing to talk with people who disagree with you, and trying to persuade them, or at least stop the negative effects of others, like, I think she's always trying to neutralize Charles Wiggins from California, who was a big Nixon defender, and she's always trying to intervene and neutralize his influence among the more concerned, you know, the men in the middle. They were called the men in the middle.
20:20
So there's that going on for months and months behind closed doors and then and finally, you know, the public has no idea what's been going on behind closed doors of the Judiciary Committee. And so you have the Summer of '74 when finally the committee is going to lay out its argument for impeachment and decide how to frame their articles for impeachment, given what John Doerr has laid out. John Doerr laid out 38 enormous number of possibilities, but they only, but they ended up concentrating on just a few. And these had to do with, as you said, the abuse of power. And I think, you know, there's a reason why she hones in on that. And I think the way that she frames the speech, however, is extremely important.
22:15
So that first part often gets left out, as though she is just, you know, blindly following some, you know, great American Dream, which she does believe in, by the way, but she also understands America's history of racism and and how important it has been to change and amend that Constitution to protect the rights of Black people. This is what gives her a great stake in this document. And this is why she's so angry at how Richard Nixon has defiled the Constitution.
22:48
You know, the combination, Mary Ellen, of faith in the system, articulateness, the way she speaks, that voice, as you call it, right, that deep, resonant voice with the high minded articulation. It reminds me so much, as I think about it, of someone else we talked to a few months ago, Ruth Simmons, who also comes from this part of Texas, grew up in the Fifth Ward of Houston, in part after her family moved from a rural sharecropping area. And Ruth kind of sounds like like Barbara Jordan, tell us about the voice, about the way of carrying oneself? Your book is wonderful on that.
30:55
Hmm. Well, she always acknowledged, and you can see this in her testimony against Robert Bork, for example. She always acknowledged the importance of court cases and protection of Black voting for the success of Black politicians. This was one reason she was so against Robert Bork's confirmation (Yes) to the Supreme Court (Yes) because he had said he had opposed those cases. He didn't think Baker v. Carr had been properly decided, et cetera. And she, that just appalled her (Mm-hmm) because she said, 'Well, if, if his way of thinking had persisted, I would not be here.' Right. 'I would never have been able to run and to win.'
31:21
And so she, she just said the Supreme Court has to protect individual rights, has to protect this right to privacy, has to protect Black voting rights. And so that, I think, is an important thing to remember and to understand. As much as we applaud her as a great individual, and even other Black politicians that we applaud as great individuals, to understand that they stood on the shoulders of those really important Supreme Court decisions and the movement to make those, that made those decisions part of our national fabric.
Episode 310: Have we Outgrown the Constitution?
08:29
And as it turns out, I mean, just empirically, um. Uh, those practicals practicable spheres were always premised on keeping some interests, uh, out, excluding some interests. And the interests that were excluded at the beginning were quite extensive, right? They were, they included wide swaths of the population, not just slaves, uh, but, uh. Women work, things that were excluded, work relations, gender relations, family relations, all of which, uh, worked according to other sets of rules. And I, I, in some, uh, the slavery exclusion was conscious, but these other exclusions were just, that’s, uh, we’re just assumptions, assumptions about, uh, about politics at the time. So I think that the Constitution, uh. The Constitution has, you know, famously abstract language. It doesn’t recognize, um, uh, privileges of rank. Uh, but it was designed for the people who framed it. It was designed for the notables, uh, was designed by the notables of the 18th century. Around their assumptions of who was going to be running the show.
11:37
The paradox is that once we, the people becomes fully inclusive, which I would date to around the, uh, rights revolution of the sixties and seventies, once we, the people becomes fully inclusive, then the Constitution seems to be losing its capacity to reestablish firm footings and to stabilize the polity. Once, uh, for successive rounds of inclusion, uh, we were able to reconfigure constitutional relationships and stabilize the polity. But since the rights revolution, we haven’t been able to agree on terms for accommodating all the players. Now, on the fold, the paradox is that once we the re we, the people becomes a reality, the Constitution loses its capacity to provide firm footings and stabilize the polity.
18:19
Now, my solution or my, uh, my ideal system. I don’t really, I, uh, uh, describe anything like this in the book, but I do say that the, uh, the objective would be a strong constitution that can service a fully inclusive polity and that we don’t have that. We don’t have a strong constitution that’s effectively services a fully inclusive polity. Uh, that’s I think, what would be the ideal circumstance. I think you do want the protections of a democracy of, of a, of a constitution. The legal protections, I think we see right now the, uh, the vulnerability of, uh, the protections that we were promised. Um, so I’m not willing to give up on Constitutionalism. Uh, the question is, can we get a strong constitution that effectively services a fully inclusive polity? And my contention is that we do not have that now.
22:21
Well, let’s, yeah. So let’s take three. So one is this new Juristocracy, Juristocracy. The, uh, our increasing dependence on the Supreme Court to determine what the appropriate boundaries are. Now, we would think, oh, well that’s just the Constitution’s solution to how you settle boundary disputes. You give it to the court, but in fact, as I mentioned with the John Marshall, uh, example. Uh, uh, you know, uh, authorizing a national bank, the judges have a very spotty record of settling boundary disputes when there’s no consensus on the underlying purposes, and we have no consensus on the underlying purposes, and we’re increasingly dependent on the court. And I’m not blaming the, uh, Roberts Court. This began with the Warren court.
23:16
The American juristocracy arose alongside the rights revolution. Lemme take another example. What, uh, constitutional law scholars call hardball that is the doubling down on constitutional provisions that were meant to provide security and to, uh, foster buy-in from contending interests. Constitutional hardball. Uh, is now, uh, uh, using constitutional provisions to sabotage the system. So we get, uh, you know, the routinization of impeachment. We get, uh, second amendment, absolutism, uh, we get gerrymandering wars, government shutdowns, uh, uh, debt stealing, brinkmanship, all of this. This is not rewiring the constitution. All of that can be. All of that can be justified by constitutional principles, but that’s not, that’s not rewiring the constitution. That’s the constitution going haywire. That’s using its provisions as weapons of sabotage. And I’ll end with a final example, which is, you know, the one closest to my other work, which is the rise of presidentialism.
38:00
Uh, which the court is complicit with, with this immunity decision that, uh, you know, the president stands at this critical intersection between national political mobilization and national administrative management. And what we’ve done on the mobilization side is to, along with the rights revolution, create these personal parties where the president controls his own political machinery. And on the management side, we’ve created this unitary theory of the executive, which gives the president a claim to exclusive and complete control over the power of the administrative branch of the executive branch. And that is not a formula for rewiring. That’s a formula for imposition, that’s a formula for, uh, volatility and divisiveness.
Episode 311: US-Latin American Relations
10:03
Mm-hmm, that's a good point. I would say that, yes, I do differ a little bit from that conventional view, while I do also recognize that we came very close to nuclear war, and I'm grateful that Kennedy and Khrushchev decided to step back from the brink. I do see it as not as much of a clear victory, if when you look at the results for Latin America of the Cuban Missile Crisis, it brought a lot of death and destruction for decades to come. I mentioned Argentina earlier. That's an example of a country that, as a result of the Cuban Missile Crisis, became a lot closer to the United States, especially in terms of military relations. And there was one military leader in particular, Juan Carlos Ongania, who came to the attention of the United States during the missile crisis. He was the head of the Army, and he very enthusiastically supported the United States during the crisis, he organized a 3000 man unit that could be deployed in case of a land invasion. And then after the crisis, the United States was appreciative and especially trained him. Paid a lot of attention to Ondania, but also the United States signed a military assistance approach, military assistance program with Argentina, and Argentina was the final country in the Americas to really become much more closely aligned militarily with the United States. And then, four years after the missile crisis, Juan Carlos Ongania staged a coup in Argentina, a military coup that would usher in more than a decade of other military coups that brought a death 10s of 1000s of people, mostly civilians, were killed or disappeared during Argentina's dirty war. And you can trace some of the roots of that back to the Cuban Missile Crisis. And so, yes, I would say the idea that this was a victory or or a near escape is not true when you look beyond the United States.
24:03
So perhaps it's an unfair question, but I'm going to ask you anyway, if we shouldn't, in your reading as a historian, or if we should at least be cautious about trying to overthrow someone like Castro or Maduro. And let's be clear, these are in some ways, horrible dictators. What should we do? Should we just accept them in power? What should we do?
Episode 312: Ukraine Negotiations
00:20
Hello and welcome to our latest episode of This is Democracy. I'm Zachary Suri, today we will return to a topic we've already discussed many times on the show, the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, but there are a lot of developments to discuss, to say the least, for the first time in more than three years of war in Ukraine, both sides seem to have expressed hope, whether genuine or not, that there might soon be a diplomatic solution to the war. Meanwhile, further fissures seem to be opening in the US European Alliance, and Ukrainian President Zelensky's administration faces a wide-ranging corruption scandal. Joining us to discuss is our good friend Michael Kimmage. Michael is a professor of history at the Catholic University of America and the director of the Kennan Institute from 2014 to 2017 he served on the Secretary's policy planning staff at the US Department of State, where he held the Russia, Ukraine portfolio. His latest book is collisions the war in Ukraine and the origins of the new global instability. Thank you for joining us today, Michael, great to be back with you both. We're also joined as always, by Jeremi Suri. Hello.
09:14
I think that the variable that matters here is Russian exhaustion, and we can say Putin will fight forever, and it's, you know, an authoritarian regime, and you can get people to follow Him, and, you know, or even you can look at some recent levada pollings, a sort of respected polling institution in Russia, and you can see fairly high levels of support for Putin and for the and for the war in those numbers. But I really don't know. I wonder. I mean, maybe it's my outsider's perspective. I think that this is a empty feudal war for Russia, in addition to being, you know, immoral and and criminal and execution. But, you know, I think it just doesn't bring Russia anything. And if you're a Russian sitting, you know, somewhere in Russia, and you're not, maybe enamored of Putin in the first place, and. You know, you sort of see all of this death and destruction and money and all of that for the sake of conquering Mariupol, you know, a medium sized city in Ukraine. You have to wonder what it's all what it's all for. So I do think exhaustion is a possible variable on the Russian side. It's not going to be next month or six months from now, but it could come. And if it does, then I think Putin will be obligated to cut his losses and think about some point of termination for the war. And so I think he will hold on to territory. I don't even think at this point that Eastern Ukraine is, you know, such attractive territory. And you know, gradually it may be possible for Ukraine to give some of it up. And Crimea, tacitly, has been given up already, so Putin can focus on that. And because of that exhaustion, he would have to tolerate this closer security bond between, you know, a big portion of Ukraine and Europe, or between Ukraine and the Transatlantic Alliance. He is not there at the moment. You know, as mentioned before, he's fighting the war to prevent that security bond from solidifying, but he may reach a point where it just seems like it's unpreventable, and the sacrifices on the Russian side are too great, and for domestic political reasons, it's necessary not to give up on every aspect of the war, but to compromise if that comes to pass. You know, I think that there's quite a bit of room to negotiation, but it's a big, you know, hypothetical, because there are lots of reasons why Putin might not want to go down that road. And, you know, he's been relatively successful at insulating big parts of Russia from the costs of the war. So it's, it's a hypothetical scenario for two, three years from now,
14:20
What about the politics from a Ukrainian domestic perspective? It seems that for the first time, there's been a sort of real questioning or real sort of undermining of Zelenskyy's popularity in Ukraine, potentially with this large corruption scandal. What do you make of that? And could you explain that scandal and its significance in this moment?
14:45
Yeah, I mean, it's, it's serious business. I don't mean to be flippant in making this point, but we want to be careful about what's particular to, let's say, Ukrainian politics and history in the last 30 years, and what's maybe particular to the world. War. And I'm not aware of any countries that become less corrupt during wartime. You know, wartime is a, is a is a motor of corruption, because it often diminishes media attention on the chief executive it. You know, there's a lot of spending in wartime, and, you know, just a lot of opportunities to feed at the trough. And that's definitely what's been happening with members of the Zelensky government who are quite close to Volodymyr Zelensky himself. The scandal focuses on, you know, sort of kickbacks and people making money off of off of contracts, and many of them, you know, perilously close to the to the inner circle of of of Volodymyr Zelensky. But the other story, and I don't think that we do Ukraine a service by not telling this story, is that since 1991 as in many post Soviet countries, there's just not a good separation of powers. And in particular, the judiciary and the executive are too intertwined. And in fact, the Maidan revolution of 2013 2014 we might think about that as geopolitics, and about Europe and about Russia and Ukraine's place in the world, and it was but the 2013 2014 revolution is an anti corruption revolution. When it's called the Revolution of Dignity, that's part of what's meant about the extreme corruption of the then president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, I don't think Poroshenko, the president who followed Yanukovych, was hugely corrupt, but he was an oligarch, and people around him sort of continued the old patterns. Zelenskyy also runs in 2019 as an anti corruption candidate. Kind of rises to fame in Ukraine as a protagonist of a television show that's about cleaning up Ukrainian politics. And I take him at his word. I don't think that Zelensky himself is personally corrupt, but perhaps there is inattention. He is jealous of his own authority and power, and I think he hasn't been great on media freedom in Ukraine since the start of the war, and that probably contributes to corruption, and it's just very hard. There's not really an incentive once you're in power, to diminish the power of the executive branch. And for that reason, the judiciary in Ukraine just never has the oversight that it that it needs. So it's a very, very serious issue because it damages Ukraine's chances of entering quickly into the European political fold, and it's just not what Ukraine needs at the present moment. And of course, Russia is exploiting it to the hilt. And to go back to Jeremi's question, when you look at Ukraine as let's use the term a kind of a loser, which I think Trump may well see when he looks at Ukraine, this is just further evidence, or could be used as further evidence for that. So it's completely unfortunate.
Episode 313: Civics and History Education
08:11
My own personal view is that students do need to know about the American system of government and how it’s evolved, and about how Americans have debated over time issues of liberty, equality, and justice. These are fundamental disputes, and the battles have often been waged in good faith, with fundamental disagreements that we need to bring out into the open and seriously discuss. I don’t think we do that enough. Jeremi, I hate to say this, but often there’s a tendency in history classes to treat it as if it’s simply about the past.
11:54
Presidential decision making is we are power. Ultimately resides. And if we don’t focus on that and how those decisions are made in what interest they’re being made, we are doing everyone a disservice.
21:11
Under state law, the state board of education is empowered to establish. Essential skills and knowledge that students are to acquire.
21:25
Yes. This is Texas State law. The state Board of Education is not empowered to adopt a curriculum. Pedagogy, and lesson planning is specifically decentralized. That is, it is the responsibility of school districts. And of individual teachers, and I believe that’s exactly how it should be. Further under state law, the working groups that develop the techs as they’re known, the Texas Essentials knowledge and Skills, these are to be created by experienced educators. That is by teachers. By curriculum designers, by professors who have actual expertise teaching these subjects. And when we don’t do that, when we bring politically motivated nonprofits into this discussion, it’s a different discussion.
24:55
That’s my view and that’s my reading of the state statutes. And also I think it will get us away from these culture war issues. They don’t need to be fought at the state level. If Houston wants to do something and El Paso wants to do something else, as long as they cover the learning objectives, that should be fine. Texas believes in decentralization, and I think that’s a pretty good idea.
Episode 314: Reflections on 2025, Lessons for 2026
02:39
I think his voice is, uh, particularly relevant in this moment. Uh, especially his unwillingness to tolerate nonsense from anyone, uh, and his sort of unflagging commitment to humanity. In, in world events. Uh, and this is a section that I think speaks to that, that maybe I hope also offers us some words of consolation, uh, and maybe also put some fire, uh, behind this as well. This is, uh, of section again from Can socialists be happy? The inability of mankind to imagine happiness except in the form of relief, either from effort or pain, presents socialists with a serious problem. Dickens can describe a poverty stricken family tucking into a roast goose and can make them appear happy. On the other hand, the inhabitants of perfect universes seem to have no spontaneous gaity and are usually somewhat repulsive into the bargain. But clearly we are not aiming at the kind of world Dickens described, nor probably at any world he was capable of imagining. The socialist objective is not a society where everything comes right in the end because kind old gentlemen give away turkeys. What are we aiming at, if not a society in which charity would be unnecessary? We want a world where Scrooge with his dividends and tiny Tim with his tuberculous leg would both be unthinkable. But does that mean we are aiming at some painless, effortless utopia? At the risk of saying something, which the editors of Tribune, sorry, Tribune was the paper it was published in May not endorse. I suggest that the real objective of socialism is not happiness. Happiness hither two has been a byproduct, and for all we know, it may always remain. So the real objective of socialism is human brotherhood. This is widely felt to be the case, though. What is not usually said or not said loudly enough. Mens up their lives in heartbreaking political struggles or get themselves killed in civil wars, or tortured in the secret prisons of the Gestapo. Not in order to establish some central heated, air conditioned, strip lighted paradise, but because they want a world in which human beings love one another instead of swindling and murdering one another, and they want that world as a first step. Where they go from there is not so certain, and the attempt to foresee it in detail merely confuses the issue. Nearly all creators of Utopia have resembled the man who has toothache, and therefore things happiness consists in not having toothache. They wanted to produce a perfect society by an endless continuation of something that had only been valuable because it was temporary. The wider course would be to say that there are certain lines along which humanity must move. The grand strategy is mapped out, but detailed prophecy is not our business. Whoever tries to imagine perfection simply reveals his own emptiness.
07:20
Now. Responding to Inhumanity with humanity. I think we all know what inhumanity is, right? And unfortunately, we were just talking about this before we, we started the recording. Uh, this was a year, maybe not with more inhumanity than other years, but certainly with a fair share of inhumanity. Um, and one, one can think about, uh, the murders, the cold-blooded murders, assassinations of, uh, a legislator and her, uh, husband in Minnesota. Followed a few months later by the assassination of Charlie Kirk. Uh, we can think also of the assassination that occurred of a insurance executive this year and, and many others. Uh, just this was a murderous year where extremists of one kind or another used excessive on un uh, un unacceptable illegitimate violence, uh, against individuals. Uh, of course there was mass violence as well. Thousands and thousands of deaths in Ukraine and elsewhere. Um, we saw also the violence and inhumanity of deportations within our own country. People being seized off the street sometimes when they had gone to a, um, immigration hearing that they were invited to, seized from a court. Uh, when they had come voluntarily to, uh, appear, uh, believing that they were getting, um, legal access to our country, but instead being in a sense kidnapped and often. Deported to a country that he never had any connection to. Uh, El Salvador, Sudan, uh, things of that sort. So, so there was plenty of inhumanity, uh, and plenty of inhumanity with all kinds of political stripes attached to it, uh, in all kinds of places. So I think we know what Inhumanity is and we know what Orwell’s referring to there as himself being a child of the revolutions of the 1930s and, uh, wars of the 1940s. Um. What is humanity? What, when, when, when Orwell encourages us to respond to inhumanity with humanity, to not simply respond an eye for an eye, to not simply respond to the murder of our guy by murdering their guy. Uh, what, what does he, what do you think he means? Because I think that’s the hard part here, Zachary. What do you think he means?
09:41
Well, I think what he’s saying, um, particularly when he talks about. Brotherhood. He says, the real objective of the socialists is human brotherhood. Um, the real objective of socialism is human brotherhood. He says, I think what he really means is that the, the true usefulness of ideology or political programs of any stripe. And particularly from his perspective of left-wing ideology, um, is to push us towards, uh, humanity, to, to, to encourage and goad people to fight for their fellow human beings. I mean, the examples he gives are people tortured in the secret prisons of the Gestapo or getting themselves killed in civil wars. All of things he, he witnessed, uh, in his life. Those are. Those are examples of people who really aren’t dying for ideology, but dying for humanity. The ideology is secondary. It’s a tool. It’s something they’re using to push towards that. I think really what he’s saying is that the most important thing is not to lose sight. Of the fact that our politics and our societies have to aim at something higher than, as he puts it, replacing a toothache with the absence of Right.
10:52
Right. Or replacing one tyranny with another tyranny, which is what he thinks socialism had become in his time.
10:59
Right. Right. And, and those who don’t know his history, it’s worth just stating Orwell had been involved in the, uh, fight against fascism in Spain. And became deeply disillusioned with the socialists who were in many ways leading the anti-fascist fight for becoming, uh, in their own partisan work, a tyranny of their own against the tyranny, the horrible tyranny. They were, they were fighting. I, I think there were examples maybe to help us, uh, from this year describe what humanity in response to inhumanity is. There were examples we saw of this one that certainly moved me and I think moved you even more, Zachary. Was the experience of, uh, the hostages, uh, hostages in, um, Israel, uh, Israelis who had been taken hostage brutally by Hamas. Uh, some of them held hostage for more than two years. Uh, and the release of those high hostages, uh, in many ways, uh. Their experiences once released. Um, I know you had the opportunity to talk to a few of these former hostages yourself, Zachary. My impression is that they, after being released from this nightmare-ish horror that I cannot even imagine, um, it’s not that they. Wanted to forgive Hamas. They certainly didn’t. Uh, there’s nothing that says we have to forgive the people who do horrible things to us, but they also, it seems to me, became voices against more violence and voices for peace. Is is that right?
16:08
Uh, is, is so startling. Um, and I, I, I do think, um, in a very different context, that’s what Orwell does so well in his, and in all of his essays. It’s, I think what makes his writing powerful to me right now, or what speaks to me about it. I mean, his most famous essay probably Shooting an Elephant, he describes basically the entire network or reality of. Imperialism, British, uh, British imperialism in Southeast Asia simply by one personal experience he had as a police officer. And it’s, it’s,
16:55
And, and I think it’s our obligation. And one of the lessons from 2025, if I might say, is to avoid the effort to oversimplify what social media encourages. Encouraging us to find the good guys and the bad guys and to recognize without apologizing for. Uh, unacceptable behavior, illegal behavior, uh, immoral behavior, recognizing that in many cases, um, people are driven by complex experiences and motives. As you were speaking of the hostages, I was thinking of so many, uh, immigrants to the United States who have now been swept up by ice. Um, many of whom actually did break a law. Maybe they came on a student visa and overed. Maybe they came on a tourist visa at overstate, but then they’ve lived here for 10 years, 12 years. They’ve raised a family, they’ve worked diligently, and the reason they didn’t go back to their country, this could be true for our great grandparents, Zachary, the reason they didn’t go back was not because they wanted to break a law here, but because they were afraid to go back and face persecution or face abject poverty. Um, so are they people who broke a law? Maybe. But should they be deported for that as criminals? That’s, that’s a complex story, right? And we should avoid these simple, simple categories. Um, I think about that at universities too. As a, as a professor, as someone watching at my university, university of Texas and elsewhere, major changes in controversy swirling around everything we do. From discussions of diversity to curriculum, to hiring, to leadership, to funding, you know, um, one doesn’t have to believe that universities were perfect. They certainly weren’t. To also believe that there’s something that needs to be saved and preserved in academic freedom, an open inquiry. And, uh, we become oversimplified and polarized. And are you for DEI or against DEI? Well, I’m both. Are you, uh, for, um, people being free to think and speak as they wish, uh, or are you for protecting people from facing antisemitism? anti-ISIS, Islamophobia and things of that sort. Well, um, for both of those too, right? I mean, these are, these are complex issues we have to navigate. And I think 2025 has taught us, and I have a sense a lot of people coming out of 2025 realizing this, that the simple categories are not the realities, the complex realities, uh, we, we face. Uh, may, maybe one of the lessons from Orwell that you’re teaching, taking us to is not only to personalize, to understand the individuals who are affected by big ideas, but also. To move beyond labels. Right. Uh, Orwell’s not only attacking the socialist party, he’s attacking the label.
24:56
And, and I’ve come to conclude, Zachary, that actually the way to do this is not to say, okay, we’re going to have an open conversation or viewpoint diversity. It becomes artificial in that sense. Yes. It’s creating a culture for that. Yes. It’s, it’s honestly what I strive to do in the classroom, in my professional settings, in my work. Uh, I don’t know if I succeed, but it’s certainly what I strive to do, what I’m doubling down on, which is, um. Cultivating a sense, a healthy skepticism toward any orthodoxy, which hopefully open space then for nothing to be sacred, but everything to be respected if it’s serious. So a serious idea should not be condescended to, but it shouldn’t be taken as an orthodoxy. That is beyond question, and that allows us then to take. Complex ideas such as, you know, the defense of the state of Israel or the defense of the stateless, uh, in areas that are occupied by Israel. Take these difficult problems and recognize that neither side has a monopoly of truth. And open the space where it is encouraged for people to ask hard questions. It doesn’t happen in one conversation. It happens in a culture that you create in a classroom, in a work setting. In your scholarship, in your public persona. And, and I think 2025 showed us, first of all, how hard it is to do that. It showed us how hard we need to work on that. And, and I think it did give us some examples, uh, of this. Um, I, I think we saw from certain religious leaders an incredible openness, uh, and cultivation of that kind of culture. Uh, this, this year, I think of the bishops and others who spoke out. In defense of immigrants, but didn’t speak out in defense of open borders. They weren’t talking about opening borders, they were talking about the humanity of immigrants. Um, I think of all the teachers I’ve witnessed, I work with a lot of teachers around the country, um, who have, who have done this in their classrooms. They’re unsung heroes. They don’t get, this doesn’t get talked about. I’ve seen this also with law enforcement officers build trust in their local communities. You know, this is happening every day. We just don’t focus on it because we don’t value it enough, but it’s actually the story that we, we, we should focus on. I think it’s what is happening. In many parts of our universities, it’s not always happening and sometimes it’s missing, uh, but it is happening in many parts of our universities.
Episode 315: Venezuela Intervention
01:22
Kurt has been with us before. He is the Mike Hogg Professor in Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. He’s conducted original research in virtually every place one can go in South America, including Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Peru, and Venezuela. Professor Weyland is the author of seven books. All of them are worth reading. I’m going just to just name, some of my favorites, making waves, democratic contention in Europe and Latin America, which is really I think, a model of comparative politics, assault on democracy, communism, fascism and authoritarianism during the into war years. And then most recently, I believe, democracies resilience to populisms threat. So, Kurt has a strong background in the history of the region and, the dynamics of democracy, authoritarianism, and intervention, in this region. Kurt, I imagine you’ve been very busy with Venezuela in the news so much these days, yes?
11:48
I, I would like to make several points on that. I think the case that is most similar in Early American intervention in Latin America is the case of Manuel Noriega in Panama in 1989, when you also had a ruthless, brutal, corrupt dictator who defied the United States. The United States in that sense did a less surgical strike by actually invading Panama at good cost of civilian lives and taking over the whole country, and then actually instituting democracy afterwards. So the target in Panama in 89 was quite similar. Some, I mean, just awful dictator who clearly deserve to be, put on trial. The Venezuelan case is different because it’s obviously not a full scale invasion, but that very, very surgical strike. but so there is a president in terms of the target, and you see in the avoidance of a full scale invasion, president Trump’s concern about getting dragged into. Regime change, potential trouble and turmoil, domestic conflict that could drag the United States into what the Trumpians would call nation building, Allah, Afghanistan, and Iraq. And so there is, there is a similarity in the target, but there’s also a different approach in doing this in a much more targeted way, which of course has, if you wish the disadvantage that you’ve. You decapitated, autocratic, corrupt, repressive regime, but most of the power structure of the regime is still in place.
13:31
That’s what’s striking to me, Kurt, that this has been certainly a change in the. President of of Venezuela, the Vice President Del c Rodriguez has has taken over at least as interim president, but it doesn’t seem like much else has changed yet. At the same time, president Trump is claiming that he’s running the country from the United States claiming that oil will come to the United States yet. There has been no new investment in oil infrastructure, no commitments of investment. and of course one of the problems in Venezuela is not simply, who’s in charge. It’s that the infrastructure to extract the oil is so decrepit that, that, that’s also kind of shut, shut itself down. So what has changed, if anything?
14:17
So in terms of the domestic power structure, very, very little has changed and you see a very strange, kind of totally unlikely, but ultimately from a pragmatic perspective, logical a. Accommodation between right wing, imperialist Trump, and left wing anti-imperialist stillI Rodriguez, because Trump, to avoid the United States from getting dragged into Venezuela, all Afghanistan and Iraq. In some sense has an interest in maintaining stability, and the established regime is a firmly entrenched that they have a higher chance of maintaining stability than if you had a democratic transition with all the potential trouble in turmoil. So in terms of the domestic power structure, Venezuela very, very little has changed, but I think what will change is the foreign policy orientation of Venezuela. You know, essentially. If the United States takes over oil, then it won’t go to China anymore, and clearly the United States will push for Venezuela to sever its links with Russia, with Iran, and Hezbollah, all these kinds of things. And the United States will. In the kind of semi colonial way, look over the shoulder of Del Rodriguez and make sure that in foreign policy she aligns with the US and not with countries that are enemies of the us. And I think one of the most important reorientations of Venezuelan foreign policy would be, and that speaks again to my point about the, cutting off Cuba from oil and putting, putting an even bigger strangle on. If not suffocate that regime, just push them to the wall and force them to come to an accommodation with the United States. And so I think there will be a significant shift in Venezuela’s international alignments in foreign policy, and from Trump’s perspective, from Trump’s perspective, who doesn’t care about democracy? Who wants to avoid turmoil at all cost. That a of sense. Right. You know, you decapitated the regime you put.
16:29
So I, I see the logic of that, but the historian in me, Kurt asks if that’s really possible. I mean, this is a regime that has many different factions as all regimes do, right? we know Rodriguez. Doesn’t command the same authority with some of the institutions, particularly the military that Maduro and, and Hugo Chavez did. And of course, the Chinese and the Russians are not just gonna sit back and watch this, right? They’re trying to bribe and threaten their own, allies and the Chinese have, have a major presence on the ground. I isn’t. The effort to do what you just said from a distance from the United States, as you say, acting as a kind of distant colonial overseer isn’t that likely to lead to factionalization internal fighting in Venezuela and and something that becomes quite disorderly that the United States either has to get involved in directly or ignore.
24:19
Of course, I mean, this is the challenge, right? That one can be, very angry about the US intervention if you’re sitting in, in Brasilia, but you don’t wanna look like you’re defending Maduro. That that’s the, that’s the challenge. Do you see the other, sorry, Craig, go ahead. I.
30:06
I think for some it’s clear and for many it, it, it’s clear that this is something. at least, you know, to celebrate in the extent, to the extent that Maduro is gone, that that is obviously a positive development, for those who have relatives or family or friends in Venezuela or who fled Venezuela, which is not, not insignificant. Number of people in the United States. but I think there’s also a lot of concern that this could, you know, draw the United States into a larger war. and I think for, for the moment, a lot of people, young and not young alike are sort of waiting to see what happens. I think, you know. Obviously most hope that this does not draw the United States into a larger war with Venezuela. but, or with, you know, in the region in general. But I think a lot of the big questions that we raised today remain unanswered. So I think there is a degree of uncertainty and certainly there’s much greater fear of war in the region than there was before.
Episode 316: Minneapolis
02:36
Thank you for asking that. It has been, everybody’s experiences in the cities is going to be different, and I'm speaking to you of course, as you know, a person with a lot of privilege. I’m a university professor. I have a lot of. I have a lot of privileges that softened my life, if you will. At the same time, it’s a very, intense period in the Twin Cities. It’s been a time though where I would emphasize it’s been both a time of terror and sadness, but also a time of inspiration. And hope, ter and sadness are obvious to anyone around the globe, of course, because they see that federal forces, who are heavily armed and undertrained and very much under, Under supervised, if you will. and there’s very, and under-regulated are terrorizing our neighbors and our communities arresting people, taking them into custody, abducting them, Around the clock, and we’re talking about hundreds and hundreds of people, the numbers that ICE is giving out can’t really be trusted ’cause they’re not really backed up with a lot of numbers. But clearly many people are being abducted. Many people have been physically hurt, many people have been traumatized, and their families as well. At the same time, I do think the national and global media has started to pick up on what is one of the most important parts of this story. And that’s the solidarity of the response. That’s the, the loving kindness of the community, the bravery and the courage in responding in ways that are very dramatic for the cameras, such as standing between, Ice and someone that they’re trying to abduct and also much quieter driving kids to high school or dropping off groceries or necessary SAN supplies at people’s homes. so that response has, a. It is, profoundly inspiring. It gives me great hope, not only for this movement, but also for other, for the political work, which is also of course the human work of society and community that we’ll have to do in the coming years.
05:11
I think that, I’d like to look to multiple routes. Like most things, they come from multiple. Most things that are strong, come from multiple roots. one of that is the very strong and specific social roots of the of, Minnesota. as well as the Twin Cities itself. There is a strong history. Civic nationalist, civic national engagement here with the notion that the United States is a nation of people committed to certain ideals. Those ideals are enshrined in certain documents, and those documents ensure certain rights and set up certain processes that must be followed. there is a strong commitment to this idea here, and, despite its limitations, view this kind of liberal nationalism right now, we’re seeing, what it can do in certain moments when institutions, processes, and the idea of EQ of equality under the law. Becomes threatened. That’s combined with a culture that has both religious and secular roots, that you know, everything from Lutheranism to Trotskyism that has been very strong in, Minnesota, the Northern Plains, and Minneapolis St. Paul for a very long time. And we can see this. In the strong religious, and church-based movements, that helped to create the welcoming environment that sponsored refugees from around the world after the American Secret War in Southeast Asia that welcomed people from East Africa, that west welcomed people from Korea after the Korean War, et cetera. This created a population that was, you know, diverse in a very specific way. and, and very globalized in a very specific way that combined with kind of the labor part of the farmer labor of the DFL, the democratic farmer labor, party, which is the form of the Democratic Party that we have here in the state, which has really strong, very labor left, kind of orientations, and that’s been important here. And then, so all of that’s local, right? and that’s been, it’s been nurtured here. And of course the, we’re coming here, you know, five years after the killing and the uprising following the murder of, of George Floyd on Chicago Avenue. And that created an idea. Solidarity. Many different kinds of ideas, many different kinds of soar where people understood themselves as responsible for the community. One of these ideas and practices, which is very strong here, is that of mutual aid. that we take care of us, that we stand up for us. and you see that in the everyday courage of people simply going around doing humble, simple things to support. Again, as well as the dramatic things that the cameras capture. All of that comes together with a national environment. We’re not the first city doing this, right? So there was Chicago, there was Portland, there was Los Angeles, there’s others, and already in those different places. One can find communities come together in order to support. We learned from Chicago, Chicago learned from other cities, right? The proliferation of neighborhood networks, of leaderless movements in order to, create a better, safer community that doesn’t come just from us. So and ho And I do not think it will stop just here either. Unfortunately, this is a national problem and it will continue in other cities, and I think that we can look forward to a historical moment that we can’t entirely anticipate, but it will be different because there is now a genealogy, a continuity of modes of resistance, which are drawing upon historical precedent elsewhere.
11:16
Sure that there’s more complexity, but that’s what vis that is what’s visible. Of course, I’m sure that there are some people are sympathetic, right to the golds and even perhaps the methods of these federal agents, right? But I have not seen, I have not that’s not apparent in on the streets, it’s not very apparent and opinion columns. It’s, you know, it’s more in the comments in social media, if you will. And that’s certainly available nationwide and you don’t know exactly where that’s coming from either. So, but no, it’s, it, is a very strong response. I think that partly this is, and this is something that I wanted to talk about, I thought it’d be interesting also to talk about, it’s partly. This is feels from here very much like a unilateral federal imposition on a state and it completely ignoring the elected leaders of that state.
12:15
And so, you know, the mayors of St. Paul in Minneapolis, the governor of Minnesota, our senators, the majority of our delegations have, are, very upset about this force coming from Washington, unbidden in which refuses resolutely to respond to explain transfer documents to, the state government. so even people who I, do think that this creates a real unhappiness even among people who might be more inclined towards the expulsion of people that they think are here illegally or they suspect they just don’t even want here.
13:35
What’s really interesting is, okay, I can’t, again, speak for all on the ground. I’m not really in a position to do that. What I can say is I, we don’t know if they’re starting to back down. It does seem that they started to moderate their discourse, bringing Homan in and moving bovino out. seems like a way to try to signal that. At the same time, I. Your guess is as good as mine, what’s going to happen in the next two weeks? Right? because there’s a deliberate opacity here, right? I mean, think about the visuals of the mask, the refusals to explain oneself, the insulin. In the face of the judiciary, all of these are of a piece, right? It’s a claiming of absolute authority. So therefore, we don’t know what their intentions are. And I think that’s very much, a part of the, politics of what’s going on here. It’s this, the strong assertion of, unbridled federal power here.
15:06
I honestly think that’s what has to happen, is there needs to be an end to this surge. I think that’s what will solve the problem.
15:15
Again, I don’t have a crystal ball, right? My specialty is the past, not the. but, but yeah, I do, I think that it’s the ending of the search, which, which probably does that mean that all immigration courts immediately close and go away. All immigration officials all go away. Probably not, right? But this is not a normal situation. What’s going on here? And the people who have control over stopping it, are not headquartered here in Minneapolis.
22:21
Very strongly here. and I’m glad you put that out there. It also made me think about what’s very interesting kind of in the history of American politics here, is the way that the expected roles that, we see from reconstruction through the Civil Rights Movement, between federal and local authority or state authority, in some ways are being reversed. We are used to seeing, calls to the federal government in order to protect African Americans after enslavement through the Freedoms Bureau you to control the Ku Klux Klan. We see this in this, in the, Civil Rights Movement, where you see the Voting Rights Act, right, for example, is very much about, we don’t trust local authorities. That is state, county, and, and municipal governments to protect the rights of racialized people or to right, protect the rights of the powerless. Therefore, we look to Washington. It’s so much the opposite now, and as an American historian, doesn’t it make your head spin?
23:49
We, it’s a delicate time and we really need the judiciary. Yes.
25:51
Yeah, I, think just to build on that, David, which you said so Well, I think. What’s happened, because of the excessive gross, excessive use of force in Minneapolis is that the issue of border security, which Trump is still relatively popular on, at least with some people that’s been lost and has become a discussion instead of brutality and federal overstep. and, there’s got, I would think that Republicans would like it to come back to a discussion of border security, which would mean taking the, the lens off of Minneapolis.
Episode 317: Vigilantism and Violence in American Society
04:55
Sure. for people of a certain age, we might be familiar with the name Bernard Goetz because he is this kind of rogue figure who ends up on a subway train in 1984 sitting across from four black teenagers, and, in a very, quick encounter suddenly leaps up. And pulls a gun out of his, waistband in a hidden holster and shoots one of them into the chest, shoots another in the back as he’s fleeing, shoots the third kid through his arm that went into his chest and with the fourth kid, tried to shoot him. And then walked over and coldly says to him, you look all right. Here is another, and shot in point, blank range. severing his spinal cord, paralyzing him for life. And that guy, became an overnight, folk hero celebrated by the tabloid media, gravitated to by countless. newly resentful and disaffected, white New Yorkers. and he became the stuff of Legends. He is in the lyrics of Billy Joel’s song. We didn’t Start the Fire. He’s in the song by the Beastie Boys. He is referenced, in so many popular culture context. So for some of us, we remembered his name, but notably, Speaking for myself anyway, I don’t think any of us really knew who his victims were. And, so I wanted to dig into that story because not only does he, shoot these kids, but then he is on the lamb. There’s a dramatic manhunt to find him, he turns himself in, offers a chilling videotape two hour long, confession. Where he doesn’t candy coat anything. He admits to everything. and nevertheless, what’s gonna unfold in my book, is this incredibly interesting story of how Americans are told that, up is down and down is up. There’s, this is the birth of the misinformation media. it takes, two grand juries to get ’em to trial. And, we can then talk about the trial, but it’s really a really pivotal moment in legal history because he will be acquitted. That acquittal sets us down a path, I think from which we really still real.
17:26
Absolutely. And in fact, the extent to which that was true was quite startling. people are making judgment calls about who’s the victim and who’s the villain in this based on what they’re learning in the media. But if you look at what they’re learning in the media, this is when I, keep using the word curated for a reason, because, people were given the facts. Many of the media had the facts in hand, but nevertheless distorted them. So. Thus the story of the sharpened screwdrivers. Here’s another really interesting one. These teenagers had amassed, really a slew of misdemeanor citations, in their youth. for things like jumping the sur subway, turnstiles, riding the subways ’cause they had no money. Or again, jimmying opened these coin receptacles. When they are in the hospital recovering from these horrendous gunshot wounds to Bronx judges, look at these misdemeanor ju violations, and they suddenly issue this blizzard of warrants for these kids’ arrest. So what do you think that does? Of course, the headlines then become. Victims, not so much. These, are, dangerous criminals who have 13 warrants out for their arrest. Right?
20:13
right, or that the same kind of, I guess what I would say is, the high profile crime tabloid, stories, Become less the sort of dominant narrative of New York City.
20:27
Oh, interesting. Yeah. well, so what’s fascinating to me, I grew up in Detroit actually in the seventies and the eighties and spent a lot of time in New York as well. And so I think what’s on the one hand like New York is not unusual. It is in some respects, every city in the sense that. This, crisis of austerity, the urban crisis, if you will, of the eighties, is really playing out everywhere and in many cities. The kind of curation of how we understand it is going very similarly. ’cause even at some point, even the mainstream media and the nightly news is, beating the drum about crime and drug addiction and drug dealers and crack and wilding kids with zero context, not talking about. The fact that the entire social safety net had been eroded and so forth. So this is universal, but one thing that happens in New York, which is I think for particularly your generation, that becomes the, the bellwether of wow, cities get cleaned up. they gentrify, they know New York becomes a place people aren’t afraid to go anymore. It, and that’s. The Giuliani, years. And what I didn’t also quite appreciate was the extent to which, all of the Giuliani miracle of gentrification and kind of quote unquote cleaning up New York was still part and parcel of this same political moment that we were in, which is how did he accomplish cleaning up New York through extreme rates of policing? Some of the highest incarceration rates ever in the, in New York State’s history. by essentially moving poverty out of the city, places like out of Manhattan and into the boroughs. and meanwhile giving tax breaks and incentivizing development for rich people so that New York became one of the most glittery. Fun to be in if you have money, but most unequal cities, in the country. And that too ends up playing out in San Francisco, even in Detroit now. so we’re it is an interesting way in which it’s the same thing. It just, it looks a lot gl more glittery than it did in the eighties.
23:46
Yeah, and I think that was, someone who, like you have, spent time in, in the city. it was hard to get my head around the continuities. but then they became quite clear, I think, as I. Kind of peeled back the layers a little bit. There’s no question today that you know, you can go into New York City and it is, times Square. Times Square is no longer a place where you see. You know so much. Homelessness is not a place where you see the drug trade playing out in front of your eyes. It’s not a place that feels so unsafe, so, so crisis filled. But at the end of the day, New York has become a place that is. Utterly unlivable for people. And that means that you can look in the window of a Gucci store, right? And it is beautiful and it’s glittery and it glistens, but you can’t afford anything in it. And I think the real evidence of why that is the case or how true that is, is what’s happened in the recent. Mayoral election. the fact that a democratic socialist like Momani can win by a landslide indicates that, this glittery city, is, not in fact delivering. For the people who actually have to try to live there. And it is, again, it’s a lifting of the veil in New York City on the inequality, what it means to be in a city without sufficient safety net anymore. what it means to have undone the New Deal and the great society in our American cities. But the other thing we’ve inherited, of course, is meanwhile, we’ve inherited the carte bl for people who feel angry when they feel that, right? they can’t afford their rent. they can’t, make it anymore. They can’t put their own kids in college. Unfortunately, a lot of ’em are still susceptible to this idea. That’s because of the immigrants. That’s because of, the criminal class. That’s because of the people who are actually worse off than they are. So it’s a lot to unpack. I hope that the book, does it through this story because the tentacles to the past and present are pretty, pretty clear. Yeah. even the NRA gets. Intimately involved in the Bernie Goetz case, and it’s, it pays attention to what happens to the outcome of his trial and then runs with it. this is where we get stand your ground laws, this is where we get Supreme Court decisions that allow police officers and individuals to merely to say they felt unsafe. And it’s okay to kill another US citizen. So, it is, it’s a lot. I, it’s a, it leaves us a little bit with our head spinning, I think about where we are today, frankly.
27:47
Yes. Yes. And also I think what Heather’s getting at so well is that there isn’t a certain way a crackdown on small scale violence from certain groups, but a permission structure, I don’t know if that’s a good way to talk about it, Heather, but a permission structure given to certain people to use more violence for their own defense. Is that sort of what you’re getting at, Heather?
Episode 318: War In Iran
05:17
Yeah, one of the big challenges here is that the motivation for this attack and the sort of the trigger, right, the timing. Iran has been a threat of varying degrees for nearly 50 years. And so why now is a real puzzle. And that's something that we have to grapple with. And hopefully in the years ahead, future historians like yourself will grapple with that. But all evidence seems to suggest at this point that in light of the recent U.S. and Israeli attacks over the last couple of years against nuclear facilities, against prominent Iranian proxy forces like Hezbollah and Hamas and the Houthis, that essentially Iran as a regime, and then of course with, as you noted, popular, sort of the population here with these massive protests. I mean, there have been protests across the years against the regime in Tehran. None were ever as big as they were this past year. And the response and the slaughter of, I was reading it this morning, anywhere between 3,000 and some estimates put it at 30,000, which of course seems high, but protesters slaughtered. So all of those things in combination, I think, gave from the U.S. side, from the president's side, the perception that Iran was at its weakest, that it was ever going to be, and now was just a target of opportunity, a window of opportunity. And of course, as you noted, Israel has for a very long time pressed the United States to do more. So in some ways, it's kind of this perfect storm, moment.
07:09
Yeah, I think there's two parts, and I'll float towards the second one. I think first, it's really interesting that we're doing this out of sequencing, at least as far as we can see. And that's the thing, we don't have all the information and that won't come out. But typically, when it comes to things like covert action or unconventional warfare, this is what the U.S. Special Forces and what the U.S. intelligence community, the CIA can do, it's that you go and you work with local partners, you provide material support or lethal aid or training or funding, and there's all sorts of problems with that. But you basically do that as a way to put pressure on the regime, as a way to shape conditions, and then you sort of have more kinetic action. And now, it's sort of operating in reverse, which again, it's on the one hand, we have to be very careful not to be quick in our judgment. It's the same thing with respect to the larger issues of decapitation and regime change. External regime change has a terrible record. Again, usually the external force is seen as illegitimate and they're working with illegitimate local partners, and it just never really works out. And we saw that to a degree in some of the recent conflicts that the U.S. has been involved in. But in this case, sort of decapitation without ground troops, we have to be attentive to or open to the idea that maybe this would work. And if so, how, why, and under what conditions? Now, to the idea of managing for post-conflict, this too is something that we always want to be attentive to history, right? But of course, he who remembers the past can commit the opposite mistakes. When we look at events in Iraq and Afghanistan and what seems on the face of it, how could we not know some of these dynamics and some of the violence and some of the things that happened in the aftermath, insurgencies and civil wars and proxy wars, that was not for the lack of planning. There was extensive planning across the U.S. government for that, but it just shows how difficult it is, right, to wage wars. Wars, it is far easier to start wars than end them, right? And I was just saying this to someone the other day. It's like all wars end, but they rarely end as expected. And even short, decisive wars like this can often produce post-conflict environments that are bloodier than the war itself. And not only that, the termination of one war often becomes the beginning of another. And then in doing so, the mistake that so many people make is they sort of graft on these a priori grievances and things onto the post-conflict environment. But the post-conflict environment, as we saw in Iraq, as we saw in Afghanistan, that violence unfolds over a range of complex evolving motives that can be even sort of either directly or even indirectly related to the war.
10:09
That makes sense. And I think there's a really interesting question that I hope we'll dive into a little bit more about the potential for a post-conflict or post-regime chaos in Iran. But I did want to ask first what you think, how plausible you think it is that the Iranian people, as President Trump has suggested in recent days, might actually rise up against the Iranian regime in a way that could effectively topple the regime? Is the regime really that weak in this moment?
10:38
Well, that's, again, the thing. The US and Israel have been successful at decapitating many of the senior Iranian leaders, right, from the Ayatollah down to sort of that top tier of leadership. But that is not the regime. And the regime itself, again, going all the way down to sort of sub-national municipal level, the regime is robust. You still have not just the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, you have their conventional military, the Artesh, you have what's called the Basij. These are sort of domestic kind of military forces. I mean, these folks are still ... They still have high capabilities. When it comes to resistance, one of the things that groups face are these typical challenges of coordination and collective action. And so here, thinking about, if the three of us were in Iran and we wanted to do something, how do we coordinate with the broader group of people that might want to do something? Technology is helping with that, but it also creates these vulnerabilities. Once we communicate, we're vulnerable. And of course, this has happened in Iran. But more broadly, the incentive structure is not for us to do something that is risky with an uncertain outcome that if someone else does it, we get to benefit from it. The incentive structure is to not do anything, to sit on the fence. And so when you talk about a resistance in Iran, you have to think about how are these populations going to overcome those central challenges. And there are more. There's something called sort of the GM squared guns, money, manpower. The idea is that in this type of environment, the state apparatus has the monopoly or the asymmetric comparative advantage on guns and money and manpower. And so from an insurgency perspective, you have to sort of secure those things. And it's a very, very difficult thing. And that's why most insurgencies fail right off the bat. Although in the ones that do become successful, conversely, the ones that are able to solve that problem tend to last on average about 10 to 12 years. So there are a lot of upfront sort of challenges that have to be made. The other side of this, of course, is, as I mentioned, the US has doctrine and dedicated forces to working with populations to help them overcome those challenges, to help them get the money and the guns and to give them the training. And that's where, again, we have to think analytically. When we talk about the quote unquote population in Iran, which population are we talking about? Once again, with the regime chain, I just want to say quickly, one of the big factors is you need to get regime defections to work. And we haven't seen that. But the other side is, again, what we saw in the news that I mentioned earlier. US is talking about supporting the Kurds, something that we've done for years and then withdrawn support and kind of left them in a fraught spot. But that's a different dynamic that what we're talking about here, this kind of unconventional warfare support to groups like the Kurds, or maybe even the Baluch, right, which is another ethnicity in Iran that's been fighting for independence for a number of years, and they are very capable militarily.
14:17
Yeah, I mean, that there is a great question. I mentioned the Kurds a moment ago. One of the things, despite our support to the Kurds over the years, and the Kurds, right, across whether you're talking about in Iran, in Iraq, in Turkey, in Syria, again, in all of these places, except for Turkey, we have supported the Kurds. But the Kurds in some places, like Iraq, have actually gotten a better deal not fighting for independence, but agreeing to regional autonomy. And so it's a great question to ask, what do these populations really want? Do they want regime overthrow, or do they want policy changes? And it seems that many of them do want some overthrow of the regime. But one of the other challenges that, again, if we go back to sort of history, it is extremely difficult analytically to gauge and to anticipate the very word that you used, will, right? Not just a word, it's a variable. The will to fight is often not just sort of revealed by conflict, but it's also sort of conditioned by conflict. And this is why during, most recently during the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, the United States sort of did not fully estimate the degree to which the government of Afghanistan had the will to persist after the US withdrawal in face of Taliban attacks. And then conversely, if just looking at Ukraine, here too, many in the US sort of, and even in the government structures, right? Not just talking about US public opinion, but many of the people that are tasked with knowing these things were really surprised that the Ukrainians not just sort of have lasted as long as they have, but even lasted outside of those original three days.
Origins, Development And Historical Change
View DetailsEpisode 115: Young JFK: Lessons for Democracy Today
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. Today’s episode. We’re going to focus upon young John F. Kennedy and the lessons and insights from his early career for our somewhat difficult and partisan political moment today. What can we learn? And what do we take away from John F. Kennedy’s early career? We have with us his biographer, who is a very distinguished historian and good friend and someone who’s written quite a lot about American foreign policy, American politics and the lessons of history for contemporary affairs. This is Fred Logevall. Uh, Fred. Good morning.
03:56
My poem is really about trying to ask what made JFK such a symbolic figure in American history and what made him so important in the memory of his generation, even only having served a few years as president.
08:47
So it's in some ways almost a kind of contradictory, or they don't, the two attributes, the two conclusions don't necessarily mesh perfectly, but I think it's partly what he took from the war, no question. And it's worth underlining the fact, and this is a point you make, that really most of the leadership of American society for the next 50 years would have come out of this experience of World War II.
11:05
It was a kind of pluralist, liberal outlook, which was idealistic in some respects, but also leavened with a certain pragmatic realism that I think proved to be a winning one for him, if I can put it that way. I think this is really one of the stunning parts of your book, Fred.
19:28
And one of the reasons he loved politics from an early point was precisely because he believed that it was important that in a democracy, what we expect, what we demand of our elected officials can have a hugely important effect on our lives. And I think he believed and developed a philosophy, which basically said that government can't solve all of our problems, but it has a vital role to play in creating a more just and a more equitable society.
20:11
In fact, I think I show that you see it again in this first campaign, and that is the vital importance in a democracy of compromise, of reasoning from evidence, of seeing political opponents as adversaries rather than enemies. This is something that I think he stressed, and I think it's a very important notion for us today.
20:54
And boy, is that hard today in this country. But I think it's a more important message than ever.
21:07
Over more than 100 episodes, we've seen, I think, in such a range of figures, how important those precise qualities that you just highlighted so brilliantly, that those qualities of compromise and attention to evidence and deliberative policymaking, how crucial they are to a democracy. How did Lyndon Johnson interact with John F. Kennedy? Because one of the issues that comes up quite often in some of our prior discussions and in a lot of the scholarship, as you know better than anyone, is this rivalry between Lyndon Johnson and the Kennedy family.
27:47
We do it every week because we're trying to bring historical knowledge and at least maybe some historical inspiration to thinking about reforming and improving our democracy in a nonpartisan way.
28:12
You've spent a good part of your life now writing about John F. Kennedy. You're going to continue doing that. What do you want young people, people who are concerned about our politics today, people who want to change our politics today, what do you want them to take away from the work you've done and from this wonderful volume?
28:46
That may be kind of an impossible thing to believe, given how corrosively cynical we have become. But I think it's absolutely true. I think it's something that John F. Kennedy really based his political career on, this idea that it is absolutely vital that we have a strong, functioning democracy.
29:11
And he says in one of his college papers, this is when he's 20 years old, and I'm paraphrasing that in effect, unless democracy can produce capable leaders, it is in serious trouble. And I think that's true.
Episode 121: Historical Memory and National Trauma
33:24
How democratic societies offer the possibility for redemption because this is a theme of our podcast. Weekend and week out. Democracy is about no finality. Democracy denies that there's an end to history. There's no perfect template, and we're not looking to create the perfect man and woman, we're looking to constantly remake ourselves for our times to come.
33:45
It's a constant rebuilding or in the Jewish tradition, Ledor Vador, from generation to generation. And, I think your book really captures that so well.
Episode 138: The Filibuster
05:06
Right, so the filibuster has ancient roots. There is no doubt about it. And the filibuster has stopped lots of good legislation over time, but it's also stopped lots of really bad legislation over time, so it serves a purpose. I mean, its purpose is now being debated, much more seriously than I think it has in quite a while, right? I'm not sure how long the Senate will still have its filibuster, but it's in place now, and it's having ramifications on all sorts of debates taking place in the Senate today.
05:36
And Sean, before we talk about how this filibuster actually works, why is it there?
05:41
It's not mentioned in the Constitution, of course. So how did we get this archaic institution?
05:47
Yeah, so right. I'll give you a common person's understanding of how it came to exist, and I'm a storyteller, Jeremi. This is the reason I think my students pay attentionâYou're a great storytellerâon occasion.
05:59
And so, the story is that Aaron Burr, who was vice president, was looking at the Senate rule book, and he came across this thing called the motion to order the previous question. And he's like, we never used this thing, we're just going to get rid of it. Right, so this is back in the early 1800s. And so, the Senate decides to delete this motion to order the previous question from its rule book. The House keeps its version, so the rules of the House and the rules of the Senate, back when they first got started, were more similar than they are today. And so, Aaron Burr and the senators decided to get rid of this motion to order the previous question.
06:32
And with that, it comes to an understanding that the only way that you can move legislation, then, is through this thing called the unanimous consent agreement. And, of course, unanimous consent agreement is really important because of its first wordâunanimous. So in order to get the Senate moving on anything, it requires all senators to agree to move on that thing. And so, what that does is it empowers any individual senator to say, âno, I don't want to move on to that thing,â and as soon as they object, then they have control of the floor.
07:03
And then that sends us down a procedural set of steps, whereby the rest of the Senate, if there's sufficient numbers, can tell that senator that they lose control of the floor, and they go into a different set of procedures; whereby they can actually start debating something, and presumably, at the end of the legislative process, even passed something. Its origins, right? The reason we have a filibuster goes back to those early decisions made by Aaron Burr a long time ago.
07:29
So like Lin Manuel Miranda's play. I mean, Aaron Burr is the villain, in a sense here, right?
07:36
Well, if you think that the filibuster is a bad thing, he's the villain. [Laughter] Or is this the reason that the Senate becomes known as the greatest deliberative body in the world? I mean, I think that it depends on what side of the filibuster fence you're on as to whether or not he's the villain or the hero.
07:52
Right. It's extraordinary, though, Sean, isn't it? That as vice president, he had that much enduring power on the way the Senate operates.
08:01
Right, and this is actually a really good lesson for the Senate. Right? So this is a precedent that is set early, and the Senate really cares about precedent. And so, a decision that they make kind of just because they never used this thing, ends up having these huge ramifications that we continue to feel throughout the next two-hundred plus years of history. It's a really important lesson in path dependence, how a decision made early has enduring effects, as you say.
08:25
How does the filibuster work, Sean?
08:28
So it's hard, right? And you know this, Jeremi, but to educate the folks who might be listening to this, so the filibuster, really, in a congressional sense, just means the delay of legislation. And so, the different forms that a filibuster can take are various, right.
08:45
So when Ron Johnson makes them read every word of the 1.9 trillion dollar relief bill, the Congress is now in the process of passing; that is a form of filibuster, right? Because that is delaying the legislative process. And so, we could call that a filibuster, but it comes to have a more particular meeting when a senator presumably takes the floor and gives a speech.
09:08
And so we normally say that that is filibustering. But we could really claim the Ron Johnson's, again, based on the unanimous consent agreement, normally, a senator, the majority, they were to ask unanimous consent to waive the reading of the bill. And if no senator objects, then the reading of the bill is waived, but Ron Johnson object[ed].
09:27
And so, according to the rules of the Senate, that bill has to be read in its entirety, and so [it is] a form of filibuster. So In other words, what the filibuster is, is a delay tactic that any senator can use, in theory, as long as they wish to use. That's right, because so much of the Senate is done through these unanimous consent agreements, there are lots of opportunities for a senator to object, and as soon as they object, they have the floor.
09:55
So we normally think of the filibuster is when the senators start[ ] giving a speech, and the only way that a filibuster can be broken at that point is through this process called cloture, and cloture is a petition. And if the petition gets signed by sixty senators, th[e]n, they can attempt to invoke cloture, and then there will be a vote on closure. And then if cloture is invoked, then there is a different procedure again. And what can happen post-cloture? Usually, it's limited to one hundred hours of debate, and then they have to move the legislation after cloture is invoked.
10:32
There's been a lot of talk lately about how the filibuster has affected our democratic institutions, not just the Senate, but Congress as a whole. How has the filibuster in the past promoted majoritarian democracy, and how has it undermined that at the same time?
10:47
Yeah, so, and it's interesting that you use the word majoritarian.
10:52
So what the filibuster does because it requires sixty votes, there's a supermajority. And so what a supermajority means is that instead of only taking fifty votes plus the vice president to pass something, it requires sixty votes in the Senate for lots of different pieces of legislation.
11:08
And so when you require those ten extra votes, it means that you're empowering lots of people, usually of the minority party, to sign off on a piece of legislation, which gives them huge control over what the final words of that legislation look like, or whether or not the final words can ever be agreed to.
11:26
And so what it means is that it requires more than just a simple majority, as the House of Representatives is just a majoritarian institution. If you have, the number of yes votes are greater than the number of no votes, then the legislation is passed.
11:40
But the Senate requires those ten extra votes, and it's even more than that, in some instances, it's sixty votes, right. It's not three-fifths of the Senate, right? So it's a sixty vote threshold. So if their Senate, because of vacancies or deaths, senators not being in town, it's not enough that three-fifths of the Senate agree, but it's that sixty votes, right? So it's literally sixty votes.
12:02
Sean, as a scholar of Congress who studied this, I think, closer than pretty much anyone else, what have been the moments when the filibuster has actually built consensus?
12:14
That's the argument it seems to me you're making. At certain moments. It forces a party with fifty-two to actually reach out and find those on the other side, at least eight of them to go along with things. And one could see, in theory, the value in that.
12:26
So what moments do you see as the moments when this has been a source of consensus building?
12:31
Yeah, so I think that we could even just go back in time to a time that most of us remember, some of us more vividly than others. When the Affordable Care Act was passed because it required sixty votes in the Senate at that time, [which] had sixty Democrats. And so what it meant was that every single Democrat had to be in favor of it, which meant that those moderate Democrats from Nebraska and Louisiana had a lot of power in shaping the legislation in order to pick up those last few votes.
13:01
Now in some ways, that piece of legislation was improved, particularly for the states of Louisiana, Nebraska, but in other senses, we could say that it required a broader consensus from the Senate as a whole. Where if [it] only required fifty votes or fifty plus the vice president, we could have imagined that there might have been a more lively debate about the public option, but because it required those sixty votes, that was a nonstarter for enough of those Democrats that it didn't happen.
13:30
And if we go back in time right, we can go back to the Civil Rights Act of 1964, The Voting Rights Act of 1965. If we're only talking about the number of yeses being more than the number of noes, then you don't have to have particularly broad conversations among senators to figure out what wording actually works for enough of them to pass the thing.
13:50
But because of the super majoritarian requirement in the Senate, it just requires a broader conversation and this has ramifications; absolutely on the Senate. But it also has ramifications on the House because that legislation also has to be passed by the House.
14:04
And if in the process they're moderating that legislation, then it means that perhaps it's not passing two hundred and eighteen votes to two hundred and seventeen, but maybe it's passing two hundred and sixty votes to one hundred and seventy. And so legislation that passes with broader margins usually is more sustainable. It's usually broader. It[ ] usually has more buy-in from some of the people who ultimately might object to it, and so we think of it as being longer lasting.
14:31
It's a great point. And you can see that certainly, with the civil rights legislation that you mentioned going back to the â57 [Civil Rights] Act, that Lyndon Johnson, as Senate majority leader, muscles his way through. And then, of course, the â64 Civil Rights Act and the â65 Voting Rights Act. What's striking about those examples, Sean, which are terrific examples, is that, you're right, the legislation gains more permanence from having to go through the filibuster threshold.
14:58
But historians, I think, would argue, [it] took much longer to get that legislation. And Jim Crow, and of course, before that, slavery, last a lot longer than they might have otherwise because of the filibuster, so you can see both sides. Would you agree with that?
15:12
Oh, absolutely, right. So in part of the arguments that we're hearing today is that the filibuster should ultimately be revoked from the rules of the Senate, for perhaps most importantly, because of its racist past. Right?
15:26
So we don't get legislation on civil rights until the late 1950s and 1960s, in part because of the filibuster and in the power of the super majoritarian requirement in the Senate. That there was no way that you could [a] get sufficient number of senators to pass something, even though there might have been fifty-one votes much earlier.
15:45
How does an effective majority leader do this?
15:51
I mean, what do we learn from someone like Lyndon Johnson?
15:54
We certainly learned that the majority leader, we learned this from Mitch McConnell too, is incredibly powerful in the Senate.
16:00
But it just seems today, when the majority leader's main role is whipping his or her own party, how have they, in the past, been able to get through this threshold? What have they done?
16:10
Right? So it means that they're talking to their members, but because it's rare that we have a party having sixty votes just done outside of the aisle, it also requires them to have conversations across the aisle. And so what it means is that there has to be a far more open dialogue between the majority leader and the minority leader than we might otherwise think. And so, good majority leaders are keeping their caucus together, which minimizes the number of votes they're going to have to get from the other side, but they're also making sure that that dialogue happens.
16:41
What we see happening, though, interestingly, especially over the last ten or even fifteen years, is that there is another set of senators that feel particularly empowered because of the super majoritarian requirement. And they come to be known as gangs, where they form a group, a bipartisan group.
17:00
And usually, the number of people in the group is explicitly tied to the number of votes that it will take to invoke cloture, so that sixty vote threshold. So if the Democrats have, let's just say fifty-five votes, then the gang will be a gang of ten because they know that they need five Republicans. And so they usually form it in a bipartisan way. So five Republicans, five Democrats. But if the Democrats only have fifty-three votes, then it would require a gang of fourteen because you need seven Republicans and then the seven Democrats that they're negotiating with, ultimately, to try and pass legislation.
17:34
And so what the filibuster does, is it means that the conversations have to happen across the aisle in a way that certainly, since you've seen since since January 6 in the House of Representatives, there is almost no conversations happening across the aisle; even though, right, Nancy Pelosi's threshold isn't that much bigger than Chuck Schumer's threshold in the Senate. But she's able to, just with her votes alone, pass legislation where it doesn't require her to talk across the aisle the same way that it does for Chuck Schumer.
18:03
So I guess, Sean, this is what puzzles me because it seems that over time in most periods, these gangs that are formed, as you say, to control getting through cloture, getting the sixty votes that are necessary. They've generally had a moderating influence on legislation because they usually are a mix of Democrats and Republicans close to the middle.
18:24
Someone like the Senator Joe Manchin today from West Virginia, who is probably closer to the middle than many other Democrats would be in the Senate or Susan Collins, I guess on the Republican side for Maine. And they've had an enormous amount of influence on legislation over time, but it seems in the last decade that hasn't happened.
18:41
And it seems as if, the filibuster is being invoked, more often than not, just to stop any deliberation, for example, on gun control, to stop deliberation on voting rights.
18:53
Is that a newer phenomenon and if so, why?
18:55
So it is a newer phenomenon.
18:57
And so what's happening is that the parties are sorting at the same time that they're becoming more polarized, which means that there are far fewer Democrats representing Trump voting states and far fewer Republicans representing Biden voting states. Which means that the senators are less cross pressured, which means that forming cross party coalitions has become exceedingly more difficult.
19:20
So we used it right if we go back to even Richard Nixon's impeachment, the average percentage that the Democratic candidate for president, so in this case, McGovern would have gotten among states represented by Democrats was exactly the same as states represented by Republicans, right? So you had lots of Republicans who are representing Democratic leaning states, you had lots of Democrats who are representing Republican leaning states.
19:45
And so those types of conversations happen much more easily when theâsenators feel cross pressure from their constituencies in their parties. But what we know is over time there are so few, right? So the two that you've already mentioned are two of the most obvious examples, and the next closest ones are really tough to come to.
20:06
Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, right? Ron Johnson, Wisconsin, where the Democrat wins by a fraction of a percentage point. And so we don't think of them as being nearly as cross pressured as Susan Collins, representing Maine or Joe Manchin, representing West Virginia.
20:22
And at the same time, the margins in the Senate have decreased. So in order to get ten Republicans to go along with something that Joe Biden and Chuck Schumer and the Democrats want, you have to get to a pretty conservative Republican representing a pretty Republican voting state.
20:38
And so that's just really hard and so those conversations become much more difficult. So to move things like gun control or voting rights, it's just that much more difficult because of the particular political situations of the senators.
20:51
And what role, then, does the filibuster play in such a close Senate? Almost fifty-fifty?
20:58
How does the filibuster's role change when we get increasingly very close margins in the Senate, every Congress?
21:06
Yeah, so what it means is that you're not going to get major pieces of legislation.
21:10
The legislation can pass outside of budget stuff, right? So what we're seeing play out right now with the 1.9 [trillion dollar] relief bill is that because it's related to budget, there's a different process involving budget reconciliation, which means that it only requires fifty votes.
21:27
But things that don't require money spending like voting rights or gun control, it means that legislation is going to be so difficult to pass that many of us just can't even imagine right. So perhaps there's like at the margins changes, but you're never going to get a big thrust of new gun control or protection of voting rights.
21:48
The re emboldening of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 after the Supreme Court opinion, you're not going to get huge immigration reform. The Senate is a very, stability-inducing place, right? So it also means we're not going to get big changes from Congress to Congress.
22:05
Right? So right now the Democrats have a majority by Kamala Harris' vote, and if in four years, the Republicans have the same majority, we're not going to get big flips and legislation because of the super majoritarian requirement.
22:19
So over time, Sean, I think, as a consequence of a closely split Senate for quite a while and the difficulty of getting major legislation through there has been a chipping away of the filibuster. The budget reconciliation itself, I think, is one example of that.
22:37
Certainly, as I recall, the Democratic Party under President Obama eliminated the filibuster for judicial appointments short of the Supreme Court. And then, of course, the Republican Party under Donald Trump eliminated the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees, which is how Trump was able to nominate and appoint three different members of the court.
22:56
Do you foresee a continued chipping away of the filibuster?
23:00
Do you foresee an elimination of it or just leaving it as it is?
23:03
So Jeremi, I think the filibuster's days are limited, right? So again, the filibuster in the strictest sense.
23:09
Of course, delaying legislation is always going to happen, right? But this process that we've been talking about, especially most recently, its days are limited. Right now, I think that the filibuster is still on the books because of a couple of senators, so Kristen Cinema and Joe Manchin said that they liked the filibuster in any type of process.
23:29
To get rid of the filibuster would require a majority vote, and so, the Democrats don't have it right now. So if the Republicans take control of the Senate after the 2022 election, and they get it by a couple of votes, I think that it continues to exist only because they don't have unified government.
23:50
But I think as soon as a party has unified government, that is, control of both the House and the Senate and the White House, and they have a sufficiently large margin in the Senate, the filibuster will be dead, right?
23:58
So if the Democrats, let's just say, win control, keep control of the White House, and let's say they pick up seats in the 2022 election, so that they have fifty-three or fifty-four votes in the Senate, and still a majority in the House, I think the filibuster would be dead.
24:14
Or if, in the 2024 election, Republicans capture all three and they have fifty-three or fifty-four votes and they don't need Susan Collins and maybe one other Republican senator, then I think the filibuster is dead.
24:26
So I think its days are numbered as soon as a party has unified control and they have sufficient majority in the Senate, then then the filibuster will be reformed in the Senate.
24:39
Or Sean, and this would be a road toward the end you're describing, is it likely that we will see more significant chipping away of it just in the coming months, for example, with Democrats wanting to be able to pass voting rights legislation?
24:53
Yeah, and what's interesting to me is, I think, as we've seen, the state legislatures invoke some pretty awful new rules with respect to voting, I think the more ugly process...takes place in state legislatures.
25:08
I could imagine Joe Manchin and Kristen Cinema coming around, but I can't imagine the carve outs for things like voting rights. And then I can't imagine they would then carve out something to do with gun control or right, like I just can't imagine these carve outs.
25:23
But I could imagine them implementing is a particular process. And maybe with a wink and a nod and some type of budget ramifications, them trying to include voting rights within the budget reconciliation rules that currently exist, right? So maybe it has to do with the federal government giving states money to do x, y, or z, so that voting rights certainly now would then have financial ramifications such that it could be read under budget reconciliation.
25:51
And I guess this is my last question. Sean, do you foresee the Senate moving to what Joe Manchin himself has mentioned, which is the possibility of at least making those who want to invoke the filibuster make them work harder, make them actually stand up and speak right now?
26:07
Oftentimes, right, those who are willing to filibuster simply threatened to do it, and the Senate moves on. But do you foresee them at least raising the pain threshold for filibusterers, as Manchin has suggested?
26:17
So I can imagine them doing it in very limited ways, the problem with that and you've already alluded to this the power of the majority leader to set the agenda.
26:26
So if the Senate is meeting, then Chuck Schumer wants to use the meeting time of the Senate in a way to advance the Democratic agenda. If he calls up bills that will merely be filibustered and they end up wasting twenty-four, fourty-eight hours, a week because of a filibuster, then that means he's not able to move all the other things that Chuck Schumer wants to move, many of which don't require a sixty vote threshold, right?
26:46
Judicial appointments, filling out the rest of President Biden's Cabinet, so the plenary time on the Senate trades off with the filibuster time. And so for every minute that Chuck Schumer is allowing a filibuster, right, raising the pain threshold, forcing Republican senators to talk endlessly on the floor of the Senate, means that he's not able to do all the other things that the Democrats want to do in the Senate.
27:11
And so, right, it's a good talking point, but I just can't see it playing out, except and perhaps in very limited cases. It's a great insight, Sean, that there is a trade off in terms of time for the Senate and the majority has very limited time to get things done, especially when you look at the electoral clock with a 2022 election coming up.
27:32
Zachary as we close here, what are your thoughts on this?
27:37
There's a younger generation like yours. First of all, do you pay attention to this?
28:29
Great point. Is that accurate, Sean, do you think?
28:31
So it is accurate, but I would warn both Zachary and folks of his generation and people that have his politics, that while it may be beneficial to your side today, in four years when the Republicans have unified control, you could imagine them getting rid of lots of things that the Democrats would not want to put in place. And perhaps even going back further, right?
28:52
Not only stripping away some of the Biden administration's achievements, but even going back to the Affordable Care Act or other policies that have lots of benefits to not only Democrats, but also a good number of Republicans.
29:07
For sure.
29:09
And there we have the reason the filibuster has survived as long as it has.
Episode 169: Vietnam War Legacies
02:18
It is hard to build utopias when you burn their children in the jungle. It is hard to build utopias when you burn their children in the jungle, and your carpet bombings make whole nations synonymous with tragedy. It is hard to build utopias when you burn their children in the jungle, and your carpet bombings make whole nations synonymous with tragedy, and you shoot your own children smack dab in the middle of their righteousness. It is hard to build utopias when they are already covered in your own rusty tanks and pierced by your own bullets, when they have already realized they don't need to be saved by you, when your own children are blowing up buildings just so you'd turn around and care a little.
03:11
My poem is really about the very naive American attitude that we can go anywhere and build the greatest societies out of places that we've already destroyed, and we've already meddled in for long periods of time, and places where things are much more complex than peace and war and democracy and tyranny.
03:49
It's always downhill after Zachary's poem, Mark. But Mark, you have, especially in this recent book, you've really delved into the ways in which the effort to build utopia, or a great society as Lyndon Johnson called it abroad in Vietnam, really distorted American thinking and American society. First of all, why was the United States trying to do this in Vietnam? Why were we looking to build this utopia, as Zachary put it, in a place so far away that so few Americans could even identify?
04:53
This was a period of intense competition, as you well know, Jeremi, between the East and West for the loyalty and sympathy of societies all around the world. So it really mattered, I think, to Americans that they had the keys to unlocking development and democratization and progress in a broad way. Vietnam was just one of many places where Americans tried to achieve those objectives.
05:19
And why were our failures there? And of course, you and others have written in depth on the sources of our shortcomings in these activities. But why was it so disruptive? Why did it have such a deep effect at home, as Zachary refers to in his poem? And also,as your new book really narrates in such depth and in such compelling detail, why did it have such an effect on American foreign policy in so many other areas?
05:46
Well, I think that the American experience in Vietnam helped to tear down this set of ambitions that ran so high in the early 1960s. Americans in the late 1960s, perhaps in the early 1970s, by and large, believed that they had the ability because of their vast know-how, their technological capabilities, their resources. The world's most productive economy believed that they could bring real change to many countries around the world, and frankly, to their own society as well. I think there's a lot of continuity that has sometimes eluded historians between the domestic arena in which JFK and LBJ and other liberals were so determined to bring reform to all facets of American life, on the one hand, and the way that they approached the international scene as well, both in the international and domestic realms. Liberals believed that by marshaling the resources of the United States, the vast expertise that the United States had at its disposal, they could achieve great things.
06:57
And I think what happens across the 1960s, and this is really what I try to get at in the book, is that Americans lose that sense of ambition. And the Vietnam War is a crucial reason, well, only one of the reasons, but a crucial reason why Americans lose that sense of ambition and American foreign policy undergoes a transformation to something quite different by the late 1960s.
11:36
And Mark, why this arc? Why in each case does it seem not only that the United States is less ambitious as you put it so well in your title, but also that the United States becomes, I don't know if this is fair, but it seems to me more cynical in its policies.
12:47
Resources are pumped into Southeast Asia in a way that makes them much less likely to want to expend resources elsewhere. LBJ becomes quite risk-averse, losing much of that tolerance for taking chances that I think had been part of the American approach in the early part of the decade, because he understood that the war was deeply controversial. And the last thing that he wanted was another controversy or another problem, another headache in the world.
15:18
Well, because I think that it came to dominate so thoroughly the American home front by. LBJ was nothing if not a political creature who was deeply sensitive to what was going on politically across American society, deeply sensitive to what was being said about him and his leadership. And so over time, I think he came to see Vietnam as the single major issue that confronted his administration.
17:07
Yeah, that's a fascinating question. And, you know, Jeremi is one of the great authorities on this issue. But the way I would answer this question is as follows. I think that LBJ, as time passed and as Vietnam consumed his agenda, became increasingly concerned with exerting control, exerting control over an increasingly chaotic situation. And that chaos was apparent not only in Southeast Asia, but also in the streets of the United States and in the streets, frankly, of other cities around the world, particularly in the all important year of 1968.
18:29
But, you know, Jeremi, I think your book Power and Protest gets at another dimension of this broad phenomenon, the quest for stability and security and predictability in an increasingly uncertain world where governmental authorities are losing their ability to control. You know, everything that's happening around the world is in some ways a big story of the 1960s.
20:32
What jumps out at me in connection with the history of the 1970s is how unstable some of those, many of those relationships that the United States had formed in the interest of assuring stability turned out to be. So the relationship with the Shah of Iran, very appealing, right? Under the chaotic circumstances of the 1960s gives way to massive instability in the 1970s. The quest for stability in Latin America gives rise to a new period of instability and chaos in some places, at least, as the 1970s advances. And on and on, we could go looking really around the world.
23:29
But I think it was really the Iraq War, and particularly the difficulties that the United States ran into there between, say, and or so, that brought Vietnam very much back to the forefront, at least in connection with debates over foreign policy. And I think around the same time as political polarization really became that much more extremein the United States, you could also see that Vietnam continued to operate at a very deep level in American society as a touchstone for deep-seated social and cultural debates over some pretty profound issues that tend to divide Americans over questions like their Americans' relationship to their government, the reasonable obligations that government can impose on citizens, the duties of citizens to protest and object to the behavior of theirgovernment, and so forth. A lot of those questions, I think, that Vietnam really put on the table remain very much part of American political life and unfortunately tend to divide Americans very deeply to this day.
24:45
I think that's super helpful, but then it opens up another question, right? If so many American leaders who were making policy and American voters who were voting for those leaders had the experience of Vietnam in mind in one way or another, and here I'm thinking about people like recently passed Secretary of State Colin Powell, former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, former Vice President Richard Cheney, Obama himself, who was reading about Vietnam at the start of his presidency. How could they make mistakes of excessive ambition, if that's what happened in Afghanistan and Iraq, if, as you point out, the lesson was so clearly to limit ambition?
25:32
Well, that lesson, I think one has to acknowledge cuts against some pretty deep-seated impulses that run through American history and American political culture, even in the post-Vietnam period. I think going a very long way back in American history, you can see a strong impulse to bring uplift and progress and reform to the wider world, to impose the American model on the rest of the world, to assume that the American model is applicable indeed to the rest of the world. So Vietnam, I would argue, and certainly many other Americans would argue, does teach the lesson of humility, of the fact that there are limits on what the United States can achieve in the world. But I think that one of the things that stands out pretty clearly in the history of American foreign relations in the last years, since the end of the Vietnam War, is that that lesson was only partially learned, only really learned by some Americans. And of course, there's a whole other set of lessons that were learned by people with a different set of preferences when it comes to American foreign policy.
27:37
I have to believe this. And your book is so rich in its recounting of this period. What are the lessons that you hope, especially in the context of Afghanistan and Iraq now, what are the lessons you hope that readers take as they think about American foreign policy and American democracy going forward?
Episode 206: Leadership
00:51
In the world of social media, the world of flaming the world of difficult, difficult issues and difficult opposition to getting anything done. Our guest, Mark Updegrove, has written a number of books on presidential leadership. And his most recent book is really an. Excellent elegant study of John F. Kennedy and uses John F. Kennedy in many ways as a window into the possibilities and the limits of leadership in our world. It's a book. I hope you all will pick up and read. It's an eminently readable and deeply researched book. It's called Incomparable Grace: JFK in the Presidency. Mark, thank you for joining us.
05:34
And I had read a lot of books about John F. Kennedy, some voluminous and very comprehensive, but not the book about Kennedy that I really wanted to read. And he is such a fascinating and enigmatic subject and led us through such consequential, turbulent times, triumphant in many ways, tragic in others.
05:56
And I wanted to give the reader a sense of that, sort of this cinematic glimpse of Kennedy and all that he's dealing with on any given day, internationally and domestically. I wanted the readers to feel those vicissitudes. And I hoped I achieved it with a brisk, but dramatic take on the two years and 10 months that John F. Kennedy spent in the White House.
09:23
You know, you've written about this, Jeremi, you talked about the challenges of modern presidential leadership in the impossible presidency. It's a really difficult task. Kennedy, as you said, comes into the presidency with this very narrow victory, the narrowest of the 20th century, 118,000 votes to the difference between a President John F. Kennedy or a President Nixon in 1961, and yet he moves very quickly to get the American people rallying around him, partly through his iconic inauguration speech, which is so indelible, in which he says, ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country, which instantly becomes this eternal expression of the American ideal, thinking about something greater than ourselves.
10:56
But we also realize that it was so important to have a strong leader at a time when the Soviet Union was vying for hearts and minds across the world and trying to dominate much of the world landscape. That was the central crisis of the age. In that moment, Jeremi, and then at that desperate moment in his presidency, I think Kennedy shows to some degree his character. He's humble. He takes accountability. As he says in a press conference, success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan. But at the end of the day, the buck stops with me, as Truman might have said. He took responsibility and vowed to the American people to do better. And he does.
11:40
He learns from that very important lessons that help him to circumvent the challenges in his most desperate hour in the presidency, which would come the year after with the Cuban Missile Crisis.
12:57
He doesn't accomplish a great deal in the presidency, particularly compared to his successor, Lyndon Johnson, who was a legislative genius and promulgated the Great Society, which fundamentally changed America. But those ideas that Kennedy put forth so artfully, so elegantly in the speeches he gave made us believe in ourselves as a nation, and I think made citizens of the world believe in the United States as a leader, as a beacon of freedom. He goes on this rhetorical hitting streak at a last year of his life that is tantamount to Ted Williams in 1941. It's remarkable, all these speeches back to back to back in different areas that fundamentally change who we are in many respects.
13:19
And I think made, made. Citizens of the world, believe in the United States as a leader, as, as a beacon of freedom. And there, you know, he goes on this rhetorical hitting streak at a certain point in 1963, the last year of his life that is, you know, tantamount to, you know, Ted Williams in 1941. , it's remarkable all these speeches back to back to back that in different areas that fundamentally change who we are in, in many respects.
22:20
Those are two fundamentally different skills. On the one hand, you have somebody who needs to convey ideas to the American people, to the press, and on the other hand, somebody who has to work behind the scenes to get his agenda done. Your dad mentioned LBJ earlier and why LBJ was not able to effectively communicate as JFK did.
22:47
I think, and I just want to add to that, Kennedy, we have this word as though it's a brand new concept in 21st century America, authentic. We had other words that were just like that, sincere or genuine, but Kennedy was authentic. He didn't pretend to be anything that he wasn't.
23:11
He knew he was a child of great wealth. In fact, he gave a press conference where it was expected that he would be running for president. He whipped out of his pocket an imaginary telegram from his father and it read, Dear Jack, don't buy any more votes than necessary. I'll be damned if I'm going to pay for a landslide. He didn't contrive a personality that he thought would fit the American people. He was very much himself.
23:45
Lyndon Johnson, on the other hand, while he was incredibly effective behind the scenes, perhaps no one was more effective than him in the 20th century, contrived this ostensibly presidential personality that simply was not authentic. It was disingenuous and it really in effect tamped down the Lyndon Johnson that was so powerful behind the scenes. I think that was part of Kennedy's appeal. He was really the genuine article. He was the real deal and part of that was his authenticism.
29:28
He's 46 years of age. He's gone through perhaps the most dangerous hour of humankind with the Cuban Missile Crisis, and stands on the world at that point unparalleled. There is nobody who has the stature of John Fitzgerald Kennedy when he is killed in Dallas on November 22nd, 1963.
29:46
I think there are myths that spring up about Kennedy partly because he's martyred, Jeremi, that get in the way of remembering Kennedy, perhaps as we should. We imagine what Kennedy would've done had he faced Vietnam or civil rights or other things. And I think my guess is there would've been travails that affected Kennedy that would've diminished our view of him in time.
30:30
I think in, and you were alluding to this earlier, in so many ways, Kennedy is also a symbol of what it is to be free.
30:40
Because of the, soaring rhetoric of his administration, including the iconic addresses he makes at the foot of the Berlin Wall and American University and, at his inauguration, we think of him in some ways as symbolizing what it is to be American and what American democracy means to the world.
31:39
But there were existential crises that democracy was going through in Kennedy's era, as well as again, we were at the height at that time of the Cold War and we saw Soviet tyranny, and to a large extent Chinese tyranny, posing a threat on the world stage.
Episode 264: Free Trade and Peace
08:52
And this allows for greater democratization. It also means that if you democratize foreign policy and you minimize the power of these militant aristocratic elites on foreign policymaking, then you can create a more peaceful foreign policy system that doesn't require large standing armies and navies, which means you can lower taxes and thus, make things even more affordable to a mass majority of people. So that's the kind of in a nutshell, how they connect that domestic element with the foreign policy.
09:23
Gotcha. Zachary? And how did this movement for free trade, the successful movement for free trade, in England, how did it change politics? Did it make political institutions more egalitarian in the direction that these groups hoped?
09:39
Oh, that's an interesting one. Yeah. I, to an extent, yes. I mean, male franchise, certainly, you know, universal male franchise certainly was something that became more viable after this. It also was closely associated with what would become first wave feminism, this desire for women's suffrage.
12:41
So this seemed like a nice counterbalance to it, and also led to all sorts of geopolitical conflicts with America's neighbors, especially the British colony to the north, Canada. And then when the United States becomes a proper, formal empire in its own right under Republican auspices in 1898 after the Spanish American war, it's a protectionist economic nationalist empire that comes into being here that the Republicans oversee. And, you know, pushing back against that common understanding that we, I think we tend to make of this late 19th, early 20th century, those decades leading up to the first world war as some sort of Gilded Age era of free markets and laissez faire run amok. One of the things I've been trying to push back against is to say that, that's actually, it was quite the opposite.
30:22
And so that's one of the big differences here. So, yes, you have Thatcher in the seventies coming onto the political scene in Britain, who's going to slam down a book by Hayek as soon as she walks in and says, you know, this is what we believe. Frederick Hayek, one of the intellectual founding fathers of neoliberalism. And in a similar way, Reagan is going to surround himself with, you know, neoliberal, right wing economists who are extremely distrustful of anti colonial nationalist demands for protectionism. They're increasingly dis trustful of democracy itself, of course of the welfare state, of trade unions, there's really quite key differences here, but I think the two biggest are where these neoliberals are willing to do at the foreign policy realm and, and how they associate free trade with democracy.
31:17
So the free, the left wing free traders of the book, the main actors in the story closely associate free trade with democratization. And a foreign policy of non interventionism, right? You don't force free trade onto another state unwillingly. This is something that neoliberals 1980s onwards are going to deviate from drastically, even though in many ways they're drawing from the same intellectual wellspring. And so this is where we have the neoliberals who are gonna you know, support Pinochet's Chile, this, you know, dictatorship in Chile and apartheid South Africa, and who are increasingly gonna see democracies, especially democracies from the left, as a threat. An impediment to free trade rather than as an accompaniment to free trade. And so using military interventionism and being suspicious of democratic movements, in the name of free trade, this shows them to be something quite different from the free trade internationalist tradition that I was tracing in previous chapters.
44:02
Yes, I think that's very well said, Marc, and a very nice connection to one of the central issues of our world today, which is the inequalities in food and nutritional access across, within countries and across countries. Of course, this brings us full circle, as always, to, in some ways, the inspiration for our podcast, which is Franklin Roosevelt. We started this podcast with his inspiration for how each generation writes a new chapter in the book of democracy. And, as always, the new chapters build on old chapters. Chapters that might have been forgotten before. Marc, you have in your book, Pax Economica, that I recommend to all of our listeners, you have reminded us of such an important chapter in the evolution of Anglo American and international democracy in the 19th and 20th centuries. A chapter that seems more relevant than ever in this neo mercantilist age, as you call it. Thank you so much for joining us this week, Marc, and sharing your insights with us.
Episode 273: Venezuela Elections with Professor Kurt Weyland
00:23
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. This week, we are continuing our discussion of democracies and elections around the world. This is, as we've said many times on the podcast, this is a year with more democracies voting, and more non democracies voting as well in elections around the world than at any point in human history before. And these elections and democracies and non democracies will really set the course for so many countries and probably for our globe moving forward for the next years and decades we are going to discuss today the recent elections in Venezuela and the controversies over those recent elections in Venezuela. On July 28 2024 the country of Venezuela held elections, and the incumbent president and dictator, Nicolás Maduro, claims he won the elections, but almost all observers, including the United States, are pretty clear on the evidence that Maduro lost these elections, what has happened in Venezuela and where do we go from here? We're going to understand the history surrounding these elections, what occurred in these elections, and we're going to think about based on knowledge of what's happened in other societies, particularly in the same region. We're going to discuss where we think these election results might go in the future of Venezuela. We are fortunate to be joined by my colleague and friend and someone who I think has done some of the most impressive work on authoritarianism and related regime change issues in Latin America. This is my colleague, Professor Kurt Wayland. Kurt Wayland is the Mike Hogg Professor in the Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. He's done amazing primary source research and direct interviews, the kind of work that historians love when you get dirty with the primary sources. He's done this research in so many countries in the region, probably as many as anyone else, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Peru and, of course, Venezuela. I probably left off some other countries, and I've of course forgotten to mention that he's also done research in the United States. Professor Wayland is the author of seven books. I'm going to just name a few of them, The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies, which was published in 2002, Making Waves: Democratic Contention in Europe and Latin America. 2014. Assault on Democracy: Communism, Fascism and Authoritarianism During the Interwar Years, published in 2021 and published just this year, a book I need to read because I haven't kept up with everything Kurt's written. It's impossible to keep up with it. Democracy's Resilience to Populism Threat, a book that's probably directly relevant to our discussion today. Professor Kurt Wayland, Kurt, thanks for joining us today.
03:53
Outside the voting booth in Caracas, they lined up at 6am counting the years of tyranny in stacks of bills and ribs exposed outside the voting booth in Caracas were guards armed with guns, frowning at the people and thinking also of their next meal. It is a truth seldom acknowledged that people don't just vote when they hate or when they love, that sometimes people vote because they are angry, that sometimes people vote because they are hungry. Outside the voting booth in Caracas, each of them recognized this fundamental truth, the voters lining up one by one, the guards holding their guns, and the mustachioed man staring down at them from the wall, who knew and still does, that his people are hungry for change.
11:45
So this is interesting about these authoritarian regimes. When you go back and you mentioned my inter-war book in the inter-war years, authoritarian rulers were happy to call themselves dictators, and they were proud that they are dictators. But after the Second World War, dictatorship hasn't been that cool anymore, and especially after the end of the Cold War, when the United States in the 1990s had tremendous global hegemony and pushed countries to become liberal and democratic. Nowadays, it's not cool anymore not to hold elections. So virtually every country in the world holds elections, and a lot of these elections are complete sham. The incumbent wins by 98% of the vote. But the old elections say, oh, you know, we have a democratic facade. And I think that is especially the case in cases where authoritarian regime emerges fairly gradually from a democracy. I mean, there wasn't a military coup, you know, right now I'm down in Chile, when in Chile there was a military coup. Dictator Pinochet closed elections. I just want to do as a military dictator. But if you are populist leader who transforms his country from a democracy into an authoritarian regime, you don't want to cancel elections and then suddenly become a dictator. You try, and if you're Chávez, you have a lot of popularity, you think you can win all these elections, and you maintain elections. It's not cool not to have elections, especially in the Western Hemisphere, under the nose of the United States, in a region that in 2001 adopted a Democratic Charter that the region committed to democracy. And so you claim against all evidence that this is democratic, and this is democratic, and you all the elections, and then you try to manipulate the stage. You mentioned the banning of the main opposition candidate. You try to manipulate things in all kinds of ways so that somehow or other, you think he might be able to eke out victory. I don't know what Maduro thought, whether he thought somehow his manipulations would allow him to achieve some kind of shame victory, or whether he just thought, it doesn't matter, but not holding elections, it's just not legit anymore.
14:21
It's very hard to know. We don't have access to the inner, innner workings of the Maduro regime. We don't know some of these, some of these dictators are really quite united and believe their own propaganda. I mean, what is interesting and what I honestly do not understand, while Maduro outlawed the main opposition candidate and created all kinds of trouble for the opposition, and imprisoned opposition leaders, left and right and all the kind of thing. He allowed opinion polls to go forward, and every single credible opinion poll showed like the vote preference of 70% For the opposition and 25% for Maduro. So if so, I would find it kind of surprising if Maduro didn't know what the population was like. Maybe they thought that by for example, there are rumors that do it on election day, they created trouble for people to vote, especially opposition neighborhoods, you know, long lines and very slow movement, and whereas in their own neighborhoods, you know, so they maybe they thought, in just manipulating the voting process or that they could somehow others manipulate ballot boxes, that they would come up with the result. It's hard to know what exactly is going on, but, but what I frankly, wonder is whether Maduro just thought the result doesn't matter. I mean, he said before the election, the famous quote, I'll win by hook or crook. It doesn't matter. You know, this way or other. And so these dictators, you know, he knew that he had a lot of support from the military, which is absolutely decisive, for reasons that I can explain. And so in some sense, it doesn't matter to him what the election result is. He just sits there, protected by the military, knows he will stay in power. The domestic opposition can shout and yell. The international community can make pressure. He has enough support from China, Russia, Iran, and he'll just sit there. He sits on oil, so he has some economic lifeline and election result in some basic sense, doesn't matter that much to him.
33:23
Well, that's a that's a very compelling, if sad, answer. Kurt, we like to close every episode with something hopeful, and I think we need that in this case. Our listeners are are are people who, like us, care about democracy, want to see reform to regimes like the one you've described. They wanna see reform in The United States too. What are the things we can do? What do you, as a as a leading scholar of the region, how do you think about your work and the work of your students and others contributing in some positive way to this terrible situation?
34:02
No. No. You caught me you caught me on a blank. I I I mean, the only thing you can do is try to support the Venezuelan opposition, you know, support the many, many I mean, hundreds of thousands of people who left Venezuela, went to The United States. Somehow or other I mean, I don't even know what we can do to do that. Limit the crackdown that will happen. I mean, what I what I frankly predict, and I'm sorry that I'm not really providing much optimism, but I predict that in a couple of weeks, the regime will imprison the two opposition politicians that led the challenge. And, you know, then the best we can do is some personal exchange or whatever. I mean, I think the perspective is very, very bad negative. I'm sorry that I can't follow your your recommendation to come up with something. The most optimistic thing is that, you know, even Maduro at some point has to die. And, I mean, maybe then that succession issue will provide some hope.
Episode 279: Hubert Humphrey & Civil Rights
00:24
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week, we are going to talk about a figure who played a major role in American history and the history of civil rights writ large, but a figure who's somewhat forgotten in many of our contemporary discussions. This is Hubert Humphrey, who was the mayor of Minneapolis and one of the most prominent members of the U.S. Senate for the second half of the 20th century. He was vice president and in 1968, a presidential candidate. We are fortunate today to be joined by a leading author and journalist and friend who has written a phenomenal book. It's a book that in some ways is a love letter to Hubert Humphrey and a wonderful explication of his life and a wonderful analysis of civil rights, of African American and Jewish relations in the United States. The author and friend and guest today is Samuel G. Friedman and his book that I highly recommend to all of our listeners, a book I will probably assign to my students in the spring, Into the Bright Sunshine, Young Hubert Humphrey and the Fight for Civil Rights. Sam is the author of many other books, including Upon This Rock, The Miracles of a Black Church, Jew versus Jew, The Struggle for the Soul of American Jewry. I believe his most recent book before this one, Breaking the Line, The Season in Black College Football that Transformed the Game and Changed the Course of Civil Rights. We'll see if UT can change the game this year, being number one in the country. Sam is a former columnist for the New York Times and he's a current professor of journalism at Columbia University. So, Professor Friedman, thank you for joining us.
02:28
The Old Days.
02:30
The old days. Are you referring to the days before you left our house for college?
02:35
Uh, no, definitely not.
02:37
Older days than those.
02:38
Maybe the days when you left your house.
02:40
Oh, okay, okay. Very good. What you would call ancient history, huh?
02:43
So, this is a cave painting then.
02:45
It's a cave! (Laughs) Exactly. All right, Zachary, let's hear it.
02:51
At times it's easy to miss the old days, when good men walked and spoke of true ideals, when all that they would ask for was a raise, perhaps a pair of presidential seals. At times it's easy to miss that sweet age, when only honest men were put in charge, when lies provoked a strong and public rage, and every single heart was twice as large. At times it can be easy to miss that place, where all was silent and all were at peace, where no one shouted or spit in our face, and we all drove fast cars on long-term lease. So it was never. Such a place t'was not. Each problem we face is an ancient rot.
03:40
What's your poem about, Zachary?
03:42
My poem is about the temptation to become nostalgic for the politicians and the politics of the past, about maybe the kind of truth or at least representation of what we'd like to see in our politics that we can often find in looking back, but also the danger of believing that politics was ever easy, simple, honest, or good.
04:06
Yeah, I think there's a point in that, right? It's an age-old struggle, isn’t it?
04:11
Yes.
04:31
I think one simple reason is that we're very focused on who becomes president, and Hubert Humphrey was never able to fulfill his dream of being elected president. He loses to Richard Nixon very narrowly in 1968. He runs a kind of a pathetic campaign as the establishment candidate against George McGovern, the peace candidate for the Democratic nomination in 1972. And by 76, Humphrey is so ill with the cancer that'll kill him that he decides not to make one more try. And so he's not on that list of presidents. And I think even to the people who remember him, he suffers in the historical collective consciousness because the recollections of him are about the reviled latter part of his public life, when he's Lyndon Johnson's vice president, and they both support the escalation in Vietnam. When he gets the Democratic nomination in 1968, without having competed in any primaries, the party establishment hands it to him, and he receives it literally simultaneous to the Chicago police force attack on unarmed journalists and anti-war demonstrators. And the aforementioned runs the establishment old guard candidate in 1972. And when people remember that part of Humphrey, none of that’s incorrect, and the critical analysis is right. And Humphrey himself said that supporting the Vietnam War was the biggest mistake of his life. But all this completely effaces this valiant part, earlier part of his political career, starting as mayor of Minneapolis, going through the Senate, and really his first one or two years as LBJ's vice president, when he was essential to the passage of these key, and in fact, landmark civil rights laws in 64 through 66.
06:30
Right. I mean, he's central to the story of civil rights in post-war America, though largely forgotten. Your book focuses almost exclusively on that, taking us really from Humphrey's birth in the early 20th century through 1948, through the Democratic Convention in 1948, which is really your crescendo, Humphrey's speech at the convention calling for civil rights. How does a young man like Humphrey, who's born in South Dakota, come to be a proponent of civil rights from a rural South Dakota background?
15:18
I want to ask, what drew you to Humphrey in the first place?
15:31
The truth is that I didn't go searching for a book about Hubert Humphrey. A part of my brain for the last 25 years was looking for a book about America immediately after World War II, deciding what kind of country it wanted to be. Because having spent all this blood and treasure to defeat fascism, America had a huge unfinished agenda with the discrimination on its home front... And I very quickly realized a couple of things that the book could do. Number one, it could fill this biographical gap about Humphrey because if people knew about him, as I said earlier, it was only the later part. And number two, it could fill a historical gap in the civil rights movement historiography... because we Americans tend to situate the start of that mass movement in the mid-50s... But there was this incredible decade of civil rights activism in the 40s led by people who don’t get nearly their due these days, like A. Philip Randolph and Walter White... and really catalyzed by the sacrifice of the Black GIs who went off to war and had this phrase they called Double V, victory over fascism abroad and then victory over Jim Crow at home.
21:26
Fascinating.
21:27
Zachary? You mentioned that the impetus for this book was to try and rewrite or at least capture the historical moment after World War II when Americans were faced with the decision about what a post-war United States would look like. How do you think this story about Minneapolis, about Hubert Humphrey, should change our view, our understanding of that immediate post-war period?
21:52
One way I hope it will change us is to realize that the civil rights activity of the 40s... culminates with Humphrey and A. Philip Randolph, kind of Mr. Inside and Mr. Outside, successfully pressuring the Democratic Party to explicitly endorse civil rights... which leads to the exile of the Southern segregationists, the so-called Dixiecrats... [and] Harry Truman desegregating the military... and then winning election in 1948 because of a surge in the Black vote... That’s an answer to that, up until that point, unresolved question of are we going to revert back and be complacent or are we going to realize that we can't have practices in this country that we just went to global war against in other countries. There’s also something heartbreaking and poignant about the fact that with the rise of the Cold War, this moment is going to end very, very quickly.
28:39
It's interesting how important these personal experiences are... It’s also interesting, Sam, how politics pushes against that at times. What you’re describing in the 1948 Democratic Convention is pretty similar to the 1964 Convention, where Johnson refuses to seat the Mississippi Free Democrats. How does Humphrey push through?
33:16
Not because you’ve gained no ground, but to try to hold the ground you’ve already won and push forward a little bit. And that’s an important takeaway. And I think also Humphrey’s model of being, in a term that he borrowed from Al Smith, one of my other political heroes, a happy warrior, is an important model. Humphrey was ebullient. He was energetic. He frankly could be corny at times in that Midwestern small town way. And that’s the happy part. But the warrior part is that he knew that he was going to need with joy on his face and optimism in his heart to go back into these battles, and he knew that I think that the joy and the optimism would be assets in winning those battles.
35:15
Right. You can't be Pollyanna. You can't be Panglossian about this. You have to know. That joy is accompanied by struggle, but that is part of the energy you have to struggle forward. A lot of people talked about Hubert Humphrey’s phrase, the politics of joy, at the time of the Democratic Convention. And it was both ironic, and fitting that that was brought up. Ironic, because when Humphrey used that phrase, it was right when he announced his candidacy in 1968, in the wake of the assassination of Martin Luther King, in the midst of the horrible Vietnam War, and it sounded totally tone deaf. It was one of the times when Humphrey badly misread the mood of the country. And yet his idea that politics should have a joyful element is maybe now being redeemed because coming out of a period of time that has felt so bleak for a lot of us, so at times such despair and real dangers to democracy, that the idea that there could be something positive and exalting about the work of protecting democracy is really appealing to people. And this goes to other examples we’ve seen of leadership of whether it was, um, Fiorello LaGuardia as mayor of New York during the depression, reading the funnies over the radio mic, or whether it was FDR’s great orations about nothing to fear but fear itself. These were people speaking into bleak times, but also saying that there was reason to see something positive on the horizon.
38:03
I completely agree with you, Zachary, and we really have to resist this idea of romanticizing some imagined political past. If you’re talking about polarization, for instance, what about a period where there when one huge faction of the Democratic Party supported white supremacy and racial inequality as a matter of policy, not this is what they thought privately or the way they acted in individual encounters with black Americans. This is what they wanted policy to be. How could that coexist with the rest of, uh, of a New Deal coalition? They were, the Dixiecrats were so serious about that, that they broke from the Democratic Party. And another example, if we think back to the 2020 attempted coup, and what was the goal of getting Mike Pence to refuse to accept the results, the goal, which fortunately he did not do, the goal would have been to throw the election into the House of Representatives. We’ve seen that play before. We’ve seen that movie before. In 1948, that was the intent of the Dixiecrats. They felt if they could win several states in the South, then neither Harry Truman nor nor Thomas Dewey would get 270 votes for an electoral college majority. The choice then goes to the House of Representatives, and each state’s delegation gets one vote. And the Southern segregationists dominated the delegations of about a dozen states, and it was going to let them be the kingmakers. They were going to make more money. Harry Truman and Tom Dewey come to them on bent knee and promise to preserve Jim Crow in order to get the southern states votes. So, there was nothing so wonderful and sentimental and all Norman Rockwell-y about politics at that time.
43:03
Well, I think that’s the subject for another show, but I also deeply appreciate Sam, your reflecting on that and you’re displaying what I think is essential to being a serious historian and writer, which is to take the past on its own terms. But also think about the past in light of the present. That's not anachronistic. That's actually why every generation rewrites the history of what came before. Sam, thank you so much for being with us today.
Episode 283: Barbara Jordan
02:22
The one who breaks the ceiling, the one who's first to cross the line, they must make their own rhythm. They must beat to their own time. They find themselves quite often alone or in the dust. They find themselves quite often lest to wallow or to rust. And so they must know more than anyone else to take their own story right off of the shelf. The one who breaks the ceiling as glass shattered in their eyes, the one who makes the first move must break through all the lies. They find themselves quite often defeated or ignored. They find themselves quite often hated and abhorred. And so they must fight, more than anything still to make their way over the widening hill. And sometimes they fail, and sometimes they will, but always, they face it with a radical grin.
06:27
I think you do an extraordinary job with that. I learned so much about Houston and so much about what it was like to be a lawyer, as Barbara Jordan was from 1959 until the mid 1960s and then what it was like to run races in Houston and to lose races, as she did her first few times through. There's so many things in which she was the first, (correct) just as Zachary indicated in his poem, she was one of only three Black women, you say, who became a lawyer in Texas in 1959, one of only three Black women. Then she was the first African American woman in the Texas Senate, in the state legislature, and then the first African American woman from the South in the US Congress. And that's when she was elected in 1972 when I was born. It's not that long ago. (No, no, it isn't. It is not.) What What made this moment that she was in such a moment of change?
08:03
And Houston, however, is a bit of an outlier. This is why I think she was uniquely poised to make this stand and to succeed. It's because Houston had been a hotbed of activism for Black voting, and this goes back to the 1940s and I described this movement that was led by her Minister, the Reverend Albert Lucas, who worked with Thurgood Marshall. Reverend Lucas was head of the statewide NAACP, and he and Marshall, together really forged not just a court case, but a social movement behind what the case that became, Smith V. Allwright, and so Lucas was one of the first civil rights leaders who used the church to educate ordinary Black people about political issues and to use the pulpit as a means of political education and political mobilization.
08:55
And we're going to see this later, of course, in the what we think of as Civil Rights Movement. But he was doing this in the 1940s and it had an impact. And so after this case, which got rid of one of the most egregious forms of disfranchisement, the White primary, Black citizens in Houston were then able to participate in those primary elections from the mid 40s through, you know, the 50s and the 60s, and they very gradually, are having an impact on that party politics. And they join in with, eventually in the Kennedy campaign, which extraordinary. Kennedy won Texas in 1960 so (just barely) yes, just barely.
09:40
But voter registration among, and Barbara Jordan was a big part of that, in as a young lawyer coming back to Houston and being part of a voter registration campaign. So she's very proud of her role in that, and then continues to work with this alliance of liberals, late White liberals and labor leaders they call themselves the Democratic coalition in Houston. It's the Harris County Democrats, and they are the liberals who are opposed to the conservative control of the Democratic Party.
10:08
So as you can see, it's a kind of constellation of forces. She's an extraordinary individual. But there's a movement among, now, you have Black voters joining forces with liberals and labor to try and create a coalition to elect more liberal Democrats. It's a one party state, after all, (right, right) into office. So when Jordan is running now, okay, the obstacle of the White primary has been removed. But the there are other obstacles to voting. There are other forms of disfranchisement that still exist: the poll tax, for example. But the most terrible one for her, from her perspective, was malapportionment. This is before the Voting Rights Act, and so you have a terribly malapportioned Texas State Legislature. And in her case, the Senate was an institution where all of Houston with a million people had one senator, and then you had rural districts with only a few 1000 people, had a senator too.
11:12
And so because of a series of court cases, beginning with Baker V. Carr, liberals and other activists brought lawsuits that challenge the malapportionment and forced a redistricting of the Texas Senate, and eventually the House, but that comes later. So when Jordan is running in '62 she loses. She loses again in '64. And really this is a result of not just so much losing votes, but also a reluctance of people, of Whites, to vote for a Black woman candidate, and then not having an appropriate district to run in. When she gets that district in 1966, finally Houston has four senators now. So this is new. And the way the lines are drawn, the way it was explained to me, it was, it was not drawn with her in mind. That suit was brought to bring greater power to labor and to urban populations, but the way the district was drawn, it was just simply that it was slightly a Black majority, just not quite even, I would say, a Black majority, but it was favorable to her.
12:19
She still had run in a primary race against a White liberal male who actually, you know, said some very terrible things about her, and it was a real struggle for her to win that race against somebody who should have been in her corner. So there's many layers of disfranchisement here (yes) and racism, as Zachary pointed out, that she faced when she triumphed in '66 and the biggest thing was at the end was, will you accept a Black woman as your leader? Will you accept a Black woman as a political leader and candidate? And she really had to push that issue. No one handed that to her. She had to struggle for everything.
17:05
It's interesting because one of the points you make so well in the book, and you make it repeatedly, is that there's a civil rights agenda that involves working in and through the system. That those who are marching in the streets, who Barbara Jordan certainly sympathizes with and sometimes joins, that's one approach, and a valuable and necessary approach. But your argument is that getting into the system and working through the system is absolutely crucial. Do you want to say more about that?
17:30
I do. I do. Thank you, Jeremi. Yeah, this is, and I don't think it's just her, like, this is when the movement is moving from the streets to the State House. This is Bayard Rustin's vision, right? From protest to politics. How can we be effective in making the ideals of the Civil Rights Movement real? And this was her quest, (yes) you know, this was really her goal, (yes) to do that. And no one knew how to do it, right? It hadn't been done before. (yes) And this is, you know, Rustin is good, like in theory, all of this coalition should work, but as we see over time, coalitions are complicated and messy, and everyone has their own agenda. How do you get people to work together who don't really have a long history and sometimes their goals clash, so people have to give and take, (right, right) and it's a hard thing. And, so, but this, I do think that she, and many others, Julian Bond, for example, we forget about him running and succeeding in the Georgia State Legislature in 1965. (right, right)
18:31
There's, this was part of thinking about the future. Where do we go from here? And you can't mandate interracial democracy. You know, the Voting Rights Act can make things, can correct, you know, the malapportionment, can correct the history of disfranchisement, but it can't mandate elections of Black politicians. That has to come from the ground up, and it really takes people with guts and ambition to do that.
21:04
We all know that part where she says, 'My faith in the Constitution is whole; it is complete; It is total.' "My faith in the Constitution is whole; it is complete; It is total. And I am not going to sit here and be an idle spectator to the diminution, the subversion, the destruction of the Constitution." But what we don't remember is what she said before that line where she says, 'when this document was completed in 1787, I was not included, but now through the process...' And then she lays out all the ways that the Constitution can be amended to, right, Because through that process of judicial review, right, and additions, I am now included in "We the People." And here she's talking specifically about the 14th Amendment, the 15th Amendment, and the Voting Rights Act. So now I am included in the protection of this great document, and that is why it is so important that I fight for it, and that is why I believe in it so completely.
25:45
It's such an important part of the Civil Rights Movement, if you think of again the high diction of Martin Luther King Jr, and you think about even Malcolm X in his own way, right? I mean, there's a way in which these activists are taking the English language, sort of as Churchill says, and sending it to war for them, right? (Mh-hm) Using it to articulate and persuade and motivate people, yes?
26:08
Absolutely they are. And for her, especially, this is what she brings to the nation, you know, a way she's able to crystallize what does the Democratic Party stand for? (yes) Which she does in the '76 speech at Madison Square Garden. Why should Richard Nixon be impeached? She has a real gift for distilling complicated ideas into a nutshell (yes) and to make them accessible to a wide audience. And I think she that is from the Black church. You know, that is what a minister is supposed to do, a good one.
27:44
Right, that's, that's such a great question. Well, I think on one hand, there's always many hands. On one hand, she is admired, greatly admired and lauded. So when you have these polls like, what woman could you see as president? For example, she's at the top of those polls (Really? Really? Wow) by Red Book magazine. What could you see on the Supreme Court? She's at the top of those polls. And many people, kind of, you know, they it, she just makes it sort of look easy, like, oh, this is the next step, you know, in terms of women's progress in politics and Black women's progress in politics. I think on one, on one hand, she's greatly admired.
30:28
Yeah. Your book makes the case so well that she's not only a trailblazer, but that she actually provides some of the tools that those who come after her will use that people like AOC and various others will draw on from her. For today, for this moment we're in today, which is such a difficult time, especially for the ideals of Barbara Jordan, what does she offer us today?
33:08
Probably. I mean, I think she is a realist in that she would say it's very important to look at, you know, the evidence. From my mind, thinking about this, again, I don't know how you overcome, though, these Supreme Court decisions that have weakened the Voting Rights Act (yeah) and have really led to a very strange phenomena where you have places like North Carolina voting for a Democratic governor, but then they're so, but then you have overwhelmingly conservative representation in Congress, right? (Yes, yes.) Because of redistricting. How do you fix, I don't know how you fix that. I don't know. I mean, I just don't know. But I think those are the kinds of things that we really need to look closely at: how can we overcome that weakness in (right, right) in the power structure? (Right.)
35:01
I think so. I think certainly the legacy of someone who used the political system to fight for change, who used real politics to fight for change, should be an inspiration for us. In particular, in a moment when it seems like a lot of us have lost hope in politics. I think it's important to remember that, sort of, the dirty business of legislative politics is where so much change can happen with real leadership.
Episode 310: Have we Outgrown the Constitution?
01:44
Wonderful. Well, I’d like to start our episode off today with a passage from Hamilton’s Federalist Paper 85, um, on the topic of perfection in the Constitution. "The system, though it may not be perfect in every part, is upon the whole, a good one is the best that the present views and circumstances of the country will permit and is such. And one as promises every species of security which a reasonable people can desire. I answer in the next place that I should esteem it. The extreme of impotence to prolong the precarious state of our national affairs and to expose the union to the jeopardy of successive experiments in the chimerical pursuit of a perfect plan. (cntd)
02:25
"I never expect to see a perfect work from imperfect man. The result of the deliberations of all collective bodies must necessarily be a compound, as well as the errors and prejudices as of the good sense and wisdom of the individuals of whom they’re composed. The compacts, which are to embrace 13 distinct states in a common bond of Amity and union must as necessarily be a compromise of as many dissimilar interests and inclinations. How can perfection spring from such materials?"
03:04
Yeah. Uh, well, thanks for having me first. I don’t think that they thought that it would last for 230 years, uh, without some major, uh, uh, rethinking. Um. They did provide for amendment, but amendments themselves change bits and pieces. Um, amendments themselves are, uh, a method of adaptation. Uh, so, uh, I don’t, uh, they didn’t, uh, provide, well, I guess they did with, uh, different methods of calling constitutional conventions, but I don’t think that they anticipated that we would just keep tweaking the thing forever.
04:18
Uh, interestingly, John Marshall had a different view. You know, he says that the Constitution was, uh, meant to endure for, uh, decades of time and to be adapted to the crises of human affairs. Uh, he said that, however, in an early case, dealing with Congressional authority to create a national bank. And what’s interesting about that case to me is that it.
05:28
Well, uh, so what is an adaptation? An adaptation is, uh, a, uh, changing parts of the system while carrying other parts forward and modifying several of those parts that are carried forward to work in conjunction with the new. So it’s a continual, uh, continual tweaking of a set of arrangements. If you think about the Constitution as a holistic set of institutions, uh, a system of institutions, and you think about continually. Uh, ... some assumptions of, uh, some assumptions in that system. Adding some, some new things in. The question is how long can you keep doing that and still have the structure itself makes some sense and have some, some coherent integrity and essential purpose.
07:26
Well, you know, Madison has two thoughts. Uh, one is the extended republic. That is, expanding the field of representation makes all interests safer. Uh, so it prevents the formation of tyrannical majorities. But if you look at Federalist 51, he also mentions a practicable sphere of self-government. So I don’t think that he thought it was limitless. I don’t think he thought that this extension he was thinking of, of geographical extensions, but think about extensions of democracy itself, of the inclusion of previously excluded groups. I don’t think that the Constitution contemplated that as, that as a limitless process. I think they thought, at least for their, the arrangements that they were setting up, that there was a practicable sphere of, uh, expansion.
09:58
Right? And, uh, I do think that the Constitution’s general language, its abstract language, uh, opened the door to challenges from those who were excluded. And that’s how you get these, the, the democratization of the polity over time. Uh. And the Constitution continue, and elites trying to adapt the Constitution to that, um, to that expansion of the relevant polity. But, you know, I come back to Federalist 51 where Madison says, you know, the, you have to think what is the practical sphere, the practicable sphere.
10:58
So, yeah, so, uh, the Constitution’s most radical principles, that’s democratic principle. The sovereignty of the people. And as the people become more in the people who are included within the privileges, access to the privileges of the Constitution and the security of the Constitution, uh, as that expands every time it expands in a major way, we reconfigure the Constitution, we adapt it, we reorganize it, we rearrange it, we rewire it.
11:37
The paradox is that once we, the people becomes fully inclusive, which I would date to around the, uh, rights revolution of the sixties and seventies, once we, the people becomes fully inclusive, then the Constitution seems to be losing its capacity to reestablish firm footings and to stabilize the polity. Once, uh, for successive rounds of inclusion, uh, we were able to reconfigure constitutional relationships and stabilize the polity. But since the rights revolution, we haven’t been able to agree on terms for accommodating all the players. Now, on the fold, the paradox is that once we the re we, the people becomes a reality, the Constitution loses its capacity to provide firm footings and stabilize the polity.
12:40
That makes sense. Um, you, you argue in the, in the preface to your book, that there are quote tensions inherent in the term constitutional democracy. Why is it that the sort of, uh, growth of the democracy end of that equation, uh, as you see it destabilize the system or led to this instability?
13:00
Well, scholar scholars and, uh, American thinkers have noticed this tension between constitutionalism and democracy, uh, from the very beginning. I mean, Jefferson says, you know, you can’t keep it, you don’t adapt it. Have a constitutional convention every generation and reconfigure it. Don’t just keep reinterpreting it. Uh, in the, uh, in the 20th century, John Dewey says, you know, um, uh, the arrangements that we set up to stabilize a particular polity, uh, uh. Create conditions for development that make this a new polity that create a new polity that is incompatible with those institutions. So again, constitutional democracy is expanding under arrangements that then call the, those arrangements into question, call that constitution into question.
14:06
So Dewey says, you know, that the, the hardest thing for a democracy is to break through the arrangements. That were provided for it, but then, and no longer suited. And, uh, it’s dangerous because it’s hard to break through, overturn those institutions democratically. Uh, and then later in the 20th century you get Sheldon Wolin, who tells us that democracy is in, is inherently transgressive. It’s inherently challenging the constraints, uh, and structures that. Define what a constitution is, which is a system of constraints, a structure of constraints, that democracy is constantly challenging. Those constraints and that constitutions are inherently regimes that, uh, a particular set of, uh, democratic participants agrees, will secure their interests, then that democracy, uh, in a kind of dialectical fashion develops, outgrows those arrangements and needs to challenge them and constrain them. So you get this constant that that is the tension in this compound constitutional democracy. Uh, how can you get the security and protection that constitutions promise, uh, in democracies which are inherently transgressive and constantly challenging the constraints.
15:40
So, I especially reading the, the latter half of your book, uh, Steve, you make a, a compelling case that you, that you just started to make that, that we’ve outgrown the, uh, the design and the architecture of our, of our constitution as it is. And you seem to lean toward building, as you say, a, a civic and and con conversation, a dialogue, uh, An educated Dewey instead of discussions.That would lead to some sort of. New constitution, some sort of formal or informal constitutional convention. Um, first of all, are, are you confident that could happen? But, but the secondary question is, is that the right way to go? Or, or maybe the error of constitutional democracies, um, has passed, right? I mean, there are many democracies, the English one of course, that, that operate without a constitution and have operated reasonably successfully, so. I I, is it worth going that route or is it worth finding an alternative to a constitution at, at all?
16:42
Um, yeah, so, uh, I’m, this isn’t a happy book. This is, uh, uh, it’s a book that, you know, tries to, um, just examine certain, uh, dynamics that run through American history and see where they’ve landed us, and I think they’ve landed us in a pretty tight spot. Um, yeah, so, and I think, I, I, what you say is exactly right. It might be time to open a question as to whether this constitution is, uh, serviceable for the democracy that we have become. I think that, uh. The Constitution, uh, was, as I said, framed for the notables of the, uh, 18th century and, and the principles that we hold up, checks and balances, separation of powers, federalism. All of these things were designed to, uh, secure the participants of that time and also to keep other, uh, issues out and, uh, the intrusion of those other issues in particular since the Rights revolution. Issues of social justice are simply were issues that the Constitution was intended to submerge and that it seems to be very ill-equipped to address.
20:27
Right. They didn’t see that, in fact, the. The, uh, emancipation, uh, and the challenge to federalism through the entire system into question, and Jerry rigging arrangements, um, you know, could work for a time, could stabilize the system again. In fact, it did work for another century. Uh, but that ultimately, uh, the logic of gutting federalism. Which is, I think the constitutional implication of the civil rights movement is that it throws up all the contending principles of the Constitution of 1787. Throws them all up for grabs the contending purposes, uh, of, uh, the original Constitution. Uh. Uh, the sovereignty of the people and federalism, the tensions, all of those tensions are, uh, released once the last exclusions are, uh, are lifted. And, um, yeah. So I, I do think that the Republican party, uh, as noble as its cause was, um. I thought that they could still make it work. They could still tweak it. Right. The 14th Amendment, the 15th amendment, they could still make it work. Uh, and I guess I’m wondering whether that’s the case.
23:16
The American juristocracy arose alongside the rights revolution. Lemme take another example. What, uh, constitutional law scholars call hardball that is the doubling down on constitutional provisions that were meant to provide security and to, uh, foster buy-in from contending interests. Constitutional hardball. Uh, is now, uh, uh, using constitutional provisions to sabotage the system. So we get, uh, you know, the routinization of impeachment. We get, uh, second amendment, absolutism, uh, we get gerrymandering wars, government shutdowns, uh, uh, debt stealing, brinkmanship, all of this. This is not rewiring the constitution. All of that can be. All of that can be justified by constitutional principles, but that’s not, that’s not rewiring the constitution. That’s the constitution going haywire. That’s using its provisions as weapons of sabotage. And I’ll end with a final example, which is, you know, the one closest to my other work, which is the rise of presidentialism.
1:33:00
Uh, interestingly, the framers of the Constitution, what was their formula for the presidency? Their formula was management without mobilization. They sought to make the selection of the president indirect and blind to give him the executive power was to try to, was coupled with keeping him away from party interest in faction because they saw that a politicized president in control of the executive branch. Would undercut all the delicate balances that they had, uh, written into the rest of the constitutional frame. So I would say at least those three, those are the three that come to mind. Juristocracy, presidentialism, constitutional hardball. These are things that are showing us that it’s not working, it’s not work, it’s not by what, what do I mean by working? It’s not accommodating interests. It’s not stabilizing the system, the things that we assume that the con, that constitutions are meant to do.
Episode 311: US-Latin American Relations
12:12
Why, though, do you see the Cuban Missile Crisis in particular as that critical turning point? I think it this seems like maybe a larger factor in American policy in the region, or a larger trend that had already begun? Or is this, is this, in your mind, the moment when American policy in Latin America moves away from real efforts to promote democracy and turns instead to sort of more transactional relationships with undemocratic leaders?
12:40
Yes, that's a great point. So a lot of this builds on preexisting trends, but I do think the missile crisis was an important turning point because it was a moment where everyone shared danger, and it was this moment where everyone had to decide between these kinds of conflicting values and conflicting priorities.
22:32
That's very well said. Rennie. I also wonder if there's a lesson about the difficulties, perhaps the hazards of regime change the Trump administration is in a long line of American presidents, Democrat and Republican, who have perhaps overestimated the ability of the United States to force someone like Castro, who Kennedy was obsessed with, of course, or Maduro, who Trump seems to be obsessed with, they've overestimated the ability of the United States to overthrow them. What would you say about that?
Episode 313: Civics and History Education
02:49
Though now she glows by the river. Only a step from the dark sea. It was all darkness then. No streetlights on the boulevards. No neon at the corner store. Not a bulb, a flame. When they came, galloping in on horseback, waiting to sign the necessary page. How then can I feel so powerless above the valley? A glow. Impossible, I think to be anything but awake. Eyes drawn to so many illuminations of suffering. I float away, down past the Delaware, how hard it is in this world to sign your name.
03:37
I think my poem is about, how when we study history, we often. think of it as set in stone, as something momentous that happened, a long time ago, and that cannot be replicated. and we think of these moments like the constitutional, convention, as being rooted in, a sort of unique courage, a sort of superhuman courage that we can’t summon. and how. particularly in moments when the world seems to be spinning away from us, how hard it can be to feel like we actually have a voice or that we ha we have a sort of similar responsibility or similar role to play as the people that we study.
04:50
Dover Beach is nominally about the relationship between a man and his lover, but it is really about secularization. It’s about the transformations that are challenging 19th century beliefs. Beliefs in God, beliefs in social stability, modernization, industrialization, massive migration, mobility. All these were upending society. And where do we find meaning?
06:14
The answer I think is quite simple. This society is engaged in a culture war, and classrooms have become proxy battlegrounds in that war. People aren’t just arguing about civics or about history. They’re really arguing about values, patriotism, and democracy itself. And what makes this particularly difficult is there’s two opposing visions. Of civics one, which I favor, is to, instill a deep understanding of foundational facts, content, to learn that American history has been a constant debate, struggle, conflict over fundamental values and purpose and direction. And then there is another form of civics education, which is much more applied, that looks at contemporary events. And these are so divisive. I think that’s not the way we should really go. I think, a backward glance will be more helpful in this fraught context. Then focusing on issues that often students don’t have any deep knowledge about. Anyway,
08:11
My own personal view is that students do need to know about the American system of government and how it’s evolved, and about how Americans have debated over time issues of liberty, equality, and justice. These are fundamental disputes, and the battles have often been waged in good faith, with fundamental disagreements that we need to bring out into the open and seriously discuss. I don’t think we do that enough. Jeremi, I hate to say this, but often there’s a tendency in history classes to treat it as if it’s simply about the past.
09:03
To give students a richer sense of what the world was like in the past, but if we teach history that way, we lose out on a huge opportunity. What lessons does the past have for the present? Not simple-minded lessons, but complex lessons, intricate lessons that help us to better cope with the issues of our own time. I.
10:01
In my own research, I am what’s called a social historian. I am especially interested how ordinary people, diverse people, the inarticulate led their lives. But I also believe that when I teach the US History Survey course, or when I advocate for civics education, I’m talking about political history. And one thing that makes me a bit sad about our own department, UT Austin, one of the largest history departments in the United States. Is we don’t really teach enough political history because politics isn’t simply about checks and balances. It is ultimately where we as a democratic society debate the serious issues before us and reach collective conclusions and. A history department that doesn’t really focus on politics is missing a huge opportunity. And again, I wanna stress, I am a social historian. I’ve written about slavery, I’ve written about social movements for reform. I’ve written about private life. But if we don’t teach. The history of politics. We are not doing our students a service.
14:36
I think that’s so well said. Steve, one would think listening to you that there would be easy consensus around this and one would expect that, particularly in a state like Texas where you and I both teach that this would resonate with, Know more politically conservative ears, political conservatives who care about and claim to care a lot about presidential leadership, and executive power. why has this been so challenging? You’ve been involved deeply, through the American Historical Association and other organizations and trying to work on Texas history standards, and you have faced a lot of resistance. What’s the challenge at the state level?
15:20
Both sides believe rightly or wrongly, that the other side is acting in bad faith. When I read on Twitter from the Texas Public Policy Institute that the National Council of Social Sciences in the American Historical Association are fighting to advance a radical secular Marxist agenda. I wanna throw up my hands. As I’ve tried to explain to the State Board of Education, what concerns me is that students are coming into my class having never heard of the Enlightenment, the very philosophical foundation of this nation. How can that be? And part of the answer is that in our emphasis on mathematical literacy. And language arts. We’ve downplayed civics and social studies. We need to devote more time to this. I want students who are well prepared to take part in serious discussions, and I worry that’s not happening. But when I hear criticisms that. Seem to imply I have an ideological agenda or that the American Historical Association has an ideological agenda, my spine stiffens.
17:24
There is deep distrust. And there’s distrust on both sides. It’s not all on one party or the other. There is an unwillingness to accept a basic premise, which is that both sides want students to have a rigorous, substantive foundational education. No side here is talking about. Relevance for relevance sake or teaching current events. Both sides want a serious, historically grounded education for our students, but there is grave doubt on both sides that the other side really believes that.
25:50
When I teach US history. Religion occupies a very large chunk of what I communicate. You can’t teach American history without incorporating religion, but that is not religion as dima, that is not religion as, one position among many. Instead, what we’re teaching about is the role of religious groups, of religious ideas in shaping this nation. we can debate on specific cases. who was right, who was wrong, what were the limits? What should be the limits? But religion needs to occupy a place in the curriculum. But that is an academic place, not a doctrinal place. one thing that makes the United States unique among advanced developed countries is we have a much higher level of religious belief. That is an element in American exceptionalism, but it’s also an academic question. Why is it that the United States is a much more religious churchgoing society than any of the countries in Western Europe? this is a subject that we can discuss academically and should, I do believe that earlier versions of US history that downplayed religion were mistakes. Religion is a key element in shaping this society’s values. It has been the driving force behind almost every reform movement in America, whether we’re talking about the civil rights movement or the labor movement, or the social gospel that inspired progressivism. Religion has a place in the curriculum, but it is not. We are not to teach religion as dogma or doctrine.
31:03
These debates will show our students that we’re not the first generation to ever debate justice or equity or the limits of rights. These are ongoing conversations. And I think it would be really helpful to our students who are often blind to previous debates to understand that they’re coming in pretty late to the dinner party and that the dinner party’s already been going on, and you’re joining in a conversation that is more than two centuries old.
39:55
I think they need to make the following argument that the challenge today is not to teach the right story about America, which I don’t know what it is. It’s to teach students how to think historically and reason responsibly and learn how to live in a pluralistic democracy. We need great teachers who can do that. We need great curricula that seek to do that. We need forms of pedagogy that actually engage our students. So I think what the public needs to insist upon is not social studies as some kind of ideological endeavor, but rather education as it ought to be. Yes, education as inquiry, education as problem solving. Education is building on evidence and primary sources. That’s the education our students need.
Episode 314: Reflections on 2025, Lessons for 2026
00:31
New Year, new possibilities. It’s always good to turn the page. Today we are going to not review 2025. That would take hour upon hour. And in a sense, everyone’s doing that, so we don’t need to repeat what others are doing. What we’re gonna do is talk about some of the impressions, lessons, uh, insights, um, feelings, even vibes from 2025, uh, that we’ve thought through. That we’ve discussed on this podcast in our Substack and elsewhere. And, uh, we’re gonna talk about what we think those impressions and experiences mean as we open this new year. As we open this year. Uh, still in a world of tumult. But also a world of possibility. The challenges are certainly great, uh, but the possibilities remain real and we’re gonna talk about those today. Uh, and of course I’m joined, uh, by our co-host, uh, Zachary. Siri. Zachary, did you have a good holiday?
05:26
Well, I think first of all, at a surface level, he’s answering his question, can socialists be happy? Really with the answer? No. Um, but I think it’s why, why? It’s more complicated than though, I think what he’s saying is that what happiness is is something temporary and fleeting. Uh, a feeling of community or a feeling of, uh, contentment or joy that only exists, uh, in contrast to the drudgery of everyday life or the injustices of everyday life. Um, and I think that’s very relevant for, for all of us who have celebrated holidays in the new year, in the last few weeks. Um, I think that’s probably something a lot of us have felt, not just this year, but in past years as well. Um, and I think he’s als what he’s also saying is that, uh, there’s danger. In seeing or seeking or defining your political program based on some perfect or idealized version of how the world should be, because human beings have limited imagination and the only way we can really imagine a perfect world. Is as one that is simply a continuation of all of the creature comforts and a universalization of all of the creature comforts of our world. Um, and so I think oral is really urging is for us to respond to inhumanity with humanity and to see injustice. Not as something that must be, um, completely eliminated to see, uh, to see pain and suffering, not as something that can ever be completely eliminated, but instead to see those as things that must be responded to. Not necessarily with a positive universal vision of what, of what the future must be, and we must all work to, but actually with a human feeling of brotherhood, as he calls it, with a commitment to fighting for justice, but not any sort of sense or promise that justice is ever going to come immediately in the present or in the future.
07:20
Now. Responding to Inhumanity with humanity. I think we all know what inhumanity is, right? And unfortunately, we were just talking about this before we, we started the recording. Uh, this was a year, maybe not with more inhumanity than other years, but certainly with a fair share of inhumanity. Um, and one, one can think about, uh, the murders, the cold-blooded murders, assassinations of, uh, a legislator and her, uh, husband in Minnesota. Followed a few months later by the assassination of Charlie Kirk. Uh, we can think also of the assassination that occurred of a insurance executive this year and, and many others. Uh, just this was a murderous year where extremists of one kind or another used excessive on un uh, un unacceptable illegitimate violence, uh, against individuals. Uh, of course there was mass violence as well. Thousands and thousands of deaths in Ukraine and elsewhere. Um, we saw also the violence and inhumanity of deportations within our own country. People being seized off the street sometimes when they had gone to a, um, immigration hearing that they were invited to, seized from a court. Uh, when they had come voluntarily to, uh, appear, uh, believing that they were getting, um, legal access to our country, but instead being in a sense kidnapped and often. Deported to a country that he never had any connection to. Uh, El Salvador, Sudan, uh, things of that sort. So, so there was plenty of inhumanity, uh, and plenty of inhumanity with all kinds of political stripes attached to it, uh, in all kinds of places. So I think we know what Inhumanity is and we know what Orwell’s referring to there as himself being a child of the revolutions of the 1930s and, uh, wars of the 1940s. Um. What is humanity? What, when, when, when Orwell encourages us to respond to inhumanity with humanity, to not simply respond an eye for an eye, to not simply respond to the murder of our guy by murdering their guy. Uh, what, what does he, what do you think he means? Because I think that’s the hard part here, Zachary. What do you think he means?
20:48
Yeah. Well this is sort of replacing a toothache with a toothache, right? Yeah. They’re, they’re, they’re recreating, they’re mirroring the problem that they saw by doing the exact opposite. I think that’s definitely happened. Um, I don’t know if you agree. I think that we, and I said this before in our podcast and in many other settings, um, I think we went too far with certain elements of DEI. Demanding, you know, diversity statements from people in a kind of McCarthyite way, loyalty oaths to diversity. And I think we went too far. Um, but I think now the response to having gone too far is going much too far in the other direction, to the point where now diversity has become a dirty word for some people. And you’re not supposed to, uh, assign. Work that points to perhaps the critical and not savory parts of our history, um, that that’s overreacting in the other direction. That’s mirroring, that’s a toothache for a toothache. Uh, if you’re against, um, preference for one direction, there shouldn’t be preference in the other direction either. And, and I think, I think one of the lessons we have to learn is that if we’re not attentive to complexity, all we do is just, uh, swing the, the spectrum back and forth. It’s like a seesaw. Rather than progress. So, so that brings us to, I think, the theme we wanted to close on, which is community. Um, I, I think one of the real, um, outcomes of 2025 is I’ve seen this with my students, with my colleagues around the country. I’ve seen this with all kinds of settings I’ve been in. People seem to be returning to community. They seem to have found in many cases that the world and the lives they were living. Online and elsewhere, we’re not satisfied. Clearly people are still living in those ways. Uh, but there is, there does seem to be a return to community and, um, I don’t know. It might be worth talking about that. I think that’s been an important part of your experience also. Right, Zachary?
28:13
Yes. I think that’s, I think that’s absolutely right and I think that might be, gives us the, the proper, not close to this episode, but the proper opening to 2026, finding more ways. To create a culture, a space, an assumption of, as you said, and those are fireworks outside of our door here. Uh, as you said, Zachary heterogeneity, difference of viewpoint, um, and encouraging conversation, repeated conversation. Uh, my frustration has been that many people who know this don’t take the time to do this. All of us as leaders. All of us as individuals and communities should do more to reach out to talk to other people, not just for one conversation where we want to hear multiple points of view, but to build a culture of conversation across points of view. And we should resist what I think is happening in too many places, including sometimes at universities where people are separated, one group versus another. Categorize in one way. Will you go in one major will be people thinking this way in another school, people thinking this way. No, we need to actually. Build true bridges and talk across communities and make that part of our daily culture, the way we, the way we operate. And I think we can do that. I think we’ve seen examples of that, and I think we now know why we need to do that. So that’s a kind of lesson from 2025. It’s an impression that can carry us into 20 20, 26. And I’m, I’m optimistic about that. You have to be hopeful about that. Do you share my hope and optimism?
Episode 315: Venezuela Intervention
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. Today we’re going to focus on Venezuela, one of the, most significant and confusing, I think, crises of our current moment. But a crisis in a region, of longstanding, American intervention and conflict, A crisis in a region that has gone through, extraordinary changes over the last 250 years. And a region where the United States and its relations with Venezuela and other countries have. Always been, not just complicated, but often quite controversial. we are fortunate to be drawn to, this topic, not only because of the prominence that it has in the news, but because we have a colleague who I think is one of the most interesting scholars writing on the region as a whole, who has a lot to share with us today. This is my colleague and friend, Professor Kurt Weyland. Kurt, thank you for joining us.
01:22
Kurt has been with us before. He is the Mike Hogg Professor in Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. He’s conducted original research in virtually every place one can go in South America, including Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Peru, and Venezuela. Professor Weyland is the author of seven books. All of them are worth reading. I’m going just to just name, some of my favorites, making waves, democratic contention in Europe and Latin America, which is really I think, a model of comparative politics, assault on democracy, communism, fascism and authoritarianism during the into war years. And then most recently, I believe, democracies resilience to populisms threat. So, Kurt has a strong background in the history of the region and, the dynamics of democracy, authoritarianism, and intervention, in this region. Kurt, I imagine you’ve been very busy with Venezuela in the news so much these days, yes?
02:26
Yes, there was really a surprise this intervention and the situation is so fluid that, you know, we have to pay attention every day to what new things are happening. So a lot of interest in that topic.
02:44
Absolutely, especially because a lot of the situation in Venezuela and the decision making in the US is quite murky. We don’t really know why Trump did this whole thing. Both sides are playing strange games. We don’t know how the opposition in Venezuela will try to get into the game. So, you know, a lot of moving parts here.
08:19
I think you see precisely that strange mixture of different facets in that recent Venezuela intervention, and maybe less in the motivations of President Trump, which are hard to figure out because on the one hand this is, You know, if you wish, clear assertion of American predominance in the Western Hemisphere. I’m concerned that the Chinese and the Russians and the Iranis have been messing around there. And this is the, you know, so-called backyard of the United States. So get out in that realist kind of spirit. You, you see President Trump then afterwards highlighting oil, oil, oil, kind of from an economic materialist. We need our fingers unimportant. Element in. Maduro was an awful, repressive, corrupt dictator who had blatantly stolen an election in mid 2024. So while that was probably not the motivation that drove President Trump, Maduro certainly deserved his fate and he was not, I mean he was at Target that similar to Manuel Noriega in Panama in 1989. Clearly, you know, had had committed so many misdeeds that an idealist would be happy that the guy was removed. and what is interesting there is, which is what I really have struggled with thinking about, is. From President Trump’s perspective, I still don’t completely understand why he would’ve done it. He has that, that urge to assert American predominance. But I wonder to what extent this was also driven by the agenda of Marco Rubio and Marco Rubio, of course, has been at the forefront at combating the left axis of evil in Latin America. Know Venezuela, Nicaragua, and. regime change if you wish, democracy promoting agenda. And so I wonder to what extent this was not only Trump asserting predominance in terms of motivation, but also Rubio pushing that regime change agenda partly in light of the upcoming presidential succession in 2028 where he might wanna put his chips into the game. And so I think. I think you might see precisely that strange mix of kind of Trumpian realism and Rubio regime change. You know, maybe not idealism, but you know, clearly trying to get rid of these left dictatorships.
13:31
That’s what’s striking to me, Kurt, that this has been certainly a change in the. President of of Venezuela, the Vice President Del c Rodriguez has has taken over at least as interim president, but it doesn’t seem like much else has changed yet. At the same time, president Trump is claiming that he’s running the country from the United States claiming that oil will come to the United States yet. There has been no new investment in oil infrastructure, no commitments of investment. and of course one of the problems in Venezuela is not simply, who’s in charge. It’s that the infrastructure to extract the oil is so decrepit that, that, that’s also kind of shut, shut itself down. So what has changed, if anything?
16:29
So I, I see the logic of that, but the historian in me, Kurt asks if that’s really possible. I mean, this is a regime that has many different factions as all regimes do, right? we know Rodriguez. Doesn’t command the same authority with some of the institutions, particularly the military that Maduro and, and Hugo Chavez did. And of course, the Chinese and the Russians are not just gonna sit back and watch this, right? They’re trying to bribe and threaten their own, allies and the Chinese have, have a major presence on the ground. I isn’t. The effort to do what you just said from a distance from the United States, as you say, acting as a kind of distant colonial overseer isn’t that likely to lead to factionalization internal fighting in Venezuela and and something that becomes quite disorderly that the United States either has to get involved in directly or ignore.
17:23
There is certainly a possibility, and there is one reason why I’m surprised that then Donald Trump did this because there is clearly, there is a risk that Venezuela could dissent into internal strife and conflict and that somehow other, that could draw in the United States. And that’s of course what Donald Trump wants to avoid at all costs. So this, this is a possibility, but. I think when you think from the great powers that Trump wants to push out of Venezuela, but I think it’s much more likely not that the Chinese and the Russians, not to speak of Iran, are going to take a stand in or about Venezuela, but that this is the essentially. They will find compensation in their spheres of, in, in interest. And so what you see is that the whole Trumpian approach to international relations is kind of stone age realism. Great powers have their spheres of influence and they can do inside their sphere of influence as they wish. And so I think the. The kind of the, how should I say that? What China and Russia will get out of that is Trump’s acquiescence in them taking more control of their spheres of influence. You know, and I think you see that with Trump’s accommodation of Russia in the Ukraine war. I don’t know what it would exactly mean for China and the South China Sea in vis-a-vis Taiwan, but I think, I think kind of the game among the great powers will be less. That they will, that China and Russia will fight tooth and nail to maintain a stake in the US’ backyard, the western hemisphere, but that they will say, whoa, you did this in your own sphere of influence. Now we have a freer hand in our sphere of influence. I think that’s how that will work. And as regards to domestic power structure in Venezuela, I. I would assume that Trump knows about his own severe a tension deficit disorder, that he couldn’t pay attention to Venezuela very much. But I think he’s probably going to appoint kind of an informal Vice Roy in, in, in Ambassador in Vene in Venezuela. I bet the American Embassy in Venezuela is going to swell to hundreds of people who will keep an eye on things and the the factions. That are more radical and that are more they know, you know, have much clo, much more control of the organs of coercion in Venezuela, the defense minister, Patino and Di Caveo, who controls these thugs and goons and militias, the so-called collectives, I think they will know. That if they mess around too much and they cause too much trouble, they might get yanked out and put in the prison cell next to my daughter. And so I think they will have to swallow a lot of, what you call in Latin America, swallow a lot of toads and hang low for a while. They will of course, hope that the Trump administration will move on. You know, I, I think in many ways what, what the Venezuelan power structure is doing is what the Wolf did in the fairy tale of Little Red Riding Hole. They’re eating a lot of chalk and like, Hey, you know, we can play game. And of course, they’re hoping that Trump moves on, that the United States can’t actually control what’s going on and it sooner or later they can reassert their control. They can, you know, they can. Get their fingers again into the contraband, into the corruption, maybe not the drug trafficking as they did before. I think that’s the game that is being played, and in some strange way, it serves Trump and it serves that Venezuelan power structure. And who is left out in that cold is the Venezuelan opposition.
26:33
So, so where do we go from here? Kurt? What do you expect to see? fortunately for us, you’re not just a historian, I’m a historian. Zachary is a historian to some extent. You, you are a political scientist, so you’re supposed to know the future as well. So where do you see things going, Kurt?
31:13
Right, right. I think that’s a perfect note to close on. I think it summarizes so much of what Kurt has said so well, which is, what, what we are witnessing is, a set of not historically unprecedented developments, but a set of, developments that have happened at very fast pace and have created a great deal of uncertainty. Uncertainty for the people of Venezuela, for the leadership of. Venezuela, and certainly for the United States and the world community, and this tension that, that Kurt has articulated so well between realism and idealism. It’s very hard to see where we’re going right now. And, I think that’s, that’s just one more reason why we’re going to have to watch, pay close attention and think about this in historical terms as we’ve done today. Kurt Weyland thank you so much for joining us today.
Episode 316: Minneapolis
05:11
I think that, I’d like to look to multiple routes. Like most things, they come from multiple. Most things that are strong, come from multiple roots. one of that is the very strong and specific social roots of the of, Minnesota. as well as the Twin Cities itself. There is a strong history. Civic nationalist, civic national engagement here with the notion that the United States is a nation of people committed to certain ideals. Those ideals are enshrined in certain documents, and those documents ensure certain rights and set up certain processes that must be followed. there is a strong commitment to this idea here, and, despite its limitations, view this kind of liberal nationalism right now, we’re seeing, what it can do in certain moments when institutions, processes, and the idea of EQ of equality under the law. Becomes threatened. That’s combined with a culture that has both religious and secular roots, that you know, everything from Lutheranism to Trotskyism that has been very strong in, Minnesota, the Northern Plains, and Minneapolis St. Paul for a very long time. And we can see this. In the strong religious, and church-based movements, that helped to create the welcoming environment that sponsored refugees from around the world after the American Secret War in Southeast Asia that welcomed people from East Africa, that west welcomed people from Korea after the Korean War, et cetera. This created a population that was, you know, diverse in a very specific way. and, and very globalized in a very specific way that combined with kind of the labor part of the farmer labor of the DFL, the democratic farmer labor, party, which is the form of the Democratic Party that we have here in the state, which has really strong, very labor left, kind of orientations, and that’s been important here. And then, so all of that’s local, right? and that’s been, it’s been nurtured here. And of course the, we’re coming here, you know, five years after the killing and the uprising following the murder of, of George Floyd on Chicago Avenue. And that created an idea. Solidarity. Many different kinds of ideas, many different kinds of soar where people understood themselves as responsible for the community. One of these ideas and practices, which is very strong here, is that of mutual aid. that we take care of us, that we stand up for us. and you see that in the everyday courage of people simply going around doing humble, simple things to support. Again, as well as the dramatic things that the cameras capture. All of that comes together with a national environment. We’re not the first city doing this, right? So there was Chicago, there was Portland, there was Los Angeles, there’s others, and already in those different places. One can find communities come together in order to support. We learned from Chicago, Chicago learned from other cities, right? The proliferation of neighborhood networks, of leaderless movements in order to, create a better, safer community that doesn’t come just from us. So and ho And I do not think it will stop just here either. Unfortunately, this is a national problem and it will continue in other cities, and I think that we can look forward to a historical moment that we can’t entirely anticipate, but it will be different because there is now a genealogy, a continuity of modes of resistance, which are drawing upon historical precedent elsewhere.
11:16
Sure that there’s more complexity, but that’s what vis that is what’s visible. Of course, I’m sure that there are some people are sympathetic, right to the golds and even perhaps the methods of these federal agents, right? But I have not seen, I have not that’s not apparent in on the streets, it’s not very apparent and opinion columns. It’s, you know, it’s more in the comments in social media, if you will. And that’s certainly available nationwide and you don’t know exactly where that’s coming from either. So, but no, it’s, it, is a very strong response. I think that partly this is, and this is something that I wanted to talk about, I thought it’d be interesting also to talk about, it’s partly. This is feels from here very much like a unilateral federal imposition on a state and it completely ignoring the elected leaders of that state.
13:35
What’s really interesting is, okay, I can’t, again, speak for all on the ground. I’m not really in a position to do that. What I can say is I, we don’t know if they’re starting to back down. It does seem that they started to moderate their discourse, bringing Homan in and moving bovino out. seems like a way to try to signal that. At the same time, I. Your guess is as good as mine, what’s going to happen in the next two weeks? Right? because there’s a deliberate opacity here, right? I mean, think about the visuals of the mask, the refusals to explain oneself, the insulin. In the face of the judiciary, all of these are of a piece, right? It’s a claiming of absolute authority. So therefore, we don’t know what their intentions are. And I think that’s very much, a part of the, politics of what’s going on here. It’s this, the strong assertion of, unbridled federal power here.
17:00
Well, first of all, somebody very bright, such as yourself needs to write a dissertation on this. it’s gonna be a good one. I truly hope that there are academic and non-academic researchers who are thinking about this very question. this is going to be, well, first of all, I think that if this is done right, it won’t be just. Streets of Minneapolis, right? studies of movements such as this, were going to need to look back at Roots as I was emphasizing to you a few minutes ago, right? Which are national, which are Chicago, which are important, which are la which are other cities. Place it in the context of other ways of pushing it back against, because this is not it, this. The energy that is behind this is about, the ice surge and the abductions, and the brutality of those, but it’s also part of a wider, it, it, draws energy and ideas from other recent movements. from the center, from the left, from the center, left right, against. The current administration, right. So that’s this. I, think it’s going to be remembered as one of the high points of a broader, response in 20 20, 20 25, 20 26. And I have no idea where we’re going in the future. It, will not be forgotten though.
22:21
Very strongly here. and I’m glad you put that out there. It also made me think about what’s very interesting kind of in the history of American politics here, is the way that the expected roles that, we see from reconstruction through the Civil Rights Movement, between federal and local authority or state authority, in some ways are being reversed. We are used to seeing, calls to the federal government in order to protect African Americans after enslavement through the Freedoms Bureau you to control the Ku Klux Klan. We see this in this, in the, Civil Rights Movement, where you see the Voting Rights Act, right, for example, is very much about, we don’t trust local authorities. That is state, county, and, and municipal governments to protect the rights of racialized people or to right, protect the rights of the powerless. Therefore, we look to Washington. It’s so much the opposite now, and as an American historian, doesn’t it make your head spin?
25:51
Yeah, I, think just to build on that, David, which you said so Well, I think. What’s happened, because of the excessive gross, excessive use of force in Minneapolis is that the issue of border security, which Trump is still relatively popular on, at least with some people that’s been lost and has become a discussion instead of brutality and federal overstep. and, there’s got, I would think that Republicans would like it to come back to a discussion of border security, which would mean taking the, the lens off of Minneapolis.
Episode 317: Vigilantism and Violence in American Society
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week we are very fortunate. We’re joined by a wonderful famous historian and also someone who I have so much, high regard for. I met her years and years ago, and I’ve been following her career for a long time, and it’s really a pleasure to finally have her on, this, podcast. This is Heather Ann Thompson. she’s a historian at the University of Michigan, where she’s a professor of course, and among many things, she’s the winner of the Pulitzer Prize and the Bancroft Prize for. Her book on the Attica Prison Uprising of 1971 called Blood in the Water. Most recently, she has published this really, stimulating and in some ways angering, but angering in a useful way, book, about vigilantism and the Bernard Getz, episode, which we’ll talk about in New York City in 1984 and what happened thereafter. The book is called Fear and Fury, the Reagan eighties, Bernie Goetz Shootings. And the rebirth of White Rage. professor Heather Ann Thompson, thank you for joining us.
01:36
You did not live through the early eighties in New York, so you’re gonna get quite an education today, Zachary.
02:02
Well, I think that we as historians, even while we live so much in the past, we cannot help but respond to the world unfolding around us with huge questions about how we got here. And, there’s always a million origin stories. But there is one thing for sure about where we were in, 20 23, 20 24, 20 22, that really felt jarring. I think just as a citizen of this country, just as a resident of the United States and that jarring feeling. So much to do with what was, what, just a palpable unleashing of, vigilante rage, episodes like Kyle Rittenhouse and, this, a Subway, much more recent subway, killing of a homeless man in New York City. Even more, probably more startling for most Americans. The storming of the capitol on January 6th, and then of course against all of this was the realization that when people were carrying out this rage, they were legally vindicated. Should it ever go to court. They were found not guilty. And I was just so struck by what felt to me as a historian is this weird return to. the 19th century, frankly, the, the unleashed lynching culture of 19 19th century and, something else that was happening that resonated with the 19th century, which was this extreme reconsideration of wealth. And I thought, God, these are two really interesting sides of the same coin. Let’s go back, let’s dig into it. And the eighties seemed like a really good place to start, both because we had taken a political detour, not even detour, I mean turn, abrupt turn with the Reagan, administration. And we also were witnessing one of the most dramatic of that period episodes of white vigilantism. So. Long-winded response, but that’s what got me there.
11:03
Yeah, so it turns out that all of the key figures of today are, were very much, a part of this story that I tell in this book back in the eighties. And Donald Trump is one of them. He is, much, trying to become the king of New York, become one of the wealthiest New Yorkers. And he also was someone who always flirted with politics, was always interested in first he. He courted the Reagan Republicans and then he courted the Clinton White House. And for a while he was courting Ross Perot as an independent. He was trying to read the tea leaves, where was this country going? And he starts to get fascinated with the New York Post, which is this increasingly conservative. tabloid owned by another. Here’s another familiar figure. Rupert Murdoch, who, is really, encouraging stoking the flames of white racial resentment in this time period. But also celebrating, wealthy people like Donald Trump. this is the era of greed is good. TV shows like Dallas and Dynasty and Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous. So, all of these characters are on the scene watching how this case plays out. Watching what’s happening with public opinion about race, about, vigilante violence, seeing how far the media can go with misinformation. and Trump will run with all of that, but he’s not the only one. Rudy Giuliani is also a key figure here. And he will, become the mayor of New York running on these kinds of, politics of white racial resentment.
12:59
it’s one of the many strengths of your book in that, as you said, the cast of characters in front of us today are all displayed here in their farm system days, in a sense, right? In, a way sharpening their knives and learning their skills that they’re going to use later on for the politics of the next few decades. And that’s of course how you. Close the book, but I don’t wanna jump ahead. Why Heather, do so many people come out in support of Bernie Goetz? you have this extraordinary statistic in the book. I did not know this, that when the, police create a helpline to find tips, as you describe in the book, Bernie Getz actually goes out on the lamb. He runs to Vermont and, with a rental car and switches hotels and, is trying to stay away for a while. And you say 1500 people. Called into the, tip line soon after it was created to offer their support for the shooter. Why are people doing that?
13:57
Well, this of course is the million dollar question, and it’s, it, it’s the question that we ask often today, how is it that people can, for example, in Minneapolis, look at the murder of Alex Preti or Renee Goode and. say it’s okay, even celebrate it. And in, in fact say that what we just saw with our own eyes didn’t even happen. this is an origin story to that, and it turns out that, that emotion, that sentiment in ways I just did not fully appreciate. Was being curated, it was being deliberately stoked and it was being stoked in aid of a much broader, behind the scenes and frankly more insidious political agenda. And that was the agenda, particularly of the Reagan Republicans, but much more broadly, very wealthy Americans who were. really sick and tired of the liberal politics of the New Deal and of the great society. They hated the high taxes that the wealthy had to pay into it. They really did not like the, civil rights advances that they saw as. Cramping their style, in terms of who they might hire or who they might rent to. of course, Donald Trump’s father was really, very resentful of those things. And, these are people that had long, wanted to undo the new deal, but the seventies, the late seventies offered them this. Opportunity, frankly, a dual crisis, an economic crisis unfolding globally and the civil rights tensions at home that are already making white folks feel nervous and, uncomfortable. And the Reagan Republicans understand that this is an opportunity to really just say, look, liberalism in general. It’s all a failure. it’s the reason why we have crime. It’s the reason why the economy is going to hell in the hand basket. It’s a reason why, you, your, unions are not doing so well. you name it, they become the scapegoat. And then the irony here is that, this global fiscal crisis, it gets back on its feet everywhere else. But in this country, the Reagan Republicans doubled down on the austerity. That just creates a greater economic crisis at home. And yet they say that crisis is not because income inequality is getting worse and worse, and it’s not because your social services are getting cut and. Libraries are shuttering their doors and public schools are closing. It’s because of those thugs and criminals, that live in places like the South Bronx that don’t wanna work, The drug addicts that, and it was just this masterful narrative, the welfare queen, I didn’t appreciate the extent to which they relied on this burgeoning conservative media to promote it.
17:11
So, so just so, we’re clear, your argument is not necessarily that all the people who express support for Bernard Goetz understand this larger architecture around them, but that architecture is manipulating the way they see this incident, yes?
18:50
And, so quickly, it, so you’re reading this, what are you supposed to think, Right. Sharp and screwdriver criminals with 13 warrants. and, and what’s really going on, of course, meanwhile, is that the Reagan republicans are saying, you know what, Rupert Murdoch. Who owns the New York Post, who’s publishing so many of these stories. He’s our guy. He’s gonna help us to translate this domestic agenda that we want to put in place, and he is gonna help us. His papers in England will help us, translate our international agenda. So it’s sounds conspiratorial, but it actually isn’t. It’s just very, it is, it’s clear self-interest, and really remarkably effective.
19:37
I’m curious what happened in New York as you understand it. I, I think people who, besides myself who do remember the 1980s and seventies and the nineties, remember New York as you described. but I don’t think that’s how most people my age think of. New York or have experienced New York. So I’m curious, what changed in New York and why did that same change not happen, across the country?
23:00
It’s interesting, as you were describing that, Heather, I was also thinking of Austin, Texas, and gentrification. Yes. In Austin. It’s really interesting. I think it’s a major contribution your book is making in taking this moment and saying that’s the moment that’s pregnant for our current world. Whereas the opposite is often I think what we think, certainly what Zachary expressed is to some extent what I feel as someone who grew up in New York, I go back to New York, it has all kinds of issues, but I at least until recently thought that the New Yorker, Bernard Goetz and Edward Koch, who was mayor then and others, that that was, that has gone away. that, that heavily racialized, violent vigilante in New York had gone away. Your argument is actually, it’s the origin of where we are today. Heather?
27:11
Well, I don’t know if I’m qualified as a New York City compensator, but I do think that, I do think that, one of the great ironies of our, political moment that we don’t talk about enough is that, for decades, the Republican Party in particular, Americans across the board complained that our politics was dominated by coastal elites or by New York City in particular. And yet the great, the sort of most successful populist of our generation came out of New York City. And I think this story might, take one step towards explaining that very strange phenomenon.
28:09
Oh yeah. I think you’re both absolutely right on. New York. New York becomes the place where, so much of this is getting tested out, but at the end of the day, what is being tested out is. How do you essentially take a nation that after World War II in particular, builds an American middle class, albeit, overwhelmingly white middle class because of its discriminatory nature. the safety net was discriminatory. But we build an American middle class and it required buy-in, from, across the class spectrum, and many people benefited from it, but the people that always hated it were the uber wealthy. And what we have seen since the eighties is a very successful erosion. Of that social safety net and perhaps more alarmingly an erosion of the principles behind it. it’s been a cultural shift that helping out your neighbor is bad. the government is bad. liberals are bad. Any social programs are bad. Anything public is bad. Public schools, public hospitals, public housing, and what I think we need to think through is that took a great deal of work. to undo all of that. And it took a lot of work because in fact, it was against everybody’s interests, right? some of the people being harmed the most right now are in fact Trump voters by the economics of the Trump administration. And so to understand that we have to ask, well, how in the world would they have ever bought into it? And, people aren’t stupid. They’re not just dupes. But they are definitely trusting, of our media infrastructure. They’re trusting of, the people that they have been told, have made it as businessmen. And so, you start to understand in a whole new way, why was it significant that Donald Trump used to be on the Apprentice, for example, or. worldwide wrestling because he was very deliberately curating, his popularity among people who he would rely on later on to be his voters. And he’s quite explicit about it.
Episode 318: War In Iran
18:08
That makes sense. What, if you were an American policymaker, what are the tools that you would have at your disposal to try and encourage the lasting regime change that President Trump has stated as his goal? Is there work that special forces can do, covert operations, et cetera? What would that look like?
18:27
Well, so here, that's another great question. And let me just say again, to take that step back, when it comes to long-term stability, that's the key word, long-term. When you look back at Iraq and Afghanistan, despite how long we were there, that was not the intent, right? The US military is optimized for decisive conventional combat. Yes, and some special operations missions, but it's about achieving that technological domain dominance, right? Own the air, own the land. But post-conflict stabilization takes political bargaining, institutional development, long-term legitimacy building. And just from our military to even our political system, right? US electoral cycles, incentivizing quick wins and visible progress and exit timelines. You need that decades-long commitment. You need the tolerance for ambiguity. You need institutional patience. That is why people point to, even though it's not exactly analogous, people point to post-World War II Germany and Japan as the exemplars of what successful post-conflict management could look like. So that being said, what could we do? I have to note that one of the things that we could have done prior to the last year in which the administration is defunded and dismantling things like Voice of America, things like the Radio Free series, which going back to the Cold War would publish the truth, right? Countering regime narratives in local languages. For me, this was a tremendous source of information. And for my own work with the Chechens, a lot of the Chechens, Radio Free Europe, Radio Marshal, Radio Freedom, I mean, this was a really valuable tool. And that's something we're not talking about here, our soft power levers, right? We have just shifted to a world, and people from the administration have said this, right? The iron law, what is it? The iron laws of power for Time Memorial, Stephen Miller said. But that's not really what has worked empirically. So when you ask, what would I do? I would say, you have to get that thing going. You have to get soft power moving. I think with respect to special forces and others, working with locals can bring great reward, right? They know the terrain. They have the local intelligence. But the challenge there is that they don't always share the same objectives beyond the most proximate. Both sides want to get rid of the regime or something like that. And what you see is a lot of times when the US or other actors have backed local groups, you tend to see that that makes conflicts more violent, more lethal. It makes them more protracted. So again, these are the things that in the policy world, it's often not the choice between good policy and bad. It's the least bad option. And when it comes to that least bad option, so things like supporting proxy groups, perhaps like the Kurds or the Baluch, that's going to give the United States some military and political advantage on the ground. But there are some real inherent latent risks. And not just latent, there could be some explicit ones like I described earlier that we should be very, very cautious and aware of.
21:55
Just building on these very insightful comments, Mike, how should we choose leaders to work with? It seems to me as a historian that our track record is pretty poor, whether we're talking Amit Chalabi, Ngo Dinh Diem, even Hamid Karzai, right? I mean, we tend to choose people who, first of all, have dubious legitimacy with certain groups that are important to the post-war environment, as you've described it so well. And also the act of choosing them often delegitimizes them further, right? So how should we do this?
25:30
Right. You know, that to me, the first thing that comes to mind, as I said earlier, we should be open to the possibility that this ostensibly new way of fighting war, get away with the old pottery barn, right, from Colin Powell during the first and second Gulf Wars. When you break it, you own it, that you have a responsibility to manage post-conflict. Now people are saying that is gone, very publicly saying, you know, that is gone. And we have this new way of warfare. If that is the case, then what you've just described and what is potentially happening with the Ayatollah's son being possibly put forward and the president, not President Trump, being dismissive of that, that type of outcome, the outcome where we have encouraged the Iranian people to rise up, but given the still robust capabilities of the regime, if 30,000 are slaughtered this time, those types of conditions really put this strategy,the viability of this strategy to the test. Because to your very question, Jeremi, what do we do then? And from all indicators, I don't think, I don't see, I don't see that we have a very good plan for that. And even, you know, again, I think it was the, one of the German official, I think came to the White House the other day and came out saying exactly that. I don't see any sort of day after planning. So that puts us really, puts again, this strategy, this ostensibly new strategy to the test. To the question itself, if a leader were to come to power that we're not sort of hopeful with, you know, not happy with, here too, I think we're kind of at a crossroad moment. And I think there's a question of what should we do? And then there's a question of what is the most likely thing that would happen? Again, if that were to happen, the administration would be faced with either having to sort of escalate or to use that as an off ramp. And to basically say what I just said, yeah, it's not our preferred candidate, but it's better than before. And it just allows you to exit. So that's that side of it. But at the end of the day, I think again, if you take a long view, right, a crooked line from a distance looks straight. I think as long as local leaders are not sort of, right, acting and plotting in ways that threaten the sovereignty of your nation, like, you know, we're, we're a democracy. So you let the people have their, have their preferred leader.
Conflict, Power And International Relations
View DetailsEpisode 115: Young JFK: Lessons for Democracy Today
04:20
Well, that is the perfect spot to turn to President Kennedy's biographer. Fred, we live in such a cynical age. Your book, as I read it, is in some ways a wonderful antidote to that cynicism. I think the place to start is why did John F. Kennedy, this person born to such privilege, such wealth, why did he get involved in the dirty world of politics? Well, let me just say, Jeremy, that that was a wonderful poem we just heard. That was just marvelous.
10:00
But I do think that JFK believed strongly that he himself had a role to play. And he, by the way, I think made his own decisions to seek political office in the early aftermath of the war.
10:25
JFK was really his own master when it came to his political decisions and his career decisions. But I think he felt that this wartime generation of which he was a part would now, in the aftermath of the war, in the late 40s and beyond, have a very important role to play.
17:11
But alongside this, emerging, I think, in 1950, 51, and thereafter, is also a nuanced understanding of the power of decolonization, the power of nationalism in the developing world. And he argues, I think, quite presciently, when he visits Indochina in 1951, for example, but also other parts of Asia, that the United States, if it wants to be on the right side of history, and if it wants to succeed in the broader superpower struggle, needs to be attentive to what these voices are clamoring for, and including people like Ho Chi Minh.
18:46
What makes JFK such an appealing presidential candidate, but also a congressman and a legislature? What can we learn from his rise about what kind of politician we should be nurturing today? Oh, it's such a good question. I think that what people saw right away, maybe even in that first congressional campaign in 1946, and I do think this holds something for us today, is they saw somebody who believed in politics, loved politics even.
19:28
And one of the reasons he loved politics from an early point was precisely because he believed that it was important that in a democracy, what we expect, what we demand of our elected officials can have a hugely important effect on our lives. And I think he believed and developed a philosophy, which basically said that government can't solve all of our problems, but it has a vital role to play in creating a more just and a more equitable society.
20:11
In fact, I think I show that you see it again in this first campaign, and that is the vital importance in a democracy of compromise, of reasoning from evidence, of seeing political opponents as adversaries rather than enemies. This is something that I think he stressed, and I think it's a very important notion for us today.
22:43
One of the things that one of the appealing aspects of John F. Kennedy is I think he respects people who are really good at what they do, regardless of field. He could see this in Johnson. On the other hand, you know, it's clear that when he becomes vice president, and arguably has an important role to play in securing this razor thin victory against Nixon in the election in 1960, you know, he and his team, they don't treat Lyndon Johnson very well in terms of his role as vice president, the kinds of duties that they give him, the degree to which they include him on important policy decisions, especially in foreign affairs.
23:44
I think he does credit him with helping him win. Arguably, this was one instance in recent US history in which the vice presidential choice actually did matter in the outcome, but then a problematic relationship thereafter.
28:12
You've spent a good part of your life now writing about John F. Kennedy. You're going to continue doing that. What do you want young people, people who are concerned about our politics today, people who want to change our politics today, what do you want them to take away from the work you've done and from this wonderful volume?
29:41
And I think it's important for young people in particular to grasp that, to understand that if they become involved in public life, maybe choose even a career in public service, they can make a difference, that democracy in some ways hinges on this democracy hinges on having a well informed citizenry paying attention to the issues and at least to some degree but getting involved in those issues. I think that, too, is a message that JFK flawed figure in many ways somebody who had both successes and missteps as a politician. But this is something I think he both believed and he lived.
Episode 121: Historical Memory and National Trauma
06:00
It also contains a lot of interviews. I thought it was very important not just to have my voice in in the book, but also to have the voices of many, many people both in in Germany and in the Deep South, which is where I focused my research, not because I believe racism is only a problem in the Deep South, I should emphasize. But because the South works like a magnifying glass for the rest of the country. Everything is out in the open.
06:31
And, you know, you certainly can't say that people aren't concerned with their history. But let me go back to this book. It has two beginnings, actually. One was in the fall of 1982, when I first came to Berlin on a Fulbright Fellowship, thinking I was going to stay for a year and go back.
06:51
And the reason I didn't go back was that I became absolutely fascinated with this German concept of Vergangenheitsaufarbeitung, which I translate as working through the past. Germans like the long compound words.
07:14
And, you know, there's a sense in which it simply emerged as a way of saying, "what the hell are we going to do about the Nazis?" And coming to Berlin in 1982, I was absolutely struck by the ways in which people were talking about the Nazi past. It was just before the 50th anniversary of the Nazi takeover of power.
07:38
And people in Berlin were preparing to commemorate it with a year's worth of exhibits and discussions and theater and people doing research about their neighborhoods and what their neighborhoods were like in the Third Reich. I should say, this was at the time, not at all a government sponsored project. And it wasn't even a majority of, certainly not a majority of, Germans and not even a majority of Berliners, who have always leaned somewhat to the left of the country.
08:16
But those were the people that I would have normally gravitated to, that is intellectuals, artists, activists. And they were examining their country's history, which also meant their parents and their teachers' complicity, with an intensity that I immediately had to ask, why aren't we doing this in the United States?
08:40
And at the time, I wasn't even thinking very far back about our history. I was thinking we don't talk about the Vietnam War anymore. We've never really talked about Hiroshima.
08:52
And that was a moment when I began to think about the contrast between the ways in which Americans dealt with their history, and or don't, and what the Germans were doing with theirs. So it's a subject that I've been thinking about, you know, for more than 35 years.
09:13
And the immediate impetus to writing the book, was when I was watching President Obama give the eulogy for the nine churchgoers massacred in Charleston in 2015. And in tears from my Berlin apartment, and thinking, however, because, you know, Nikki Haley did take down the flag, it was the first time that a major national politician had called for dealing with, or getting rid of, Confederate symbols.
09:47
And I thought, gosh, America is finally beginning a Vergangenheitsaufgabeitung. And since this is something I've thought about for a long time, maybe I can make a contribution. But I didn't want to simply do it from afar.
10:02
I had a sabbatical coming to me from my institute, and I wanted to spend some time with them, you know, even in 2016, there were Americans looking at this history, particularly around questions of racial reconciliation. So I based myself for a year in Mississippi, following people around who were doing this work, as well as people who were absolutely opposed to it, as a way of trying to figure out what would be a genuinely American Vergangenheitsaufgabeitung working of the past.
10:42
I do believe we have things to learn from what the Germans have done with their history, including their mistakes, and there have been many.
10:51
I don't think any two countries' histories are the same. And the first chapter of the book talks about all the differences between, you know, American and German history, because I knew, of course, people would object immediately. So, of course, there are many differences in those two histories.
11:12
You're a historian, so, you know, it's important to care about cultural and historical differences, but I still think there are lessons.
11:22
Well, and I have to say, I first became aware of your book [when] it had just come out and I think I had read a review of it, but I was at a meeting of the World War Two Museum, the National World War Two Museum in New Orleans, where I'm on the board. And we were talking about memories of World War Two.
12:01
Why is it that around many of these issues, the Germans have seemingly done more thinking about this, more of the work of addressing the dark and embarrassing and traumatic parts of their history than Americans? Why is that?
12:44
But I'm quoting here James Meredith, one of the people that I interviewed in the book, the great civil rights hero from Mississippi. And one of the things he said to me, he said, "well, the Germans got their ass kicked and we didn't." And of course, there's a way in which that's true.
14:47
And from that, I think one can actually get a measure of hope because if it turns out that even, you know, Nazis took a long time to acknowledge that they had some atoning to do, it's no wonder that those people who are asking, you know, for similar confrontation with our history in the U.S. are getting pushback. It's no wonder that we're having a cultural war over this, because people tend, in the first instance, they like to think of their people as heroes. If they can't think of them as heroes, they think of them as victims.
15:30
That's the next best thing. But, you know, people focus on their own suffering. That's what people do.
15:36
But what was historically unique, was that the Germans made a further step, which is to say, yeah, we suffered and it was rough, but other people suffered more and it was our fault. And, you know, so yes, the defeat played a role. There's some other, however, things that sound more prosaic.
15:58
You have no idea what kind of a media landscape we have here, public media landscape. And I'm, you know, I'm pleased to see podcasts like yours appearing to make up for the fact that, you know, most radio programs and almost all of television is commercial television. It does not go in for long form discussions of any kind.
16:35
And that's entirely different in Germany. In Germany, most of the media is public and we all pay a little tax. The funny thing is that I don't actually have time.
16:39
I watch much German television or radio, but I am so happy every year to pay my little tax, which is not very much. It's like, let's say, $100 a year, because I know that that ensures that we don't have Fox News, you know, so the German public is used to serious discussions in television, in radio, in the newspapers of a kind, that we don't have enough outlets in the United States for doing. That's another thing that plays a role.
17:46
How much of the sort of Vergangenheitsalphabetung was personal? And why haven't we had that in the United States?
20:00
And of course, every family is personal. Look, I think the biggest problem in the United States is this hundred year old hole in our memory, as I talk about in the book, between the end of the Civil War and the Civil Rights Act of 1964.
20:22
I was fortunate, I grew up in the South, although I know you don't hear it. My parents were from the North, but my mother was very active in the civil rights movement in Atlanta. So I'm kind of a civil rights kid. That was the you know, that was the atmosphere that I grew up in. But nobody talked about history. Everybody was much too focused on the present, you know, focused on getting rid of segregation.
20:51
And, you know, it was a time, Zachary, you're fortunate to have had your young political consciousness formed by, you know, an African-American president of great integrity and intelligence. When I was young, we couldn't imagine it. We couldn't even imagine a black cabinet member at that point.
21:17
So the focus was on the present and the future. People were not talking about the history. At least white people certainly weren't. And I rather think black people weren't either. They knew more of it, of course, than white people did, but it wasn't a focus of attention.
21:36
So we tended to think, OK, there was slavery. Slavery was terrible, but then we fought a war in order to end it. That was still the line, you know, that I learned mostly. And then there was Jim Crow, I think Jim Crow is a terrible expression.
21:58
I'm on a minor campaign to snap it out because it's a euphemism. It prettifies what Bryan Stevenson calls the age of racial terror, which I think is a much more accurate expression.
22:14
Yeah. And the words Jim Crow allow us to think, OK, there were racial stereotypes, there was racist prejudice. But, you know, We we don't know about the web of legal continuation of various things that have been called neo-slavery.
22:37
The way in which ordinary behavior, if carried out by African-Americans, was criminalized, the way in which there was actually a deliberate turn from, you know, thinking of African-Americans as stupid and lazy, which was the stereotype during slavery days, to thinking of them as criminals. All the way through, you know, redlining and the ways in which people of color were barred from getting mortgages, were barred from getting Social Security.
23:19
So and and, of course, in the background, lynching as a real instrument of terror to intimidate people of color. So, you know, we we tended to think that all of that was more or less so. We think, OK, it was, you know, it was too bad that there was segregation, but then we had the civil rights movement and it wiped it out.
23:46
And, you know, our ignorance, and I must say myself ,very much until 2015, until I I started thinking about these questions, I was as ignorant as anybody else. And I know professors of American history who didn't know very much about it.
24:00
Of course. [Inaudible] Well, there is for a long time it wasn't even in our scholarship. I mean, you could be a scholar of American history without addressing these issues until, you know, 30 years ago.
24:11
Right. And then you had to be a scholar. You know, you had to be Eric Foner or, you know, in order to address those issues. And, you know, if it wasn't your field, it didn't get into public discussion in the way that it is now. So I think that's the main reason why Americans have not examined our racist history.
25:08
Yeah. So we also see you talked about this in your book a lot as well. Later on, particularly in recent decades, an effort by Germans not only to talk about their past, but to take actions, to atone for it, to accept refugees and to send aid to Israel and other such activities.
25:27
How big of a part of Vergangenheitsaufarbeitung is this? And has it been applied in the United States? And how could it be?
25:38
So [that is a] very good question. I mean, let me start by saying that Vergangenheitsaufarbeitung has, you know, it's not one thing. It's not a, you know, a one off vaccination, OK?
25:50
It involves, you know, constructing a different national narrative, but that itself is not just something to be done by historians. And it's not just something to be done in history books.
26:04
It involves popular culture. You know, it involves movies, literature, songs, all of that stuff needs to be rethought of. I think reparations need to play a role.
27:28
I mean, I just made that up as a counterpart to Johnny Reb. Yes. What there are are thousands of memorials to both victims and the few resistance heroes that there were. All of that is part of Vergangenheitsaufarbeitung.
27:48
So Susan, this is such a powerful narrative that you put together here, and it is so compelling because it's thoughtful and you draw out interviews with major figures. You've mentioned Brian Stevenson and many others on the German side and the American side. We always like to close our podcast episode, Susan, with a forward looking, hopeful denouement.
28:12
What do you take from this about the possibilities going forward? I think Americans are maybe at least a younger generation. It seems to me, and I find this certainly with my students, are much more open to talking about a lot of these issues than my students were even 10 years ago.
28:29
So what do you see as the positive pathway forward for us taking into account your analysis of historical memory and the uses and misuses of it?
29:34
I know the word universalism is, you know, not very popular these days, but I'm making an argument to revive it. And I try and do that in the book. This is American history.
29:47
This is not black history. And it's very important, I think, that white Americans not consider ourselves as allies. An ally is someone who is, you know, has a temporary alignment of interests with someone else like the U.S. and the Soviet Union did during World War Two.
30:14
But wasn't an alliance based on principle? I support Black Lives Matter, not out of interest, but as a matter of principle, because I care about universal human justice. And I am part of, you know, many people of many ethnic backgrounds who have always done so.
30:41
Hannah Arendt, in her very important book, Eichmann in Jerusalem, criticized the state of Israel because when they indicted Eichmann, they indicted him for crimes against the Jewish people, and she says he should haveâ¦been indicted for crimes against humanity.
31:03
And I think that's exactly right. And I think we need to see the crimes against African Americans as crimes against humanity that should engage and enrage every decent American as we work to reconstruct a better country.
31:25
That's so powerful. Susan, I loved how you closed the book in what you called, "in place of conclusions." Because there is no conclusion to this story, where you talk about how in your words, "I gave tribalism a try," right? But then you say it surprised me. I had a little whiplash at the end. I didn't expect that from you. And then you said, this book itself is offered as an exercise in universalism in the hope that understanding difference will help us to find shared souls.
31:57
Zachary, this book obviously moved you. We read a lot together, but I think you really were moved by this. Why did it move you? And do you think that Susan's plea for universalism will resonate with your generation?
32:10
Yeah, I think that it really resonated for me because it's a very sort of understanding of American history and world history from a perspective, that is, that is deeply intellectual. And I think, the most accurate depiction of history that we can see.
32:27
And I think it's actually a very hopeful thing for young Americans like myself, because I think sometimes it's a little easy to be put off by people who want to be all negative about American history or all positive about American history. And I think that this book in the message of this book offers a great framework for how we can understand our history from a realistic perspective.
32:49
Thank you so much. And you know what Jeremy said also resonates with your poem. You know, there isn't a conclusion. This is something you know that's going to go on for a very long time, and it's a multi generational project. So I think it's wonderful that the two of you are doing this together.
33:15
And reading your books, Susan, it certainly felt not just like reading an exploration in memory and history, but also an exploration and redemption. What you're talking about is the most hopeful thing, right?
Episode 138: The Filibuster
27:42
Is this something that can motivate people?
27:44
I mean one thing Sean is saying is that the filibuster's days are numbered. That certainly means that this is an issue people should pay attention to, do you think that's that's the case?
27:53
I do think that's the case. I think a lot of people in my generation are very dissatisfied with the slow pace of everything in the United States Congress. And especially those who feel aligned with the Democratic Party in particular, I think are very frustrated that many of the reforms that young people have pushed the hardest for are being stalled because of these legislative rules. And so I think that you will see a lot more attention to these issues from young people and young voters who are quickly becoming a very important voting bloc in our elections.
Episode 169: Vietnam War Legacies
10:56
And in Southern Africa, I try to show how in the early 1960s, Americans believed that they could find ways to support racial justice in this region that was plagued by the vestiges of colonialism and white settler rule in several places, largely abandoned those hopes and really settle for a deeply problematic status quo that at least had the advantage of being stable in the short term and therefore not a situation that would require that the United States expand vast resources or political capital on very, very difficult problems.
15:18
Well, because I think that it came to dominate so thoroughly the American home front by. LBJ was nothing if not a political creature who was deeply sensitive to what was going on politically across American society, deeply sensitive to what was being said about him and his leadership. And so over time, I think he came to see Vietnam as the single major issue that confronted his administration.
15:51
And for this reason was prone to seeing every other issue through that prism. And I think you see it not only in connection with foreign policy issues, where you might be more likely to see connections among different foreign policy questions. You also see it in the domestic arena, where LBJ's attitudes toward his advisors, toward members of Congress, were deeply informed by his perception of where they stood on Vietnam and how they were likely to support him or not. It's, I think, one of the tragedies of the Johnson presidency that Vietnam becomes so all-consuming for him that every other issue becomes in some ways subordinate to it.
16:34
Right. You and I have talked about this before. I mean, even his views of students in the United States become defined by where they stand on the Vietnam War, which is extraordinary if you think about that. Zachary.
16:48
Yeah. So you very clearly and convincingly laid out this idea of the end of ambition and the limits that it places on foreign policy decisions. But how do you square that with the rise in global connections and global awareness among young people and others during this period?
17:53
He was aware that activism and unrest was increasingly a global phenomenon. And I think for this reason, was drawn to the idea that where stability seemed to be possible, where he could find partners who would cooperate with him and clamp down on at least some of this unrest, he was ready to seize those opportunities. So, you know, I bite off a piece of that larger story by looking at American relationships with countries in the third world.
23:29
But I think it was really the Iraq War, and particularly the difficulties that the United States ran into there between, say, and or so, that brought Vietnam very much back to the forefront, at least in connection with debates over foreign policy. And I think around the same time as political polarization really became that much more extremein the United States, you could also see that Vietnam continued to operate at a very deep level in American society as a touchstone for deep-seated social and cultural debates over some pretty profound issues that tend to divide Americans over questions like their Americans' relationship to their government, the reasonable obligations that government can impose on citizens, the duties of citizens to protest and object to the behavior of theirgovernment, and so forth. A lot of those questions, I think, that Vietnam really put on the table remain very much part of American political life and unfortunately tend to divide Americans very deeply to this day.
31:07
I certainly do. I think one of the lessons is that these issues are always complex and never just black and white, never easy or impossible. And I think part of the problem, and, I think particularly among young people is that foreign policy issues can seem so black and white and, and, and, and, and so easy, but they're so complex. And, and part of the problem is that. Our political conversations, aren't mature enough, uh, in this country to really be able to, to address those issues appropriately.
Episode 206: Leadership
02:12
Mark is also a presidential historian on ABC News. And, earlier in his career, among other things, he was a publisher of Newsweek. And if you read his newest book, you'll find out that he had a very close relationship with Hugh Sidey, who was the, I guess, the editor of Time Magazine. Is that correct, Mark?
02:29
He was, you know, he was the Washington bureau chief. Jeremi, but it was such an out, it had such an outsized power. He might as well have been the editor of Time Magazine as John Kennedy, knew as so many other presidents that he just had an incredibly important vantage point on the presidency.
02:47
As a consequence, those presidents really looked to his column in so many ways to see how they were doing.
02:56
Well, for those of you who buy and read Mark's book, there's some wonderful insights from Hughes Sidey, that Mark shares as well as insights from Scotty Reston, and many other journalists of the time. Before we get into our discussion with Mark, we have, of course, Zachary's scene sitting poem.
04:34
My poem is about the huge mark that John F. Kennedy, his presidency, his assassination left on the American psyche, but also the ways in which he and his family have sort of become mythologized. And we remember them in hindsight perhaps differently than we experience them as a country.
09:02
You're really detailed in your description, Mark, also in former President Eisenhower and others who really don't think this man is up to the job, this man who barely wins the presidency in the closest election, as you say, in the 20th century. How does Kennedy deal with that? How does he move forward in this almost unwinnable situation?
09:23
You know, you've written about this, Jeremi, you talked about the challenges of modern presidential leadership in the impossible presidency. It's a really difficult task. Kennedy, as you said, comes into the presidency with this very narrow victory, the narrowest of the 20th century, 118,000 votes to the difference between a President John F. Kennedy or a President Nixon in 1961, and yet he moves very quickly to get the American people rallying around him, partly through his iconic inauguration speech, which is so indelible, in which he says, ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country, which instantly becomes this eternal expression of the American ideal, thinking about something greater than ourselves.
10:11
But while he had the country rallied around him, he quickly stumbled with the Bay of Pigs and the failed incursion of Cuba as we tried to oust Fidel Castro from leadership. And yet, and this really says something, Jeremi, and yet in that desperate hour in his presidency, so soon into a very auspicious run in the White House, he sees his approval rating at 83%. This is after the Bay of Pigs.
10:41
Only 5% of the American public disapprove of his job performance. And it shows an American far more unified than today. I mean, how different is that than today when so many people are rooting against a Joe Biden as our president?
11:52
Why do you think Kennedy was able to become such a unifying figure? I mean, in the years following one of the closest elections in American history, probably nearly every American who was eligible to vote in 1960 remembers voting for John F. Kennedy. How is it possible that he could have become such a unifying figure? It seems almost unimaginable today.
12:12
Yeah, it does, Zachary. I've always appreciated, like your father, as an author, I appreciate the power of words. I do public speaking a lot, and we get how words are enormously powerful in conveying ideas and inspiring people and getting people to coalesce.
12:34
There's a wonderful quote from Clement Attlee that I relate in the book, and Attlee was the successor to Winston Churchill, and he's talking about Churchill's rhetorical splendor during the Second World War when it was so vitally important. And he says, words at great moments can be deeds. And Kennedy shows us this.
14:32
It's interesting, because at one point there's an interview that Kennedy does with Ben Bradley, who was then the cover of the presidency for Newsweek. They were good friends, and before a dinner party, Bradley starts interviewing John F. Kennedy, and you can hear this interview at the JFK Library, but Kennedy calls himself the antithesis of a politician, and by that he means he's not the kind of baby-kissing, back-slapping, name-knowing politician that his maternal grandfather, Honey Fitz, the very colorful mayor of Boston was.
15:08
And yet at the same time, Kennedy concedes that he fits the times, and I think what he was suggesting is that he understood that he could master the medium of television. Great politicians, whether for good or for ill, master the mediums of their age. Jefferson did it with partisan newspapers. Lincoln did it with the written word. He was a wonderful writer and had these memorable speeches, but very few people heard those speeches. You read those speeches in newspapers.
15:44
He understood the importance of the art of photography, which he used in his successful presidential campaign in 1860. Roosevelt, who you just mentioned, mastered radio, which was the medium of his time, talking to people directly. Kennedy did that with television.
16:01
The television age was coming into prominence when Kennedy came into office, but for television, it's likely that Kennedy wouldn't have been chosen as our 35th president. The debates, the first presidential debates in history, were held on television between Kennedy and Nixon, and many of us as presidential nerds can summon those images of a very pasty-faced, five o'clock shadowed Richard Nixon versus this glowing, handsome, leading man type in John F. Kennedy, and that image really mattered.
16:38
So, good politicians understand the importance of the mediums of their time, and they understand the importance of image. Kennedy got both of those things very vividly. Just in terms of the speeches he gave, Jeremi, let me just give one example, if I may, of why Kennedy was so effective, and it comes in 1963.
17:01
Kennedy had reacted largely to the crisis of civil rights. He wasn't proactive at all. He was trying, in fact, to tamp down the Civil Rights movement because it exposed not only the nation but to the world to the worst of American apartheid at a time when, as I mentioned, we were trying to compete for hearts and minds across the world with the Soviet Union. That made us look bad, like we weren't living up to our ideals as a nation.
17:29
Absolutely, Jeremi, and you and I have talked about this, how Kennedy was so reactive on this, but eventually, he sees the crisis brewing in Birmingham where Martin Luther King had brought his campaign, the most segregated city in America. He finally realizes he's got to go on TV to ensure that George Wallace, who is standing in the doorway of the University of Alabama trying to prevent its integration, does not get the headline that night, does not get the lead story on the 6 o'clock news. He is encouraged by his brother Bobby to go and speak to the issue of civil rights on television.
18:12
Ted Sorensen, his speechwriter, tells Kennedy he doesn't have enough time, in eight hours, to write a presidential primetime speech, but Bobby encourages his brother to go on anyway and to speak from his heart. This very iconic speech about civil rights is largely extemporaneous from Kennedy, who had the courage to go on national television and speak his mind about the issue of civil rights, and in so, he calls it a moral issue, elevating the cause of civil rights to a moral issue for the first time in our history, and it is a turning point in the struggle for civil rights.
18:56
And as you show, civil rights leaders who had been, let's say, lukewarm on Kennedy, like Martin Luther King, Roy Wilkins, and others, they themselves see it as a turning point at that time.
19:15
I wanted to point out also, Mark, that one of the many things I learned from your book is how effective Kennedy's press conferences were as well, which I think is another version of what you're talking about now, his ability, yes, to use the words that Sorensen and other speechwriters, Richard Goodwin, had put together for him, but his ability to own the words and often to extemporize off the cuff and connect with an audience. You say, it's extraordinary, this is around page 60 in the book, that about 18 million people on average saw his press conferences, 90 percent of Americans, 90 percent of Americans watched at least one of his first three, according to a 1961 poll. That's extraordinary, that's the Twitter of its time, isn't it?
19:59
That's exactly right, and I think the American people were able to see Kennedy in his element, going toe-to-toe with some of these wonderful journalists. Kennedy had been a journalist himself at the close of the Second World War when he left the military, he went and worked for Hearst Newspapers in Europe covering the war, and he had great respect for journalists. That didn't mean he always agreed with what they wrote about him, and it certainly took exception to a lot of what they wrote, but he was so beguiling, and I think the American people could see his facility with language, with the English language, his extensive knowledge of the issues, and frankly, this was the must-see TV of its time in many ways.
20:51
We were just so beguiled, the press included, with this young, elegant, auspicious president. It's interesting, five days after his inauguration, I believe a third of all Americans tuned into that first press conference because we were so entranced by him, and among other things, Jeremi, he had to tell the American people to stop sending letters and telegrams because the West Wing was becoming overwhelmed.
21:53
Well, I think he was able to convey those ideas very effectively and successfully to the American people and to a large extent the world. When Kennedy stands in front of the Berlin Wall and says, Ich bin ein Berliner, I am a Berliner because I'm a citizen of freedom, hence a citizen of Berlin, that makes a marked impression. But I think you're right, Zachary.
31:20
You know, I think we look at the, what a perilous state democracy is in right now, I know that this is what this podcast is ultimately about, Jeremi, and we understand its fragility now more than any time in at least a generation.
31:59
I think that this is nothing new and we can get through it if we resolve to make this country as strong as possible. And the one thing I would urge young people in particular to do is get involved in the electoral process. Jeremi, I mean, you're married to an elected official, you know how important this is.
32:21
I would urge them to certainly to vote, but also to get to, to, volunteer at the polls, to volunteer on campaigns, to get educated on the issues. There are other things you, we can do to strengthen our democracy, but there's nothing more important than voting the right people into office.
Episode 247: Strikes by Autoworkers
01:27
Will's book puts the March on Washington in the context of labor history as well as civil rights history, which is really important. Will, thank you so much for joining us today.
02:35
We will not be told to keep standing still, when the steels arrive from the mill, and we have the parts to rebuild the heart of what made this country go. We will not be told to accept our fate, to wait and say nothing forever. If anything yet we're far too late, but better too late than never.
02:55
What's your poem about, Zachary? My poem is really about, how, the ravages of the global economy in the past few years have hit at the heart of manufacturing jobs in the United States and have led to a lot of dissatisfaction, with, not just with government but also with big corporations, in Detroit and across the country. And how labor action can hopefully move towards solving those problems or at least, finding a better solution for workers.
07:29
So they, you know, there's a sort of a fundamental sense that this is unfair, but there's also a recognition that this is a really dangerous situation when you're trying to build solidarity between workers, and it sort of pits workers against each other. And has the potential to really divide the workforce in a way that I think this strike is aimed at, you know, overcoming and sort of uniting.
08:41
The UAW is you know, comes from a particular history of one of the industrial unions of the 1930s. It was one of the founding unions of the Congress of Industrial Organizations, which is, you know, half of the AFL-CIO. The other half, the AFL, is much older, and it actually comes from a tradition that is in some ways based on drawing lines among workers or between workers. I mean, it was a sort of built by skilled workers who really kind of circled the wagons around their own particular skills, and were very exclusive. So many of the AFL unions, you know, they would limit their membership to men. They would, some of them actually explicitly said that you could not be a member of them unless you were white. So they were exclusive, and the idea was to try to draw a very narrow line and control the labor market and the access to skills within a particular labor market. The CIO unions, like the UAW, took exactly the opposite approach. They felt, "If we can organize as many people as possible across as many different lines of skill and status, across lines of race and gender, we can be more powerful if we have everybody in the same union."
10:01
And so that's really, the UAW really exemplifies that history. It emerged in the 1930s, organizing auto plants where the, which were really deeply divided, right? You had very, very highly skilled machinists, working alongside, you know, janitors, alongside, people who were, who had very little experience. You had, you know, people of many different, you know, immigrants from all over the world. People of different races, men and women working in the same factories. And the UAW was one of the first unions to say, "We're going to try to put everybody in the same union." So this idea of the concessions really cuts at the heart of that idea, of the two-tier system, and gets really to the heart of the history of the UAW.
12:37
One way they've done, responded is to sort of branch out and organize other workers. I think about 20% of the UAW are actually academic workers. They're graduate students. They're contingent faculty at, mostly in the UC, the University of California system.
12:55
They've also made the, you know, they face this problem of, you know, do you sort of make concessions and do you, you know, recognize that you are in a place of weakened you know, clout and respond to that by making concessions? Or do you in as, you know, in the language of the sort of the people who run the union movement now, or the UAW now, do you fight back? And one of the important things about this strike is it occurs after the election of Shawn Fain who ran against a sort of entrenched union bureaucracy that had really been responsible for a lot of these concessions. He ran on a reform slate that was supported by people who have been fighting within the UAW for many years, for decades, to try to push the union toward a more aggressive stance in trying to push back against some of these concessions. So that's a strategic change that, you know, and I think we'll see how it plays out. âI think the strike, you know, raises that. We don't know how the strike's going to end.
14:07
Will, your discussion of the election of a new UAW leader brings up an important issue. I often hear people say very derogatory things about unions, and I think some of this comes out of the rhetoric of the 1970s and '80s that unions are corrupt and that unions are run only for the leadership. That's obviously not true, but why do you think that's said so often, and what's your response to that?
16:41
The UAW also played a really critical role in the civil rights movement. It was one of the unions that, you know, provided consistent funding for the major campaigns of the 1950s and 1960s. The UAW sent money to help support the Montgomery Bus Boycott. They sent hundreds of thousands of dollars to support the March on Washington. The president of the UAW, Walter Reuther, spoke at the March on Washington, you know, just before Martin Luther King gave his "I Have a Dream" speech. So this, these are institutions that have really been vital to American democracy and to the sense of sort of creating a more egalitarian United States.
22:47
Will, there's a lot of talk and you've been part of this discussion too about working class voters. From, you know, the period of Roosevelt, Franklin Roosevelt's presidency forward, there was a presumption in part because of the connections between the Democratic Party and some of the major unions that working class voters would be Democratic voters. Then the Trump movement seems to have reversed that, at least in some areas, perhaps particularly in the Midwest. How do you see that issue today? Are working class voters MAGA voters? Are they Trump voters? Are they Democratic voters? What would you say?
23:25
Yeah. I mean, I think it's important to keep in mind who, you know, what we mean when we say working class voters. I mean, there's a very, I think a very small sort of narrow segment of working class voters who are overwhelmingly white and male, they're largely rural, who have, you know, who are, have become Trump voters. Many of those voters have been conservative voters for a very long time. I mean, they were, you know, going back to Reagan, even going back to before that, to Nixon.
23:55
The working class is extremely diverse and the working class as a whole still is decidedly Democrat. But if you, if you look at a particular, you know, segments of workers, I thought it was actually interesting that, you know, Trump, spoke, gave his speech when he went to Detroit in Macomb County, which is the sort of classic place where, the sort of origin of the term Reagan Democrats. The sort of long-term Democrats who had turned to the Republican Party with the, in 1980 to vote for Reagan. So I think, you know, I think Trump's politics are often sort of framed in the context of the 1980s. Right. And he seems sort of stuck back there. But I think that was definitely part of his, thinking and going.
24:45
âIs it fair to say that the white male elements of the working class that we associate also with traditional unionism, the traditional people working in Henry Ford's plants and others, is that a smaller and smaller part of what you'd call the working class today?
25:03
Well, in some respects it's always been a small part of the working class. They've been the working class that has been most visible. I see. But certainly, I mean, in, like, if you look at core industrial jobs, I mean, if you look at the pictures of UAW picket lines, you know, they look very different. It's lots of women, and lots of Black and Latino men. So in that sense, the sort of core sort of UAW, which has always been a racially diverse union, right? But it's become, its sort of core constituency has become more racially and gender diverse. Certainly gender diverse. Right. That makes sense.
29:00
I think so, and I think one thing about this moment that maybe is a little optimistic is that I think the attention from both parties to the issue of economic equality, albeit from two different perspectives and one often much more about cultural resentment than actual economic policy, I think that should be a positive sign that most Americans or a large number of Americans recognize that the future of our economy is not going to be in the same places and organizations that we've relied on in the last decade or so that we have to look back to the past but also look forward to find new ways of thinking about wealth distribution and economic prosperity in our country.
30:00
I think so, and I think quite simply it's one of the places in American politics that is most exciting but also most accessible. I think it's a engaging, exciting, political movement as much as it is a very serious, critique of our economy.
30:57
I do think that, you know, Zachary's right in terms of the accessibility. I mean, in a lot of cases young people, you know, learn about unions 'cause they go to work in a place where there's a union drive. And, you know, I've been, there's a Starbucks down the street from my house, and I've had a great time talking to people who are trying to build a union there. And they're, you know, they're all in their 20s, and they have, you know, they haven't been involved in unions before, but they're learning a lot about unions, and they're really interested in it. So that's a way that I think, you know, whether you work in a place like that or you, you know, you go to a business like Starbucks, I think you can talk to the people who work there about their experiences. And, you know, I think depending on where you live, there are a lot of union members who, you know, they don't wear their UAW hat everywhere, but they're, you know, they're around and they have experience with unions. So those are other ways you can learn about unions.
31:56
âIts such a great point. Even in a state like Texas, which traditionally doesn't have the same strong unionization as other parts of the country, teachers are part of a union, right? That's right. What I know your next project is on, Will, public service workers, right? That's right. âMy wife, who's a city council member, she's actually part of AFSCME, which is the public sector union. And so there are actually a lot of people around who work with or are involved with unions. And, as you say, Will, I think that talking to them and getting a sense, positive and negative, of what their experience is, is important in informing ourselves when we're discussing these issues politically. âYeah. I mean, it's true that, you know, if you're in high school, the chances are your teacher is a union member.
Episode 251: Middle East in the 1970s and Today
02:15
Salim's second book, which is really one of my favorites, "Imperfect Strangers: Americans, Arabs, and the US Middle East relations in the 1970s". This is a book that looks at events in the Middle East, but also within the United States and the emerging Arab American community, which becomes very important as Salim shows to American politics in the 1970s. It's also a book filled with wonderful anecdotes about Woody Allen. and Henry Kissinger and various other individuals. So I encourage all of our listeners to read it.
02:46
And Salim's most recent book, "Winds of Hope, Storms of Discord". What a great title. The United States since 1945. And that title would certainly apply to the present as well as the entire period from 1945 to the present. Salim has written many important articles and other chapters on U.S. foreign policy, on the Middle East, and on Arab American political activism.
04:44
My poem? It's hard to explain. I'm not sure I perfectly understand what I was trying to get at either. But. I think it's sort of an attempt to understand the place of Israel today, but also in particular from the perspective of the 1970s, a period when Israel was still led in large part by a generation which was defined by the Holocaust, but it was also beginning to really develop its own sort of distinct Israeli identity that still shaped by that, the sort of last exile to Israel from Europe and other parts of the Middle East, and in some cases from within the territory of Israel.
05:50
I love the arc in your poem, Zachary, from Isaac Bashevik Singer, who sort of represents the early generation of European Ashkenazi Jews who settle Israel. And then, of course, the generational change that I sort of feel in your poem as it goes through to where we are today, which is a Middle East that looks very different, of course, from The world of Isaac Petrovic Singer in the 1950s and 60s, right? Yes, very much so.
09:03
So it's, and then I guess you could, I would just add that, if you fast forward to the closing years of the decade, you start seeing the emergence of political Islam as a really powerful force, primarily with the Iranian revolution of 1978 to 1979. But there also were some pretty important events taking place in the Arab world. The seizure of the Grand Mosque in Mecca in 1979, you know, right around the same time that the Iranian hostage crisis begins.
11:23
And essentially what happens with the 1973 war, which is on the Arab side, waged by Egypt and Syria primarily, is that it kind of shocks the Israelis out of their complacency and forces them to confront the fact that they actually really are still vulnerable. And that in turn, you know, makes it increasingly clear to them that they have to reach some kind of political accommodation with their Arab neighbors perhaps on terms, you know, not quite as favorable as the ones that they had been holding out for previously. And it's also, it's from the Arab side, it's important because it rekindles a sense of pride or restores a sense of pride that had been very seriously damaged by the debacle of 1967.
12:16
And in fact, I mean, from the standpoint at least of Egypt. It's psychologically very important because Egypt and Sadat feel that they need to show the world, and maybe more particularly the United States and Israel, that they're not total pushovers, that they are, you know, that Egypt is a force to be reckoned with. And having made that case, even though Militarily, the war ends up going quite badly for both Egypt and Syria. Nonetheless, because they do a lot better than they did in 1967, that restores a measure of respect, and maybe more importantly, self respect, and that gives at least Sadat the confidence to move forward and enter into increasingly intimate peace negotiations with Israel, you know, at first brokered by the United States, but eventually face to face.
26:11
Right. Right. Zachary. In this context of bilateral agreements, and a sort of cooling of the conflict during this period, why do these efforts fail to produce a Palestinian state and achieve a two state solution? Was that the point of these efforts or why do the sort of claims to statehood of the Palestinian people during this period fail to be represented at these, in these major agreements?
26:44
Well, that's a great question. I mean, there are lots of different aspects to it. I mean, on one level, you can answer it by pointing out that the gap between, if we're talking first in the early 1970s and in the aftermath of the 1973 war, the gap between Palestinian aspirations and, reality was just unbridgeable. Now that gap narrows in the years ahead, because essentially what happens is the Palestinians. scale back their ambitions in ways that make them at least theoretically compatible with Israel's continued existence. So if, you know, in the early 1970s, the formal position of the Palestine Liberation Organization was the liberation of all of Palestine, essentially the dismantling of the Zionist state and the creation of the so called democratic state.
27:47
Sometimes it's referred to as the secular democratic state, but usually the term secular was not attached to it. It was just, you know, the democratic state in which, at least on the surface, Arabs and Jews, you know, Muslims, Christians and Jews would all have equal rights. If you look closer at the proposal, you could see that it wasn't quite that because there were, there was this expectation that a large portion of the Jewish Israeli population would actually leave. And so it's really not, it's not a very serious proposal. But it's also not serious because it's just, there's just no way that it can be realized militarily.
28:31
Now, what you see happening over the subsequent years, you know, the years after 1973, is that the Palestinian movement, and in particular Yasser Arafat, who is the chairman of the PLO, they start inching towards a compromise where they, you know, the first there's all sorts of qualifications and disclaimers, but, essentially they're moving closer to accepting a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza. And essentially, disavowing or at least setting aside their claims to the rest of Palestine. And over the years, this becomes increasingly explicit, you know, it becomes official in the late 1980s where the Palestinian, the PLO basically, you know, disavows its claims to the rest of Palestine and says that it is ready for a two state settlement, in which a Palestinian state will live alongside Israel.
34:53
It's really hard to say. I mean, my overall inclination is to be, you know, very strongly opposed to the use of violence, especially terrorist violence, as a, you know, that's of course a more like a normative or moral stand. You know, when it comes to looking at it analytically and trying to assess, you know, in as detached a way as possible, you know, to what extent this move towards violence or these moves towards violence helped to put the Palestinian issue on the map I think there definitely there is a sense in which that kind of activity drew attention to the Palestinian cause and gave it a kind of visibility and stature that it might not otherwise have gained. But at the same time, it's also, as I said, blackened the name of the movement. So I would, I guess, you know, if I had my druthers and if I could wave a wand and change history, none of this, of these at least none of the really heinous forms of violence would have taken place.
36:10
I mean, obviously resisting occupation, you know, when you're confronting armed occupiers, that's a whole different ball game. So I would, I definitely, I very much regret that this move towards violence has occurred and has been embraced by so many. And of course, you know, even to, especially today, seeing, you know, what it's leading to makes me all the more firm in that conviction now, even today, though, there you're going to get arguments and they won't necessarily be completely off base that the October 7th attacks revived the Palestinian issue in a way that perhaps few other events could have done.
43:22
Salim, it strikes me that one of the legacies that's unavoidable is the continued lack of Palestinian statehood, that the two state solution that you described so well doesn't come into being. And looking back over this period over the 1970s, one might have thought that things might have gone that way.
44:16
Israel also seems to recognize, as you said, that it has to make some kind of deal with its neighbors. So why do the Palestinians continue to be victimized? Why is that one of the overriding legacies from this period?
46:59
But what happens is that the Israelis are able to continue expanding Jewish settlements in the West Bank and the way the agreements are drafted are such that, you know, the Israelis are able to invoke certain loopholes and the Palestinians complain, but they don't have sufficient leverage with the United States to get the Americans to take that seriously.
47:59
And so essentially what happens is the, you know, the settler population during the very decade in which the Oslo peace process is unfolding doubles. And so that, you know, from the standpoint of ordinary Palestinians, this is really antithetical to any notion that a two state settlement is on the horizon. And because, you know, the way in which the Palestinians react against this creeping annexation often takes violent forms, the Israelis respond in, you know, with their own forms of violence and the, you know, you get this kind of vicious cycle where each side becomes more and more entrenched in its rejection of the other.
58:28
Yeah. I mean, I think it would be the point that I made most recently, just about the need to show some greater firmness and to really attend to the details, particularly regarding what's happening on the West bank. I think, you know, one, when I said that George H. W. Bush eventually dropped the ball. He allowed the, you know, the next president, Yitzhak Rabin, to essentially use a form of words to get around the settlement issue. What Yitzhak Rabin said was, you're right, President Bush, there should be no more additional Jewish settlements in the West Bank. I will seize the building of new settlements. But what he then promptly did was start expanding existing settlements. And, you know, Bush accepted that distinction. But, you know, from the standpoint of the Palestinians, it really was not a difference at all. So I would say that you just, you need to pay really close attention to the details of what's taking place and, you know, to think about their impact on all of the parties to this dispute.
Episode 264: Free Trade and Peace
06:02
And so when this free trade movement that Richard Cobden in Britain spearheads, this middle class pressure group, the anti corn law league, it's beyond just lowering Britain's trade walls and allowing for cheap goods and cheap food to flow in. He actually sees this direct connection between those domestic reforms and reforming the international order. Something that if we, I guess in international relations scholarship, we would think we call capitalist peace theory or interdependence theory, the idea that the more countries trade with one another, the less likely they are to go to war. This is kind of when this is really starting to take root, at the left of center into the political spectrum in remarkable ways. And so yeah, go ahead.
06:51
Yeah. And it's striking to me in your book that, and it's in your subtitle, right? These are left wing visions. These are progressive, self defined progressives in many ways. The figures who you include go from Richard Cobden to Jane Addams, Norman Angle, so many of these people we associate with progressive anti war, anti imperial stands. Many listeners today, though, might think about free trade as benefiting large corporations and benefiting the rich, allowing the rich to get richer. We think about that with the movement of capital and investments and hedge funds and things like that today. Obviously, your progressive figures have a different vision of what free trade is about. How do they connect it, as you describe in the book, to domestic reform?
07:36
Yeah, great point. And I mean, yeah, this does, you know, challenge in a certain sense, associations that we commonly have now, the champions of the free market as right wing in their leanings. And, so yeah, this is about how those left of center, the anti imperialist, the peace activists, the abolitionists, the women's suffragists, so many of these things that we would think of left of center politically, even now, were coming together in really remarkable ways from the 1840s onwards. And one of the ways they were doing it is, you have to understand that kind of the way that the global order was still essentially being run, who were the people in charge? In the context of mid 19th century Britain, for example, this is an era in which the aristocratic elites still are running the show.
09:23
Gotcha. Zachary? And how did this movement for free trade, the successful movement for free trade, in England, how did it change politics? Did it make political institutions more egalitarian in the direction that these groups hoped?
09:39
Oh, that's an interesting one. Yeah. I, to an extent, yes. I mean, male franchise, certainly, you know, universal male franchise certainly was something that became more viable after this. It also was closely associated with what would become first wave feminism, this desire for women's suffrage.
09:59
There's actually some really interesting figures that are, what we might not consider first wave feminists who are working within this free trade movement in Britain, who are also connecting this with, expanding women's rights to vote and equality for women. You can even see this within the abolitionist movement, which in many ways is seen as sort of the flip side of the free trade coin at this time. Freeing men and freeing trade, seeing as kind of mutually reinforcing. So you have the Garrisonian Abolitionists, as they were called, the really radical wing of the abolitionist movement that William Lloyd Garrison of Boston was leading, that was trying to allow more women's voices into the abolitionist movement. And of course, he's also a free trader, during this time, becomes associated with this, what they call a Cognite moment
10:47
And so if you think about that in the short term, in the near term, you see the kind of greater enfranchisement, you do see something of a greater empowerment of the liberal party in these reforms that they're undertaking in Britain happening. And then if you take a longer view and thinking about how, you know, 50, 60 years later, this is going to culminate in women's suffrage as well. And in many ways, these two, as I try to show in the book, these two movements kind of work in tandem throughout most of these decades, that you can see that connection there, I think.
16:46
Correct. That's correct. And if, and yeah, and one of the things that I tease out here is how it needs these former Spanish colonies that become American colonies in the context of Puerto Rico, say, or the Philippines, or informally with Cuba. Yeah, you start to see this even from the anti colonial nationalists themselves. Who are demanding free trade with the United States, who are poverty stricken from years of internal conflict, fighting the Spanish and so forth, and who are suddenly unable to afford food, afford clothes because of these new protected tariffs that are placed upon them by the protectionist Republican empire builders back in Washington.
27:54
The Young Women's Christian Association is really big on this. But it brings in a broad umbrella of these free trade advocates to support the Roosevelt administration's free trade reforms. And so this is going to lead to, yes, these Bretton Wood, you know, structures, the IMF and so forth, but even more important here is the creation of the general agreement on tariffs and trade in 1947, which Hull is broadly considered to have created. And of course this will become the world trade organization in 1995. So at least the structures of what we associate with multilaterals and with free trade had come into being in the late 1940s and the left wing free traders, you know, I think to a certain extent, plausibly pat themselves on the back for helping to bring it about.
29:01
And to me, that's one of the more interesting parts of your overall very interesting book is when you get to neoliberalism and you get to the 1970s and 80s and Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, many would see them as free traders and maybe even as inheritors of Richard Cobden's ideas, you say, no. You draw a distinction between neoliberals and free trade peace activists. What is the distinction there?
35:47
And so what remains of the left wing free trade movement has been still fighting this fight. We still have a variety of left wing peace organizations that have been and remain very critical of, say, the U. S. Cuban embargo. We still have organizations like the Fair Trade Movement, which was created in Oxford in 1968 with the Hasselmeyer Declaration, but which was an alternative form of globalization and an alternative form of, ethical free trade as they put it and there's something I'm sure we're all listening here are familiar to a certain extent. But you know, we see the fair trade stamped on our bars of chocolate or our coffee bags, but it actually has a history, that I argue at least, that goes back to the 1840s. And it's also putting forward this idea that we can, you know, can pay a bit more if it means making sure that the things we're buying are not using exploited labor, that people are getting paid a fair wage.
37:12
But I think maybe one way to think about it, and one thing you can draw from this book as a way of going forward here is how the left wingers, the liberal radicals, the socialists, the women's suffragists, the Christian pacifists, they all, by the early 1900s, by around the time of the First World War, came together and were working together in ways that would probably surprise us, especially with our Cold War lenses on, the idea that Marxist internationalists were working alongside capitalists to try to create a more interdependent, peaceful order. That is still a possibility, and maybe that is the only way to revitalize this if you do see the world in a way that these left wing internationals see it. It's through a new coalition form of like minded, dare we say globalists who see the kind of, inward looking, turn towards autarky and trade wars that have become so commonplace now as something that they want to oppose. It was an interesting lesson to be drawn from this book where actually, in surprising ways, there was a really broad left wing coalition that was in many ways successful in working together to overturn the protectionist system.
43:32
And so, you know, the increase of prices that is becoming, it's hurting the poorest among us even more than anybody else. You know, I wonder if that prosperity argument that often comes with free trade, lower prices for goods, potentially something really important to a lot of the actors in my book, especially the women's suffragists ending world hunger by the equitable distribution of trade, of food through, through a free trade system, that also I think might resonate or perhaps might resonate with the even larger group.
Episode 273: Venezuela Elections with Professor Kurt Weyland
00:23
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. This week, we are continuing our discussion of democracies and elections around the world. This is, as we've said many times on the podcast, this is a year with more democracies voting, and more non democracies voting as well in elections around the world than at any point in human history before. And these elections and democracies and non democracies will really set the course for so many countries and probably for our globe moving forward for the next years and decades we are going to discuss today the recent elections in Venezuela and the controversies over those recent elections in Venezuela. On July 28 2024 the country of Venezuela held elections, and the incumbent president and dictator, Nicolás Maduro, claims he won the elections, but almost all observers, including the United States, are pretty clear on the evidence that Maduro lost these elections, what has happened in Venezuela and where do we go from here? We're going to understand the history surrounding these elections, what occurred in these elections, and we're going to think about based on knowledge of what's happened in other societies, particularly in the same region. We're going to discuss where we think these election results might go in the future of Venezuela. We are fortunate to be joined by my colleague and friend and someone who I think has done some of the most impressive work on authoritarianism and related regime change issues in Latin America. This is my colleague, Professor Kurt Wayland. Kurt Wayland is the Mike Hogg Professor in the Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. He's done amazing primary source research and direct interviews, the kind of work that historians love when you get dirty with the primary sources. He's done this research in so many countries in the region, probably as many as anyone else, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Peru and, of course, Venezuela. I probably left off some other countries, and I've of course forgotten to mention that he's also done research in the United States. Professor Wayland is the author of seven books. I'm going to just name a few of them, The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies, which was published in 2002, Making Waves: Democratic Contention in Europe and Latin America. 2014. Assault on Democracy: Communism, Fascism and Authoritarianism During the Interwar Years, published in 2021 and published just this year, a book I need to read because I haven't kept up with everything Kurt's written. It's impossible to keep up with it. Democracy's Resilience to Populism Threat, a book that's probably directly relevant to our discussion today. Professor Kurt Wayland, Kurt, thanks for joining us today.
03:53
Outside the voting booth in Caracas, they lined up at 6am counting the years of tyranny in stacks of bills and ribs exposed outside the voting booth in Caracas were guards armed with guns, frowning at the people and thinking also of their next meal. It is a truth seldom acknowledged that people don't just vote when they hate or when they love, that sometimes people vote because they are angry, that sometimes people vote because they are hungry. Outside the voting booth in Caracas, each of them recognized this fundamental truth, the voters lining up one by one, the guards holding their guns, and the mustachioed man staring down at them from the wall, who knew and still does, that his people are hungry for change.
04:57
My poem is about you. I think it's really about what motivates people to vote even when they know that the outcome of the election is not going to be respected. It's a sort of anger and hunger for something different that brings people to the polls. And there's something deeply inspiring in that, but there's also something very sad, I think, in the sort of desperation of people turning to the ballot box even though they know it's not going to be respected,
10:51
Kurt, that's a incredibly helpful overview, and I'm amazed at how much you were able to pack into that one answer that really helps us understand the rise of what was first a populist authoritarian regime and what now sounds like almost an Orwellian nightmare, is dictatorship which is obviously destroying the country, and it also helps to explain the incredibly large number of Venezuelan refugees coming to the United States, for example. Why did Maduro hold this election? It was clear he was going to lose. He did ban the Leader of the Opposition, Maria Corina Machado, but even with the stand-in opposition figure, Edmundo Gonzalez, it was quite clear from weeks ago, I think, right, that the opposition was going to get more votes. Why did he subject himself to this election?
11:45
So this is interesting about these authoritarian regimes. When you go back and you mentioned my inter-war book in the inter-war years, authoritarian rulers were happy to call themselves dictators, and they were proud that they are dictators. But after the Second World War, dictatorship hasn't been that cool anymore, and especially after the end of the Cold War, when the United States in the 1990s had tremendous global hegemony and pushed countries to become liberal and democratic. Nowadays, it's not cool anymore not to hold elections. So virtually every country in the world holds elections, and a lot of these elections are complete sham. The incumbent wins by 98% of the vote. But the old elections say, oh, you know, we have a democratic facade. And I think that is especially the case in cases where authoritarian regime emerges fairly gradually from a democracy. I mean, there wasn't a military coup, you know, right now I'm down in Chile, when in Chile there was a military coup. Dictator Pinochet closed elections. I just want to do as a military dictator. But if you are populist leader who transforms his country from a democracy into an authoritarian regime, you don't want to cancel elections and then suddenly become a dictator. You try, and if you're Chávez, you have a lot of popularity, you think you can win all these elections, and you maintain elections. It's not cool not to have elections, especially in the Western Hemisphere, under the nose of the United States, in a region that in 2001 adopted a Democratic Charter that the region committed to democracy. And so you claim against all evidence that this is democratic, and this is democratic, and you all the elections, and then you try to manipulate the stage. You mentioned the banning of the main opposition candidate. You try to manipulate things in all kinds of ways so that somehow or other, you think he might be able to eke out victory. I don't know what Maduro thought, whether he thought somehow his manipulations would allow him to achieve some kind of shame victory, or whether he just thought, it doesn't matter, but not holding elections, it's just not legit anymore.
14:21
It's very hard to know. We don't have access to the inner, innner workings of the Maduro regime. We don't know some of these, some of these dictators are really quite united and believe their own propaganda. I mean, what is interesting and what I honestly do not understand, while Maduro outlawed the main opposition candidate and created all kinds of trouble for the opposition, and imprisoned opposition leaders, left and right and all the kind of thing. He allowed opinion polls to go forward, and every single credible opinion poll showed like the vote preference of 70% For the opposition and 25% for Maduro. So if so, I would find it kind of surprising if Maduro didn't know what the population was like. Maybe they thought that by for example, there are rumors that do it on election day, they created trouble for people to vote, especially opposition neighborhoods, you know, long lines and very slow movement, and whereas in their own neighborhoods, you know, so they maybe they thought, in just manipulating the voting process or that they could somehow others manipulate ballot boxes, that they would come up with the result. It's hard to know what exactly is going on, but, but what I frankly, wonder is whether Maduro just thought the result doesn't matter. I mean, he said before the election, the famous quote, I'll win by hook or crook. It doesn't matter. You know, this way or other. And so these dictators, you know, he knew that he had a lot of support from the military, which is absolutely decisive, for reasons that I can explain. And so in some sense, it doesn't matter to him what the election result is. He just sits there, protected by the military, knows he will stay in power. The domestic opposition can shout and yell. The international community can make pressure. He has enough support from China, Russia, Iran, and he'll just sit there. He sits on oil, so he has some economic lifeline and election result in some basic sense, doesn't matter that much to him.
16:45
So this is interesting, in any authoritarian regime, ultimately, it comes down to who controls organized coercion. Because if you're under an authoritarian regime, you don't have procedural, institutional legitimacy, and so you need, ultimately, the capacity to rely on coercion if there's problem, if there is protests, you need to have the capacity to clamp down. Now, front line of that is the police and these paramilitaries that they have in these paramilitary gangs that they have in Venezuela. But ultimately, when push comes to shove, it depends on the military. The military is the mainstay of every single authoritarian regime, the Ultima ratio. So and Maduro has that military support for the same reason that Maduro feels compelled to stay in power, which is the following. During his 11 years as a dictator, Maduro has committed a bunch of human rights violations. He has ensured military loyalty by allowing the military to engage in large scale corruption, contraband. The military and Maduro are involved in international drug trafficking. Two of Maduro's nephews were apprehended in 2015 for involvement in drug trafficking. So the whole clique in power, Maduro, his political support, his narrow aids and the military, which is the mainstay, they're all essentially a crime cartel mafia and so the problem is the international community has become legalized. The international community says we don't accept corruption. We don't accept human rights violations anymore. And so the international community has threatened to indict Maduro and a whole bunch of his underlings for their human rights violations, for their corruption, for their involvement in drug trafficking, not only the US, but also the International Criminal Court. And so that whole mafia in power essentially feels compelled to stay in power, because if they were to lose power, they go to jail, to jail. And you see the international presidents. When the president of Honduras, Juan Orlando Hernandez, stepped down in 2022 within three weeks, he was in chains and extradited to the United States. And so that's what Maduro and all the main generals fear. If they lose power, they're going to go to jail forever, and so that's the reason why they cling to power, regardless of what happens. And by Maduro can be assured of military support. They all, you know this saying they all have to hang together so that they don't hang separately.
23:42
So to talk about the support inside Venezuela, I mean, Hugo Chávez was hugely, hugely popular for all his failings. Hugo Chávez took on an ossified elitist democracy and claimed to do things for poorer people. And given that, Hugo Chávez benefited from the global commodities boom, he rolled over one a bunch of social programs, you know, he tried to advance popular health care, literacy campaigns, all these kinds of things. So some people benefited from Chávez, and Chávez was highly revered, and some of that still persists. But I think the main support for my guru is essentially people who are utterly dependent upon him. Every person who works in the vastly swelled public administration has to promise support to Maduro, otherwise they lose their job. And what Maduro has done, he has devilishly taken advantage of the terrible crisis that he helped to create by using a program of distribution of food packages to the poor who have nothing to eat, and controls that through a surveillance system to essentially say you only eat if you support me. And so when you see now people protesting in favor of Maduro, a lot of those are essentially bought lackeys. And so that is also, you know, there is the regime holds a whole bunch of people hostage, because if you don't vote, and people probably fear if they vote, they have to vote for Maduro, you don't vote, you don't eat. So that's the domestic support. So So is that voluntary? Autonomous? Probably not. I think a lot of that is coerced and dependent internationally. Unfortunately, as I said, I'm down in Chile and I was recently in Brazil, a number of left wingers still have this sort of strange ideological affinity. So the Chilean Communist Party has recognized the Venezuelan election, and Maduro has reelected the Brazilian Workers Party, the Workers Party of President Lula in Brazil, which rose under an authoritarian regime and was very important for Brazil's democratization, the Workers Party of Brazil has recognized Maduro's victory to be out of that kind of misunderstood ideological affinity. So there's this left-wing thing like, Oh yeah, you know, he's kind of bad, but he still is a left winger, and we need to support him, and also driven a little by anti-Americanism. So So you have this strange kind of sort of support for a left winger that leaves democracy out of the picture. And that is really very disturbing.
27:08
I unfortunately do not see a breaking point, and I do not see a realistic chance for Maduro leaving office anytime soon. I think the opposition is enormously courageous. I admire the courage of people to not only to go out and campaign and to be opposition candidates, but even to vote for the opposition. I admire their courage in protesting, but I do not think that they have the cloud by far domestically to really do something. And the international community, the international community, of course, is divided, as I mentioned. Maduro, has support from the kind of bad axis of China and Russia and Iran and whatever Western countries, many countries have not recognized the result of the election, and they're pushing for Venezuela to make transparent the voting process and to negotiate and all this kind of thing. And Maduro just doesn't do it, you know. So here, in some sense, surprisingly, a group of left-wing governments in Latin America, led by Luna da Silva, who, as president, although his party recognized the election as President, hasn't done it. Gustavo Pedro of Mexico and of Colombia, sorry, and then AMLO of Mexico, they have all pushed Venezuela to make the Election Results transparent, and Maduro says, yeah, and maybe not, and maybe whatever, and just doesn't do it. And so I think the international community essentially has no leverage. What leverage do you have? I mean, the country, the country's economy, is going terribly, but oil gives it a little bit of a lifeline, and Maduro doesn't care. I mean, what does Maduro care? Sitting in his palace surrounded by military people who are compelled to support him, if 80% of the population starve, I mean, it just doesn't and what can the international community do? The United States has imposed sanctions. Doesn't do any good, because countries like China, Russia, Iran, enable Maduro to evade sanctions to a good extent. The Latin American governments, you know, they make like diplomatic moves, but they're not going to. I mean, what would it take? I mean, honestly, it would take a military invasion of Venezuela. And nobody is prepared to do that well.
38:10
I agree, and and I think Kurt has quite brilliantly laid out for us in his work and in the discussion here an important research agenda, a research agenda not just for scholars like Kurt and myself, but for for all kinds of citizens, which is thinking through what are the options, what are the things the international community can and cannot do. And I would just highlight a point that Kurt made, which is that, in some ways, the efforts to hold appropriately leaders accountable for their crimes, and in theory, I'm certainly for that, but that effort often makes it harder to get them to leave power. And if our goal as supporters of democracy in a broad sense is about getting dictators out and nondictators in and building institutions, it's probably time we think through a little more, in a more sophisticated way how to do that. It it it seems as if the dictators are ahead of us in our thinking about international democracy and international democratic procedures. Is that a fair note to close on, Kurt? Do you agree with that?
Episode 279: Hubert Humphrey & Civil Rights
00:00
This is democracy, a podcast about the people of the United States. A podcast about citizenship. About engaging with politics and the world around you. A podcast about educating yourself on today's important issues and how to have a voice in what happens next.
00:24
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week, we are going to talk about a figure who played a major role in American history and the history of civil rights writ large, but a figure who's somewhat forgotten in many of our contemporary discussions. This is Hubert Humphrey, who was the mayor of Minneapolis and one of the most prominent members of the U.S. Senate for the second half of the 20th century. He was vice president and in 1968, a presidential candidate. We are fortunate today to be joined by a leading author and journalist and friend who has written a phenomenal book. It's a book that in some ways is a love letter to Hubert Humphrey and a wonderful explication of his life and a wonderful analysis of civil rights, of African American and Jewish relations in the United States. The author and friend and guest today is Samuel G. Friedman and his book that I highly recommend to all of our listeners, a book I will probably assign to my students in the spring, Into the Bright Sunshine, Young Hubert Humphrey and the Fight for Civil Rights. Sam is the author of many other books, including Upon This Rock, The Miracles of a Black Church, Jew versus Jew, The Struggle for the Soul of American Jewry. I believe his most recent book before this one, Breaking the Line, The Season in Black College Football that Transformed the Game and Changed the Course of Civil Rights. We'll see if UT can change the game this year, being number one in the country. Sam is a former columnist for the New York Times and he's a current professor of journalism at Columbia University. So, Professor Friedman, thank you for joining us.
04:31
I think one simple reason is that we're very focused on who becomes president, and Hubert Humphrey was never able to fulfill his dream of being elected president. He loses to Richard Nixon very narrowly in 1968. He runs a kind of a pathetic campaign as the establishment candidate against George McGovern, the peace candidate for the Democratic nomination in 1972. And by 76, Humphrey is so ill with the cancer that'll kill him that he decides not to make one more try. And so he's not on that list of presidents. And I think even to the people who remember him, he suffers in the historical collective consciousness because the recollections of him are about the reviled latter part of his public life, when he's Lyndon Johnson's vice president, and they both support the escalation in Vietnam. When he gets the Democratic nomination in 1968, without having competed in any primaries, the party establishment hands it to him, and he receives it literally simultaneous to the Chicago police force attack on unarmed journalists and anti-war demonstrators. And the aforementioned runs the establishment old guard candidate in 1972. And when people remember that part of Humphrey, none of that’s incorrect, and the critical analysis is right. And Humphrey himself said that supporting the Vietnam War was the biggest mistake of his life. But all this completely effaces this valiant part, earlier part of his political career, starting as mayor of Minneapolis, going through the Senate, and really his first one or two years as LBJ's vice president, when he was essential to the passage of these key, and in fact, landmark civil rights laws in 64 through 66.
06:30
Right. I mean, he's central to the story of civil rights in post-war America, though largely forgotten. Your book focuses almost exclusively on that, taking us really from Humphrey's birth in the early 20th century through 1948, through the Democratic Convention in 1948, which is really your crescendo, Humphrey's speech at the convention calling for civil rights. How does a young man like Humphrey, who's born in South Dakota, come to be a proponent of civil rights from a rural South Dakota background?
07:21
That's a really important question because Humphrey grew up in Dolan, South Dakota, population 500, very homogeneous, Protestant, Northern European, Scandinavian, German, very conservative Republican, very conservative theologically. And he has the advantage of a father who's an iconoclast. His father's also a little bit of a con artist in running his drug store, but that's another story. But HH, as the father was called, was a liberal Democrat in a town with hardly any. He was a self-proclaimed freethinker agnostic in a town where everybody went to church. And he brought up Humphrey imbuing those kids with stories of Woodrow Wilson's internationalism and the better parts of William Jennings Bryan's prairie populism. HH was also brave enough to be a supporter of Al Smith, the first Catholic nominated by a major party for the presidency. And so Humphrey saw an example of political independent thinking in his father. And his father even would talk about meeting people across the bounds of difference, whether it was economic class or race or religion. And he would always tell young Hubert, 'if you treat people like dogs, you shouldn't be surprised if you get bitten.' There's one amazing moment I write about in the book, almost mythological to me, when Humphrey is 11 years old and he meets black people for the first time, because there are no black people within the book. He goes out to introduce himself to the road workers. And they're only in town for a couple of weeks, but Humphrey always remembers this. Humphrey connected through his Methodist minister of his childhood to what was called the social gospel movement, which is a form of Protestant belief that, by the way, they're as fundamentalist as other Protestants.A lot of the social gospel Protestants believed that the Bible was the inerrant, Word of God, they believed in temperance, they believed in personal purity, but the big difference is, for them, the consummate act of a believing good Protestant was to create what they called the kingdom of God on earth, and making the kingdom of God on earth meant for them working with organized labor, crossing religious lines, crossing racial lines. Humphrey drew on that wellspring of social gospel theology throughout his entire life. So that’s another piece. And then the really formative, other two formative moments are, number one, The Dakotas fall into an economic depression almost a decade before the rest of the country. It hits them in the early 1920s when crop prices plummet and Humphrey’s family loses their home. Their store goes deeply into debt. And at that point, before there’s a new deal, Hubert Humphrey becomes a new dealer because that’s where he realizes that what he’s heard in church, which is that financial hardship is the result of bad morals or foolish decisions or falling for get rich quick schemes, he realizes, no, that when the banks are closing in their little town, they’re And people are losing their homes, and farmers are not even sending their crops to market because they’ll make less money than it costs to plant them. You need government to step in. So by the time FDR becomes president in 1932, Hubert Humphrey, then 21, is already prepared to be a new dealer. The final piece. In 1939, [he] goes to graduate school... and that place happens to be Louisiana State University. And going there means that he lives in a Jim Crow society for the first time. And because of these elements of his pre-existing personality... seeing Jim Crow in action just profoundly offends something in him. And it also very interestingly prepares him after grad school to go back to Minneapolis... which is actually at this time a flagrantly racist and anti-Semitic city. And suddenly he is able to see what's been hiding in plain sight all along during his college years, which is that this city, you could say up south, has plenty of racial problems of its own that need solving.
13:14
One of the strengths of your book, Sam, for me as a reader, were your vivid descriptions of what it was like for Hubert Humphrey to travel by bus to LSU for the first time, to cross the Mason-Dixon line, and then, as you say, to go home, to go back to Minneapolis.
13:39
Exactly. Because in the South, not only does he live in Jim Crow and sees it really intimately... What he remembers indelibly are these moments of personal degradation of individual Black men and women. That's what really haunts him. The other thing that's much less expected in Baton Rouge is that that's where he makes Jewish friends for the first time, and also falls under the influence of this amazing Professor Rudolf Eberle, who's an exiled anti-Nazi... whose whole project as a scholar was to explore, how is it that democratic societies become totalitarian? And Humphrey is very, very affected by Eberle's instruction... And all that means that when he goes back North, instead of doing what you might expect a Northern New Dealer to do, which is to say, phew, I'm so glad I'm out of the benighted South and back in the enlightened North again, Humphrey feels none of that moral superiority. He suddenly sees all the warts in Minneapolis.
15:31
The truth is that I didn't go searching for a book about Hubert Humphrey. A part of my brain for the last 25 years was looking for a book about America immediately after World War II, deciding what kind of country it wanted to be. Because having spent all this blood and treasure to defeat fascism, America had a huge unfinished agenda with the discrimination on its home front... And I very quickly realized a couple of things that the book could do. Number one, it could fill this biographical gap about Humphrey because if people knew about him, as I said earlier, it was only the later part. And number two, it could fill a historical gap in the civil rights movement historiography... because we Americans tend to situate the start of that mass movement in the mid-50s... But there was this incredible decade of civil rights activism in the 40s led by people who don’t get nearly their due these days, like A. Philip Randolph and Walter White... and really catalyzed by the sacrifice of the Black GIs who went off to war and had this phrase they called Double V, victory over fascism abroad and then victory over Jim Crow at home.
17:32
Another contribution that I think reflects you as a lifetime scholar is how much of it is about the Jewish American experience as well... Tell us about the connections in your mind between civil rights, African American communities, Jewish American communities.
18:11
I trace the origin story of the Black Jewish Alliance to the rise of Hitler in Germany and to the parallels that Black Americans and Jewish Americans saw between the persecution of Jews in Germany and the persecution of Blacks in the United States. There was a real awareness, a mutual awareness of this as being one battle... And in Minneapolis, a city that had a horrible track record of both anti-Semitism and racism, and very small, very numerically vulnerable Black and Jewish communities that collectively made up about 5% of the population... it became very natural that they should become political allies... some of this is enlightened self-interest. Blacks and Jews realize they need each other, they can help each other. But some of it, I think, bonds at a deeper level than just expediency.
21:52
One way I hope it will change us is to realize that the civil rights activity of the 40s... culminates with Humphrey and A. Philip Randolph, kind of Mr. Inside and Mr. Outside, successfully pressuring the Democratic Party to explicitly endorse civil rights... which leads to the exile of the Southern segregationists, the so-called Dixiecrats... [and] Harry Truman desegregating the military... and then winning election in 1948 because of a surge in the Black vote... That’s an answer to that, up until that point, unresolved question of are we going to revert back and be complacent or are we going to realize that we can't have practices in this country that we just went to global war against in other countries. There’s also something heartbreaking and poignant about the fact that with the rise of the Cold War, this moment is going to end very, very quickly.
24:27
That context is really helpful... Truman does, as you say, in 1948, embrace a civil rights plank, the minority report in the Democratic Party, and he runs on that. He desegregates the armed forces. He’s also the president who recognizes the state of Israel.
25:18
Right. How does this happen? Well, Truman blows hot and cold... On civil rights, Johnson reminds me a lot more of Truman. They’re both from border states... they both had some kind of deep reservoir of personal decency that was offended... With Truman... what gets to his heart is a series of attacks on returning Black GIs... incidents of Black GIs in the uniform of their country being beaten, being killed, being denied service... and Truman cannot bear the idea of people who serve the country being assaulted this way. And that moves Truman immediately into way ahead of his past... civil rights proposals. Then it gets close to the 48th Convention, and it’s as if he forgets he ever said those things. And what he wants to revert to is what was also the worst element of FDR... who made this almost literal devil’s bargain with the South that basically said, I’ll give you Jim Crow, and you'll give me your votes and your support in Congress. And Truman, heading into the 48 election, is ready to go right back to that. And what Hubert Humphrey and A. Philip Randolph and others did was basically force Truman to own what had been his own civil rights program to begin with.
28:39
It's interesting how important these personal experiences are... It’s also interesting, Sam, how politics pushes against that at times. What you’re describing in the 1948 Democratic Convention is pretty similar to the 1964 Convention, where Johnson refuses to seat the Mississippi Free Democrats. How does Humphrey push through?
29:19
In 1948, Humphrey benefited from the interplay between insurgents within the party, literally inside the convention hall, and A. Philip Randolph outside. Randolph understood that desegregating the military was the lynchpin to civil rights... Humphrey had to convince a bunch of white Protestant delegates to give up some of their white Protestant privilege. And one of the ways he was able to do that is marshalling all the young liberal insurgents like himself and people like Paul Douglas from Illinois, Walter Ruther from the United Auto Workers, Eleanor Roosevelt... but there were also a group of not so liberal big city political bosses who knew how to count votes... these big city bosses had seen thousands upon thousands of blacks from the South come North in what we now call the Great Migration. And they knew if they didn’t embrace civil rights, they were going to lose their cities and lose the election.
33:16
Not because you’ve gained no ground, but to try to hold the ground you’ve already won and push forward a little bit. And that’s an important takeaway. And I think also Humphrey’s model of being, in a term that he borrowed from Al Smith, one of my other political heroes, a happy warrior, is an important model. Humphrey was ebullient. He was energetic. He frankly could be corny at times in that Midwestern small town way. And that’s the happy part. But the warrior part is that he knew that he was going to need with joy on his face and optimism in his heart to go back into these battles, and he knew that I think that the joy and the optimism would be assets in winning those battles.
34:57
How do we maintain optimism without becoming Pollyannish? What, what, what is the appropriate level of optimism? I’m often criticized for being too optimistic by my son, by Zachary, and by others. How do we find that right balance? Because empty hopefulness can become hopeless as well, right?
35:15
Right. You can't be Pollyanna. You can't be Panglossian about this. You have to know. That joy is accompanied by struggle, but that is part of the energy you have to struggle forward. A lot of people talked about Hubert Humphrey’s phrase, the politics of joy, at the time of the Democratic Convention. And it was both ironic, and fitting that that was brought up. Ironic, because when Humphrey used that phrase, it was right when he announced his candidacy in 1968, in the wake of the assassination of Martin Luther King, in the midst of the horrible Vietnam War, and it sounded totally tone deaf. It was one of the times when Humphrey badly misread the mood of the country. And yet his idea that politics should have a joyful element is maybe now being redeemed because coming out of a period of time that has felt so bleak for a lot of us, so at times such despair and real dangers to democracy, that the idea that there could be something positive and exalting about the work of protecting democracy is really appealing to people. And this goes to other examples we’ve seen of leadership of whether it was, um, Fiorello LaGuardia as mayor of New York during the depression, reading the funnies over the radio mic, or whether it was FDR’s great orations about nothing to fear but fear itself. These were people speaking into bleak times, but also saying that there was reason to see something positive on the horizon.
37:28
Certainly, I think the point of the poem was not that we’ve never had political heroes or that we’ve never had, um, a politics of joy that’s successful. The point was that, um, all of those political heroes and all of the politics of joy, um, required hard work and met with stiff opposition. I think the point of the poem was that, like, politics is always messy and always difficult. Um, it’s more about how we approached it.
38:03
I completely agree with you, Zachary, and we really have to resist this idea of romanticizing some imagined political past. If you’re talking about polarization, for instance, what about a period where there when one huge faction of the Democratic Party supported white supremacy and racial inequality as a matter of policy, not this is what they thought privately or the way they acted in individual encounters with black Americans. This is what they wanted policy to be. How could that coexist with the rest of, uh, of a New Deal coalition? They were, the Dixiecrats were so serious about that, that they broke from the Democratic Party. And another example, if we think back to the 2020 attempted coup, and what was the goal of getting Mike Pence to refuse to accept the results, the goal, which fortunately he did not do, the goal would have been to throw the election into the House of Representatives. We’ve seen that play before. We’ve seen that movie before. In 1948, that was the intent of the Dixiecrats. They felt if they could win several states in the South, then neither Harry Truman nor nor Thomas Dewey would get 270 votes for an electoral college majority. The choice then goes to the House of Representatives, and each state’s delegation gets one vote. And the Southern segregationists dominated the delegations of about a dozen states, and it was going to let them be the kingmakers. They were going to make more money. Harry Truman and Tom Dewey come to them on bent knee and promise to preserve Jim Crow in order to get the southern states votes. So, there was nothing so wonderful and sentimental and all Norman Rockwell-y about politics at that time.
39:54
Not at all. Not at all. And certainly someone who’s my hero, Franklin Roosevelt, as you alluded to before, refused to sign anti lynching legislation. So the compromises, the dirty compromises of politics have a long history, unfortunately. Sam, I wanted to close us out by asking you one final question. Um, and I think it speaks to our moment and it speaks to your scholarship and it’s something that I struggle with, I know Zachary struggles with, I know many of our listeners struggle with. Um, you’re someone who’s deeply concerned and committed to combating anti Semitism. It’s in your scholarship. It’s in your journalism. It’s how I first encountered your work, actually. Oh, thank you. Uh, and you’re someone obviously deeply committed to civil rights, telling the story of civil rights. How do you think about these issues today with this historical vision with, um, uh, the challenges we face. Um, what is it? How do you as someone concerned about anti Semitism and racism approach our current world?
40:55
Well, first of all, I’m almost 69, and so I’ve been through many periods before when there’s been a discourse out there saying that the Black Jewish Alliance is all over and that Jews on the whole are going to be turning much more conservative. And, this was trotted out during the first attempt to go after Affirmative Action with the Mario De Funes and, uh, and Alan Bakke court cases. And it came up again when Ronald Reagan was running against, um, Jimmy Carter, and the argument was Jimmy Carter had been too pro Palestinian. And it’s happened again now. But at the end of the day, in almost every presidential election, of, you know, going back into the 70s, except for the Carter Reagan one, what, the Jewish vote for the Democratic Party has been the most emphatically solid vote of white Americans. It's the closest to the way black Americans vote for the party. At the end of the day, they’re voting similarly, Black Americans and Jewish Americans. On the other hand, there are real tensions and the war in Gaza is exercising them, and especially having spent a lot of time around Black Church for one book and World VHBCUs for others. It's not a surprise to me at all that many, many Black Americans look at the West Bank and Gaza and see the Jim Crow South, and they’re not, you know, and they’re not against the existence of Israel. And they’re, as I said before, steeped in the Hebrew Bible. But there is a deep empathy for the Palestinian experience that, that they feel. And I, just at a personal level, just yearn for some resolution to the war because I have despaired just individually about the strains the war has put on not only the Black Jewish alliance, but on what I felt was a really important Black and Muslim American alliance in domestic politics. And all of these groups would be losers if they didn't. Those alliances get blasted apart.
43:32
Well, Jeremi and Zachary, thank you. It’s been such an honor to be with you and such a pleasure to talk about these issues that I care so much about.
43:39
I want to encourage all of our listeners to get a copy or two copies of Sam’s book, uh, into the bright sunshine young. Hubert Humphrey and the fight for civil rights. Zachary, thank you for your poem and your insights today. Thank you. And thank you most of all to our loyal listeners and our loyal subscribers to our substack for joining us for this week of This Is Democracy. This podcast is produced by the Liberal Arts ITS Development Studio and the College of Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. The music in this episode was written and recorded by Harris Codini. Stay tuned for a new episode every week. You can find This Is Democracy on Apple Podcasts. Spotify and Stitcher. See you next time.
Episode 283: Barbara Jordan
04:07
Well, that's a good question. So I had just been finishing my first book, and I'm glad I wrote, even though the the topics are quite different in a way, where they come together is that I'm a historian of the African American, Black experience, and so in my first book, I really try and elevate the voices and experience of people who were incarcerated. And that was, you know, rather than just looking at the system from the top down, which, of course, you have to understand, but to do everything I could to try and recover those voices, the letters, the pardon papers, anything that could really shed light on how the men and women themselves who were incarcerated were experiencing forced labor, and their resiliency, and how they tried to overcome and surpass such a living in such a terrible system.
06:27
I think you do an extraordinary job with that. I learned so much about Houston and so much about what it was like to be a lawyer, as Barbara Jordan was from 1959 until the mid 1960s and then what it was like to run races in Houston and to lose races, as she did her first few times through. There's so many things in which she was the first, (correct) just as Zachary indicated in his poem, she was one of only three Black women, you say, who became a lawyer in Texas in 1959, one of only three Black women. Then she was the first African American woman in the Texas Senate, in the state legislature, and then the first African American woman from the South in the US Congress. And that's when she was elected in 1972 when I was born. It's not that long ago. (No, no, it isn't. It is not.) What What made this moment that she was in such a moment of change?
07:23
That's a great question. Well, I think it was a sort of a long time coming, and that's why half of the book is really about Houston and getting to that point of being elected to the Texas Legislature. You know, I really think it's important, as you say, Jeremi, to sort of go back and think about where we were in 1960 when it comes to electoral politics. There were no African Americans in the South who were serving in any state legislature, none. So we're really starting from zero, you know, at that point, and also the Democratic Party in the South was still largely a party run by conservatives. It's a party that does not welcome Black participation.
08:03
And Houston, however, is a bit of an outlier. This is why I think she was uniquely poised to make this stand and to succeed. It's because Houston had been a hotbed of activism for Black voting, and this goes back to the 1940s and I described this movement that was led by her Minister, the Reverend Albert Lucas, who worked with Thurgood Marshall. Reverend Lucas was head of the statewide NAACP, and he and Marshall, together really forged not just a court case, but a social movement behind what the case that became, Smith V. Allwright, and so Lucas was one of the first civil rights leaders who used the church to educate ordinary Black people about political issues and to use the pulpit as a means of political education and political mobilization.
08:55
And we're going to see this later, of course, in the what we think of as Civil Rights Movement. But he was doing this in the 1940s and it had an impact. And so after this case, which got rid of one of the most egregious forms of disfranchisement, the White primary, Black citizens in Houston were then able to participate in those primary elections from the mid 40s through, you know, the 50s and the 60s, and they very gradually, are having an impact on that party politics. And they join in with, eventually in the Kennedy campaign, which extraordinary. Kennedy won Texas in 1960 so (just barely) yes, just barely.
09:40
But voter registration among, and Barbara Jordan was a big part of that, in as a young lawyer coming back to Houston and being part of a voter registration campaign. So she's very proud of her role in that, and then continues to work with this alliance of liberals, late White liberals and labor leaders they call themselves the Democratic coalition in Houston. It's the Harris County Democrats, and they are the liberals who are opposed to the conservative control of the Democratic Party.
10:08
So as you can see, it's a kind of constellation of forces. She's an extraordinary individual. But there's a movement among, now, you have Black voters joining forces with liberals and labor to try and create a coalition to elect more liberal Democrats. It's a one party state, after all, (right, right) into office. So when Jordan is running now, okay, the obstacle of the White primary has been removed. But the there are other obstacles to voting. There are other forms of disfranchisement that still exist: the poll tax, for example. But the most terrible one for her, from her perspective, was malapportionment. This is before the Voting Rights Act, and so you have a terribly malapportioned Texas State Legislature. And in her case, the Senate was an institution where all of Houston with a million people had one senator, and then you had rural districts with only a few 1000 people, had a senator too.
11:12
And so because of a series of court cases, beginning with Baker V. Carr, liberals and other activists brought lawsuits that challenge the malapportionment and forced a redistricting of the Texas Senate, and eventually the House, but that comes later. So when Jordan is running in '62 she loses. She loses again in '64. And really this is a result of not just so much losing votes, but also a reluctance of people, of Whites, to vote for a Black woman candidate, and then not having an appropriate district to run in. When she gets that district in 1966, finally Houston has four senators now. So this is new. And the way the lines are drawn, the way it was explained to me, it was, it was not drawn with her in mind. That suit was brought to bring greater power to labor and to urban populations, but the way the district was drawn, it was just simply that it was slightly a Black majority, just not quite even, I would say, a Black majority, but it was favorable to her.
12:19
She still had run in a primary race against a White liberal male who actually, you know, said some very terrible things about her, and it was a real struggle for her to win that race against somebody who should have been in her corner. So there's many layers of disfranchisement here (yes) and racism, as Zachary pointed out, that she faced when she triumphed in '66 and the biggest thing was at the end was, will you accept a Black woman as your leader? Will you accept a Black woman as a political leader and candidate? And she really had to push that issue. No one handed that to her. She had to struggle for everything.
14:59
She brings out her guitar quite often, and she uses this as a kind of armor and and icebreaker, because people all know, you know, there's a Texas culture of songs, and this is one way she kind of establishes relationships with people. Jordan is a person who wants to establish relationships, and with friends and foes. She understands that to be effective, she has to learn the rules of the Senate and build relationships with people in the Senate, and so I think it's a, it's an important learning experience for her. She's trying to forge her own way. She understands that she wants to gain the respect of these men, both because she feels that is the way forward to efficacy.
15:42
At the same time, there's a lot of pressure on the outside from other liberals who say, if you adopt this approach, that means you are selling out. That means you're not enough of a liberal. And I think you know, she doesn't see that as an especially productive way to be. So she does forge her own way, which is about building relationships. But I don't think, from looking at all the evidence, that she ever sacrificed an issue, that she ever caved in on an issue, I think she's feeling her way and trying to figure out the best way that she can be effective, and I think she is effective to a certain extent.
17:05
It's interesting because one of the points you make so well in the book, and you make it repeatedly, is that there's a civil rights agenda that involves working in and through the system. That those who are marching in the streets, who Barbara Jordan certainly sympathizes with and sometimes joins, that's one approach, and a valuable and necessary approach. But your argument is that getting into the system and working through the system is absolutely crucial. Do you want to say more about that?
17:30
I do. I do. Thank you, Jeremi. Yeah, this is, and I don't think it's just her, like, this is when the movement is moving from the streets to the State House. This is Bayard Rustin's vision, right? From protest to politics. How can we be effective in making the ideals of the Civil Rights Movement real? And this was her quest, (yes) you know, this was really her goal, (yes) to do that. And no one knew how to do it, right? It hadn't been done before. (yes) And this is, you know, Rustin is good, like in theory, all of this coalition should work, but as we see over time, coalitions are complicated and messy, and everyone has their own agenda. How do you get people to work together who don't really have a long history and sometimes their goals clash, so people have to give and take, (right, right) and it's a hard thing. And, so, but this, I do think that she, and many others, Julian Bond, for example, we forget about him running and succeeding in the Georgia State Legislature in 1965. (right, right)
18:31
There's, this was part of thinking about the future. Where do we go from here? And you can't mandate interracial democracy. You know, the Voting Rights Act can make things, can correct, you know, the malapportionment, can correct the history of disfranchisement, but it can't mandate elections of Black politicians. That has to come from the ground up, and it really takes people with guts and ambition to do that.
18:55
So, well said, so well said. So, what makes Barbara Jordan famous is her election to Congress, of course, in 1972, the first Black woman elected to Congress from the entire South. And then, of course, during the Watergate Hearings, which you describe in here, are her extraordinary speech about the ideals of the Constitution and why presidents need to be held to the law, which is, you know, a little relevant for today, as well, explain that evolution in Barbara Jordan, to me, it's a fascinating part of this book.
26:08
Absolutely they are. And for her, especially, this is what she brings to the nation, you know, a way she's able to crystallize what does the Democratic Party stand for? (yes) Which she does in the '76 speech at Madison Square Garden. Why should Richard Nixon be impeached? She has a real gift for distilling complicated ideas into a nutshell (yes) and to make them accessible to a wide audience. And I think she that is from the Black church. You know, that is what a minister is supposed to do, a good one.
26:36
And also, you have to make sure that people are responding to you. You're very aware of your audience, and she is always very aware of her audience. Giving a speech is not the same as reading out a lecture. It's a relationship. And that is something that has to be, if you don't realize that from early on, it's not going to come natural to you. And this is why you know at that convention, you know, John Glenn, if you're just reading a speech, (yes) you're not thinking of the audience as something that you are building a relationship with over time. It's just not going to fall right. It's not going to feel the same. And she really has that sense of what public speaking is truly about. (Zachary?)
29:16
So, for example, with Robert Byrd, she Introduces him at a party convention, at a mini convention (powerful senator from West Virginia) correct, who is going to play a very important role in the Voting Rights Act extension, she develops a kind of not, it's not a quid pro quo. It's never that bald, you know, but it's an understanding (yes) that, hey, here's somebody who represents the growing Black vote. This is the other thing that Jordan is never just about herself. A lot of her power, the perception of her power, comes from what she represents, which is with the Voting Rights Act, more and more Black people are registering to vote, and they're participating in primaries. And this is a new thing that Democratic, White Democratic politicians have to now take account of and Jordan is somebody who can explain this to them. (yes, yes) So, in terms of how she's perceived, I think it's quite mixed, actually, on one hand, the public perceives her very positively. On the other hand, people within Houston are still, and Austin, are still quite perhaps puzzled about how she was able to go so far so fast, and they are suspicious of her relationship with the power structure.
31:21
And so she, she just said the Supreme Court has to protect individual rights, has to protect this right to privacy, has to protect Black voting rights. And so that, I think, is an important thing to remember and to understand. As much as we applaud her as a great individual, and even other Black politicians that we applaud as great individuals, to understand that they stood on the shoulders of those really important Supreme Court decisions and the movement to make those, that made those decisions part of our national fabric.
34:24
It is the lesson. And I would add one thing, again, that makes her extraordinary, is that not only could she mobilize Black voters and people who agreed with her, she was also really good at talking to people who had not experienced oppression (yes) and making them understand it. So she could speak to conservative White audiences, as she did time and time again in Texas, editors, White elites, and persuade them that it was in their interest to support change.
Episode 310: Have we Outgrown the Constitution?
06:25
Uh, Steve, one of the, one of the points you make, uh, from very beginning, uh, of the book is that the constitution, this is your chapter in particular, unbounded resilience, that the Constitution was built around, um, limiting, limiting, uh, those who participated in it. And through limiting the participants, it actually, uh, made it easier to form consensus. And at some level that. Putting together, uh, keeping a consensus together seems crucial for you. Why? Why is that? So, why, why, why wouldn’t the opposite argument, the one that I think I’ve often made be true, which is the way I think of Madison’s argument on pluralism, that being large and being unbound. It means that, as we did throughout the 19th century, you know, you can add two new territories, one for one side, one Democratic, one Democratic territory, one wig or Republican territory. Um, why isn’t that, why isn’t the unbounding, uh, actually an advantage?
5:01:00
Well, well,so, right, that’s the big question. I don’t have a prescription. Uh, but I do think that, um, what I try to suggest at the end of the book is that to create conditions, create conditions on which we might be able to even discuss. Uh, what an alternative governing framework might look like. And you know, those are long-term propositions. I’m not sure we have a lot of time, but those are long-term propositions. I would give them a shot. You know, I thi I, things like experiments with deliberative democracy. I think that those. Our deliberative forums or, you know, those kinds of things I think are, are, are constructive. You know, I’m in favor of, um, this, uh, revival of interest in civics and civic education, although, uh, I think also symptomatic of the time is that no one can really agree on what the curriculum is. Um, yeah, so I’m, uh, uh. What should we do? I think we should try to find some alternative means of communication and deliberation outside the constitutional structure that will allow us to think about what kind of government we want.
Episode 311: US-Latin American Relations
20:50
I think one of the lessons for everyday people is that their their voices matter during the Cuban Missile Crisis, a lot of people in the United States kind of followed their government leadership. There was a lot of this sense of, we need to stand united as a country. We need to support Kennedy's position, support the quarantine. There wasn't a lot of criticism in the media. There wasn't, you don't see the same kind of huge protests that I mentioned in Latin America. But I think in Latin America, it's a completely different story. And people did feel empowered, and they did feel like they were participating in the crisis. And so you see not only these big protests, but you see people debating in the media. You see people in the other wings of the government, in senates, kind of debating their country's positions, and I think that that really mattered. It didn't necessarily help decide the question of whether there would be missiles in Cuba or not, but it did help influence their own country's political future, and I think that is an important message that that we can participate, and we can take steps in our own lives to shape what's going on in our own countries, and then that that connects to the rest of the world. I think another important lesson is that we're not isolated, you know, even even places that are islands are connected very closely to the rest of the world and the rest of the region, and so we can use those connections to our advantage.
Episode 313: Civics and History Education
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. Today we are going to talk about civics and history, education, a topic near and dear to this podcast each week, and a topic near and dear to many people in our society today. What does it mean? To have a serious civics and historical education. Why is this important and, most interesting? Maybe why is this such a contentious issue in our society today? We are going to talk to, someone who I think has thought more about these issues than almost anyone else. I know he’s a leading scholar and pedagogical in innovator. this is Professor Steven Mintz, my colleague at the University of Texas at. Austin, Steve, welcome to our podcast.
03:37
I think my poem is about, how when we study history, we often. think of it as set in stone, as something momentous that happened, a long time ago, and that cannot be replicated. and we think of these moments like the constitutional, convention, as being rooted in, a sort of unique courage, a sort of superhuman courage that we can’t summon. and how. particularly in moments when the world seems to be spinning away from us, how hard it can be to feel like we actually have a voice or that we ha we have a sort of similar responsibility or similar role to play as the people that we study.
04:50
Dover Beach is nominally about the relationship between a man and his lover, but it is really about secularization. It’s about the transformations that are challenging 19th century beliefs. Beliefs in God, beliefs in social stability, modernization, industrialization, massive migration, mobility. All these were upending society. And where do we find meaning?
05:38
And I think we often don’t think about civics education as really an effort to confront the changes that we’re going through and try to make sense of them collectively.
06:14
The answer I think is quite simple. This society is engaged in a culture war, and classrooms have become proxy battlegrounds in that war. People aren’t just arguing about civics or about history. They’re really arguing about values, patriotism, and democracy itself. And what makes this particularly difficult is there’s two opposing visions. Of civics one, which I favor, is to, instill a deep understanding of foundational facts, content, to learn that American history has been a constant debate, struggle, conflict over fundamental values and purpose and direction. And then there is another form of civics education, which is much more applied, that looks at contemporary events. And these are so divisive. I think that’s not the way we should really go. I think, a backward glance will be more helpful in this fraught context. Then focusing on issues that often students don’t have any deep knowledge about. Anyway,
09:30
Steve, how do we determine what are the key texts and key topics that students should learn? This seems to be one of the points of debate even within the circle of those of us who believe in a backward looking, historical way of thinking about civics. What role should slavery play as often? a controversial issue. where should we bring in the role of. Certain figures who are maybe controversial, am Malcolm X, for example. So how do we think about that?
10:01
In my own research, I am what’s called a social historian. I am especially interested how ordinary people, diverse people, the inarticulate led their lives. But I also believe that when I teach the US History Survey course, or when I advocate for civics education, I’m talking about political history. And one thing that makes me a bit sad about our own department, UT Austin, one of the largest history departments in the United States. Is we don’t really teach enough political history because politics isn’t simply about checks and balances. It is ultimately where we as a democratic society debate the serious issues before us and reach collective conclusions and. A history department that doesn’t really focus on politics is missing a huge opportunity. And again, I wanna stress, I am a social historian. I’ve written about slavery, I’ve written about social movements for reform. I’ve written about private life. But if we don’t teach. The history of politics. We are not doing our students a service.
12:15
How do you think, this sort of vision of civics as political history, can be applied or implemented at a sort of secondary or primary school level? it seems like civics is, a subject that many Americans only, take once or, twice, and usually in middle school or elementary school or high school. So what does it mean to, and, what, and in your mind, what does the ideal sort of civics education at, that level look like?
12:44
American history, in my view, is an ongoing debate. The terms of that debate were set surprisingly early, right? They were set during the revolution and in its immediate aftermath, but those questions remain vibrant even today, who is an American? This question of citizenship. Citizens’ Rights. This was an issue in 17 87, 17 91, 18 65, and continues on to today. We need students to engage in those debates, but not as opinion, not as theorizing, but grounded in the actual debates that took place. And those debates do not just involve major political figures, cast in marble or bronze. They involve ordinary Americans who took part in those debates, who contested issues in the courts, who fought for their rights collectively. That’s the story I think about how America really works. Now we often focus on powerful individuals, and I’m not opposed to that, but in a democracy, most power is expressed Collectively, we are members of groups that advocate for our interests and that can teach our students an awful lot about how power works in a democracy.
15:20
Both sides believe rightly or wrongly, that the other side is acting in bad faith. When I read on Twitter from the Texas Public Policy Institute that the National Council of Social Sciences in the American Historical Association are fighting to advance a radical secular Marxist agenda. I wanna throw up my hands. As I’ve tried to explain to the State Board of Education, what concerns me is that students are coming into my class having never heard of the Enlightenment, the very philosophical foundation of this nation. How can that be? And part of the answer is that in our emphasis on mathematical literacy. And language arts. We’ve downplayed civics and social studies. We need to devote more time to this. I want students who are well prepared to take part in serious discussions, and I worry that’s not happening. But when I hear criticisms that. Seem to imply I have an ideological agenda or that the American Historical Association has an ideological agenda, my spine stiffens.
19:29
This should be a moment of one would think consensus when we could all agree that our students need post COVID. I. A stronger education. we can’t have a society where half of the students are below proficient in literacy or mathematics, and yet that’s not the society that we live in. And so it is up to each of us, I think, to be. Completely transparent about work, what our values and priorities are. My priority is educational. I want my students to get a good foundational understanding of history, geography, economics, and the other elements of the social sciences. I have no larger agenda than that. And I would hope that I could convince my adversaries. I am acting in good faith. I do not have a radical secular Marxist agenda. I want my students to be well prepared for my history class.
25:50
When I teach US history. Religion occupies a very large chunk of what I communicate. You can’t teach American history without incorporating religion, but that is not religion as dima, that is not religion as, one position among many. Instead, what we’re teaching about is the role of religious groups, of religious ideas in shaping this nation. we can debate on specific cases. who was right, who was wrong, what were the limits? What should be the limits? But religion needs to occupy a place in the curriculum. But that is an academic place, not a doctrinal place. one thing that makes the United States unique among advanced developed countries is we have a much higher level of religious belief. That is an element in American exceptionalism, but it’s also an academic question. Why is it that the United States is a much more religious churchgoing society than any of the countries in Western Europe? this is a subject that we can discuss academically and should, I do believe that earlier versions of US history that downplayed religion were mistakes. Religion is a key element in shaping this society’s values. It has been the driving force behind almost every reform movement in America, whether we’re talking about the civil rights movement or the labor movement, or the social gospel that inspired progressivism. Religion has a place in the curriculum, but it is not. We are not to teach religion as dogma or doctrine.
28:24
What about maybe the critics from the other side who might say that, civics education that focuses on politics or political actors or on the sort of key, political or military moments in American history? Misses a large chunk of the American population who, who aren’t included in many of those, traditional narratives of American politics. I guess this is the question of diversity. Where does diversity or diversity, equity and inclusion fit into this teaching of civics?
28:57
American debates were never exclusively among elite white males. One impact of the American Revolution. One impact that I’m afraid Ken Burns’ documentary does not discuss in sufficient depth is that the revolutionary period created a whole group of black intellectuals who were engaged in the debates of the time the American Revolution created. The first outspoken, what we would call feminist statements about the position of women in society. We shouldn't have a narrow conception of what debates count and what debates don't count. We should include all of the speakers who are part of these debates, which you'll discover. It's no challenge to include diversity in this kind of discussion. The diversities, they're the primary sources are there. it's only a matter of including them inside the courses that we teach.
30:28
Steven Mintz: Absolutely. One thing that I know that the American Historical Association would be happy to do that I believe our own department would be happy to do, is to create a packet of primary sources that would bring in a diversity of voices who were engaged in the fundamental civics debates in this society. It’s not a challenge. We do it all in our courses anyway.
31:03
These debates will show our students that we’re not the first generation to ever debate justice or equity or the limits of rights. These are ongoing conversations. And I think it would be really helpful to our students who are often blind to previous debates to understand that they’re coming in pretty late to the dinner party and that the dinner party’s already been going on, and you’re joining in a conversation that is more than two centuries old.
39:10
This is something that both you and I and many of our colleagues participate in through, groups like the Gilda Lehrman Institute, humanities, Texas, other humanities councils around the country where teachers and historians come together. To discuss exactly these issues. And, I think where we are most helpful as historians, as you said, Steve, is sharing anecdotes and sharing primary sources that can be used, in this context to close us out, at least for the, for this discussion today. Steve, what should non-teachers who care about and non-pro professors who care about these issues, what should they do? What should ordinary citizens be doing right now? if they care about history as we do, how can they get involved? How can they, help you in your efforts?
39:55
I think they need to make the following argument that the challenge today is not to teach the right story about America, which I don’t know what it is. It’s to teach students how to think historically and reason responsibly and learn how to live in a pluralistic democracy. We need great teachers who can do that. We need great curricula that seek to do that. We need forms of pedagogy that actually engage our students. So I think what the public needs to insist upon is not social studies as some kind of ideological endeavor, but rather education as it ought to be. Yes, education as inquiry, education as problem solving. Education is building on evidence and primary sources. That’s the education our students need.
Episode 314: Reflections on 2025, Lessons for 2026
01:31
So, uh, Zachary, you have, um, a snippet from the great George Orwell that you wanna read, and, uh, we are both big fans of Orwell’s work, as are I’m sure many of our listeners. Orwell was a fiction writer, an essayist, a journalist, uh, and, and left a legacy not only of insightful. Analysis about society, but also just good quality writing, writing that still speaks to us of the importance of words and how we use our words. So I’m gonna turn it over to you. Tell us maybe a little bit about the passage and uh, then you can go ahead and read it.
02:39
I think his voice is, uh, particularly relevant in this moment. Uh, especially his unwillingness to tolerate nonsense from anyone, uh, and his sort of unflagging commitment to humanity. In, in world events. Uh, and this is a section that I think speaks to that, that maybe I hope also offers us some words of consolation, uh, and maybe also put some fire, uh, behind this as well. This is, uh, of section again from Can socialists be happy? The inability of mankind to imagine happiness except in the form of relief, either from effort or pain, presents socialists with a serious problem. Dickens can describe a poverty stricken family tucking into a roast goose and can make them appear happy. On the other hand, the inhabitants of perfect universes seem to have no spontaneous gaity and are usually somewhat repulsive into the bargain. But clearly we are not aiming at the kind of world Dickens described, nor probably at any world he was capable of imagining. The socialist objective is not a society where everything comes right in the end because kind old gentlemen give away turkeys. What are we aiming at, if not a society in which charity would be unnecessary? We want a world where Scrooge with his dividends and tiny Tim with his tuberculous leg would both be unthinkable. But does that mean we are aiming at some painless, effortless utopia? At the risk of saying something, which the editors of Tribune, sorry, Tribune was the paper it was published in May not endorse. I suggest that the real objective of socialism is not happiness. Happiness hither two has been a byproduct, and for all we know, it may always remain. So the real objective of socialism is human brotherhood. This is widely felt to be the case, though. What is not usually said or not said loudly enough. Mens up their lives in heartbreaking political struggles or get themselves killed in civil wars, or tortured in the secret prisons of the Gestapo. Not in order to establish some central heated, air conditioned, strip lighted paradise, but because they want a world in which human beings love one another instead of swindling and murdering one another, and they want that world as a first step. Where they go from there is not so certain, and the attempt to foresee it in detail merely confuses the issue. Nearly all creators of Utopia have resembled the man who has toothache, and therefore things happiness consists in not having toothache. They wanted to produce a perfect society by an endless continuation of something that had only been valuable because it was temporary. The wider course would be to say that there are certain lines along which humanity must move. The grand strategy is mapped out, but detailed prophecy is not our business. Whoever tries to imagine perfection simply reveals his own emptiness.
05:26
Well, I think first of all, at a surface level, he’s answering his question, can socialists be happy? Really with the answer? No. Um, but I think it’s why, why? It’s more complicated than though, I think what he’s saying is that what happiness is is something temporary and fleeting. Uh, a feeling of community or a feeling of, uh, contentment or joy that only exists, uh, in contrast to the drudgery of everyday life or the injustices of everyday life. Um, and I think that’s very relevant for, for all of us who have celebrated holidays in the new year, in the last few weeks. Um, I think that’s probably something a lot of us have felt, not just this year, but in past years as well. Um, and I think he’s als what he’s also saying is that, uh, there’s danger. In seeing or seeking or defining your political program based on some perfect or idealized version of how the world should be, because human beings have limited imagination and the only way we can really imagine a perfect world. Is as one that is simply a continuation of all of the creature comforts and a universalization of all of the creature comforts of our world. Um, and so I think oral is really urging is for us to respond to inhumanity with humanity and to see injustice. Not as something that must be, um, completely eliminated to see, uh, to see pain and suffering, not as something that can ever be completely eliminated, but instead to see those as things that must be responded to. Not necessarily with a positive universal vision of what, of what the future must be, and we must all work to, but actually with a human feeling of brotherhood, as he calls it, with a commitment to fighting for justice, but not any sort of sense or promise that justice is ever going to come immediately in the present or in the future.
07:20
Now. Responding to Inhumanity with humanity. I think we all know what inhumanity is, right? And unfortunately, we were just talking about this before we, we started the recording. Uh, this was a year, maybe not with more inhumanity than other years, but certainly with a fair share of inhumanity. Um, and one, one can think about, uh, the murders, the cold-blooded murders, assassinations of, uh, a legislator and her, uh, husband in Minnesota. Followed a few months later by the assassination of Charlie Kirk. Uh, we can think also of the assassination that occurred of a insurance executive this year and, and many others. Uh, just this was a murderous year where extremists of one kind or another used excessive on un uh, un unacceptable illegitimate violence, uh, against individuals. Uh, of course there was mass violence as well. Thousands and thousands of deaths in Ukraine and elsewhere. Um, we saw also the violence and inhumanity of deportations within our own country. People being seized off the street sometimes when they had gone to a, um, immigration hearing that they were invited to, seized from a court. Uh, when they had come voluntarily to, uh, appear, uh, believing that they were getting, um, legal access to our country, but instead being in a sense kidnapped and often. Deported to a country that he never had any connection to. Uh, El Salvador, Sudan, uh, things of that sort. So, so there was plenty of inhumanity, uh, and plenty of inhumanity with all kinds of political stripes attached to it, uh, in all kinds of places. So I think we know what Inhumanity is and we know what Orwell’s referring to there as himself being a child of the revolutions of the 1930s and, uh, wars of the 1940s. Um. What is humanity? What, when, when, when Orwell encourages us to respond to inhumanity with humanity, to not simply respond an eye for an eye, to not simply respond to the murder of our guy by murdering their guy. Uh, what, what does he, what do you think he means? Because I think that’s the hard part here, Zachary. What do you think he means?
09:41
Well, I think what he’s saying, um, particularly when he talks about. Brotherhood. He says, the real objective of the socialists is human brotherhood. Um, the real objective of socialism is human brotherhood. He says, I think what he really means is that the, the true usefulness of ideology or political programs of any stripe. And particularly from his perspective of left-wing ideology, um, is to push us towards, uh, humanity, to, to, to encourage and goad people to fight for their fellow human beings. I mean, the examples he gives are people tortured in the secret prisons of the Gestapo or getting themselves killed in civil wars. All of things he, he witnessed, uh, in his life. Those are. Those are examples of people who really aren’t dying for ideology, but dying for humanity. The ideology is secondary. It’s a tool. It’s something they’re using to push towards that. I think really what he’s saying is that the most important thing is not to lose sight. Of the fact that our politics and our societies have to aim at something higher than, as he puts it, replacing a toothache with the absence of Right.
10:59
Right. Right. And, and those who don’t know his history, it’s worth just stating Orwell had been involved in the, uh, fight against fascism in Spain. And became deeply disillusioned with the socialists who were in many ways leading the anti-fascist fight for becoming, uh, in their own partisan work, a tyranny of their own against the tyranny, the horrible tyranny. They were, they were fighting. I, I think there were examples maybe to help us, uh, from this year describe what humanity in response to inhumanity is. There were examples we saw of this one that certainly moved me and I think moved you even more, Zachary. Was the experience of, uh, the hostages, uh, hostages in, um, Israel, uh, Israelis who had been taken hostage brutally by Hamas. Uh, some of them held hostage for more than two years. Uh, and the release of those high hostages, uh, in many ways, uh. Their experiences once released. Um, I know you had the opportunity to talk to a few of these former hostages yourself, Zachary. My impression is that they, after being released from this nightmare-ish horror that I cannot even imagine, um, it’s not that they. Wanted to forgive Hamas. They certainly didn’t. Uh, there’s nothing that says we have to forgive the people who do horrible things to us, but they also, it seems to me, became voices against more violence and voices for peace. Is is that right?
12:26
Yeah, I think that’s, that’s true. I think one of the things that’s been really moving to watch is to see those individuals who survived captivity in Gaza come out and, and, and either speak for peace or for an end to hostilities in the region or. Uh, to or, and or to go out into the world and speak about their experience and speak against that kind of violence. Um, often it has taken the form of very political statements or protests in Israel against the current government or, uh, in less political ways. You know, traveling around the world and just sharing their ordeal with, with audiences. And I think it’s something very powerful to think about someone who’s gone through. Uh, that kind of experience. And then it’s not only willing, but excited to, and committed to talking about it. And I, I think that that kind of human connection Yeah. Someone who’s experienced something horrible and is willing and wants to share it, that kind of human connection is part of what that humanity is.
13:27
It, it reminds me in some ways of, of watching from afar. And reading of the lives of people like Eli Viel. Yeah, Nelson Mandela. I mean, these are larger than life figures in some ways, although actually Eli Viel was a figure of very small stature. But these are individuals intellectually and in their image of they’re larger than, larger than life, but in some ways, like these former hostages, they were ordinary people who had suffered the unthinkable and then came out as voices, not a vengeance. Not of revenge nor of forgiveness, but voices of finding a common brotherhood and sisterhood in our response to the horrors that we’ve experienced. Yes.
14:12
Yeah. I think it also reminds me a lot of, some of the activism we’ve seen from students and parents after school shootings in the United States. Yes. The parents of Sandy Hook, in particular.
14:23
Right, and Uvalde people who have become committed. Not, not to political or polemical statements, but to real policy change. Yeah. And to sort of not refusing to let their friends, family, children be forgotten. I think that has been really moving to watch. And I, I think that kind of space where ordinary people, um, who’ve suffered immensely, actually speak about their experiences instead of having it filtered through political or ideological. Um. Uh, frameworks, I think is, is, is really powerful in our world. And one of the few things that I think can break through a lot of the, uh, partisan noise that we live with.
15:17
Uh, it’s, it’s, it’s easy to support a cause. That kills a lot of people when you don’t think about the people you’re killing. Right? But what these former hostages have done is they’ve brought out, it doesn’t matter what your political position is on Israeli politics or on Middle East politics, they remind you of the individuals and the suffering that cannot be justified.
16:55
And, and I think it’s our obligation. And one of the lessons from 2025, if I might say, is to avoid the effort to oversimplify what social media encourages. Encouraging us to find the good guys and the bad guys and to recognize without apologizing for. Uh, unacceptable behavior, illegal behavior, uh, immoral behavior, recognizing that in many cases, um, people are driven by complex experiences and motives. As you were speaking of the hostages, I was thinking of so many, uh, immigrants to the United States who have now been swept up by ice. Um, many of whom actually did break a law. Maybe they came on a student visa and overed. Maybe they came on a tourist visa at overstate, but then they’ve lived here for 10 years, 12 years. They’ve raised a family, they’ve worked diligently, and the reason they didn’t go back to their country, this could be true for our great grandparents, Zachary, the reason they didn’t go back was not because they wanted to break a law here, but because they were afraid to go back and face persecution or face abject poverty. Um, so are they people who broke a law? Maybe. But should they be deported for that as criminals? That’s, that’s a complex story, right? And we should avoid these simple, simple categories. Um, I think about that at universities too. As a, as a professor, as someone watching at my university, university of Texas and elsewhere, major changes in controversy swirling around everything we do. From discussions of diversity to curriculum, to hiring, to leadership, to funding, you know, um, one doesn’t have to believe that universities were perfect. They certainly weren’t. To also believe that there’s something that needs to be saved and preserved in academic freedom, an open inquiry. And, uh, we become oversimplified and polarized. And are you for DEI or against DEI? Well, I’m both. Are you, uh, for, um, people being free to think and speak as they wish, uh, or are you for protecting people from facing antisemitism? anti-ISIS, Islamophobia and things of that sort. Well, um, for both of those too, right? I mean, these are, these are complex issues we have to navigate. And I think 2025 has taught us, and I have a sense a lot of people coming out of 2025 realizing this, that the simple categories are not the realities, the complex realities, uh, we, we face. Uh, may, maybe one of the lessons from Orwell that you’re teaching, taking us to is not only to personalize, to understand the individuals who are affected by big ideas, but also. To move beyond labels. Right. Uh, Orwell’s not only attacking the socialist party, he’s attacking the label.
19:35
Yeah. Right. I think that’s right. I, I think also, uh, as you said, the, the, the. As someone who’s also at a university campus, I think the hardest part about the way that universities are being talked about and the worst part about how they’re being talked about, uh, on, on both sides, uh, in international discourse, uh, is, is the sort of insistence on labels, as you’ve said, the insistence on, on making every academic question. One of are is this DEI or is this anti DI is this is this anti Right. Instead of focusing on, uh, complexity. And I think, I think if there’s one hopeful. Hopeful thing that I think we can take out of this moment for universities is that, uh, I think for, I think a lot of the sort of. Urges to grasp for labels. The urge for simplification is actually rooted in a genuine frustration with the lack of complexity, if that makes any sense. Yeah. I think we’re taking, people are taking, um, frustration at academic environments that don’t allow for complexity or don’t allow for certain perspectives to be heard and actually doing the exact same thing and turning them into oversimplified labels and, and, and talking about universities in oversimplified ways in response. But I think the urge or the frustration that’s there. Is is very genuine.
20:48
Yeah. Well this is sort of replacing a toothache with a toothache, right? Yeah. They’re, they’re, they’re recreating, they’re mirroring the problem that they saw by doing the exact opposite. I think that’s definitely happened. Um, I don’t know if you agree. I think that we, and I said this before in our podcast and in many other settings, um, I think we went too far with certain elements of DEI. Demanding, you know, diversity statements from people in a kind of McCarthyite way, loyalty oaths to diversity. And I think we went too far. Um, but I think now the response to having gone too far is going much too far in the other direction, to the point where now diversity has become a dirty word for some people. And you’re not supposed to, uh, assign. Work that points to perhaps the critical and not savory parts of our history, um, that that’s overreacting in the other direction. That’s mirroring, that’s a toothache for a toothache. Uh, if you’re against, um, preference for one direction, there shouldn’t be preference in the other direction either. And, and I think, I think one of the lessons we have to learn is that if we’re not attentive to complexity, all we do is just, uh, swing the, the spectrum back and forth. It’s like a seesaw. Rather than progress. So, so that brings us to, I think, the theme we wanted to close on, which is community. Um, I, I think one of the real, um, outcomes of 2025 is I’ve seen this with my students, with my colleagues around the country. I’ve seen this with all kinds of settings I’ve been in. People seem to be returning to community. They seem to have found in many cases that the world and the lives they were living. Online and elsewhere, we’re not satisfied. Clearly people are still living in those ways. Uh, but there is, there does seem to be a return to community and, um, I don’t know. It might be worth talking about that. I think that’s been an important part of your experience also. Right, Zachary?
22:40
Yeah, I think so. I, I think one thing that is important to, to remember though, uh, that, that I think, or well worn stuff, is it’s not the, the, the danger is not replacing a toothache with another toothache. What he’s talking about is the danger of replacing or thinking that happiness, or that the answer is in replacing a toothache with the absence of a toothache. That I think part of the problem is that a lot of attacks on universities and in the last. 10 years, both from both sides. Um, were really aimed at replacing a problem that they saw that had some truth to it. Trying to just simply eliminate the problem. Whereas the real solution and the really important thing that I think is, is, is missing or needs to be strengthened on college campuses and in all aspects of our society, um, is something positive. It’s the kind of bonds of community, the bonds between people, the willingness to have open and frank conversations about hard topics. That’s what we should be focusing on. It’s not, it’s not about, you know, it’s not about trying to replace the toothache with the absence of a toothache, just end the toothache. It’s about trying to actually provide some sort of positive program in the opposite direction. It’s not. Utopia, but it’s like action. It’s actions that we need to be doing instead of, instead of, um, simple boxes we need to join.
23:53
And, and that’s exactly why we do this podcast. Right? It’s, it’s exactly, uh, for that reason. So, so what does it mean then people, I mean, everyone is now saying that, right? Viewpoint diversity. More open conversation, civility, but people talk about it more than they actually do it. What does it actually mean to do it? What are some examples that we can close on, some hopeful examples from 2025 that can take us into 2026?
24:15
Well, that’s not an easy question to answer, but I think that, um, you know, the kinds of conversations that. That people are able to, to have in this model, um, don’t happen by, you know, insisting or artificially, uh, looking for V viewpoint diversity. I think they happen with a sort of willingness to actually be frank and honest. Yes. And to, to be offended, but not, not see that as grounds for shutting down discussion. It’s a willingness to, it’s a willingness to be open. To other viewpoints that you might even find grossly offensive. It’s a willingness to listen to ’em at the very least.
24:56
And, and I’ve come to conclude, Zachary, that actually the way to do this is not to say, okay, we’re going to have an open conversation or viewpoint diversity. It becomes artificial in that sense. Yes. It’s creating a culture for that. Yes. It’s, it’s honestly what I strive to do in the classroom, in my professional settings, in my work. Uh, I don’t know if I succeed, but it’s certainly what I strive to do, what I’m doubling down on, which is, um. Cultivating a sense, a healthy skepticism toward any orthodoxy, which hopefully open space then for nothing to be sacred, but everything to be respected if it’s serious. So a serious idea should not be condescended to, but it shouldn’t be taken as an orthodoxy. That is beyond question, and that allows us then to take. Complex ideas such as, you know, the defense of the state of Israel or the defense of the stateless, uh, in areas that are occupied by Israel. Take these difficult problems and recognize that neither side has a monopoly of truth. And open the space where it is encouraged for people to ask hard questions. It doesn’t happen in one conversation. It happens in a culture that you create in a classroom, in a work setting. In your scholarship, in your public persona. And, and I think 2025 showed us, first of all, how hard it is to do that. It showed us how hard we need to work on that. And, and I think it did give us some examples, uh, of this. Um, I, I think we saw from certain religious leaders an incredible openness, uh, and cultivation of that kind of culture. Uh, this, this year, I think of the bishops and others who spoke out. In defense of immigrants, but didn’t speak out in defense of open borders. They weren’t talking about opening borders, they were talking about the humanity of immigrants. Um, I think of all the teachers I’ve witnessed, I work with a lot of teachers around the country, um, who have, who have done this in their classrooms. They’re unsung heroes. They don’t get, this doesn’t get talked about. I’ve seen this also with law enforcement officers build trust in their local communities. You know, this is happening every day. We just don’t focus on it because we don’t value it enough, but it’s actually the story that we, we, we should focus on. I think it’s what is happening. In many parts of our universities, it’s not always happening and sometimes it’s missing, uh, but it is happening in many parts of our universities.
27:24
Yeah. And I think it happens, uh, at its best when you put students in an environment to be around people who are different from them. I think what we’re talking about really is not just forming community or strengthening community like in and of itself, but forming and strengthening heterogeneous community. How do you deal with, uh, being in a place, being together? Working towards some common goal, whether that’s education or you know, law enforcement in the case that you mentioned, or you know, teaching in a classroom. How do you work towards a common goal when everyone comes with a very different perspective?
28:00
And I think, I think part of it is, is a willingness and an, and an openness. To talking to other people, but also just a basic recognition that whether we like it or not, you know, we are in the same room. Yes. We have to get along.
28:13
Yes. I think that’s, I think that’s absolutely right and I think that might be, gives us the, the proper, not close to this episode, but the proper opening to 2026, finding more ways. To create a culture, a space, an assumption of, as you said, and those are fireworks outside of our door here. Uh, as you said, Zachary heterogeneity, difference of viewpoint, um, and encouraging conversation, repeated conversation. Uh, my frustration has been that many people who know this don’t take the time to do this. All of us as leaders. All of us as individuals and communities should do more to reach out to talk to other people, not just for one conversation where we want to hear multiple points of view, but to build a culture of conversation across points of view. And we should resist what I think is happening in too many places, including sometimes at universities where people are separated, one group versus another. Categorize in one way. Will you go in one major will be people thinking this way in another school, people thinking this way. No, we need to actually. Build true bridges and talk across communities and make that part of our daily culture, the way we, the way we operate. And I think we can do that. I think we’ve seen examples of that, and I think we now know why we need to do that. So that’s a kind of lesson from 2025. It’s an impression that can carry us into 20 20, 26. And I’m, I’m optimistic about that. You have to be hopeful about that. Do you share my hope and optimism?
29:45
Yeah, I think so. I, I think, um. You know, what you’re really talking about is, you know, tearing down the silos a little bit and, you know, letting, letting people who maybe wouldn’t interact before interact and, and listen to each other. And I think, you know, that’s the purpose of the podcast. That’s the purpose of, of so much of what we do. And I think, um, for a lot of people, it’s become the only option now.
Episode 315: Venezuela Intervention
21:01
Right. And the Venezuelan people, it seems.
21:04
Yeah, no, of course. I mean, that is the big tragedy in all of this, that the Venezuelan people have suffered an unprecedented catastrophe and who are yearning for some kind of turnaround, and who had the courage to vote? You know, two thirds against the dictator in rigged elections in 2024, still will have to wait for, you know, a significant new start.
29:27
Right, right. What, what, we certainly see that there are high risks, but that we don’t know, what will happen, in, in, in closing, Zachary, I want to turn to you as one of many young people in the United States watching all of this unfold. How do you see your generation of Americans, responding to this, responding to what looks so different, at least from the rhetoric of American foreign policy for so long, the rhetoric of open markets and, freedom and democracy. does this, does this contradict that or does this look like more hip hop, more, more of the same hypocrisy? How, how are people viewing this?
Episode 316: Minneapolis
00:19
Welcome to This Is Democracy. I’m Zachary Suri. Today we are joined by a scholar living at the center of perhaps one of the most consequential confrontations of our moment. That is, of course, the weeks long standoff between anti-ice protests in Minneapolis and the various immigration enforcement wings of the Department of Homeland Security standoff. That unfortunately, as we all know, has left at least two protestors, Renee Goode and Alex pretty dead. joining us is Professor David Iona Chang. Professor Chang is a historian at the University of Minnesota. He studies indigenous people, colonialism, borders, and migration in Hawaii and North America, focusing especially on the histories of Native American and Native Hawaiian people, as well as the history of social movements in the United States. Professor Chang, thank you so much for joining us.
01:12
Thank you. We are of course also joined, as always by Professor Jeremi Suri. Jeremi, thank you for joining us today. for the first time in a while. we will start not with a speech or an essay, but with an original poem that I wrote. this is called, Nicolette Avenue, which is the street where Alex Pretty was killed. At night when the street is sleeping, it tosses and turns ice cracking sounds of agony, softly rising from the salt. I think the street has nightmares, and I think it remembers the dead, the bullets that bounced off its skin and buried themselves in another. At night when the street is sleeping, it feels the boots that stomped across to the tune of swinging rifles, beating time on its surface like a song. I think the street is singing in its sleep. A Durge for the Dead and departed for the Cold Press of cold flesh. It remembers too well waking up last Sunday with Bloodstains. Yeah. So Professor Chang, would you be able to tell us just from your experience, you know, what it’s been like to live, in the Twin Cities at this moment? To live through, what all of us around the country and around the world are seeing on the news every day.
02:36
Thank you for asking that. It has been, everybody’s experiences in the cities is going to be different, and I'm speaking to you of course, as you know, a person with a lot of privilege. I’m a university professor. I have a lot of. I have a lot of privileges that softened my life, if you will. At the same time, it’s a very, intense period in the Twin Cities. It’s been a time though where I would emphasize it’s been both a time of terror and sadness, but also a time of inspiration. And hope, ter and sadness are obvious to anyone around the globe, of course, because they see that federal forces, who are heavily armed and undertrained and very much under, Under supervised, if you will. and there’s very, and under-regulated are terrorizing our neighbors and our communities arresting people, taking them into custody, abducting them, Around the clock, and we’re talking about hundreds and hundreds of people, the numbers that ICE is giving out can’t really be trusted ’cause they’re not really backed up with a lot of numbers. But clearly many people are being abducted. Many people have been physically hurt, many people have been traumatized, and their families as well. At the same time, I do think the national and global media has started to pick up on what is one of the most important parts of this story. And that’s the solidarity of the response. That’s the, the loving kindness of the community, the bravery and the courage in responding in ways that are very dramatic for the cameras, such as standing between, Ice and someone that they’re trying to abduct and also much quieter driving kids to high school or dropping off groceries or necessary SAN supplies at people’s homes. so that response has, a. It is, profoundly inspiring. It gives me great hope, not only for this movement, but also for other, for the political work, which is also of course the human work of society and community that we’ll have to do in the coming years.
04:47
That makes sense. Could you explain plain to us, especially from the perspective of a historian, where you think this solidarity movement, as you described it, this movement against ICE in Minneapolis, came from, you know, it seems to me as an outside observer, like Minneapolis has been at the center of, some of the most consequential social movements of our time. Why is that and why this moment too?
05:11
I think that, I’d like to look to multiple routes. Like most things, they come from multiple. Most things that are strong, come from multiple roots. one of that is the very strong and specific social roots of the of, Minnesota. as well as the Twin Cities itself. There is a strong history. Civic nationalist, civic national engagement here with the notion that the United States is a nation of people committed to certain ideals. Those ideals are enshrined in certain documents, and those documents ensure certain rights and set up certain processes that must be followed. there is a strong commitment to this idea here, and, despite its limitations, view this kind of liberal nationalism right now, we’re seeing, what it can do in certain moments when institutions, processes, and the idea of EQ of equality under the law. Becomes threatened. That’s combined with a culture that has both religious and secular roots, that you know, everything from Lutheranism to Trotskyism that has been very strong in, Minnesota, the Northern Plains, and Minneapolis St. Paul for a very long time. And we can see this. In the strong religious, and church-based movements, that helped to create the welcoming environment that sponsored refugees from around the world after the American Secret War in Southeast Asia that welcomed people from East Africa, that west welcomed people from Korea after the Korean War, et cetera. This created a population that was, you know, diverse in a very specific way. and, and very globalized in a very specific way that combined with kind of the labor part of the farmer labor of the DFL, the democratic farmer labor, party, which is the form of the Democratic Party that we have here in the state, which has really strong, very labor left, kind of orientations, and that’s been important here. And then, so all of that’s local, right? and that’s been, it’s been nurtured here. And of course the, we’re coming here, you know, five years after the killing and the uprising following the murder of, of George Floyd on Chicago Avenue. And that created an idea. Solidarity. Many different kinds of ideas, many different kinds of soar where people understood themselves as responsible for the community. One of these ideas and practices, which is very strong here, is that of mutual aid. that we take care of us, that we stand up for us. and you see that in the everyday courage of people simply going around doing humble, simple things to support. Again, as well as the dramatic things that the cameras capture. All of that comes together with a national environment. We’re not the first city doing this, right? So there was Chicago, there was Portland, there was Los Angeles, there’s others, and already in those different places. One can find communities come together in order to support. We learned from Chicago, Chicago learned from other cities, right? The proliferation of neighborhood networks, of leaderless movements in order to, create a better, safer community that doesn’t come just from us. So and ho And I do not think it will stop just here either. Unfortunately, this is a national problem and it will continue in other cities, and I think that we can look forward to a historical moment that we can’t entirely anticipate, but it will be different because there is now a genealogy, a continuity of modes of resistance, which are drawing upon historical precedent elsewhere.
09:27
It is challenging for students. we were allowed to teach in a mixed modality if we needed to. because not all students are feeling comfortable coming to campus for many different reasons. and, the, so there’s a lot of anxiety, obviously. international students are feeling a particular anxiety, but that’s been going on for a while now. So this is a hard time for students. The undergrads, the grads, everything from, you know, the 19 year olds to the, to, to the postdocs and even say, are having a hard time.
10:04
And do you find that there’s solidarity between the students and, the protestors? Are there counter student, opinions? how is it, affecting that community? I, ask in part because. You know, there’s such a history of student movements related to many of the issues we’re concerned with. Here, you’ve written a lot about this yourself, and so I wonder how you see this moment in that historical context.
10:31
First of all, I am not in the classroom this semester. so I’m not having that. But I am, you know, communicating a lot with students anyway, I have not heard of counter. Movements, if you will, like, like the deport them all now, kind of a politics I haven’t encountered or heard tell of such a thing on campus, at all.
13:13
That makes sense. where do you see the protests, and the sort of clashes between, the HS officials and others going from here? Are they still ongoing? do you think that Trump administration has effectively backed down on this issue? Or, how are people perceiving that on the ground?
15:06
I honestly think that’s what has to happen, is there needs to be an end to this surge. I think that’s what will solve the problem.
16:22
I think it will change. Yeah, I think this already is mattering a lot for the upcoming, elections this fall, midterm elections. It has Republicans in the state and I’m sort of nationally quite nervous, because the, it’s, not a good look including among, including among some Republicans and including among many people who, voted Trump but may not be, if you will, lifelong committed Republicans and they really need those. People. So that’s the second half of your question, and I forgot the first half, I’m afraid. Zachary.
17:00
Well, first of all, somebody very bright, such as yourself needs to write a dissertation on this. it’s gonna be a good one. I truly hope that there are academic and non-academic researchers who are thinking about this very question. this is going to be, well, first of all, I think that if this is done right, it won’t be just. Streets of Minneapolis, right? studies of movements such as this, were going to need to look back at Roots as I was emphasizing to you a few minutes ago, right? Which are national, which are Chicago, which are important, which are la which are other cities. Place it in the context of other ways of pushing it back against, because this is not it, this. The energy that is behind this is about, the ice surge and the abductions, and the brutality of those, but it’s also part of a wider, it, it, draws energy and ideas from other recent movements. from the center, from the left, from the center, left right, against. The current administration, right. So that’s this. I, think it’s going to be remembered as one of the high points of a broader, response in 20 20, 20 25, 20 26. And I have no idea where we’re going in the future. It, will not be forgotten though.
19:00
I can think of a number of reasons. For one thing, I mean, they came out so quickly with this term, domestic terrorists and paid protests and all that stuff, and that’s just so patently not true, and so demonstrably not true in the case. Of Renee Goodnell is pretty right. okay, now they have video that says that Alex got into a scuffle with some agents and kicked at headlights or something like that. That’s not a domestic terrorist, right? That’s not a domestic terrorist. So they got, they, they spoke too strong, too quick, and the data is too strong to, refute their narrative. on top of that, these are appealing young-ish. White people who are idealistic and good. So in other words, the media narrative on them is, cleaner. Right? So, I mean, it, these are not, racialized people, right? and so therefore they, the story plays in a certain way and I, want to take nothing away from them, right? I’m just saying that in terms of how media works. They, figure in a particular strength. And I think also it’s, it is, they are being seen as in some ways emblematic of the Minnesota movement, what’s going on in Minnesota and Minnesota. The upper Midwest, as you know, it occupies a certain kind of. Image in the American political imaginary right of innocence of community and all that sort of a thing. I’m delighted at that, frankly. but at the same time, you can see how that would, answer back in a particular way.
21:11
Yes. And a lot of people, you know, we’re trying to, people are trying to say, don’t forget, you know, the many, brown people. Who’ve been hurt in this, and black people who’ve been hurt in this, the hundreds and thousands of people who’ve been abducted, and all these other things. But it’s hard to push back. We’ve been pushing for a longer historical narrative. I and others have been saying that, remember the Bishop Whipple Building is on Fort Snelling, and Fort Snelling is federal land that was involved in a war on the Dakota and the seizing. Of this region. Right? And so there’s an effort to create that broader historical context and to try to, if you say, this is not all about these white faces, right? But it’s also about, black and brown faces and bodies and voices. we’re pushing uphill on that, right?
22:21
Very strongly here. and I’m glad you put that out there. It also made me think about what’s very interesting kind of in the history of American politics here, is the way that the expected roles that, we see from reconstruction through the Civil Rights Movement, between federal and local authority or state authority, in some ways are being reversed. We are used to seeing, calls to the federal government in order to protect African Americans after enslavement through the Freedoms Bureau you to control the Ku Klux Klan. We see this in this, in the, Civil Rights Movement, where you see the Voting Rights Act, right, for example, is very much about, we don’t trust local authorities. That is state, county, and, and municipal governments to protect the rights of racialized people or to right, protect the rights of the powerless. Therefore, we look to Washington. It’s so much the opposite now, and as an American historian, doesn’t it make your head spin?
23:57
I, did wanna ask, What do you make of the sort of, I know we talked a little bit about why the public outcry. after the, two shoot, the two killings. I’m curious what you make of the Trump administrations and the Presidents, sort of backing down on, this front. It seems like there was, you know, there’s been a lot of public outcry about the immigration raids, at least locally. In, every city that they have surged in. And I’m curious what you make of the way that the Trump administration has responded or seemingly had to, you know, take back its own responses so quickly. what do you make of that and what do you think that says about the sort of lasting power of this as a political issue.
24:46
It is striking, isn’t it? because it, because we’re not talking about a, big backing down, but any backing down from this administration, any modulation is striking. Giving that, you know, giving how strident it is and how unapologetic it is. How take no prisoners. It’s kind of the ray cone, never apologize model is very strong here. I. I am watching it and I am hoping that it signals, a change in direction, but it definitely signals that they feel that they’re afraid to lose support among voters that they need. that’s what I think it’s about, is that they need the kind of Republicans who are like, well, I’m okay with you up to a point, Mr. President, but right, and, I think that’s where we are and they’re trying to hold onto those votes while not appearing, you know, to back down. Right. That’s where I think we are. It’s an interesting moment.
27:17
Well, I think a lot of young people, and I think people across the board are, sort of reacting in shock to this. I think there are a lot of, I, I mean, I think the public opinion polls, and, Conversations with any young person or any person, period. show the kind of anger or frustration with, this moment? I think there are varying degrees of, you know, outrage. Like some people I think are outraged, at, you know, the particular killings of Alex Pretti or Renee Good, or they, see. They see, those as the, thing to be out, outraged about. I think there are those who find who are most horrified or most focused on, the impact of the deportations on immigrant communities. so I think there are a range of political responses. I mean, here in New Haven. There is a big sort of walkout today for in solidarity with Minneapolis. so there, there, are a range of different responses that I think people are engaging in, but I would say, I think it’s, almost universal, universal shock at the shootings of, protesters in particular.
28:48
Thank, well, first of all, thank you, but the gratitude is misplaced. I’m not, you know, I’m not in the front lines here, really, honestly. I do think that there is enormous. There’s a lot to take inspiration and hope from here. the, and, I think you’re talking about generation and young people. it’s not just young people, right? There are grandparents and and elders and middle-aged people, but also so many idealistic young people who are just saying, well, I have to help out in some way. And for some people that means a patrol. For some people, that means blowing whistles. For some people, that means packing food at a food shelf. It means all kinds of things. But looking at that kind of idealism and then hopefully watching it work, that really fills me with, Hope it does.
Episode 317: Vigilantism and Violence in American Society
00:00
This Is Democracy, a podcast about the people of the United States, a podcast about citizenship, about engaging with politics and the world around you. A podcast about educating yourself on today’s important issues and how to have a voice in what happens next.
04:55
Sure. for people of a certain age, we might be familiar with the name Bernard Goetz because he is this kind of rogue figure who ends up on a subway train in 1984 sitting across from four black teenagers, and, in a very, quick encounter suddenly leaps up. And pulls a gun out of his, waistband in a hidden holster and shoots one of them into the chest, shoots another in the back as he’s fleeing, shoots the third kid through his arm that went into his chest and with the fourth kid, tried to shoot him. And then walked over and coldly says to him, you look all right. Here is another, and shot in point, blank range. severing his spinal cord, paralyzing him for life. And that guy, became an overnight, folk hero celebrated by the tabloid media, gravitated to by countless. newly resentful and disaffected, white New Yorkers. and he became the stuff of Legends. He is in the lyrics of Billy Joel’s song. We didn’t Start the Fire. He’s in the song by the Beastie Boys. He is referenced, in so many popular culture context. So for some of us, we remembered his name, but notably, Speaking for myself anyway, I don’t think any of us really knew who his victims were. And, so I wanted to dig into that story because not only does he, shoot these kids, but then he is on the lamb. There’s a dramatic manhunt to find him, he turns himself in, offers a chilling videotape two hour long, confession. Where he doesn’t candy coat anything. He admits to everything. and nevertheless, what’s gonna unfold in my book, is this incredibly interesting story of how Americans are told that, up is down and down is up. There’s, this is the birth of the misinformation media. it takes, two grand juries to get ’em to trial. And, we can then talk about the trial, but it’s really a really pivotal moment in legal history because he will be acquitted. That acquittal sets us down a path, I think from which we really still real.
10:45
I’m curious, obviously the looming figure in all of this is Donald Trump. I’m curious what role he and the his associates, in New York might have played? he’s not known for having been silent on racial politics in New York City.
11:03
Yeah, so it turns out that all of the key figures of today are, were very much, a part of this story that I tell in this book back in the eighties. And Donald Trump is one of them. He is, much, trying to become the king of New York, become one of the wealthiest New Yorkers. And he also was someone who always flirted with politics, was always interested in first he. He courted the Reagan Republicans and then he courted the Clinton White House. And for a while he was courting Ross Perot as an independent. He was trying to read the tea leaves, where was this country going? And he starts to get fascinated with the New York Post, which is this increasingly conservative. tabloid owned by another. Here’s another familiar figure. Rupert Murdoch, who, is really, encouraging stoking the flames of white racial resentment in this time period. But also celebrating, wealthy people like Donald Trump. this is the era of greed is good. TV shows like Dallas and Dynasty and Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous. So, all of these characters are on the scene watching how this case plays out. Watching what’s happening with public opinion about race, about, vigilante violence, seeing how far the media can go with misinformation. and Trump will run with all of that, but he’s not the only one. Rudy Giuliani is also a key figure here. And he will, become the mayor of New York running on these kinds of, politics of white racial resentment.
23:46
Yeah, and I think that was, someone who, like you have, spent time in, in the city. it was hard to get my head around the continuities. but then they became quite clear, I think, as I. Kind of peeled back the layers a little bit. There’s no question today that you know, you can go into New York City and it is, times Square. Times Square is no longer a place where you see. You know so much. Homelessness is not a place where you see the drug trade playing out in front of your eyes. It’s not a place that feels so unsafe, so, so crisis filled. But at the end of the day, New York has become a place that is. Utterly unlivable for people. And that means that you can look in the window of a Gucci store, right? And it is beautiful and it’s glittery and it glistens, but you can’t afford anything in it. And I think the real evidence of why that is the case or how true that is, is what’s happened in the recent. Mayoral election. the fact that a democratic socialist like Momani can win by a landslide indicates that, this glittery city, is, not in fact delivering. For the people who actually have to try to live there. And it is, again, it’s a lifting of the veil in New York City on the inequality, what it means to be in a city without sufficient safety net anymore. what it means to have undone the New Deal and the great society in our American cities. But the other thing we’ve inherited, of course, is meanwhile, we’ve inherited the carte bl for people who feel angry when they feel that, right? they can’t afford their rent. they can’t, make it anymore. They can’t put their own kids in college. Unfortunately, a lot of ’em are still susceptible to this idea. That’s because of the immigrants. That’s because of, the criminal class. That’s because of the people who are actually worse off than they are. So it’s a lot to unpack. I hope that the book, does it through this story because the tentacles to the past and present are pretty, pretty clear. Yeah. even the NRA gets. Intimately involved in the Bernie Goetz case, and it’s, it pays attention to what happens to the outcome of his trial and then runs with it. this is where we get stand your ground laws, this is where we get Supreme Court decisions that allow police officers and individuals to merely to say they felt unsafe. And it’s okay to kill another US citizen. So, it is, it’s a lot. I, it’s a, it leaves us a little bit with our head spinning, I think about where we are today, frankly.
28:09
Oh yeah. I think you’re both absolutely right on. New York. New York becomes the place where, so much of this is getting tested out, but at the end of the day, what is being tested out is. How do you essentially take a nation that after World War II in particular, builds an American middle class, albeit, overwhelmingly white middle class because of its discriminatory nature. the safety net was discriminatory. But we build an American middle class and it required buy-in, from, across the class spectrum, and many people benefited from it, but the people that always hated it were the uber wealthy. And what we have seen since the eighties is a very successful erosion. Of that social safety net and perhaps more alarmingly an erosion of the principles behind it. it’s been a cultural shift that helping out your neighbor is bad. the government is bad. liberals are bad. Any social programs are bad. Anything public is bad. Public schools, public hospitals, public housing, and what I think we need to think through is that took a great deal of work. to undo all of that. And it took a lot of work because in fact, it was against everybody’s interests, right? some of the people being harmed the most right now are in fact Trump voters by the economics of the Trump administration. And so to understand that we have to ask, well, how in the world would they have ever bought into it? And, people aren’t stupid. They’re not just dupes. But they are definitely trusting, of our media infrastructure. They’re trusting of, the people that they have been told, have made it as businessmen. And so, you start to understand in a whole new way, why was it significant that Donald Trump used to be on the Apprentice, for example, or. worldwide wrestling because he was very deliberately curating, his popularity among people who he would rely on later on to be his voters. And he’s quite explicit about it.
30:42
Yeah. Yeah. I think you show a lot of, new evidence of just that point. Heather, I want us to close, this really fascinating and stimulating discussion. we in a way, as you close the book, you really are at pains in the book to bring to life. The four African American teenagers who are both, liable throughout this story, but also are, are in, are invisible to us. We can’t see them in many respects. You wanna bring them back into light. You use their names, you tell their stories beautifully, and you close with Darrell K’s story in a photo of Darrell Kabe. I just wanted to give you a chance to close, not by talking about Trump or Bernie Goetz, but. But talking about the four, the four African American teenagers.
31:32
Well, I so appreciate that, Jeremy, because, again, I, began by saying, I’m embarrassed to say I didn’t know who the victims were, but I knew Bernie Goetz, and even to this day, he still alive. He lives in Greenwich Village. He gets to routinely tell the story through his perspective. And yet these teenagers lives were utterly destroyed. only two of them are still living and, not because they died of old age, but because of the wreckage that became of their lives and the one who is still living is paralyzed and brain damaged, and the other one has managed to escape this. He doesn’t wanna talk to anybody about this. It’s been so traumatizing and I thought it was really important that we, we, we told this story. From the perspective of the whole part of New York, that paid a huge price for all this, a huge price for the austerity politics We’ve been doubling down on with every administration since. Reagan, a huge price for the unleashing of racial violence, and I wanted to resurrect their stories, but also to end. With kind of a reminder that once we unleash this, that we, we forget about what it really looks like on the ground, when we endorse these kinds of politics. And so I wanted us to come back full circle to. The four teenagers who are going down trying to get some quarters out of a video machine because that’s what their lives are offering them, and then start back at that beginning as we imagine the future.
Episode 318: War In Iran
10:09
That makes sense. And I think there's a really interesting question that I hope we'll dive into a little bit more about the potential for a post-conflict or post-regime chaos in Iran. But I did want to ask first what you think, how plausible you think it is that the Iranian people, as President Trump has suggested in recent days, might actually rise up against the Iranian regime in a way that could effectively topple the regime? Is the regime really that weak in this moment?
22:29
That, again, is one of the really important questions. Again, by the very nature of our anointing these leaders, we have, by definition, made them in some ways illegitimate. I'm trying to think of what's the best way to get out of this. And it has to be somehow that the US just sets the conditions for the people to choose to select their own leader and to just kind of go with it from there. One of the things that's really sort of important to note too is when we look at these historical examples and think, what can we learn? What are generalizable insights? A lot has been said about how the US prosecuted the war in Afghanistan after 9-11, when they were then suddenly, small footprint, fine local actors you could work with, even though, yes, as you described, Karzai was incredibly problematic. We ignored the sort of tribal dynamics because Afghanistan was very, very heterogeneous. We ignored all of that and we seemed to have some surface level successes. When the US was thinking about the 2003 invasion, there are so many sort of memoirs and other stories that have come out where people had to tell senior leaders, Iraq is not Afghanistan. That was almost like the coffee cup, right? Hey, Iraq is not Afghanistan. And there, again, the ethnic breakdown was very, very different. Now, once again, talking about Iran, Iran is more ethnically homogenous. And on the one hand, you would think you would avoid all of that kind of potential for ethnic factionalization, but there are so many other fissure points, right? There are so many other ways in which society could either coalesce or come apart. And again, my mind automatically goes to beyond the leadership question that you asked that I'm not really giving a great answer for, which I think just in some ways, again, talks to there is no great option here. It's what's the least bad option. But even thinking about that, again, I mentioned this post-conflict sort of dynamic. One of the things that you need too are things like lustration courts and a reckoning for the crimes of the regime. And that's where, again, these cleavages that we see in conflicts, often it's not sort of the population versus the regime. That is one, but it's these very micro-level dynamics. This tribe doesn't like this tribe. This village doesn't like this village. This neighbor doesn't like this neighbor. And that too is part of the complexity, the mosaic of challenges that you find in post-conflict environments.
Governance, Law And Political Structures
View DetailsEpisode 115: Young JFK: Lessons for Democracy Today
02:08
When Fred is not busy scribbling, he is the Lawrence D. Belfer Professor of International Affairs at the John F. Kennedy School of Government and Professor of History at Harvard University. And as I said, Fred is a longtime friend and really a major figure, not just in historical circles, but in scholarly and public intellectual circles in the United States. So before we turn to our discussion of JFK and this really fantastic and fun new book, I really found it fun to read this new book that Fred has just published.
04:20
Well, that is the perfect spot to turn to President Kennedy's biographer. Fred, we live in such a cynical age. Your book, as I read it, is in some ways a wonderful antidote to that cynicism. I think the place to start is why did John F. Kennedy, this person born to such privilege, such wealth, why did he get involved in the dirty world of politics? Well, let me just say, Jeremy, that that was a wonderful poem we just heard. That was just marvelous.
06:01
It developed in college, his wartime service, which we could discuss. But you do see these early influences as well.
07:07
And as you say, he traveled, beginning in a serious way in 1937 with his good friend Len Billings during college. They traveled through Europe and then there was a major excursion, which I think is really consequential in 1939, right on the eve of war, where young JFK is traveling in about a dozen countries, meeting with officials, seeing the sites.
12:36
And so the most dramatic example of this, I think, is the, in effect, the split between the father and the son, between Joe Sr. and Jack on the issue of U.S. intervention, on the issue of, if you want to put it this way, isolationism versus interventionism, where Joe Sr., as ambassador to Britain, and then long after having been ambassador to Britain, was a kind of unvarnished, was an unapologetic appeaser and isolationist. And Jack decided he could not be. And I think this is where the Harvard years are especially illuminating, because you see that gradually, clearly, but gradually, but clearly, this shift away from the father's position.
13:59
I was surprised to learn of the degree to which isolationism, if we want to use that term, excuse me, the degree to which isolationism really held pretty firmly, pretty firm within the student body at Harvard. But the professors, his own reading, I think his travels that we've discussed, all of them, I think, convinced JFK by, let's say, by late 1940, or by the middle part of 1940, around the time that he completes his thesis, publishes the book, that it's really an untenable position that his father holds.
19:28
And one of the reasons he loved politics from an early point was precisely because he believed that it was important that in a democracy, what we expect, what we demand of our elected officials can have a hugely important effect on our lives. And I think he believed and developed a philosophy, which basically said that government can't solve all of our problems, but it has a vital role to play in creating a more just and a more equitable society.
Episode 121: Historical Memory and National Trauma
22:37
The way in which ordinary behavior, if carried out by African-Americans, was criminalized, the way in which there was actually a deliberate turn from, you know, thinking of African-Americans as stupid and lazy, which was the stereotype during slavery days, to thinking of them as criminals. All the way through, you know, redlining and the ways in which people of color were barred from getting mortgages, were barred from getting Social Security.
23:19
So and and, of course, in the background, lynching as a real instrument of terror to intimidate people of color. So, you know, we we tended to think that all of that was more or less so. We think, OK, it was, you know, it was too bad that there was segregation, but then we had the civil rights movement and it wiped it out.
23:46
And, you know, our ignorance, and I must say myself ,very much until 2015, until I I started thinking about these questions, I was as ignorant as anybody else. And I know professors of American history who didn't know very much about it.
24:00
Of course. [Inaudible] Well, there is for a long time it wasn't even in our scholarship. I mean, you could be a scholar of American history without addressing these issues until, you know, 30 years ago.
24:11
Right. And then you had to be a scholar. You know, you had to be Eric Foner or, you know, in order to address those issues. And, you know, if it wasn't your field, it didn't get into public discussion in the way that it is now. So I think that's the main reason why Americans have not examined our racist history.
28:12
What do you take from this about the possibilities going forward? I think Americans are maybe at least a younger generation. It seems to me, and I find this certainly with my students, are much more open to talking about a lot of these issues than my students were even 10 years ago.
29:06
I agree with you that people are finally in America connecting the violence, which still outrageously exists more towards people of color than towards anyone else. That violence with the violence in our past and the need for a new narrative. But I think it's extremely important that this be seen as a universalist project.
31:03
And I think that's exactly right. And I think we need to see the crimes against African Americans as crimes against humanity that should engage and enrage every decent American as we work to reconstruct a better country.
Episode 169: Vietnam War Legacies
03:49
It's always downhill after Zachary's poem, Mark. But Mark, you have, especially in this recent book, you've really delved into the ways in which the effort to build utopia, or a great society as Lyndon Johnson called it abroad in Vietnam, really distorted American thinking and American society. First of all, why was the United States trying to do this in Vietnam? Why were we looking to build this utopia, as Zachary put it, in a place so far away that so few Americans could even identify?
05:46
Well, I think that the American experience in Vietnam helped to tear down this set of ambitions that ran so high in the early 1960s. Americans in the late 1960s, perhaps in the early 1970s, by and large, believed that they had the ability because of their vast know-how, their technological capabilities, their resources. The world's most productive economy believed that they could bring real change to many countries around the world, and frankly, to their own society as well. I think there's a lot of continuity that has sometimes eluded historians between the domestic arena in which JFK and LBJ and other liberals were so determined to bring reform to all facets of American life, on the one hand, and the way that they approached the international scene as well, both in the international and domestic realms. Liberals believed that by marshaling the resources of the United States, the vast expertise that the United States had at its disposal, they could achieve great things.
07:22
But there are a lot of people who, especially nowadays, who would argue that American intervention abroad was, if not purely self-interested, was motivated mainly by self-interest. Is that accurate?
10:56
And in Southern Africa, I try to show how in the early 1960s, Americans believed that they could find ways to support racial justice in this region that was plagued by the vestiges of colonialism and white settler rule in several places, largely abandoned those hopes and really settle for a deeply problematic status quo that at least had the advantage of being stable in the short term and therefore not a situation that would require that the United States expand vast resources or political capital on very, very difficult problems.
11:53
Yeah, I think that's right. I think that it's important to recognize that the American attitude toward the wider world in the early s depended on a certain degree of confidence, right? That Americans could have their way in the wider world. It depended as well on the idea that the United States had the resources to pump into these areas to achieve the results that it wanted. And it relied as well, I think, on the idea that it was okay to take some risks, right? It might not ultimately pan out in every place, but it was worth the effort. And I think what you see across the 1960s, particularly as the Vietnam War heats up and really consumes debate in the United States, is that Americans question all of those ways of thinking that were easy to see at the beginning of the decade.
16:34
Right. You and I have talked about this before. I mean, even his views of students in the United States become defined by where they stand on the Vietnam War, which is extraordinary if you think about that. Zachary.
16:48
Yeah. So you very clearly and convincingly laid out this idea of the end of ambition and the limits that it places on foreign policy decisions. But how do you square that with the rise in global connections and global awareness among young people and others during this period?
28:46
But here's the other lesson that I think comes, that's a little more original, I suppose, and comes more directly to my book. And maybe there's something a little bit optimistic here. I think that my book shows the risks, the very pragmatic risks, the very practical risks that flow from pumping too much attention and resources into one part of the world. It shows the destructive impacts that can occur in connection with American foreign policy globally if Americans lose the ability to prioritize, to decide what's really important and how much resources any particular problem is worth as Americans confront it.
29:35
And the reason why I say I think there's something a little bit optimistic in that observation is that this is probably a lesson that many Americans, regardless of where they stand on the big questions of the legacy of the Vietnam War, could perhaps agree on. We recognize that there are risks in going too far in one place and sort of losing a sense of proportionality, losing an ability to prioritize. Um, so it may be that. When the problem is framed in that way, what are America's priorities? Where, where should it attach greater importance and devote more resources? We could find space for agreements or at least broad consents.
31:07
I certainly do. I think one of the lessons is that these issues are always complex and never just black and white, never easy or impossible. And I think part of the problem, and, I think particularly among young people is that foreign policy issues can seem so black and white and, and, and, and, and so easy, but they're so complex. And, and part of the problem is that. Our political conversations, aren't mature enough, uh, in this country to really be able to, to address those issues appropriately.
31:41
I think there's a lot to that. And there's a lot between cynicism and the utopia. You talked about it in your poem, right? I think, I think Mark's book shows that there actually are. There's a lot that can be done in between maybe that's, what's abandoned because of the obsession with Vietnam. Mark, this has been a really insightful conversation. I encourage everyone to go out and read and read your book and buy it and give it away as gifts as well. The End of Ambition: The United States and the Third World in the Vietnam era. Mark, thank you so much for joining us.
Episode 247: Strikes by Autoworkers
00:24
Welcome to our new episode of "This Is Democracy." This week we are going to discuss the history of unions in the United States, and we're going to look at the current strike by auto workers, in the United States. These are auto workers who belong to one of the oldest and most important unions, but one of many unions in the history of the United States, the United Auto Workers.
00:47
And we are fortunate to be joined by one of the leading historians of workers' unions and race in the United States. This is our friend, Professor William Jones, who is a professor of history at the University of Minnesota.
01:02
He's the author of, many articles and two really important books. The first, "The Tribe of Black Ulysses: African American Lumber Workers in the Jim Crow South," and then, more recently, "The March on Washington: Jobs, Freedom, and the Forgotten History of Civil Rights," a book that puts the March on Washington, which everyone has heard of, especially because of Martin Luther King's "I Have a Dream" speech.
01:27
Will's book puts the March on Washington in the context of labor history as well as civil rights history, which is really important. Will, thank you so much for joining us today.
01:59
So here we are, waiting on the picket line, for the world to change, for the times to rhyme. They sold us the lie that if we just worked hard the dough would fry and line our pockets with bread.
02:13
Pretty soon we were left the only ones not caught up in the net or dead on a cot. They told us when we asked that they had nothing to say. Forget tomorrow. Clock out today.
02:25
But we will not be told that our futures were sold in Washington or in Detroit where the rivers fold, and wash our cars out to sea.
02:55
What's your poem about, Zachary? My poem is really about, how, the ravages of the global economy in the past few years have hit at the heart of manufacturing jobs in the United States and have led to a lot of dissatisfaction, with, not just with government but also with big corporations, in Detroit and across the country. And how labor action can hopefully move towards solving those problems or at least, finding a better solution for workers.
03:37
Will, this moment we're living in now that Zachary captures, I think, a bit in his poem, is that how you would frame the current labor action against the automakers? Is that really what it is? Is it about automation or what's really at the root of this?
03:56
Yeah, I mean, I think that there's a number of things involved, and yeah, automation is an important part of it, and the struggle over jobs and the sort of number of jobs and employment. I think there's really three main issues at the heart of this, this current strike
04:17
One is the issue of the two-tier employment system that the Big Three auto workers have adopted, which is a product of concessions that were made by the UAW during the recession in 2009 when the auto companies were really in bad shape. And the UAW agreed to allow them to essentially start hiring workers, new workers under different systems, under lower wages, less, in some cases no benefits, healthcare benefits, pensions. And the idea was that, you know, when the auto companies were in bad shape and needed some help in recovering, the UAW, the workers agreed to take these concessions.
05:14
But now the Big Three are doing very well, and the feeling is that they, you know, the workers should not consider, continue to take these concessions. Some of the issues are around wages, and I think the union has framed that in the broader context of, I think a conversation we've been having over the past several decades about rising levels of economic inequality, the ways in which the wealthy have done well at times when the less wealthy, when the 99% has seen their living standards and their income decline.
05:52
And then the third one I think is this issue of jobs. It's related in part to automation. It's also for the auto industry, particularly related to the transition to electric vehicles, which, you know, are easier to manufacture and so they require less labor and there's a concern about the ways in which that shift to a, you know, a lower labor demand is going to affect the current workers. Right. And they're concerned about that.
06:23
Will, that's really helpful in framing this, and I wanted to come back to your first point because I think that's one that at least to my reading of the news has received a lot less attention. The fact that the auto workers not only gave up certain benefits to help the automobile companies during the 2008 recession, but also that they actually agreed to create a two-tiered system. Can you just say more about that, how that's worked and what the expectations were when that was negotiated in 2008? Right. Well, I mean the expectations were that this was going to save an industry that was really on the brink of collapse and so that, you know, which, in a sense, that has happened. The way it works though is that you get, you know, something that you hear a lot in interviews with workers on the picket lines is they'll say, you know, like they're standing next to workers who do the same jobs under the same conditions as them who earn, you know, in some cases half of what they earn with no benefits.
07:52
Well, that point, Will, it seems to me leads really to the bigger historical question, which is what role have unions played? Why does the UAW exist? I get this question from my students all the time. Maybe that's just a function of those students being in Texas. I don't know. But, what you're describing seems to me to actually be an anathema to what unions historically have been about. Is that correct?
08:16
Yeah. I think in some respects, it's certainly anathema to the history of the UAW. And, you know, just as an aside, my students here in Minnesota, where there's a very vibrant labor union, they personally often have very little contact with the labor movement. And so, you know, I'm sure that it's more intense in Texas, but across the United States, people have very little sense of what unions do and where they come from.
08:41
The UAW is you know, comes from a particular history of one of the industrial unions of the 1930s. It was one of the founding unions of the Congress of Industrial Organizations, which is, you know, half of the AFL-CIO. The other half, the AFL, is much older, and it actually comes from a tradition that is in some ways based on drawing lines among workers or between workers. I mean, it was a sort of built by skilled workers who really kind of circled the wagons around their own particular skills, and were very exclusive. So many of the AFL unions, you know, they would limit their membership to men. They would, some of them actually explicitly said that you could not be a member of them unless you were white. So they were exclusive, and the idea was to try to draw a very narrow line and control the labor market and the access to skills within a particular labor market. The CIO unions, like the UAW, took exactly the opposite approach. They felt, "If we can organize as many people as possible across as many different lines of skill and status, across lines of race and gender, we can be more powerful if we have everybody in the same union."
12:37
One way they've done, responded is to sort of branch out and organize other workers. I think about 20% of the UAW are actually academic workers. They're graduate students. They're contingent faculty at, mostly in the UC, the University of California system.
12:55
They've also made the, you know, they face this problem of, you know, do you sort of make concessions and do you, you know, recognize that you are in a place of weakened you know, clout and respond to that by making concessions? Or do you in as, you know, in the language of the sort of the people who run the union movement now, or the UAW now, do you fight back? And one of the important things about this strike is it occurs after the election of Shawn Fain who ran against a sort of entrenched union bureaucracy that had really been responsible for a lot of these concessions. He ran on a reform slate that was supported by people who have been fighting within the UAW for many years, for decades, to try to push the union toward a more aggressive stance in trying to push back against some of these concessions. So that's a strategic change that, you know, and I think we'll see how it plays out. âI think the strike, you know, raises that. We don't know how the strike's going to end.
15:24
On the other hand, I think it's important to keep in mind that unions have really been central to any advances that we've had toward economic equality in the United States and in other respects in terms of other forms of equality. So, you know, the UAW came out of the 1930s, but it really, I think, played its central role in the United States in US politics in the 1950s and '60s, the sort of heyday what some historians call the heyday of American liberalism. It was the UAW that pushed for universal, for healthcare programs, for workers, to provide health that employers, this sort of employer-based system that we now have. The UAW actually initially pushed for a universal healthcare program. When the auto companies pushed back vehemently against that, the UAW said, "Well, okay, then employers need to step up and provide healthcare for workers." âThey pushed for, you know, all of the sort of liberal provisions of what we might call the welfare state of the 1950s, was pushed for by industrial unions like the UAW.
16:41
The UAW also played a really critical role in the civil rights movement. It was one of the unions that, you know, provided consistent funding for the major campaigns of the 1950s and 1960s. The UAW sent money to help support the Montgomery Bus Boycott. They sent hundreds of thousands of dollars to support the March on Washington. The president of the UAW, Walter Reuther, spoke at the March on Washington, you know, just before Martin Luther King gave his "I Have a Dream" speech. So this, these are institutions that have really been vital to American democracy and to the sense of sort of creating a more egalitarian United States.
17:25
I'm so glad you explained that Will, because it is striking and I think undeniable that moments in our history when unions have been stronger, we have seen less economic inequality in moments such as the 1970s and '80s. When we see unions receding in American history we see more inequality. So there's at least a correlation there, as my economist friends would say. That's right. That's, I mean, if you, one chart that I like to show my students is if you chart the level of income inequality in the United States over the past century, and you chart union representation rates, they're in exact reverse correlation, right? That as unions have declined, we've seen wealth inequality grow.
18:27
I think it is. I mean, one of the really remarkable things that we've seen in the Gallup polls is that, so in 2010, the Gallup poll, you know, Gallup poll every year since the '40s has asked people whether they think unions are good or bad, sort of a basic public, you know, opinion poll of unions. In 2010, that number reached its all-time low. It actually, for the first time, since they started asking it, it dipped below 50%. Wow. Last year, that number reached 70, over 75%. And so in the, you know, since 2010, we've seen the, that public approval of unions go from its historic low to close to an all-time high. And I think, you know, there's a number of reasons for that. I think, you know, there has been growing attention to income inequality. You know, 2010 was around the time that we saw the emergence of the Occupy Wall Street movement. There was this sort of conversation around wealth inequality. There were the big protests in Madison, Wisconsin, that you and I both witnessed. Yes. I think they called attention to the historic importance of unions in a way that we haven't seen in a very long time. Since then, I think we've seen, certainly during the pandemic, I think there were a number of ways in which the pandemic contributed to this growth of unions. One was the sort of outward display of workers who were really, you know, were essential, were critical for the functioning of our society, critical to protecting people from the pandemic and caring for people when they got the pandemic. Those workers were often the lowest paid, the worst treated workers in the economy. Yes. Yes. And that highlighted this contradiction, I think it led to a lot of those workers, going on strike and forming unions.
21:27
Yeah, that was really fascinating. I thought, you know, in both cases. I mean, I think it's important to point out that Donald Trump did not go to a UAW plant. He went to a non-union plant. He was also invited by the employers who were, who are sort of a vehemently anti-union, parts manufacturers. So I think that's important to keep in mind.
21:51
Biden, on the other hand, was invited by the president of the UAW, and spoke very powerfully. For the first time in history, a union, a sitting president really took a very strong position, in favor of the union, and I think really, you know, framed his remarks in the tone that the union is saying, that this is about wealth inequality, that the CEOs of the auto manufacturers have done very well, and the workers deserve to do well also. And you know, I think that that signaled that this conversation is going to be, is clearly going to be a really important part of the coming election. And I think for a first time in a very long time, we're seeing, you know, the politics of unionization, and of wealth inequality really being at the heart of the conversation leading into this presidential election.
22:47
Will, there's a lot of talk and you've been part of this discussion too about working class voters. From, you know, the period of Roosevelt, Franklin Roosevelt's presidency forward, there was a presumption in part because of the connections between the Democratic Party and some of the major unions that working class voters would be Democratic voters. Then the Trump movement seems to have reversed that, at least in some areas, perhaps particularly in the Midwest. How do you see that issue today? Are working class voters MAGA voters? Are they Trump voters? Are they Democratic voters? What would you say?
23:25
Yeah. I mean, I think it's important to keep in mind who, you know, what we mean when we say working class voters. I mean, there's a very, I think a very small sort of narrow segment of working class voters who are overwhelmingly white and male, they're largely rural, who have, you know, who are, have become Trump voters. Many of those voters have been conservative voters for a very long time. I mean, they were, you know, going back to Reagan, even going back to before that, to Nixon.
23:55
The working class is extremely diverse and the working class as a whole still is decidedly Democrat. But if you, if you look at a particular, you know, segments of workers, I thought it was actually interesting that, you know, Trump, spoke, gave his speech when he went to Detroit in Macomb County, which is the sort of classic place where, the sort of origin of the term Reagan Democrats. The sort of long-term Democrats who had turned to the Republican Party with the, in 1980 to vote for Reagan. So I think, you know, I think Trump's politics are often sort of framed in the context of the 1980s. Right. And he seems sort of stuck back there. But I think that was definitely part of his, thinking and going.
24:45
âIs it fair to say that the white male elements of the working class that we associate also with traditional unionism, the traditional people working in Henry Ford's plants and others, is that a smaller and smaller part of what you'd call the working class today?
25:03
Well, in some respects it's always been a small part of the working class. They've been the working class that has been most visible. I see. But certainly, I mean, in, like, if you look at core industrial jobs, I mean, if you look at the pictures of UAW picket lines, you know, they look very different. It's lots of women, and lots of Black and Latino men. So in that sense, the sort of core sort of UAW, which has always been a racially diverse union, right? But it's become, its sort of core constituency has become more racially and gender diverse. Certainly gender diverse. Right. That makes sense.
26:43
Yeah. I mean, as you said, I would point to history. I mean, if you look at the post-war period when the UAW was at its most powerful, that was also the point in which the U.S. economy was growing more rapidly than it ever has, before or since. And so I think that, you know, again, it's correlation. But it raises the question as to whether there is a fundamental sort of tension between growth and, you know, better wages, better working conditions, sort of a more prosperous working class.
27:18
I think also I'd point to, you know, a lot of that conversation goes around the sort of sense that sort of better wages for auto workers is going to be damaging for consumers, right? That, like, if we raise wages for auto workers, you know, it's gonna raise the cost of a car. We hear this in a lot, you know, if we pay fast food workers too much, it's gonna, you know, shut people out of McDonald's, right? And I think it's important to keep in mind that in each of those cases, the actual cost of labor is just a fraction of the cost of making any product. I think the cost of labor, the labor cost for making a car is around 10 to 15% of the total cost. So there's a lot of other factors going into that.
29:00
I think so, and I think one thing about this moment that maybe is a little optimistic is that I think the attention from both parties to the issue of economic equality, albeit from two different perspectives and one often much more about cultural resentment than actual economic policy, I think that should be a positive sign that most Americans or a large number of Americans recognize that the future of our economy is not going to be in the same places and organizations that we've relied on in the last decade or so that we have to look back to the past but also look forward to find new ways of thinking about wealth distribution and economic prosperity in our country.
30:00
I think so, and I think quite simply it's one of the places in American politics that is most exciting but also most accessible. I think it's a engaging, exciting, political movement as much as it is a very serious, critique of our economy.
30:37
Yeah, well, I think you can, I'll do a plug for taking labor history classes. Sign up for my classes. Go to Minneapolis and sign up for Will's class. That's right. Well, you, you don't have to come here. You can in most universities there are classes, you know, related to labor history and labor studies more broadly.
30:57
I do think that, you know, Zachary's right in terms of the accessibility. I mean, in a lot of cases young people, you know, learn about unions 'cause they go to work in a place where there's a union drive. And, you know, I've been, there's a Starbucks down the street from my house, and I've had a great time talking to people who are trying to build a union there. And they're, you know, they're all in their 20s, and they have, you know, they haven't been involved in unions before, but they're learning a lot about unions, and they're really interested in it. So that's a way that I think, you know, whether you work in a place like that or you, you know, you go to a business like Starbucks, I think you can talk to the people who work there about their experiences. And, you know, I think depending on where you live, there are a lot of union members who, you know, they don't wear their UAW hat everywhere, but they're, you know, they're around and they have experience with unions. So those are other ways you can learn about unions.
31:56
âIts such a great point. Even in a state like Texas, which traditionally doesn't have the same strong unionization as other parts of the country, teachers are part of a union, right? That's right. What I know your next project is on, Will, public service workers, right? That's right. âMy wife, who's a city council member, she's actually part of AFSCME, which is the public sector union. And so there are actually a lot of people around who work with or are involved with unions. And, as you say, Will, I think that talking to them and getting a sense, positive and negative, of what their experience is, is important in informing ourselves when we're discussing these issues politically. âYeah. I mean, it's true that, you know, if you're in high school, the chances are your teacher is a union member.
32:41
Right. Right. Well, Will, thank you so much for sharing this excursion, a necessary excursion today into the history of unions and workers in American society. There's obviously much more you could say. You could fill, I think, 500 podcast episodes on this, but you've given us really a wonderful introduction to the topic, and I hope our listeners will dig in for more. So, thank you Professor Will Jones for joining us today. Thanks for having me on. It was great to talk to both of you. And thank you, Zachary, of course, for your, inspiring and really imaginative poem bringing us to the picket lines where we all could learn a lot. And thank you for doing that, Zachary. Thank you most of all to our loyal listeners for joining us for this episode of This Is Democracy.
Episode 251: Middle East in the 1970s and Today
00:25
Welcome to our new episode of this is democracy. This week, we are going to return to the Middle East. We did an episode a few weeks ago with Peter Beinart on the conflict between Israel and Hamas. And today we're going to take an even more historical deep dive. We're going to look at the 1970s, which I think historians have come to agree is a period of major transformation in the region. And we're going to look at what happened in the 1970s and how the experience of that crucial decade had deep influence upon the events that we're seeing today and probably will continue to have deep influence upon where we go from where we are today in the region. This is a case where history is not only part of the past, but really is ever present in our contemporary conflicts and our contemporary efforts to understand the conflicts around us. We're fortunate to be joined by a person who's a close friend and someone who I think is one of the really great scholars of the Middle East from the 1960s to the present. This is Salim Yaqub. He's a professor of history at the University of California, Santa Barbara. and director of UCSB Center for Cold War Studies and International History. Salim, it's so good to have you on the podcast.
07:49
It's also, and also, you know, they're bringing the Cold War struggle, you know, to the region in a way that hadn't quite happened previously. Also, I mean, certainly the 1973 war is very key for all sorts of reasons that we'll probably get into. It's, you know, during and shortly after that war that the power of the oil producing Middle Eastern states, and in this case, particularly the Arab states, because they actually mount an embargo against the United States and some Western countries becomes, you know, unavoidable, you know, it becomes impossible to ignore.
08:29
And of course, the lingering after effects of the oil embargo and of the OPEC price increases are gonna last for the remainder of the decade and into the following one. And, you know, also the manner in which the Arab Israeli War of 1973 ends and the kind of diplomacy that comes in its wake sets the agenda for Arab Israeli peacemaking for years and in some cases, you know, arguably decades to come.
19:54
And so through a series of very complicated and clever diplomatic initiatives, he manages to sideline Syria, although that takes, that process takes a couple of years and it's something that Asad himself is not quite aware is occurring until it's too late for him to stop it. He ends, he brings an end to the Arab oil embargo and he, essentially puts in place a diplomatic process where Egypt withdraws from the confrontation with Israel, and the beauty of that, from Kissinger's perspective, is that it results in the subtraction of Egyptian power from the Arab Israeli equation.
43:47
The Arab states, as you say, in 1973 are united and they show that they are not as weak as they had been in 67. The Saudis and the other oil rich states are able to use oil as a weapon in many ways to bring down the American economy or to cause enormous pain in the United States, both at the beginning of the 1970s period, and then also at the end of the decade. So there's rising Arab power.
55:33
Zachary, I want to turn to you now. Salim has given us a tour de force here. He's in 30 to 5 minutes, 40 minutes, he's provided a really thoughtful, balanced, rigorous overview of an entire decade and its legacies for today, many of its legacies for today. And I know you have been deeply involved in debates about these policy issues on campus with other students. We discussed this in our prior episode. How do you react to Salim's historical framing for what you're debating today among students and others regarding this region of the world?
Episode 264: Free Trade and Peace
00:24
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week we're going to discuss a term that is thrown around almost every day in newspapers and political discussion, but a term that is rarely defined or historicized, and that term is free trade. The United States calls itself a free trade nation. Whether that's true or not is something we'll discuss, but more significantly we'll discuss what free trade really means, and how a group of thinkers, pioneering thinkers and political activists and policy makers in the 19th century pioneered a new way of pursuing free trade with certain ideals of peace attached to it.
01:07
We'll understand and talk about what it was that they meant and what it means for us today as we understand our own world. We're fortunate to be joined by a friend and really wonderful scholar, Marc Palen. Marc is a historian at the University of Exeter, and his new book that we're going to talk about is called Pax Economica: Left Wing Visions of a Free Trade World. It was just published in early 2024 by Princeton University Press. It's already been featured in the New Yorker magazine, one of my favorite magazines, as one of the best new books out in the last year. Marc has written on this topic before, his dissertation that he wrote at the University of Texas at Austin. And his first book is called The "Conspiracy" of Free Trade: The Anglo-American Struggle for Empire and Economic Globalization. Marc also writes frequently for major newspapers and magazine, including Le Monde in France, Time Magazine, the Washington Post, New York Times, and the Australian Eye. So he covers at least three continents, if not more, in his writing.
02:12
And as I, as I said before, Marc has a connection to the University of Texas. He was a graduate student here. And so we're very proud of the work that he's done. Marc, thanks so much for joining us today.
03:16
Sometimes when the sun is setting, I wonder if a hope is nothing more than mud to scrub away with soap. I watch the darkness coming with its ominous smile, and the birds no longer humming are erased in single file. And yet each morning when it comes at last, I see a new world rising and it's rising fast. A world of peace that isn't stale, a world at sea, a world at sail. We are chasing Earth's still spinning tail, like birds who sing at every dawn. The hate has flown, the fear is gone, I spy your ports, you spot my shores, you sell my treasures in your stores. Each setting sun is now a kind of hoping that tomorrow will be in the harbours roping.
04:17
My poem is about the ways in which, even in the points in our lives, and in our politics when we are the most cynical. That trade, and sort of physical connection across the vast seas of the world, can offer a real opportunity for peace and real hope, even when things seem sort of impossible abysmal around us. Right.
04:50
Marc. I think that's a great place to really dive into your book. So much of your book, especially the first 2 to 3 chapters is about the efforts of certain activists, seems to me, to escape what they see is the imperialism and economic nationalism and cruelty of of the 19th century of the world of empire that we all know a fair amount about. Why did these activists, Richard Cobden is one of them who stands out, why did they turn to free trade as a source of peace and anti imperialism, as you call it?
05:21
I mean, this is, you know, it gets this sort of Enlightenment era ideas that this is building off of, but it's also, I think, building off of something new that's developing in the mid 19th century was, which is, a truly global economic system in a, in ways that we, you know, understand it today and global food systems and so forth. And pushing back against the mercantilist system that had dominated the imperial order up until the mid 19th century, a mercantilist system of protectionism, of closed imperial markets and seemingly constant war, and geopolitical conflict.
06:02
And so when this free trade movement that Richard Cobden in Britain spearheads, this middle class pressure group, the anti corn law league, it's beyond just lowering Britain's trade walls and allowing for cheap goods and cheap food to flow in. He actually sees this direct connection between those domestic reforms and reforming the international order. Something that if we, I guess in international relations scholarship, we would think we call capitalist peace theory or interdependence theory, the idea that the more countries trade with one another, the less likely they are to go to war. This is kind of when this is really starting to take root, at the left of center into the political spectrum in remarkable ways. And so yeah, go ahead.
06:51
Yeah. And it's striking to me in your book that, and it's in your subtitle, right? These are left wing visions. These are progressive, self defined progressives in many ways. The figures who you include go from Richard Cobden to Jane Addams, Norman Angle, so many of these people we associate with progressive anti war, anti imperial stands. Many listeners today, though, might think about free trade as benefiting large corporations and benefiting the rich, allowing the rich to get richer. We think about that with the movement of capital and investments and hedge funds and things like that today. Obviously, your progressive figures have a different vision of what free trade is about. How do they connect it, as you describe in the book, to domestic reform?
07:36
Yeah, great point. And I mean, yeah, this does, you know, challenge in a certain sense, associations that we commonly have now, the champions of the free market as right wing in their leanings. And, so yeah, this is about how those left of center, the anti imperialist, the peace activists, the abolitionists, the women's suffragists, so many of these things that we would think of left of center politically, even now, were coming together in really remarkable ways from the 1840s onwards. And one of the ways they were doing it is, you have to understand that kind of the way that the global order was still essentially being run, who were the people in charge? In the context of mid 19th century Britain, for example, this is an era in which the aristocratic elites still are running the show.
08:27
And who are the aristocratic elites? They are the landed elites. They are the ones who are making all the money off of these protective tariffs on foreign grain, even though it means people in these industrializing cities in Britain are starving. And so it, by going after the economic power of landed elites, you can then, minimize their power politically as well.
08:52
And this allows for greater democratization. It also means that if you democratize foreign policy and you minimize the power of these militant aristocratic elites on foreign policymaking, then you can create a more peaceful foreign policy system that doesn't require large standing armies and navies, which means you can lower taxes and thus, make things even more affordable to a mass majority of people. So that's the kind of in a nutshell, how they connect that domestic element with the foreign policy.
11:18
One of the striking elements of your book to me, and this also echoes a point you made in your prior book. So it's one of the Palen contributions to understanding these issues, is that the United States, for all of its claims about free trade, was not a free trading nation in the late 19th and early 20th century, and in some ways was the enemy of these free traders. Can you say more about that, Marc?
11:42
Yeah, and it's really mainly the Republican Party. So the Republican Party, when it's founded in the 1850s, it is, of course, the party of anti slavery. But once slavery officially comes to an end at least and, with the end of the civil war, 1865, the Republican party refashioned itself as the party of protectionism.
12:04
And so with their dominance of American politics throughout most of the decades that follow up, until the election of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, you have this republican style protectionist policy. It's a very anglophobic one. Fear, hatred of the British is a common political tact that's taken to reinforce these protectionist demands, but it's also, you know, the American industries were certainly less developed than those of the British, and so they saw this as a way to catch up to and rival, the more industrially advanced British, who had recently adopted free trade.
12:41
So this seemed like a nice counterbalance to it, and also led to all sorts of geopolitical conflicts with America's neighbors, especially the British colony to the north, Canada. And then when the United States becomes a proper, formal empire in its own right under Republican auspices in 1898 after the Spanish American war, it's a protectionist economic nationalist empire that comes into being here that the Republicans oversee. And, you know, pushing back against that common understanding that we, I think we tend to make of this late 19th, early 20th century, those decades leading up to the first world war as some sort of Gilded Age era of free markets and laissez faire run amok. One of the things I've been trying to push back against is to say that, that's actually, it was quite the opposite.
13:30
And this is exactly how these left wing free traders saw the world system, as a world system dominated by empires who lean towards economic nationalism, at home and abroad. And I think without understanding that protectionist makeup of the American people, American empire, as well as other rival empires, like the French, the Russians, the Italians, the Ottomans, the Japanese, and so forth, that you get, it really would be impossible to understand why this broad left wing internationalist subscription to free trade existed.
13:59
So, Marc, one of the really interesting parts of your book is your reinterpretation of the late 19th and early 20th century, just along the lines we've been discussing. Traditionally, people have argued that, this is a period of, growing trade, growing interdependence between countries, and that actually causes violence and imperialism. You see this the opposite way, right? And tell us more about that.
14:30
Yeah. And I mean, this gets into a lot of kind of historiographical minefields about, you know, why the late 19th, early 20th century is tended, tends to be portrayed as an area of free trade and laissez faire, you know, run amok, as I described. But in reality, this is aside from the British who embraced free trade from the 1840s until the 1930s, one rival empire, the British after another, led by the United States and its growing empire, turned to economic nationalism and imperial expansion across the late 19th, early 20th centuries. And this is exacerbated with the onset of a global depression in 1873. Something we can probably relate to nowadays, which is, during times of economic crises, nations tend to look inwards, tend to retreat from the international system, as we've seen so clearly, in the wake of the great recession and then the pandemic.
15:25
And so this is what's happening in the late 19th, early 20th century. Yes, ties are still growing, but that's because of these new tools of globalization, transportation costs are drastically falling, steamships and transcontinental railways and so forth. And so you can still have an increase in integration, even though you're seeing a growth of economic nationalism. And of course that imperial expansion that the United States and other rival empires are practicing, is globalizing the world in a certain sense too, through the forceful incorporation of colonies into the kind of Anglo European sphere that they're developing here.
16:03
But again, it's through these restrictive economic nationalist empires that we're seeing coming to us. And it's this growth. And if you want to take the kind of Marxist approach, the growth of the divvying up of the world amongst these rival protectionist empires that culminates in the first world war.
16:19
And just to underline a point before we get to the First World War, you make this clear in your book that the free traders criticize the United States in particular for building a closed empire, closed to external trade empire that benefited U. S. trade in the Philippines, for example. That this was not a free trade empire, as some have argued, but in fact, what the United States was doing was building an economically nationalist empire, correct?
16:46
Correct. That's correct. And if, and yeah, and one of the things that I tease out here is how it needs these former Spanish colonies that become American colonies in the context of Puerto Rico, say, or the Philippines, or informally with Cuba. Yeah, you start to see this even from the anti colonial nationalists themselves. Who are demanding free trade with the United States, who are poverty stricken from years of internal conflict, fighting the Spanish and so forth, and who are suddenly unable to afford food, afford clothes because of these new protected tariffs that are placed upon them by the protectionist Republican empire builders back in Washington.
17:23
And so, yeah, so even from the colonies themselves, you can start to see this protectionist makeup of the American empire project. And it's this American system idea. This is what it was called, right? This, this protectionist ideology that kind of grew in many ways in the United States across the 19th century that became the American system of protectionism. It's this ideology that's actually going to shape at least more shape that Imperial order amongst Britain's rivals than free trade Britain itself will.
17:54
Zachary. You mentioned in your previous answer that there's a connection between this sort of divvying up of the world's resources, and the beginnings of World War One. Could you maybe explain that in more detail? And also, maybe talk a little bit about, you mentioned as well that many leftists have taken this interpretation in particular to make a point about free trade. Could you talk about how that's been interpreted as well?
18:24
Sure, yeah, and this is a critique that's made by what we call kind of center left critics like J.A. Hobson, this famous British critic of imperialism, liberal radical critic of imperialism, writing around the turn of the 20th century. This is then going to be built upon from an even farther left framework, by V. I. Lennon, imperialism in the highest stage of capitalism, writing amidst the first world war, trying to understand and make sense of how the world had become a world in conflict, how these rival empires turn against one another. And, you know, that's one of the fascinating things about this, if you actually look at this and of course, from the, from the left wing internationalist free trade perspective in general, this is exactly what they've been saying from the get go. And that is that it's this expansion of the protectionist empires, you end up with, and yeah, so what are they trying to do? They're trying to expand empires because according to this critique, at least, you know, protectionism creates monopolies, monopolies create inefficient markets at home. This leads to the apparent necessity to search for new markets, to export surplus capital abroad and to exploit raw materials from these newfound colonies to then be used by these industrializing powers back at home.
19:38
This is how people from across the left wing spectrum are explaining the growth of imperial expansion across the late 19th, early 20th centuries. And in the case of V.I. Lennon and trying to explain the outbreak of the first world war itself. Once these empires, these expanding empires have run out of new colonies to exploit for exporting surplus capital for exploiting raw materials, they finally turn on one another. And so you can actually see these really fascinating connections and commonalities by capitalist critics of the imperial system and Marxist critics of the imperial system. Indeed, in the context of Hobson and Lenin, this is even called the Hobson Lenin thesis, because Lenin is explicitly drawing on these capitalist theories of imperialism to make his own, even more extreme critiques of the system.
20:32
So as I understand it, Marc, you have a real resuscitation of Norman Angle in your book. Norman Angle, as you point out, was this incredibly popular writer in the early 20th century who predicted that countries that trade together will not go to war together. And of course, those countries did go to war in World War I and realists, those who have dominated international relations scholarship really in the last 70 years, kind of use Norman Angle as a whipping boy, right? They say, you see these liberal internationalists, these left wing thinkers who believe that if you create a world of cooperation, you won't have war. See how wrong they are, and the world is filled with inevitable conflict and war. That's the realist argument, of course. You're bringing Norman Angle back, though you're saying he was actually more correct than realists have given him credit for. Do I understand that right?
21:24
Yeah. You know, he's often seen as an early 20th century, Edwardian disciple of Cobdenism. He puts forward this more pragmatic appeal to a businessman's pocketbook with his book, as you point out, the very, very famous and influential, The Great Illusion that gets published in 1910. And that takes the kind of Euro American Left by storm. Norman Angle clubs are getting started all over the place. So he really does pick on a moment here. But if you actually, you know, he spent much of his life actually pushing back against the misunderstandings of it. He intimately understood the growth of political nationalism that was growing across the early 1900s, as well as the economic nationalism of the early 19th century. His, The Great Illusion was not a optimistic call saying that, global, the global, the degree of globalization now means that no wars can happen, it was actually a pessimistic appeal to say that even the winners of a war would lose because the world is so integrated. And I think that's the thing that gets lost along the way, as you point out, by international relations theorists drawing on these early 20th century ideas, boiling him down to a single sentence, it actually has lost the main point, the main thrust of what he was saying.
22:42
He was trying to warn business and then he was trying to warn, you know, the political right really that this continued nationalism, this continued economic nationalism would leave few if any winners, even those who supposedly would win a war at that point.
23:00
So why was it, Marc, that Franklin Roosevelt and Cordell Hull, his Secretary of State, who often gets forgotten, but gets a lot of attention in your book, why is it that they came to agree with Norman Angle?Why did they buy into this free trade argument in the ways in which their predecessors had not? And why did they buy into it after a world war and during the Great Depression, when you would have expected them to be more economically nationalist as Herbert Hoover, Franklin Roosevelt's predecessor certainly was, what led Roosevelt and Hull to shift in the direction of Cobden and others during the great depression?
23:40
Hmm. Yeah, and I mean you can see, you know, one of the things I try to do especially with the first book is that the earliest origins of this and in the late 19th century, so you do see this start to show itself a bit with the two non consecutive administrations of Grover Cleveland in the late 19th century 1885 to 89, 1893 to 97, where you see a noticeable pushback against the Republican empire project. Attempts, failed attempts to create a freer trade system in the United States. Woodrow Wilson goes somewhat in that direction when it comes to free trade. He is a self described disciple of the Manchester school, which is another term for Cobdenism. Although it's not necessarily something that is demonstrated by his foreign policy in, say, the Caribbean region. So yeah, it's really going to be when, when FDR appoints Cordell Hull as secretary of state. And I think it's important again to understand someone like Cordell Hull who got his political start as a 17 year old stump speaker for Grover Cleveland in 1888 amid the great debate over whether the United States would take a free trade path or a protectionist one.
24:50
And of course the protectionists would win that one. And then of course, Cordell holds lessons that he learned from the first world war really firmly ingrained the fact that he connects free trade with anti imperialism and peace, and he sees the first world war clearly as one that was begun by these economic conflicts, these trade wars that led up to the outbreak of the First World War.
25:15
So that, those are lessons he takes, but the question is then, how do FDR and Cordell Hull succeed where their predecessors had failed? And I think you put your finger on it there with Herbert Hoover. The Republican protectionist project that began in the 1860s finally loses the support that it was able to maintain from American laborers through these kind of political debates that dominated the scene for so long. And that's because of the infamous Hawley Smoot, or Smoot Hawley Tariff of 1930. That is this protective tariff that Hoover's administration passes just on the heels of the outbreak of the Great Depression. And it's clear to everybody by 1932, and the presidential elections that this protective tariff had exacerbated and made worse the great depression that had created these trade tensions, shrunk international trade when it needed to be increased. And so FDR and Cordell Hull are able to build on this shift happening within the American body politic to start turning it towards a freer trade direction.
26:27
And that's exactly what they're going to do. With the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act, and then, of course, with the creation of what we now associate with, sort of, post 1945 Bretton Woods system, that comes into being in the late 1940s
26:41
Right. And this, as you describe it, becomes a kind of true golden age for free trade, if we might call it that, from the end of World War II until, I don't know, late 1960s, early 1970s, is that correct?
27:54
The Young Women's Christian Association is really big on this. But it brings in a broad umbrella of these free trade advocates to support the Roosevelt administration's free trade reforms. And so this is going to lead to, yes, these Bretton Wood, you know, structures, the IMF and so forth, but even more important here is the creation of the general agreement on tariffs and trade in 1947, which Hull is broadly considered to have created. And of course this will become the world trade organization in 1995. So at least the structures of what we associate with multilaterals and with free trade had come into being in the late 1940s and the left wing free traders, you know, I think to a certain extent, plausibly pat themselves on the back for helping to bring it about.
28:41
But of course the cold war decolonization, the growth of a right wing free trade tradition that we touched on at the very beginning of this discussion, all of these things are going to start muddying the waters, so to speak, and make the, what seemed like a new freer trade system, much less easy to maintain.
29:01
And to me, that's one of the more interesting parts of your overall very interesting book is when you get to neoliberalism and you get to the 1970s and 80s and Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, many would see them as free traders and maybe even as inheritors of Richard Cobden's ideas, you say, no. You draw a distinction between neoliberals and free trade peace activists. What is the distinction there?
29:30
Well, from the left wing free traders perspective, there's an evolution that happens. So maybe it's a generational evolution that's happening here too. They're much more sympathetic by the 1950s, 1960s, 1970s of the decolonizing world, of what we might call the global South, the G77, these demands for temporary protectionism by these recently decolonized States.
29:55
There's a great deal of sympathy for this, leads to all sorts of new left wing internationalist movements like the fair trade movement, who are similarly advocating these things and have that similar sympathy for demands from labor, demands from the decolonizing world. So this is going to be different from how these free traders on the right are going to respond to these, international issues, and activists.
30:22
And so that's one of the big differences here. So, yes, you have Thatcher in the seventies coming onto the political scene in Britain, who's going to slam down a book by Hayek as soon as she walks in and says, you know, this is what we believe. Frederick Hayek, one of the intellectual founding fathers of neoliberalism. And in a similar way, Reagan is going to surround himself with, you know, neoliberal, right wing economists who are extremely distrustful of anti colonial nationalist demands for protectionism. They're increasingly dis trustful of democracy itself, of course of the welfare state, of trade unions, there's really quite key differences here, but I think the two biggest are where these neoliberals are willing to do at the foreign policy realm and, and how they associate free trade with democracy.
31:17
So the free, the left wing free traders of the book, the main actors in the story closely associate free trade with democratization. And a foreign policy of non interventionism, right? You don't force free trade onto another state unwillingly. This is something that neoliberals 1980s onwards are going to deviate from drastically, even though in many ways they're drawing from the same intellectual wellspring. And so this is where we have the neoliberals who are gonna you know, support Pinochet's Chile, this, you know, dictatorship in Chile and apartheid South Africa, and who are increasingly gonna see democracies, especially democracies from the left, as a threat. An impediment to free trade rather than as an accompaniment to free trade. And so using military interventionism and being suspicious of democratic movements, in the name of free trade, this shows them to be something quite different from the free trade internationalist tradition that I was tracing in previous chapters.
32:24
And you make the, you make the argument that neoliberalism, as you say, this is from your book, page 218, that neoliberals have effectively co opted free trade as a neo colonial tool. So you are clearly making the case, there's a different version of free trade that's not neo-colonial, that's not mercantilist. As you call the, the moment from 2016 on. What would that be? I mean, one of the real goals of our podcast each week is to try to use history to help uncover alternative pathways. Things we could do today that would be hopeful. So what is the hopeful alternative to the world of US-China market rivalry that often seems to disempower smaller countries and smaller cultures. What's the alternative pathway from the left wing free trade vision that you've excavated so well here, Marc?
33:23
Yeah, great. Really, really, that's a really difficult, but really important question. And maybe we can end it on a positive note if I do this correctly. Yeah, I, so we have these multilateral institutions that, It comes into being precisely to create a more peaceful and interdependent world in the late 1940s. But they increasingly become controlled, taken over by this more right leaning, internationalism of the neoliberals and of multinational corporations within the kind of context of the Milton Cold War. And so this is, I think, the beginning of it. And so because of that too, you also see a lot less of a strict adherence to free trade internationalism, especially once Cordell Hull is no longer in the State Department.
34:13
And so you still start to see, kind of the hangover of this imperialism of economic nationalism that had dictated American foreign policy for so many decades leading up to the Second World War. And you see this most visibly even today with the Cuban embargo, something done under Democratic auspices, but continued under both parties.
34:34
And so in an interesting way, the legacy of the imperialism of economic nationalism in the United States, it's still very, was very much with us even before 2016, even before we ended up electing. an avowedly protectionist Republican president. You know, it was one of those things in 2016 that I was not surprised by at all. And of course, you could point back to most of the history of the Republican party as a party of protectionism, that Trump was by no means an anomaly, but a return to the status quo, from this longer viewpoint. But it was interesting to see how the Democrats from 2020, started just borrowing from and echoing Trump's protectionist platform to the point now that we're going to have, it looks like, a Republican protectionist running for president, and we're going to have a Democratic protectionist running for president in the 2024 elections. And like you say, in the context of trade wars and steel tariffs against the EU, and geopolitical conflict that's being drawn from that, sanctions against a variety of states as well, food embargoes and blockades, and then of course the Cuban embargo itself is still very much a thing.
36:47
And so this alternative globalization, alter globalization, from the left, is still around. It's still prominent, but it is very much on the outs because of all these kind of transformations of the global system we've been touching on. The growing power of neoliberal policies at the top and, the lack of influence that left wing internationals now have over policymaking.
37:12
But I think maybe one way to think about it, and one thing you can draw from this book as a way of going forward here is how the left wingers, the liberal radicals, the socialists, the women's suffragists, the Christian pacifists, they all, by the early 1900s, by around the time of the First World War, came together and were working together in ways that would probably surprise us, especially with our Cold War lenses on, the idea that Marxist internationalists were working alongside capitalists to try to create a more interdependent, peaceful order. That is still a possibility, and maybe that is the only way to revitalize this if you do see the world in a way that these left wing internationals see it. It's through a new coalition form of like minded, dare we say globalists who see the kind of, inward looking, turn towards autarky and trade wars that have become so commonplace now as something that they want to oppose. It was an interesting lesson to be drawn from this book where actually, in surprising ways, there was a really broad left wing coalition that was in many ways successful in working together to overturn the protectionist system.
38:39
Certainly more so than their Republican counterparts, certainly more so. I, you know, I do try to make the point though, that even still their foreign policy credentials when it comes to military interventionism. In the case of, say, Haiti or, in the context of Clinton, for example, his sanctions against Iraq in the 1990s, these are, you know, these are limiting trait. These are things that the leftwing free traders, the non-interventionists would've been vocally opposed to. But I think it, to a certain extent, they're still there. You can certainly see it in the rhetoric of Clinton, and I think with Obama, perhaps even more so in the policy practices that he was operating under, his attempts to support the Trans Pacific Partnership, despite the critiques from the alt left, that were still critical of too much of an influence for the multinational corporations. And some elements of this certainly still at play within democratic internationalism of Clinton and Obama. I think that's fair.
40:07
I think it does. I think it's also the last question in particular, last answer, was a really important reminder that oftentimes the questions that need to be asked or are not necessarily, like, ones of ideology, but of whose interests certain policies are serving. I think the sort of description of how the, at least the ages of free trade, was overtaken by neoliberalism in the 70s and 80s is a really important lesson about the importance of keeping in mind whose interests our policies serve, because, looking at it on paper, it can seem that the neoliberal policies are of the same tradition, but, in reality they were serving very different interests. And I think also this vision of left wing free trade is something that we should all take very seriously, especially at a moment when our, when the sort of liberal international institutions, which this movement created or the descendants of this movement created after World War II seem most threatened. And certainly when our, when the sort of free trade world order that developed after the end of the Cold War seems most threatened as well.
41:20
Yes, I think that's really well said, Zachary. And one thing, Marc, I've been thinking about as I was re-reading your book, and as I've been listening to your really thoughtful and inspiring comments today, you know, we are entering a moment where it does seem that protectionism is the main valence of politics. As you say, both presidential candidates in the U. S. this year will be running as protectionists, as advocates of industrial policy of one kind or another. Certainly that's the way China operates. The E. U. Has been moving more in that in that direction, and of course, we're witnessing wars, economic nationalist wars across the world from the Middle East to Ukraine and Russia.
42:00
But as all that's happening, there is a desire to move beyond this moment in a search for an alternative. And especially in a world that's torn by inequalities and warfare, this vision of interdependence, of trade, of openness, of, building prosperity, shared prosperity through open connections that are not militarized and mediated by international institutions. That actually might become a more compelling vision. Much of the discussion around the International Criminal Court is in many ways a discussion about this. And so we might be on the cusp, just as we were in the late 1920s, we might be on the cusp again of another free trade international peace activist moment. That would seem to be the hopeful democratic message in much of this. Do you agree with that Marc?
42:55
You both put it so, so well as far as what might be possible hereafter. And of course, if I were to take maybe even a more cynical approach at looking back to the successes, not just of the FDR and 1930s, but, you know, why it was that the free traders succeeded in Britain in the 1840s. And, you know, for them it connected to peace and, but I think the prosperity element, I think, is the other important thing here too. And I think for maybe a lot more people, the connection between interdependence and peace is going to be less important than what it means for their pocketbooks.
43:32
And so, you know, the increase of prices that is becoming, it's hurting the poorest among us even more than anybody else. You know, I wonder if that prosperity argument that often comes with free trade, lower prices for goods, potentially something really important to a lot of the actors in my book, especially the women's suffragists ending world hunger by the equitable distribution of trade, of food through, through a free trade system, that also I think might resonate or perhaps might resonate with the even larger group.
44:02
Yes, I think that's very well said, Marc, and a very nice connection to one of the central issues of our world today, which is the inequalities in food and nutritional access across, within countries and across countries. Of course, this brings us full circle, as always, to, in some ways, the inspiration for our podcast, which is Franklin Roosevelt. We started this podcast with his inspiration for how each generation writes a new chapter in the book of democracy. And, as always, the new chapters build on old chapters. Chapters that might have been forgotten before. Marc, you have in your book, Pax Economica, that I recommend to all of our listeners, you have reminded us of such an important chapter in the evolution of Anglo American and international democracy in the 19th and 20th centuries. A chapter that seems more relevant than ever in this neo mercantilist age, as you call it. Thank you so much for joining us this week, Marc, and sharing your insights with us.
Episode 279: Hubert Humphrey & Civil Rights
00:24
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week, we are going to talk about a figure who played a major role in American history and the history of civil rights writ large, but a figure who's somewhat forgotten in many of our contemporary discussions. This is Hubert Humphrey, who was the mayor of Minneapolis and one of the most prominent members of the U.S. Senate for the second half of the 20th century. He was vice president and in 1968, a presidential candidate. We are fortunate today to be joined by a leading author and journalist and friend who has written a phenomenal book. It's a book that in some ways is a love letter to Hubert Humphrey and a wonderful explication of his life and a wonderful analysis of civil rights, of African American and Jewish relations in the United States. The author and friend and guest today is Samuel G. Friedman and his book that I highly recommend to all of our listeners, a book I will probably assign to my students in the spring, Into the Bright Sunshine, Young Hubert Humphrey and the Fight for Civil Rights. Sam is the author of many other books, including Upon This Rock, The Miracles of a Black Church, Jew versus Jew, The Struggle for the Soul of American Jewry. I believe his most recent book before this one, Breaking the Line, The Season in Black College Football that Transformed the Game and Changed the Course of Civil Rights. We'll see if UT can change the game this year, being number one in the country. Sam is a former columnist for the New York Times and he's a current professor of journalism at Columbia University. So, Professor Friedman, thank you for joining us.
07:21
That's a really important question because Humphrey grew up in Dolan, South Dakota, population 500, very homogeneous, Protestant, Northern European, Scandinavian, German, very conservative Republican, very conservative theologically. And he has the advantage of a father who's an iconoclast. His father's also a little bit of a con artist in running his drug store, but that's another story. But HH, as the father was called, was a liberal Democrat in a town with hardly any. He was a self-proclaimed freethinker agnostic in a town where everybody went to church. And he brought up Humphrey imbuing those kids with stories of Woodrow Wilson's internationalism and the better parts of William Jennings Bryan's prairie populism. HH was also brave enough to be a supporter of Al Smith, the first Catholic nominated by a major party for the presidency. And so Humphrey saw an example of political independent thinking in his father. And his father even would talk about meeting people across the bounds of difference, whether it was economic class or race or religion. And he would always tell young Hubert, 'if you treat people like dogs, you shouldn't be surprised if you get bitten.' There's one amazing moment I write about in the book, almost mythological to me, when Humphrey is 11 years old and he meets black people for the first time, because there are no black people within the book. He goes out to introduce himself to the road workers. And they're only in town for a couple of weeks, but Humphrey always remembers this. Humphrey connected through his Methodist minister of his childhood to what was called the social gospel movement, which is a form of Protestant belief that, by the way, they're as fundamentalist as other Protestants.A lot of the social gospel Protestants believed that the Bible was the inerrant, Word of God, they believed in temperance, they believed in personal purity, but the big difference is, for them, the consummate act of a believing good Protestant was to create what they called the kingdom of God on earth, and making the kingdom of God on earth meant for them working with organized labor, crossing religious lines, crossing racial lines. Humphrey drew on that wellspring of social gospel theology throughout his entire life. So that’s another piece. And then the really formative, other two formative moments are, number one, The Dakotas fall into an economic depression almost a decade before the rest of the country. It hits them in the early 1920s when crop prices plummet and Humphrey’s family loses their home. Their store goes deeply into debt. And at that point, before there’s a new deal, Hubert Humphrey becomes a new dealer because that’s where he realizes that what he’s heard in church, which is that financial hardship is the result of bad morals or foolish decisions or falling for get rich quick schemes, he realizes, no, that when the banks are closing in their little town, they’re And people are losing their homes, and farmers are not even sending their crops to market because they’ll make less money than it costs to plant them. You need government to step in. So by the time FDR becomes president in 1932, Hubert Humphrey, then 21, is already prepared to be a new dealer. The final piece. In 1939, [he] goes to graduate school... and that place happens to be Louisiana State University. And going there means that he lives in a Jim Crow society for the first time. And because of these elements of his pre-existing personality... seeing Jim Crow in action just profoundly offends something in him. And it also very interestingly prepares him after grad school to go back to Minneapolis... which is actually at this time a flagrantly racist and anti-Semitic city. And suddenly he is able to see what's been hiding in plain sight all along during his college years, which is that this city, you could say up south, has plenty of racial problems of its own that need solving.
13:14
One of the strengths of your book, Sam, for me as a reader, were your vivid descriptions of what it was like for Hubert Humphrey to travel by bus to LSU for the first time, to cross the Mason-Dixon line, and then, as you say, to go home, to go back to Minneapolis.
13:39
Exactly. Because in the South, not only does he live in Jim Crow and sees it really intimately... What he remembers indelibly are these moments of personal degradation of individual Black men and women. That's what really haunts him. The other thing that's much less expected in Baton Rouge is that that's where he makes Jewish friends for the first time, and also falls under the influence of this amazing Professor Rudolf Eberle, who's an exiled anti-Nazi... whose whole project as a scholar was to explore, how is it that democratic societies become totalitarian? And Humphrey is very, very affected by Eberle's instruction... And all that means that when he goes back North, instead of doing what you might expect a Northern New Dealer to do, which is to say, phew, I'm so glad I'm out of the benighted South and back in the enlightened North again, Humphrey feels none of that moral superiority. He suddenly sees all the warts in Minneapolis.
29:19
In 1948, Humphrey benefited from the interplay between insurgents within the party, literally inside the convention hall, and A. Philip Randolph outside. Randolph understood that desegregating the military was the lynchpin to civil rights... Humphrey had to convince a bunch of white Protestant delegates to give up some of their white Protestant privilege. And one of the ways he was able to do that is marshalling all the young liberal insurgents like himself and people like Paul Douglas from Illinois, Walter Ruther from the United Auto Workers, Eleanor Roosevelt... but there were also a group of not so liberal big city political bosses who knew how to count votes... these big city bosses had seen thousands upon thousands of blacks from the South come North in what we now call the Great Migration. And they knew if they didn’t embrace civil rights, they were going to lose their cities and lose the election.
43:39
I want to encourage all of our listeners to get a copy or two copies of Sam’s book, uh, into the bright sunshine young. Hubert Humphrey and the fight for civil rights. Zachary, thank you for your poem and your insights today. Thank you. And thank you most of all to our loyal listeners and our loyal subscribers to our substack for joining us for this week of This Is Democracy. This podcast is produced by the Liberal Arts ITS Development Studio and the College of Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. The music in this episode was written and recorded by Harris Codini. Stay tuned for a new episode every week. You can find This Is Democracy on Apple Podcasts. Spotify and Stitcher. See you next time.
Episode 283: Barbara Jordan
07:23
That's a great question. Well, I think it was a sort of a long time coming, and that's why half of the book is really about Houston and getting to that point of being elected to the Texas Legislature. You know, I really think it's important, as you say, Jeremi, to sort of go back and think about where we were in 1960 when it comes to electoral politics. There were no African Americans in the South who were serving in any state legislature, none. So we're really starting from zero, you know, at that point, and also the Democratic Party in the South was still largely a party run by conservatives. It's a party that does not welcome Black participation.
08:03
And Houston, however, is a bit of an outlier. This is why I think she was uniquely poised to make this stand and to succeed. It's because Houston had been a hotbed of activism for Black voting, and this goes back to the 1940s and I described this movement that was led by her Minister, the Reverend Albert Lucas, who worked with Thurgood Marshall. Reverend Lucas was head of the statewide NAACP, and he and Marshall, together really forged not just a court case, but a social movement behind what the case that became, Smith V. Allwright, and so Lucas was one of the first civil rights leaders who used the church to educate ordinary Black people about political issues and to use the pulpit as a means of political education and political mobilization.
08:55
And we're going to see this later, of course, in the what we think of as Civil Rights Movement. But he was doing this in the 1940s and it had an impact. And so after this case, which got rid of one of the most egregious forms of disfranchisement, the White primary, Black citizens in Houston were then able to participate in those primary elections from the mid 40s through, you know, the 50s and the 60s, and they very gradually, are having an impact on that party politics. And they join in with, eventually in the Kennedy campaign, which extraordinary. Kennedy won Texas in 1960 so (just barely) yes, just barely.
10:08
So as you can see, it's a kind of constellation of forces. She's an extraordinary individual. But there's a movement among, now, you have Black voters joining forces with liberals and labor to try and create a coalition to elect more liberal Democrats. It's a one party state, after all, (right, right) into office. So when Jordan is running now, okay, the obstacle of the White primary has been removed. But the there are other obstacles to voting. There are other forms of disfranchisement that still exist: the poll tax, for example. But the most terrible one for her, from her perspective, was malapportionment. This is before the Voting Rights Act, and so you have a terribly malapportioned Texas State Legislature. And in her case, the Senate was an institution where all of Houston with a million people had one senator, and then you had rural districts with only a few 1000 people, had a senator too.
11:12
And so because of a series of court cases, beginning with Baker V. Carr, liberals and other activists brought lawsuits that challenge the malapportionment and forced a redistricting of the Texas Senate, and eventually the House, but that comes later. So when Jordan is running in '62 she loses. She loses again in '64. And really this is a result of not just so much losing votes, but also a reluctance of people, of Whites, to vote for a Black woman candidate, and then not having an appropriate district to run in. When she gets that district in 1966, finally Houston has four senators now. So this is new. And the way the lines are drawn, the way it was explained to me, it was, it was not drawn with her in mind. That suit was brought to bring greater power to labor and to urban populations, but the way the district was drawn, it was just simply that it was slightly a Black majority, just not quite even, I would say, a Black majority, but it was favorable to her.
12:19
She still had run in a primary race against a White liberal male who actually, you know, said some very terrible things about her, and it was a real struggle for her to win that race against somebody who should have been in her corner. So there's many layers of disfranchisement here (yes) and racism, as Zachary pointed out, that she faced when she triumphed in '66 and the biggest thing was at the end was, will you accept a Black woman as your leader? Will you accept a Black woman as a political leader and candidate? And she really had to push that issue. No one handed that to her. She had to struggle for everything.
13:21
Oh, my goodness, Zachary, you ask the best questions. All right. Those, as she put it, those men did not want her there, okay, however, the Texas Legislature is a small institution. Has 31 people. On one hand, you could say she did have allies because of this redistricting. There were other liberals that she had worked with as part of this coalition who were there with her. So in theory, you have a group of about 11 who could perhaps block terrible legislation and even find some way to promote good legislation, you know, progressive legislation, especially around the issue of taxation, fairer taxation. This had been, long been, a liberal goal in Texas, right?
14:12
But she faced all kinds of what we would call microaggressions. Now we use the term microaggressions. At the time it would just be, you know, people saying racist things to her unthinkingly, right? So part of this is that she is accepted. She knows many of the liberals in her coalition, and so among them, she's accepted. And yet there is, if you look at the journalism of the time, there's clearly a lot of very racist things that are said about her, either behind her back, and she is also placed in very, unlike Hughes, very sort of uncomfortable social situations where she's forced to kind of socialize with with people who are not used to dealing with a Black woman as an equal or a peer.
18:31
There's, this was part of thinking about the future. Where do we go from here? And you can't mandate interracial democracy. You know, the Voting Rights Act can make things, can correct, you know, the malapportionment, can correct the history of disfranchisement, but it can't mandate elections of Black politicians. That has to come from the ground up, and it really takes people with guts and ambition to do that.
22:15
So that first part often gets left out, as though she is just, you know, blindly following some, you know, great American Dream, which she does believe in, by the way, but she also understands America's history of racism and and how important it has been to change and amend that Constitution to protect the rights of Black people. This is what gives her a great stake in this document. And this is why she's so angry at how Richard Nixon has defiled the Constitution.
29:16
So, for example, with Robert Byrd, she Introduces him at a party convention, at a mini convention (powerful senator from West Virginia) correct, who is going to play a very important role in the Voting Rights Act extension, she develops a kind of not, it's not a quid pro quo. It's never that bald, you know, but it's an understanding (yes) that, hey, here's somebody who represents the growing Black vote. This is the other thing that Jordan is never just about herself. A lot of her power, the perception of her power, comes from what she represents, which is with the Voting Rights Act, more and more Black people are registering to vote, and they're participating in primaries. And this is a new thing that Democratic, White Democratic politicians have to now take account of and Jordan is somebody who can explain this to them. (yes, yes) So, in terms of how she's perceived, I think it's quite mixed, actually, on one hand, the public perceives her very positively. On the other hand, people within Houston are still, and Austin, are still quite perhaps puzzled about how she was able to go so far so fast, and they are suspicious of her relationship with the power structure.
32:03
And now we're suffering a pushback against those decisions, and there's gonna be some, uh, uh, consequences to that, that extraordinary people are gonna, you know, even, like, you can have a lot of Black voting, but if the vote is not made meaningful, right, (Yes) through fair districting and other methods that were used to move things along after the Civil Rights Movement, there's terrible political consequences for our system.
Episode 311: US-Latin American Relations
03:54
That is also one of my favorite songs that he wrote. And no surprise, right? Because they studied the crisis. But I think he actually expresses a lot of what a lot of people in Latin America were feeling, this, this outrage that that the United States was even contemplating nuclear war without consulting them, with risking their lives for what a lot of people argued was capitalist gain. There were congressional debates in Chile where people were saying these exact same things, that this is all about capitalism and US imperialism, and that if there is a war, there's there's not going to be any winners, we're all going to lose a nuclear war.
Episode 312: Ukraine Negotiations
09:14
I think that the variable that matters here is Russian exhaustion, and we can say Putin will fight forever, and it's, you know, an authoritarian regime, and you can get people to follow Him, and, you know, or even you can look at some recent levada pollings, a sort of respected polling institution in Russia, and you can see fairly high levels of support for Putin and for the and for the war in those numbers. But I really don't know. I wonder. I mean, maybe it's my outsider's perspective. I think that this is a empty feudal war for Russia, in addition to being, you know, immoral and and criminal and execution. But, you know, I think it just doesn't bring Russia anything. And if you're a Russian sitting, you know, somewhere in Russia, and you're not, maybe enamored of Putin in the first place, and. You know, you sort of see all of this death and destruction and money and all of that for the sake of conquering Mariupol, you know, a medium sized city in Ukraine. You have to wonder what it's all what it's all for. So I do think exhaustion is a possible variable on the Russian side. It's not going to be next month or six months from now, but it could come. And if it does, then I think Putin will be obligated to cut his losses and think about some point of termination for the war. And so I think he will hold on to territory. I don't even think at this point that Eastern Ukraine is, you know, such attractive territory. And you know, gradually it may be possible for Ukraine to give some of it up. And Crimea, tacitly, has been given up already, so Putin can focus on that. And because of that exhaustion, he would have to tolerate this closer security bond between, you know, a big portion of Ukraine and Europe, or between Ukraine and the Transatlantic Alliance. He is not there at the moment. You know, as mentioned before, he's fighting the war to prevent that security bond from solidifying, but he may reach a point where it just seems like it's unpreventable, and the sacrifices on the Russian side are too great, and for domestic political reasons, it's necessary not to give up on every aspect of the war, but to compromise if that comes to pass. You know, I think that there's quite a bit of room to negotiation, but it's a big, you know, hypothetical, because there are lots of reasons why Putin might not want to go down that road. And, you know, he's been relatively successful at insulating big parts of Russia from the costs of the war. So it's, it's a hypothetical scenario for two, three years from now,
34:48
If I could Zachary just jump in with one further point, uh, since it sort of popped up at the end of my last, uh, last answer. I am, you know, all in favor of diplomacy. I'm all in favor of grand strategy. I'm all in favor of being able to think in abstract terms about the war in Ukraine. It's, it's necessary. It's important, it's necessary. The academic side is necessary on the, uh, on the policy side, but if there's any. Message in a way to leave listeners with when it comes to what can be done in a practical sense, a non defeatist, non fatalistic sense of supporting Ukraine. It resides very much in defense, industrial production, uh, and the production of drones, uh, in particular. Maybe the war will take on a new phase a year from now, or six months from now, and it'll be a different technology. But I was shocked to hear a briefing from Michael Kaufman noted, you know, military expert on the war. That Ukraine had an edge in drone warfare for the beginning of 2025, and that was helping Ukraine on the battlefield. For the last five, six months, Russia has had an edge in drone production and drone use on the, on the battlefield, and that's why Russia's making incremental gains. Now, how can that be when Russia's economy is one 10th the size of Europe's economy? And if you put the US into the mix, it's just such a small, uh, entity economically there, I think you can balance the equation. In ways that will really work in Ukraine's favor, uh, over time. So for, for all the abstractions that we just talked about in the last 40, minutes or so, the particulars of defense industrial production should demand a lot of our attention.
36:15
And, and just because you brought it up now, Michael, I can't resist asking, how did Russia shift that, uh, balance of, in, in what we might call the drone gap now, how, how did, how did that occur? Was it simply the, the withdrawal of American support for Ukraine, or what made that shift possible?
36:32
I don't really know. It's a question to ask a person who would be really inside of that question. All I can say, just as a general answer to, to your question, Jeremi, is that. The Russian economy is on a sort of mobilized wartime footing. The economy is the society is not, but the economy is with huge levels of defense spending at purchasing power parity, which of course we can say Russia has the eco, an economy the size of Italy's. But within the Russian economy, high levels of defense spending can, can bring about big results, and they're running factories 24 hours a day. And it's an authoritarian government, so they can force people to work there and sort of push production, uh, lines and levels at a, at a very, very high clip. And so in that sense, what we wanna be aware of, um, is the level of urgency on our side. It's way too low, uh, in the US. That feels clear to me. Uh, but I think it may even be too low in, in Europe, the level of urgency, uh, when it comes to this war, its potential consequences, uh, and the need to act quickly, uh, and resolutely so. You know, there, when you think of what Russia has done over the last four years, uh, to stick with the war and to gain certain kinds of advantage, that should be pretty sobering for us.
Episode 313: Civics and History Education
01:11
It, is our pleasure. for those of you who don’t know Steve Min’s work, you should, he is, I think, the leading historian of, the family, child, the childhood, and, family development in American history. He is, as I said before, not only, a prolific author, but a pedagogical innovator. He was for five years. The director of the UT Systems Institute for Transformational Learning, where he did a lot of pioneering work, in online and other forms of technological education. Steve has written many prize-winning books. I’m just going to name two that I highly recommend. There are two that I certainly have learned a lot from. one is called Hux Raft. Which, by the way, has a really beautiful cover among other things. it’s a history of American childhood published, around 2004, I believe. And then his, most recent book, I believe is the Learning Centered University, making College a more developmental, transformational and Equitable Experience. a book that certainly taught me a lot about not only the, history of the university, but about, many of the challenges and opportunities that we have today. So we are very fortunate to have Steve with us, before we get into our discuss. With Steve. as always, we have an opening poem, and today it’s a poem that Zachary, you have written yourself, coming back to Your Roots as our podcast poet. Yes, Zachary?
04:50
Dover Beach is nominally about the relationship between a man and his lover, but it is really about secularization. It’s about the transformations that are challenging 19th century beliefs. Beliefs in God, beliefs in social stability, modernization, industrialization, massive migration, mobility. All these were upending society. And where do we find meaning?
09:30
Steve, how do we determine what are the key texts and key topics that students should learn? This seems to be one of the points of debate even within the circle of those of us who believe in a backward looking, historical way of thinking about civics. What role should slavery play as often? a controversial issue. where should we bring in the role of. Certain figures who are maybe controversial, am Malcolm X, for example. So how do we think about that?
14:36
I think that’s so well said. Steve, one would think listening to you that there would be easy consensus around this and one would expect that, particularly in a state like Texas where you and I both teach that this would resonate with, Know more politically conservative ears, political conservatives who care about and claim to care a lot about presidential leadership, and executive power. why has this been so challenging? You’ve been involved deeply, through the American Historical Association and other organizations and trying to work on Texas history standards, and you have faced a lot of resistance. What’s the challenge at the state level?
15:20
Both sides believe rightly or wrongly, that the other side is acting in bad faith. When I read on Twitter from the Texas Public Policy Institute that the National Council of Social Sciences in the American Historical Association are fighting to advance a radical secular Marxist agenda. I wanna throw up my hands. As I’ve tried to explain to the State Board of Education, what concerns me is that students are coming into my class having never heard of the Enlightenment, the very philosophical foundation of this nation. How can that be? And part of the answer is that in our emphasis on mathematical literacy. And language arts. We’ve downplayed civics and social studies. We need to devote more time to this. I want students who are well prepared to take part in serious discussions, and I worry that’s not happening. But when I hear criticisms that. Seem to imply I have an ideological agenda or that the American Historical Association has an ideological agenda, my spine stiffens.
19:29
This should be a moment of one would think consensus when we could all agree that our students need post COVID. I. A stronger education. we can’t have a society where half of the students are below proficient in literacy or mathematics, and yet that’s not the society that we live in. And so it is up to each of us, I think, to be. Completely transparent about work, what our values and priorities are. My priority is educational. I want my students to get a good foundational understanding of history, geography, economics, and the other elements of the social sciences. I have no larger agenda than that. And I would hope that I could convince my adversaries. I am acting in good faith. I do not have a radical secular Marxist agenda. I want my students to be well prepared for my history class.
21:25
Yes. This is Texas State law. The state Board of Education is not empowered to adopt a curriculum. Pedagogy, and lesson planning is specifically decentralized. That is, it is the responsibility of school districts. And of individual teachers, and I believe that’s exactly how it should be. Further under state law, the working groups that develop the techs as they’re known, the Texas Essentials knowledge and Skills, these are to be created by experienced educators. That is by teachers. By curriculum designers, by professors who have actual expertise teaching these subjects. And when we don’t do that, when we bring politically motivated nonprofits into this discussion, it’s a different discussion.
23:00
Now, what is a learning objective? A learning objective is not too broad. That is know about the Civil War. It is not too narrow. What happened at the Battle of Bull Run. It’s something in between that, and it is measurable, and the job of the Board of Education is to spell out those essential learning objectives and not to dictate a curriculum. And certainly not to tell people how to learn. And further, the state says through law that the standards are to prepare students for college. 70% of high school students will go on to college in Texas. They need to be prepared for our classes, and that requires them to have certain foundational knowledge. And I want to ensure that. and so if you design a curriculum that downplays world history and world cultures, we are not preparing our students for the kind of education that they will receive, either a community college at a regional comprehensive university at a private university, or a flagship university. We need to do better and the way to do better is simply to follow the law.
28:24
What about maybe the critics from the other side who might say that, civics education that focuses on politics or political actors or on the sort of key, political or military moments in American history? Misses a large chunk of the American population who, who aren’t included in many of those, traditional narratives of American politics. I guess this is the question of diversity. Where does diversity or diversity, equity and inclusion fit into this teaching of civics?
28:57
American debates were never exclusively among elite white males. One impact of the American Revolution. One impact that I’m afraid Ken Burns’ documentary does not discuss in sufficient depth is that the revolutionary period created a whole group of black intellectuals who were engaged in the debates of the time the American Revolution created. The first outspoken, what we would call feminist statements about the position of women in society. We shouldn't have a narrow conception of what debates count and what debates don't count. We should include all of the speakers who are part of these debates, which you'll discover. It's no challenge to include diversity in this kind of discussion. The diversities, they're the primary sources are there. it's only a matter of including them inside the courses that we teach.
32:06
Technology is a tool. It is not a substitute for teaching and certainly not a substitute for learning. Imagine being able to bring in infinite number of primary sources into every classroom in this society. And not just written texts, but music, film, clips, artworks, and the like. We can do that, and we can do that because of technology. You know what a wonderful opportunity. Also, we can create environments where students can make presentations using technological tools. They can create mini movies, they can create infographics and the like. This is not hard to do anymore. This is easy to do. So let’s do it. Let me just give. A couple of examples from my own class, things that I have students do. I give every student in my class a small cemetery on Cape Cod, and in that cemetery, they look at every gravestone. There’s usually only about 20 gravestones still existing in those cemeteries. And they look at the names, they look at the. Birth dates and the date of death, and then they have to draw conclusions. They look at the iconography on the top of the gravestone and they describe it. I can do that because of technology. And what an opportunity for the students they discover. To their surprise, children die more than anyone else. They discover. That if you lived over the age of 20, you lived not quite as long as we do today, but as long as our parents lived right, they lived into their seventies and eighties, they discovered that women died earlier than men. Unlike today when men died later than women, there is a lot to discuss in class and another. Technological tool I give my students is a sort of version, a flight simulator. You are Columbus and you have to sail from the new world, I mean from the old world to the new world and back using current wind and ocean currents and you discover it is not easy to do. You have to sail south along the coast of Africa from Spain, then cross over. You’re approaching Brazil, and then you sell northward before you can reach the Caribbean. It is not easy, and to get back, you have to sell northward towards Canada. Cross over towards Ireland and Britain before you can sail south. To Spain. People appreciate Columbus’ navigation skills when they do this, that this is not easy. Now there’s other conversations they can have about Columbus, but this one I think they find interesting and it’s hands-on learning using technology tools and that turns. History, education into active learning, not just passive listening.
36:24
Zachary, how do you think about all this? As someone who’s studying history in college now, and of course has just recently gone through high school history and all the, challenges of that, how do you think about history standards and does what Steve says here, does it resonate with you?
36:45
I think it does. I think one thing that I’ve certainly learned is that a lot of it doesn’t necessarily come down to the standards or the curricula, but it comes down to the teacher in the classroom. And I think part of the problem is that so much of the money and attention and accolades have gone. To those teaching STEM, courses, math, economics, science, computer science, engineering, et cetera. And less attention has been paid to building, sustaining, and encouraging, really effective and passionate teachers of civics and history. And I think, so in the same way that, good teachers at universities and colleges, make all the difference. I think in the same way it’s true at, in, at a high school level and middle school and elementary school.
37:30
Yeah. It’s really interesting. What, you say, Zachary? I’ve been struck, our daughter, Natalie, is teaching in fifth grade in San Antonio now through Teach for America, and they give almost no time to history or what they call social studies. It’s all math and science. I think this is part of the problem, too, Steve, isn’t it? That there’s just not. Actual attention in the classroom to history for a sufficient amount of time and space.
37:54
Absolutely. I totally agree with that. I would add something else. Our own department, which is very typical of history departments nationwide, does not offer specific classes to teachers or future teachers about how to teach history in their classrooms. And that’s a big loss. What we’re good at, above all, are anecdotes and stories. We know how to bring history to life, right?
Episode 314: Reflections on 2025, Lessons for 2026
16:55
And, and I think it’s our obligation. And one of the lessons from 2025, if I might say, is to avoid the effort to oversimplify what social media encourages. Encouraging us to find the good guys and the bad guys and to recognize without apologizing for. Uh, unacceptable behavior, illegal behavior, uh, immoral behavior, recognizing that in many cases, um, people are driven by complex experiences and motives. As you were speaking of the hostages, I was thinking of so many, uh, immigrants to the United States who have now been swept up by ice. Um, many of whom actually did break a law. Maybe they came on a student visa and overed. Maybe they came on a tourist visa at overstate, but then they’ve lived here for 10 years, 12 years. They’ve raised a family, they’ve worked diligently, and the reason they didn’t go back to their country, this could be true for our great grandparents, Zachary, the reason they didn’t go back was not because they wanted to break a law here, but because they were afraid to go back and face persecution or face abject poverty. Um, so are they people who broke a law? Maybe. But should they be deported for that as criminals? That’s, that’s a complex story, right? And we should avoid these simple, simple categories. Um, I think about that at universities too. As a, as a professor, as someone watching at my university, university of Texas and elsewhere, major changes in controversy swirling around everything we do. From discussions of diversity to curriculum, to hiring, to leadership, to funding, you know, um, one doesn’t have to believe that universities were perfect. They certainly weren’t. To also believe that there’s something that needs to be saved and preserved in academic freedom, an open inquiry. And, uh, we become oversimplified and polarized. And are you for DEI or against DEI? Well, I’m both. Are you, uh, for, um, people being free to think and speak as they wish, uh, or are you for protecting people from facing antisemitism? anti-ISIS, Islamophobia and things of that sort. Well, um, for both of those too, right? I mean, these are, these are complex issues we have to navigate. And I think 2025 has taught us, and I have a sense a lot of people coming out of 2025 realizing this, that the simple categories are not the realities, the complex realities, uh, we, we face. Uh, may, maybe one of the lessons from Orwell that you’re teaching, taking us to is not only to personalize, to understand the individuals who are affected by big ideas, but also. To move beyond labels. Right. Uh, Orwell’s not only attacking the socialist party, he’s attacking the label.
19:35
Yeah. Right. I think that’s right. I, I think also, uh, as you said, the, the, the. As someone who’s also at a university campus, I think the hardest part about the way that universities are being talked about and the worst part about how they’re being talked about, uh, on, on both sides, uh, in international discourse, uh, is, is the sort of insistence on labels, as you’ve said, the insistence on, on making every academic question. One of are is this DEI or is this anti DI is this is this anti Right. Instead of focusing on, uh, complexity. And I think, I think if there’s one hopeful. Hopeful thing that I think we can take out of this moment for universities is that, uh, I think for, I think a lot of the sort of. Urges to grasp for labels. The urge for simplification is actually rooted in a genuine frustration with the lack of complexity, if that makes any sense. Yeah. I think we’re taking, people are taking, um, frustration at academic environments that don’t allow for complexity or don’t allow for certain perspectives to be heard and actually doing the exact same thing and turning them into oversimplified labels and, and, and talking about universities in oversimplified ways in response. But I think the urge or the frustration that’s there. Is is very genuine.
20:48
Yeah. Well this is sort of replacing a toothache with a toothache, right? Yeah. They’re, they’re, they’re recreating, they’re mirroring the problem that they saw by doing the exact opposite. I think that’s definitely happened. Um, I don’t know if you agree. I think that we, and I said this before in our podcast and in many other settings, um, I think we went too far with certain elements of DEI. Demanding, you know, diversity statements from people in a kind of McCarthyite way, loyalty oaths to diversity. And I think we went too far. Um, but I think now the response to having gone too far is going much too far in the other direction, to the point where now diversity has become a dirty word for some people. And you’re not supposed to, uh, assign. Work that points to perhaps the critical and not savory parts of our history, um, that that’s overreacting in the other direction. That’s mirroring, that’s a toothache for a toothache. Uh, if you’re against, um, preference for one direction, there shouldn’t be preference in the other direction either. And, and I think, I think one of the lessons we have to learn is that if we’re not attentive to complexity, all we do is just, uh, swing the, the spectrum back and forth. It’s like a seesaw. Rather than progress. So, so that brings us to, I think, the theme we wanted to close on, which is community. Um, I, I think one of the real, um, outcomes of 2025 is I’ve seen this with my students, with my colleagues around the country. I’ve seen this with all kinds of settings I’ve been in. People seem to be returning to community. They seem to have found in many cases that the world and the lives they were living. Online and elsewhere, we’re not satisfied. Clearly people are still living in those ways. Uh, but there is, there does seem to be a return to community and, um, I don’t know. It might be worth talking about that. I think that’s been an important part of your experience also. Right, Zachary?
22:40
Yeah, I think so. I, I think one thing that is important to, to remember though, uh, that, that I think, or well worn stuff, is it’s not the, the, the danger is not replacing a toothache with another toothache. What he’s talking about is the danger of replacing or thinking that happiness, or that the answer is in replacing a toothache with the absence of a toothache. That I think part of the problem is that a lot of attacks on universities and in the last. 10 years, both from both sides. Um, were really aimed at replacing a problem that they saw that had some truth to it. Trying to just simply eliminate the problem. Whereas the real solution and the really important thing that I think is, is, is missing or needs to be strengthened on college campuses and in all aspects of our society, um, is something positive. It’s the kind of bonds of community, the bonds between people, the willingness to have open and frank conversations about hard topics. That’s what we should be focusing on. It’s not, it’s not about, you know, it’s not about trying to replace the toothache with the absence of a toothache, just end the toothache. It’s about trying to actually provide some sort of positive program in the opposite direction. It’s not. Utopia, but it’s like action. It’s actions that we need to be doing instead of, instead of, um, simple boxes we need to join.
24:56
And, and I’ve come to conclude, Zachary, that actually the way to do this is not to say, okay, we’re going to have an open conversation or viewpoint diversity. It becomes artificial in that sense. Yes. It’s creating a culture for that. Yes. It’s, it’s honestly what I strive to do in the classroom, in my professional settings, in my work. Uh, I don’t know if I succeed, but it’s certainly what I strive to do, what I’m doubling down on, which is, um. Cultivating a sense, a healthy skepticism toward any orthodoxy, which hopefully open space then for nothing to be sacred, but everything to be respected if it’s serious. So a serious idea should not be condescended to, but it shouldn’t be taken as an orthodoxy. That is beyond question, and that allows us then to take. Complex ideas such as, you know, the defense of the state of Israel or the defense of the stateless, uh, in areas that are occupied by Israel. Take these difficult problems and recognize that neither side has a monopoly of truth. And open the space where it is encouraged for people to ask hard questions. It doesn’t happen in one conversation. It happens in a culture that you create in a classroom, in a work setting. In your scholarship, in your public persona. And, and I think 2025 showed us, first of all, how hard it is to do that. It showed us how hard we need to work on that. And, and I think it did give us some examples, uh, of this. Um, I, I think we saw from certain religious leaders an incredible openness, uh, and cultivation of that kind of culture. Uh, this, this year, I think of the bishops and others who spoke out. In defense of immigrants, but didn’t speak out in defense of open borders. They weren’t talking about opening borders, they were talking about the humanity of immigrants. Um, I think of all the teachers I’ve witnessed, I work with a lot of teachers around the country, um, who have, who have done this in their classrooms. They’re unsung heroes. They don’t get, this doesn’t get talked about. I’ve seen this also with law enforcement officers build trust in their local communities. You know, this is happening every day. We just don’t focus on it because we don’t value it enough, but it’s actually the story that we, we, we should focus on. I think it’s what is happening. In many parts of our universities, it’s not always happening and sometimes it’s missing, uh, but it is happening in many parts of our universities.
27:24
Yeah. And I think it happens, uh, at its best when you put students in an environment to be around people who are different from them. I think what we’re talking about really is not just forming community or strengthening community like in and of itself, but forming and strengthening heterogeneous community. How do you deal with, uh, being in a place, being together? Working towards some common goal, whether that’s education or you know, law enforcement in the case that you mentioned, or you know, teaching in a classroom. How do you work towards a common goal when everyone comes with a very different perspective?
28:13
Yes. I think that’s, I think that’s absolutely right and I think that might be, gives us the, the proper, not close to this episode, but the proper opening to 2026, finding more ways. To create a culture, a space, an assumption of, as you said, and those are fireworks outside of our door here. Uh, as you said, Zachary heterogeneity, difference of viewpoint, um, and encouraging conversation, repeated conversation. Uh, my frustration has been that many people who know this don’t take the time to do this. All of us as leaders. All of us as individuals and communities should do more to reach out to talk to other people, not just for one conversation where we want to hear multiple points of view, but to build a culture of conversation across points of view. And we should resist what I think is happening in too many places, including sometimes at universities where people are separated, one group versus another. Categorize in one way. Will you go in one major will be people thinking this way in another school, people thinking this way. No, we need to actually. Build true bridges and talk across communities and make that part of our daily culture, the way we, the way we operate. And I think we can do that. I think we’ve seen examples of that, and I think we now know why we need to do that. So that’s a kind of lesson from 2025. It’s an impression that can carry us into 20 20, 26. And I’m, I’m optimistic about that. You have to be hopeful about that. Do you share my hope and optimism?
Episode 315: Venezuela Intervention
02:37
It’s extraordinary. As scholars, we need to continue to study the past but also keep up with the present. It gets quite difficult after a while, doesn’t it?
25:19
Definitely. You think of you know, the European Union Agreement that had been lingering and languishing and being in the, in negotiation for 25 years and it just couldn’t break the resistance and deadlock and whatever. And I think the reason why that finally got signed is. You know, kind of if you wish, some sort of soft balancing against the United States, so you, you know, that would be an instance of that. Inland America. I haven’t seen any, I don’t know, like coordination, I don’t know what you would wanna call it. Alliance formation, partly because of course the ideological divisions. So you mentioned Argentina. You know, millet. Millet was bailed out by Trump a few months ago. He’s not going to oppose what Donald Trump, did in Venezuela. He’s ideologically happy that Donald Trump put it out, Maduro. And so, you know, given that a number of Latin American countries. governed by right-wing leaders who are ideologically have affinity with or alignment with Donald Trump. I think that is one big obstacle to any really coordinated Latin American response.
26:47
So when I, when I think of political science, I don’t use the term, but the capital S you know, so, this situation in Venezuela is highly unpredictable. It’s very fluid, it’s uncertain what will happen. It is uncertain what will happen in Venezuela. It’s uncertain what will happen in the international system because Donald Trump is so highly unpredictable to typical populism. So, so. You know, in, in the Venezuelan case, which will also affect American foreign policy. I think one of the biggest points of uncertainty is that by. Constitution that Ugo Chavez himself pushed through in 1999 by the Constitution. If the presidency is vacant and you have a transition to somebody else, there should be the convocation of new elections. That would of course provide a very important opening for the Democratic transition that Trump has shockingly marginalized and kind of pushed aside to get into the game and that, you know, if there were a real election, real competitive. that could cause a good amount of uncertainty, trouble turmoil, especially if the Democratic opposition had a chance of winning and or no, of of course, especially if it won. And so how that will play out. I mean, the established power structure in Venezuela currently headed by Delcy Rodriguez has no interest in no elections. In some sense, Donald Trump has no interest and they might well maneuver. Collude in trying to avoid this. But you know, as you mentioned a couple of minutes ago, the Venezuelan people are yearning for a new start. The opposition will do everything they can to push for elections. De Marco Ruby or agenda in the US might wanna have a regime change in Venezuela. And so how that will play out, I think is one of the main sources of uncertainty because. Contested competitive election and if the opposition were to win and there’s trouble and term on the Venezuela and protests and counter protests and violence, that could really draw the United States into the domestic politics and, you know, greatly change the equation and turn the Venezuelan case maybe more similar to the story in Afghanistan and Iraq. And so it’s very unpredictable.
Episode 316: Minneapolis
09:14
So, so David, I wanted you to reflect if you would on your students, how has this affected students and others who are obviously engaged with the issues, but also, you know, trying to, get on with their lives one way or another?
09:27
It is challenging for students. we were allowed to teach in a mixed modality if we needed to. because not all students are feeling comfortable coming to campus for many different reasons. and, the, so there’s a lot of anxiety, obviously. international students are feeling a particular anxiety, but that’s been going on for a while now. So this is a hard time for students. The undergrads, the grads, everything from, you know, the 19 year olds to the, to, to the postdocs and even say, are having a hard time.
10:04
And do you find that there’s solidarity between the students and, the protestors? Are there counter student, opinions? how is it, affecting that community? I, ask in part because. You know, there’s such a history of student movements related to many of the issues we’re concerned with. Here, you’ve written a lot about this yourself, and so I wonder how you see this moment in that historical context.
10:31
First of all, I am not in the classroom this semester. so I’m not having that. But I am, you know, communicating a lot with students anyway, I have not heard of counter. Movements, if you will, like, like the deport them all now, kind of a politics I haven’t encountered or heard tell of such a thing on campus, at all.
Episode 317: Vigilantism and Violence in American Society
02:02
Well, I think that we as historians, even while we live so much in the past, we cannot help but respond to the world unfolding around us with huge questions about how we got here. And, there’s always a million origin stories. But there is one thing for sure about where we were in, 20 23, 20 24, 20 22, that really felt jarring. I think just as a citizen of this country, just as a resident of the United States and that jarring feeling. So much to do with what was, what, just a palpable unleashing of, vigilante rage, episodes like Kyle Rittenhouse and, this, a Subway, much more recent subway, killing of a homeless man in New York City. Even more, probably more startling for most Americans. The storming of the capitol on January 6th, and then of course against all of this was the realization that when people were carrying out this rage, they were legally vindicated. Should it ever go to court. They were found not guilty. And I was just so struck by what felt to me as a historian is this weird return to. the 19th century, frankly, the, the unleashed lynching culture of 19 19th century and, something else that was happening that resonated with the 19th century, which was this extreme reconsideration of wealth. And I thought, God, these are two really interesting sides of the same coin. Let’s go back, let’s dig into it. And the eighties seemed like a really good place to start, both because we had taken a political detour, not even detour, I mean turn, abrupt turn with the Reagan, administration. And we also were witnessing one of the most dramatic of that period episodes of white vigilantism. So. Long-winded response, but that’s what got me there.
04:14
No, and you touched on so many things, obviously the, recurrence of violence from our past, the economic inequalities, the nature of urban decay. You have a really, very persuasive discussion of the South Bronx at the beginning, of your book. It brought back a lot of memories, to me. just to set the scene here. For many of our listeners who probably don’t know this particular incident, what is the Bernard Goetz shooting? Who is he and what is it that happens that you describe in such detail and details that I didn’t know at the time, from December of 1984?
08:01
Yeah, so this was a, this is super interesting to just go back and say, well, what, what actually happened? Because certainly the lore that has been handed down is that these four black teenagers, basically threatened Bernie Getz. They approached him with sharpened screwdrivers, armed with sharpened screwdrivers, threatened him and tried to rob him. For $5, but digging into the story, including the really, very detailed confession that gets himself offered, it turns out that’s not at all what happened. These are four kids from a very, economically depressed part of New York City, the South Bronx. Who were on their way that day downtown to a local video arcade where they’re going to, break into, Jimmy Open coin receptacles to get some quarters out. That’s really quite how poor they were. And so they did in fact have two screwdrivers in pockets, but they were never wielded, never taken out. No one even knew they were there. In fact, they were only found. Later as these kids are stripped, taken to the hospital, they’re in such extreme, extremely dire situation. And, the sharpened screwdriver was completely made up by, the media. And so what did they do? Well, it turns out that they had one kid, Joseph, only one had in fact asked him for $5. he said first, hi, how you doing? Gets returns to the greeting and then embolden. He says, Hey, do you have $5? Because in the eighties in New York, panhandling was as regular as breathing air. You might remember Jeremy, like everywhere you went, right? The squeegee guys?
09:53
You know, you got five bucks, you got a dollar. Very, commonplace. And the kid who asked his name was Troy Canty. His, thought process was, we can’t go into this video arcade with no money and plausibly be there to play games while we’re gonna try to get some quarters, so maybe I can get $5 from this guy. So, was it maybe alarming to have four teenagers, boisterous, rowdy teenagers? Sure. But what will be made of this story is completely, absent of facts. And at the end of the day, it is gonna be these four teenagers that are the villains. And Bernie Goetz becomes the victim. And that kind of up is down moment was really what, made me think about like today.
11:03
Yeah, so it turns out that all of the key figures of today are, were very much, a part of this story that I tell in this book back in the eighties. And Donald Trump is one of them. He is, much, trying to become the king of New York, become one of the wealthiest New Yorkers. And he also was someone who always flirted with politics, was always interested in first he. He courted the Reagan Republicans and then he courted the Clinton White House. And for a while he was courting Ross Perot as an independent. He was trying to read the tea leaves, where was this country going? And he starts to get fascinated with the New York Post, which is this increasingly conservative. tabloid owned by another. Here’s another familiar figure. Rupert Murdoch, who, is really, encouraging stoking the flames of white racial resentment in this time period. But also celebrating, wealthy people like Donald Trump. this is the era of greed is good. TV shows like Dallas and Dynasty and Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous. So, all of these characters are on the scene watching how this case plays out. Watching what’s happening with public opinion about race, about, vigilante violence, seeing how far the media can go with misinformation. and Trump will run with all of that, but he’s not the only one. Rudy Giuliani is also a key figure here. And he will, become the mayor of New York running on these kinds of, politics of white racial resentment.
13:57
Well, this of course is the million dollar question, and it’s, it, it’s the question that we ask often today, how is it that people can, for example, in Minneapolis, look at the murder of Alex Preti or Renee Goode and. say it’s okay, even celebrate it. And in, in fact say that what we just saw with our own eyes didn’t even happen. this is an origin story to that, and it turns out that, that emotion, that sentiment in ways I just did not fully appreciate. Was being curated, it was being deliberately stoked and it was being stoked in aid of a much broader, behind the scenes and frankly more insidious political agenda. And that was the agenda, particularly of the Reagan Republicans, but much more broadly, very wealthy Americans who were. really sick and tired of the liberal politics of the New Deal and of the great society. They hated the high taxes that the wealthy had to pay into it. They really did not like the, civil rights advances that they saw as. Cramping their style, in terms of who they might hire or who they might rent to. of course, Donald Trump’s father was really, very resentful of those things. And, these are people that had long, wanted to undo the new deal, but the seventies, the late seventies offered them this. Opportunity, frankly, a dual crisis, an economic crisis unfolding globally and the civil rights tensions at home that are already making white folks feel nervous and, uncomfortable. And the Reagan Republicans understand that this is an opportunity to really just say, look, liberalism in general. It’s all a failure. it’s the reason why we have crime. It’s the reason why the economy is going to hell in the hand basket. It’s a reason why, you, your, unions are not doing so well. you name it, they become the scapegoat. And then the irony here is that, this global fiscal crisis, it gets back on its feet everywhere else. But in this country, the Reagan Republicans doubled down on the austerity. That just creates a greater economic crisis at home. And yet they say that crisis is not because income inequality is getting worse and worse, and it’s not because your social services are getting cut and. Libraries are shuttering their doors and public schools are closing. It’s because of those thugs and criminals, that live in places like the South Bronx that don’t wanna work, The drug addicts that, and it was just this masterful narrative, the welfare queen, I didn’t appreciate the extent to which they relied on this burgeoning conservative media to promote it.
18:50
And, so quickly, it, so you’re reading this, what are you supposed to think, Right. Sharp and screwdriver criminals with 13 warrants. and, and what’s really going on, of course, meanwhile, is that the Reagan republicans are saying, you know what, Rupert Murdoch. Who owns the New York Post, who’s publishing so many of these stories. He’s our guy. He’s gonna help us to translate this domestic agenda that we want to put in place, and he is gonna help us. His papers in England will help us, translate our international agenda. So it’s sounds conspiratorial, but it actually isn’t. It’s just very, it is, it’s clear self-interest, and really remarkably effective.
20:27
Oh, interesting. Yeah. well, so what’s fascinating to me, I grew up in Detroit actually in the seventies and the eighties and spent a lot of time in New York as well. And so I think what’s on the one hand like New York is not unusual. It is in some respects, every city in the sense that. This, crisis of austerity, the urban crisis, if you will, of the eighties, is really playing out everywhere and in many cities. The kind of curation of how we understand it is going very similarly. ’cause even at some point, even the mainstream media and the nightly news is, beating the drum about crime and drug addiction and drug dealers and crack and wilding kids with zero context, not talking about. The fact that the entire social safety net had been eroded and so forth. So this is universal, but one thing that happens in New York, which is I think for particularly your generation, that becomes the, the bellwether of wow, cities get cleaned up. they gentrify, they know New York becomes a place people aren’t afraid to go anymore. It, and that’s. The Giuliani, years. And what I didn’t also quite appreciate was the extent to which, all of the Giuliani miracle of gentrification and kind of quote unquote cleaning up New York was still part and parcel of this same political moment that we were in, which is how did he accomplish cleaning up New York through extreme rates of policing? Some of the highest incarceration rates ever in the, in New York State’s history. by essentially moving poverty out of the city, places like out of Manhattan and into the boroughs. and meanwhile giving tax breaks and incentivizing development for rich people so that New York became one of the most glittery. Fun to be in if you have money, but most unequal cities, in the country. And that too ends up playing out in San Francisco, even in Detroit now. so we’re it is an interesting way in which it’s the same thing. It just, it looks a lot gl more glittery than it did in the eighties.
23:46
Yeah, and I think that was, someone who, like you have, spent time in, in the city. it was hard to get my head around the continuities. but then they became quite clear, I think, as I. Kind of peeled back the layers a little bit. There’s no question today that you know, you can go into New York City and it is, times Square. Times Square is no longer a place where you see. You know so much. Homelessness is not a place where you see the drug trade playing out in front of your eyes. It’s not a place that feels so unsafe, so, so crisis filled. But at the end of the day, New York has become a place that is. Utterly unlivable for people. And that means that you can look in the window of a Gucci store, right? And it is beautiful and it’s glittery and it glistens, but you can’t afford anything in it. And I think the real evidence of why that is the case or how true that is, is what’s happened in the recent. Mayoral election. the fact that a democratic socialist like Momani can win by a landslide indicates that, this glittery city, is, not in fact delivering. For the people who actually have to try to live there. And it is, again, it’s a lifting of the veil in New York City on the inequality, what it means to be in a city without sufficient safety net anymore. what it means to have undone the New Deal and the great society in our American cities. But the other thing we’ve inherited, of course, is meanwhile, we’ve inherited the carte bl for people who feel angry when they feel that, right? they can’t afford their rent. they can’t, make it anymore. They can’t put their own kids in college. Unfortunately, a lot of ’em are still susceptible to this idea. That’s because of the immigrants. That’s because of, the criminal class. That’s because of the people who are actually worse off than they are. So it’s a lot to unpack. I hope that the book, does it through this story because the tentacles to the past and present are pretty, pretty clear. Yeah. even the NRA gets. Intimately involved in the Bernie Goetz case, and it’s, it pays attention to what happens to the outcome of his trial and then runs with it. this is where we get stand your ground laws, this is where we get Supreme Court decisions that allow police officers and individuals to merely to say they felt unsafe. And it’s okay to kill another US citizen. So, it is, it’s a lot. I, it’s a, it leaves us a little bit with our head spinning, I think about where we are today, frankly.
28:09
Oh yeah. I think you’re both absolutely right on. New York. New York becomes the place where, so much of this is getting tested out, but at the end of the day, what is being tested out is. How do you essentially take a nation that after World War II in particular, builds an American middle class, albeit, overwhelmingly white middle class because of its discriminatory nature. the safety net was discriminatory. But we build an American middle class and it required buy-in, from, across the class spectrum, and many people benefited from it, but the people that always hated it were the uber wealthy. And what we have seen since the eighties is a very successful erosion. Of that social safety net and perhaps more alarmingly an erosion of the principles behind it. it’s been a cultural shift that helping out your neighbor is bad. the government is bad. liberals are bad. Any social programs are bad. Anything public is bad. Public schools, public hospitals, public housing, and what I think we need to think through is that took a great deal of work. to undo all of that. And it took a lot of work because in fact, it was against everybody’s interests, right? some of the people being harmed the most right now are in fact Trump voters by the economics of the Trump administration. And so to understand that we have to ask, well, how in the world would they have ever bought into it? And, people aren’t stupid. They’re not just dupes. But they are definitely trusting, of our media infrastructure. They’re trusting of, the people that they have been told, have made it as businessmen. And so, you start to understand in a whole new way, why was it significant that Donald Trump used to be on the Apprentice, for example, or. worldwide wrestling because he was very deliberately curating, his popularity among people who he would rely on later on to be his voters. And he’s quite explicit about it.
31:32
Well, I so appreciate that, Jeremy, because, again, I, began by saying, I’m embarrassed to say I didn’t know who the victims were, but I knew Bernie Goetz, and even to this day, he still alive. He lives in Greenwich Village. He gets to routinely tell the story through his perspective. And yet these teenagers lives were utterly destroyed. only two of them are still living and, not because they died of old age, but because of the wreckage that became of their lives and the one who is still living is paralyzed and brain damaged, and the other one has managed to escape this. He doesn’t wanna talk to anybody about this. It’s been so traumatizing and I thought it was really important that we, we, we told this story. From the perspective of the whole part of New York, that paid a huge price for all this, a huge price for the austerity politics We’ve been doubling down on with every administration since. Reagan, a huge price for the unleashing of racial violence, and I wanted to resurrect their stories, but also to end. With kind of a reminder that once we unleash this, that we, we forget about what it really looks like on the ground, when we endorse these kinds of politics. And so I wanted us to come back full circle to. The four teenagers who are going down trying to get some quarters out of a video machine because that’s what their lives are offering them, and then start back at that beginning as we imagine the future.
34:34
This podcast is produced by the Liberal Arts ITS Development Studio and the College of Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin.The music in this episode was written and recorded by Scott Holmes. Stay tuned for a new episode every week. You can find This is Democracy on Apple Podcast, Spotify and YouTube. See you next time.
Episode 318: War In Iran
18:27
Well, so here, that's another great question. And let me just say again, to take that step back, when it comes to long-term stability, that's the key word, long-term. When you look back at Iraq and Afghanistan, despite how long we were there, that was not the intent, right? The US military is optimized for decisive conventional combat. Yes, and some special operations missions, but it's about achieving that technological domain dominance, right? Own the air, own the land. But post-conflict stabilization takes political bargaining, institutional development, long-term legitimacy building. And just from our military to even our political system, right? US electoral cycles, incentivizing quick wins and visible progress and exit timelines. You need that decades-long commitment. You need the tolerance for ambiguity. You need institutional patience. That is why people point to, even though it's not exactly analogous, people point to post-World War II Germany and Japan as the exemplars of what successful post-conflict management could look like. So that being said, what could we do? I have to note that one of the things that we could have done prior to the last year in which the administration is defunded and dismantling things like Voice of America, things like the Radio Free series, which going back to the Cold War would publish the truth, right? Countering regime narratives in local languages. For me, this was a tremendous source of information. And for my own work with the Chechens, a lot of the Chechens, Radio Free Europe, Radio Marshal, Radio Freedom, I mean, this was a really valuable tool. And that's something we're not talking about here, our soft power levers, right? We have just shifted to a world, and people from the administration have said this, right? The iron law, what is it? The iron laws of power for Time Memorial, Stephen Miller said. But that's not really what has worked empirically. So when you ask, what would I do? I would say, you have to get that thing going. You have to get soft power moving. I think with respect to special forces and others, working with locals can bring great reward, right? They know the terrain. They have the local intelligence. But the challenge there is that they don't always share the same objectives beyond the most proximate. Both sides want to get rid of the regime or something like that. And what you see is a lot of times when the US or other actors have backed local groups, you tend to see that that makes conflicts more violent, more lethal. It makes them more protracted. So again, these are the things that in the policy world, it's often not the choice between good policy and bad. It's the least bad option. And when it comes to that least bad option, so things like supporting proxy groups, perhaps like the Kurds or the Baluch, that's going to give the United States some military and political advantage on the ground. But there are some real inherent latent risks. And not just latent, there could be some explicit ones like I described earlier that we should be very, very cautious and aware of.
28:40
Yeah, another great question. You know, in, so some of the classes I teach are, are, are on post-conflict. And I just taught this course in the fall, and we were talking about, like, you know, there's so many people in Washington at that point, we're not, you know, we're never going to do nation building again. We're never going to do these, these things again. And there was even a talk at UT with a very, with a former, I'm not going to name them, but a very senior US official. And now they're doing some consulting. And in response to a question, they said, you know, I'm going to tell you where we're telling, my company now is telling people to invest. It's the Middle East, because despite the October 7th attacks, in this person's estimation, the Middle East, because of some of the partnerships between Israel and the Gulf States, because of some of these other stabilization equilibrium that were sort of emerging, that it seemed like this was the place to invest. Liberalization was happening in Saudi Arabia, like all of these things. And it's just remarkable that we are in, you know, seven days later, we are in such a different world. You know, Iran is attacking from Azerbaijan, you know, to these Gulf states, economic targets. And, you know, for their part, I just want to say too, like the Gulf states, Qatar and the Emiratis and others, they are ready, you know, they are ready to kind of like end this right now. So there is some momentum to kind of off-ramp among some of these actors. But at this point, it just starts to go wider and wider and wider, right? The ripple effects, the kinetic ripple effects, have gone from the Indian Ocean in Sri Lanka to Azerbaijan. And what I would hope is, one of the things that I teach my students is, right, like, if you're proposing policies like this, you have to think about the unintended consequences. If you do this, what might happen? How? Why? Under what conditions? And this is very time and labor-intensive, but you need to kind of go around the map. So if the US and Israel are to start this, how does this matter for Iran, for India, for Sri Lanka, right? For Iran, you have to go through that. All of this to say, we are at a really fraught moment, and you know, things can settle down quickly. But that's not what appears to be happening right now, and not in the near term, to be sure. Again, there are sort of some ways in which this could sort of, you know, the US and Israel with respect to military operations, and we didn't even talk about that, Israel sort of expanding strikes into southern Lebanon, which has been going on for decades. You know, we can off-ramp, but then what? You know, then what? I just mentioned Lebanon, Lebanon is still feeling the effects of the civil war in the 1980s. I mean, we have destroyed so much infrastructure, and you know, it's the social rebuilding, the psychological rebuilding. You know, again, I work with the Chechens, those wars are 20 years old now, and those people still feel the scars of war.
Rights, Membership And Public Participation
View DetailsEpisode 115: Young JFK: Lessons for Democracy Today
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. Today’s episode. We’re going to focus upon young John F. Kennedy and the lessons and insights from his early career for our somewhat difficult and partisan political moment today. What can we learn? And what do we take away from John F. Kennedy’s early career? We have with us his biographer, who is a very distinguished historian and good friend and someone who’s written quite a lot about American foreign policy, American politics and the lessons of history for contemporary affairs. This is Fred Logevall. Uh, Fred. Good morning.
01:03
I'm delighted to be with you, Jeremi.
01:05
It’s our pleasure to have you. Fred is the author of 10 books. He’s the author and editor of 10 books on American politics and Foreign Policy. Among my favorites and those which I know everyone has read, uh, choosing war, the Lost Chance for peace and the escalation of war in Vietnam, which really transformed our understanding of Lyndon Johnson’s choices for war in 1964 65 America’s Cold war. The Politics of Insecurity, which Fred co wrote with Campbell Craig, another historian, which looks at the influence of domestic politics on American Cold War foreign policy. Members of war. The Fall of an Empire in the Making of America’s Vietnam, which is really about early French and American activities in Vietnam. Before we would, we traditionally called the Vietnam War in the United States. Embers of War won the Pulitzer Prize as well as many other rewards and then his most recent book, which I hope all of our listeners will read and I know you’ll be reading a lot about soon as well.
01:41
Embers of War, The Fall of an Empire and the Making of America's Vietnam, which is really about early French and American activities in Vietnam before what we traditionally call the Vietnam War in the United States. Embers of War won the Pulitzer Prize as well as many other awards. And then his most recent book, which I hope all of our listeners will read and I know you'll be reading a lot about soon as well, JFK, Coming of Age in the American Century.
02:08
When Fred is not busy scribbling, he is the Lawrence D. Belfer Professor of International Affairs at the John F. Kennedy School of Government and Professor of History at Harvard University. And as I said, Fred is a longtime friend and really a major figure, not just in historical circles, but in scholarly and public intellectual circles in the United States. So before we turn to our discussion of JFK and this really fantastic and fun new book, I really found it fun to read this new book that Fred has just published.
02:41
We're going to turn to Mr. Zachary, as we always do each week, for his scene-setting poem. Zachary, what's the title of your poem? The Ghost of JFK. Oh, I'm a little scared now.
02:53
Let's hear about The Ghost of JFK.
03:09
The ghost of JFK yielded its head today as I spoke with my teacher of memory. As I spoke with my teacher of memory, he told me of the fateful day when he was to see JFK on the aged steps of the Capitol. On the aged steps of the Capitol, I stood on an afternoon in May and watched all the children play as we marched past to the Capitol door. As we marched past to the Capitol door, I thought of the man that day when he bled to death in a limousine and all hope went away.
03:38
It was youth that was killed from the book depository on the square in Dallas by the grassy hill. It was youth that was killed in Dallas and we're waiting again for it still.
03:56
My poem is really about trying to ask what made JFK such a symbolic figure in American history and what made him so important in the memory of his generation, even only having served a few years as president.
04:20
Well, that is the perfect spot to turn to President Kennedy's biographer. Fred, we live in such a cynical age. Your book, as I read it, is in some ways a wonderful antidote to that cynicism. I think the place to start is why did John F. Kennedy, this person born to such privilege, such wealth, why did he get involved in the dirty world of politics? Well, let me just say, Jeremy, that that was a wonderful poem we just heard. That was just marvelous.
04:43
So hats off to you, Zachary. I'd love to hear more of your stuff. Maybe I will.
04:58
You know, I think it comes for Jack Kennedy from, in part, a bedridden childhood. He was sick a lot as a kid and read, became a voracious reader and his preferred genre or the things he liked to read about were, in fact, politics, especially European politics, diplomacy, statecraft, tales of adventure and chivalry. He was drawn to that stuff.
05:44
So he took something, I think, from Honey Fitz, even though they became very different kinds of politicians. JFK was much more sort of reserved and much more urbane as a political figure.
06:01
It developed in college, his wartime service, which we could discuss. But you do see these early influences as well.
06:13
Well, and let's turn to his wartime service. Much of your book actually covers that. And I have to say, it's a really riveting part of the book and an area where I think you have a lot of new, many new things to say about both his wartime service and his travels.
06:27
I was really taken with the many quotations you have from his travel diary, Fred. So tell us more about how the travels and the World War II experience contributed to his development as a political animal.
06:39
I mean, one of the things that I suggest in the book is that he developed both a historical sensibility, but also an international sensibility. And here again, I think Rose, who often doesn't get enough credit, it seems to me, in the scholarship, his mother encouraged him to have this wider lens, to look to the outside world.
07:07
And as you say, he traveled, beginning in a serious way in 1937 with his good friend Len Billings during college. They traveled through Europe and then there was a major excursion, which I think is really consequential in 1939, right on the eve of war, where young JFK is traveling in about a dozen countries, meeting with officials, seeing the sites.
08:02
And I think it is probably like it was for many people who were in combat. It was, I think, a profound, had a profound effect on Kennedy. Made him, in two different ways.
08:47
So it's in some ways almost a kind of contradictory, or they don't, the two attributes, the two conclusions don't necessarily mesh perfectly, but I think it's partly what he took from the war, no question. And it's worth underlining the fact, and this is a point you make, that really most of the leadership of American society for the next 50 years would have come out of this experience of World War II.
10:00
But I do think that JFK believed strongly that he himself had a role to play. And he, by the way, I think made his own decisions to seek political office in the early aftermath of the war.
10:25
JFK was really his own master when it came to his political decisions and his career decisions. But I think he felt that this wartime generation of which he was a part would now, in the aftermath of the war, in the late 40s and beyond, have a very important role to play.
10:48
I don't think it was inevitable that politics would be his chosen career. But it was a decision he made on his own. And he formed, I think, a distinctive how should I put it? Political philosophy early on.
11:05
It was a kind of pluralist, liberal outlook, which was idealistic in some respects, but also leavened with a certain pragmatic realism that I think proved to be a winning one for him, if I can put it that way. I think this is really one of the stunning parts of your book, Fred.
11:35
I hear we've gone almost 10 minutes into this discussion. It's the first time Joseph Kennedy has come up. What can you tell us about that relationship between father and son?
11:48
And I think previous authors have been absolutely correct to talk about the fact that Joe Kennedy was a giant figure in the lives of his children, including young Jack. He was a towering father figure, no question. But yeah, I think it was striking to me in the research, Jeremy, in the voluminous letters that we have and other documents that we have in the oral histories, etc., the degree to which the second son, Jack, was willing to separate himself from his father in a way that the golden child, the oldest son, Joe Jr., who was killed in the war in 1944, was never able to do, never willing to do.
12:36
And so the most dramatic example of this, I think, is the, in effect, the split between the father and the son, between Joe Sr. and Jack on the issue of U.S. intervention, on the issue of, if you want to put it this way, isolationism versus interventionism, where Joe Sr., as ambassador to Britain, and then long after having been ambassador to Britain, was a kind of unvarnished, was an unapologetic appeaser and isolationist. And Jack decided he could not be. And I think this is where the Harvard years are especially illuminating, because you see that gradually, clearly, but gradually, but clearly, this shift away from the father's position.
13:27
Really interesting. And let's talk a little bit about JFK's distinctiveness from his father, his critique of appeasement, his critique of the isolationism, and even somewhat pro-Nazi tendencies of his father. How would you characterize his emerging, shall we say, Cold War viewpoint?
13:59
I was surprised to learn of the degree to which isolationism, if we want to use that term, excuse me, the degree to which isolationism really held pretty firmly, pretty firm within the student body at Harvard. But the professors, his own reading, I think his travels that we've discussed, all of them, I think, convinced JFK by, let's say, by late 1940, or by the middle part of 1940, around the time that he completes his thesis, publishes the book, that it's really an untenable position that his father holds.
14:53
It certainly has to support the British and the French to a very large extent. And therefore, his father's position, which is that you can have a kind of fortress America in which the country more or less seals itself off from the rest of the world, just is not going to fly. And he is willing, as I've said, in a way, Joe Jr. is not, to actually confront his father with this position.
15:22
So it's fascinating to me, Fred, how that lesson for John F. Kennedy and so many others, and this is something many of us have written about you in particular, how those lessons of appeasement carry forward. And of course, one of the things both you and I teach and write about are the dangers of an analogy from one historical time being brought into another context.
15:51
Can you say more about what Kennedy takes from what you just described so well, his emerging internationalist outlook? You called it earlier a liberal internationalist outlook to some extent, tempered with realism.
16:26
He is. And here, the difference between the father is, again, pretty interesting, because Joe Kennedy articulates positions that at least some historians would later come to hold.
17:11
But alongside this, emerging, I think, in 1950, 51, and thereafter, is also a nuanced understanding of the power of decolonization, the power of nationalism in the developing world. And he argues, I think, quite presciently, when he visits Indochina in 1951, for example, but also other parts of Asia, that the United States, if it wants to be on the right side of history, and if it wants to succeed in the broader superpower struggle, needs to be attentive to what these voices are clamoring for, and including people like Ho Chi Minh.
18:07
So this is still sort of preliminary. But that tension, in some ways, exists right through to the end. He argues in his inaugural address for a...we often think of that address as being a kind of Cold War call to arms, but I don't think it really is.
18:27
If you look at the address in its entirety, it's really quite conciliatory in tone. And he says, we shall never, let us never fear to negotiate. So it's a complex picture, Jeremy, but one that I think, I hope in the second volume to further flesh out.
18:46
What makes JFK such an appealing presidential candidate, but also a congressman and a legislature? What can we learn from his rise about what kind of politician we should be nurturing today? Oh, it's such a good question. I think that what people saw right away, maybe even in that first congressional campaign in 1946, and I do think this holds something for us today, is they saw somebody who believed in politics, loved politics even.
19:28
And one of the reasons he loved politics from an early point was precisely because he believed that it was important that in a democracy, what we expect, what we demand of our elected officials can have a hugely important effect on our lives. And I think he believed and developed a philosophy, which basically said that government can't solve all of our problems, but it has a vital role to play in creating a more just and a more equitable society.
20:11
In fact, I think I show that you see it again in this first campaign, and that is the vital importance in a democracy of compromise, of reasoning from evidence, of seeing political opponents as adversaries rather than enemies. This is something that I think he stressed, and I think it's a very important notion for us today.
20:54
And boy, is that hard today in this country. But I think it's a more important message than ever.
21:07
Over more than 100 episodes, we've seen, I think, in such a range of figures, how important those precise qualities that you just highlighted so brilliantly, that those qualities of compromise and attention to evidence and deliberative policymaking, how crucial they are to a democracy. How did Lyndon Johnson interact with John F. Kennedy? Because one of the issues that comes up quite often in some of our prior discussions and in a lot of the scholarship, as you know better than anyone, is this rivalry between Lyndon Johnson and the Kennedy family.
21:47
How did JFK handle that differently from politicians today, and what can we learn from that? Well, I mean, you know, I'd say in some respects, I guess, a preliminary answer, Jeremy, because this is one of the things that I really want to delve into and will need to delve into in volume two.
22:10
One is that Kennedy respected LBJ's unsurpassed skill at maneuvering in Washington, his ability to buttonhole lawmakers and to get them to do what he needed them to do. This is evident even when he's obviously the chieftain in the Senate. And I think Kennedy rightly marvels at this ability and respects Johnson for it.
23:25
You can see, one can see why LBJ becomes resentful. There's, of course, a special friction with Robert Kennedy, which, of course, I also need to delve into as I get into this research.
23:44
I think he does credit him with helping him win. Arguably, this was one instance in recent US history in which the vice presidential choice actually did matter in the outcome, but then a problematic relationship thereafter.
24:10
I want us to close as we always do by looking toward our listeners today, particularly young listeners, and what they can take away from your book in this fraught political moment we're in today. But before I do that, Fred, I can't let us get to that concluding point without asking the question I know everyone is going to ask you. What should we make of Kennedy's extramarital affairs that you discuss a bit in the book and the question of morality and political leadership?
24:53
How does that affect your judgment of him as an early politician? Yeah, it's something obviously that I grapple with a lot, Jeremy, and I will continue to grapple with as I work on volume two, because one of the things that I conclude is that he shows a capacity for empathy, empathetic understanding, which I think is critical in a leader. And we see it maybe most notably at the time of the Cuban Missile Crisis, where he's actually able to put himself into Khrushchev's shoes, which is what empathy is, to be able to see things from the other side.
25:39
And if I'm going to argue, as I do in the book, that he is his own man when it comes to politics, that he's not under his father's control, that he's willing to separate himself from Joe Sr., then I can't very well say, well, you know, he became a chronic womanizer because his father was, and it's because of the example that his father set. And his father certainly did set an example. He said, in so many words, that he expected Joe Jr. and Jack to follow in his footsteps, to view women as objects to be conquered.
26:15
But I can't, you know, give him credit for his independence in one area and say that he didn't have it in the other. So it's a really good point. And this is one that, especially as I think, as I get into volume two, and he becomes in a strong power position, which makes this still more problematic, I have to reckon with.
26:42
It strikes me that you're approaching it exactly as you should as a historian, which is different from a journalist in this element, insofar as his personal behavior matters to us, it seems to me, as it relates to his role as a politician. Your book is Young JFK, his own man, but politician.
27:06
And so, you know, if people are interested in the lurid details of his affairs, that's not what you're writing about. You are writing about how those affected him as an individual insofar as he becomes a politician.
27:18
I think it's actually refreshing in a certain way without in any way diminishing the enormity of this issue, as you just pointed out so well. So, Fred, we like to finish every one of our episodes by really, really speaking directly to our audience, which includes a lot of young people, and I'll include you and I as still young people, who are concerned about our world today, concerned about democracy.
27:47
We do it every week because we're trying to bring historical knowledge and at least maybe some historical inspiration to thinking about reforming and improving our democracy in a nonpartisan way.
28:12
You've spent a good part of your life now writing about John F. Kennedy. You're going to continue doing that. What do you want young people, people who are concerned about our politics today, people who want to change our politics today, what do you want them to take away from the work you've done and from this wonderful volume?
28:46
That may be kind of an impossible thing to believe, given how corrosively cynical we have become. But I think it's absolutely true. I think it's something that John F. Kennedy really based his political career on, this idea that it is absolutely vital that we have a strong, functioning democracy.
29:11
And he says in one of his college papers, this is when he's 20 years old, and I'm paraphrasing that in effect, unless democracy can produce capable leaders, it is in serious trouble. And I think that's true.
29:41
And I think it's important for young people in particular to grasp that, to understand that if they become involved in public life, maybe choose even a career in public service, they can make a difference, that democracy in some ways hinges on this democracy hinges on having a well informed citizenry paying attention to the issues and at least to some degree but getting involved in those issues. I think that, too, is a message that JFK flawed figure in many ways somebody who had both successes and missteps as a politician. But this is something I think he both believed and he lived.
30:29
So Zachary, your wonderful poem this morning was the ghost of JFK. And one of the early reviewers of Fredâs book mutual friend of Ours, David Kennedy talks about how how John F. Kennedy still beguiles us and that in some ways Fred's book is a wonderful analysis of that Zachary Does John F. Kennedy still inspire young people like yourself? And what inspiration do you take from this? And from our conversation with Fred?
30:55
I think that John F. Kennedy is still universally, universally powerful to young people because of his youth and because of what he represents as a someone who believes he can use government to help people. I always find it very interesting whenever I ask people who their favorite presidents are. John F. Kennedy is always near the top of the list, which, which is very interesting, seeing that he only served for a couple years. And so I think that his his short time the forefront of American politics continues to inspire young people and will continue to inspire young people.
31:32
Well, I think that's a perfect spot for us to come on, Fred, Did you wanna make the last comment on that
31:38
No, I just want to say that Zachary, that's really well put on if you know, as the saying goes, from your lips to God's ears. I think that if this is indeed what especially the people of your generation and they say the generation above the young people, if they can see in JFK and in other politicians of both parties in this country, um, somebody to somebody to look to, to try to emulate in some way and, more importantly, just to become involved and become informed and engaged and and and and commit oneself to good faith, reasoning and bargaining, I think we'll be fine.
32:24
That's so well said. And I think what your book displays really in wonderful ways in entertaining ways to Fred is that we have that capacity within us. It's it's John F. Kennedy is his own man. But John F. Kennedy as such a quintessential product of American society, product of the mixing of different groups and our politics, which produces this messiness but also this capacity for compromise and evidence based creativity. So, Fred, thank you for joining us today. I know you're very busy out and around, or at least virtually on your book tour. Thank you for stopping. Stopping in with us virtually. I hope all of our readers and listeners will read, uh, Fred's exciting new book, John F. Kennedy. It's available, Um, on Amazon. It's available at all of your local independent bookstores. Just look up logo ball JFK, and it will come right up. Zachary, Thank you, as always for your poem and most of all, thank you to our listeners for joining us for this episode of This Is Democracy
Episode 121: Historical Memory and National Trauma
00:21
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week we have with us one of the foremost scholars, philosophers, and public intellectuals in the world, writing about a topic that's very close to us. I think every day, where history matters for us every day, which is how we think about memory and the ways in which memories of the past, particularly memories of a traumatic, guilt ridden, difficult past, the ways those memories are used or not used to improve or limit our democracy. In other words, what is the role for historical memory in addressing past injustices?
01:02
Susan Neiman, who is our guest today. Susan has written some of the most important work on this. She is the director of the Einstein Forum in Berlin. She was born in Atlanta, Georgia, and that's central to a lot of her work. But she studied philosophy at Harvard and the Freie Universität in Berlin, was a professor of philosophy at Yale and Tel Aviv University before moving to Berlin, moving back to Berlin for the Einstein Forum. She is the author of numerous books of contemporary philosophy and political philosophy as well, a number that I just like to mention, Evil and Modern Thought, particularly relevant, perhaps to our world today. Moral Clarity: A Guide for Grown-Up Idealists, I'm not sure that I'm a grown up idealist, but at least give one a try.
01:46
You probably are if you're doing this podcast.
01:49
Thank you, Susan, that makes me feel a lot better. And her most recent book, the book that's really going to be at the center of our discussion today, which is really a phenomenal book. Both Zachary and I have read it: Learning from the Germans' Race and the Memory of Evil. It has just come out, in paperback, with a brand new final section, at least for now, on the Black Lives Matter movement, and how it relates to Susan's really in depth discussion of historical memory in Germany and the United States over the last century.
02:20
Susan, thank you for joining us today. It's a pleasure. Before we turn to our discussion, as always, we have our scene-setting poem from Mr. Zachary Suri and today's poem is actually a bilingual poem from Zachary. This is the first of your bilingual poems in one hundred and twenty or so [episodes], I think. Zachary, what is the title of your poem?
02:39
âHerbst ich erinnere mich,â or âFall I remember.â Let's hear it.
02:46
âFall, I remember. You sneak up on us from behind the orchard fence. You seem cold and distant until the signs at the gas station begin to freeze. Herbst, ich erinnere mich an dich, der alte Mann in dem Supermarkt mit kaltem Haar, zwischen geöffnet und geschlossen Hoffnung. Fall, I remember you like a blessing, a prayer for the lost souls in tandem with the damp leaves trodden underfoot. The air is burning now. The earth is burning. The fires are so hot they feel as if they could be frozen. Und dann von hinter der Regalen hat ein Mann deinen Arm berührt. And then from behind the shelves, a man has touched your arm. He is memory. Er ist die Erinnerung. And there are the eyes of your underlings, and the eyes of the mistreated ones, and the eyes of your fathers, and your mothers and your great, great forgotten ones. Es gibt die Schuld deines Land. There is the guilt of your country. Es gibt die Schuld deiner Hand. There is the guilt of your hand. Wie kommt das Ende der Geschichte mit dem Ende der Erinnerung? Wie kommt das Ende der Erinnerung mit dem Ende der Zeit? Wie kommt das Ende der Schuld mit Erbst, mit Zärtlichkeit?â
03:59
That was really powerful. Very powerful. I think you should translate that last section for us and tell us what your poem's about.
04:02
Well, so I'll answer the latter question first. So my poem is really about how we think about historical memory and guilt. And it's particularly about this moment we find ourselves in in the fall of 2020, right before the presidential election, sort of thinking about our history and how it's going to affect our future.
04:31
And the last six lines of the poem in German translate roughly as how does the end of history come with the end of memory? How does the end of memory come with the end of time? How does the end of guilt come with fall, with tenderness?
04:48
It evokes a little bit of T.S. Eliot, right? Not with a bang, but with a whimper.
04:54
Well, I was also thinking, Zachary, I don't know if you know, there's a fairly well known poem of Rilke. I don't know its title anymore, but it starts with es ist herbst, it's fall. Do you know that?
05:06
I think I may have come across it, but I was definitely going more T.S. Eliot.
05:11
But yeah, I prefer T.S. Eliot to Rilke myself, actually. But that, his herbst poem, is a good poem.
05:20
It is. You know, I'm glad you mentioned that, Susan. I read it years ago. I'm going to go back and find it when we're done and maybe put it up on the website with the link to your book. That's really, really wonderful. Susan, building on Zachary's poem and the sort of haunting elements of memory, maybe you can take us through a little bit about why you wrote this book, Learning from the Germans. It's a deep, thoughtful, intellectual book, but it's also a very personal book, which I loved.
05:46
Thank you. Yeah, it's not an academic book, although sometimes I call myself a recovering philosophy professor. [Laughter] But much of it's written in the first person.
06:00
It also contains a lot of interviews. I thought it was very important not just to have my voice in in the book, but also to have the voices of many, many people both in in Germany and in the Deep South, which is where I focused my research, not because I believe racism is only a problem in the Deep South, I should emphasize. But because the South works like a magnifying glass for the rest of the country. Everything is out in the open.
06:31
And, you know, you certainly can't say that people aren't concerned with their history. But let me go back to this book. It has two beginnings, actually. One was in the fall of 1982, when I first came to Berlin on a Fulbright Fellowship, thinking I was going to stay for a year and go back.
06:51
And the reason I didn't go back was that I became absolutely fascinated with this German concept of Vergangenheitsaufarbeitung, which I translate as working through the past. Germans like the long compound words.
07:08
Yes.
07:10
But it's not a concept that exists in any other language.
07:14
And, you know, there's a sense in which it simply emerged as a way of saying, "what the hell are we going to do about the Nazis?" And coming to Berlin in 1982, I was absolutely struck by the ways in which people were talking about the Nazi past. It was just before the 50th anniversary of the Nazi takeover of power.
07:38
And people in Berlin were preparing to commemorate it with a year's worth of exhibits and discussions and theater and people doing research about their neighborhoods and what their neighborhoods were like in the Third Reich. I should say, this was at the time, not at all a government sponsored project. And it wasn't even a majority of, certainly not a majority of, Germans and not even a majority of Berliners, who have always leaned somewhat to the left of the country.
08:16
But those were the people that I would have normally gravitated to, that is intellectuals, artists, activists. And they were examining their country's history, which also meant their parents and their teachers' complicity, with an intensity that I immediately had to ask, why aren't we doing this in the United States?
08:40
And at the time, I wasn't even thinking very far back about our history. I was thinking we don't talk about the Vietnam War anymore. We've never really talked about Hiroshima.
08:52
And that was a moment when I began to think about the contrast between the ways in which Americans dealt with their history, and or don't, and what the Germans were doing with theirs. So it's a subject that I've been thinking about, you know, for more than 35 years.
09:13
And the immediate impetus to writing the book, was when I was watching President Obama give the eulogy for the nine churchgoers massacred in Charleston in 2015. And in tears from my Berlin apartment, and thinking, however, because, you know, Nikki Haley did take down the flag, it was the first time that a major national politician had called for dealing with, or getting rid of, Confederate symbols.
09:47
And I thought, gosh, America is finally beginning a Vergangenheitsaufgabeitung. And since this is something I've thought about for a long time, maybe I can make a contribution. But I didn't want to simply do it from afar.
10:02
I had a sabbatical coming to me from my institute, and I wanted to spend some time with them, you know, even in 2016, there were Americans looking at this history, particularly around questions of racial reconciliation. So I based myself for a year in Mississippi, following people around who were doing this work, as well as people who were absolutely opposed to it, as a way of trying to figure out what would be a genuinely American Vergangenheitsaufgabeitung working of the past.
10:42
I do believe we have things to learn from what the Germans have done with their history, including their mistakes, and there have been many.
10:51
I don't think any two countries' histories are the same. And the first chapter of the book talks about all the differences between, you know, American and German history, because I knew, of course, people would object immediately. So, of course, there are many differences in those two histories.
11:12
You're a historian, so, you know, it's important to care about cultural and historical differences, but I still think there are lessons.
11:22
Well, and I have to say, I first became aware of your book [when] it had just come out and I think I had read a review of it, but I was at a meeting of the World War Two Museum, the National World War Two Museum in New Orleans, where I'm on the board. And we were talking about memories of World War Two.
11:38
And it was, it became so evident to me as we were planning a conference on World War Two memory, how little Americans have thought critically about our own war experience. And that's in no way to trash the experience of the United States in World War Two, but how much more advanced German thinking was on this. And this is a theme that resonates, I think, in your book.
12:01
Why is it that around many of these issues, the Germans have seemingly done more thinking about this, more of the work of addressing the dark and embarrassing and traumatic parts of their history than Americans? Why is that?
12:17
Well, there's several, several reasons for, you know, we can give several reasons. One is, I don't know if it's OK to swear on your podcast or not. [Laughter] Go ahead.
12:28
OK, I was actually in a radio program in, of all places, the Bay Area. And I used a slightly profane expression and the moderator apologized to her audience. So you never know.
12:44
But I'm quoting here James Meredith, one of the people that I interviewed in the book, the great civil rights hero from Mississippi. And one of the things he said to me, he said, "well, the Germans got their ass kicked and we didn't." And of course, there's a way in which that's true.
13:02
And one can say if there's any moral agreement in the world, it's that the Nazis committed the worst crimes in human history. I'll agree with that. And of course, since they were devastated at the end of the war, there was some pressure on them from the outside to, you know, do something about their history, although it was slow and faltering, certainly in the West.
13:36
And I think that's a very important message for Americans to learn. We tend to assume that the crimes of the Nazis were so awful that the minute the war was over, they fell on their knees and begged for atonement. That is not what happened at all.
13:52
In West Germany, in particular, they thought of themselves as the war's worst victims. And when I realized that, and it took me decades to realize this because it's not something they like to talk about at all. You have to work to ferret it out.
14:09
I realized that the tropes with which, West Germans in the first decades after the war spoke about the war, you know, we lost a quarter of our territory and seven million people were killed and our men were in POW camps if they survived at all. Or they were wounded and our cities were burned and we were hungry, just barely alive. Maybe you'll catch the reference there. And on top of it, the damn Yankees wanted to tell us it was all our fault.
14:41
Yes.
14:42
And I suddenly realized they sound just like the defenders of the lost cause.
14:46
Yep.
14:47
And from that, I think one can actually get a measure of hope because if it turns out that even, you know, Nazis took a long time to acknowledge that they had some atoning to do, it's no wonder that those people who are asking, you know, for similar confrontation with our history in the U.S. are getting pushback. It's no wonder that we're having a cultural war over this, because people tend, in the first instance, they like to think of their people as heroes. If they can't think of them as heroes, they think of them as victims.
15:30
That's the next best thing. But, you know, people focus on their own suffering. That's what people do.
15:36
But what was historically unique, was that the Germans made a further step, which is to say, yeah, we suffered and it was rough, but other people suffered more and it was our fault. And, you know, so yes, the defeat played a role. There's some other, however, things that sound more prosaic.
15:58
You have no idea what kind of a media landscape we have here, public media landscape. And I'm, you know, I'm pleased to see podcasts like yours appearing to make up for the fact that, you know, most radio programs and almost all of television is commercial television. It does not go in for long form discussions of any kind.
16:35
And that's entirely different in Germany. In Germany, most of the media is public and we all pay a little tax. The funny thing is that I don't actually have time.
16:39
I watch much German television or radio, but I am so happy every year to pay my little tax, which is not very much. It's like, let's say, $100 a year, because I know that that ensures that we don't have Fox News, you know, so the German public is used to serious discussions in television, in radio, in the newspapers of a kind, that we don't have enough outlets in the United States for doing. That's another thing that plays a role.
17:15
So what about a personal, confrontation? I remember reading recently a book called Germany and the Germans by John Arda in from the 1990s. And he describes going to, I think it was at the University of Stuttgart, where they had like the grandfathers and grandmothers who had lived through the war, [talk] one on one with students who grew up after the war. And there was very much a sort of generational tension.
17:46
How much of the sort of Vergangenheitsalphabetung was personal? And why haven't we had that in the United States?
17:50
So that's a really good question. And of course, it depends whether the person you're confronting is your grandfather or your father. In the late 60s, when people were confronting their parents who had served in the Wehrmacht or, you know, and certainly gone along with the Nazis. Even if they hadn't actually been members of the party, the confrontations were terrible, understandably.
18:17
And you had a sense of family structures being quite destroyed in many cases. The interesting thing, I felt like the family structures weren't destroyed. I mean, I was once invited to, you know, spend a weekend in the country with somebody who said her parents were away and said, use our house. And the parents had, you know, pictures of the father in uniform over the house. And I left the next day.
18:52
I can imagine. Yes.
18:54
[Laughter] You know, if this is what it means to have a nice relationship with your parents, I'm not sure that I'm going for it. Look, I think so. So there are people now talking about the ways in which people, you know, didn't confront their grandparents and where the grandparent was, in particular, a Nazi criminal or even a serious Nazi, that has left real scars. One of the people I interviewed in the book, Alexandra Semft, has written about her grandfather, who was actually one of the very few people executed as a war criminal, and, you know, talked about the way that that destroyed her family.
19:42
So, you know, the confrontations didn't happen at all for decades. And they certainly happened. You know, there are sort of waves of these things.
20:00
And of course, every family is personal. Look, I think the biggest problem in the United States is this hundred year old hole in our memory, as I talk about in the book, between the end of the Civil War and the Civil Rights Act of 1964.
20:22
I was fortunate, I grew up in the South, although I know you don't hear it. My parents were from the North, but my mother was very active in the civil rights movement in Atlanta. So I'm kind of a civil rights kid. That was the you know, that was the atmosphere that I grew up in. But nobody talked about history. Everybody was much too focused on the present, you know, focused on getting rid of segregation.
20:51
And, you know, it was a time, Zachary, you're fortunate to have had your young political consciousness formed by, you know, an African-American president of great integrity and intelligence. When I was young, we couldn't imagine it. We couldn't even imagine a black cabinet member at that point.
21:17
So the focus was on the present and the future. People were not talking about the history. At least white people certainly weren't. And I rather think black people weren't either. They knew more of it, of course, than white people did, but it wasn't a focus of attention.
21:36
So we tended to think, OK, there was slavery. Slavery was terrible, but then we fought a war in order to end it. That was still the line, you know, that I learned mostly. And then there was Jim Crow, I think Jim Crow is a terrible expression.
21:58
I'm on a minor campaign to snap it out because it's a euphemism. It prettifies what Bryan Stevenson calls the age of racial terror, which I think is a much more accurate expression.
22:13
I agree.
22:14
Yeah. And the words Jim Crow allow us to think, OK, there were racial stereotypes, there was racist prejudice. But, you know, We we don't know about the web of legal continuation of various things that have been called neo-slavery.
22:37
The way in which ordinary behavior, if carried out by African-Americans, was criminalized, the way in which there was actually a deliberate turn from, you know, thinking of African-Americans as stupid and lazy, which was the stereotype during slavery days, to thinking of them as criminals. All the way through, you know, redlining and the ways in which people of color were barred from getting mortgages, were barred from getting Social Security.
23:19
So and and, of course, in the background, lynching as a real instrument of terror to intimidate people of color. So, you know, we we tended to think that all of that was more or less so. We think, OK, it was, you know, it was too bad that there was segregation, but then we had the civil rights movement and it wiped it out.
23:46
And, you know, our ignorance, and I must say myself ,very much until 2015, until I I started thinking about these questions, I was as ignorant as anybody else. And I know professors of American history who didn't know very much about it.
24:00
Of course. [Inaudible] Well, there is for a long time it wasn't even in our scholarship. I mean, you could be a scholar of American history without addressing these issues until, you know, 30 years ago.
24:11
Right. And then you had to be a scholar. You know, you had to be Eric Foner or, you know, in order to address those issues. And, you know, if it wasn't your field, it didn't get into public discussion in the way that it is now. So I think that's the main reason why Americans have not examined our racist history.
24:36
There's a second issue that I'm only going to mention because I know we don't have time to go into it. I think we are still living in a time where the Cold War has cast its shadow over American history, which is why great, you know, civil rights activists like Paul Robeson [are] almost forgotten, which is why we don't talk about Hiroshima and we don't talk about Vietnam. But that's a question for a podcast in itself.
25:08
Yeah. So we also see you talked about this in your book a lot as well. Later on, particularly in recent decades, an effort by Germans not only to talk about their past, but to take actions, to atone for it, to accept refugees and to send aid to Israel and other such activities.
25:27
How big of a part of Vergangenheitsaufarbeitung is this? And has it been applied in the United States? And how could it be?
25:38
So [that is a] very good question. I mean, let me start by saying that Vergangenheitsaufarbeitung has, you know, it's not one thing. It's not a, you know, a one off vaccination, OK?
25:50
It involves, you know, constructing a different national narrative, but that itself is not just something to be done by historians. And it's not just something to be done in history books.
26:04
It involves popular culture. You know, it involves movies, literature, songs, all of that stuff needs to be rethought of. I think reparations need to play a role.
26:20
And they have certainly played a role in Germany with reparations to Holocaust victims, reparations to the state of Israel. And here is something that Americans tend to forget or not ever to have known about. The Wehrmacht laid waste to Poland and Russia and killed 14 million Slavic civilians.
26:47
So East Germany paid a huge amount of reparations to Poland and the Soviet Union as well. So obviously, where there's been damage and, you know, again, it's a complicated subject. The damage needs to be materially repaired if there are still people who need to be brought to justice. They need to be brought to justice. We need to think about the iconography of our cities, as I say in the book. There is no Hans Wehrmacht in Germany.
27:28
I mean, I just made that up as a counterpart to Johnny Reb. Yes. What there are are thousands of memorials to both victims and the few resistance heroes that there were. All of that is part of Vergangenheitsaufarbeitung.
27:48
So Susan, this is such a powerful narrative that you put together here, and it is so compelling because it's thoughtful and you draw out interviews with major figures. You've mentioned Brian Stevenson and many others on the German side and the American side. We always like to close our podcast episode, Susan, with a forward looking, hopeful denouement.
28:12
What do you take from this about the possibilities going forward? I think Americans are maybe at least a younger generation. It seems to me, and I find this certainly with my students, are much more open to talking about a lot of these issues than my students were even 10 years ago.
28:29
So what do you see as the positive pathway forward for us taking into account your analysis of historical memory and the uses and misuses of it?
28:41
I see a lot of hope at the moment, but I think we're in a perilous time. It surprises me to complain about polarization because it's such a centrist thing to do. And I am not a centrist. I'm a Social Democrat and I'll say it to anybody who wants to hear it. I've always been on the left. But I think we need to be very, very careful in this moment.
29:06
I agree with you that people are finally in America connecting the violence, which still outrageously exists more towards people of color than towards anyone else. That violence with the violence in our past and the need for a new narrative. But I think it's extremely important that this be seen as a universalist project.
29:34
I know the word universalism is, you know, not very popular these days, but I'm making an argument to revive it. And I try and do that in the book. This is American history.
29:47
This is not black history. And it's very important, I think, that white Americans not consider ourselves as allies. An ally is someone who is, you know, has a temporary alignment of interests with someone else like the U.S. and the Soviet Union did during World War Two.
30:12
Right.
30:14
But wasn't an alliance based on principle? I support Black Lives Matter, not out of interest, but as a matter of principle, because I care about universal human justice. And I am part of, you know, many people of many ethnic backgrounds who have always done so.
30:41
Hannah Arendt, in her very important book, Eichmann in Jerusalem, criticized the state of Israel because when they indicted Eichmann, they indicted him for crimes against the Jewish people, and she says he should haveâ¦been indicted for crimes against humanity.
31:03
And I think that's exactly right. And I think we need to see the crimes against African Americans as crimes against humanity that should engage and enrage every decent American as we work to reconstruct a better country.
31:25
That's so powerful. Susan, I loved how you closed the book in what you called, "in place of conclusions." Because there is no conclusion to this story, where you talk about how in your words, "I gave tribalism a try," right? But then you say it surprised me. I had a little whiplash at the end. I didn't expect that from you. And then you said, this book itself is offered as an exercise in universalism in the hope that understanding difference will help us to find shared souls.
31:57
Zachary, this book obviously moved you. We read a lot together, but I think you really were moved by this. Why did it move you? And do you think that Susan's plea for universalism will resonate with your generation?
32:10
Yeah, I think that it really resonated for me because it's a very sort of understanding of American history and world history from a perspective, that is, that is deeply intellectual. And I think, the most accurate depiction of history that we can see.
32:27
And I think it's actually a very hopeful thing for young Americans like myself, because I think sometimes it's a little easy to be put off by people who want to be all negative about American history or all positive about American history. And I think that this book in the message of this book offers a great framework for how we can understand our history from a realistic perspective.
32:49
Thank you so much. And you know what Jeremy said also resonates with your poem. You know, there isn't a conclusion. This is something you know that's going to go on for a very long time, and it's a multi generational project. So I think it's wonderful that the two of you are doing this together.
33:15
And reading your books, Susan, it certainly felt not just like reading an exploration in memory and history, but also an exploration and redemption. What you're talking about is the most hopeful thing, right?
33:24
How democratic societies offer the possibility for redemption because this is a theme of our podcast. Weekend and week out. Democracy is about no finality. Democracy denies that there's an end to history. There's no perfect template, and we're not looking to create the perfect man and woman, we're looking to constantly remake ourselves for our times to come.
33:45
It's a constant rebuilding or in the Jewish tradition, Ledor Vador, from generation to generation. And, I think your book really captures that so well.
33:53
Thank you for joining us from Berlin today for this discussion.
33:56
Well, it's been a pleasure, and now I'll look up your podcast more often.
34:01
I hope you will.
34:03
I will.
34:04
And Zachary, thank you, as always for a moving poem in two languages this time. You keep outdoing yourself every week and most of all, thank you to our listeners. And I do want to encourage everyone to pick up a copy of Susan's book. It's now in paperback, Learning from the Germans. The title, very easy to remember.
Episode 138: The Filibuster
00:00
This is Democracy, a podcast about the people of the United States, a podcast about citizenship, about engaging with politics, and the world around you. A podcast about educating yourself on today's important issues and how to have a voice in what happens next. Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy.
00:29
This week we are going to discuss a perennial topic of congressional politics and a perennial debate within our democracy, one that's becoming perhaps more important than it's been in a long time. The question of whether the U.S. Senate should continue to have a rule for a filibuster, which allows a minority, a small minority, in the Senate to prevent legislation and other matters from moving forward.
00:55
This is, as I said, an age-old question. It's central to American legislation in American politics, and we're very fortunate to have with us one of the leading scholars of Congress in general, and this topic, among many others.
01:09
My friend and colleague, Sean Theriault. Good morning, Sean. Good morning, Jeremi. Sean is a professor in the Department of Government here at the University of Texas at Austin. As I said, he is an internationally recognized, widely published author and speaker on the various pathologies of the U. S. Congress. Sean has written five outstanding books, many of which have won awards.
01:31
He began his illustrious career with the book The Power of the People, appropriately titled for a Scholar of Congress. I guess that's the aspiration of Congress more than the reality. He then published a really prescient book in 2008: Party Polarization in Congress, then another book that I really enjoyed reading. I read this book on the prize committee years agoâThe Gingrich Senatorsâreally, one of the best books at explaining how Newt Gingrich and his generation transformed the U. S. Congress.
02:01
And then more recently, The Great Broadening. And just this last year, a really important book for educating all of us about these topics, Congress: The First Branch. Sean also writes widely in every major newspaper. He appears on all kinds of news shows.
02:16
We could call you, Sean, Mr. Congress. How does that sound?
02:18
I'll take that moniker, although Congress isn't so popular these days, Jeremi. [Laughter] Yeah, well, I think it's safe to say, Sean, you are more popular than Congress. Thanks, Jeremi.
02:30
Before our conversation with Sean, as always, we have our scene setting poem from Mr. Zachary Suri.
02:38
Zachary, what is the title of your poem today?
02:40
With a single speech.
02:42
Well, let's hear it.
02:44
âIt is a kind of arrogance that we think ourselves so sacrosanct that we build for our posterity, a temple of democracy, and hand any old fool a key. It is a kind of arrogance that we think ourselves so chosen that we steal votes from cities, for a slew of empty prairies, to send their any old Tom, Harry, Dick, and Larrys. It is a kind of arrogance that we think ourselves so holy that they can stand among the rubble that they burned right to the ground; and with their fist hollowed oaken desk of storied Asia's pound, and cry out for the freedom of ten hours for their mouths to sound. It is a kind of arrogance that we think are stars so well foretold to turn away the crying of a child for the banknotes, pristinely rolled. To rest our eyes on empty promises, where they rest in rot and mold, and wake up in a stupor, still in the middle of our speech. And sing to the great portraits about the horror to impeach. But the old poets of the tattered haunts, they know it all too well, and can recall of every second to you in a cafe with a screech, as their voices swell. Old men cannot solve our problems with a single speech.â
04:03
Zachary, that's lovely. What is your poem about?
04:06
My poem is really about the irony that we consider ourselves such an important and original democracy. And we think ourselves so great that we don't actually need to maintain our democracy and perform the basic maintenance of democratic institutions. And even while we have these very archaic institutions, like the filibuster, embedded in our very houses of government.
04:35
Well, that's just a fantastic opening for our conversation. Sean, is the filibuster an archaic element of Congress?
04:44
So first Jeremi, how dare you make us go after Zachary! [laughter] If I ever sign up to do this show again, I'm going to mandate that he go last, so I don't have to follow that! [laughter]
04:56
You're not the first guest to say that. So you should listen to your guests, Jeremi. How dare you sucker punch us off! [laughter]
05:06
Right, so the filibuster has ancient roots. There is no doubt about it. And the filibuster has stopped lots of good legislation over time, but it's also stopped lots of really bad legislation over time, so it serves a purpose. I mean, its purpose is now being debated, much more seriously than I think it has in quite a while, right? I'm not sure how long the Senate will still have its filibuster, but it's in place now, and it's having ramifications on all sorts of debates taking place in the Senate today.
05:36
And Sean, before we talk about how this filibuster actually works, why is it there?
05:41
It's not mentioned in the Constitution, of course. So how did we get this archaic institution?
05:47
Yeah, so right. I'll give you a common person's understanding of how it came to exist, and I'm a storyteller, Jeremi. This is the reason I think my students pay attentionâYou're a great storytellerâon occasion.
05:59
And so, the story is that Aaron Burr, who was vice president, was looking at the Senate rule book, and he came across this thing called the motion to order the previous question. And he's like, we never used this thing, we're just going to get rid of it. Right, so this is back in the early 1800s. And so, the Senate decides to delete this motion to order the previous question from its rule book. The House keeps its version, so the rules of the House and the rules of the Senate, back when they first got started, were more similar than they are today. And so, Aaron Burr and the senators decided to get rid of this motion to order the previous question.
06:32
And with that, it comes to an understanding that the only way that you can move legislation, then, is through this thing called the unanimous consent agreement. And, of course, unanimous consent agreement is really important because of its first wordâunanimous. So in order to get the Senate moving on anything, it requires all senators to agree to move on that thing. And so, what that does is it empowers any individual senator to say, âno, I don't want to move on to that thing,â and as soon as they object, then they have control of the floor.
07:03
And then that sends us down a procedural set of steps, whereby the rest of the Senate, if there's sufficient numbers, can tell that senator that they lose control of the floor, and they go into a different set of procedures; whereby they can actually start debating something, and presumably, at the end of the legislative process, even passed something. Its origins, right? The reason we have a filibuster goes back to those early decisions made by Aaron Burr a long time ago.
07:29
So like Lin Manuel Miranda's play. I mean, Aaron Burr is the villain, in a sense here, right?
07:36
Well, if you think that the filibuster is a bad thing, he's the villain. [Laughter] Or is this the reason that the Senate becomes known as the greatest deliberative body in the world? I mean, I think that it depends on what side of the filibuster fence you're on as to whether or not he's the villain or the hero.
07:52
Right. It's extraordinary, though, Sean, isn't it? That as vice president, he had that much enduring power on the way the Senate operates.
08:01
Right, and this is actually a really good lesson for the Senate. Right? So this is a precedent that is set early, and the Senate really cares about precedent. And so, a decision that they make kind of just because they never used this thing, ends up having these huge ramifications that we continue to feel throughout the next two-hundred plus years of history. It's a really important lesson in path dependence, how a decision made early has enduring effects, as you say.
08:25
How does the filibuster work, Sean?
08:28
So it's hard, right? And you know this, Jeremi, but to educate the folks who might be listening to this, so the filibuster, really, in a congressional sense, just means the delay of legislation. And so, the different forms that a filibuster can take are various, right.
08:45
So when Ron Johnson makes them read every word of the 1.9 trillion dollar relief bill, the Congress is now in the process of passing; that is a form of filibuster, right? Because that is delaying the legislative process. And so, we could call that a filibuster, but it comes to have a more particular meeting when a senator presumably takes the floor and gives a speech.
09:08
And so we normally say that that is filibustering. But we could really claim the Ron Johnson's, again, based on the unanimous consent agreement, normally, a senator, the majority, they were to ask unanimous consent to waive the reading of the bill. And if no senator objects, then the reading of the bill is waived, but Ron Johnson object[ed].
09:27
And so, according to the rules of the Senate, that bill has to be read in its entirety, and so [it is] a form of filibuster. So In other words, what the filibuster is, is a delay tactic that any senator can use, in theory, as long as they wish to use. That's right, because so much of the Senate is done through these unanimous consent agreements, there are lots of opportunities for a senator to object, and as soon as they object, they have the floor.
09:55
So we normally think of the filibuster is when the senators start[ ] giving a speech, and the only way that a filibuster can be broken at that point is through this process called cloture, and cloture is a petition. And if the petition gets signed by sixty senators, th[e]n, they can attempt to invoke cloture, and then there will be a vote on closure. And then if cloture is invoked, then there is a different procedure again. And what can happen post-cloture? Usually, it's limited to one hundred hours of debate, and then they have to move the legislation after cloture is invoked.
10:32
There's been a lot of talk lately about how the filibuster has affected our democratic institutions, not just the Senate, but Congress as a whole. How has the filibuster in the past promoted majoritarian democracy, and how has it undermined that at the same time?
10:47
Yeah, so, and it's interesting that you use the word majoritarian.
10:52
So what the filibuster does because it requires sixty votes, there's a supermajority. And so what a supermajority means is that instead of only taking fifty votes plus the vice president to pass something, it requires sixty votes in the Senate for lots of different pieces of legislation.
11:08
And so when you require those ten extra votes, it means that you're empowering lots of people, usually of the minority party, to sign off on a piece of legislation, which gives them huge control over what the final words of that legislation look like, or whether or not the final words can ever be agreed to.
11:26
And so what it means is that it requires more than just a simple majority, as the House of Representatives is just a majoritarian institution. If you have, the number of yes votes are greater than the number of no votes, then the legislation is passed.
11:40
But the Senate requires those ten extra votes, and it's even more than that, in some instances, it's sixty votes, right. It's not three-fifths of the Senate, right? So it's a sixty vote threshold. So if their Senate, because of vacancies or deaths, senators not being in town, it's not enough that three-fifths of the Senate agree, but it's that sixty votes, right? So it's literally sixty votes.
12:02
Sean, as a scholar of Congress who studied this, I think, closer than pretty much anyone else, what have been the moments when the filibuster has actually built consensus?
12:14
That's the argument it seems to me you're making. At certain moments. It forces a party with fifty-two to actually reach out and find those on the other side, at least eight of them to go along with things. And one could see, in theory, the value in that.
12:26
So what moments do you see as the moments when this has been a source of consensus building?
12:31
Yeah, so I think that we could even just go back in time to a time that most of us remember, some of us more vividly than others. When the Affordable Care Act was passed because it required sixty votes in the Senate at that time, [which] had sixty Democrats. And so what it meant was that every single Democrat had to be in favor of it, which meant that those moderate Democrats from Nebraska and Louisiana had a lot of power in shaping the legislation in order to pick up those last few votes.
13:01
Now in some ways, that piece of legislation was improved, particularly for the states of Louisiana, Nebraska, but in other senses, we could say that it required a broader consensus from the Senate as a whole. Where if [it] only required fifty votes or fifty plus the vice president, we could have imagined that there might have been a more lively debate about the public option, but because it required those sixty votes, that was a nonstarter for enough of those Democrats that it didn't happen.
13:30
And if we go back in time right, we can go back to the Civil Rights Act of 1964, The Voting Rights Act of 1965. If we're only talking about the number of yeses being more than the number of noes, then you don't have to have particularly broad conversations among senators to figure out what wording actually works for enough of them to pass the thing.
13:50
But because of the super majoritarian requirement in the Senate, it just requires a broader conversation and this has ramifications; absolutely on the Senate. But it also has ramifications on the House because that legislation also has to be passed by the House.
14:04
And if in the process they're moderating that legislation, then it means that perhaps it's not passing two hundred and eighteen votes to two hundred and seventeen, but maybe it's passing two hundred and sixty votes to one hundred and seventy. And so legislation that passes with broader margins usually is more sustainable. It's usually broader. It[ ] usually has more buy-in from some of the people who ultimately might object to it, and so we think of it as being longer lasting.
14:31
It's a great point. And you can see that certainly, with the civil rights legislation that you mentioned going back to the â57 [Civil Rights] Act, that Lyndon Johnson, as Senate majority leader, muscles his way through. And then, of course, the â64 Civil Rights Act and the â65 Voting Rights Act. What's striking about those examples, Sean, which are terrific examples, is that, you're right, the legislation gains more permanence from having to go through the filibuster threshold.
14:58
But historians, I think, would argue, [it] took much longer to get that legislation. And Jim Crow, and of course, before that, slavery, last a lot longer than they might have otherwise because of the filibuster, so you can see both sides. Would you agree with that?
15:12
Oh, absolutely, right. So in part of the arguments that we're hearing today is that the filibuster should ultimately be revoked from the rules of the Senate, for perhaps most importantly, because of its racist past. Right?
15:26
So we don't get legislation on civil rights until the late 1950s and 1960s, in part because of the filibuster and in the power of the super majoritarian requirement in the Senate. That there was no way that you could [a] get sufficient number of senators to pass something, even though there might have been fifty-one votes much earlier.
15:45
How does an effective majority leader do this?
15:51
I mean, what do we learn from someone like Lyndon Johnson?
15:54
We certainly learned that the majority leader, we learned this from Mitch McConnell too, is incredibly powerful in the Senate.
16:00
But it just seems today, when the majority leader's main role is whipping his or her own party, how have they, in the past, been able to get through this threshold? What have they done?
16:10
Right? So it means that they're talking to their members, but because it's rare that we have a party having sixty votes just done outside of the aisle, it also requires them to have conversations across the aisle. And so what it means is that there has to be a far more open dialogue between the majority leader and the minority leader than we might otherwise think. And so, good majority leaders are keeping their caucus together, which minimizes the number of votes they're going to have to get from the other side, but they're also making sure that that dialogue happens.
16:41
What we see happening, though, interestingly, especially over the last ten or even fifteen years, is that there is another set of senators that feel particularly empowered because of the super majoritarian requirement. And they come to be known as gangs, where they form a group, a bipartisan group.
17:00
And usually, the number of people in the group is explicitly tied to the number of votes that it will take to invoke cloture, so that sixty vote threshold. So if the Democrats have, let's just say fifty-five votes, then the gang will be a gang of ten because they know that they need five Republicans. And so they usually form it in a bipartisan way. So five Republicans, five Democrats. But if the Democrats only have fifty-three votes, then it would require a gang of fourteen because you need seven Republicans and then the seven Democrats that they're negotiating with, ultimately, to try and pass legislation.
17:34
And so what the filibuster does, is it means that the conversations have to happen across the aisle in a way that certainly, since you've seen since since January 6 in the House of Representatives, there is almost no conversations happening across the aisle; even though, right, Nancy Pelosi's threshold isn't that much bigger than Chuck Schumer's threshold in the Senate. But she's able to, just with her votes alone, pass legislation where it doesn't require her to talk across the aisle the same way that it does for Chuck Schumer.
18:03
So I guess, Sean, this is what puzzles me because it seems that over time in most periods, these gangs that are formed, as you say, to control getting through cloture, getting the sixty votes that are necessary. They've generally had a moderating influence on legislation because they usually are a mix of Democrats and Republicans close to the middle.
18:24
Someone like the Senator Joe Manchin today from West Virginia, who is probably closer to the middle than many other Democrats would be in the Senate or Susan Collins, I guess on the Republican side for Maine. And they've had an enormous amount of influence on legislation over time, but it seems in the last decade that hasn't happened.
18:41
And it seems as if, the filibuster is being invoked, more often than not, just to stop any deliberation, for example, on gun control, to stop deliberation on voting rights.
18:53
Is that a newer phenomenon and if so, why?
18:55
So it is a newer phenomenon.
18:57
And so what's happening is that the parties are sorting at the same time that they're becoming more polarized, which means that there are far fewer Democrats representing Trump voting states and far fewer Republicans representing Biden voting states. Which means that the senators are less cross pressured, which means that forming cross party coalitions has become exceedingly more difficult.
19:20
So we used it right if we go back to even Richard Nixon's impeachment, the average percentage that the Democratic candidate for president, so in this case, McGovern would have gotten among states represented by Democrats was exactly the same as states represented by Republicans, right? So you had lots of Republicans who are representing Democratic leaning states, you had lots of Democrats who are representing Republican leaning states.
19:45
And so those types of conversations happen much more easily when theâsenators feel cross pressure from their constituencies in their parties. But what we know is over time there are so few, right? So the two that you've already mentioned are two of the most obvious examples, and the next closest ones are really tough to come to.
20:06
Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, right? Ron Johnson, Wisconsin, where the Democrat wins by a fraction of a percentage point. And so we don't think of them as being nearly as cross pressured as Susan Collins, representing Maine or Joe Manchin, representing West Virginia.
20:22
And at the same time, the margins in the Senate have decreased. So in order to get ten Republicans to go along with something that Joe Biden and Chuck Schumer and the Democrats want, you have to get to a pretty conservative Republican representing a pretty Republican voting state.
20:38
And so that's just really hard and so those conversations become much more difficult. So to move things like gun control or voting rights, it's just that much more difficult because of the particular political situations of the senators.
20:51
And what role, then, does the filibuster play in such a close Senate? Almost fifty-fifty?
20:58
How does the filibuster's role change when we get increasingly very close margins in the Senate, every Congress?
21:06
Yeah, so what it means is that you're not going to get major pieces of legislation.
21:10
The legislation can pass outside of budget stuff, right? So what we're seeing play out right now with the 1.9 [trillion dollar] relief bill is that because it's related to budget, there's a different process involving budget reconciliation, which means that it only requires fifty votes.
21:27
But things that don't require money spending like voting rights or gun control, it means that legislation is going to be so difficult to pass that many of us just can't even imagine right. So perhaps there's like at the margins changes, but you're never going to get a big thrust of new gun control or protection of voting rights.
21:48
The re emboldening of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 after the Supreme Court opinion, you're not going to get huge immigration reform. The Senate is a very, stability-inducing place, right? So it also means we're not going to get big changes from Congress to Congress.
22:05
Right? So right now the Democrats have a majority by Kamala Harris' vote, and if in four years, the Republicans have the same majority, we're not going to get big flips and legislation because of the super majoritarian requirement.
22:19
So over time, Sean, I think, as a consequence of a closely split Senate for quite a while and the difficulty of getting major legislation through there has been a chipping away of the filibuster. The budget reconciliation itself, I think, is one example of that.
22:37
Certainly, as I recall, the Democratic Party under President Obama eliminated the filibuster for judicial appointments short of the Supreme Court. And then, of course, the Republican Party under Donald Trump eliminated the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees, which is how Trump was able to nominate and appoint three different members of the court.
22:56
Do you foresee a continued chipping away of the filibuster?
23:00
Do you foresee an elimination of it or just leaving it as it is?
23:03
So Jeremi, I think the filibuster's days are limited, right? So again, the filibuster in the strictest sense.
23:09
Of course, delaying legislation is always going to happen, right? But this process that we've been talking about, especially most recently, its days are limited. Right now, I think that the filibuster is still on the books because of a couple of senators, so Kristen Cinema and Joe Manchin said that they liked the filibuster in any type of process.
23:29
To get rid of the filibuster would require a majority vote, and so, the Democrats don't have it right now. So if the Republicans take control of the Senate after the 2022 election, and they get it by a couple of votes, I think that it continues to exist only because they don't have unified government.
23:50
But I think as soon as a party has unified government, that is, control of both the House and the Senate and the White House, and they have a sufficiently large margin in the Senate, the filibuster will be dead, right?
23:58
So if the Democrats, let's just say, win control, keep control of the White House, and let's say they pick up seats in the 2022 election, so that they have fifty-three or fifty-four votes in the Senate, and still a majority in the House, I think the filibuster would be dead.
24:14
Or if, in the 2024 election, Republicans capture all three and they have fifty-three or fifty-four votes and they don't need Susan Collins and maybe one other Republican senator, then I think the filibuster is dead.
24:26
So I think its days are numbered as soon as a party has unified control and they have sufficient majority in the Senate, then then the filibuster will be reformed in the Senate.
24:39
Or Sean, and this would be a road toward the end you're describing, is it likely that we will see more significant chipping away of it just in the coming months, for example, with Democrats wanting to be able to pass voting rights legislation?
24:53
Yeah, and what's interesting to me is, I think, as we've seen, the state legislatures invoke some pretty awful new rules with respect to voting, I think the more ugly process...takes place in state legislatures.
25:08
I could imagine Joe Manchin and Kristen Cinema coming around, but I can't imagine the carve outs for things like voting rights. And then I can't imagine they would then carve out something to do with gun control or right, like I just can't imagine these carve outs.
25:23
But I could imagine them implementing is a particular process. And maybe with a wink and a nod and some type of budget ramifications, them trying to include voting rights within the budget reconciliation rules that currently exist, right? So maybe it has to do with the federal government giving states money to do x, y, or z, so that voting rights certainly now would then have financial ramifications such that it could be read under budget reconciliation.
25:51
And I guess this is my last question. Sean, do you foresee the Senate moving to what Joe Manchin himself has mentioned, which is the possibility of at least making those who want to invoke the filibuster make them work harder, make them actually stand up and speak right now?
26:07
Oftentimes, right, those who are willing to filibuster simply threatened to do it, and the Senate moves on. But do you foresee them at least raising the pain threshold for filibusterers, as Manchin has suggested?
26:17
So I can imagine them doing it in very limited ways, the problem with that and you've already alluded to this the power of the majority leader to set the agenda.
26:26
So if the Senate is meeting, then Chuck Schumer wants to use the meeting time of the Senate in a way to advance the Democratic agenda. If he calls up bills that will merely be filibustered and they end up wasting twenty-four, fourty-eight hours, a week because of a filibuster, then that means he's not able to move all the other things that Chuck Schumer wants to move, many of which don't require a sixty vote threshold, right?
26:46
Judicial appointments, filling out the rest of President Biden's Cabinet, so the plenary time on the Senate trades off with the filibuster time. And so for every minute that Chuck Schumer is allowing a filibuster, right, raising the pain threshold, forcing Republican senators to talk endlessly on the floor of the Senate, means that he's not able to do all the other things that the Democrats want to do in the Senate.
27:11
And so, right, it's a good talking point, but I just can't see it playing out, except and perhaps in very limited cases. It's a great insight, Sean, that there is a trade off in terms of time for the Senate and the majority has very limited time to get things done, especially when you look at the electoral clock with a 2022 election coming up.
27:32
Zachary as we close here, what are your thoughts on this?
27:37
There's a younger generation like yours. First of all, do you pay attention to this?
27:42
Is this something that can motivate people?
27:44
I mean one thing Sean is saying is that the filibuster's days are numbered. That certainly means that this is an issue people should pay attention to, do you think that's that's the case?
27:53
I do think that's the case. I think a lot of people in my generation are very dissatisfied with the slow pace of everything in the United States Congress. And especially those who feel aligned with the Democratic Party in particular, I think are very frustrated that many of the reforms that young people have pushed the hardest for are being stalled because of these legislative rules. And so I think that you will see a lot more attention to these issues from young people and young voters who are quickly becoming a very important voting bloc in our elections.
28:29
Great point. Is that accurate, Sean, do you think?
28:31
So it is accurate, but I would warn both Zachary and folks of his generation and people that have his politics, that while it may be beneficial to your side today, in four years when the Republicans have unified control, you could imagine them getting rid of lots of things that the Democrats would not want to put in place. And perhaps even going back further, right?
28:52
Not only stripping away some of the Biden administration's achievements, but even going back to the Affordable Care Act or other policies that have lots of benefits to not only Democrats, but also a good number of Republicans.
29:07
For sure.
29:09
And there we have the reason the filibuster has survived as long as it has.
29:12
Sean, this was fantastic. You offer such detailed and insightful knowledge on Congress and related political matters. And you're so good at explaining things and also making it fun and interesting, so thank you, Sean, for joining us today.
29:28
Oh, thank you for having me on, Jeremi. It's a pleasure talking to you and Zachary today. And Zachary, thank you for your poem, as always, and most of all, thank you to our listeners for joining us for this episode of This is Democracy.
Episode 169: Vietnam War Legacies
00:25
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. This week we're going to discuss the Vietnam War and its legacies, its continuing legacies in American society, in global policy, and particularly in light of a recent set of conflicts that produced similarly controversial outcomes for American society and global policy, the conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq. We are very fortunate to be joined by a friend, colleague, distinguished author, and distinguished scholar, Mark Lawrence.
01:01
Mark is the director of the LBJ Presidential Library and Museum here in Austin, Texas, which is the best presidential library, and I say that without any bias at all. Mark is also a professor in the UT Department of History, and he has taught courses on American and international history and various other topics. He's written three fantastic books.
01:25
His first book, Assuming the Burden: Europe and the American Commitment to War in Vietnam. His second book is a wonderful narrative history of the Vietnam War as a whole, The Vietnam War: A Concise International History, and it's the only history of the Vietnam War I've seen that is truly concise. It's very hard to write a concise history of the Vietnam War.
01:46
And Mark's most recent book, the book that has just come out that we're going to talk about today, is on the Vietnam War and its legacies. It's called The End of Ambition: The United States and the Third World in the Vietnam Era. Mark, congratulations on your book, and thanks for joining us.
02:02
Thanks so much, Jeremi. It's wonderful to be here. Before we turn to our discussion with Mark, of course, we have Zachary's scene-setting poem.
02:04
Before we turn to our discussion with Mark, of course, we have Zachary's scene-setting poem. What is your poem titled today, Zachary?
02:13
It is Hard to Build Utopias.
02:16
Let's hear it.
02:18
It is hard to build utopias when you burn their children in the jungle. It is hard to build utopias when you burn their children in the jungle, and your carpet bombings make whole nations synonymous with tragedy. It is hard to build utopias when you burn their children in the jungle, and your carpet bombings make whole nations synonymous with tragedy, and you shoot your own children smack dab in the middle of their righteousness. It is hard to build utopias when they are already covered in your own rusty tanks and pierced by your own bullets, when they have already realized they don't need to be saved by you, when your own children are blowing up buildings just so you'd turn around and care a little.
03:03
It is hard to build utopia, let alone democracy, let alone peace.
03:09
Very moving, Zachary. What is your poem about?
03:11
My poem is really about the very naive American attitude that we can go anywhere and build the greatest societies out of places that we've already destroyed, and we've already meddled in for long periods of time, and places where things are much more complex than peace and war and democracy and tyranny.
03:29
That's a perfect gateway into our discussion with Mark Lawrence. Mark, these are issues you've grappled with in your scholarship for decades.
03:39
I have, but I'm not sure I'm going to be able to top Zachary's poem. Zachary, that was awesome. Thank you. I think our session is over
03:49
It's always downhill after Zachary's poem, Mark. But Mark, you have, especially in this recent book, you've really delved into the ways in which the effort to build utopia, or a great society as Lyndon Johnson called it abroad in Vietnam, really distorted American thinking and American society. First of all, why was the United States trying to do this in Vietnam? Why were we looking to build this utopia, as Zachary put it, in a place so far away that so few Americans could even identify?
04:24
Well, I think the United States was in many places around the world in the 1960s, trying to demonstrate the applicability of its own economic and political and social systems as a way of waging the Cold War and sort of demonstrating to people all over the world that the United States had the answers when it came to human progress and development and effective governance.
04:53
This was a period of intense competition, as you well know, Jeremi, between the East and West for the loyalty and sympathy of societies all around the world. So it really mattered, I think, to Americans that they had the keys to unlocking development and democratization and progress in a broad way. Vietnam was just one of many places where Americans tried to achieve those objectives.
05:19
And why were our failures there? And of course, you and others have written in depth on the sources of our shortcomings in these activities. But why was it so disruptive? Why did it have such a deep effect at home, as Zachary refers to in his poem? And also,as your new book really narrates in such depth and in such compelling detail, why did it have such an effect on American foreign policy in so many other areas?
05:46
Well, I think that the American experience in Vietnam helped to tear down this set of ambitions that ran so high in the early 1960s. Americans in the late 1960s, perhaps in the early 1970s, by and large, believed that they had the ability because of their vast know-how, their technological capabilities, their resources. The world's most productive economy believed that they could bring real change to many countries around the world, and frankly, to their own society as well. I think there's a lot of continuity that has sometimes eluded historians between the domestic arena in which JFK and LBJ and other liberals were so determined to bring reform to all facets of American life, on the one hand, and the way that they approached the international scene as well, both in the international and domestic realms. Liberals believed that by marshaling the resources of the United States, the vast expertise that the United States had at its disposal, they could achieve great things.
06:57
And I think what happens across the 1960s, and this is really what I try to get at in the book, is that Americans lose that sense of ambition. And the Vietnam War is a crucial reason, well, only one of the reasons, but a crucial reason why Americans lose that sense of ambition and American foreign policy undergoes a transformation to something quite different by the late 1960s.
07:22
But there are a lot of people who, especially nowadays, who would argue that American intervention abroad was, if not purely self-interested, was motivated mainly by self-interest. Is that accurate?
07:35
Well, I think one of the things that makes American foreign policy so difficult to understand sometimes is the ways in which self-interest and altruism blend in the way Americans think about the world. The old adage was, what's good for General Motors is good for the world. And I think that there's something really important in that kind of comment. Right? So many American policymakers believe that the United States was on the side of righteousness and had the keys to assuring progress and uplift for the whole world. But they had no doubt at the same time that the same policies would also serve the United States. So I think this distinction between self-interest and the larger global interest is clearer in retrospect than it was in the minds of the people who tended to make policy in the United States. And that was certainly true, I would say, during the 1960s.
08:37
And Mark, I think your book is really brilliant on that point because it shows, especially in your country-specific chapters, and I hope all of our listeners will go ahead and buy and read the book. Mark has chapters on Brazil, India, Iran, Indonesia, and Southern Africa. In each of these chapters, there's kind of a similar narrative arc, it seems to me, where the United States is initially pursuing self-interested goals, but also goals that are merged to some sense of democratic hope, some sense of positive change. And then in almost every one of these chapters, Mark, to my reading, the effects of the Vietnam War to push the United States toward more support for authoritarianism and often more militaristic behavior or supportive militaristic behavior on the ground. Is that a fair reading? And if so, why does that happen?
09:29
I think that is a fair reading. I tried to pick case studies, and you've listed them, Jeremi, thank you, that would illustrate a range of patterns in American behavior across the s. Two of them, Brazil and Indonesia, are very similar in demonstrating the ways in which Americans supported right-wing coups that basically eliminated very uncertain political situations in very important countries in favor of regimes, military regimes, that would clearly serve American interests much more directly and be reliable partners of the United States.
10:04
But in Iran, I think you see a similar pattern. There isn't a change in regime, but the United States becomes much more supportive and much less critical of the Shah, a deeply authoritarian figure over that time. And then I also threw in a couple of case studies that illustrate how the United States behaved in places where there was no reliable authoritarian alternative. So I look at India, where Americans had great hopes for a new kind of partnership with a regime that was hardly a candidate for a close alliance with the United States in the early 1960s. And I try to show how the United States sort of soured on that whole idea of building connections to India. And basically by the end of the decade was very much at arm's length with the Indian government and largely given up on its ambitions there.
10:56
And in Southern Africa, I try to show how in the early 1960s, Americans believed that they could find ways to support racial justice in this region that was plagued by the vestiges of colonialism and white settler rule in several places, largely abandoned those hopes and really settle for a deeply problematic status quo that at least had the advantage of being stable in the short term and therefore not a situation that would require that the United States expand vast resources or political capital on very, very difficult problems.
11:36
And Mark, why this arc? Why in each case does it seem not only that the United States is less ambitious as you put it so well in your title, but also that the United States becomes, I don't know if this is fair, but it seems to me more cynical in its policies.
11:53
Yeah, I think that's right. I think that it's important to recognize that the American attitude toward the wider world in the early s depended on a certain degree of confidence, right? That Americans could have their way in the wider world. It depended as well on the idea that the United States had the resources to pump into these areas to achieve the results that it wanted. And it relied as well, I think, on the idea that it was okay to take some risks, right? It might not ultimately pan out in every place, but it was worth the effort. And I think what you see across the 1960s, particularly as the Vietnam War heats up and really consumes debate in the United States, is that Americans question all of those ways of thinking that were easy to see at the beginning of the decade.
12:47
Resources are pumped into Southeast Asia in a way that makes them much less likely to want to expend resources elsewhere. LBJ becomes quite risk-averse, losing much of that tolerance for taking chances that I think had been part of the American approach in the early part of the decade, because he understood that the war was deeply controversial. And the last thing that he wanted was another controversy or another problem, another headache in the world.
13:15
So if there were reliable alternatives to be had out there in the third world, LBJ was increasingly likely to seize on those and privilege stability above change across the board, I think you could say, by the end of the decade.
13:28
And just to build on that, Mark, another thing that struck me in your book was how often LBJ, the President of the United States, was willing to work with people he wouldn't work with otherwise if they were willing to support him in Vietnam. So in a strange way, the Vietnam War became a driver of American policy rather than American interests and ideals. Again, is that fair? And what are your thoughts on that?
13:57
I do think that's true. I think by certainly, LBJ is so focused on Vietnam tha the sees every other policy challenge globally through that prism. And so even in relatively distant and perhaps somewhat unlikely places where you wouldn't think Vietnam was a major issue, LBJ is talking about Vietnam. So when he meets the generals in Brazil, when they come to visit him, I suppose I should say, or when he's talking to the Shah, Vietnam is very much on the agenda and he's looking for support. He's looking for indications that these regimes will support him, even if it's in a relatively symbolic way. That mattered a lot to LBJ as time passed.
14:45
So Mark, could you just say a little more about why that happens though? I mean, your book narrates that so well. And I was particularly struck by the Brazilian generals as well, because to me, you couldn't get farther from Vietnam than Brazil, right? But why is, I mean, this is the most powerful person in the world, President Lyndon Johnson. He's got so much experience also dealing with political failure as well as political success. Why does this small, as he says, this small country far away, why does it come to dominate everything this way?
15:18
Well, because I think that it came to dominate so thoroughly the American home front by. LBJ was nothing if not a political creature who was deeply sensitive to what was going on politically across American society, deeply sensitive to what was being said about him and his leadership. And so over time, I think he came to see Vietnam as the single major issue that confronted his administration.
15:51
And for this reason was prone to seeing every other issue through that prism. And I think you see it not only in connection with foreign policy issues, where you might be more likely to see connections among different foreign policy questions. You also see it in the domestic arena, where LBJ's attitudes toward his advisors, toward members of Congress, were deeply informed by his perception of where they stood on Vietnam and how they were likely to support him or not. It's, I think, one of the tragedies of the Johnson presidency that Vietnam becomes so all-consuming for him that every other issue becomes in some ways subordinate to it.
16:34
Right. You and I have talked about this before. I mean, even his views of students in the United States become defined by where they stand on the Vietnam War, which is extraordinary if you think about that. Zachary.
16:48
Yeah. So you very clearly and convincingly laid out this idea of the end of ambition and the limits that it places on foreign policy decisions. But how do you square that with the rise in global connections and global awareness among young people and others during this period?
17:07
Yeah, that's a fascinating question. And, you know, Jeremi is one of the great authorities on this issue. But the way I would answer this question is as follows. I think that LBJ, as time passed and as Vietnam consumed his agenda, became increasingly concerned with exerting control, exerting control over an increasingly chaotic situation. And that chaos was apparent not only in Southeast Asia, but also in the streets of the United States and in the streets, frankly, of other cities around the world, particularly in the all important year of 1968.
17:53
He was aware that activism and unrest was increasingly a global phenomenon. And I think for this reason, was drawn to the idea that where stability seemed to be possible, where he could find partners who would cooperate with him and clamp down on at least some of this unrest, he was ready to seize those opportunities. So, you know, I bite off a piece of that larger story by looking at American relationships with countries in the third world.
18:29
But, you know, Jeremi, I think your book Power and Protest gets at another dimension of this broad phenomenon, the quest for stability and security and predictability in an increasingly uncertain world where governmental authorities are losing their ability to control. You know, everything that's happening around the world is in some ways a big story of the 1960s.
18:49
Yeah, I thought, Mark, your book did really a wonderful job of taking that story that some of us have focused on and really connecting it to the story of what was called the third world and how this impacted not simply detente policy, a search for stability between the US and the Soviet Union and a search for law and order at home. Lyndon Johnson's the first to really use that phrase, law and order. But as you show in this book, as I think no one has before, how this really comes to define, again, American policy in Brazil and Indonesia, which to me was, again, startling. I had seen hints of this, but my gosh, the depth of it, I think we have not appreciated until reading your book.
19:34
I wonder, Mark, what you think about the legacies. I guess I'm asking you in this question sort of for your extended conclusion. You have an excellent conclusion to the book, but how would you extend it on for where this takes us, not just in the late 1960s and early 1970s, but in the last decades of the Cold War?
19:54
I think that the result of the trends that I write about in the book is that the United States by the early 1960s is drawn very strongly to the notion of stability in the third world. As I've said, most of that ambition that was so characteristic of the early s has disappeared. I think it really was Richard Nixon and someone you know, Jeremi, better than anyone, Henry Kissinger, who fully articulated the logic that had become clear to the Johnson administration as the 1960s passed.
20:32
What jumps out at me in connection with the history of the 1970s is how unstable some of those, many of those relationships that the United States had formed in the interest of assuring stability turned out to be. So the relationship with the Shah of Iran, very appealing, right? Under the chaotic circumstances of the 1960s gives way to massive instability in the 1970s. The quest for stability in Latin America gives rise to a new period of instability and chaos in some places, at least, as the 1970s advances. And on and on, we could go looking really around the world.
21:14
So I think what I would try to emphasize by way of the larger implications of the book is that this search for stability, which made a lot of sense under a very particular set of circumstances, gives rise to precisely the opposite as time passes and tends to confront the United States with a number of really pressing challenges. And I don't push this too far in the book, but I think it's not too much of a stretch to connect some of this instability to trends that continue to play out in the 21st century.
21:44
Southern Africa, Southern Asia, right? Southwest Asia, at least, remain areas of real contention. And they remain areas of contention for a whole lot of reasons. But I think that the history of the 1960s is not unimportant in understanding why it is that those areas remain sources of concern many years after the period that I write about.
22:12
Sure. And the Middle East, you talk about and write about Iran, and that certainly would be a major element of what you're talking about here. Mark, how then should we explain, taking in all that you've shared with us in elucidating these changes in American policy and the implications for American democracy and for international affairs, how then do we situate that in relationship to the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, which have an eerie echo of the period you're writing about?
22:45
You are not kidding. I mean, the similarities between Iraq and Afghanistan, on the one hand, and Vietnam on the other, have been a subject of a vast amount of writing. I'm certainly persuaded that the similarities are eerie in many, many ways. And we could certainly spend some time, if you like, talking about some of the ways in which those wars were similar. The way I would tell the story of the way in which Americans have thought about and tried to draw lessons from the history of the Vietnam War would go something like this. In the 1960s, with the end of the Cold War, Vietnam lost some of its power in American politics and society.
23:29
But I think it was really the Iraq War, and particularly the difficulties that the United States ran into there between, say, and or so, that brought Vietnam very much back to the forefront, at least in connection with debates over foreign policy. And I think around the same time as political polarization really became that much more extremein the United States, you could also see that Vietnam continued to operate at a very deep level in American society as a touchstone for deep-seated social and cultural debates over some pretty profound issues that tend to divide Americans over questions like their Americans' relationship to their government, the reasonable obligations that government can impose on citizens, the duties of citizens to protest and object to the behavior of theirgovernment, and so forth. A lot of those questions, I think, that Vietnam really put on the table remain very much part of American political life and unfortunately tend to divide Americans very deeply to this day.
24:45
I think that's super helpful, but then it opens up another question, right? If so many American leaders who were making policy and American voters who were voting for those leaders had the experience of Vietnam in mind in one way or another, and here I'm thinking about people like recently passed Secretary of State Colin Powell, former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, former Vice President Richard Cheney, Obama himself, who was reading about Vietnam at the start of his presidency. How could they make mistakes of excessive ambition, if that's what happened in Afghanistan and Iraq, if, as you point out, the lesson was so clearly to limit ambition?
25:32
Well, that lesson, I think one has to acknowledge cuts against some pretty deep-seated impulses that run through American history and American political culture, even in the post-Vietnam period. I think going a very long way back in American history, you can see a strong impulse to bring uplift and progress and reform to the wider world, to impose the American model on the rest of the world, to assume that the American model is applicable indeed to the rest of the world. So Vietnam, I would argue, and certainly many other Americans would argue, does teach the lesson of humility, of the fact that there are limits on what the United States can achieve in the world. But I think that one of the things that stands out pretty clearly in the history of American foreign relations in the last years, since the end of the Vietnam War, is that that lesson was only partially learned, only really learned by some Americans. And of course, there's a whole other set of lessons that were learned by people with a different set of preferences when it comes to American foreign policy.
26:47
There is an alternative set of lessons that would emphasize that really the key point about Vietnam is that you must not give up too early on American commitments overseas, that the United States really does have the wherewithal to achieve its objectives in the wider world. It's just that we don't sometimes have the staying power to see it through. I think there've been fascinating debates in connection with Iraq and to some extent in connection with Afghanistan that have really revealed the competing ways in which Americans of different political persuasions draw lessons from the war.
27:21
Mark, we always like to close with a focus on how history can provide us some optimistic, positive steps forward. And that's an article of faith for our podcast. As you know, it's an article of faith for me.
27:37
I have to believe this. And your book is so rich in its recounting of this period. What are the lessons that you hope, especially in the context of Afghanistan and Iraq now, what are the lessons you hope that readers take as they think about American foreign policy and American democracy going forward?
27:59
Well, one of the lessons I think is the predictable one and the one that we've already spoken about, that there are clear limits on what the United States has historically been able to achieve and presumably can achieve going forward in the world. I think that lesson of Vietnam, as I mentioned just a moment ago, was imperfectly learned, was learned only by some Americans. And yet I think it's a lesson that we constantly need to be reminded of and to consider as the United States confronts inescapably more Vietnam-like, Afghanistan-like, Iraq-like problems in the years to come.
28:46
But here's the other lesson that I think comes, that's a little more original, I suppose, and comes more directly to my book. And maybe there's something a little bit optimistic here. I think that my book shows the risks, the very pragmatic risks, the very practical risks that flow from pumping too much attention and resources into one part of the world. It shows the destructive impacts that can occur in connection with American foreign policy globally if Americans lose the ability to prioritize, to decide what's really important and how much resources any particular problem is worth as Americans confront it.
29:35
And the reason why I say I think there's something a little bit optimistic in that observation is that this is probably a lesson that many Americans, regardless of where they stand on the big questions of the legacy of the Vietnam War, could perhaps agree on. We recognize that there are risks in going too far in one place and sort of losing a sense of proportionality, losing an ability to prioritize. Um, so it may be that. When the problem is framed in that way, what are America's priorities? Where, where should it attach greater importance and devote more resources? We could find space for agreements or at least broad consents.
30:20
I think that's wonderful, Mark. Another way I think of thinking about that and, and you've, you've really provided such a strong foundation for this is to recognize that trying to win unwinnable wars is not what we should be doing. That there are many other opportunities for the use of America's vast resources, right.
30:38
That beautifully said exactly Jeremi. And you, you phrased it in even more optimistic way. And I really appreciate that.
30:45
I had to find some optimism, Zachary, as, as we close. Uh, I know you and your friends have been talking a lot about what's happened in Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq, war in Afghanistan and Iraq, obviously the Vietnam. Do you see lessons for your generation in this story?
31:07
I certainly do. I think one of the lessons is that these issues are always complex and never just black and white, never easy or impossible. And I think part of the problem, and, I think particularly among young people is that foreign policy issues can seem so black and white and, and, and, and, and so easy, but they're so complex. And, and part of the problem is that. Our political conversations, aren't mature enough, uh, in this country to really be able to, to address those issues appropriately.
31:41
I think there's a lot to that. And there's a lot between cynicism and the utopia. You talked about it in your poem, right? I think, I think Mark's book shows that there actually are. There's a lot that can be done in between maybe that's, what's abandoned because of the obsession with Vietnam. Mark, this has been a really insightful conversation. I encourage everyone to go out and read and read your book and buy it and give it away as gifts as well. The End of Ambition: The United States and the Third World in the Vietnam era. Mark, thank you so much for joining us.
32:16
Thank you so much, Jeremi. And thank you, Zachary.
32:19
Zachary, Zachary. Thank you for your poem and thank you. Most of all, to our listeners for joining us for this episode of This is Democracy.
Episode 206: Leadership
00:26
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. Today we are talking with a great author, good friend, and really outstanding thinker about a topic that we all confront every day. What is good leadership? How do we understand what it means to be an effective leader, as well as a persuasive and ethical?
00:51
In the world of social media, the world of flaming the world of difficult, difficult issues and difficult opposition to getting anything done. Our guest, Mark Updegrove, has written a number of books on presidential leadership. And his most recent book is really an. Excellent elegant study of John F. Kennedy and uses John F. Kennedy in many ways as a window into the possibilities and the limits of leadership in our world. It's a book. I hope you all will pick up and read. It's an eminently readable and deeply researched book. It's called Incomparable Grace: JFK in the Presidency. Mark, thank you for joining us.
01:32
Always a pleasure, Jeremi. Good to hear your voice after so long.
01:35
It is nice to be able to have a conversation. Mark is a presidential historian. He's the author, as I said, of five books on the presidency; he's also interviewed, I believe, just about every living president, except for Donald Trump. Is that correct Mark?
01:51
That's that's correct. Except the guy down to Mar A Lago.
01:55
Whoever that is.
01:56
Whoever that is.
01:57
Mark serves now as the president and CEO of the Lyndon B. Johnson Foundation, I get to consider him a neighbor. We don't see each other often enough. And, before that, he was the director of the LBJ Presidential Library.
02:12
Mark is also a presidential historian on ABC News. And, earlier in his career, among other things, he was a publisher of Newsweek. And if you read his newest book, you'll find out that he had a very close relationship with Hugh Sidey, who was the, I guess, the editor of Time Magazine. Is that correct, Mark?
02:29
He was, you know, he was the Washington bureau chief. Jeremi, but it was such an out, it had such an outsized power. He might as well have been the editor of Time Magazine as John Kennedy, knew as so many other presidents that he just had an incredibly important vantage point on the presidency.
02:47
As a consequence, those presidents really looked to his column in so many ways to see how they were doing.
02:56
Well, for those of you who buy and read Mark's book, there's some wonderful insights from Hughes Sidey, that Mark shares as well as insights from Scotty Reston, and many other journalists of the time. Before we get into our discussion with Mark, we have, of course, Zachary's scene sitting poem.
03:14
What is today's title Zachary?
03:17
Never Again the Same.
03:18
Let's hear it.
03:20
Never Again the Same. Let's hear it. Sometimes there are words when whispered they are meaningless, but they mean the world when you shout them in the shadow of a wall or on a football field under a hot sun which obscures the moon. Sometimes there are places when you see them on a map they seem hollow, a couple of old municipal buildings and a square in the town.
03:44
But you can see in the video recorded hazy from across the lawn how this was once for a few moments the center of the world. Sometimes there are moments when described to you they are meaningless, they seem so abstract, so absurd, unexplainable, a bullet flying unimagined. But you would have had to be there, had to have seen the way she held him as he was dying.
04:10
What would we give not to remember how it really was, to stay in that imagined moment when we all cried at the same time, to stay forever remembering the promise that was never fulfilled, the hope that was never realized, words and places and moments that never really were and would never again be the same.
04:32
I love it. Zachary, what is your poem about?
04:34
My poem is about the huge mark that John F. Kennedy, his presidency, his assassination left on the American psyche, but also the ways in which he and his family have sort of become mythologized. And we remember them in hindsight perhaps differently than we experience them as a country.
04:54
I think that's such a wonderful opening mark to discussing your fantastic book. Why did you write this book on John Kennedy? So many other books have been written. What did you have to say that others haven't said?
05:08
Well, first of all, Zachary, what a magnificent poem. And we'll come back to this, I'm sure, Jeremi, but just that phrase, a bullet flying unimagined, is just an incredible way of depicting the unimaginable assassination of John F. Kennedy when it occurred in 1963. But to answer your very good question, Jeremi, yeah, there's an old adage, write the book you want to read.
05:34
And I had read a lot of books about John F. Kennedy, some voluminous and very comprehensive, but not the book about Kennedy that I really wanted to read. And he is such a fascinating and enigmatic subject and led us through such consequential, turbulent times, triumphant in many ways, tragic in others.
05:56
And I wanted to give the reader a sense of that, sort of this cinematic glimpse of Kennedy and all that he's dealing with on any given day, internationally and domestically. I wanted the readers to feel those vicissitudes. And I hoped I achieved it with a brisk, but dramatic take on the two years and 10 months that John F. Kennedy spent in the White House.
06:23
Well, you absolutely succeeded, at least for this reader, in both of the things you just mentioned. It's a brisk read, as you said, but it's also a moving, cinematic, but more than cinematic, rueful and thoughtful account of his life. You open with one of the low points of his presidency, which might surprise a lot of readers, the Vienna Summit of 1961, when in a certain way, the leader of the Soviet Union embarrasses this young president. Why did you start there?
06:54
Because you mentioned Scotty Reston, who was the renowned columnist on the presidency for the New York Times. After this two-day summit that happened in early June of 1961, Kennedy, as you said, has just been ravaged by Nikita Khrushchev through these two grueling days, where Khrushchev is just constantly nipping at his heels and getting the better of Kennedy. Kennedy knows he's been bested.
07:24
He talked about the great chess match of leadership, and he knew he was outmatched by Khrushchev during those two vital days, and knows that Khrushchev leaves that summit emboldened, thinking that Kennedy was, in Khrushchev's words, too intelligent and too weak. By too intelligent, he means he's book smart, but he's not street smart. I can exploit this guy, Khrushchev thinks, coming out of this.
07:50
Kennedy knows this. He goes back to the American embassy in Vienna and talks off the record to Scotty Reston, and he admits to Reston that he has been savaged by Khrushchev. He realizes until Khrushchev doesn't respect him that there could be a crisis that emerges out of Khrushchev's deep confidence that he can outmaneuver Kennedy.
08:16
And he admits to Restin that he has been savaged by cruise Jeff. And he realizes until cruise Jeff doesn't respect him that there could be a. That emerges out of, uh, cruise Jeff's deep confidence that he can out-maneuver Kennedy. So that becomes this crucible in, in Kennedy's leadership. He knows he needs to show Chris Jeff, that he is a strong leader or Cru Jeff will move to exploit him. That becomes this crucible in Kennedy's leadership. He knows he needs to show Khrushchev that he is a strong leader, or Khrushchev will move to exploit him.
08:29
In your vivid description of this, and it really is vivid, and you bring out Kennedy's words, you bring out his emotions, it does resonate with, I think, the central challenge of contemporary leadership, what President Biden must live with every day, which is the sense that you're in the most powerful office in the world, but you have almost unceasing opposition from external actors of Vladimir Putin or Nikita Khrushchev, internal actors, in Kennedy's case, the military that doesn't trust him.
09:02
You're really detailed in your description, Mark, also in former President Eisenhower and others who really don't think this man is up to the job, this man who barely wins the presidency in the closest election, as you say, in the 20th century. How does Kennedy deal with that? How does he move forward in this almost unwinnable situation?
09:23
You know, you've written about this, Jeremi, you talked about the challenges of modern presidential leadership in the impossible presidency. It's a really difficult task. Kennedy, as you said, comes into the presidency with this very narrow victory, the narrowest of the 20th century, 118,000 votes to the difference between a President John F. Kennedy or a President Nixon in 1961, and yet he moves very quickly to get the American people rallying around him, partly through his iconic inauguration speech, which is so indelible, in which he says, ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country, which instantly becomes this eternal expression of the American ideal, thinking about something greater than ourselves.
10:11
But while he had the country rallied around him, he quickly stumbled with the Bay of Pigs and the failed incursion of Cuba as we tried to oust Fidel Castro from leadership. And yet, and this really says something, Jeremi, and yet in that desperate hour in his presidency, so soon into a very auspicious run in the White House, he sees his approval rating at 83%. This is after the Bay of Pigs.
10:41
Only 5% of the American public disapprove of his job performance. And it shows an American far more unified than today. I mean, how different is that than today when so many people are rooting against a Joe Biden as our president?
10:56
But we also realize that it was so important to have a strong leader at a time when the Soviet Union was vying for hearts and minds across the world and trying to dominate much of the world landscape. That was the central crisis of the age. In that moment, Jeremi, and then at that desperate moment in his presidency, I think Kennedy shows to some degree his character. He's humble. He takes accountability. As he says in a press conference, success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan. But at the end of the day, the buck stops with me, as Truman might have said. He took responsibility and vowed to the American people to do better. And he does.
11:40
He learns from that very important lessons that help him to circumvent the challenges in his most desperate hour in the presidency, which would come the year after with the Cuban Missile Crisis.
11:52
Why do you think Kennedy was able to become such a unifying figure? I mean, in the years following one of the closest elections in American history, probably nearly every American who was eligible to vote in 1960 remembers voting for John F. Kennedy. How is it possible that he could have become such a unifying figure? It seems almost unimaginable today.
12:12
Yeah, it does, Zachary. I've always appreciated, like your father, as an author, I appreciate the power of words. I do public speaking a lot, and we get how words are enormously powerful in conveying ideas and inspiring people and getting people to coalesce.
12:34
There's a wonderful quote from Clement Attlee that I relate in the book, and Attlee was the successor to Winston Churchill, and he's talking about Churchill's rhetorical splendor during the Second World War when it was so vitally important. And he says, words at great moments can be deeds. And Kennedy shows us this.
12:57
He doesn't accomplish a great deal in the presidency, particularly compared to his successor, Lyndon Johnson, who was a legislative genius and promulgated the Great Society, which fundamentally changed America. But those ideas that Kennedy put forth so artfully, so elegantly in the speeches he gave made us believe in ourselves as a nation, and I think made citizens of the world believe in the United States as a leader, as a beacon of freedom. He goes on this rhetorical hitting streak at a last year of his life that is tantamount to Ted Williams in 1941. It's remarkable, all these speeches back to back to back in different areas that fundamentally change who we are in many respects.
13:19
And I think made, made. Citizens of the world, believe in the United States as a leader, as, as a beacon of freedom. And there, you know, he goes on this rhetorical hitting streak at a certain point in 1963, the last year of his life that is, you know, tantamount to, you know, Ted Williams in 1941. , it's remarkable all these speeches back to back to back that in different areas that fundamentally change who we are in, in many respects.
13:48
I'm so glad you brought that up, Mark. It's one of the lasting lessons for me from your book, and the quote from Attlee, which is on page 226, I had not actually seen before, and I'm going to use it now and cite you also, obviously. How does one do that?
14:04
I want to dig a little deeper, and you have so many nuggets in your book about this, because every president, of course, tries to be eloquent. Kennedy was in some sense trying to be Franklin Roosevelt, and every president since Kennedy tries to mimic Kennedy or mimic Reagan. Why is it that some presidents are able to do this and others aren't? And why was Kennedy able to do this, and even his successor, who interestingly comes on stage late in your book, Lyndon Johnson, why was he unable to do this?
14:32
It's interesting, because at one point there's an interview that Kennedy does with Ben Bradley, who was then the cover of the presidency for Newsweek. They were good friends, and before a dinner party, Bradley starts interviewing John F. Kennedy, and you can hear this interview at the JFK Library, but Kennedy calls himself the antithesis of a politician, and by that he means he's not the kind of baby-kissing, back-slapping, name-knowing politician that his maternal grandfather, Honey Fitz, the very colorful mayor of Boston was.
15:08
And yet at the same time, Kennedy concedes that he fits the times, and I think what he was suggesting is that he understood that he could master the medium of television. Great politicians, whether for good or for ill, master the mediums of their age. Jefferson did it with partisan newspapers. Lincoln did it with the written word. He was a wonderful writer and had these memorable speeches, but very few people heard those speeches. You read those speeches in newspapers.
15:44
He understood the importance of the art of photography, which he used in his successful presidential campaign in 1860. Roosevelt, who you just mentioned, mastered radio, which was the medium of his time, talking to people directly. Kennedy did that with television.
16:01
The television age was coming into prominence when Kennedy came into office, but for television, it's likely that Kennedy wouldn't have been chosen as our 35th president. The debates, the first presidential debates in history, were held on television between Kennedy and Nixon, and many of us as presidential nerds can summon those images of a very pasty-faced, five o'clock shadowed Richard Nixon versus this glowing, handsome, leading man type in John F. Kennedy, and that image really mattered.
16:38
So, good politicians understand the importance of the mediums of their time, and they understand the importance of image. Kennedy got both of those things very vividly. Just in terms of the speeches he gave, Jeremi, let me just give one example, if I may, of why Kennedy was so effective, and it comes in 1963.
17:01
Kennedy had reacted largely to the crisis of civil rights. He wasn't proactive at all. He was trying, in fact, to tamp down the Civil Rights movement because it exposed not only the nation but to the world to the worst of American apartheid at a time when, as I mentioned, we were trying to compete for hearts and minds across the world with the Soviet Union. That made us look bad, like we weren't living up to our ideals as a nation.
17:26
You call it disengaged at one point
17:29
Absolutely, Jeremi, and you and I have talked about this, how Kennedy was so reactive on this, but eventually, he sees the crisis brewing in Birmingham where Martin Luther King had brought his campaign, the most segregated city in America. He finally realizes he's got to go on TV to ensure that George Wallace, who is standing in the doorway of the University of Alabama trying to prevent its integration, does not get the headline that night, does not get the lead story on the 6 o'clock news. He is encouraged by his brother Bobby to go and speak to the issue of civil rights on television.
18:12
Ted Sorensen, his speechwriter, tells Kennedy he doesn't have enough time, in eight hours, to write a presidential primetime speech, but Bobby encourages his brother to go on anyway and to speak from his heart. This very iconic speech about civil rights is largely extemporaneous from Kennedy, who had the courage to go on national television and speak his mind about the issue of civil rights, and in so, he calls it a moral issue, elevating the cause of civil rights to a moral issue for the first time in our history, and it is a turning point in the struggle for civil rights.
18:56
And as you show, civil rights leaders who had been, let's say, lukewarm on Kennedy, like Martin Luther King, Roy Wilkins, and others, they themselves see it as a turning point at that time.
19:07
Uh, as Martin Luther King says, uh, of Kennedy after the speech that white boy just hit it out of the park.
19:15
I wanted to point out also, Mark, that one of the many things I learned from your book is how effective Kennedy's press conferences were as well, which I think is another version of what you're talking about now, his ability, yes, to use the words that Sorensen and other speechwriters, Richard Goodwin, had put together for him, but his ability to own the words and often to extemporize off the cuff and connect with an audience. You say, it's extraordinary, this is around page 60 in the book, that about 18 million people on average saw his press conferences, 90 percent of Americans, 90 percent of Americans watched at least one of his first three, according to a 1961 poll. That's extraordinary, that's the Twitter of its time, isn't it?
19:59
That's exactly right, and I think the American people were able to see Kennedy in his element, going toe-to-toe with some of these wonderful journalists. Kennedy had been a journalist himself at the close of the Second World War when he left the military, he went and worked for Hearst Newspapers in Europe covering the war, and he had great respect for journalists. That didn't mean he always agreed with what they wrote about him, and it certainly took exception to a lot of what they wrote, but he was so beguiling, and I think the American people could see his facility with language, with the English language, his extensive knowledge of the issues, and frankly, this was the must-see TV of its time in many ways.
20:51
We were just so beguiled, the press included, with this young, elegant, auspicious president. It's interesting, five days after his inauguration, I believe a third of all Americans tuned into that first press conference because we were so entranced by him, and among other things, Jeremi, he had to tell the American people to stop sending letters and telegrams because the West Wing was becoming overwhelmed.
21:18
I think one of the biggest concerns that a lot of young people like myself have is that maybe the skills today that are required to run for political office, to win the presidency, to campaign so effectively and win so many people over are not the same ones that are best adapted for governments. How did Kennedy's skills as a communicator translate or connect to his skills in government and as a legislator, not as a legislator, but as someone with a legislative agenda?
21:53
Well, I think he was able to convey those ideas very effectively and successfully to the American people and to a large extent the world. When Kennedy stands in front of the Berlin Wall and says, Ich bin ein Berliner, I am a Berliner because I'm a citizen of freedom, hence a citizen of Berlin, that makes a marked impression. But I think you're right, Zachary.
22:20
Those are two fundamentally different skills. On the one hand, you have somebody who needs to convey ideas to the American people, to the press, and on the other hand, somebody who has to work behind the scenes to get his agenda done. Your dad mentioned LBJ earlier and why LBJ was not able to effectively communicate as JFK did.
22:47
I think, and I just want to add to that, Kennedy, we have this word as though it's a brand new concept in 21st century America, authentic. We had other words that were just like that, sincere or genuine, but Kennedy was authentic. He didn't pretend to be anything that he wasn't.
23:11
He knew he was a child of great wealth. In fact, he gave a press conference where it was expected that he would be running for president. He whipped out of his pocket an imaginary telegram from his father and it read, Dear Jack, don't buy any more votes than necessary. I'll be damned if I'm going to pay for a landslide. He didn't contrive a personality that he thought would fit the American people. He was very much himself.
23:45
Lyndon Johnson, on the other hand, while he was incredibly effective behind the scenes, perhaps no one was more effective than him in the 20th century, contrived this ostensibly presidential personality that simply was not authentic. It was disingenuous and it really in effect tamped down the Lyndon Johnson that was so powerful behind the scenes. I think that was part of Kennedy's appeal. He was really the genuine article. He was the real deal and part of that was his authenticism.
24:20
Mark, that's so well said. I think your book lives up to its title. Your story is a story of policy, of course.
24:28
It's a story of an individual. It's a biography. It's an analysis of the presidency, but it is really a story of how Kennedy uses his grace to lead.
24:40
Of course, it's the oldest story in the world that the great leaders, whatever that means to be a great leader, that they have grace. Franklin Roosevelt had a certain grace about him. I think you capture that.
24:53
You describe that as well as anyone I've read on this. I wonder, though, how then you think about that in light of many of the other things you include in the book as the honest historian you are that run against this. I mean, the test of any book is does it capture the complexity of a life and yours certainly does.
25:13
In particular, you very honestly and in great detail talk about Kennedy's affairs and it's hard to have a conversation about Kennedy today without talking about that, particularly the story of Mimi Beardsley, which we only learned about, I guess, a decade or two ago, this 19-year-old intern who I think it's fair to say is sexually exploited by the president. Yet there's the image, of course, of Camelot and Kennedy and Jackie and the children. You're also very clear that Kennedy was not the most engaged father.
25:43
This is not a book on that. Kennedy is not a model of child rearing. I'm just curious how you think about this. All lives are contradictions in a way. How do you think about this in relationship to the grace that you also describe?
25:56
Yeah, it's a fair question, Jeremi, and I had to wrestle with that too, as you do with any biography. Kennedy stands on feet of clay at times and shows flashes of greatness at others, and I think that his great moral failing is his womanizing. That said, I'm certainly not rationalizing womanizing, but I remember talking to Gerald Ford years ago and he was talking about Washington in that age.
26:23
He said that it was quite common. In fact, it was the general rule that a lawmaker on Capitol Hill had affairs, illicit or otherwise. Some were very open. Gerald Ford certainly did not. I think he was faithful to his wife. They had a very close relationship, but most of his contemporaries, most of his peers did.
26:47
Kennedy was certainly no exception. In the testosterone-filled Kennedy household, it was almost a way of keeping score, a way of competing with his father and his brothers, and to some degree, so you can chalk it up to being part of the zeitgeist. By the same token, there is that relationship with Mimi Beardsley that you referenced very astutely.
27:11
You just can't get over that. He not only exploits her, he really objectifies her. He makes her almost this concubine, and in fact, at one point commands her to perform a sexual act on a friend in aid. That just can't be chalked up to the zeitgeist. That is just a deep, deep personal flaw, and it's really hard to get around. By the same token, you see Kennedy in leadership and in these pivotal moments in the presidency, and as you suggested, Jeremi, he does show a certain grace that helps us to circumvent the crises that he was laden with during the course of his presidency.
28:00
Right, and you certainly show that very well, in a really well-described few chapters, I think, on the Cuban Missile Crisis, and I want readers to read the book. I don't want us to share all that with them. I want them to buy the book to read that, because I think the Cuban Missile Crisis, as you say, is probably the most significant Cold War crisis.
28:18
I'd like us to close, Mark, on the natural place to close, the assassination, and not so much what happens. I think everyone knows the story, but more how we should think about it today. Is it really a turning point in our history, and how do you look upon it?
28:40
It's one of the things I think you do that's very new in this book. You're looking upon that assassination now, not just about 50 years hence, but also from the perspective of what's happened in the last decade or two, to the nature of American democracy. How do you look upon that moment right now?
29:01
It's a great tragedy. We have seen this president through almost three years of, again, this incredibly consequential time in our history, and he is showing tremendous promise. Kennedy is cut down, I'm going to use Zachary's words here, by a bullet flying unimagined when he is in his prime.
29:28
He's 46 years of age. He's gone through perhaps the most dangerous hour of humankind with the Cuban Missile Crisis, and stands on the world at that point unparalleled. There is nobody who has the stature of John Fitzgerald Kennedy when he is killed in Dallas on November 22nd, 1963.
29:46
I think there are myths that spring up about Kennedy partly because he's martyred, Jeremi, that get in the way of remembering Kennedy, perhaps as we should. We imagine what Kennedy would've done had he faced Vietnam or civil rights or other things. And I think my guess is there would've been travails that affected Kennedy that would've diminished our view of him in time.
30:15
There were these daunting crises that he would've faced. And we can think of Kennedy and what he would've done and imagine the very best of outcomes, but by no means would Kennedy have necessarily been able to deliver them.
30:30
I think in, and you were alluding to this earlier, in so many ways, Kennedy is also a symbol of what it is to be free.
30:40
Because of the, soaring rhetoric of his administration, including the iconic addresses he makes at the foot of the Berlin Wall and American University and, at his inauguration, we think of him in some ways as symbolizing what it is to be American and what American democracy means to the world.
31:03
I think there's a lot to that. And, our final question, Mark, and it's the one we always ask, and I know it's one you think about deeply. What should we, what should young listeners in particular, take from Kennedy's life? What are the lessons for leadership today?
31:20
You know, I think we look at the, what a perilous state democracy is in right now, I know that this is what this podcast is ultimately about, Jeremi, and we understand its fragility now more than any time in at least a generation.
31:39
But there were existential crises that democracy was going through in Kennedy's era, as well as again, we were at the height at that time of the Cold War and we saw Soviet tyranny, and to a large extent Chinese tyranny, posing a threat on the world stage.
31:59
I think that this is nothing new and we can get through it if we resolve to make this country as strong as possible. And the one thing I would urge young people in particular to do is get involved in the electoral process. Jeremi, I mean, you're married to an elected official, you know how important this is.
32:21
I would urge them to certainly to vote, but also to get to, to, volunteer at the polls, to volunteer on campaigns, to get educated on the issues. There are other things you, we can do to strengthen our democracy, but there's nothing more important than voting the right people into office.
32:43
Absolutely right, and it's one of the central messages of our podcast, the importance of participatory democracy and that means getting involved in all ways that one can, Zachary is Mark's description of Kennedy and this discussion does it open avenues for young people, you think?
33:01
I think so. And I think what's powerful about his analysis is that. It's very much aware of Kennedy's flaws. And I think we have to remember when we look back on our history, that it is not the story of a few perfect moments we've never managed to achieve again, but of a number of flawed and yet, and yet very successful, hopeful moments in our history. And we have to be able to learn from both the enormous achievements of those moments, but also also the failings
33:31
I think, Mark that Zachary has given the perfect answer for why people should read your book. What do you think?
33:37
Zachary I owe you big time, by the way, I think you should run for office, but that's a whole separate conversation.
33:44
We have that conversation quite often. And our listeners often tell me that too. Mark, thank you so much for joining us and for writing this book, I wanna remind our listeners, it's Incomparable Grace by Mark Updegrove, and it's a fantastic book. It's a thoughtful and deep read, but also a quick read.
34:04
And I encourage you to, and a quick read in the best sense in that it's a book you don't put down and you begin it, in New York City and you land in Los Angeles and you've finished it, which is the mark of a good book in my mind. Mark. Congratulations.
34:17
Jeremi Zachary. Thanks so much. It's been a delightful conversation.
34:21
Thank you, Zachary for your poem, and thank you most of all, to our loyal listeners for joining us for this week's episode of This Is Democracy.
Episode 247: Strikes by Autoworkers
00:24
Welcome to our new episode of "This Is Democracy." This week we are going to discuss the history of unions in the United States, and we're going to look at the current strike by auto workers, in the United States. These are auto workers who belong to one of the oldest and most important unions, but one of many unions in the history of the United States, the United Auto Workers.
00:47
And we are fortunate to be joined by one of the leading historians of workers' unions and race in the United States. This is our friend, Professor William Jones, who is a professor of history at the University of Minnesota.
01:02
He's the author of, many articles and two really important books. The first, "The Tribe of Black Ulysses: African American Lumber Workers in the Jim Crow South," and then, more recently, "The March on Washington: Jobs, Freedom, and the Forgotten History of Civil Rights," a book that puts the March on Washington, which everyone has heard of, especially because of Martin Luther King's "I Have a Dream" speech.
01:27
Will's book puts the March on Washington in the context of labor history as well as civil rights history, which is really important. Will, thank you so much for joining us today.
01:37
Oh, it's great to be here. Thanks for inviting me.
01:40
And of course, we have our scene-setting poem from Mr. Zachary Suri. Uh, Zachary, what's the title of your poem today? "From the UAW Picket Lines." Wow, we're gonna get an on-the-scenes account from you, Zachary? Or at least an imagining of one, yes. Okay, well let's hear it.
01:59
So here we are, waiting on the picket line, for the world to change, for the times to rhyme. They sold us the lie that if we just worked hard the dough would fry and line our pockets with bread.
02:13
Pretty soon we were left the only ones not caught up in the net or dead on a cot. They told us when we asked that they had nothing to say. Forget tomorrow. Clock out today.
02:25
But we will not be told that our futures were sold in Washington or in Detroit where the rivers fold, and wash our cars out to sea.
02:35
We will not be told to keep standing still, when the steels arrive from the mill, and we have the parts to rebuild the heart of what made this country go. We will not be told to accept our fate, to wait and say nothing forever. If anything yet we're far too late, but better too late than never.
02:55
What's your poem about, Zachary? My poem is really about, how, the ravages of the global economy in the past few years have hit at the heart of manufacturing jobs in the United States and have led to a lot of dissatisfaction, with, not just with government but also with big corporations, in Detroit and across the country. And how labor action can hopefully move towards solving those problems or at least, finding a better solution for workers.
03:32
And that's your point about late but still important, right? Exactly.
03:37
Will, this moment we're living in now that Zachary captures, I think, a bit in his poem, is that how you would frame the current labor action against the automakers? Is that really what it is? Is it about automation or what's really at the root of this?
03:56
Yeah, I mean, I think that there's a number of things involved, and yeah, automation is an important part of it, and the struggle over jobs and the sort of number of jobs and employment. I think there's really three main issues at the heart of this, this current strike
04:17
One is the issue of the two-tier employment system that the Big Three auto workers have adopted, which is a product of concessions that were made by the UAW during the recession in 2009 when the auto companies were really in bad shape. And the UAW agreed to allow them to essentially start hiring workers, new workers under different systems, under lower wages, less, in some cases no benefits, healthcare benefits, pensions. And the idea was that, you know, when the auto companies were in bad shape and needed some help in recovering, the UAW, the workers agreed to take these concessions.
05:14
But now the Big Three are doing very well, and the feeling is that they, you know, the workers should not consider, continue to take these concessions. Some of the issues are around wages, and I think the union has framed that in the broader context of, I think a conversation we've been having over the past several decades about rising levels of economic inequality, the ways in which the wealthy have done well at times when the less wealthy, when the 99% has seen their living standards and their income decline.
05:52
And then the third one I think is this issue of jobs. It's related in part to automation. It's also for the auto industry, particularly related to the transition to electric vehicles, which, you know, are easier to manufacture and so they require less labor and there's a concern about the ways in which that shift to a, you know, a lower labor demand is going to affect the current workers. Right. And they're concerned about that.
06:23
Will, that's really helpful in framing this, and I wanted to come back to your first point because I think that's one that at least to my reading of the news has received a lot less attention. The fact that the auto workers not only gave up certain benefits to help the automobile companies during the 2008 recession, but also that they actually agreed to create a two-tiered system. Can you just say more about that, how that's worked and what the expectations were when that was negotiated in 2008? Right. Well, I mean the expectations were that this was going to save an industry that was really on the brink of collapse and so that, you know, which, in a sense, that has happened. The way it works though is that you get, you know, something that you hear a lot in interviews with workers on the picket lines is they'll say, you know, like they're standing next to workers who do the same jobs under the same conditions as them who earn, you know, in some cases half of what they earn with no benefits.
07:29
So they, you know, there's a sort of a fundamental sense that this is unfair, but there's also a recognition that this is a really dangerous situation when you're trying to build solidarity between workers, and it sort of pits workers against each other. And has the potential to really divide the workforce in a way that I think this strike is aimed at, you know, overcoming and sort of uniting.
07:52
Well, that point, Will, it seems to me leads really to the bigger historical question, which is what role have unions played? Why does the UAW exist? I get this question from my students all the time. Maybe that's just a function of those students being in Texas. I don't know. But, what you're describing seems to me to actually be an anathema to what unions historically have been about. Is that correct?
08:16
Yeah. I think in some respects, it's certainly anathema to the history of the UAW. And, you know, just as an aside, my students here in Minnesota, where there's a very vibrant labor union, they personally often have very little contact with the labor movement. And so, you know, I'm sure that it's more intense in Texas, but across the United States, people have very little sense of what unions do and where they come from.
08:41
The UAW is you know, comes from a particular history of one of the industrial unions of the 1930s. It was one of the founding unions of the Congress of Industrial Organizations, which is, you know, half of the AFL-CIO. The other half, the AFL, is much older, and it actually comes from a tradition that is in some ways based on drawing lines among workers or between workers. I mean, it was a sort of built by skilled workers who really kind of circled the wagons around their own particular skills, and were very exclusive. So many of the AFL unions, you know, they would limit their membership to men. They would, some of them actually explicitly said that you could not be a member of them unless you were white. So they were exclusive, and the idea was to try to draw a very narrow line and control the labor market and the access to skills within a particular labor market. The CIO unions, like the UAW, took exactly the opposite approach. They felt, "If we can organize as many people as possible across as many different lines of skill and status, across lines of race and gender, we can be more powerful if we have everybody in the same union."
10:01
And so that's really, the UAW really exemplifies that history. It emerged in the 1930s, organizing auto plants where the, which were really deeply divided, right? You had very, very highly skilled machinists, working alongside, you know, janitors, alongside, people who were, who had very little experience. You had, you know, people of many different, you know, immigrants from all over the world. People of different races, men and women working in the same factories. And the UAW was one of the first unions to say, "We're going to try to put everybody in the same union." So this idea of the concessions really cuts at the heart of that idea, of the two-tier system, and gets really to the heart of the history of the UAW.
10:50
Zachary? And what has been the recent history of industrial unions in the United States? Where in the sort of long history of American labor do you see this particular strike fitting?
11:09
Yeah. Well, I mean, so since the 1970s, we've seen a really dramatic change in the way in which labor laws have been enforced. We've again seen a weakening of the enforcement mechanisms. We've seen a sort of emboldening of employers to really ignore the labor laws, which are, in some ways sort of inherently weak, as there aren't very many enforcement mechanisms or serious enforcement mechanisms in them. At the same time, we've seen a decline in the number of workers who are employed in the core industries in the United States, partially due to automation, partially due to the globalization of manufacturing, the rise of the service economy.
11:56
And the auto industry has been, you know, at the core of that, right? They've been, we've seen declining numbers of people. It's not so much that the, you know, the cars use fewer workers. It's that a lot of the parts that are used in cars are manufactured overseas. So increasingly, auto plants in the US are really assembly plants. They're, you know, taking things from all over the world and putting them together into a finished product, and that takes fewer workers than if you have to make those products from scratch. And that has really challenged unions like the auto, the UAW. They've responded in a number of ways.
12:37
One way they've done, responded is to sort of branch out and organize other workers. I think about 20% of the UAW are actually academic workers. They're graduate students. They're contingent faculty at, mostly in the UC, the University of California system.
12:55
They've also made the, you know, they face this problem of, you know, do you sort of make concessions and do you, you know, recognize that you are in a place of weakened you know, clout and respond to that by making concessions? Or do you in as, you know, in the language of the sort of the people who run the union movement now, or the UAW now, do you fight back? And one of the important things about this strike is it occurs after the election of Shawn Fain who ran against a sort of entrenched union bureaucracy that had really been responsible for a lot of these concessions. He ran on a reform slate that was supported by people who have been fighting within the UAW for many years, for decades, to try to push the union toward a more aggressive stance in trying to push back against some of these concessions. So that's a strategic change that, you know, and I think we'll see how it plays out. âI think the strike, you know, raises that. We don't know how the strike's going to end.
14:07
Will, your discussion of the election of a new UAW leader brings up an important issue. I often hear people say very derogatory things about unions, and I think some of this comes out of the rhetoric of the 1970s and '80s that unions are corrupt and that unions are run only for the leadership. That's obviously not true, but why do you think that's said so often, and what's your response to that?
14:36
Well, I mean, it's said, it is in part true. I mean, there is a truth to the fact that there has been corruption in unions. I think like any large institution, there's room for corruption. I think it also has gained strength from the position that these big industrial unions have found themselves in, where they, it's been very difficult for them to actually deliver for their members, so there's this, you know, a sense that they don't get much done. You know, they've done an important, they've played important roles in at least holding the ground. But I think, you know, that's something that's very hard for people to see, and so there's a sort of, yes, sense that these are institutions that are on their back, and it's hard to sell them even to their own members.
15:24
On the other hand, I think it's important to keep in mind that unions have really been central to any advances that we've had toward economic equality in the United States and in other respects in terms of other forms of equality. So, you know, the UAW came out of the 1930s, but it really, I think, played its central role in the United States in US politics in the 1950s and '60s, the sort of heyday what some historians call the heyday of American liberalism. It was the UAW that pushed for universal, for healthcare programs, for workers, to provide health that employers, this sort of employer-based system that we now have. The UAW actually initially pushed for a universal healthcare program. When the auto companies pushed back vehemently against that, the UAW said, "Well, okay, then employers need to step up and provide healthcare for workers." âThey pushed for, you know, all of the sort of liberal provisions of what we might call the welfare state of the 1950s, was pushed for by industrial unions like the UAW.
16:41
The UAW also played a really critical role in the civil rights movement. It was one of the unions that, you know, provided consistent funding for the major campaigns of the 1950s and 1960s. The UAW sent money to help support the Montgomery Bus Boycott. They sent hundreds of thousands of dollars to support the March on Washington. The president of the UAW, Walter Reuther, spoke at the March on Washington, you know, just before Martin Luther King gave his "I Have a Dream" speech. So this, these are institutions that have really been vital to American democracy and to the sense of sort of creating a more egalitarian United States.
17:25
I'm so glad you explained that Will, because it is striking and I think undeniable that moments in our history when unions have been stronger, we have seen less economic inequality in moments such as the 1970s and '80s. When we see unions receding in American history we see more inequality. So there's at least a correlation there, as my economist friends would say. That's right. That's, I mean, if you, one chart that I like to show my students is if you chart the level of income inequality in the United States over the past century, and you chart union representation rates, they're in exact reverse correlation, right? That as unions have declined, we've seen wealth inequality grow.
18:10
Will, do you think that's why it appears that there is at least some kind of renaissance of unions in the United States? You see Starbucks workers, Amazon workers, and various others talking about unions in ways we hadn't seen before. Is that part of the story?
18:27
I think it is. I mean, one of the really remarkable things that we've seen in the Gallup polls is that, so in 2010, the Gallup poll, you know, Gallup poll every year since the '40s has asked people whether they think unions are good or bad, sort of a basic public, you know, opinion poll of unions. In 2010, that number reached its all-time low. It actually, for the first time, since they started asking it, it dipped below 50%. Wow. Last year, that number reached 70, over 75%. And so in the, you know, since 2010, we've seen the, that public approval of unions go from its historic low to close to an all-time high. And I think, you know, there's a number of reasons for that. I think, you know, there has been growing attention to income inequality. You know, 2010 was around the time that we saw the emergence of the Occupy Wall Street movement. There was this sort of conversation around wealth inequality. There were the big protests in Madison, Wisconsin, that you and I both witnessed. Yes. I think they called attention to the historic importance of unions in a way that we haven't seen in a very long time. Since then, I think we've seen, certainly during the pandemic, I think there were a number of ways in which the pandemic contributed to this growth of unions. One was the sort of outward display of workers who were really, you know, were essential, were critical for the functioning of our society, critical to protecting people from the pandemic and caring for people when they got the pandemic. Those workers were often the lowest paid, the worst treated workers in the economy. Yes. Yes. And that highlighted this contradiction, I think it led to a lot of those workers, going on strike and forming unions.
20:28
I think the third thing that I'd point to is actually this reform movement within the union movement that, you know, really goes back to the 1970s, but that people have been working within the unions to make them both, you know, to sort of root out corruption, but also to make them more aggressive and to sort of take on some of these concessions. And that, I think we're seeing, you know, all of the leadership of many of the big unions and of the AFL-CIO comes out of these reform movements that started back in the 1970s. So I think we're in some ways seeing the results of those.
21:05
In recent weeks, we've seen both the current president of the United States, and his predecessor visit UAW picket lines or at least speak with UAW strikers. How should we understand the role that this strike, will play and is playing in our national politics so close to a presidential election?
21:27
Yeah, that was really fascinating. I thought, you know, in both cases. I mean, I think it's important to point out that Donald Trump did not go to a UAW plant. He went to a non-union plant. He was also invited by the employers who were, who are sort of a vehemently anti-union, parts manufacturers. So I think that's important to keep in mind.
21:51
Biden, on the other hand, was invited by the president of the UAW, and spoke very powerfully. For the first time in history, a union, a sitting president really took a very strong position, in favor of the union, and I think really, you know, framed his remarks in the tone that the union is saying, that this is about wealth inequality, that the CEOs of the auto manufacturers have done very well, and the workers deserve to do well also. And you know, I think that that signaled that this conversation is going to be, is clearly going to be a really important part of the coming election. And I think for a first time in a very long time, we're seeing, you know, the politics of unionization, and of wealth inequality really being at the heart of the conversation leading into this presidential election.
22:47
Will, there's a lot of talk and you've been part of this discussion too about working class voters. From, you know, the period of Roosevelt, Franklin Roosevelt's presidency forward, there was a presumption in part because of the connections between the Democratic Party and some of the major unions that working class voters would be Democratic voters. Then the Trump movement seems to have reversed that, at least in some areas, perhaps particularly in the Midwest. How do you see that issue today? Are working class voters MAGA voters? Are they Trump voters? Are they Democratic voters? What would you say?
23:25
Yeah. I mean, I think it's important to keep in mind who, you know, what we mean when we say working class voters. I mean, there's a very, I think a very small sort of narrow segment of working class voters who are overwhelmingly white and male, they're largely rural, who have, you know, who are, have become Trump voters. Many of those voters have been conservative voters for a very long time. I mean, they were, you know, going back to Reagan, even going back to before that, to Nixon.
23:55
The working class is extremely diverse and the working class as a whole still is decidedly Democrat. But if you, if you look at a particular, you know, segments of workers, I thought it was actually interesting that, you know, Trump, spoke, gave his speech when he went to Detroit in Macomb County, which is the sort of classic place where, the sort of origin of the term Reagan Democrats. The sort of long-term Democrats who had turned to the Republican Party with the, in 1980 to vote for Reagan. So I think, you know, I think Trump's politics are often sort of framed in the context of the 1980s. Right. And he seems sort of stuck back there. But I think that was definitely part of his, thinking and going.
24:45
âIs it fair to say that the white male elements of the working class that we associate also with traditional unionism, the traditional people working in Henry Ford's plants and others, is that a smaller and smaller part of what you'd call the working class today?
25:03
Well, in some respects it's always been a small part of the working class. They've been the working class that has been most visible. I see. But certainly, I mean, in, like, if you look at core industrial jobs, I mean, if you look at the pictures of UAW picket lines, you know, they look very different. It's lots of women, and lots of Black and Latino men. So in that sense, the sort of core sort of UAW, which has always been a racially diverse union, right? But it's become, its sort of core constituency has become more racially and gender diverse. Certainly gender diverse. Right. That makes sense.
25:44
So Will, we always like to close our episodes by bringing together the enormous reservoir of information and knowledge that guests like you are sharing with us, and we're fortunate to be able to participate in that and to benefit from your knowledge. We like to bring together this historical knowledge with a forward-looking perspective. Based on this really deep and complex history of unions and workers in the United States that you have such a strong command of, what would you say to a President Biden, or it could be to a Republican presidential candidate, what would you say to them about how one could be both pro-worker and pro-growth? It seems too often we see these as dichotomous positions in our history, that you have to either be for growth or for unions. Of course, many periods of economic growth have been periods of union growth and union prosperity in our society as well. So how can we bring those two together looking forward today?
26:43
Yeah. I mean, as you said, I would point to history. I mean, if you look at the post-war period when the UAW was at its most powerful, that was also the point in which the U.S. economy was growing more rapidly than it ever has, before or since. And so I think that, you know, again, it's correlation. But it raises the question as to whether there is a fundamental sort of tension between growth and, you know, better wages, better working conditions, sort of a more prosperous working class.
27:18
I think also I'd point to, you know, a lot of that conversation goes around the sort of sense that sort of better wages for auto workers is going to be damaging for consumers, right? That, like, if we raise wages for auto workers, you know, it's gonna raise the cost of a car. We hear this in a lot, you know, if we pay fast food workers too much, it's gonna, you know, shut people out of McDonald's, right? And I think it's important to keep in mind that in each of those cases, the actual cost of labor is just a fraction of the cost of making any product. I think the cost of labor, the labor cost for making a car is around 10 to 15% of the total cost. So there's a lot of other factors going into that.
28:06
It has to do with, you know, getting products from overseas and trade policies that affect that. It has to do with, with the compensation that goes to management, and also, more importantly, the compensation that goes to shareholders and out in profit. And I think it's important to, you know, to keep in mind that those all mean that we can actually, in many cases, it's beneficial for the broader economy to make sure that people have better wages. It stimulates consumption. And that there's certainly not a contradiction between improving conditions for workers and promoting a prosperous economy.
28:46
Zachary, you spent the summer in Germany, and of course, Germany's a country with very strong unions. Do you agree with Will that Germany's an example of economic growth and worker protections going hand-in-hand?
29:00
I think so, and I think one thing about this moment that maybe is a little optimistic is that I think the attention from both parties to the issue of economic equality, albeit from two different perspectives and one often much more about cultural resentment than actual economic policy, I think that should be a positive sign that most Americans or a large number of Americans recognize that the future of our economy is not going to be in the same places and organizations that we've relied on in the last decade or so that we have to look back to the past but also look forward to find new ways of thinking about wealth distribution and economic prosperity in our country.
29:47
And Zachary, for young observers like yourself, are unions part of that story? Do you feel that your generation is giving more attention to unions than maybe the generation just before yours?
30:00
I think so, and I think quite simply it's one of the places in American politics that is most exciting but also most accessible. I think it's a engaging, exciting, political movement as much as it is a very serious, critique of our economy.
30:18
So Will, that was the last question, the really last question I had for you, which was for our listeners, particularly our younger listeners, if they're interested in learning more about unions as scholars and perhaps as activists, what are the best ways to get involved and to become knowledgeable of this subject matter?
30:37
Yeah, well, I think you can, I'll do a plug for taking labor history classes. Sign up for my classes. Go to Minneapolis and sign up for Will's class. That's right. Well, you, you don't have to come here. You can in most universities there are classes, you know, related to labor history and labor studies more broadly.
30:57
I do think that, you know, Zachary's right in terms of the accessibility. I mean, in a lot of cases young people, you know, learn about unions 'cause they go to work in a place where there's a union drive. And, you know, I've been, there's a Starbucks down the street from my house, and I've had a great time talking to people who are trying to build a union there. And they're, you know, they're all in their 20s, and they have, you know, they haven't been involved in unions before, but they're learning a lot about unions, and they're really interested in it. So that's a way that I think, you know, whether you work in a place like that or you, you know, you go to a business like Starbucks, I think you can talk to the people who work there about their experiences. And, you know, I think depending on where you live, there are a lot of union members who, you know, they don't wear their UAW hat everywhere, but they're, you know, they're around and they have experience with unions. So those are other ways you can learn about unions.
31:56
âIts such a great point. Even in a state like Texas, which traditionally doesn't have the same strong unionization as other parts of the country, teachers are part of a union, right? That's right. What I know your next project is on, Will, public service workers, right? That's right. âMy wife, who's a city council member, she's actually part of AFSCME, which is the public sector union. And so there are actually a lot of people around who work with or are involved with unions. And, as you say, Will, I think that talking to them and getting a sense, positive and negative, of what their experience is, is important in informing ourselves when we're discussing these issues politically. âYeah. I mean, it's true that, you know, if you're in high school, the chances are your teacher is a union member.
32:41
Right. Right. Well, Will, thank you so much for sharing this excursion, a necessary excursion today into the history of unions and workers in American society. There's obviously much more you could say. You could fill, I think, 500 podcast episodes on this, but you've given us really a wonderful introduction to the topic, and I hope our listeners will dig in for more. So, thank you Professor Will Jones for joining us today. Thanks for having me on. It was great to talk to both of you. And thank you, Zachary, of course, for your, inspiring and really imaginative poem bringing us to the picket lines where we all could learn a lot. And thank you for doing that, Zachary. Thank you most of all to our loyal listeners for joining us for this episode of This Is Democracy.
Episode 251: Middle East in the 1970s and Today
00:25
Welcome to our new episode of this is democracy. This week, we are going to return to the Middle East. We did an episode a few weeks ago with Peter Beinart on the conflict between Israel and Hamas. And today we're going to take an even more historical deep dive. We're going to look at the 1970s, which I think historians have come to agree is a period of major transformation in the region. And we're going to look at what happened in the 1970s and how the experience of that crucial decade had deep influence upon the events that we're seeing today and probably will continue to have deep influence upon where we go from where we are today in the region. This is a case where history is not only part of the past, but really is ever present in our contemporary conflicts and our contemporary efforts to understand the conflicts around us. We're fortunate to be joined by a person who's a close friend and someone who I think is one of the really great scholars of the Middle East from the 1960s to the present. This is Salim Yaqub. He's a professor of history at the University of California, Santa Barbara. and director of UCSB Center for Cold War Studies and International History. Salim, it's so good to have you on the podcast.
01:48
It's wonderful to be here. Thank you so much for having me.
01:52
Salim Yaqub is the author of three books that I highly recommend to all of our listeners. His first book, Containing Arab Nationalism, is really, I think, as close to the definitive work as is possible on the Eisenhower Doctrine in the Middle East, which was really the first American Cold War Doctrine for major influence, even perhaps for attempted dominance in the region.
02:15
Salim's second book, which is really one of my favorites, "Imperfect Strangers: Americans, Arabs, and the US Middle East relations in the 1970s". This is a book that looks at events in the Middle East, but also within the United States and the emerging Arab American community, which becomes very important as Salim shows to American politics in the 1970s. It's also a book filled with wonderful anecdotes about Woody Allen. and Henry Kissinger and various other individuals. So I encourage all of our listeners to read it.
02:46
And Salim's most recent book, "Winds of Hope, Storms of Discord". What a great title. The United States since 1945. And that title would certainly apply to the present as well as the entire period from 1945 to the present. Salim has written many important articles and other chapters on U.S. foreign policy, on the Middle East, and on Arab American political activism.
03:11
Before we turn to our conversation with Salim, we have, of course, our scene setting poem from Mr. Zachary Suri. Zachary, what's the title of your poem today? "To Israel, a Widow". "To Israel, a Widow". Wow. Let's hear it.
03:27
Isaac Singer once said you were an encounter with the supposedly dead, and I suppose he is right. You're a land of old men and infants held tight and sandy ancient ruined coasts. All of them were always supposed to be ghosts. Few wars can be fought with history, but you have fought them all, have saved a generation from fighting back the fall. Yet, though you have somehow survived on promises that you revived, it must be said you've built yourself a cage. No war should be fought with rage
04:05
The grandchildren of the widower, the children of the hollowed, held in their tunnels underground, are lost and must be found. Your neighbors remain, to say the least, uncharitable, Lips smacking for the feast, break through the garden fence. Can there be any recompense? No, I am convinced all moral questions will remain unanswered. You are alive, and soon you must have peace. If only so, it might be said, all had a chance to count their debt.
04:39
I love the doggerel in there Zachary. What is your poem about?
04:44
My poem? It's hard to explain. I'm not sure I perfectly understand what I was trying to get at either. But. I think it's sort of an attempt to understand the place of Israel today, but also in particular from the perspective of the 1970s, a period when Israel was still led in large part by a generation which was defined by the Holocaust, but it was also beginning to really develop its own sort of distinct Israeli identity that still shaped by that, the sort of last exile to Israel from Europe and other parts of the Middle East, and in some cases from within the territory of Israel.
05:33
And to understand that mindset, but also to apply that to today and how that history informs this moment of violence. between Israel and Hamas and maybe the lessons we can draw from these many decades of conflict.
05:50
I love the arc in your poem, Zachary, from Isaac Bashevik Singer, who sort of represents the early generation of European Ashkenazi Jews who settle Israel. And then, of course, the generational change that I sort of feel in your poem as it goes through to where we are today, which is a Middle East that looks very different, of course, from The world of Isaac Petrovic Singer in the 1950s and 60s, right? Yes, very much so.
06:17
Salim, maybe that's a great point of entry. As I mentioned at the top of the episode, you're one of a number of historians, you're one of the leading historians, making the case that the 1970s, this period about a quarter century after World War II, that the 1970s is a real turning point for the region and also for U.S. policy. How should we begin to understand that?
06:42
Sure. And first I just want to say, thanks for sharing that poem, Zachary. It's very powerful. I'm going to want to go back and read it again, listen to it again and linger over it.
06:52
But, in answer to your question Jeremi, the the seventies really are a very pivotal decade for a lot of reasons and in a lot of places, but certainly for the history of the Middle East and the history of U.S. involvement in that region. I mean, what you see in the 70s is the you know, sort of the last vestiges of European imperialism being removed with the British withdrawal from the Persian Gulf region in the, in the first couple years of the decade. You know, the French had vacated North Africa in the previous decade and earlier than that. And so what you see then is a new, or maybe the continuation of a previous era in which the superpowers, the United States and the Soviet Union becoming more and more active in that region.
07:49
It's also, and also, you know, they're bringing the Cold War struggle, you know, to the region in a way that hadn't quite happened previously. Also, I mean, certainly the 1973 war is very key for all sorts of reasons that we'll probably get into. It's, you know, during and shortly after that war that the power of the oil producing Middle Eastern states, and in this case, particularly the Arab states, because they actually mount an embargo against the United States and some Western countries becomes, you know, unavoidable, you know, it becomes impossible to ignore.
08:29
And of course, the lingering after effects of the oil embargo and of the OPEC price increases are gonna last for the remainder of the decade and into the following one. And, you know, also the manner in which the Arab Israeli War of 1973 ends and the kind of diplomacy that comes in its wake sets the agenda for Arab Israeli peacemaking for years and in some cases, you know, arguably decades to come.
09:03
So it's, and then I guess you could, I would just add that, if you fast forward to the closing years of the decade, you start seeing the emergence of political Islam as a really powerful force, primarily with the Iranian revolution of 1978 to 1979. But there also were some pretty important events taking place in the Arab world. The seizure of the Grand Mosque in Mecca in 1979, you know, right around the same time that the Iranian hostage crisis begins.
09:38
And if, you know, if you want to count, consider the Middle East in its more, in a broader geographical frame, you could look at the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan, also right around that time in December 1979 as ushering in a whole new set of issues that will define the last years of the Cold War and set the agenda for the way in which the Cold War ends.
10:05
Certainly you've given us a sense of the density of conflict and change occurring in that, in that decade. Zachary, you had a question? Yeah.
10:14
Why was the 1973 war, which you mentioned, so transformative for Jews, Arabs, Muslims, and also for, for many Americans?
10:24
Yeah, that's a great question. Well certainly it's transformative for Arabs and Israelis because it's sort of place puts the Arab Israeli conflict into a new dimension, you know, the immediately preceding years, you know, between 1967 and 1973 were ones in which the Israelis were occupying the lands that they had taken over in that war. And they sort of felt invincible. They didn't think that they really needed to, take seriously the diplomatic overtures that the Egyptian government under President Sadat had extended to them early, you know, earlier in the decade. They felt that they could really hold out for a much more dramatic set of concessions coming from the Arab side.
11:23
And essentially what happens with the 1973 war, which is on the Arab side, waged by Egypt and Syria primarily, is that it kind of shocks the Israelis out of their complacency and forces them to confront the fact that they actually really are still vulnerable. And that in turn, you know, makes it increasingly clear to them that they have to reach some kind of political accommodation with their Arab neighbors perhaps on terms, you know, not quite as favorable as the ones that they had been holding out for previously. And it's also, it's from the Arab side, it's important because it rekindles a sense of pride or restores a sense of pride that had been very seriously damaged by the debacle of 1967.
12:16
And in fact, I mean, from the standpoint at least of Egypt. It's psychologically very important because Egypt and Sadat feel that they need to show the world, and maybe more particularly the United States and Israel, that they're not total pushovers, that they are, you know, that Egypt is a force to be reckoned with. And having made that case, even though Militarily, the war ends up going quite badly for both Egypt and Syria. Nonetheless, because they do a lot better than they did in 1967, that restores a measure of respect, and maybe more importantly, self respect, and that gives at least Sadat the confidence to move forward and enter into increasingly intimate peace negotiations with Israel, you know, at first brokered by the United States, but eventually face to face.
13:19
I don't want us to jump too quickly to the present. I want us to stay in the seventies, but the question really has to be asked. Many have made an analogy between the October, 2023 Hamas attack on Israel and the 1973 attack by the Arab states on Israel, do you see an analogy between those two events?
13:43
Well, I mean, there are some similarities, but in the end, I would say they're kind of superficial. I mean, I guess the, you know, one, obviously, it's an attack on Israel. Although in the 1973 case, it's not an attack on Israel per se. It's an attack on Israeli forces in the Sinai Peninsula and the Golan Heights. But nonetheless, it's an attack that the Israelis are not prepared for. And, is much more damaging to the Israelis than anyone thought possible.
14:16
Of course, the major difference between 1973 and 2023 is that this is, the attack by Hamas is, you know, primarily against civilians. It entails not traditional military methods, but really horrific, and, you know, close up forms of attack that were, of course, recorded in very grisly ways that, and so that the level of shock, I think extends, it's a different kind of shock. It's a much more visceral sort of shock. And I think it is extended, it has extended much more, powerfully around the world then and especially the Western world than the shock of 1973 did, you know, partly because of the nature of the attack, and also because of the nature of media now as opposed to 50 years ago.
15:15
One of the things that's striking about the '73 war to me as a historian, Salim, and I wonder if you react the same way, is how this terrible war, and a war that initially looked like it might lead to the collapse of Israel and then, as you said, turns around relatively quickly with Israel occupying for a short time more territory than it had before the war. Correct. How, this terrible war then leads to a peace process? First of all, do you see a connection between what many call the Camp David process that eventually leads to an agreement between Israel and Egypt brokered in part by the United States? Do you see a strong connection there? And how should we understand that connection?
16:03
Oh yeah, there is a very strong connection. I mean, I would frame it in the following way, that the war and its immediate aftermath opened up a new phase in which it was widely recognized that some sort of diplomatic process between Israel and its Arab neighbors was both possible and necessary. I mean, on that, virtually everyone agreed. The difference was on the scope and nature of that diplomatic process.
16:37
There was, at the end of the war, an emerging international consensus that what really needed to happen was, as some sort of comprehensive settlement, between Israel on the one hand and its Arab neighbors on the other, you know, with the Palestinians playing some kind of role, although that was not clearly understood as yet. And as a result of this process, you know, according to this vision, you would have a full Israeli withdrawal from all of the territories occupied in 1967. That would be the West Bank, Gaza Strip, the Golan Heights, the Sinai Peninsula, and in exchange for that withdrawal, the Arab states would extend recognition to Israel and commit to living in peace with Israel, which was something they had not previously done.
17:26
And in most cases continued to refuse to do in the years after 1960 and 1973. So that was the emerging consensus that you start to see in late '73 early 1974. But there's also, there's a contrary scenario and this is the one that is put forward most powerfully and resourcefully by Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, who does not think that it would be a good idea for the United States to pressure Israel to withdraw from all of the territory occupied in 1967. He thinks that a more stable scenario is one in which Israel is allowed to hold on to significant portions of that occupied territory. Now, we can later talk about why he felt that way, but that's was what he wanted to do. And so what Kissinger sets out to do, and it's really a pretty remarkable diplomatic performance, is he brokers or he encourages the development of a dialogue between Egypt and Israel.
18:39
He quite early intuits that Anwar Sadat of Egypt, although he would much prefer a comprehensive settlement in which Israel withdraws from all of the occupied territory from 1973, nonetheless, I'm talking about Sadat now, would be willing to accept some, a more bilateral arrangement where Egypt gets back the Sinai and the remaining Arab territories are either, you know, either remain under Israeli control or their status is you know, less certain. I mean, the sine qua non for Sadat is getting back the Sinai, and he's willing to take a less hardline view regarding the other occupied territories. Kissinger, you know, very brilliantly senses this. You know, almost immediately after the war ends. So Kissinger, you know, very skillfully cultivates Sadat and, you know, takes advantage of the fact that Sadat is willing to be a lot more conciliatory in negotiations with Israel than other Arab parties, especially, Assad, Hafez al Assad of Syria is prepared to be.
19:54
And so through a series of very complicated and clever diplomatic initiatives, he manages to sideline Syria, although that takes, that process takes a couple of years and it's something that Asad himself is not quite aware is occurring until it's too late for him to stop it. He ends, he brings an end to the Arab oil embargo and he, essentially puts in place a diplomatic process where Egypt withdraws from the confrontation with Israel, and the beauty of that, from Kissinger's perspective, is that it results in the subtraction of Egyptian power from the Arab Israeli equation.
20:42
And once that has been accomplished, the ability of the remaining Arab actors, Syria, Jordan, the Palestine Liberation Organization, you know, these, the other parties that have territorial claims, that they want to see satisfied, their ability to get those claims satisfied is sharply diminished in the absence of Egyptian power. And that in a sense makes it impossible for another Arab Israeli war like the one that occurred in 1973 to break out. And indeed, if you look over the history over the last five decades, there's been plenty of really, really horrific strife, but there has been no general Arab Israeli war of that sort.
21:27
And, you know, that achieves Kissinger's objectives of first removing a flashpoint that he fears could spark a superpower confrontation, but it also eases the pressure on Israel. And makes it possible for Israel to take its time about considering withdrawal from any other occupied territories. And you know, as we've seen, the extent to which Israel has relinquished territories after giving up the Sinai Peninsula to Egypt, that was the big key that Egypt, that was the key gain that Egypt made. And that was realized, not under Kissinger, but under Jimmy Carter a few years later with Camp David.
22:13
Once Egypt has the Sinai Peninsula back, it's out of the war. And then Israel's occupation of the remaining territories is fortified. Now obviously the conflict has taken ups and downs. The diplomacy has gone through ups and downs ever since that time. But I think the key ingredients. The key sort of strategic realities that we need to keep in mind to understand, you know, what kind of diplomatic scenarios have been possible in the years since 1973, we need to keep in mind this achievement of Henry Kissinger of pulling Egypt out of confrontation with Israel and thereby, in his view, making the diplomacy more manageable. Right.
23:03
And this is something many of us have chewed on for a long time, right? How to evaluate Kissinger's diplomatic shuttle diplomacy and his efforts to, as you say, take Egypt out of what had been a coalition of anti Israeli states. One other point I thought I'd add for you to comment on, and then I know Zachary has a question too, is part of what he's also doing is making the United States the most powerful external actor in the region. He's sidelining the Soviet Union, which had been an ally of Egypt, right? And that, of course, has implications for the United States in the region, taking us all the way up to the Iraq war, correct?
23:43
Oh, yes, absolutely. I mean, essentially what Camp David accomplishes, and this is often missed because it wasn't something that Jimmy Carter, I think, really was focusing on. I mean, he really, I think Carter genuinely was trying to make peace between Arabs and Israelis. But one byproduct of the Camp David Agreement is that, you know, Egypt is removed from confrontation with Israel. It enters into an alliance with Israel. I mean, with the United States, whereby it starts receiving nearly as much economic and other kinds of aid as Israel does for some years.
24:23
And that's a huge strategic blow to the Soviet Union. And again, that gets masked because the Soviet Union in some ways is more visibly active in the region in the years thereafter. I mean, it really, you know, it flexes its muscles. It, you know, has all kinds of agreements and makes various diplomatic gains on the Arabian peninsula with its relationship with South Yemen and, you know, further to the East, it's invading and occupying Afghanistan. It's cementing its strategic alliance with Syria. It's doing all these things that are on the surface fairly menacing, but that masks the underlying diplomatic reality, which is that the Soviet Union has basically been frozen out of Arab Israeli diplomacy and becoming increasingly irrelevant to it. And then, of course, it's not too much longer after that, that the Soviet Union itself ceases to exist.
25:29
In the United States, even though it had already been flexing its muscles pretty aggressively in the Middle East during the 1980s. And for that reason, I sometimes argue that, the cold war, the post cold war era began a decade earlier, a decade early in the Middle East. Nonetheless, by the time we get to the early nineties, it's unmistakable because the Soviet Union has ceased to exist. And the United States really is now the sole remaining superpower. And its ability to call the shots is made even more unmistakable by the victory in the first Gulf war of 1991.
26:11
Right. Right. Zachary. In this context of bilateral agreements, and a sort of cooling of the conflict during this period, why do these efforts fail to produce a Palestinian state and achieve a two state solution? Was that the point of these efforts or why do the sort of claims to statehood of the Palestinian people during this period fail to be represented at these, in these major agreements?
26:44
Well, that's a great question. I mean, there are lots of different aspects to it. I mean, on one level, you can answer it by pointing out that the gap between, if we're talking first in the early 1970s and in the aftermath of the 1973 war, the gap between Palestinian aspirations and, reality was just unbridgeable. Now that gap narrows in the years ahead, because essentially what happens is the Palestinians. scale back their ambitions in ways that make them at least theoretically compatible with Israel's continued existence. So if, you know, in the early 1970s, the formal position of the Palestine Liberation Organization was the liberation of all of Palestine, essentially the dismantling of the Zionist state and the creation of the so called democratic state.
27:47
Sometimes it's referred to as the secular democratic state, but usually the term secular was not attached to it. It was just, you know, the democratic state in which, at least on the surface, Arabs and Jews, you know, Muslims, Christians and Jews would all have equal rights. If you look closer at the proposal, you could see that it wasn't quite that because there were, there was this expectation that a large portion of the Jewish Israeli population would actually leave. And so it's really not, it's not a very serious proposal. But it's also not serious because it's just, there's just no way that it can be realized militarily.
28:31
Now, what you see happening over the subsequent years, you know, the years after 1973, is that the Palestinian movement, and in particular Yasser Arafat, who is the chairman of the PLO, they start inching towards a compromise where they, you know, the first there's all sorts of qualifications and disclaimers, but, essentially they're moving closer to accepting a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza. And essentially, disavowing or at least setting aside their claims to the rest of Palestine. And over the years, this becomes increasingly explicit, you know, it becomes official in the late 1980s where the Palestinian, the PLO basically, you know, disavows its claims to the rest of Palestine and says that it is ready for a two state settlement, in which a Palestinian state will live alongside Israel.
29:35
So because the Palestinians have scaled back their demands, have essentially become more realistic, the international community takes note of this and starts becoming more forceful about pushing this two state settlement. And that's one of the reasons why I believe the 1970s are such a pivotal decade is that it's really during that decade, especially the second half, that the scenario for a two state settlement comes into existence. Now, at first, neither Israel nor the United States embraced this idea. Carter comes pretty close to doing so. I mean, if he, didn't have to think about domestic politics and other, you know, diplomatic obstacles, I think Carter, you know, during his presidency, probably would have. You know, come out in favor of a two state settlement himself, but he lands somewhere short of that because of, the issue from his standpoint just isn't quite ripe yet. But in subsequent years, you get to the point where, you know, even the United States embraces the idea of a two state settlement.
30:49
Well, the Israelis are, I mean, they've talked about the desirability of that, but they're not, they haven't made the same kinds of official undertakings that would bring that into being. And of course, I mean, a major obstacle to that is the continuing colonization of the West Bank, where you do have Israeli settlers increasing their number at a rate and, you know, in various configurations that make a viable Palestinian state harder and harder to imagine, but nonetheless, you know, the idea of a two state settlement gets enshrined, not just in, you know, international politics, but in American diplomacy as well.
31:34
Salim, the PLO, the Palestinian Palestinian Liberation Organization, which is the predecessor to the Palestinian organization led by Mahmoud Abbas today in the 1970s, it's often depicted at least within the United States, accurately or inaccurately as a terrorist organization. First of all, is that accurate? And how do we understand the intersection between concerns about terrorism, airplane hijackings, various other events, and the issues that you've laid out so well for us here?
32:08
Well, I mean, the PLO back then and in subsequent years was a very broad based organization, essentially a confederation of many disparate parties, some of which were committed to acts of terrorism and, you know, some of which actually did commit some pretty gruesome terroristic acts in the 1970s as in subsequent years.
32:39
The position of Yasser Arafat is somewhat ambiguous in that one gets the sense that he's not really crazy about this tendency and he would much prefer to see it ended, but he also feels limited in his ability to oppose some moves taken by Palestinians in the name of liberation, just because these movements have captured the imagination of Palestinian opinion, and to some extent have gained a certain cachet internationally, and there are also, you know, various, you know, more internecine disputes that he's navigating that, you know, from time to time, make it very difficult for him to stand in the way of groups like Black September. That's the organization that conducted the attack on the Munich Olympics in 1972 and similar groups. And sometimes he, you know, he goes further and actually pays lip service or, you know, praises groups that have not too long in the past committed acts of terrorism. So his position is definitely compromised. I mean, his hands are not clean in that respect.
33:58
And that of course is a, you know, a terrible political obstacle that he faces. I mean, in one respect, it, you know, his ambiguous stance on terrorism allows him to keep the Palestinian movement united. But it also serves to blacken the name of the PLO and the Palestinian movement in the eyes of many outside observers.
34:26
Is it effective though, Salim? I mean, I'm guessing that leaders of Hamas would look back and say, that the more radical PLO of the early seventies, when, for instance, Yasser Arafat comes to the United Nations and displays a weapon in his holster. And, you know, that image of radicalism and violence was more effective at getting attention than the scaling back of ambitions, as you put it before.
34:53
It's really hard to say. I mean, my overall inclination is to be, you know, very strongly opposed to the use of violence, especially terrorist violence, as a, you know, that's of course a more like a normative or moral stand. You know, when it comes to looking at it analytically and trying to assess, you know, in as detached a way as possible, you know, to what extent this move towards violence or these moves towards violence helped to put the Palestinian issue on the map I think there definitely there is a sense in which that kind of activity drew attention to the Palestinian cause and gave it a kind of visibility and stature that it might not otherwise have gained. But at the same time, it's also, as I said, blackened the name of the movement. So I would, I guess, you know, if I had my druthers and if I could wave a wand and change history, none of this, of these at least none of the really heinous forms of violence would have taken place.
36:10
I mean, obviously resisting occupation, you know, when you're confronting armed occupiers, that's a whole different ball game. So I would, I definitely, I very much regret that this move towards violence has occurred and has been embraced by so many. And of course, you know, even to, especially today, seeing, you know, what it's leading to makes me all the more firm in that conviction now, even today, though, there you're going to get arguments and they won't necessarily be completely off base that the October 7th attacks revived the Palestinian issue in a way that perhaps few other events could have done.
36:58
You know, because if you think about where things were, just, you know, in the weeks and days leading up to the attack with, Jake Sullivan, you know, kind of gloating that, oh, we've got the Middle East under control. Now we're moving towards normalization between Israel and its Arab neighbors and Arab countries further afield like Saudi Arabia. And the implication of all of that was, We're not going to be so hung up on the Palestinian issue that, you know, the Arab states will make peace with Israel and they will not condition their willingness to make peace on serious movement on the Palestine issue. I mean, there may be some fig leaf that they demand, but seriously, you know, fundamentally, they're not letting the Palestine issue stand in their way.
37:50
So there was the scenario that was coming into view of Israel normalizing relations with a whole bunch of Arab countries, especially very prosperous ones, developing all kinds of lucrative trade relations and joint ventures, you know, with these wealthy Arab states and essentially being able to continue colonizing the West Bank. And, you know, I was very depressed by that scenario. I didn't see any way of breaking out of it. Now I am utterly aghast at what's happened on October 7th. And I don't by any means favor breaking out of the impasse by those means, but that is what has happened. And the Palestine issue is on the map and on the diplomatic agenda in ways that it wasn't two months ago. So, you know, so that's the kind of logic that people will invoke. To make the case that there is a place for this kind of violence, even though I very firmly reject that argument.
38:59
I appreciate, Salim, the care and thoughtfulness in the way you said that, and I think it's a very reasonable position you've adopted. Zachary?
39:08
How should we understand the legacy of these sort of failed, but also to a certain extent successful peace agreements in the 1970s, and then also, of course, the war in '73, the developments that we've been discussing, how should we understand the legacies of these events today? I'm thinking in particular, of their legacy, in regards to the creation of Hamas and the situation pre-October 7th, which precipitated the current conflict.
39:38
Yeah, that's a really, uh, good question. A difficult one, but a good one. I mean, the way I think about what was achieved in the 1970s is that it, there's a scenario in which the moves towards greater cooperation between, let's say, Egypt and Israel, in that decade, could have led to broader peace settlements, but they did not. And essentially, that was what I think Jimmy Carter, and I think it was what, Anwar Sadat hoped for, but in a curious way. Anwar Sadat ultimately proved less adamant about linking peace with Israel between, you know, a bilateral peace between Egypt and Israel to a broader set of agreements between Israel and its other Arab neighbors, and especially, some arrangement for the Palestinians.
40:38
So there was kind of this. curious situation where Jimmy Carter, you know, he really wanted the bilateral agreement that he was brokering between Egypt and Israel to be a stepping stone to broader agreements between Israel and other Arab countries and between Israel and the Palestinians. But because of the kind of agreement that Carter was ultimately obliged to accept and because I know, frankly, the very hard line and determined stance that Menachem Begin, the Israeli prime minister at the time took. And because of, you know, Carter had other issues on his plate that were becoming more pressing, especially the Iranian revolution. You have to think, you just, when you think about the chronology, you really get a sense of how these issues fit together.
41:41
You know, the Camp David Agreement, the first agreement, the one you actually forged at Camp David, was in September 1978. The Iranian Revolution erupts in the weeks and months right after that. By the time the actual formal agreement, the peace treaty between Egypt and Israel that was kind of blocked out in general terms at Camp David is achieved. That's March 1979. So that's a couple months after the Shah has fled and the new Islamist government has taken over in Iran. And you know, it's not too long after that, that the American hostages in Tehran get taken. So Carter's attention is increasingly sucked into this black hole of misery that, you know, ultimately, you know, arguably ends his presidency.
42:39
So you know, Carter really wasn't in a position to build on the peace agreement that he had brokered at Camp David in, in the way that he hoped. And in fact, there's some poignant statements by Carter, private statements that he makes around this time and, you know, the summer of 1979 or so where he says, wow, you know, if I end up leaving office without really making a dent in the Palestinian issue, people will rightly say that I was a failure. And, you know, sadly, that was his legacy. At least as far as the Israel Palestine issue is concerned.
43:22
Salim, it strikes me that one of the legacies that's unavoidable is the continued lack of Palestinian statehood, that the two state solution that you described so well doesn't come into being. And looking back over this period over the 1970s, one might have thought that things might have gone that way.
43:47
The Arab states, as you say, in 1973 are united and they show that they are not as weak as they had been in 67. The Saudis and the other oil rich states are able to use oil as a weapon in many ways to bring down the American economy or to cause enormous pain in the United States, both at the beginning of the 1970s period, and then also at the end of the decade. So there's rising Arab power.
44:16
Israel also seems to recognize, as you said, that it has to make some kind of deal with its neighbors. So why do the Palestinians continue to be victimized? Why is that one of the overriding legacies from this period?
44:33
Well, I mean, there are lots of complexities to that question, but you can also answer it in a very simple way. Which is, I would say, because of the Camp David Agreement. It pulled Egypt out of confrontation for good. I mean, Egypt was already drifting away from its prior commitments to the other Arab countries, but it, you know, it formalized it. It formalized Egypt's removal from the conflict, you know, transformed Egypt into an ally of the United States, and that really did make it a lot easier for Israel to withstand international calls for some kind of accommodation with the Palestinians.
45:17
And again, you've got, you know, I was just talking about poignant statements by Carter. There's another one that he makes in 1985, in a book that he wrote called The Blood of Abraham. Mm-Hmm. in which he very starkly and in a kind of self-incriminating way, says that. What the Camp David Agreement did was subtract Egyptian power from the Arab Israeli equation, and that made it easier for Israel to continue dominating its neighbors and continuing to occupy the West Bank. He just says that very starkly. And I think that's true.
45:55
There are, you can go a little bit further into the 20th century and look, for example, at the Oslo peace process, where there was kind of a second chance that the parties had to really come to grips with the Israel Palestine dispute. And you do have, I mean, a major transformation occurs in the sense that the United States recognizes the Palestine Liberation Organization. The Israelis, you know, get into dialogue with the PLO and with Yasser Arafat, you have, you actually do have the, you know, establishment of the Palestinian Authority. So there is some, there's like a physical presence. There's a, like a beachhead that the Palestinian movement is able to establish in both the West Bank and Gaza. And it, at least on the surface, it appears that there's an opportunity to build on that nucleus and transform it into a two state settlement.
46:59
But what happens is that the Israelis are able to continue expanding Jewish settlements in the West Bank and the way the agreements are drafted are such that, you know, the Israelis are able to invoke certain loopholes and the Palestinians complain, but they don't have sufficient leverage with the United States to get the Americans to take that seriously.
47:27
And of course that gets complicated by the fact that you do have Palestinian militants who reject the Oslo Accords and try to sabotage them by engaging in increasingly grisly terrorist attacks against not just settlers in the West Bank, but, you know, against civilians inside Israel, and that of course gives Israel justification to conduct, you know, massive retaliatory raids against the Palestinians.
47:59
And so essentially what happens is the, you know, the settler population during the very decade in which the Oslo peace process is unfolding doubles. And so that, you know, from the standpoint of ordinary Palestinians, this is really antithetical to any notion that a two state settlement is on the horizon. And because, you know, the way in which the Palestinians react against this creeping annexation often takes violent forms, the Israelis respond in, you know, with their own forms of violence and the, you know, you get this kind of vicious cycle where each side becomes more and more entrenched in its rejection of the other.
48:51
I mean, I, you know, these issues are never simple, but, I do wish that the Clinton administration had come to grips with this settlements issue in a much more serious and thorough going way. When it had the opportunity to do so, because the, I think the consequences of that failure are very much with us today.
49:17
Right. Just one follow up question on this, because I think your explanation is so thoughtful and balanced. So many Israelis that you and I know, and Zachary knows, and others know want peace. Why, in your narrative, has it been so hard for Israel to pursue peace? In your narrative, in your description, Israel is in some ways using its alliance with Egypt to avoid hard decisions with the Palestinians. Why do you think that's the case?
49:57
Well, because it's also using its alliance with the United States to avoid hard decisions regarding the Palestinians. And this is something that I think the United States really bears some responsibility for and needs to correct if we're going to see any serious movement on this issue.
50:16
I mean, I think it's understandable that within the context of Israeli politics, you see a move to the right, you know, over the last couple of decades, and that it's politically very difficult for groups or politicians advocating compromise with the Palestinians to gain popular support, just because it's so easy to point to acts of really horrific violence coming from the Palestinian side and to make the case that there is no suitable partner for the Israelis to make peace with.
50:54
I think, I mean, again, these are very complicated issues and I don't, you know, want to sound, you know, glib you'd just be sitting back and pontificating and saying that it's easy to reverse course or change the direction. Nonetheless, I think fundamentally what needs to happen is for the United States to start to become a lot firmer with the Israelis and to set clearer limits on what the United States will tolerate. In that context, that would, in my view, create political space for forces within Israel that wish to take a more conciliatory stance towards the Paelstinians. Because essentially the only limits against which Israel is brushing up, the only limits it encounters are the limits imposed by its immediate adversaries.
51:55
There aren't really significant diplomatic constraints or other kinds of constraints being imposed by the United States. I'll give you an example of an instance where that occurred and was promising and, you know, make the case that that kind of thing needs to happen again. Back in the early 90s, there, when Yitzhak Shamir was the prime minister, you know, he wanted a loan guarantee from the First Bush administration, and President Bush refused to extend that guarantee or refused to sign off on it, unless he could get a commitment from Shamir that there would be a cessation of settlement building in the occupied territories. This created a huge diplomatic crisis between the United States and Israel, and there was enormous pressure on Bush to back down. And he didn't. He stuck to his guns and eventually that resulted in a change of government inside Israel because figures on the more dovish labor side were able to say, look, this is what happens when we follow the approach of Likud and figures like Shamir. We get into a confrontation with the one country whose help we cannot afford to lose. So if you follow our approach, the more dovish Labor Party approach, we will restore our good relationship with the United States, and that will be better for Israel's security.
53:34
And that worked, and it resulted in the election of Yitzhak Rabin in place of Shamir. Now, there are ways in which Bush subsequently dropped the ball that caused the victory that he had achieved on the settlements issue to be a Pyrrhic one, which I can go into if you wish, but I don't think that's important. But what it shows is the ability of the United States, if it flexes some diplomatic muscle, to affect change inside Israel.
54:09
And I think in the, when those sorts of things start to happen on the Israeli side, I think that also empowers Moderate forces on the Palestinian side in situations like the one we're in now with situations of polarization that tends to strengthen hardliners on each side. I mean, it's more complicated in Israel now because Netanyahu was so unbelievably unpopular but in absent those complicating political issues, the general dynamic is one in which the more polarization, the more violence you get.
54:45
The stronger hardliners on each side become. So I think in a situation in which the United States is exercising greater leverage that's nudging the Israelis toward a more conciliatory position, that will make it easier for moderate form of forces on the Palestinian side to assert themselves. And this certainly won't happen overnight, but I think you could start a process that ultimately results in the political, diminution of Hamas. I mean, we're far from that now, but we, that's where we need to start heading.
55:25
Right. Which is the opposite of full scale siege warfare in Gaza. Exactly. Exactly
55:33
Zachary, I want to turn to you now. Salim has given us a tour de force here. He's in 30 to 5 minutes, 40 minutes, he's provided a really thoughtful, balanced, rigorous overview of an entire decade and its legacies for today, many of its legacies for today. And I know you have been deeply involved in debates about these policy issues on campus with other students. We discussed this in our prior episode. How do you react to Salim's historical framing for what you're debating today among students and others regarding this region of the world?
56:16
I think it's very helpful, certainly, in pointing to places, lost opportunities, and hopefully, lays out a series of of mistakes that that cannot be made again. I worry, though, about the, I think that maybe one of the things it points to as well is a sort of dilemma that sort of maybe contradictory forces that are shaping the problem today, which is that in order for there to be a sort of viable, moderate Palestinian force with which Israel can make peace, there has to be a moderate sort of political force in Israel willing to make peace.
57:03
But in order for that to occur, there has to be a sort of cessation of radical Palestinian violence that enables those on the far right in Israel. And so, and I think, one of the key lessons that at least I will take from Professor Yaqub's, very, Yaqub's very helpful analysis and history for us is the importance of the role of the United States in maybe catalyzing that process in, at the very least, putting our thumb on the scales to sort of break out of that cycle and of that, sort of constant, sort of lost opportunity, if you will.
57:48
Yeah, no, I think one of the real strengths, one of the many strengths of Salim's account and his scholarship is that it doesn't make the United States all powerful, far from it, but it does show how the United States might be the one actor that can play a role at certain moments in bringing the different sides together or pushing them apart. I think there, Salim's account gives us evidence of both of those things. As a final word, Salim, if you had a few seconds with President Biden, then what would you say as a historian that he should be thinking about?
58:28
Yeah. I mean, I think it would be the point that I made most recently, just about the need to show some greater firmness and to really attend to the details, particularly regarding what's happening on the West bank. I think, you know, one, when I said that George H. W. Bush eventually dropped the ball. He allowed the, you know, the next president, Yitzhak Rabin, to essentially use a form of words to get around the settlement issue. What Yitzhak Rabin said was, you're right, President Bush, there should be no more additional Jewish settlements in the West Bank. I will seize the building of new settlements. But what he then promptly did was start expanding existing settlements. And, you know, Bush accepted that distinction. But, you know, from the standpoint of the Palestinians, it really was not a difference at all. So I would say that you just, you need to pay really close attention to the details of what's taking place and, you know, to think about their impact on all of the parties to this dispute.
59:46
And I think Salim, that's a perfect place for us to not really close, but sort of, no, but bring this discussion to a point. I think what your scholarship displays and what you have provided today are two lessons for us above all. You know, one is that close attention to the history really matters. The events that we're living with today, reflect long developing, many long developing historical trajectories, and we can't really understand them. And we certainly shouldn't take sides before we understand this history. We have to pause and spend some time to look at where we've come from.
1:00:29
And that second to that one can speak for the interests, as I think you have, the historical interests of Palestinians, without in any way embracing the most extreme forms of violence, which you have clearly renounced and also argued are ineffective, in fact. And, I think that's really important. One doesn't have to give up on the Palestinian cause or the Israeli cause because the more extreme voices and extreme actors are the ones that are getting the most attention. Absolutely. So, Salim, thank you for educating us, for providing us a really valuable and missing background for most of our discussions. I hope our listeners will take what you say, read more, and think deeply before they jump to conclusions one way or another in this conflict. Salim, it's really been a pleasure and an honor to have you on our podcast. Thank you for joining us.
1:01:29
Jeremi and Zachary. Thank you so much. It was wonderful to have this conversation
1:01:33
And Zachary, thank you for your poem that I think resonates with some of the themes and thank you for your questions and thank you most of all to our loyal listeners for joining us for this week of this is democracy.
Episode 264: Free Trade and Peace
00:24
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week we're going to discuss a term that is thrown around almost every day in newspapers and political discussion, but a term that is rarely defined or historicized, and that term is free trade. The United States calls itself a free trade nation. Whether that's true or not is something we'll discuss, but more significantly we'll discuss what free trade really means, and how a group of thinkers, pioneering thinkers and political activists and policy makers in the 19th century pioneered a new way of pursuing free trade with certain ideals of peace attached to it.
01:07
We'll understand and talk about what it was that they meant and what it means for us today as we understand our own world. We're fortunate to be joined by a friend and really wonderful scholar, Marc Palen. Marc is a historian at the University of Exeter, and his new book that we're going to talk about is called Pax Economica: Left Wing Visions of a Free Trade World. It was just published in early 2024 by Princeton University Press. It's already been featured in the New Yorker magazine, one of my favorite magazines, as one of the best new books out in the last year. Marc has written on this topic before, his dissertation that he wrote at the University of Texas at Austin. And his first book is called The "Conspiracy" of Free Trade: The Anglo-American Struggle for Empire and Economic Globalization. Marc also writes frequently for major newspapers and magazine, including Le Monde in France, Time Magazine, the Washington Post, New York Times, and the Australian Eye. So he covers at least three continents, if not more, in his writing.
02:12
And as I, as I said before, Marc has a connection to the University of Texas. He was a graduate student here. And so we're very proud of the work that he's done. Marc, thanks so much for joining us today.
02:24
Thank you so much for having me. Much appreciated.
02:27
I'm really looking forward to this discussion. Before we get into our discussion of Marc's book and free trade, we have, of course, Mr. Zachary's scene setting poem. Zachary, what's the title of your poem today? A World at Sail. A World at Sail. Okay, well, let's sail into it.
02:45
Sometimes I am awakened in the middle of the night by the fear my imaginings won't turn out right. I toss and turn and think of nothing more than a coffee in the morning and the rain that starts to pour. Sometimes I am startled at the way the earth can turn, yet everything is standing still as ashes in an urn. I watch the time that passes by and wonder at its speed, knowing each who dies was but a planted seed.
03:16
Sometimes when the sun is setting, I wonder if a hope is nothing more than mud to scrub away with soap. I watch the darkness coming with its ominous smile, and the birds no longer humming are erased in single file. And yet each morning when it comes at last, I see a new world rising and it's rising fast. A world of peace that isn't stale, a world at sea, a world at sail. We are chasing Earth's still spinning tail, like birds who sing at every dawn. The hate has flown, the fear is gone, I spy your ports, you spot my shores, you sell my treasures in your stores. Each setting sun is now a kind of hoping that tomorrow will be in the harbours roping.
04:07
I love the imagery, Zachary, and I love the evocations of peace and peacemaking. What is your poem about?
04:17
My poem is about the ways in which, even in the points in our lives, and in our politics when we are the most cynical. That trade, and sort of physical connection across the vast seas of the world, can offer a real opportunity for peace and real hope, even when things seem sort of impossible abysmal around us. Right.
04:50
Marc. I think that's a great place to really dive into your book. So much of your book, especially the first 2 to 3 chapters is about the efforts of certain activists, seems to me, to escape what they see is the imperialism and economic nationalism and cruelty of of the 19th century of the world of empire that we all know a fair amount about. Why did these activists, Richard Cobden is one of them who stands out, why did they turn to free trade as a source of peace and anti imperialism, as you call it?
05:21
I mean, this is, you know, it gets this sort of Enlightenment era ideas that this is building off of, but it's also, I think, building off of something new that's developing in the mid 19th century was, which is, a truly global economic system in a, in ways that we, you know, understand it today and global food systems and so forth. And pushing back against the mercantilist system that had dominated the imperial order up until the mid 19th century, a mercantilist system of protectionism, of closed imperial markets and seemingly constant war, and geopolitical conflict.
06:02
And so when this free trade movement that Richard Cobden in Britain spearheads, this middle class pressure group, the anti corn law league, it's beyond just lowering Britain's trade walls and allowing for cheap goods and cheap food to flow in. He actually sees this direct connection between those domestic reforms and reforming the international order. Something that if we, I guess in international relations scholarship, we would think we call capitalist peace theory or interdependence theory, the idea that the more countries trade with one another, the less likely they are to go to war. This is kind of when this is really starting to take root, at the left of center into the political spectrum in remarkable ways. And so yeah, go ahead.
06:51
Yeah. And it's striking to me in your book that, and it's in your subtitle, right? These are left wing visions. These are progressive, self defined progressives in many ways. The figures who you include go from Richard Cobden to Jane Addams, Norman Angle, so many of these people we associate with progressive anti war, anti imperial stands. Many listeners today, though, might think about free trade as benefiting large corporations and benefiting the rich, allowing the rich to get richer. We think about that with the movement of capital and investments and hedge funds and things like that today. Obviously, your progressive figures have a different vision of what free trade is about. How do they connect it, as you describe in the book, to domestic reform?
07:36
Yeah, great point. And I mean, yeah, this does, you know, challenge in a certain sense, associations that we commonly have now, the champions of the free market as right wing in their leanings. And, so yeah, this is about how those left of center, the anti imperialist, the peace activists, the abolitionists, the women's suffragists, so many of these things that we would think of left of center politically, even now, were coming together in really remarkable ways from the 1840s onwards. And one of the ways they were doing it is, you have to understand that kind of the way that the global order was still essentially being run, who were the people in charge? In the context of mid 19th century Britain, for example, this is an era in which the aristocratic elites still are running the show.
08:27
And who are the aristocratic elites? They are the landed elites. They are the ones who are making all the money off of these protective tariffs on foreign grain, even though it means people in these industrializing cities in Britain are starving. And so it, by going after the economic power of landed elites, you can then, minimize their power politically as well.
08:52
And this allows for greater democratization. It also means that if you democratize foreign policy and you minimize the power of these militant aristocratic elites on foreign policymaking, then you can create a more peaceful foreign policy system that doesn't require large standing armies and navies, which means you can lower taxes and thus, make things even more affordable to a mass majority of people. So that's the kind of in a nutshell, how they connect that domestic element with the foreign policy.
09:23
Gotcha. Zachary? And how did this movement for free trade, the successful movement for free trade, in England, how did it change politics? Did it make political institutions more egalitarian in the direction that these groups hoped?
09:39
Oh, that's an interesting one. Yeah. I, to an extent, yes. I mean, male franchise, certainly, you know, universal male franchise certainly was something that became more viable after this. It also was closely associated with what would become first wave feminism, this desire for women's suffrage.
09:59
There's actually some really interesting figures that are, what we might not consider first wave feminists who are working within this free trade movement in Britain, who are also connecting this with, expanding women's rights to vote and equality for women. You can even see this within the abolitionist movement, which in many ways is seen as sort of the flip side of the free trade coin at this time. Freeing men and freeing trade, seeing as kind of mutually reinforcing. So you have the Garrisonian Abolitionists, as they were called, the really radical wing of the abolitionist movement that William Lloyd Garrison of Boston was leading, that was trying to allow more women's voices into the abolitionist movement. And of course, he's also a free trader, during this time, becomes associated with this, what they call a Cognite moment
10:47
And so if you think about that in the short term, in the near term, you see the kind of greater enfranchisement, you do see something of a greater empowerment of the liberal party in these reforms that they're undertaking in Britain happening. And then if you take a longer view and thinking about how, you know, 50, 60 years later, this is going to culminate in women's suffrage as well. And in many ways, these two, as I try to show in the book, these two movements kind of work in tandem throughout most of these decades, that you can see that connection there, I think.
11:18
One of the striking elements of your book to me, and this also echoes a point you made in your prior book. So it's one of the Palen contributions to understanding these issues, is that the United States, for all of its claims about free trade, was not a free trading nation in the late 19th and early 20th century, and in some ways was the enemy of these free traders. Can you say more about that, Marc?
11:42
Yeah, and it's really mainly the Republican Party. So the Republican Party, when it's founded in the 1850s, it is, of course, the party of anti slavery. But once slavery officially comes to an end at least and, with the end of the civil war, 1865, the Republican party refashioned itself as the party of protectionism.
12:04
And so with their dominance of American politics throughout most of the decades that follow up, until the election of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, you have this republican style protectionist policy. It's a very anglophobic one. Fear, hatred of the British is a common political tact that's taken to reinforce these protectionist demands, but it's also, you know, the American industries were certainly less developed than those of the British, and so they saw this as a way to catch up to and rival, the more industrially advanced British, who had recently adopted free trade.
12:41
So this seemed like a nice counterbalance to it, and also led to all sorts of geopolitical conflicts with America's neighbors, especially the British colony to the north, Canada. And then when the United States becomes a proper, formal empire in its own right under Republican auspices in 1898 after the Spanish American war, it's a protectionist economic nationalist empire that comes into being here that the Republicans oversee. And, you know, pushing back against that common understanding that we, I think we tend to make of this late 19th, early 20th century, those decades leading up to the first world war as some sort of Gilded Age era of free markets and laissez faire run amok. One of the things I've been trying to push back against is to say that, that's actually, it was quite the opposite.
13:30
And this is exactly how these left wing free traders saw the world system, as a world system dominated by empires who lean towards economic nationalism, at home and abroad. And I think without understanding that protectionist makeup of the American people, American empire, as well as other rival empires, like the French, the Russians, the Italians, the Ottomans, the Japanese, and so forth, that you get, it really would be impossible to understand why this broad left wing internationalist subscription to free trade existed.
13:59
So, Marc, one of the really interesting parts of your book is your reinterpretation of the late 19th and early 20th century, just along the lines we've been discussing. Traditionally, people have argued that, this is a period of, growing trade, growing interdependence between countries, and that actually causes violence and imperialism. You see this the opposite way, right? And tell us more about that.
14:30
Yeah. And I mean, this gets into a lot of kind of historiographical minefields about, you know, why the late 19th, early 20th century is tended, tends to be portrayed as an area of free trade and laissez faire, you know, run amok, as I described. But in reality, this is aside from the British who embraced free trade from the 1840s until the 1930s, one rival empire, the British after another, led by the United States and its growing empire, turned to economic nationalism and imperial expansion across the late 19th, early 20th centuries. And this is exacerbated with the onset of a global depression in 1873. Something we can probably relate to nowadays, which is, during times of economic crises, nations tend to look inwards, tend to retreat from the international system, as we've seen so clearly, in the wake of the great recession and then the pandemic.
15:25
And so this is what's happening in the late 19th, early 20th century. Yes, ties are still growing, but that's because of these new tools of globalization, transportation costs are drastically falling, steamships and transcontinental railways and so forth. And so you can still have an increase in integration, even though you're seeing a growth of economic nationalism. And of course that imperial expansion that the United States and other rival empires are practicing, is globalizing the world in a certain sense too, through the forceful incorporation of colonies into the kind of Anglo European sphere that they're developing here.
16:03
But again, it's through these restrictive economic nationalist empires that we're seeing coming to us. And it's this growth. And if you want to take the kind of Marxist approach, the growth of the divvying up of the world amongst these rival protectionist empires that culminates in the first world war.
16:19
And just to underline a point before we get to the First World War, you make this clear in your book that the free traders criticize the United States in particular for building a closed empire, closed to external trade empire that benefited U. S. trade in the Philippines, for example. That this was not a free trade empire, as some have argued, but in fact, what the United States was doing was building an economically nationalist empire, correct?
16:46
Correct. That's correct. And if, and yeah, and one of the things that I tease out here is how it needs these former Spanish colonies that become American colonies in the context of Puerto Rico, say, or the Philippines, or informally with Cuba. Yeah, you start to see this even from the anti colonial nationalists themselves. Who are demanding free trade with the United States, who are poverty stricken from years of internal conflict, fighting the Spanish and so forth, and who are suddenly unable to afford food, afford clothes because of these new protected tariffs that are placed upon them by the protectionist Republican empire builders back in Washington.
17:23
And so, yeah, so even from the colonies themselves, you can start to see this protectionist makeup of the American empire project. And it's this American system idea. This is what it was called, right? This, this protectionist ideology that kind of grew in many ways in the United States across the 19th century that became the American system of protectionism. It's this ideology that's actually going to shape at least more shape that Imperial order amongst Britain's rivals than free trade Britain itself will.
17:54
Zachary. You mentioned in your previous answer that there's a connection between this sort of divvying up of the world's resources, and the beginnings of World War One. Could you maybe explain that in more detail? And also, maybe talk a little bit about, you mentioned as well that many leftists have taken this interpretation in particular to make a point about free trade. Could you talk about how that's been interpreted as well?
18:24
Sure, yeah, and this is a critique that's made by what we call kind of center left critics like J.A. Hobson, this famous British critic of imperialism, liberal radical critic of imperialism, writing around the turn of the 20th century. This is then going to be built upon from an even farther left framework, by V. I. Lennon, imperialism in the highest stage of capitalism, writing amidst the first world war, trying to understand and make sense of how the world had become a world in conflict, how these rival empires turn against one another. And, you know, that's one of the fascinating things about this, if you actually look at this and of course, from the, from the left wing internationalist free trade perspective in general, this is exactly what they've been saying from the get go. And that is that it's this expansion of the protectionist empires, you end up with, and yeah, so what are they trying to do? They're trying to expand empires because according to this critique, at least, you know, protectionism creates monopolies, monopolies create inefficient markets at home. This leads to the apparent necessity to search for new markets, to export surplus capital abroad and to exploit raw materials from these newfound colonies to then be used by these industrializing powers back at home.
19:38
This is how people from across the left wing spectrum are explaining the growth of imperial expansion across the late 19th, early 20th centuries. And in the case of V.I. Lennon and trying to explain the outbreak of the first world war itself. Once these empires, these expanding empires have run out of new colonies to exploit for exporting surplus capital for exploiting raw materials, they finally turn on one another. And so you can actually see these really fascinating connections and commonalities by capitalist critics of the imperial system and Marxist critics of the imperial system. Indeed, in the context of Hobson and Lenin, this is even called the Hobson Lenin thesis, because Lenin is explicitly drawing on these capitalist theories of imperialism to make his own, even more extreme critiques of the system.
20:32
So as I understand it, Marc, you have a real resuscitation of Norman Angle in your book. Norman Angle, as you point out, was this incredibly popular writer in the early 20th century who predicted that countries that trade together will not go to war together. And of course, those countries did go to war in World War I and realists, those who have dominated international relations scholarship really in the last 70 years, kind of use Norman Angle as a whipping boy, right? They say, you see these liberal internationalists, these left wing thinkers who believe that if you create a world of cooperation, you won't have war. See how wrong they are, and the world is filled with inevitable conflict and war. That's the realist argument, of course. You're bringing Norman Angle back, though you're saying he was actually more correct than realists have given him credit for. Do I understand that right?
21:24
Yeah. You know, he's often seen as an early 20th century, Edwardian disciple of Cobdenism. He puts forward this more pragmatic appeal to a businessman's pocketbook with his book, as you point out, the very, very famous and influential, The Great Illusion that gets published in 1910. And that takes the kind of Euro American Left by storm. Norman Angle clubs are getting started all over the place. So he really does pick on a moment here. But if you actually, you know, he spent much of his life actually pushing back against the misunderstandings of it. He intimately understood the growth of political nationalism that was growing across the early 1900s, as well as the economic nationalism of the early 19th century. His, The Great Illusion was not a optimistic call saying that, global, the global, the degree of globalization now means that no wars can happen, it was actually a pessimistic appeal to say that even the winners of a war would lose because the world is so integrated. And I think that's the thing that gets lost along the way, as you point out, by international relations theorists drawing on these early 20th century ideas, boiling him down to a single sentence, it actually has lost the main point, the main thrust of what he was saying.
22:42
He was trying to warn business and then he was trying to warn, you know, the political right really that this continued nationalism, this continued economic nationalism would leave few if any winners, even those who supposedly would win a war at that point.
23:00
So why was it, Marc, that Franklin Roosevelt and Cordell Hull, his Secretary of State, who often gets forgotten, but gets a lot of attention in your book, why is it that they came to agree with Norman Angle?Why did they buy into this free trade argument in the ways in which their predecessors had not? And why did they buy into it after a world war and during the Great Depression, when you would have expected them to be more economically nationalist as Herbert Hoover, Franklin Roosevelt's predecessor certainly was, what led Roosevelt and Hull to shift in the direction of Cobden and others during the great depression?
23:40
Hmm. Yeah, and I mean you can see, you know, one of the things I try to do especially with the first book is that the earliest origins of this and in the late 19th century, so you do see this start to show itself a bit with the two non consecutive administrations of Grover Cleveland in the late 19th century 1885 to 89, 1893 to 97, where you see a noticeable pushback against the Republican empire project. Attempts, failed attempts to create a freer trade system in the United States. Woodrow Wilson goes somewhat in that direction when it comes to free trade. He is a self described disciple of the Manchester school, which is another term for Cobdenism. Although it's not necessarily something that is demonstrated by his foreign policy in, say, the Caribbean region. So yeah, it's really going to be when, when FDR appoints Cordell Hull as secretary of state. And I think it's important again to understand someone like Cordell Hull who got his political start as a 17 year old stump speaker for Grover Cleveland in 1888 amid the great debate over whether the United States would take a free trade path or a protectionist one.
24:50
And of course the protectionists would win that one. And then of course, Cordell holds lessons that he learned from the first world war really firmly ingrained the fact that he connects free trade with anti imperialism and peace, and he sees the first world war clearly as one that was begun by these economic conflicts, these trade wars that led up to the outbreak of the First World War.
25:15
So that, those are lessons he takes, but the question is then, how do FDR and Cordell Hull succeed where their predecessors had failed? And I think you put your finger on it there with Herbert Hoover. The Republican protectionist project that began in the 1860s finally loses the support that it was able to maintain from American laborers through these kind of political debates that dominated the scene for so long. And that's because of the infamous Hawley Smoot, or Smoot Hawley Tariff of 1930. That is this protective tariff that Hoover's administration passes just on the heels of the outbreak of the Great Depression. And it's clear to everybody by 1932, and the presidential elections that this protective tariff had exacerbated and made worse the great depression that had created these trade tensions, shrunk international trade when it needed to be increased. And so FDR and Cordell Hull are able to build on this shift happening within the American body politic to start turning it towards a freer trade direction.
26:27
And that's exactly what they're going to do. With the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act, and then, of course, with the creation of what we now associate with, sort of, post 1945 Bretton Woods system, that comes into being in the late 1940s
26:41
Right. And this, as you describe it, becomes a kind of true golden age for free trade, if we might call it that, from the end of World War II until, I don't know, late 1960s, early 1970s, is that correct?
26:54
Or at least it could have been. It, was really, actually, when I first started thinking about this way back, you know, 10 or so years ago, that is how I kind of thought that the story was going to progress or at least in that nice, neat way. What I ended up finding, the more I dug into the, around, I guess, right after the end of the Second World War is that, yeah, it does seem from 1945 until 1950, especially, things seem to be going their way. That these supranational organizations are, are able to kind of clamp down a bit at least on nations' predilections for, for protectionism. We have a new, better, stronger supranational structure under the United Nations than they had with the League of Nations. And the left wing free traders that I'm tracing actually have, they actually have a direct line to the State Department. There's a remarkable relationship that develops between Cordell Hull and these left wing free traders.
28:41
But of course the cold war decolonization, the growth of a right wing free trade tradition that we touched on at the very beginning of this discussion, all of these things are going to start muddying the waters, so to speak, and make the, what seemed like a new freer trade system, much less easy to maintain.
29:01
And to me, that's one of the more interesting parts of your overall very interesting book is when you get to neoliberalism and you get to the 1970s and 80s and Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, many would see them as free traders and maybe even as inheritors of Richard Cobden's ideas, you say, no. You draw a distinction between neoliberals and free trade peace activists. What is the distinction there?
29:30
Well, from the left wing free traders perspective, there's an evolution that happens. So maybe it's a generational evolution that's happening here too. They're much more sympathetic by the 1950s, 1960s, 1970s of the decolonizing world, of what we might call the global South, the G77, these demands for temporary protectionism by these recently decolonized States.
29:55
There's a great deal of sympathy for this, leads to all sorts of new left wing internationalist movements like the fair trade movement, who are similarly advocating these things and have that similar sympathy for demands from labor, demands from the decolonizing world. So this is going to be different from how these free traders on the right are going to respond to these, international issues, and activists.
30:22
And so that's one of the big differences here. So, yes, you have Thatcher in the seventies coming onto the political scene in Britain, who's going to slam down a book by Hayek as soon as she walks in and says, you know, this is what we believe. Frederick Hayek, one of the intellectual founding fathers of neoliberalism. And in a similar way, Reagan is going to surround himself with, you know, neoliberal, right wing economists who are extremely distrustful of anti colonial nationalist demands for protectionism. They're increasingly dis trustful of democracy itself, of course of the welfare state, of trade unions, there's really quite key differences here, but I think the two biggest are where these neoliberals are willing to do at the foreign policy realm and, and how they associate free trade with democracy.
31:17
So the free, the left wing free traders of the book, the main actors in the story closely associate free trade with democratization. And a foreign policy of non interventionism, right? You don't force free trade onto another state unwillingly. This is something that neoliberals 1980s onwards are going to deviate from drastically, even though in many ways they're drawing from the same intellectual wellspring. And so this is where we have the neoliberals who are gonna you know, support Pinochet's Chile, this, you know, dictatorship in Chile and apartheid South Africa, and who are increasingly gonna see democracies, especially democracies from the left, as a threat. An impediment to free trade rather than as an accompaniment to free trade. And so using military interventionism and being suspicious of democratic movements, in the name of free trade, this shows them to be something quite different from the free trade internationalist tradition that I was tracing in previous chapters.
32:24
And you make the, you make the argument that neoliberalism, as you say, this is from your book, page 218, that neoliberals have effectively co opted free trade as a neo colonial tool. So you are clearly making the case, there's a different version of free trade that's not neo-colonial, that's not mercantilist. As you call the, the moment from 2016 on. What would that be? I mean, one of the real goals of our podcast each week is to try to use history to help uncover alternative pathways. Things we could do today that would be hopeful. So what is the hopeful alternative to the world of US-China market rivalry that often seems to disempower smaller countries and smaller cultures. What's the alternative pathway from the left wing free trade vision that you've excavated so well here, Marc?
33:23
Yeah, great. Really, really, that's a really difficult, but really important question. And maybe we can end it on a positive note if I do this correctly. Yeah, I, so we have these multilateral institutions that, It comes into being precisely to create a more peaceful and interdependent world in the late 1940s. But they increasingly become controlled, taken over by this more right leaning, internationalism of the neoliberals and of multinational corporations within the kind of context of the Milton Cold War. And so this is, I think, the beginning of it. And so because of that too, you also see a lot less of a strict adherence to free trade internationalism, especially once Cordell Hull is no longer in the State Department.
34:13
And so you still start to see, kind of the hangover of this imperialism of economic nationalism that had dictated American foreign policy for so many decades leading up to the Second World War. And you see this most visibly even today with the Cuban embargo, something done under Democratic auspices, but continued under both parties.
34:34
And so in an interesting way, the legacy of the imperialism of economic nationalism in the United States, it's still very, was very much with us even before 2016, even before we ended up electing. an avowedly protectionist Republican president. You know, it was one of those things in 2016 that I was not surprised by at all. And of course, you could point back to most of the history of the Republican party as a party of protectionism, that Trump was by no means an anomaly, but a return to the status quo, from this longer viewpoint. But it was interesting to see how the Democrats from 2020, started just borrowing from and echoing Trump's protectionist platform to the point now that we're going to have, it looks like, a Republican protectionist running for president, and we're going to have a Democratic protectionist running for president in the 2024 elections. And like you say, in the context of trade wars and steel tariffs against the EU, and geopolitical conflict that's being drawn from that, sanctions against a variety of states as well, food embargoes and blockades, and then of course the Cuban embargo itself is still very much a thing.
35:47
And so what remains of the left wing free trade movement has been still fighting this fight. We still have a variety of left wing peace organizations that have been and remain very critical of, say, the U. S. Cuban embargo. We still have organizations like the Fair Trade Movement, which was created in Oxford in 1968 with the Hasselmeyer Declaration, but which was an alternative form of globalization and an alternative form of, ethical free trade as they put it and there's something I'm sure we're all listening here are familiar to a certain extent. But you know, we see the fair trade stamped on our bars of chocolate or our coffee bags, but it actually has a history, that I argue at least, that goes back to the 1840s. And it's also putting forward this idea that we can, you know, can pay a bit more if it means making sure that the things we're buying are not using exploited labor, that people are getting paid a fair wage.
36:47
And so this alternative globalization, alter globalization, from the left, is still around. It's still prominent, but it is very much on the outs because of all these kind of transformations of the global system we've been touching on. The growing power of neoliberal policies at the top and, the lack of influence that left wing internationals now have over policymaking.
37:12
But I think maybe one way to think about it, and one thing you can draw from this book as a way of going forward here is how the left wingers, the liberal radicals, the socialists, the women's suffragists, the Christian pacifists, they all, by the early 1900s, by around the time of the First World War, came together and were working together in ways that would probably surprise us, especially with our Cold War lenses on, the idea that Marxist internationalists were working alongside capitalists to try to create a more interdependent, peaceful order. That is still a possibility, and maybe that is the only way to revitalize this if you do see the world in a way that these left wing internationals see it. It's through a new coalition form of like minded, dare we say globalists who see the kind of, inward looking, turn towards autarky and trade wars that have become so commonplace now as something that they want to oppose. It was an interesting lesson to be drawn from this book where actually, in surprising ways, there was a really broad left wing coalition that was in many ways successful in working together to overturn the protectionist system.
38:22
I just have to ask before we turn to Zachary's thoughts on this, isn't that really what Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were trying to do? You criticize them actually in the book, but wouldn't they identify with the alternative vision you just articulated?
38:39
Certainly more so than their Republican counterparts, certainly more so. I, you know, I do try to make the point though, that even still their foreign policy credentials when it comes to military interventionism. In the case of, say, Haiti or, in the context of Clinton, for example, his sanctions against Iraq in the 1990s, these are, you know, these are limiting trait. These are things that the leftwing free traders, the non-interventionists would've been vocally opposed to. But I think it, to a certain extent, they're still there. You can certainly see it in the rhetoric of Clinton, and I think with Obama, perhaps even more so in the policy practices that he was operating under, his attempts to support the Trans Pacific Partnership, despite the critiques from the alt left, that were still critical of too much of an influence for the multinational corporations. And some elements of this certainly still at play within democratic internationalism of Clinton and Obama. I think that's fair.
39:44
Zachary, what are your thoughts on this as someone who cares deeply about international trade and international connections? You're participating in this podcast from Leipzig, Germany, where you're doing some research of your own now, I mean, does Marx history resonate with a vision for where democracy and international affairs can go today?
40:07
I think it does. I think it's also the last question in particular, last answer, was a really important reminder that oftentimes the questions that need to be asked or are not necessarily, like, ones of ideology, but of whose interests certain policies are serving. I think the sort of description of how the, at least the ages of free trade, was overtaken by neoliberalism in the 70s and 80s is a really important lesson about the importance of keeping in mind whose interests our policies serve, because, looking at it on paper, it can seem that the neoliberal policies are of the same tradition, but, in reality they were serving very different interests. And I think also this vision of left wing free trade is something that we should all take very seriously, especially at a moment when our, when the sort of liberal international institutions, which this movement created or the descendants of this movement created after World War II seem most threatened. And certainly when our, when the sort of free trade world order that developed after the end of the Cold War seems most threatened as well.
41:20
Yes, I think that's really well said, Zachary. And one thing, Marc, I've been thinking about as I was re-reading your book, and as I've been listening to your really thoughtful and inspiring comments today, you know, we are entering a moment where it does seem that protectionism is the main valence of politics. As you say, both presidential candidates in the U. S. this year will be running as protectionists, as advocates of industrial policy of one kind or another. Certainly that's the way China operates. The E. U. Has been moving more in that in that direction, and of course, we're witnessing wars, economic nationalist wars across the world from the Middle East to Ukraine and Russia.
42:00
But as all that's happening, there is a desire to move beyond this moment in a search for an alternative. And especially in a world that's torn by inequalities and warfare, this vision of interdependence, of trade, of openness, of, building prosperity, shared prosperity through open connections that are not militarized and mediated by international institutions. That actually might become a more compelling vision. Much of the discussion around the International Criminal Court is in many ways a discussion about this. And so we might be on the cusp, just as we were in the late 1920s, we might be on the cusp again of another free trade international peace activist moment. That would seem to be the hopeful democratic message in much of this. Do you agree with that Marc?
42:55
You both put it so, so well as far as what might be possible hereafter. And of course, if I were to take maybe even a more cynical approach at looking back to the successes, not just of the FDR and 1930s, but, you know, why it was that the free traders succeeded in Britain in the 1840s. And, you know, for them it connected to peace and, but I think the prosperity element, I think, is the other important thing here too. And I think for maybe a lot more people, the connection between interdependence and peace is going to be less important than what it means for their pocketbooks.
43:32
And so, you know, the increase of prices that is becoming, it's hurting the poorest among us even more than anybody else. You know, I wonder if that prosperity argument that often comes with free trade, lower prices for goods, potentially something really important to a lot of the actors in my book, especially the women's suffragists ending world hunger by the equitable distribution of trade, of food through, through a free trade system, that also I think might resonate or perhaps might resonate with the even larger group.
44:02
Yes, I think that's very well said, Marc, and a very nice connection to one of the central issues of our world today, which is the inequalities in food and nutritional access across, within countries and across countries. Of course, this brings us full circle, as always, to, in some ways, the inspiration for our podcast, which is Franklin Roosevelt. We started this podcast with his inspiration for how each generation writes a new chapter in the book of democracy. And, as always, the new chapters build on old chapters. Chapters that might have been forgotten before. Marc, you have in your book, Pax Economica, that I recommend to all of our listeners, you have reminded us of such an important chapter in the evolution of Anglo American and international democracy in the 19th and 20th centuries. A chapter that seems more relevant than ever in this neo mercantilist age, as you call it. Thank you so much for joining us this week, Marc, and sharing your insights with us.
45:00
Thank you so much again for having me and for this great conversation. It's a pleasure.
45:04
And Zachary, thank you for your poem. Your image of us sailing is still very prominent in my mind throughout our conversation. And thank you, of course, most of all, to our loyal listeners for joining us for this episode of This Is Democracy.
Episode 273: Venezuela Elections with Professor Kurt Weyland
00:23
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. This week, we are continuing our discussion of democracies and elections around the world. This is, as we've said many times on the podcast, this is a year with more democracies voting, and more non democracies voting as well in elections around the world than at any point in human history before. And these elections and democracies and non democracies will really set the course for so many countries and probably for our globe moving forward for the next years and decades we are going to discuss today the recent elections in Venezuela and the controversies over those recent elections in Venezuela. On July 28 2024 the country of Venezuela held elections, and the incumbent president and dictator, Nicolás Maduro, claims he won the elections, but almost all observers, including the United States, are pretty clear on the evidence that Maduro lost these elections, what has happened in Venezuela and where do we go from here? We're going to understand the history surrounding these elections, what occurred in these elections, and we're going to think about based on knowledge of what's happened in other societies, particularly in the same region. We're going to discuss where we think these election results might go in the future of Venezuela. We are fortunate to be joined by my colleague and friend and someone who I think has done some of the most impressive work on authoritarianism and related regime change issues in Latin America. This is my colleague, Professor Kurt Wayland. Kurt Wayland is the Mike Hogg Professor in the Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. He's done amazing primary source research and direct interviews, the kind of work that historians love when you get dirty with the primary sources. He's done this research in so many countries in the region, probably as many as anyone else, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Peru and, of course, Venezuela. I probably left off some other countries, and I've of course forgotten to mention that he's also done research in the United States. Professor Wayland is the author of seven books. I'm going to just name a few of them, The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies, which was published in 2002, Making Waves: Democratic Contention in Europe and Latin America. 2014. Assault on Democracy: Communism, Fascism and Authoritarianism During the Interwar Years, published in 2021 and published just this year, a book I need to read because I haven't kept up with everything Kurt's written. It's impossible to keep up with it. Democracy's Resilience to Populism Threat, a book that's probably directly relevant to our discussion today. Professor Kurt Wayland, Kurt, thanks for joining us today.
03:22
Yeah, thank you for having me. It'll be important to talk about this tragic events in Venezuela.
03:28
Yes, yes. We are eager to hear your thoughts before we turn to Kurt's insights on this important topic. We have, of course, Mr. Zachary's poem. What's your poem titled today Zachary?
03:41
Hungry in Caracas
03:43
Hungry in Caracas, it, it sounds almost like a parable of sorts. Is it? We'll see. We'll see. Okay, let's hear it
03:50
We'll see, we'll see
03:51
Okay, let's hear it
03:53
Outside the voting booth in Caracas, they lined up at 6am counting the years of tyranny in stacks of bills and ribs exposed outside the voting booth in Caracas were guards armed with guns, frowning at the people and thinking also of their next meal. It is a truth seldom acknowledged that people don't just vote when they hate or when they love, that sometimes people vote because they are angry, that sometimes people vote because they are hungry. Outside the voting booth in Caracas, each of them recognized this fundamental truth, the voters lining up one by one, the guards holding their guns, and the mustachioed man staring down at them from the wall, who knew and still does, that his people are hungry for change.
04:46
I love the range of that Zachary, from the Hungry, Angry voters to the mustachioed militaristic leader. What is your poem about?
04:57
My poem is about you. I think it's really about what motivates people to vote even when they know that the outcome of the election is not going to be respected. It's a sort of anger and hunger for something different that brings people to the polls. And there's something deeply inspiring in that, but there's also something very sad, I think, in the sort of desperation of people turning to the ballot box even though they know it's not going to be respected,
05:24
Right, right. Very well, said. Kurt to help us understand that this sad moment, in some ways, this tragic moment, as I think you mentioned earlier, where should we start? Nicolás Maduro is the dictator who replaced the prior dictator, Hugo Chávez. How should we understand the origins of this regime?
05:47
So if you want to go back to the origins, I think Venezuela had democracy that was oligarchic and ossified and elitist, but that used to have from the late 1950s to the 1990s two party competition and alternation in power. So it was a democracy, but it was ossified and corrupt. So that allowed for the rise of Hugo Chávez, who was military nationalist, who had actually made a coup attempt against that ossified democracy, but to then took the electoral route, and due to vast popular discontent, he was swept into office in the landslide in 1998 and he started as a democratically elected leader, but he is a populist, and populists want power, and they want more power, and they want to stay in power for a long time. And so Hugo Chávez immediately transformed the institutions to concentrate more power to get control of the legislature, soon, pack the courts, push the opposition aside. So what Hugo Chávez did he transfer? He used his democratically elected position to transform Venezuela gradually, slowly, into what we call a soft authoritarian regime. And I say soft because Hugo Chávez was tremendously charismatic. He had an electrifying personality. So Hugo Chávez could do this transformation from democracy into authoritarian rule, but not using very much violence and repression at all. So he was illiberal. He was undemocratic. He used his charisma to essentially establish his political hegemony and cement cement his authoritarian regime. But he was not brutal and repressive. Then what happens is that Chávez dies an early age of cancer, and he had these charismatic leaders are so full of themselves they don't want to nurture rivals. So he had survived himself, typically, by comparing weaklings and sycophants. And when he was about to die, he nominated one of those weaklings and sycophants, Nicholás Maduro, as his successor. So then Maduro comes in, has an authoritarian regime, but doesn't have the charismatic authority and popular support of Hugo Chávez. So soon, Maduro faces opposition challenges. What do you do if you have an authoritarian regime, you don't have a lot of popular support, you use your control of the military and you crack down. And so Maduro cracked down hard in 2014 against opposition protests. He cracked down again in 2017 he cracked down in 2019 so what he did is he transformed Hugo Chávez's soft authoritarian regime into a harsh, repressive dictatorship. By the way, much, much harsher than Victor Orbán's in Hungary. So Orbán still has a soft authoritarian regime. Venezuela has turned into a really repressive dictatorship. So these dictatorships, they don't they don't respect elections. They still hold elections to have a window dressing because they claim to have to be democratic. But they do whatever they can, ban opposition politicians. Make life hard for the opposition, control the airwaves, spent tremendously before the election, so Hugo Chávez, Nicolás Maduro, got himself re-elected in 2018 in a complete sham election that the opposition boycotted, but the opposition has no leverage against him. Protests don't work. International pressure hasn't worked, so the opposition decided this time, when Maduro came up for re-election, to challenge him in the election, thinking that the time was right for a change, because at the same time that Maduro transformed Venezuela into a brutal dictatorship, he has also ruined the economy. I mean rowing, there hasn't been a country suffering so badly outside of war, than Venezuela. Venezuela, in the last 20 years has seen its GDP drop by 75% I'm talking about 75% which is a tremendous collapse, 75% so about three or four years ago, when the economy hit, worked. Autumn, about 80, 90% of the population lived in poverty. 8 million Venezuelans have left the country in despair, and so I mean, has done total mismanagement, but holding this election, the opposition thought they could finally make dent, and opinion polls showed overwhelming support for the opposition, very low support for Maduro. The exit polls show overwhelming support for the opposition, so they clearly, clearly won, but Maduro, for reasons that I can explain later, Maduro just simply claims to have won, sits there, has support from the military, has taken over all the institutions and justice I won, and the opposition can claim whatever they want, the international community can demand whatever they want. I'll just keep governing.
10:51
Kurt, that's a incredibly helpful overview, and I'm amazed at how much you were able to pack into that one answer that really helps us understand the rise of what was first a populist authoritarian regime and what now sounds like almost an Orwellian nightmare, is dictatorship which is obviously destroying the country, and it also helps to explain the incredibly large number of Venezuelan refugees coming to the United States, for example. Why did Maduro hold this election? It was clear he was going to lose. He did ban the Leader of the Opposition, Maria Corina Machado, but even with the stand-in opposition figure, Edmundo Gonzalez, it was quite clear from weeks ago, I think, right, that the opposition was going to get more votes. Why did he subject himself to this election?
11:45
So this is interesting about these authoritarian regimes. When you go back and you mentioned my inter-war book in the inter-war years, authoritarian rulers were happy to call themselves dictators, and they were proud that they are dictators. But after the Second World War, dictatorship hasn't been that cool anymore, and especially after the end of the Cold War, when the United States in the 1990s had tremendous global hegemony and pushed countries to become liberal and democratic. Nowadays, it's not cool anymore not to hold elections. So virtually every country in the world holds elections, and a lot of these elections are complete sham. The incumbent wins by 98% of the vote. But the old elections say, oh, you know, we have a democratic facade. And I think that is especially the case in cases where authoritarian regime emerges fairly gradually from a democracy. I mean, there wasn't a military coup, you know, right now I'm down in Chile, when in Chile there was a military coup. Dictator Pinochet closed elections. I just want to do as a military dictator. But if you are populist leader who transforms his country from a democracy into an authoritarian regime, you don't want to cancel elections and then suddenly become a dictator. You try, and if you're Chávez, you have a lot of popularity, you think you can win all these elections, and you maintain elections. It's not cool not to have elections, especially in the Western Hemisphere, under the nose of the United States, in a region that in 2001 adopted a Democratic Charter that the region committed to democracy. And so you claim against all evidence that this is democratic, and this is democratic, and you all the elections, and then you try to manipulate the stage. You mentioned the banning of the main opposition candidate. You try to manipulate things in all kinds of ways so that somehow or other, you think he might be able to eke out victory. I don't know what Maduro thought, whether he thought somehow his manipulations would allow him to achieve some kind of shame victory, or whether he just thought, it doesn't matter, but not holding elections, it's just not legit anymore.
14:04
And, Kurt, did, did Maduro think he would win? Was he fooled? There have been a number of articles saying that he's surrounded by so many sycophants that that he actually thought he was still popular. Is that true? Or is he more cynical than that.
14:21
It's very hard to know. We don't have access to the inner, innner workings of the Maduro regime. We don't know some of these, some of these dictators are really quite united and believe their own propaganda. I mean, what is interesting and what I honestly do not understand, while Maduro outlawed the main opposition candidate and created all kinds of trouble for the opposition, and imprisoned opposition leaders, left and right and all the kind of thing. He allowed opinion polls to go forward, and every single credible opinion poll showed like the vote preference of 70% For the opposition and 25% for Maduro. So if so, I would find it kind of surprising if Maduro didn't know what the population was like. Maybe they thought that by for example, there are rumors that do it on election day, they created trouble for people to vote, especially opposition neighborhoods, you know, long lines and very slow movement, and whereas in their own neighborhoods, you know, so they maybe they thought, in just manipulating the voting process or that they could somehow others manipulate ballot boxes, that they would come up with the result. It's hard to know what exactly is going on, but, but what I frankly, wonder is whether Maduro just thought the result doesn't matter. I mean, he said before the election, the famous quote, I'll win by hook or crook. It doesn't matter. You know, this way or other. And so these dictators, you know, he knew that he had a lot of support from the military, which is absolutely decisive, for reasons that I can explain. And so in some sense, it doesn't matter to him what the election result is. He just sits there, protected by the military, knows he will stay in power. The domestic opposition can shout and yell. The international community can make pressure. He has enough support from China, Russia, Iran, and he'll just sit there. He sits on oil, so he has some economic lifeline and election result in some basic sense, doesn't matter that much to him.
16:36
It's a terrible situation. Zachary,
16:39
Why is the military support so critical. Why does that make or break Maduro's regime?
16:45
So this is interesting, in any authoritarian regime, ultimately, it comes down to who controls organized coercion. Because if you're under an authoritarian regime, you don't have procedural, institutional legitimacy, and so you need, ultimately, the capacity to rely on coercion if there's problem, if there is protests, you need to have the capacity to clamp down. Now, front line of that is the police and these paramilitaries that they have in these paramilitary gangs that they have in Venezuela. But ultimately, when push comes to shove, it depends on the military. The military is the mainstay of every single authoritarian regime, the Ultima ratio. So and Maduro has that military support for the same reason that Maduro feels compelled to stay in power, which is the following. During his 11 years as a dictator, Maduro has committed a bunch of human rights violations. He has ensured military loyalty by allowing the military to engage in large scale corruption, contraband. The military and Maduro are involved in international drug trafficking. Two of Maduro's nephews were apprehended in 2015 for involvement in drug trafficking. So the whole clique in power, Maduro, his political support, his narrow aids and the military, which is the mainstay, they're all essentially a crime cartel mafia and so the problem is the international community has become legalized. The international community says we don't accept corruption. We don't accept human rights violations anymore. And so the international community has threatened to indict Maduro and a whole bunch of his underlings for their human rights violations, for their corruption, for their involvement in drug trafficking, not only the US, but also the International Criminal Court. And so that whole mafia in power essentially feels compelled to stay in power, because if they were to lose power, they go to jail, to jail. And you see the international presidents. When the president of Honduras, Juan Orlando Hernandez, stepped down in 2022 within three weeks, he was in chains and extradited to the United States. And so that's what Maduro and all the main generals fear. If they lose power, they're going to go to jail forever, and so that's the reason why they cling to power, regardless of what happens. And by Maduro can be assured of military support. They all, you know this saying they all have to hang together so that they don't hang separately.
19:39
Right, right. It makes a lot of sense. And it's, it's, it's a paradoxical consequence of creating an international system that is in some cases, trying to hold war criminals and other horrible leaders accountable. The examples of Slobodan Milosevic from Serbia and others obviously stand stand out. Yes, please.
20:04
I think this is one of the most painful dilemmas that the international community is facing, because in many ways, we want to hold these bad guys accountable, you know, and we want to deter bad behavior in the future. But the big paradox that, unfortunately, a lot of the advocates and academics who are in favor of this legalization of International Affairs don't want to face up to the terrible paradox is that the current leaders in power who have already committed all kinds of malfeasance and misdeeds, they now have a big incentive not to give up power and to keep doing the bad things due to that threat of international prosecution. It's a terrible paradox that the international community has a hard time dealing with.
20:54
So do you think, Kurt, that it would be a better scenario if the international community were able to offer Maduro and his closest criminals safe haven to go live in Russia or live in the south of France, as the former dictator of Haiti did. Is that a viable alternative?
21:18
That is the thing, right? I mean, you think France would want to have sit Maduro in some fancy, fancy mansion in the Riviera, you know, sipping Gin Tonic by lying around the pool in France? I mean, you know, this has become impossible. Can you imagine the outcry? Of course, nobody would want the guy. The only places that he could go to would be North Korea, which is not precisely, very attractive. And so that is a terrible dilemma, because you refer, you know, you probably alluded, to the south of France to former dictator of Haiti Duvalier. He went to France. At that time, there was still, you know, Haiti, former French colony. He could go to France. And he left. And so he ended that nightmare in Haiti. But nowadays Maduro go to France. I mean, no way. And so that is the problem we would be the international community would need to designate like St Helena or something at the safe haven dictators and give them beautiful mansions there. But, you see, for my joke, it's not a viable alternative, and it's right, it's not a credible offer. The opposition, knowing of the terrible dilemma, the opposition said, Maduro, you know, if we win, we will negotiate with you and exit. That's not credible, because if they win, and Maduro recognizes the victory is in a very weak position. Is he going to believe that they will give him safe haven, and even if the Venezuelan opposition would want it. How about the US and how about the International Criminal Court? I mean, now in this election controversy, the head of the OAS has requested the of the International Criminal Court to have an order order of imprisonment from Maduro. You can't easily have that go away.
23:08
Zachary.
23:10
And one thing I've noticed, which I find fascinating but also deeply strange, is the way in which some on the far left in the United States idolize Venezuela and the Chávez tradition that Maduro carries on. And you also mentioned that there is still some popular support in Venezuela for Maduro and for Chávezism. Um, where does that come from? You think, and, and what role will that play in the potential resolution of of this fiasco.
23:42
So to talk about the support inside Venezuela, I mean, Hugo Chávez was hugely, hugely popular for all his failings. Hugo Chávez took on an ossified elitist democracy and claimed to do things for poorer people. And given that, Hugo Chávez benefited from the global commodities boom, he rolled over one a bunch of social programs, you know, he tried to advance popular health care, literacy campaigns, all these kinds of things. So some people benefited from Chávez, and Chávez was highly revered, and some of that still persists. But I think the main support for my guru is essentially people who are utterly dependent upon him. Every person who works in the vastly swelled public administration has to promise support to Maduro, otherwise they lose their job. And what Maduro has done, he has devilishly taken advantage of the terrible crisis that he helped to create by using a program of distribution of food packages to the poor who have nothing to eat, and controls that through a surveillance system to essentially say you only eat if you support me. And so when you see now people protesting in favor of Maduro, a lot of those are essentially bought lackeys. And so that is also, you know, there is the regime holds a whole bunch of people hostage, because if you don't vote, and people probably fear if they vote, they have to vote for Maduro, you don't vote, you don't eat. So that's the domestic support. So So is that voluntary? Autonomous? Probably not. I think a lot of that is coerced and dependent internationally. Unfortunately, as I said, I'm down in Chile and I was recently in Brazil, a number of left wingers still have this sort of strange ideological affinity. So the Chilean Communist Party has recognized the Venezuelan election, and Maduro has reelected the Brazilian Workers Party, the Workers Party of President Lula in Brazil, which rose under an authoritarian regime and was very important for Brazil's democratization, the Workers Party of Brazil has recognized Maduro's victory to be out of that kind of misunderstood ideological affinity. So there's this left-wing thing like, Oh yeah, you know, he's kind of bad, but he still is a left winger, and we need to support him, and also driven a little by anti-Americanism. So So you have this strange kind of sort of support for a left winger that leaves democracy out of the picture. And that is really very disturbing.
26:18
This is all very depressing. I have to say, Kurt, it sounds like we have a truly dystopian regime, but a dystopian regime that has developed coup-proof tentacles, as as many in the field would say, so. So what are the what are the options for going forward? I mean, there is a very well organized opposition, courageous, an opposition that was able to bring out a lot of voters, and also, as you said, the economy in Venezuela, despite Venezuela having more oil resources than any other country in the world, more oil than Saudi Arabia, even, nonetheless, this country is starving because of the mismanagement and the corruption and the International sanctions. So is there a breaking point? What does that look like? Where do you see this going?
27:08
I unfortunately do not see a breaking point, and I do not see a realistic chance for Maduro leaving office anytime soon. I think the opposition is enormously courageous. I admire the courage of people to not only to go out and campaign and to be opposition candidates, but even to vote for the opposition. I admire their courage in protesting, but I do not think that they have the cloud by far domestically to really do something. And the international community, the international community, of course, is divided, as I mentioned. Maduro, has support from the kind of bad axis of China and Russia and Iran and whatever Western countries, many countries have not recognized the result of the election, and they're pushing for Venezuela to make transparent the voting process and to negotiate and all this kind of thing. And Maduro just doesn't do it, you know. So here, in some sense, surprisingly, a group of left-wing governments in Latin America, led by Luna da Silva, who, as president, although his party recognized the election as President, hasn't done it. Gustavo Pedro of Mexico and of Colombia, sorry, and then AMLO of Mexico, they have all pushed Venezuela to make the Election Results transparent, and Maduro says, yeah, and maybe not, and maybe whatever, and just doesn't do it. And so I think the international community essentially has no leverage. What leverage do you have? I mean, the country, the country's economy, is going terribly, but oil gives it a little bit of a lifeline, and Maduro doesn't care. I mean, what does Maduro care? Sitting in his palace surrounded by military people who are compelled to support him, if 80% of the population starve, I mean, it just doesn't and what can the international community do? The United States has imposed sanctions. Doesn't do any good, because countries like China, Russia, Iran, enable Maduro to evade sanctions to a good extent. The Latin American governments, you know, they make like diplomatic moves, but they're not going to. I mean, what would it take? I mean, honestly, it would take a military invasion of Venezuela. And nobody is prepared to do that well.
29:43
Well Kurt, what about the possibility that we've seen in other countries such as Ukraine, where mid and lower level members of the military who see their families suffering, who see their neighborhoods destroyed, who are ashamed of what they're seeing, that they at some point. Point turn on the generals and and their dictator.
30:06
So this is a good point, and I think that two reasons that it hasn't happened in Venezuela, um, the first is that Hugo Chávez faced a coup attempt in 2002 and then he got of course scared and what do you do? And he was very close to Fidel Castro of Cuba, and Cuba sent 2,000 intelligence agents that essentially helped Chávez purge the military and install an internal surveillance and control system that was very strong and very effective. And so they essentially the military, I mean Maduro is aware that the only real threat he would face would be from the defection of military. And so they try to prevent it at all cost. Through surveillance, through harsh crack downs, through purges, I mean, there are a lot of stories that military people who showed some sign of disloyalty are being tortured, are being killed. So so coercion has enabled him to keep military loyalty. The second thing is the following. What is the situation in which lower level military people defect? Essentially, if you have sustained mass protests that get suppressed with large-scale violence, and it goes on and on and on. And then at some point or other, members of the military might say, I don't wanna I don't wanna do this anymore. But in some sense, you know, and I don't know how to say that, fortunately or unfortunately, from the perspective of what we are saying, unfortunately, there were large-scale protests in Venezuela for two, three days. Then it died down because the repression was effective. And so two, three days, you know, you crack down. Yes. You you imprison 2,000 people. You kill a bunch of people. It wasn't sustained enough, and it wasn't broad enough. And when you see where the so, like, the recent opposition protest last Saturday was in the eastern part of Caracas, which is a middle class neighborhood. If the protests had led to a mass outpouring of popular protests some some popular neighborhoods like Petare protested, but the whole western part of Caracas is the real stronghold of Chavista support. And there wasn't very much protest going on there if there had been really massive outpouring. If it hadn't only been, know, predominantly educated middle class people, but if there had been, you know, millions of poor Venezuelans just pouring down from the slums and hills and poor neighborhoods of Caracas into the city center, besieging the Presidential Palace. If there have been a real kind of popular assault on the regime and that had gone on and then there had been just killing, killing, killing, killing, then you might have seen defection. But but the regime managed very quickly to contain and suppress the protests and confine them primarily to the middle-class areas, and that is just simply not enough to prompt large-scale military defection.
33:23
Well, that's a that's a very compelling, if sad, answer. Kurt, we like to close every episode with something hopeful, and I think we need that in this case. Our listeners are are are people who, like us, care about democracy, want to see reform to regimes like the one you've described. They wanna see reform in The United States too. What are the things we can do? What do you, as a as a leading scholar of the region, how do you think about your work and the work of your students and others contributing in some positive way to this terrible situation?
34:02
No. No. You caught me you caught me on a blank. I I I mean, the only thing you can do is try to support the Venezuelan opposition, you know, support the many, many I mean, hundreds of thousands of people who left Venezuela, went to The United States. Somehow or other I mean, I don't even know what we can do to do that. Limit the crackdown that will happen. I mean, what I what I frankly predict, and I'm sorry that I'm not really providing much optimism, but I predict that in a couple of weeks, the regime will imprison the two opposition politicians that led the challenge. And, you know, then the best we can do is some personal exchange or whatever. I mean, I think the perspective is very, very bad negative. I'm sorry that I can't follow your your recommendation to come up with something. The most optimistic thing is that, you know, even Maduro at some point has to die. And, I mean, maybe then that succession issue will provide some hope.
35:04
No. That's a that's an honest and and compelling answer.
35:07
And I do It it's a very I mean, I joked with you before the session. I mean, you talked about your son's poem. I said this will have to be a very sad elegy that you like.
35:18
What what do you think US policy should be? Are we is it appropriate to keep sanctions on Venezuela? Are there any any changes you would recommend in US policy?
35:30
I I think I think that the US has tried a number of things. You know, the Biden administration was involved in a negotiation effort last year and last fall, offering easing of sanctions if the regime actually went ahead with honest elections. And as we see now, it didn't work very well. I I'm sorry that I think kind of approximation doesn't work very much. That regime has negotiated on so many accounts essentially in bad faith using it as a stalling tactic, get over temporary problems, and then just simply cement its hold again. I think the only option is essentially to sanction the hell out of them. And, you know, for from the part of the United States. I I I do not think that the US has a lot of options. I mean, it shows in some sense how weak the United States has become internationally even in its own Western Hemisphere. I mean, when you think that the United States has been unable to forestall Venezuelans descend into authoritarianism, into brutal dictatorship, into total implosion and destruction of the country, that the United States has not had any real leverage over that process in a country so import, you know, even for the oil supply of the US and the world as Venezuela. It shows you when people talk about US or Germany and US predominance and whatever. I mean, the Venezuelan case is a striking example how weak the United States has become even in the Western Hemisphere.
37:09
Zachary, what do you think of all this? I mean, as as someone who cares about democracy, as part of a generation that's hoping to see more democracy in more countries, This is hard to listen to. Right? This is a really difficult story, and and, you know, and in some ways, it it is in our backyard. How do you react to this?
37:30
I think it's a very sad story, certainly. I think, at the very least, this discussion should be a reminder not to look at the politics of our neighbors in Latin America as some sort of caricature, but to really engage with the conditions on the ground and to listen to what people are saying. I think it's very easy for Venezuela to become either a sort of punching bag of the right in the United States, a sort of like, this is what socialism looks like sort of lie, or a caricature on the left that it is obviously also opposed to the truth. I think it's a reminder of how important it is to engage with and reckon with the real conditions on the ground at the very least.
38:10
I agree, and and I think Kurt has quite brilliantly laid out for us in his work and in the discussion here an important research agenda, a research agenda not just for scholars like Kurt and myself, but for for all kinds of citizens, which is thinking through what are the options, what are the things the international community can and cannot do. And I would just highlight a point that Kurt made, which is that, in some ways, the efforts to hold appropriately leaders accountable for their crimes, and in theory, I'm certainly for that, but that effort often makes it harder to get them to leave power. And if our goal as supporters of democracy in a broad sense is about getting dictators out and nondictators in and building institutions, it's probably time we think through a little more, in a more sophisticated way how to do that. It it it seems as if the dictators are ahead of us in our thinking about international democracy and international democratic procedures. Is that a fair note to close on, Kurt? Do you agree with that?
39:17
No. I absolutely agree. I think the international community has to face up to that terrible paradox that this legalization of international affairs has this unintended side effect. And I do not know what could be done to, you know I mean, I made the joke about Saint Helena. There would have to be some kinda international safe haven, some way of sort of emergency amnesty, whatever, and it would have to be credible and enforced by the international community, unfortunately, limiting that international regime of prosecuting violators of human rights and other norms in order to I mean, not only induce, but allow them to step down from power. I mean and how to do that? Man, that is a very, very difficult how to build an international regime in a world that is so divided between the democratic forces that are on the defensive now and sort of ascending authoritarian forces of China and Russia and Iran, whatever. I do not know how that could be done, but it's an urgent agenda.
40:22
Yes. And, of course, even your joke about Saint Helena points to another problem. When Napoleon was sent to Saint Helena, first of all, he wasn't happy to be there, and then in the end, he was poisoned because they were fearful. The European states said he would come back again, which is always the concern if you if you let these people go to a Saint Helena, that they'll just return. Kurt Weyland, thank you so much for joining us today, for sharing, really, I think, compelling, if quite depressing, insights into Venezuela and and I think the larger challenge of dictatorship and coup proofing regimes in in various places around the world. Venezuela is just one of the worst examples, but there are many others. I encourage our listeners to read Kurt's work. It's really eye opening in its depth and its comparative, breadth. So thank you, Kurt, for joining us today.
41:18
Yeah. Thank you for having me, and I'm sorry that I had to provide such a bleak picture. But, you know, as scholars, we have to face the facts, and, unfortunately, the facts in Venezuela are very dark.
41:27
That's right. We we have to pursue the truth. And and for activists who care about democracy, we have to stare the reality in the face. We can't dream up futures that that don't match the world that we're in. Zachary, thank you for your inspiring poem and excellent questions as always, And thank you to our loyal listeners and subscribers to our Substack for joining us for this discussion of This Is Democracy.
Episode 279: Hubert Humphrey & Civil Rights
00:24
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week, we are going to talk about a figure who played a major role in American history and the history of civil rights writ large, but a figure who's somewhat forgotten in many of our contemporary discussions. This is Hubert Humphrey, who was the mayor of Minneapolis and one of the most prominent members of the U.S. Senate for the second half of the 20th century. He was vice president and in 1968, a presidential candidate. We are fortunate today to be joined by a leading author and journalist and friend who has written a phenomenal book. It's a book that in some ways is a love letter to Hubert Humphrey and a wonderful explication of his life and a wonderful analysis of civil rights, of African American and Jewish relations in the United States. The author and friend and guest today is Samuel G. Friedman and his book that I highly recommend to all of our listeners, a book I will probably assign to my students in the spring, Into the Bright Sunshine, Young Hubert Humphrey and the Fight for Civil Rights. Sam is the author of many other books, including Upon This Rock, The Miracles of a Black Church, Jew versus Jew, The Struggle for the Soul of American Jewry. I believe his most recent book before this one, Breaking the Line, The Season in Black College Football that Transformed the Game and Changed the Course of Civil Rights. We'll see if UT can change the game this year, being number one in the country. Sam is a former columnist for the New York Times and he's a current professor of journalism at Columbia University. So, Professor Friedman, thank you for joining us.
02:28
The Old Days.
02:30
The old days. Are you referring to the days before you left our house for college?
02:35
Uh, no, definitely not.
02:37
Older days than those.
02:38
Maybe the days when you left your house.
02:40
Oh, okay, okay. Very good. What you would call ancient history, huh?
02:43
So, this is a cave painting then.
02:45
It's a cave! (Laughs) Exactly. All right, Zachary, let's hear it.
02:51
At times it's easy to miss the old days, when good men walked and spoke of true ideals, when all that they would ask for was a raise, perhaps a pair of presidential seals. At times it's easy to miss that sweet age, when only honest men were put in charge, when lies provoked a strong and public rage, and every single heart was twice as large. At times it can be easy to miss that place, where all was silent and all were at peace, where no one shouted or spit in our face, and we all drove fast cars on long-term lease. So it was never. Such a place t'was not. Each problem we face is an ancient rot.
03:40
What's your poem about, Zachary?
03:42
My poem is about the temptation to become nostalgic for the politicians and the politics of the past, about maybe the kind of truth or at least representation of what we'd like to see in our politics that we can often find in looking back, but also the danger of believing that politics was ever easy, simple, honest, or good.
04:06
Yeah, I think there's a point in that, right? It's an age-old struggle, isn’t it?
04:11
Yes.
04:31
I think one simple reason is that we're very focused on who becomes president, and Hubert Humphrey was never able to fulfill his dream of being elected president. He loses to Richard Nixon very narrowly in 1968. He runs a kind of a pathetic campaign as the establishment candidate against George McGovern, the peace candidate for the Democratic nomination in 1972. And by 76, Humphrey is so ill with the cancer that'll kill him that he decides not to make one more try. And so he's not on that list of presidents. And I think even to the people who remember him, he suffers in the historical collective consciousness because the recollections of him are about the reviled latter part of his public life, when he's Lyndon Johnson's vice president, and they both support the escalation in Vietnam. When he gets the Democratic nomination in 1968, without having competed in any primaries, the party establishment hands it to him, and he receives it literally simultaneous to the Chicago police force attack on unarmed journalists and anti-war demonstrators. And the aforementioned runs the establishment old guard candidate in 1972. And when people remember that part of Humphrey, none of that’s incorrect, and the critical analysis is right. And Humphrey himself said that supporting the Vietnam War was the biggest mistake of his life. But all this completely effaces this valiant part, earlier part of his political career, starting as mayor of Minneapolis, going through the Senate, and really his first one or two years as LBJ's vice president, when he was essential to the passage of these key, and in fact, landmark civil rights laws in 64 through 66.
06:30
Right. I mean, he's central to the story of civil rights in post-war America, though largely forgotten. Your book focuses almost exclusively on that, taking us really from Humphrey's birth in the early 20th century through 1948, through the Democratic Convention in 1948, which is really your crescendo, Humphrey's speech at the convention calling for civil rights. How does a young man like Humphrey, who's born in South Dakota, come to be a proponent of civil rights from a rural South Dakota background?
07:21
That's a really important question because Humphrey grew up in Dolan, South Dakota, population 500, very homogeneous, Protestant, Northern European, Scandinavian, German, very conservative Republican, very conservative theologically. And he has the advantage of a father who's an iconoclast. His father's also a little bit of a con artist in running his drug store, but that's another story. But HH, as the father was called, was a liberal Democrat in a town with hardly any. He was a self-proclaimed freethinker agnostic in a town where everybody went to church. And he brought up Humphrey imbuing those kids with stories of Woodrow Wilson's internationalism and the better parts of William Jennings Bryan's prairie populism. HH was also brave enough to be a supporter of Al Smith, the first Catholic nominated by a major party for the presidency. And so Humphrey saw an example of political independent thinking in his father. And his father even would talk about meeting people across the bounds of difference, whether it was economic class or race or religion. And he would always tell young Hubert, 'if you treat people like dogs, you shouldn't be surprised if you get bitten.' There's one amazing moment I write about in the book, almost mythological to me, when Humphrey is 11 years old and he meets black people for the first time, because there are no black people within the book. He goes out to introduce himself to the road workers. And they're only in town for a couple of weeks, but Humphrey always remembers this. Humphrey connected through his Methodist minister of his childhood to what was called the social gospel movement, which is a form of Protestant belief that, by the way, they're as fundamentalist as other Protestants.A lot of the social gospel Protestants believed that the Bible was the inerrant, Word of God, they believed in temperance, they believed in personal purity, but the big difference is, for them, the consummate act of a believing good Protestant was to create what they called the kingdom of God on earth, and making the kingdom of God on earth meant for them working with organized labor, crossing religious lines, crossing racial lines. Humphrey drew on that wellspring of social gospel theology throughout his entire life. So that’s another piece. And then the really formative, other two formative moments are, number one, The Dakotas fall into an economic depression almost a decade before the rest of the country. It hits them in the early 1920s when crop prices plummet and Humphrey’s family loses their home. Their store goes deeply into debt. And at that point, before there’s a new deal, Hubert Humphrey becomes a new dealer because that’s where he realizes that what he’s heard in church, which is that financial hardship is the result of bad morals or foolish decisions or falling for get rich quick schemes, he realizes, no, that when the banks are closing in their little town, they’re And people are losing their homes, and farmers are not even sending their crops to market because they’ll make less money than it costs to plant them. You need government to step in. So by the time FDR becomes president in 1932, Hubert Humphrey, then 21, is already prepared to be a new dealer. The final piece. In 1939, [he] goes to graduate school... and that place happens to be Louisiana State University. And going there means that he lives in a Jim Crow society for the first time. And because of these elements of his pre-existing personality... seeing Jim Crow in action just profoundly offends something in him. And it also very interestingly prepares him after grad school to go back to Minneapolis... which is actually at this time a flagrantly racist and anti-Semitic city. And suddenly he is able to see what's been hiding in plain sight all along during his college years, which is that this city, you could say up south, has plenty of racial problems of its own that need solving.
13:14
One of the strengths of your book, Sam, for me as a reader, were your vivid descriptions of what it was like for Hubert Humphrey to travel by bus to LSU for the first time, to cross the Mason-Dixon line, and then, as you say, to go home, to go back to Minneapolis.
13:39
Exactly. Because in the South, not only does he live in Jim Crow and sees it really intimately... What he remembers indelibly are these moments of personal degradation of individual Black men and women. That's what really haunts him. The other thing that's much less expected in Baton Rouge is that that's where he makes Jewish friends for the first time, and also falls under the influence of this amazing Professor Rudolf Eberle, who's an exiled anti-Nazi... whose whole project as a scholar was to explore, how is it that democratic societies become totalitarian? And Humphrey is very, very affected by Eberle's instruction... And all that means that when he goes back North, instead of doing what you might expect a Northern New Dealer to do, which is to say, phew, I'm so glad I'm out of the benighted South and back in the enlightened North again, Humphrey feels none of that moral superiority. He suddenly sees all the warts in Minneapolis.
15:18
I want to ask, what drew you to Humphrey in the first place?
15:31
The truth is that I didn't go searching for a book about Hubert Humphrey. A part of my brain for the last 25 years was looking for a book about America immediately after World War II, deciding what kind of country it wanted to be. Because having spent all this blood and treasure to defeat fascism, America had a huge unfinished agenda with the discrimination on its home front... And I very quickly realized a couple of things that the book could do. Number one, it could fill this biographical gap about Humphrey because if people knew about him, as I said earlier, it was only the later part. And number two, it could fill a historical gap in the civil rights movement historiography... because we Americans tend to situate the start of that mass movement in the mid-50s... But there was this incredible decade of civil rights activism in the 40s led by people who don’t get nearly their due these days, like A. Philip Randolph and Walter White... and really catalyzed by the sacrifice of the Black GIs who went off to war and had this phrase they called Double V, victory over fascism abroad and then victory over Jim Crow at home.
17:32
Another contribution that I think reflects you as a lifetime scholar is how much of it is about the Jewish American experience as well... Tell us about the connections in your mind between civil rights, African American communities, Jewish American communities.
18:11
I trace the origin story of the Black Jewish Alliance to the rise of Hitler in Germany and to the parallels that Black Americans and Jewish Americans saw between the persecution of Jews in Germany and the persecution of Blacks in the United States. There was a real awareness, a mutual awareness of this as being one battle... And in Minneapolis, a city that had a horrible track record of both anti-Semitism and racism, and very small, very numerically vulnerable Black and Jewish communities that collectively made up about 5% of the population... it became very natural that they should become political allies... some of this is enlightened self-interest. Blacks and Jews realize they need each other, they can help each other. But some of it, I think, bonds at a deeper level than just expediency.
21:26
Fascinating.
21:27
Zachary? You mentioned that the impetus for this book was to try and rewrite or at least capture the historical moment after World War II when Americans were faced with the decision about what a post-war United States would look like. How do you think this story about Minneapolis, about Hubert Humphrey, should change our view, our understanding of that immediate post-war period?
21:52
One way I hope it will change us is to realize that the civil rights activity of the 40s... culminates with Humphrey and A. Philip Randolph, kind of Mr. Inside and Mr. Outside, successfully pressuring the Democratic Party to explicitly endorse civil rights... which leads to the exile of the Southern segregationists, the so-called Dixiecrats... [and] Harry Truman desegregating the military... and then winning election in 1948 because of a surge in the Black vote... That’s an answer to that, up until that point, unresolved question of are we going to revert back and be complacent or are we going to realize that we can't have practices in this country that we just went to global war against in other countries. There’s also something heartbreaking and poignant about the fact that with the rise of the Cold War, this moment is going to end very, very quickly.
24:27
That context is really helpful... Truman does, as you say, in 1948, embrace a civil rights plank, the minority report in the Democratic Party, and he runs on that. He desegregates the armed forces. He’s also the president who recognizes the state of Israel.
25:18
Right. How does this happen? Well, Truman blows hot and cold... On civil rights, Johnson reminds me a lot more of Truman. They’re both from border states... they both had some kind of deep reservoir of personal decency that was offended... With Truman... what gets to his heart is a series of attacks on returning Black GIs... incidents of Black GIs in the uniform of their country being beaten, being killed, being denied service... and Truman cannot bear the idea of people who serve the country being assaulted this way. And that moves Truman immediately into way ahead of his past... civil rights proposals. Then it gets close to the 48th Convention, and it’s as if he forgets he ever said those things. And what he wants to revert to is what was also the worst element of FDR... who made this almost literal devil’s bargain with the South that basically said, I’ll give you Jim Crow, and you'll give me your votes and your support in Congress. And Truman, heading into the 48 election, is ready to go right back to that. And what Hubert Humphrey and A. Philip Randolph and others did was basically force Truman to own what had been his own civil rights program to begin with.
28:39
It's interesting how important these personal experiences are... It’s also interesting, Sam, how politics pushes against that at times. What you’re describing in the 1948 Democratic Convention is pretty similar to the 1964 Convention, where Johnson refuses to seat the Mississippi Free Democrats. How does Humphrey push through?
29:19
In 1948, Humphrey benefited from the interplay between insurgents within the party, literally inside the convention hall, and A. Philip Randolph outside. Randolph understood that desegregating the military was the lynchpin to civil rights... Humphrey had to convince a bunch of white Protestant delegates to give up some of their white Protestant privilege. And one of the ways he was able to do that is marshalling all the young liberal insurgents like himself and people like Paul Douglas from Illinois, Walter Ruther from the United Auto Workers, Eleanor Roosevelt... but there were also a group of not so liberal big city political bosses who knew how to count votes... these big city bosses had seen thousands upon thousands of blacks from the South come North in what we now call the Great Migration. And they knew if they didn’t embrace civil rights, they were going to lose their cities and lose the election.
33:16
Not because you’ve gained no ground, but to try to hold the ground you’ve already won and push forward a little bit. And that’s an important takeaway. And I think also Humphrey’s model of being, in a term that he borrowed from Al Smith, one of my other political heroes, a happy warrior, is an important model. Humphrey was ebullient. He was energetic. He frankly could be corny at times in that Midwestern small town way. And that’s the happy part. But the warrior part is that he knew that he was going to need with joy on his face and optimism in his heart to go back into these battles, and he knew that I think that the joy and the optimism would be assets in winning those battles.
34:57
How do we maintain optimism without becoming Pollyannish? What, what, what is the appropriate level of optimism? I’m often criticized for being too optimistic by my son, by Zachary, and by others. How do we find that right balance? Because empty hopefulness can become hopeless as well, right?
35:15
Right. You can't be Pollyanna. You can't be Panglossian about this. You have to know. That joy is accompanied by struggle, but that is part of the energy you have to struggle forward. A lot of people talked about Hubert Humphrey’s phrase, the politics of joy, at the time of the Democratic Convention. And it was both ironic, and fitting that that was brought up. Ironic, because when Humphrey used that phrase, it was right when he announced his candidacy in 1968, in the wake of the assassination of Martin Luther King, in the midst of the horrible Vietnam War, and it sounded totally tone deaf. It was one of the times when Humphrey badly misread the mood of the country. And yet his idea that politics should have a joyful element is maybe now being redeemed because coming out of a period of time that has felt so bleak for a lot of us, so at times such despair and real dangers to democracy, that the idea that there could be something positive and exalting about the work of protecting democracy is really appealing to people. And this goes to other examples we’ve seen of leadership of whether it was, um, Fiorello LaGuardia as mayor of New York during the depression, reading the funnies over the radio mic, or whether it was FDR’s great orations about nothing to fear but fear itself. These were people speaking into bleak times, but also saying that there was reason to see something positive on the horizon.
37:28
Certainly, I think the point of the poem was not that we’ve never had political heroes or that we’ve never had, um, a politics of joy that’s successful. The point was that, um, all of those political heroes and all of the politics of joy, um, required hard work and met with stiff opposition. I think the point of the poem was that, like, politics is always messy and always difficult. Um, it’s more about how we approached it.
38:03
I completely agree with you, Zachary, and we really have to resist this idea of romanticizing some imagined political past. If you’re talking about polarization, for instance, what about a period where there when one huge faction of the Democratic Party supported white supremacy and racial inequality as a matter of policy, not this is what they thought privately or the way they acted in individual encounters with black Americans. This is what they wanted policy to be. How could that coexist with the rest of, uh, of a New Deal coalition? They were, the Dixiecrats were so serious about that, that they broke from the Democratic Party. And another example, if we think back to the 2020 attempted coup, and what was the goal of getting Mike Pence to refuse to accept the results, the goal, which fortunately he did not do, the goal would have been to throw the election into the House of Representatives. We’ve seen that play before. We’ve seen that movie before. In 1948, that was the intent of the Dixiecrats. They felt if they could win several states in the South, then neither Harry Truman nor nor Thomas Dewey would get 270 votes for an electoral college majority. The choice then goes to the House of Representatives, and each state’s delegation gets one vote. And the Southern segregationists dominated the delegations of about a dozen states, and it was going to let them be the kingmakers. They were going to make more money. Harry Truman and Tom Dewey come to them on bent knee and promise to preserve Jim Crow in order to get the southern states votes. So, there was nothing so wonderful and sentimental and all Norman Rockwell-y about politics at that time.
39:54
Not at all. Not at all. And certainly someone who’s my hero, Franklin Roosevelt, as you alluded to before, refused to sign anti lynching legislation. So the compromises, the dirty compromises of politics have a long history, unfortunately. Sam, I wanted to close us out by asking you one final question. Um, and I think it speaks to our moment and it speaks to your scholarship and it’s something that I struggle with, I know Zachary struggles with, I know many of our listeners struggle with. Um, you’re someone who’s deeply concerned and committed to combating anti Semitism. It’s in your scholarship. It’s in your journalism. It’s how I first encountered your work, actually. Oh, thank you. Uh, and you’re someone obviously deeply committed to civil rights, telling the story of civil rights. How do you think about these issues today with this historical vision with, um, uh, the challenges we face. Um, what is it? How do you as someone concerned about anti Semitism and racism approach our current world?
40:55
Well, first of all, I’m almost 69, and so I’ve been through many periods before when there’s been a discourse out there saying that the Black Jewish Alliance is all over and that Jews on the whole are going to be turning much more conservative. And, this was trotted out during the first attempt to go after Affirmative Action with the Mario De Funes and, uh, and Alan Bakke court cases. And it came up again when Ronald Reagan was running against, um, Jimmy Carter, and the argument was Jimmy Carter had been too pro Palestinian. And it’s happened again now. But at the end of the day, in almost every presidential election, of, you know, going back into the 70s, except for the Carter Reagan one, what, the Jewish vote for the Democratic Party has been the most emphatically solid vote of white Americans. It's the closest to the way black Americans vote for the party. At the end of the day, they’re voting similarly, Black Americans and Jewish Americans. On the other hand, there are real tensions and the war in Gaza is exercising them, and especially having spent a lot of time around Black Church for one book and World VHBCUs for others. It's not a surprise to me at all that many, many Black Americans look at the West Bank and Gaza and see the Jim Crow South, and they’re not, you know, and they’re not against the existence of Israel. And they’re, as I said before, steeped in the Hebrew Bible. But there is a deep empathy for the Palestinian experience that, that they feel. And I, just at a personal level, just yearn for some resolution to the war because I have despaired just individually about the strains the war has put on not only the Black Jewish alliance, but on what I felt was a really important Black and Muslim American alliance in domestic politics. And all of these groups would be losers if they didn't. Those alliances get blasted apart.
43:03
Well, I think that’s the subject for another show, but I also deeply appreciate Sam, your reflecting on that and you’re displaying what I think is essential to being a serious historian and writer, which is to take the past on its own terms. But also think about the past in light of the present. That's not anachronistic. That's actually why every generation rewrites the history of what came before. Sam, thank you so much for being with us today.
43:32
Well, Jeremi and Zachary, thank you. It’s been such an honor to be with you and such a pleasure to talk about these issues that I care so much about.
43:39
I want to encourage all of our listeners to get a copy or two copies of Sam’s book, uh, into the bright sunshine young. Hubert Humphrey and the fight for civil rights. Zachary, thank you for your poem and your insights today. Thank you. And thank you most of all to our loyal listeners and our loyal subscribers to our substack for joining us for this week of This Is Democracy. This podcast is produced by the Liberal Arts ITS Development Studio and the College of Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. The music in this episode was written and recorded by Harris Codini. Stay tuned for a new episode every week. You can find This Is Democracy on Apple Podcasts. Spotify and Stitcher. See you next time.
Episode 283: Barbara Jordan
00:25
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. Today, we are joined by an author, professor, scholar of Barbara Jordan's life. Barbara Jordan, as we'll discuss, was a pioneering legislator and pioneering politician and civil rights activist in the United States. She left an incredible legacy, and we're fortunate today to have an opportunity to talk about Barbara Jordan and her legacy, and what that legacy means in the tumultuous world we live in now.
00:58
We're going to discuss Barbara Jordan's life and legacy with Professor Mary Ellen Curtin. Mary Ellen Curtin is an associate professor in the Department of Critical Race, Gender and Culture Studies and director of American Studies at American University in Washington, DC, which has a beautiful campus. It's a university I always enjoy visiting.
01:18
Mary Ellen is the author of two books, the book she wrote a number of years ago Black Prisoners and Their World Alabama, 1865-1900 really a pioneering book looking at convict labor and the use of convict labor in the justice and political system in Alabama and much of the South during the second half of the 19th century, and most recently, the book we're going to discuss today, the book I hope everyone will purchase and read, is called She Changed the Nation: Barbara Jordan's Life and Legacy in Black Politics. It's hot off the presses, and as soon as it came out, I grabbed a copy and made sure to read it. And it's really an extraordinary book about Barbara Jordan and her life. Mary Ellen, thank you for joining us.
02:03
Oh, thank you for having me. Jeremi, it's such a pleasure to be here.
02:07
Before we get into our discussion of Barbara Jordan with Mary Ellen Curtin, we have, of course, Mr. Zachary Suri's scene setting poem. What's the title of your poem today, Zachary?
02:19
"Trailblazer."
02:20
Let's hear it.
02:22
The one who breaks the ceiling, the one who's first to cross the line, they must make their own rhythm. They must beat to their own time. They find themselves quite often alone or in the dust. They find themselves quite often lest to wallow or to rust. And so they must know more than anyone else to take their own story right off of the shelf. The one who breaks the ceiling as glass shattered in their eyes, the one who makes the first move must break through all the lies. They find themselves quite often defeated or ignored. They find themselves quite often hated and abhorred. And so they must fight, more than anything still to make their way over the widening hill. And sometimes they fail, and sometimes they will, but always, they face it with a radical grin.
03:16
I love that closing line. Radical grin. Mary Ellen, I saw you reacting to the poem. What do you think?
03:22
Beautiful, beautiful. And I think you capture the complexities, the nuances, the contradictions of being the first. It's not all glory, for sure. Thank you so much.
03:35
Thank you. Thank you.
03:37
What's your poem about, Zachary?
03:39
My poem is about, as she just said, the contradictions and the nuances of having to be the first and not just the personal toll it takes on someone, but sort of almost impossible expectations that one has to (yes, yes) the level of resiliency and hope that one has to display.
03:59
Yes, well said. Well said. Mary Ellen, why did you write this book about Barbara Jordan and all the things she did as the first?
04:07
Well, that's a good question. So I had just been finishing my first book, and I'm glad I wrote, even though the the topics are quite different in a way, where they come together is that I'm a historian of the African American, Black experience, and so in my first book, I really try and elevate the voices and experience of people who were incarcerated. And that was, you know, rather than just looking at the system from the top down, which, of course, you have to understand, but to do everything I could to try and recover those voices, the letters, the pardon papers, anything that could really shed light on how the men and women themselves who were incarcerated were experiencing forced labor, and their resiliency, and how they tried to overcome and surpass such a living in such a terrible system.
04:59
And so I was finishing that, and Barbara Jordan had just died, actually, and something in me just really stirred, because I remembered her from when I was a teenager in the 1970s. And I just thought, Oh, my goodness, you know what happened to her? I knew, of course, about her, but you know, I hadn't heard about her for, you know, a while, and it seemed to me, in retrospect, that she was just kind of out there by herself. Here I was in graduate, had been in graduate school, had been studying Black history, civil rights, and she was barely mentioned, you know, just kind of a footnote as just a first, but nothing else.
05:43
And I just thought, there has to be some connection here between this amazing woman and all these other movements of the time. But I just didn't know what it was. I didn't know how she fit into the broader struggle for Black freedom and for women's rights. And so I thought, you know, I want to find that out. So that really stirred a question in me.
06:03
And when I was researching this, really my training in Black history pushed me to look at the whole context of her community and to raise up those Black voices that I think had been left out if we just look at her as an individual, right, rather than the product of a community, a place, a time. So that's one of the things I try and capture in the book, is that context.
06:27
I think you do an extraordinary job with that. I learned so much about Houston and so much about what it was like to be a lawyer, as Barbara Jordan was from 1959 until the mid 1960s and then what it was like to run races in Houston and to lose races, as she did her first few times through. There's so many things in which she was the first, (correct) just as Zachary indicated in his poem, she was one of only three Black women, you say, who became a lawyer in Texas in 1959, one of only three Black women. Then she was the first African American woman in the Texas Senate, in the state legislature, and then the first African American woman from the South in the US Congress. And that's when she was elected in 1972 when I was born. It's not that long ago. (No, no, it isn't. It is not.) What What made this moment that she was in such a moment of change?
07:23
That's a great question. Well, I think it was a sort of a long time coming, and that's why half of the book is really about Houston and getting to that point of being elected to the Texas Legislature. You know, I really think it's important, as you say, Jeremi, to sort of go back and think about where we were in 1960 when it comes to electoral politics. There were no African Americans in the South who were serving in any state legislature, none. So we're really starting from zero, you know, at that point, and also the Democratic Party in the South was still largely a party run by conservatives. It's a party that does not welcome Black participation.
08:03
And Houston, however, is a bit of an outlier. This is why I think she was uniquely poised to make this stand and to succeed. It's because Houston had been a hotbed of activism for Black voting, and this goes back to the 1940s and I described this movement that was led by her Minister, the Reverend Albert Lucas, who worked with Thurgood Marshall. Reverend Lucas was head of the statewide NAACP, and he and Marshall, together really forged not just a court case, but a social movement behind what the case that became, Smith V. Allwright, and so Lucas was one of the first civil rights leaders who used the church to educate ordinary Black people about political issues and to use the pulpit as a means of political education and political mobilization.
08:55
And we're going to see this later, of course, in the what we think of as Civil Rights Movement. But he was doing this in the 1940s and it had an impact. And so after this case, which got rid of one of the most egregious forms of disfranchisement, the White primary, Black citizens in Houston were then able to participate in those primary elections from the mid 40s through, you know, the 50s and the 60s, and they very gradually, are having an impact on that party politics. And they join in with, eventually in the Kennedy campaign, which extraordinary. Kennedy won Texas in 1960 so (just barely) yes, just barely.
09:40
But voter registration among, and Barbara Jordan was a big part of that, in as a young lawyer coming back to Houston and being part of a voter registration campaign. So she's very proud of her role in that, and then continues to work with this alliance of liberals, late White liberals and labor leaders they call themselves the Democratic coalition in Houston. It's the Harris County Democrats, and they are the liberals who are opposed to the conservative control of the Democratic Party.
10:08
So as you can see, it's a kind of constellation of forces. She's an extraordinary individual. But there's a movement among, now, you have Black voters joining forces with liberals and labor to try and create a coalition to elect more liberal Democrats. It's a one party state, after all, (right, right) into office. So when Jordan is running now, okay, the obstacle of the White primary has been removed. But the there are other obstacles to voting. There are other forms of disfranchisement that still exist: the poll tax, for example. But the most terrible one for her, from her perspective, was malapportionment. This is before the Voting Rights Act, and so you have a terribly malapportioned Texas State Legislature. And in her case, the Senate was an institution where all of Houston with a million people had one senator, and then you had rural districts with only a few 1000 people, had a senator too.
11:12
And so because of a series of court cases, beginning with Baker V. Carr, liberals and other activists brought lawsuits that challenge the malapportionment and forced a redistricting of the Texas Senate, and eventually the House, but that comes later. So when Jordan is running in '62 she loses. She loses again in '64. And really this is a result of not just so much losing votes, but also a reluctance of people, of Whites, to vote for a Black woman candidate, and then not having an appropriate district to run in. When she gets that district in 1966, finally Houston has four senators now. So this is new. And the way the lines are drawn, the way it was explained to me, it was, it was not drawn with her in mind. That suit was brought to bring greater power to labor and to urban populations, but the way the district was drawn, it was just simply that it was slightly a Black majority, just not quite even, I would say, a Black majority, but it was favorable to her.
12:19
She still had run in a primary race against a White liberal male who actually, you know, said some very terrible things about her, and it was a real struggle for her to win that race against somebody who should have been in her corner. So there's many layers of disfranchisement here (yes) and racism, as Zachary pointed out, that she faced when she triumphed in '66 and the biggest thing was at the end was, will you accept a Black woman as your leader? Will you accept a Black woman as a political leader and candidate? And she really had to push that issue. No one handed that to her. She had to struggle for everything.
13:01
Wow, wow. She was a trailblazer. (she certainly was, yes) Zachary?
13:06
What was her experience like in the state legislature in the 1960s, coming in on the heels of this historic civil rights moment? What was the Texas State Legislature like for a Black woman in the late 1960s?
13:21
Oh, my goodness, Zachary, you ask the best questions. All right. Those, as she put it, those men did not want her there, okay, however, the Texas Legislature is a small institution. Has 31 people. On one hand, you could say she did have allies because of this redistricting. There were other liberals that she had worked with as part of this coalition who were there with her. So in theory, you have a group of about 11 who could perhaps block terrible legislation and even find some way to promote good legislation, you know, progressive legislation, especially around the issue of taxation, fairer taxation. This had been, long been, a liberal goal in Texas, right?
14:12
But she faced all kinds of what we would call microaggressions. Now we use the term microaggressions. At the time it would just be, you know, people saying racist things to her unthinkingly, right? So part of this is that she is accepted. She knows many of the liberals in her coalition, and so among them, she's accepted. And yet there is, if you look at the journalism of the time, there's clearly a lot of very racist things that are said about her, either behind her back, and she is also placed in very, unlike Hughes, very sort of uncomfortable social situations where she's forced to kind of socialize with with people who are not used to dealing with a Black woman as an equal or a peer.
14:59
She brings out her guitar quite often, and she uses this as a kind of armor and and icebreaker, because people all know, you know, there's a Texas culture of songs, and this is one way she kind of establishes relationships with people. Jordan is a person who wants to establish relationships, and with friends and foes. She understands that to be effective, she has to learn the rules of the Senate and build relationships with people in the Senate, and so I think it's a, it's an important learning experience for her. She's trying to forge her own way. She understands that she wants to gain the respect of these men, both because she feels that is the way forward to efficacy.
15:42
At the same time, there's a lot of pressure on the outside from other liberals who say, if you adopt this approach, that means you are selling out. That means you're not enough of a liberal. And I think you know, she doesn't see that as an especially productive way to be. So she does forge her own way, which is about building relationships. But I don't think, from looking at all the evidence, that she ever sacrificed an issue, that she ever caved in on an issue, I think she's feeling her way and trying to figure out the best way that she can be effective, and I think she is effective to a certain extent.
16:24
She does also suffer some pretty bad failures, and one I describe has to do with a corporate profits tax which almost passes and then fails by one vote, which was not her vote, by the way. So I think there's a lot of misconceptions about her time here in the Texas Senate that emphasize sort of her as part of a system. But what I try and do is draw out the nuance of saying no, I think she's just trying to find her way and also is effective and does make some important stands while she's a legislator and continues to be part of a larger struggle for Black freedom. She's involved in all sorts of issues outside of Texas at this time.
17:05
It's interesting because one of the points you make so well in the book, and you make it repeatedly, is that there's a civil rights agenda that involves working in and through the system. That those who are marching in the streets, who Barbara Jordan certainly sympathizes with and sometimes joins, that's one approach, and a valuable and necessary approach. But your argument is that getting into the system and working through the system is absolutely crucial. Do you want to say more about that?
17:30
I do. I do. Thank you, Jeremi. Yeah, this is, and I don't think it's just her, like, this is when the movement is moving from the streets to the State House. This is Bayard Rustin's vision, right? From protest to politics. How can we be effective in making the ideals of the Civil Rights Movement real? And this was her quest, (yes) you know, this was really her goal, (yes) to do that. And no one knew how to do it, right? It hadn't been done before. (yes) And this is, you know, Rustin is good, like in theory, all of this coalition should work, but as we see over time, coalitions are complicated and messy, and everyone has their own agenda. How do you get people to work together who don't really have a long history and sometimes their goals clash, so people have to give and take, (right, right) and it's a hard thing. And, so, but this, I do think that she, and many others, Julian Bond, for example, we forget about him running and succeeding in the Georgia State Legislature in 1965. (right, right)
18:31
There's, this was part of thinking about the future. Where do we go from here? And you can't mandate interracial democracy. You know, the Voting Rights Act can make things, can correct, you know, the malapportionment, can correct the history of disfranchisement, but it can't mandate elections of Black politicians. That has to come from the ground up, and it really takes people with guts and ambition to do that.
18:55
So, well said, so well said. So, what makes Barbara Jordan famous is her election to Congress, of course, in 1972, the first Black woman elected to Congress from the entire South. And then, of course, during the Watergate Hearings, which you describe in here, are her extraordinary speech about the ideals of the Constitution and why presidents need to be held to the law, which is, you know, a little relevant for today, as well, explain that evolution in Barbara Jordan, to me, it's a fascinating part of this book.
19:28
Thank you so much. Well, I think again, we know her for this speech. I also think she played an important role behind the scenes in the Judiciary Committee. Again, this was sort of the Texas Senate. Now, in this committee, she's one of 37 as opposed to one of 31. And the goal here, again, working with her chair, Peter Rodino, is to create a consensus, bipartisan consensus. So again, this means being willing to talk with people who disagree with you, and trying to persuade them, or at least stop the negative effects of others, like, I think she's always trying to neutralize Charles Wiggins from California, who was a big Nixon defender, and she's always trying to intervene and neutralize his influence among the more concerned, you know, the men in the middle. They were called the men in the middle.
20:20
So there's that going on for months and months behind closed doors and then and finally, you know, the public has no idea what's been going on behind closed doors of the Judiciary Committee. And so you have the Summer of '74 when finally the committee is going to lay out its argument for impeachment and decide how to frame their articles for impeachment, given what John Doerr has laid out. John Doerr laid out 38 enormous number of possibilities, but they only, but they ended up concentrating on just a few. And these had to do with, as you said, the abuse of power. And I think, you know, there's a reason why she hones in on that. And I think the way that she frames the speech, however, is extremely important.
21:04
We all know that part where she says, 'My faith in the Constitution is whole; it is complete; It is total.' "My faith in the Constitution is whole; it is complete; It is total. And I am not going to sit here and be an idle spectator to the diminution, the subversion, the destruction of the Constitution." But what we don't remember is what she said before that line where she says, 'when this document was completed in 1787, I was not included, but now through the process...' And then she lays out all the ways that the Constitution can be amended to, right, Because through that process of judicial review, right, and additions, I am now included in "We the People." And here she's talking specifically about the 14th Amendment, the 15th Amendment, and the Voting Rights Act. So now I am included in the protection of this great document, and that is why it is so important that I fight for it, and that is why I believe in it so completely.
22:15
So that first part often gets left out, as though she is just, you know, blindly following some, you know, great American Dream, which she does believe in, by the way, but she also understands America's history of racism and and how important it has been to change and amend that Constitution to protect the rights of Black people. This is what gives her a great stake in this document. And this is why she's so angry at how Richard Nixon has defiled the Constitution.
22:48
You know, the combination, Mary Ellen, of faith in the system, articulateness, the way she speaks, that voice, as you call it, right, that deep, resonant voice with the high minded articulation. It reminds me so much, as I think about it, of someone else we talked to a few months ago, Ruth Simmons, who also comes from this part of Texas, grew up in the Fifth Ward of Houston, in part after her family moved from a rural sharecropping area. And Ruth kind of sounds like like Barbara Jordan, tell us about the voice, about the way of carrying oneself? Your book is wonderful on that.
23:29
Thank you so much. Well, they went to the same high school. They both went to Phyllis Wheatley High School. I think for Barbara Jordan, this is very much, her voice is a Black voice. (totally) I mean, it comes from her family, the institutions of this, of her training as a debater, to be sure, the church that she grew up listening to as a young girl, Reverend Lucas. But it even goes back further than that, because everyone around her said 'she always talked like that.' And I think her grandfather, who was the first person in her life, her Grandpa Patten, as she called him, who made her recite for him. And in one interview, somebody said, well, her first, one of her first biographers said, 'How did you learn to talk like that?' and she said, 'at my grandfather's knee.'
24:22
And he is a very interesting figure, a very much a self-taught person who had a very tragic life, who had been incarcerated, but who came back from that incarceration and really embraced her as a sort of protege. And so as a very young child, when she said, 'other people weren't really paying much attention to me, I was the youngest of three girls.' He really took a lot of time to be with her, talk to her, inspire her, and he made her recite to him. And then after that, her father wants to start his own church and realizes her talent as a young girl, as a speaker, and so with her, one of her sisters, she is also singing. I think a lot of the power of her voice comes from learning how to sing and and to perform before an audience and bring in an audience, tell a story through song, and also reciting for her father's church. So by the time she gets to high school, she is already quite comfortable with this kind of use of her voice, and then she gets involved in speech and debate and develops it even further. But it's through these Black institutions and her Black family that the value, her value as a speaker, as a speaker is acknowledged and recognized and supported.
25:45
It's such an important part of the Civil Rights Movement, if you think of again the high diction of Martin Luther King Jr, and you think about even Malcolm X in his own way, right? I mean, there's a way in which these activists are taking the English language, sort of as Churchill says, and sending it to war for them, right? (Mh-hm) Using it to articulate and persuade and motivate people, yes?
26:08
Absolutely they are. And for her, especially, this is what she brings to the nation, you know, a way she's able to crystallize what does the Democratic Party stand for? (yes) Which she does in the '76 speech at Madison Square Garden. Why should Richard Nixon be impeached? She has a real gift for distilling complicated ideas into a nutshell (yes) and to make them accessible to a wide audience. And I think she that is from the Black church. You know, that is what a minister is supposed to do, a good one.
26:36
And also, you have to make sure that people are responding to you. You're very aware of your audience, and she is always very aware of her audience. Giving a speech is not the same as reading out a lecture. It's a relationship. And that is something that has to be, if you don't realize that from early on, it's not going to come natural to you. And this is why you know at that convention, you know, John Glenn, if you're just reading a speech, (yes) you're not thinking of the audience as something that you are building a relationship with over time. It's just not going to fall right. It's not going to feel the same. And she really has that sense of what public speaking is truly about. (Zachary?)
27:17
How was Barbara Jordan viewed at the time? How is she perceived, in particular, by White political actors and and White politicians? You spoke about her oratory and the way in which she was able to articulate the Democratic Party position on Nixon, but how was she seen by White voters around the country. How was she perceived as a politician?
27:44
Right, that's, that's such a great question. Well, I think on one hand, there's always many hands. On one hand, she is admired, greatly admired and lauded. So when you have these polls like, what woman could you see as president? For example, she's at the top of those polls (Really? Really? Wow) by Red Book magazine. What could you see on the Supreme Court? She's at the top of those polls. And many people, kind of, you know, they it, she just makes it sort of look easy, like, oh, this is the next step, you know, in terms of women's progress in politics and Black women's progress in politics. I think on one, on one hand, she's greatly admired.
28:21
On the other hand, I think there are a lot of tensions, lingering tensions and resentments out of Houston and out of Austin, liberals who are never really trusting of her. They see her still as someone who is dealing with the enemy, you know, making deals with the other side. They don't understand some of her tactics, and she isn't really good on explaining to people like, okay, I'm gonna, this is, this is how I'm operating. Because politicians just don't do that. I think that, how can I put this that she has learned some skills as a politician that are hard to explain to people who are not in those shoes. So you don't always say what you think. (yeah) Now, you're a poker player. I mean, there's, she played poker. I mean, this is the way you do it. You, you do have to make agreements.
29:16
So, for example, with Robert Byrd, she Introduces him at a party convention, at a mini convention (powerful senator from West Virginia) correct, who is going to play a very important role in the Voting Rights Act extension, she develops a kind of not, it's not a quid pro quo. It's never that bald, you know, but it's an understanding (yes) that, hey, here's somebody who represents the growing Black vote. This is the other thing that Jordan is never just about herself. A lot of her power, the perception of her power, comes from what she represents, which is with the Voting Rights Act, more and more Black people are registering to vote, and they're participating in primaries. And this is a new thing that Democratic, White Democratic politicians have to now take account of and Jordan is somebody who can explain this to them. (yes, yes) So, in terms of how she's perceived, I think it's quite mixed, actually, on one hand, the public perceives her very positively. On the other hand, people within Houston are still, and Austin, are still quite perhaps puzzled about how she was able to go so far so fast, and they are suspicious of her relationship with the power structure.
30:28
Yeah. Your book makes the case so well that she's not only a trailblazer, but that she actually provides some of the tools that those who come after her will use that people like AOC and various others will draw on from her. For today, for this moment we're in today, which is such a difficult time, especially for the ideals of Barbara Jordan, what does she offer us today?
30:55
Hmm. Well, she always acknowledged, and you can see this in her testimony against Robert Bork, for example. She always acknowledged the importance of court cases and protection of Black voting for the success of Black politicians. This was one reason she was so against Robert Bork's confirmation (Yes) to the Supreme Court (Yes) because he had said he had opposed those cases. He didn't think Baker v. Carr had been properly decided, et cetera. And she, that just appalled her (Mm-hmm) because she said, 'Well, if, if his way of thinking had persisted, I would not be here.' Right. 'I would never have been able to run and to win.'
31:21
And so she, she just said the Supreme Court has to protect individual rights, has to protect this right to privacy, has to protect Black voting rights. And so that, I think, is an important thing to remember and to understand. As much as we applaud her as a great individual, and even other Black politicians that we applaud as great individuals, to understand that they stood on the shoulders of those really important Supreme Court decisions and the movement to make those, that made those decisions part of our national fabric.
32:03
And now we're suffering a pushback against those decisions, and there's gonna be some, uh, uh, consequences to that, that extraordinary people are gonna, you know, even, like, you can have a lot of Black voting, but if the vote is not made meaningful, right, (Yes) through fair districting and other methods that were used to move things along after the Civil Rights Movement, there's terrible political consequences for our system.
32:31
I also think, though, that she believed in coalition politics. And, now we're hearing all kinds of criticisms about the party and, and perhaps, you know, there is gonna be a realignment, and a reckoning about what it means to be in a coalition. I think this is something that she and Shirley Chisholm and many others were always grappling with, and you can never really resolve, but it has to be faced head-on. So I think that's one thing she would say, too.
33:02
Do you think she would tell the Democratic Party today that they need to reach out to different voters in different ways?
33:08
Probably. I mean, I think she is a realist in that she would say it's very important to look at, you know, the evidence. From my mind, thinking about this, again, I don't know how you overcome, though, these Supreme Court decisions that have weakened the Voting Rights Act (yeah) and have really led to a very strange phenomena where you have places like North Carolina voting for a Democratic governor, but then they're so, but then you have overwhelmingly conservative representation in Congress, right? (Yes, yes.) Because of redistricting. How do you fix, I don't know how you fix that. I don't know. I mean, I just don't know. But I think those are the kinds of things that we really need to look closely at: how can we overcome that weakness in (right, right) in the power structure? (Right.)
33:59
What's so wonderful about your book, among many things, Mary Ellen, is that you deal with both the structural factors and the role of an individual. And you show that Barbara Jordan was an extraordinary speaker, thinker, coalition builder, a larger than life personality that allowed her to transform our politics, but she did it by strategically taking advantage of changes in her time. And I think that's the lesson, isn't it?
34:24
It is the lesson. And I would add one thing, again, that makes her extraordinary, is that not only could she mobilize Black voters and people who agreed with her, she was also really good at talking to people who had not experienced oppression (yes) and making them understand it. So she could speak to conservative White audiences, as she did time and time again in Texas, editors, White elites, and persuade them that it was in their interest to support change.
34:51
That's extraordinary. That's extraordinary. Zachary, as we close, do you think Barbara Jordan's legacy, can be inspiring for your generation?
35:01
I think so. I think certainly the legacy of someone who used the political system to fight for change, who used real politics to fight for change, should be an inspiration for us. In particular, in a moment when it seems like a lot of us have lost hope in politics. I think it's important to remember that, sort of, the dirty business of legislative politics is where so much change can happen with real leadership.
35:31
(Well said) I think that's spot on. Well said, Zachary. Thank you, Mary Ellen, for joining us today. I want to encourage all of our listeners to read Mary Ellen's really wonderful, entertaining, insightful book, She Changed the Nation: Barbara Jordan's Life and Legacy in Black Politics. It's really worth a read, and I will soon be assigning it to my students, so they won't have much choice.
35:54
Wow. Thank you, Jeremi. It's been a pleasure. And thank you, Zachary.
35:57
Zachary, thank you for your moving poem, "Trailblazer." And, uh, thank you most of all to our loyal listeners and our loyal readers of our Substack for joining us this week for This Is Democracy.
Episode 302: Freedom Season 1963
00:19
Welcome to our latest episode of This is Democracy. I'm Zachary Suri. I'm hosting this week.
00:25
We're mixing things up a little bit. We often think about history in terms of pivotal years, 1776, 1848, 1989, and 1968 is often an entry in this list, identified by many historians as the key turning point in our democracy and democracies around the world in the 1960s. But our next guest, his new book makes the case for a different year, 1963.
00:50
Dr. Peniel Joseph is the Barbara Jordan Chair in Ethics and Political Values and the founding director of the Center for the Study of Race and Democracy at the LBJ School of Public Affairs at UT Austin, and he joins us now. Thank you for joining us, Peniel.
01:05
Thank you for having me, Zachary and Jeremi.
40:55
Yes, thank you, Jeremi, as well. And thank you to our listeners for joining us for this episode of This Is Democracy. See you next time.
Episode 310: Have we Outgrown the Constitution?
00:19
Hello, and welcome to our latest episode of This Is Democracy. I’m Zachary Suri. Today we’re going to be discussing, uh, an issue that I think. Uh, many of us have thought about in vague terms in the last few years as we watch our, our politics, uh, in so many ways descend into what cannot be described as anything but chaos. Um, but one that we probably have not thought of in such detail and with such thoughtfulness as our next guest.
00:48
Our guest today is Professor Steven Skowronek. Uh, Professor Skowronek is the Pelota Parrot Professor of Political and Social Science at Yale University. In 2019, he was the wine hand visiting professor at the Rother Muir American Institute at Ballo College Oxford. He’s also been a fellow at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, and he has held the chair in American Civilization at the [???] in Paris. His most recent book, uh, which will be discussing today, is the Adaptability Paradox, Political Inclusion and Constitutional Resilience.
01:21
Other publications of his include Phantoms of AED Republic, the Policy State. Uh, and many other books, his research concerns, first and foremost, American National Institutions and American Political Aid Development, which is what we’ll be discussing today, specifically the development of the American Constitution.
01:38
We’re also joined, of course, by Professor Jeremy Suri. Good morning to both of you.
01:41
Good morning, Zachary.
01:44
Wonderful. Well, I’d like to start our episode off today with a passage from Hamilton’s Federalist Paper 85, um, on the topic of perfection in the Constitution. "The system, though it may not be perfect in every part, is upon the whole, a good one is the best that the present views and circumstances of the country will permit and is such. And one as promises every species of security which a reasonable people can desire. I answer in the next place that I should esteem it. The extreme of impotence to prolong the precarious state of our national affairs and to expose the union to the jeopardy of successive experiments in the chimerical pursuit of a perfect plan. (cntd)
02:25
"I never expect to see a perfect work from imperfect man. The result of the deliberations of all collective bodies must necessarily be a compound, as well as the errors and prejudices as of the good sense and wisdom of the individuals of whom they’re composed. The compacts, which are to embrace 13 distinct states in a common bond of Amity and union must as necessarily be a compromise of as many dissimilar interests and inclinations. How can perfection spring from such materials?"
02:51
Well with that as food for thought. I wanted to start by asking Professor Skowronek, how did the framers think of constitutional amendment and adaptability? Do you think they expected we would still be operating off the same document?
03:04
Yeah. Uh, well, thanks for having me first. I don’t think that they thought that it would last for 230 years, uh, without some major, uh, uh, rethinking. Um. They did provide for amendment, but amendments themselves change bits and pieces. Um, amendments themselves are, uh, a method of adaptation. Uh, so, uh, I don’t, uh, they didn’t, uh, provide, well, I guess they did with, uh, different methods of calling constitutional conventions, but I don’t think that they anticipated that we would just keep tweaking the thing forever.
03:50
That makes sense.
03:52
Uh, I, you know, Jefferson famously, uh, was skeptical of adaptation. He didn’t think that you should read powers or arrangements into the Constitution that aren’t clearly stated. Uh, you know, uh, he says, uh, let’s not make it blank paper by construction, by continual interpretation.
04:18
Uh, interestingly, John Marshall had a different view. You know, he says that the Constitution was, uh, meant to endure for, uh, decades of time and to be adapted to the crises of human affairs. Uh, he said that, however, in an early case, dealing with Congressional authority to create a national bank. And what’s interesting about that case to me is that it.
05:13
I wanted to ask the, the title of your book is The Adaptability Paradox, and we’ll obviously get to the, the paradox part of that conversation very soon. But what about the first part, adaptability. What does it mean for a constitution to be adaptable in this context?
05:28
Well, uh, so what is an adaptation? An adaptation is, uh, a, uh, changing parts of the system while carrying other parts forward and modifying several of those parts that are carried forward to work in conjunction with the new. So it’s a continual, uh, continual tweaking of a set of arrangements. If you think about the Constitution as a holistic set of institutions, uh, a system of institutions, and you think about continually. Uh, ... some assumptions of, uh, some assumptions in that system. Adding some, some new things in. The question is how long can you keep doing that and still have the structure itself makes some sense and have some, some coherent integrity and essential purpose.
06:25
Uh, Steve, one of the, one of the points you make, uh, from very beginning, uh, of the book is that the constitution, this is your chapter in particular, unbounded resilience, that the Constitution was built around, um, limiting, limiting, uh, those who participated in it. And through limiting the participants, it actually, uh, made it easier to form consensus. And at some level that. Putting together, uh, keeping a consensus together seems crucial for you. Why? Why is that? So, why, why, why wouldn’t the opposite argument, the one that I think I’ve often made be true, which is the way I think of Madison’s argument on pluralism, that being large and being unbound. It means that, as we did throughout the 19th century, you know, you can add two new territories, one for one side, one Democratic, one Democratic territory, one wig or Republican territory. Um, why isn’t that, why isn’t the unbounding, uh, actually an advantage?
07:26
Well, you know, Madison has two thoughts. Uh, one is the extended republic. That is, expanding the field of representation makes all interests safer. Uh, so it prevents the formation of tyrannical majorities. But if you look at Federalist 51, he also mentions a practicable sphere of self-government. So I don’t think that he thought it was limitless. I don’t think he thought that this extension he was thinking of, of geographical extensions, but think about extensions of democracy itself, of the inclusion of previously excluded groups. I don’t think that the Constitution contemplated that as, that as a limitless process. I think they thought, at least for their, the arrangements that they were setting up, that there was a practicable sphere of, uh, expansion.
08:29
And as it turns out, I mean, just empirically, um. Uh, those practicals practicable spheres were always premised on keeping some interests, uh, out, excluding some interests. And the interests that were excluded at the beginning were quite extensive, right? They were, they included wide swaths of the population, not just slaves, uh, but, uh. Women work, things that were excluded, work relations, gender relations, family relations, all of which, uh, worked according to other sets of rules. And I, I, in some, uh, the slavery exclusion was conscious, but these other exclusions were just, that’s, uh, we’re just assumptions, assumptions about, uh, about politics at the time. So I think that the Constitution, uh. The Constitution has, you know, famously abstract language. It doesn’t recognize, um, uh, privileges of rank. Uh, but it was designed for the people who framed it. It was designed for the notables, uh, was designed by the notables of the 18th century. Around their assumptions of who was going to be running the show.
09:58
Right? And, uh, I do think that the Constitution’s general language, its abstract language, uh, opened the door to challenges from those who were excluded. And that’s how you get these, the, the democratization of the polity over time. Uh. And the Constitution continue, and elites trying to adapt the Constitution to that, um, to that expansion of the relevant polity. But, you know, I come back to Federalist 51 where Madison says, you know, the, you have to think what is the practical sphere, the practicable sphere.
10:44
That makes sense. Um, what about the, the second part of the title of your book? The, the paradox part? What, what, what do what in, in, in sort of simple terms, is the adaptability paradox that you see at the center of our constitutional development?
10:58
So, yeah, so, uh, the Constitution’s most radical principles, that’s democratic principle. The sovereignty of the people. And as the people become more in the people who are included within the privileges, access to the privileges of the Constitution and the security of the Constitution, uh, as that expands every time it expands in a major way, we reconfigure the Constitution, we adapt it, we reorganize it, we rearrange it, we rewire it.
11:37
The paradox is that once we, the people becomes fully inclusive, which I would date to around the, uh, rights revolution of the sixties and seventies, once we, the people becomes fully inclusive, then the Constitution seems to be losing its capacity to reestablish firm footings and to stabilize the polity. Once, uh, for successive rounds of inclusion, uh, we were able to reconfigure constitutional relationships and stabilize the polity. But since the rights revolution, we haven’t been able to agree on terms for accommodating all the players. Now, on the fold, the paradox is that once we the re we, the people becomes a reality, the Constitution loses its capacity to provide firm footings and stabilize the polity.
12:40
That makes sense. Um, you, you argue in the, in the preface to your book, that there are quote tensions inherent in the term constitutional democracy. Why is it that the sort of, uh, growth of the democracy end of that equation, uh, as you see it destabilize the system or led to this instability?
13:00
Well, scholar scholars and, uh, American thinkers have noticed this tension between constitutionalism and democracy, uh, from the very beginning. I mean, Jefferson says, you know, you can’t keep it, you don’t adapt it. Have a constitutional convention every generation and reconfigure it. Don’t just keep reinterpreting it. Uh, in the, uh, in the 20th century, John Dewey says, you know, um, uh, the arrangements that we set up to stabilize a particular polity, uh, uh. Create conditions for development that make this a new polity that create a new polity that is incompatible with those institutions. So again, constitutional democracy is expanding under arrangements that then call the, those arrangements into question, call that constitution into question.
14:06
So Dewey says, you know, that the, the hardest thing for a democracy is to break through the arrangements. That were provided for it, but then, and no longer suited. And, uh, it’s dangerous because it’s hard to break through, overturn those institutions democratically. Uh, and then later in the 20th century you get Sheldon Wolin, who tells us that democracy is in, is inherently transgressive. It’s inherently challenging the constraints, uh, and structures that. Define what a constitution is, which is a system of constraints, a structure of constraints, that democracy is constantly challenging. Those constraints and that constitutions are inherently regimes that, uh, a particular set of, uh, democratic participants agrees, will secure their interests, then that democracy, uh, in a kind of dialectical fashion develops, outgrows those arrangements and needs to challenge them and constrain them. So you get this constant that that is the tension in this compound constitutional democracy. Uh, how can you get the security and protection that constitutions promise, uh, in democracies which are inherently transgressive and constantly challenging the constraints.
15:40
So, I especially reading the, the latter half of your book, uh, Steve, you make a, a compelling case that you, that you just started to make that, that we’ve outgrown the, uh, the design and the architecture of our, of our constitution as it is. And you seem to lean toward building, as you say, a, a civic and and con conversation, a dialogue, uh, An educated Dewey instead of discussions.That would lead to some sort of. New constitution, some sort of formal or informal constitutional convention. Um, first of all, are, are you confident that could happen? But, but the secondary question is, is that the right way to go? Or, or maybe the error of constitutional democracies, um, has passed, right? I mean, there are many democracies, the English one of course, that, that operate without a constitution and have operated reasonably successfully, so. I I, is it worth going that route or is it worth finding an alternative to a constitution at, at all?
16:42
Um, yeah, so, uh, I’m, this isn’t a happy book. This is, uh, uh, it’s a book that, you know, tries to, um, just examine certain, uh, dynamics that run through American history and see where they’ve landed us, and I think they’ve landed us in a pretty tight spot. Um, yeah, so, and I think, I, I, what you say is exactly right. It might be time to open a question as to whether this constitution is, uh, serviceable for the democracy that we have become. I think that, uh. The Constitution, uh, was, as I said, framed for the notables of the, uh, 18th century and, and the principles that we hold up, checks and balances, separation of powers, federalism. All of these things were designed to, uh, secure the participants of that time and also to keep other, uh, issues out and, uh, the intrusion of those other issues in particular since the Rights revolution. Issues of social justice are simply were issues that the Constitution was intended to submerge and that it seems to be very ill-equipped to address.
18:19
Now, my solution or my, uh, my ideal system. I don’t really, I, uh, uh, describe anything like this in the book, but I do say that the, uh, the objective would be a strong constitution that can service a fully inclusive polity and that we don’t have that. We don’t have a strong constitution that’s effectively services a fully inclusive polity. Uh, that’s I think, what would be the ideal circumstance. I think you do want the protections of a democracy of, of a, of a constitution. The legal protections, I think we see right now the, uh, the vulnerability of, uh, the protections that we were promised. Um, so I’m not willing to give up on Constitutionalism. Uh, the question is, can we get a strong constitution that effectively services a fully inclusive polity? And my contention is that we do not have that now.
19:36
If I could follow up quickly, Steve, a, a, a historical question. As I was reading your book and, and thinking about what you just said, which I think follows beautifully from your argument, I started to think, well, maybe this was actually an oversight by Lincoln because if there was a moment when there might have been, uh, a political entity that could have done what you just said, it might have been the Republican party in 1865, 1866.
20:02
Yeah. Well, you know, um, the, one of the problems with reconstruction was that the radical Republicans, the radical Republicans were, um, were, or I should say the Republican Party was committed to adaptation.
20:26
Right?
20:27
Right. They didn’t see that, in fact, the. The, uh, emancipation, uh, and the challenge to federalism through the entire system into question, and Jerry rigging arrangements, um, you know, could work for a time, could stabilize the system again. In fact, it did work for another century. Uh, but that ultimately, uh, the logic of gutting federalism. Which is, I think the constitutional implication of the civil rights movement is that it throws up all the contending principles of the Constitution of 1787. Throws them all up for grabs the contending purposes, uh, of, uh, the original Constitution. Uh. Uh, the sovereignty of the people and federalism, the tensions, all of those tensions are, uh, released once the last exclusions are, uh, are lifted. And, um, yeah. So I, I do think that the Republican party, uh, as noble as its cause was, um. I thought that they could still make it work. They could still tweak it. Right. The 14th Amendment, the 15th amendment, they could still make it work. Uh, and I guess I’m wondering whether that’s the case.
22:08
Hmm hmm. I’m wondering, when you, when you think of the places where it’s not working today, what are the sort of institutions in particular that you would point to as indicative of a sort of inability for the Constitution to stabilize?
22:21
Well, let’s, yeah. So let’s take three. So one is this new Juristocracy, Juristocracy. The, uh, our increasing dependence on the Supreme Court to determine what the appropriate boundaries are. Now, we would think, oh, well that’s just the Constitution’s solution to how you settle boundary disputes. You give it to the court, but in fact, as I mentioned with the John Marshall, uh, example. Uh, uh, you know, uh, authorizing a national bank, the judges have a very spotty record of settling boundary disputes when there’s no consensus on the underlying purposes, and we have no consensus on the underlying purposes, and we’re increasingly dependent on the court. And I’m not blaming the, uh, Roberts Court. This began with the Warren court.
23:16
The American juristocracy arose alongside the rights revolution. Lemme take another example. What, uh, constitutional law scholars call hardball that is the doubling down on constitutional provisions that were meant to provide security and to, uh, foster buy-in from contending interests. Constitutional hardball. Uh, is now, uh, uh, using constitutional provisions to sabotage the system. So we get, uh, you know, the routinization of impeachment. We get, uh, second amendment, absolutism, uh, we get gerrymandering wars, government shutdowns, uh, uh, debt stealing, brinkmanship, all of this. This is not rewiring the constitution. All of that can be. All of that can be justified by constitutional principles, but that’s not, that’s not rewiring the constitution. That’s the constitution going haywire. That’s using its provisions as weapons of sabotage. And I’ll end with a final example, which is, you know, the one closest to my other work, which is the rise of presidentialism.
38:00
Uh, which the court is complicit with, with this immunity decision that, uh, you know, the president stands at this critical intersection between national political mobilization and national administrative management. And what we’ve done on the mobilization side is to, along with the rights revolution, create these personal parties where the president controls his own political machinery. And on the management side, we’ve created this unitary theory of the executive, which gives the president a claim to exclusive and complete control over the power of the administrative branch of the executive branch. And that is not a formula for rewiring. That’s a formula for imposition, that’s a formula for, uh, volatility and divisiveness.
1:33:00
Uh, interestingly, the framers of the Constitution, what was their formula for the presidency? Their formula was management without mobilization. They sought to make the selection of the president indirect and blind to give him the executive power was to try to, was coupled with keeping him away from party interest in faction because they saw that a politicized president in control of the executive branch. Would undercut all the delicate balances that they had, uh, written into the rest of the constitutional frame. So I would say at least those three, those are the three that come to mind. Juristocracy, presidentialism, constitutional hardball. These are things that are showing us that it’s not working, it’s not work, it’s not by what, what do I mean by working? It’s not accommodating interests. It’s not stabilizing the system, the things that we assume that the con, that constitutions are meant to do.
2:38:00
Uh, Steve, I wanted to ask you a question that connects your analysis to some of the contemporary debates. You, you do this again toward the end of the book. Um, individuals like my own governor in Texas, Greg Abbott, have called for a constitutional convention. Uh, and, and of course many states, uh, especially after the Civil War, had constitutional conventions to rewrite their constitutions. Um, do are, are you in favor of that now, or, uh, how do you think we should move forward? Now after reading your book, if we’re persuaded by your argument,
3:10:00
Right. Well, I would say that in writing this book, I became more sympathetic to Jefferson’s solution that is, you know, rethink the whole thing, every generation or so. But also in rewriting the book, I came to appreciate that we’ve really dug ourselves pretty deeply into this hole. That in order to have a constitutional convention, think about the original constitutional convention where, you know, uh, contentious interests. I mean, uh, uh, diametrically opposed interests came together around some sense of a common purpose that is the North and the South were able to subordinate their differences to exclude certain questions to, uh. To, uh, uh, to, uh, participate in this kind of deeply impacted institutional system, uh, because they had in mind the promise of a great commercial republic. They could agree on that. We want this. Great, we see the potential for what this could be.
4:22:00
And, you know, we’re gonna figure out how to realize that potential while avoiding our, uh, our fundamental disputes. I just don’t see that there’s any agreement on fundamental purposes at the moment, and that I think makes a constitutional convention, uh, a dubious proposition and will become just another, uh, mechanism for imposition. Or it’ll just deadlock.
4:53:00
Right. So, so, so what should we do, Steve?
4:56:00
What should we do?
4:59:00
Yeah.
5:01:00
Well, well,so, right, that’s the big question. I don’t have a prescription. Uh, but I do think that, um, what I try to suggest at the end of the book is that to create conditions, create conditions on which we might be able to even discuss. Uh, what an alternative governing framework might look like. And you know, those are long-term propositions. I’m not sure we have a lot of time, but those are long-term propositions. I would give them a shot. You know, I thi I, things like experiments with deliberative democracy. I think that those. Our deliberative forums or, you know, those kinds of things I think are, are, are constructive. You know, I’m in favor of, um, this, uh, revival of interest in civics and civic education, although, uh, I think also symptomatic of the time is that no one can really agree on what the curriculum is. Um, yeah, so I’m, uh, uh. What should we do? I think we should try to find some alternative means of communication and deliberation outside the constitutional structure that will allow us to think about what kind of government we want.
6:22:00
Well, thank you so much Professor Skowronek for, for joining us today. We encourage all of our listeners to go and read. Uh, professor Sach’s new book that is the Adaptability Paradox, political Inclusion and Constitutional Resilience, uh, out, uh, just now from the University of Chicago Press. Um, so please go read that by the book. Um, and thank you, uh, to Professor Skowronek for joining us, uh, on this episode of This Is Democracy, and thank you as well to Professor Suri.
6:50:00
Thanks for having me.
6:52:00
And thank you most of all to our wonderful listeners for joining us for this episode of This Is Democracy.
Episode 311: US-Latin American Relations
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. Today, we are going to talk about US Latin American relations. We're going to focus on one of the most important and enduring crises of US Latin American relations, the Cuban Missile Crisis, which everyone knows about. And then we're gonna also talk about the legacies of that moment for our own moment today, when the United States appears to be, uh, in a major crisis with Venezuela. We are fortunate to be joined by, uh, someone who I think is doing, uh, the most important and groundbreaking work on US Latin American relations. Uh, this is Professor Renata Keller. She's an associate professor of history at the University of Nevada, Reno. Uh, thank you for joining us, Rennie.
01:06
Thanks for having me.
01:08
Renata Keller, uh, is an accomplished author. This is the second book that she has recently published. Her first book was called Mexico's Cold War: Cuba, the United States, and the Legacy of the Mexican Revolution. It's a wonderful book that grew out of her dissertation, written, I'm proud to say, at the University of Texas at Austin.
01:28
Go Longhorns.
01:30
Go Longhorns, and, uh, Rennie's new book. The book I encourage everyone to read. I just finished it a couple of days ago and it really, really is a book that makes you think, think more broadly about the Cuban Missile Crisis and about the impact of the United States and the region. Uh, this new book is called The Fate of the Americas: The Cuban Missile Crisis and the Hemispheric Cold War. Before we get into our discussion of, uh, Rene's fantastic work and its, uh, relevance for us today, uh, we're going to start, I think almost by necessity, uh, with Bob Dylan today. Uh, often we have a, a poem from, uh, Mr. Zachary, but today we're gonna, we, we don't have Mr. Zachary's poem. He's with us on the podcast, of course, but, um, we have instead Bob Dylan not quite as good as, as one of your poems, Zachary, right?
02:19
Sure.
02:21
Uh, so we have Bob Dylan, uh, and this is from one of, uh, my favorite Bob Dylan songs. I have so many. Um, this is called Masters of War. This was originally written by Bob Dylan in late 1962 in the days and weeks after the Cuban Missile Crisis, and then first recorded in early 1963. So here we're getting, uh, this extraordinary artist's reaction to the Cuban Missile Crisis. And, um, if he had Rennie Keller's book, then he would've been reacting to that too, I'm sure. So here we have, uh, the first three stanzas of this incredible song about the Cuban Missile Crisis. Come you Masters of War, you that build the big guns, you that build the death planes you that build all the bombs, you that hide behind the walls, you that hide behind the desks. I just want you to know, I can see through your masks, you that never done nothing but build to destroy. You play with my world like it's your little toy. You put a gun in my hand and you hide from my eyes and you turn and run farther when the fast bullets fly. Like Judas of old, you lie and deceive a world war can be won. You want me to believe? But I see through your eyes and I see through your brain, like I see through the water that runs down my drain Rennie as, uh, as a scholar of the Cuban Missile Crisis and a scholar of US Latin American relations. How do you think about Bob Dylan's angry words in the context of that moment?
03:54
That is also one of my favorite songs that he wrote. And no surprise, right? Because they studied the crisis. But I think he actually expresses a lot of what a lot of people in Latin America were feeling, this, this outrage that that the United States was even contemplating nuclear war without consulting them, with risking their lives for what a lot of people argued was capitalist gain. There were congressional debates in Chile where people were saying these exact same things, that this is all about capitalism and US imperialism, and that if there is a war, there's there's not going to be any winners, we're all going to lose a nuclear war.
04:44
One of the things that was really interesting to me in your book was to think about the different kinds of reactions in different countries. It's really not fair to say there was one reaction to the crisis in this incredibly diverse region. How do you think about some of the reactions from some of the different countries in the region?
05:03
Yes, that was one of my main initial findings when I started this project, was that there was a huge range of reactions, and that's what drove my curiosity through, you know, a decade of research was finding out all the different ways that people responded. Some people sided enthusiastically with the United States. All the governments of Latin America voted unanimously in the Organization of American States to set up, to set up the quarantine and approve this idea that they didn't want nuclear weapons on Cuba. Pretty much everyone in the governments or in, you know, the executive branches of Latin American governments agreed on that. But when you look beyond that, there was a huge amount of disagreement about whether Cuba should be allowed to have these weapons. A lot of people argued that they were defensive weapons, just like Castro said that Cuba was clearly under attack and should have the right to defend itself, whereas other people said, No, you're increasing the danger for everyone in the hemisphere. This is unacceptable to have these weapons and you so you get divisions among Latin American countries and within Latin American countries, whereas you get huge protests. In contrast to what we see in the United States, there were a couple major peace protests, but in Latin America, they were huge, and they were all over the place, and in some cases, they devolved into riots, like in Bolivia, I was shocked to find out that more Bolivians died as a result of the Cuban missile crisis than Cubans, and that's because they also felt invested in the outcome, and it played the crisis, played into these existing divisions within Latin American societies like Bolivia, and kind of ignited the these conflicts that had been simmering for a long time.
06:58
Zachary.
07:00
Yeah, how closely did the United States and the Soviet Union watch public opinion in Latin America? Did they care at all what people in the region thought of, of the conflict?
07:08
That's a great question. We know more about what the United States was doing based on availability of US records, and they definitely were watching what was going on in Latin America. I read the Kennedy tapes, which was it's a transcription of secret recordings that Kennedy kept during his meetings in the White House during the Cuban Missile Crisis. It's an amazing resource. And in these meetings of the Executive Committee of the National Security Council or EXCOM, they were discussing what was going on in Latin America even before they decided to set up the quarantine, they were concerned. How is this going to look in Latin America? Are people going to see this as just the latest episode of US imperialism? Could the missiles in Cuba destabilize the balance of power in the region? Could it give Cuba like equal power as the United States, since they also would then have nuclear weaponry that they could use to kind of throw their weight around. And then during the crisis, they were discussing reactions in Latin America, and they were worried when they saw these riots and these very strong responses among Latin American publics against their own governments. They were worried about stability in Latin America, and worried that this crisis could spin out and destabilize countries like Mexico and Brazil and Bolivia. And so they were very closely following what was going on in Latin America. And then on the Soviet side, we do have evidence that they were also watching what was going on in Latin America, and they were aware of clearly, the OIS vote that had been all over the news. And they also knew which OAS countries were actually participating in the quarantine around Cuba. A lot of countries offered their air bases and their naval bases. Some countries, like Argentina and Venezuela even sent destroyers to participate in the quarantine. And the Soviets knew that a lot of countries were participating and were uniting against Cuba.
09:09
I'm glad you brought up the Kennedy tapes, Rennie, because, as you say, they're an extraordinary resource. We have recordings and transcripts from basically every one of the meetings of this special committee of his closest advisors that President Kennedy put together during the two weeks of the crisis. The editors of one version of the Kennedy tapes, Philip Zelikow and Ernest may are among a group of historians who have seen the Cuban Missile Crisis as a great triumph for Kennedy, not because of the danger that came with it, but because of the way they believe he managed, managed the communications with the Soviet Union, managed communications with the American public, and negotiated out of this crisis that could have gone to nuclear war. You don't seem to have the same heroic view of the Kennedy administration. I'd love to hear your thoughts on how you're view differs from what I think is that more conventional view.
10:03
Mm-hmm, that's a good point. I would say that, yes, I do differ a little bit from that conventional view, while I do also recognize that we came very close to nuclear war, and I'm grateful that Kennedy and Khrushchev decided to step back from the brink. I do see it as not as much of a clear victory, if when you look at the results for Latin America of the Cuban Missile Crisis, it brought a lot of death and destruction for decades to come. I mentioned Argentina earlier. That's an example of a country that, as a result of the Cuban Missile Crisis, became a lot closer to the United States, especially in terms of military relations. And there was one military leader in particular, Juan Carlos Ongania, who came to the attention of the United States during the missile crisis. He was the head of the Army, and he very enthusiastically supported the United States during the crisis, he organized a 3000 man unit that could be deployed in case of a land invasion. And then after the crisis, the United States was appreciative and especially trained him. Paid a lot of attention to Ondania, but also the United States signed a military assistance approach, military assistance program with Argentina, and Argentina was the final country in the Americas to really become much more closely aligned militarily with the United States. And then, four years after the missile crisis, Juan Carlos Ongania staged a coup in Argentina, a military coup that would usher in more than a decade of other military coups that brought a death 10s of 1000s of people, mostly civilians, were killed or disappeared during Argentina's dirty war. And you can trace some of the roots of that back to the Cuban Missile Crisis. And so, yes, I would say the idea that this was a victory or or a near escape is not true when you look beyond the United States.
12:10
Zachary
12:12
Why, though, do you see the Cuban Missile Crisis in particular as that critical turning point? I think it this seems like maybe a larger factor in American policy in the region, or a larger trend that had already begun? Or is this, is this, in your mind, the moment when American policy in Latin America moves away from real efforts to promote democracy and turns instead to sort of more transactional relationships with undemocratic leaders?
12:40
Yes, that's a great point. So a lot of this builds on preexisting trends, but I do think the missile crisis was an important turning point because it was a moment where everyone shared danger, and it was this moment where everyone had to decide between these kinds of conflicting values and conflicting priorities.
14:18
One of the really interesting conclusions you draw. And I guess it's really two conclusions in one is that, on the one hand, you say the Cuban Missile Crisis shattered some of the solidarity among Latin American countries. You've talked about this already, the ways in which different countries reacted to it. At the same time, you make a very powerful argument that the crisis contributed to the negotiation of the first nuclear-free zone treaty, the Treaty of Tlatelolco in 1967, which most people don't know about, but created a nuclear weapons-free zone, which remains the case to this day in that region. I'd love to hear you reflect on what brought us from the Cuban Missile Crisis to this moment of horror to this moment of nuclear disarmament.
15:10
Yes, so the crisis, like I said, forced everyone to realize that they were living in a nuclear age and that they were living in the Cold War, that the Cold War wasn't just, you know, a faraway conflict between the United States and the Soviet Union that they could ignore. And so this experience of really being at the center of nuclear conflict revealed to a lot of Latin Americans their vulnerability. Their countries were unlikely to get nuclear weapons, except for places like Argentina and Brazil. And so a lot of countries within Latin America said, We don't want another missile crisis this, this was too close. And so Brazil and a number of other countries have been pushing before the missile crisis for a nuclear-free zone or some kind of agreement. And then Brazil came out of the crisis in not with a great relationship with the United States, to put it, to put it mildly. And so Mexico actually stepped into the breach and picked up where the Brazilians had left off. And the Mexicans did come out of the crisis with a very strong hemispheric position and relations with the United States. And so they started pushing for a nuclear weapons free zone, and it took about five years, but they were able to get another country, enough other countries, to sign on to establish the Treaty of Tlatelolco in 1967 like you mentioned, and that made Latin America the first nuclear weapons free zone in the world, and that set a precedent for other regions of the world to set up regional nuclear weapons free zones. And I think it was that experience of coming so close to nuclear war during the missile crisis, and this feeling of powerlessness that made a lot of people in Latin America willing to change their position and take action.
17:02
And I guess that, to me, is is a bridge to where we are today. It does seem that in the decades after the Cuban Missile Crisis, there are a number of efforts that are made not only to limit nuclear weapons in the region, but also to limit American and Soviet and other, I guess, Chinese military activity in the region, and although the United States is involved in many covert activities supporting groups like the Contras and Nicaragua invading Grenada, nonetheless, you could argue that we at least avoid another big crisis like The Cuban missile crisis. But then I look at Venezuela today, and I wonder, if you, as a historian, see certain parallels to the Cuban Missile Crisis. Obviously, there's no Soviet presence in the region, but, but there is, of course, a Russian and a Chinese presence. And you know, it does seem, as the United States is has mobilized the largest force in its Southern Command, present and at sea around Venezuela, and is using force to destroy boats rather than interdict boats on the high seas. How do you think about this moment in relation to what you've just written about.
18:23
I think there's a lot of parallels between our current moment and the Cuban Missile Crisis. One that jumps out to me is it's kind of the danger of saber rattling, right when we look at the causes of the Cuban Missile Crisis, I think that one of the main reasons that Khrushchev offered nuclear weapons to Castro in the first place was this clear sense that Cuba was under attack. You have the Bay of Pigs invasion in April 1961 you have Cuba being kicked out of the Organization of American States. You have Operation Mongoose, in which the United States is organizing all these covert activities against Cuba. And that sends a very clear message that the United States and the rest of the countries of Latin America do not intend to put up with Castro's government, and they want to undermine it and get Castro out of Cuba. And so I think we can see parallels today in Venezuela, where we are taking all these steps to undermine Maduro's government. I think, just like Castro, he is, he is incredibly unpopular in the Inter American community. And you know, we're building up this sense of threat. And what I wonder is this, how is Maduro going to react? How are countries like Russia and China is how are they going to react? And could this escalate into, I'm guessing, probably not, another nuclear conflict, but it could be a very drawn out war if the United States decides to actually. We militarily intervene in Venezuela, and the fact that we still live in a nuclear era means that any major conflict, even if it doesn't appear to be a nuclear one on on the face or at first, could potentially escalate into one.
20:20
Zachary
20:22
Yeah, I want to ask, How do you think that? What lessons do you think Americans should be learning from the Cuban Missile Crisis for this moment? I know you said the danger of saber rattling, but, but as we, as sort of ordinary Americans, as opposed to maybe government leaders or people making decisions. How should we what sort of different attitudes or different perspectives on this conflict should we bring learning these lessons from the Cuban Missile Crisis?
20:50
I think one of the lessons for everyday people is that their their voices matter during the Cuban Missile Crisis, a lot of people in the United States kind of followed their government leadership. There was a lot of this sense of, we need to stand united as a country. We need to support Kennedy's position, support the quarantine. There wasn't a lot of criticism in the media. There wasn't, you don't see the same kind of huge protests that I mentioned in Latin America. But I think in Latin America, it's a completely different story. And people did feel empowered, and they did feel like they were participating in the crisis. And so you see not only these big protests, but you see people debating in the media. You see people in the other wings of the government, in senates, kind of debating their country's positions, and I think that that really mattered. It didn't necessarily help decide the question of whether there would be missiles in Cuba or not, but it did help influence their own country's political future, and I think that is an important message that that we can participate, and we can take steps in our own lives to shape what's going on in our own countries, and then that that connects to the rest of the world. I think another important lesson is that we're not isolated, you know, even even places that are islands are connected very closely to the rest of the world and the rest of the region, and so we can use those connections to our advantage.
22:32
That's very well said. Rennie. I also wonder if there's a lesson about the difficulties, perhaps the hazards of regime change the Trump administration is in a long line of American presidents, Democrat and Republican, who have perhaps overestimated the ability of the United States to force someone like Castro, who Kennedy was obsessed with, of course, or Maduro, who Trump seems to be obsessed with, they've overestimated the ability of the United States to overthrow them. What would you say about that?
23:01
I agree completely. I think there's a long history of the United States overestimating, overestimating its abilities to to determine other countries, political regimes, to target specific leaders. You know, in the case of Kasher, they tried so many ways to get him out of power, up to an including assassination and and invasion, and none of it works. And Cuba is a much smaller place than Venezuela, and so I would say there have been very few instances of success in that regard in Latin America. And then there's a question of, what happens next. So even if you do manage to remove a specific leader or change a specific government, like in the case of Chile, what happens next is, is the result or the conclusion any better? I would say, in most cases, know that the consequences have been extremely harmful for Latin Americans and for Inter American relations.
24:03
So perhaps it's an unfair question, but I'm going to ask you anyway, if we shouldn't, in your reading as a historian, or if we should at least be cautious about trying to overthrow someone like Castro or Maduro. And let's be clear, these are in some ways, horrible dictators. What should we do? Should we just accept them in power? What should we do?
24:24
That's a great question. I don't think it's unfair at all. I think these are the kind of questions that people should be asking. My opinion is that we should work within regional organizations, like the Organization of American States. I think that's one of the overlooked lessons from the Cuban Missile Crisis, was that by working with regional allies, Kennedy was able to find to set the world on a path toward a peaceful resolution of the Cuban missile crisis by taking multilateral action instead of unilateral action. And so that would be my first recommendation was to would be to work with regional partners like. I said Maduro is extremely unpopular within the region, but by taking unilateral action, we are turning potential allies like Colombia against us, instead of working with them against Maduro,
25:17
That makes a lot of sense. Zachary to close, what do you think does, does working through regional organizations resonate, you think, with young people who care about this region? Does this analysis as a whole, does the Cuban Missile Crisis and the lessons that Rennie has laid out? So I think so clearly, do do they resonate? Or, how do you think? You know young educated Americans who think about these issues, how do they have they approach this?
25:48
Well, I'm not sure that we necessarily have a sense of the Cuban Missile Crisis in the same sort of visceral sense that a lot of an older generation does, just having lived through it, or having lived through the aftermath of it and having experienced the sort of tension of the Cold War, but I do think that now maybe is the right time to start reevaluating the lessons that we learned from the crisis, and to think again about what it might mean to both protect American interests in Latin America but also to promote American values in Latin America.
26:23
That makes a lot of sense. That's That's well said, and I think it resonates with our friend Bob Dylan, getting us to think not of ourselves as Masters of War. But I think what Rennie is talking about is masters, perhaps, of peace and negotiation. And I love Rennie. I love everything about your book, but I love in particular the way in which you do take us to the story of the Treaty of Tlatelolco and the efforts to to build peace in the region after this horrible, horrible crisis and the the nearness of extinction. I really think there's, there's a there's a lesson in that. I want to encourage all of our listeners to buy Rennie's book and read it the fate of the Americas, the Cuban Missile Crisis and the hemispheric Cold War. It has a beautiful paperback version that's already out so it's readily accessible and can be read in all settings. Rennie, thank you so much for joining us and sharing your wisdom on our podcast this morning.
27:24
Thank you for having me. This was so much fun.
27:26
It was indeed. Thank you, of course, to Zachary Suri as well for participating in the conversation and helping to always make sure that we're not flying off into never, never land of academic discussion and keeping us grounded in so many ways. And thank you most of all to our loyal listeners and loyal subscribers to our sub stack. Thank you for joining us for this episode of This is Democracy.
Episode 312: Ukraine Negotiations
00:20
Hello and welcome to our latest episode of This is Democracy. I'm Zachary Suri, today we will return to a topic we've already discussed many times on the show, the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, but there are a lot of developments to discuss, to say the least, for the first time in more than three years of war in Ukraine, both sides seem to have expressed hope, whether genuine or not, that there might soon be a diplomatic solution to the war. Meanwhile, further fissures seem to be opening in the US European Alliance, and Ukrainian President Zelensky's administration faces a wide-ranging corruption scandal. Joining us to discuss is our good friend Michael Kimmage. Michael is a professor of history at the Catholic University of America and the director of the Kennan Institute from 2014 to 2017 he served on the Secretary's policy planning staff at the US Department of State, where he held the Russia, Ukraine portfolio. His latest book is collisions the war in Ukraine and the origins of the new global instability. Thank you for joining us today, Michael, great to be back with you both. We're also joined as always, by Jeremi Suri. Hello.
01:27
Hi, Zachary and Michael. So happy to be with you.
01:30
Wonderful. I'd like to begin today with a poem by a Ukrainian author. This is Knife by Lyuba Yakimchuk, translated from Ukrainian by Svetlana Lavochkina. Knife with relatives, we share table and graves with enemies only graves. One such candidate comes to share a grave with me, says to me, I'm bigger than you, I'm harder than you, I'm tougher than you. Sticks knife after knife into my stomach and below, knife after knife. His pressure spring like but he is smaller than us. He is softer than us because he's only got one knife. And there are plenty of us at the table, and each has their own butt and each has their own cut. Says to me, I'm a sharper blade. Cut you. I'm a thicker blade. Cut you. Chip, chop. Chip, chop. The last one is dead. Hold on. They say, hold on. And we hold onto our table from the gun muzzle, we all drink our bullets. We pour our enemy one too. Michael, do you have any reactions to that poem? I think the reason I chose this poem was, I think it sort of gets at the strange, sort of intertwined relationship, the kind of stagnant stalemate last three years, if that makes sense.
02:45
Yeah, no, it's just, it's sort of remarkable, and how it takes the idea of a time horizon, which you would imagine is so important for people in the midst of a war, and just, you know, flattens it out and explodes that that sense of a beginning and an end, and being able to peer around the corner. That's a really powerful poem.
03:04
Well, Michael, I wanted to start by asking a question that I think we've touched on a lot in our many discussions on the war in Ukraine, but I think is probably critical to understanding the movement we're in now as you understand it, what do you think Putin needs to end the war, and what does Zelensky and the Ukrainian administration need to bring a peaceful resolution to the conflict? Right?
03:27
Well, let me start backwards with what on paper is possibly a solution to the to the problem of the war. And I do think that the outlines are becoming visible of something. And this something is territorial concessions that Ukraine will make Crimea, plus some portion of territory in the SouthEast of Ukraine, and a security guarantee that Ukraine will get in return, either from Europe or from Europe, plus the United States. And so you can imagine, again, in theory, sort of seminar style, that if these two ingredients can be combined, you have the recipe, if not for a permanent stable piece, then for some long standing cessation of hostilities. But you know, I emphasize seminar style and on paper or in theory, because even with this formulation, there is the paradox of the war, or the dilemma of the war from the diplomatic side, which is that the very security guarantee that Ukraine would require for an end to the war, and that can't just be some kind of theoretical, you know, hypothetical commitment. It has to be real for it to work. And of course, Ukraine is highly aware of that. They've been sold down the river in the past and 2014 and in 2000 you know, in the in the in the 1990s and we can get into that, if of interest. But they can't be sold down a river. The River yet again, but that very commitment is going to be unacceptable to Russia that the war was fought in the first place. 2022 probably going all the way back to 2014 to break up the relationship between Ukraine and the West, and to break it up, most importantly, in the security space. And I don't think that Putin is going to give up that ambition. And so we arrive at the first part of your question, Zachary, which is what Russia wants? I think it's possible, possible to put that in quite blunt terms, what Russia wants, and it is not X amount of territory, as some American negotiators seem to believe, it is control over Ukraine's geopolitical destiny, and Ukraine is fighting the war to prevent Russia from acquiring that control. So the final point, of course, is that we're very far from some real diplomatic solution.
05:51
Michael, why did we come to this moment now where the United States seems to believe it has or the President of the United States at least, seems to believe he has some solution to the war, and we have key advisors, Mr. Witkoff and Mr. Kushner going back and forth between Ukraine and Russia. How did we get to this moment? It seems quite, quite surprisingly.
06:15
Let me give one charitable explanation and one uncharitable explanation, with the caveat that, although there's a lot of reporting on this, we don't really know what's motivating the White White House, you know, with the negotiations in general, and even more, with the timeline, which is indeed so surprising. But the charitable explanation is, I think, that Trump has a correct insight into this war, which is that neither side is going to win completely. And the end, when it comes, you know, if there is a diplomatic end, is going to be messy rather than clean. And I think, you know, President Trump is to be respected for arriving at that insight. Because it's, you know, it's real. It's a genuine insight. A lot of European countries and leaders, I think, are not quite there, so they look like they're a little bit in LA, LA land with all of this. And Trump is not, he's, you know, I think, a bit closer to the realities. And so again, in the charitable explanation, having come to this realization, you want to get there sooner rather than later. And, you know, here Jeremi, we could go back into the history of the Vietnam War, right at a certain point, the US realizes it's not going to win. And I think all of us, in retrospect, would prefer that that realization had been acted on seriously in 1968 or 1969 rather than a few years later. So that's the most charitable explanation I can give. But there are, of course, less charitable explanations. I think there's been a long phase of hubris in the White House about many things, but certainly about the peacemaking skills of the President, which have been, you know, effectively applied in certain crises. But, you know, I think that President Trump thought in September, October, that he was on a roll, and so he had solved all these problems, and Ukraine was just going to be the next one. And so let's get it done before Thanksgiving. So a kind of domestic political argument could be made, I think that that's, you know, sort of a less charitable explanation of why things are so rushed and are sort of working in this way. And you know, an additional and it's not mutually exclusive with the first uncharitable explanation, but an additional explanation is that they really want to get this war behind them, the Trump administration, so that they can focus on other things, the Indo Pacific, perhaps, and certainly the western hemisphere. And that takes us back to Trump's second inaugural address, and the focus on the Western Hemisphere that apparently is going to figure prominently in the new national security strategy. And you know, that's not a terrible explanation, because a conflict of the magnitude of the war in Ukraine is not to be swept under the carpet. And it's not like you can just rush past it and move on to other crises. Either you address it seriously or you don't address it at all. And I think that that's why the diplomacy has effectively gone nowhere in the last couple of weeks,
08:57
Despite that, you did say at the beginning that you think you see the vague theoretical outlines of a potential diplomatic solution. Could you say a little bit more about what that might look like, or what that looks like in theory, how amenable both parties seem to be to that?
09:14
I think that the variable that matters here is Russian exhaustion, and we can say Putin will fight forever, and it's, you know, an authoritarian regime, and you can get people to follow Him, and, you know, or even you can look at some recent levada pollings, a sort of respected polling institution in Russia, and you can see fairly high levels of support for Putin and for the and for the war in those numbers. But I really don't know. I wonder. I mean, maybe it's my outsider's perspective. I think that this is a empty feudal war for Russia, in addition to being, you know, immoral and and criminal and execution. But, you know, I think it just doesn't bring Russia anything. And if you're a Russian sitting, you know, somewhere in Russia, and you're not, maybe enamored of Putin in the first place, and. You know, you sort of see all of this death and destruction and money and all of that for the sake of conquering Mariupol, you know, a medium sized city in Ukraine. You have to wonder what it's all what it's all for. So I do think exhaustion is a possible variable on the Russian side. It's not going to be next month or six months from now, but it could come. And if it does, then I think Putin will be obligated to cut his losses and think about some point of termination for the war. And so I think he will hold on to territory. I don't even think at this point that Eastern Ukraine is, you know, such attractive territory. And you know, gradually it may be possible for Ukraine to give some of it up. And Crimea, tacitly, has been given up already, so Putin can focus on that. And because of that exhaustion, he would have to tolerate this closer security bond between, you know, a big portion of Ukraine and Europe, or between Ukraine and the Transatlantic Alliance. He is not there at the moment. You know, as mentioned before, he's fighting the war to prevent that security bond from solidifying, but he may reach a point where it just seems like it's unpreventable, and the sacrifices on the Russian side are too great, and for domestic political reasons, it's necessary not to give up on every aspect of the war, but to compromise if that comes to pass. You know, I think that there's quite a bit of room to negotiation, but it's a big, you know, hypothetical, because there are lots of reasons why Putin might not want to go down that road. And, you know, he's been relatively successful at insulating big parts of Russia from the costs of the war. So it's, it's a hypothetical scenario for two, three years from now,
11:44
It seems Michael that the Trump administration believes that Putin is winning the war. Is that true? And is there a scenario where he is simply using these negotiations to make it appear to the United States that he's open to something other than a full scale conflict, buying time for himself and trying to disarm the Europeans and others who would prevent him from getting what he wants to get on the battlefield.
12:13
It does seem to be true at the moment. Of course, this is the Trump administration. So we could go back over the last eight, nine months and detail statements on social media and interviews, and sometimes, you know, Trump seems to be quite supportive of the Ukrainian military effort and supportive of Zelensky, and speculates even about, you know, sending Tomahawks to be used on Russian territory. And he can appear hawkish now and then, but that's not the prevailing mood, and hasn't been for the last sort of 10-11, months in the White House. I think it's correct. I think it is the assessment both of President Trump and Vice President Vance. You could put it in two ways that Ukraine is losing that it's the weaker country, and they do place a great premium on countries they believe to be strong in countries they believe to be weak. And I think Ukraine falls in the weaker category, and Russia falls in the in the stronger category. And in that sense, you know, if Ukraine is going to lose, then get a deal now and cut your losses and face reality. I think that that's probably the discourse and the tone in a lot of White House conversations. But I think in a different sense, when they look at Ukraine, they see it as a losing proposition for them. It's not just that the war is being lost, but the whole issue is a losing issue. So you could spend a lot of resources and put a lot of effort into it and work with the Europeans, which they don't really want to do, and you're not going to get much more than a kind of marginal set of gains from where we are at the present moment, the American population is not going to vote on the issue of the war in Ukraine. So you could put a lot of effort in, it won't yield you a big success. And so in some ways, it's just better to distance the American body politic from the conflict altogether, because it's a losing political proposition, Proposition they find. And there, there are, of course, you know, issues of the Trump campaign in 2024, and you know, sort of MAGA issues about the uses of American power and spending money, and Ukraine being sort of a distant country. And I think those two things combine to create this very hurried tempo and a kind of fantasy diplomacy aimed at ending the conflict, because in multiple ways, they see it as a loss. Interesting.
14:20
What about the politics from a Ukrainian domestic perspective? It seems that for the first time, there's been a sort of real questioning or real sort of undermining of Zelenskyy's popularity in Ukraine, potentially with this large corruption scandal. What do you make of that? And could you explain that scandal and its significance in this moment?
14:45
Yeah, I mean, it's, it's serious business. I don't mean to be flippant in making this point, but we want to be careful about what's particular to, let's say, Ukrainian politics and history in the last 30 years, and what's maybe particular to the world. War. And I'm not aware of any countries that become less corrupt during wartime. You know, wartime is a, is a is a motor of corruption, because it often diminishes media attention on the chief executive it. You know, there's a lot of spending in wartime, and, you know, just a lot of opportunities to feed at the trough. And that's definitely what's been happening with members of the Zelensky government who are quite close to Volodymyr Zelensky himself. The scandal focuses on, you know, sort of kickbacks and people making money off of off of contracts, and many of them, you know, perilously close to the to the inner circle of of of Volodymyr Zelensky. But the other story, and I don't think that we do Ukraine a service by not telling this story, is that since 1991 as in many post Soviet countries, there's just not a good separation of powers. And in particular, the judiciary and the executive are too intertwined. And in fact, the Maidan revolution of 2013 2014 we might think about that as geopolitics, and about Europe and about Russia and Ukraine's place in the world, and it was but the 2013 2014 revolution is an anti corruption revolution. When it's called the Revolution of Dignity, that's part of what's meant about the extreme corruption of the then president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, I don't think Poroshenko, the president who followed Yanukovych, was hugely corrupt, but he was an oligarch, and people around him sort of continued the old patterns. Zelenskyy also runs in 2019 as an anti corruption candidate. Kind of rises to fame in Ukraine as a protagonist of a television show that's about cleaning up Ukrainian politics. And I take him at his word. I don't think that Zelensky himself is personally corrupt, but perhaps there is inattention. He is jealous of his own authority and power, and I think he hasn't been great on media freedom in Ukraine since the start of the war, and that probably contributes to corruption, and it's just very hard. There's not really an incentive once you're in power, to diminish the power of the executive branch. And for that reason, the judiciary in Ukraine just never has the oversight that it that it needs. So it's a very, very serious issue because it damages Ukraine's chances of entering quickly into the European political fold, and it's just not what Ukraine needs at the present moment. And of course, Russia is exploiting it to the hilt. And to go back to Jeremi's question, when you look at Ukraine as let's use the term a kind of a loser, which I think Trump may well see when he looks at Ukraine, this is just further evidence, or could be used as further evidence for that. So it's completely unfortunate.
17:42
Michael, what are the chances that these two men at the center of this war, Putin and Zelensky, that they continue to go on as they've gone on? I mean, what's so striking to me as a historian, just just building on your last point, is how much of this war has been about the two of them, how much they have been front and center. Putin in launching this war, which was a completely unnecessary war, and Zelensky in rallying, at least initially, Ukrainians, and I think he continues to do this effectively, and rallying Europeans now, rallying Americans at different moments. So much of it has been about these two men, but history would lead us to believe that the conflict will will deteriorate their authority as well. So where do you see that going?
18:28
Yeah, that's a very you know, that's a profound question. And the nature of their authority is quite different, given the systems in which they operate, and also given that the war is not the same at all on the Russian side and and the Ukrainian side. So let's start with Zelensky. The man has his shortcomings. We've mentioned corruption that he's been unable to eradicate. I think the deeper shortcoming with Zelensky is that he overestimates his strategic ability, which we've seen, you know, Jeremi. We could go through a lot of examples of that with Churchill and others. Hitler, that's not, you know, the most useful example. But you know, sort of political leaders who think that they have too much, you know, sort of strategic acumen, or more than they do. And you know, Zelensky has made a lot of bad calls militarily, or has signed off on a lot of, a lot of bad calls. And, you know, I wonder about that. And one wonders, in the future, if you're to speculate about something bad happening in Ukraine, I don't think it's that Zelensky is going to fall because of corruption. And I don't think it's because Zelensky is going to lose the support of the Europeans. And over the US, Zelensky has some control. He's managed Trump really well over the last couple of months, but the US is going to do what it's going to do on its own terms. But where Zelensky can face real difficulties in his relations with the military, and you do see now certain figures, most importantly Zelensky, who had been the kind of head of the Ukrainian military and was. He was sent to London to be ambassador for a time, and is now, apparently back in in Ukraine, and he has an independent base of political support, and he does constitute something of a threat to Zelensky. I don't think that Zelensky or anyone else is just going to knock the system down during the war for the sake of gaining power, because it's too dangerous. But you know, there's where you see a certain shakiness on the Ukrainian side. And also, people talk about a bad deal for Ukraine, resulting in mutiny and resistance from the Ukrainian army. In other words, Zelensky goes to Washington, signs some kind of deal, giving the Donbas, all of the Donbas to Russia, and the Ukrainian military says, No way, and we're going to do what we're going to do, and that could become a real political crisis. I don't think we're there yet, but those, to me, seem the ways in which Ukraine is shaky, and even the personal charisma of a Volodymyr Zelensky probably can't paper over those tensions if they would get, you know, greater than they are, than they are now, you know, Putin is it's a very frustrating thing to analyze. I find one can't let one's emotions or sort of moral principles get too much in the way. It's important to see a system in its own light. Putin is quite secure in his power at the moment. He commands a very, very vertical and repressive state, but one that has traction and almost complete control over Russian politics, and it's hard to imagine the war dislodging that, you know, I think the shakiness that's there with Putin is connected to the realization that will come, I think, one day in Russia, that the war was a mistake. And you know, when that comes and when that instantiates itself. It may be that not just Putin loses his position, or that realization may come after Putin leaves the scene, but it could well be that Putinism itself unravels in Russia because it's based on something that is not in the national interest of the country, and it's based on something that's coded in deceptions and lies and and manipulations. And you know, if you could put the point in a general way, it's as if Putin has bet. Putin ism on the war. And I think over time it's going to be a losing bet. But over time could, unfortunately, mean 1015, 20 years, right?
22:16
So, so as I understand your your analysis, Michael, you see, despite these negotiations now, you see the war really continuing as an as a conflict, as a battle of attrition between the two sides.
22:32
Definitely. No, there's the devilish symmetry of this war, which I've mentioned already, this sort of dilemma that the closer Ukraine draws to the security structures of the West, the more Russia has incentives for continuing or perhaps for intensifying the war, I don't see a solution to that problem in the short to medium term. You could even be more pessimistic than that and say that there is no solution to that problem, that there's something zero sum about Ukraine's aspirations to independent statehood and participation in the European story and Russia's understanding of what Ukraine is and what Ukraine should be, or Putin's understanding at the very at the very least. And so that doesn't exclude the possibility of an operational pause, of a cessation of hostilities. It doesn't exclude the possibility that documents could be signed and what appears like conventional negotiation could take place. And here, you know, I'm sure our listeners are versed in these topics, but you do have the Budapest Memorandum of 1994 which was a document signed after Ukraine had given up its nuclear weapons in the post Soviet period, and a security guarantee was given to Ukraine by the US, by European countries, by by Russia. That proved to be, of course, meaningless. And more recently, you have minced diplomacy from 2014 to 2015 which was a very decorous series of meetings and agreements. And, you know, it really seemed like something was resolved, but it truly wasn't, in a way, the seeds of the 2022 war are planted in the very inadequate diplomacy of 2014 2015 so it's not to say that there isn't a role for diplomacy in all this. I think that there is a bit of crisis management, escalation management, conflict management. It's not wrong for Washington and Moscow to talk at any point, but that diplomacy can really wedge itself into the war at the present moment and solve the war's fundamental problems. I simply see zero evidence of that.
24:37
What about the other sort of line in the in the sort of triangular relationship on the Ukrainian side of the war, that between the United States and Europe, if anything, the sort of negotiations between the US and Russia at this moment seem to seem to hurt the US-European alliance the most is that you think an accurate reading and and what, might, what might these negotiations do to that sort of tenuous alliance between the United States and Europe in support of Ukraine?
25:07
I completely agree with that interpretation. And if Putin has any real objective here, it's not ending the war. You know, there are clearly 100 steps Putin could take to end the war that he's not taking, such as withdrawing troops and and scaling back the hostilities, etc. But that's, you know, not his bid and not his not his game. It's clear that he's going to create interest in Trump's Washington in an end to the war, and then string Washington along for as long as he can without changing the basics of the of the of the war. So you could ask the question, you know, going back to your first question, Zachary About What Motivates Putin, like, why do it in the first place? If you're not interested in ending the war, you know, why pursue this charade of diplomacy? And I think he does it in part, because it exhausts Ukraine. You know, it takes time and attention of Ukrainian policymakers, Zelensky, rushing from place to place, and just focusing on this. And that has its uses in wartime. But more than anything, what Putin is trying to do successfully, I would say, for him, is to shine a light on the space between the United States and Europe. And so for Europe, an unprincipled end to the war is certainly undesirable and it may really be impossible. In other words, it may not be possible for the EU, plus Germany, you know, France, UK, many other countries in Europe to sign on formally to the transfer of territory from Ukraine to Russia. That just for Europe, sets a precedent that is so dangerous that it runs counter to the core interests of the key European actors, even though there is domestic disagreement in Europe and each country has a different threat assessment. But rearranging Europe in that way is not going to work for Europe, and so that's why you see heightened defense spending, high levels of support for Ukraine, and the backing of Macron merits, Starmer and others for Zelensky as he goes into these negotiations, that Europe is serving as a backstop for Zelensky, and that's because of very clear European interest. Now the US, in my view, should adhere to those interests and support them. They seem to me like American interests, but the White House has a different read, of course, and the White House wants to for the reasons we were already talking about, wrap up the war, you know, park it, put it somewhere where it's no longer visible, sweep it under the carpet, move on to other things. Call it a great diplomatic success for the for the US, and that's a totally different approach from the mainstream European approach. So it's not a cosmetic transatlantic difference, it's a profound transatlantic difference. And so the more Putin can shed a light on that, put a spotlight on that, the weaker the transatlantic relationship seems, and the weaker the transatlantic relationship is. If there's no longer a shared threat assessment on an issue as significant as the war in Ukraine, is there really a transatlantic alliance in the full sense of the word. And I would just put a question mark there, and Putin really wants that question mark to be in bold face.
28:07
So, so Michael, what, what should the United States do? I mean, in a in a certain way, the peace offering by the Trump administration is a self serving act. It doesn't match with the realities on the ground. As you pointed out, on the other hand, as you say, there's a possibility of at least a short term cessation to hostilities, which which might actually be good for everyone. What should the administration do that it's not doing right now?
28:38
A couple of things that it's not doing. And I think you want to start just with a, you know, believable, accurate understanding of the war itself. And some of this is is so basic that it's almost embarrassing to repeat, but I'm not sure it's been internalized by by President Trump and some of the people who work for him, but that the war is Russia's fault. That the war begins with an outright Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, and of course, earlier, that the war was unprovoked, that the war reflects a will to control Ukraine on Russia's part. These don't seem to me like complicated arguments. They're almost statements of fact, but they do have to be internalized. So that would be the first point. The second point is that hastily planned, sloppy diplomacy is probably worse than no no diplomacy at all. So if you are to pursue, you know, and I think it's fine to inquire with diplomacy to just see where you stand and, you know, figure it out. But if you do that, you can do that privately. You don't necessarily have to do it in public. And this constant building up of expectations, you know, Secretary Rubio saying we made a huge amount of progress in Miami about a week ago, and there's no visible progress. President Trump going into. Alaska, implying that the, you know, the war is going to come to an end, they're kind of there. They've, they've, they've had a breakthrough, and there was no breakthrough. So that, I think, really weakens the US position, these kind of promises and claims that are so at odds with the with the reality. So you can do less in public, you can lower expectations, and at the same time, I think you can still explore and talk. You know, I think a third sort of and final point to make is that the US needs to have a very careful understanding of what its real leverage is in the situation. And this is no longer the 1990s when you can send Richard Holbrook somewhere to quote, unquote, end the war. To end a war, the title of Richard Holbrooks book about the Balkans in the 1990s that's not the role the US is going to play here. The US is one piece of a very big puzzle, which does include China and non European countries. US can facilitate. It can put forward ideas. It can convene. It can do things, but it has to understand its leverage, and its leverage has a lot of limits, which I think are not well understood in the White House, and most baffling of all the US is diminishing its leverage at the same time that it's trying to be the number one country solving the problem. So it's lowering its support to Ukraine, which diminishes us leverage. It's fouling up the transatlantic relationship, which is diminishing us leverage, and constantly suggesting that it would be in the interest of the United States to withdraw from Europe in general, which also diminishes us leverage in Europe, objectively. So there seems to be a very hazy understanding of what us leverage is, and that too makes the diplomacy just almost destined to fail.
31:34
Michael is the missing piece though, really the security guarantee for Ukraine. And should the United States consider giving that or be being part of a security guarantee for Ukraine?
31:45
I wanna avoid, uh, not trying to be rude here. I wanna avoid a think tank answer to that, uh, question. Cause I do think it's easy to sit in a think tank in Austin, Texas, or Washington DC or, uh, or New Haven, Connecticut. Uh, it's easy to sit in, think tank mode and say yes, we can resolve the problem of the war, uh, with a security guarantee to, to Ukraine. I do think that that's true, and I think it matters, but I also think that there's a real problem of domestic politics, uh, in Germany, uh, in France, in the UK, and in the United States, and I don't know how we overcome that problem in the short to medium term. In other words, sending troops to Ukraine is not a non-starter for strategic reasons, but it's a non-starter for domestic political reasons in all the countries, that I mentioned. Even large groups of technical experts and assistance to operate, you know, western weaponry in Ukraine, would I think be tricky. And then there are thresholds when it comes to financial support to Ukraine. All of these countries are puzzling through. You know, Trump does win the 2024 election on a campaign that includes lowering support to Ukraine. And I wouldn't wanna factor that out of the equation. So the question is, what's the credible commitment to Ukraine that can be managed, uh, that suits the contours of domestic political, domestic politics in the US and in the key European. Uh, actors and there, I think we arrive more at a strategy of containment than in a strategy based on NATO like security guarantees. Um, and you know, I think that if it's the next best thing, then it's worth focusing, uh, on that. Uh, and containment means close levels of cooperation, you know, the kind of intelligence sharing and targeting that the US does. Uh, with Ukraine, defense, industrial production. Maybe that's the real elixir, uh, in this, in this mix that if Europe and the US and Ukraine can get together and really succeed at defense industrial production, which actually they're not doing, uh, at the present moment. But, uh, if they could do that, then maybe that becomes the TA at security, guarantee for Ukraine, but a kind of formal NATO like commitment. I think it solves the problem, but I also don't think it's, it's realistic unless our domestic politic politics changes, uh, so much. So it's not a particularly satisfying answer to your question, but to me it's the most honest one I can, I can muster.
34:09
That makes sense.
34:12
Well, thank you so much, Michael. I think you've provided us with a very sombering, but important portrait of where things stand in Ukraine today. And, you know, we began this episode. Listing, many of the sort of recent developments in the war that seem to really be shifting the landscape, and I think you've maybe offered a compelling case for why they don't necessarily mark a major transformation. Right. In the, and really an entrenchment of the same dynamics that we've been dealing with for the last. Three and a half years.
34:48
If I could Zachary just jump in with one further point, uh, since it sort of popped up at the end of my last, uh, last answer. I am, you know, all in favor of diplomacy. I'm all in favor of grand strategy. I'm all in favor of being able to think in abstract terms about the war in Ukraine. It's, it's necessary. It's important, it's necessary. The academic side is necessary on the, uh, on the policy side, but if there's any. Message in a way to leave listeners with when it comes to what can be done in a practical sense, a non defeatist, non fatalistic sense of supporting Ukraine. It resides very much in defense, industrial production, uh, and the production of drones, uh, in particular. Maybe the war will take on a new phase a year from now, or six months from now, and it'll be a different technology. But I was shocked to hear a briefing from Michael Kaufman noted, you know, military expert on the war. That Ukraine had an edge in drone warfare for the beginning of 2025, and that was helping Ukraine on the battlefield. For the last five, six months, Russia has had an edge in drone production and drone use on the, on the battlefield, and that's why Russia's making incremental gains. Now, how can that be when Russia's economy is one 10th the size of Europe's economy? And if you put the US into the mix, it's just such a small, uh, entity economically there, I think you can balance the equation. In ways that will really work in Ukraine's favor, uh, over time. So for, for all the abstractions that we just talked about in the last 40, minutes or so, the particulars of defense industrial production should demand a lot of our attention.
36:15
And, and just because you brought it up now, Michael, I can't resist asking, how did Russia shift that, uh, balance of, in, in what we might call the drone gap now, how, how did, how did that occur? Was it simply the, the withdrawal of American support for Ukraine, or what made that shift possible?
36:32
I don't really know. It's a question to ask a person who would be really inside of that question. All I can say, just as a general answer to, to your question, Jeremi, is that. The Russian economy is on a sort of mobilized wartime footing. The economy is the society is not, but the economy is with huge levels of defense spending at purchasing power parity, which of course we can say Russia has the eco, an economy the size of Italy's. But within the Russian economy, high levels of defense spending can, can bring about big results, and they're running factories 24 hours a day. And it's an authoritarian government, so they can force people to work there and sort of push production, uh, lines and levels at a, at a very, very high clip. And so in that sense, what we wanna be aware of, um, is the level of urgency on our side. It's way too low, uh, in the US. That feels clear to me. Uh, but I think it may even be too low in, in Europe, the level of urgency, uh, when it comes to this war, its potential consequences, uh, and the need to act quickly, uh, and resolutely so. You know, there, when you think of what Russia has done over the last four years, uh, to stick with the war and to gain certain kinds of advantage, that should be pretty sobering for us.
37:35
Yes.
37:36
Wonderful. Well, thank you so much, Michael, for this comprehensive portrait, uh, of where we are in this moment. Um, thank you Jeremi for your insights as well. Um, and thank you most of all to our listeners for joining us for this latest episode of This Is Democracy.
Episode 313: Civics and History Education
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. Today we are going to talk about civics and history, education, a topic near and dear to this podcast each week, and a topic near and dear to many people in our society today. What does it mean? To have a serious civics and historical education. Why is this important and, most interesting? Maybe why is this such a contentious issue in our society today? We are going to talk to, someone who I think has thought more about these issues than almost anyone else. I know he’s a leading scholar and pedagogical in innovator. this is Professor Steven Mintz, my colleague at the University of Texas at. Austin, Steve, welcome to our podcast.
01:07
Thank you very much, Jeremi, for inviting me.
01:11
It, is our pleasure. for those of you who don’t know Steve Min’s work, you should, he is, I think, the leading historian of, the family, child, the childhood, and, family development in American history. He is, as I said before, not only, a prolific author, but a pedagogical innovator. He was for five years. The director of the UT Systems Institute for Transformational Learning, where he did a lot of pioneering work, in online and other forms of technological education. Steve has written many prize-winning books. I’m just going to name two that I highly recommend. There are two that I certainly have learned a lot from. one is called Hux Raft. Which, by the way, has a really beautiful cover among other things. it’s a history of American childhood published, around 2004, I believe. And then his, most recent book, I believe is the Learning Centered University, making College a more developmental, transformational and Equitable Experience. a book that certainly taught me a lot about not only the, history of the university, but about, many of the challenges and opportunities that we have today. So we are very fortunate to have Steve with us, before we get into our discuss. With Steve. as always, we have an opening poem, and today it’s a poem that Zachary, you have written yourself, coming back to Your Roots as our podcast poet. Yes, Zachary?
02:32
Yes.
02:34
What’s the title of your poem?
02:35
Philadelphia From Above.
02:38
Ooh, Philadelphia. From Above. It makes me think of cream cheese. Zachary.
02:42
Yeah. maybe don’t think of cream cheese because it’s not about cream cheese.
02:49
Though now she glows by the river. Only a step from the dark sea. It was all darkness then. No streetlights on the boulevards. No neon at the corner store. Not a bulb, a flame. When they came, galloping in on horseback, waiting to sign the necessary page. How then can I feel so powerless above the valley? A glow. Impossible, I think to be anything but awake. Eyes drawn to so many illuminations of suffering. I float away, down past the Delaware, how hard it is in this world to sign your name.
03:31
I love the Constitutional Convention references there. Zachary, what is your poem about?
03:37
I think my poem is about, how when we study history, we often. think of it as set in stone, as something momentous that happened, a long time ago, and that cannot be replicated. and we think of these moments like the constitutional, convention, as being rooted in, a sort of unique courage, a sort of superhuman courage that we can’t summon. and how. particularly in moments when the world seems to be spinning away from us, how hard it can be to feel like we actually have a voice or that we ha we have a sort of similar responsibility or similar role to play as the people that we study.
04:26
The role that, that we play, not just relying on the image of the founders but are recreating and remaking their work every day. Yes. Steve, I think this is at the center of civics. Your thoughts on the poem.
04:41
It reminds me very much of one of the great poems of all time, Matthew Arnolds, Dover Beach.
04:49
Yes.
04:50
Dover Beach is nominally about the relationship between a man and his lover, but it is really about secularization. It’s about the transformations that are challenging 19th century beliefs. Beliefs in God, beliefs in social stability, modernization, industrialization, massive migration, mobility. All these were upending society. And where do we find meaning?
05:30
Yes. Yes.
05:30
And this is not a challenge of just the mid 19th century. Of course. It’s a challenge for our own time.
05:38
Yes.
05:38
And I think we often don’t think about civics education as really an effort to confront the changes that we’re going through and try to make sense of them collectively.
05:53
Yes. Yes. I, that’s so beautifully said. Steve, and I love the Matthew Arnold, reference. why then I, is this so hard for us today? it, it seems as if we’re caught up in, not just discussions of civics and history, education, but discussions about how to talk about that. why has it become so hard for us?
06:14
The answer I think is quite simple. This society is engaged in a culture war, and classrooms have become proxy battlegrounds in that war. People aren’t just arguing about civics or about history. They’re really arguing about values, patriotism, and democracy itself. And what makes this particularly difficult is there’s two opposing visions. Of civics one, which I favor, is to, instill a deep understanding of foundational facts, content, to learn that American history has been a constant debate, struggle, conflict over fundamental values and purpose and direction. And then there is another form of civics education, which is much more applied, that looks at contemporary events. And these are so divisive. I think that’s not the way we should really go. I think, a backward glance will be more helpful in this fraught context. Then focusing on issues that often students don’t have any deep knowledge about. Anyway,
07:46
Spoken like a great historian, Zachary,
07:50
But what is the, purpose of civic educ civics education in the first place, do you think? At the very least, perhaps there is agreement on why we should teach physics, if not on, on how.
08:02
Civics. You mean Zachary not physics, right?
08:04
Sorry. Oh, lemme rephrase the question. did I say physics? Okay.
08:09
Yeah.
08:11
My own personal view is that students do need to know about the American system of government and how it’s evolved, and about how Americans have debated over time issues of liberty, equality, and justice. These are fundamental disputes, and the battles have often been waged in good faith, with fundamental disagreements that we need to bring out into the open and seriously discuss. I don’t think we do that enough. Jeremi, I hate to say this, but often there’s a tendency in history classes to treat it as if it’s simply about the past.
09:02
Yes.
09:03
To give students a richer sense of what the world was like in the past, but if we teach history that way, we lose out on a huge opportunity. What lessons does the past have for the present? Not simple-minded lessons, but complex lessons, intricate lessons that help us to better cope with the issues of our own time. I.
09:30
Steve, how do we determine what are the key texts and key topics that students should learn? This seems to be one of the points of debate even within the circle of those of us who believe in a backward looking, historical way of thinking about civics. What role should slavery play as often? a controversial issue. where should we bring in the role of. Certain figures who are maybe controversial, am Malcolm X, for example. So how do we think about that?
10:01
In my own research, I am what’s called a social historian. I am especially interested how ordinary people, diverse people, the inarticulate led their lives. But I also believe that when I teach the US History Survey course, or when I advocate for civics education, I’m talking about political history. And one thing that makes me a bit sad about our own department, UT Austin, one of the largest history departments in the United States. Is we don’t really teach enough political history because politics isn’t simply about checks and balances. It is ultimately where we as a democratic society debate the serious issues before us and reach collective conclusions and. A history department that doesn’t really focus on politics is missing a huge opportunity. And again, I wanna stress, I am a social historian. I’ve written about slavery, I’ve written about social movements for reform. I’ve written about private life. But if we don’t teach. The history of politics. We are not doing our students a service.
11:43
Yeah, I, couldn’t agree more as, someone who’s in part a political historian. it seems to me that whether we like it or not, presidents matter. Steve,
11:54
Presidential decision making is we are power. Ultimately resides. And if we don’t focus on that and how those decisions are made in what interest they’re being made, we are doing everyone a disservice.
12:12
Yes. Yes. Zachary?
12:15
How do you think, this sort of vision of civics as political history, can be applied or implemented at a sort of secondary or primary school level? it seems like civics is, a subject that many Americans only, take once or, twice, and usually in middle school or elementary school or high school. So what does it mean to, and, what, and in your mind, what does the ideal sort of civics education at, that level look like?
12:44
American history, in my view, is an ongoing debate. The terms of that debate were set surprisingly early, right? They were set during the revolution and in its immediate aftermath, but those questions remain vibrant even today, who is an American? This question of citizenship. Citizens’ Rights. This was an issue in 17 87, 17 91, 18 65, and continues on to today. We need students to engage in those debates, but not as opinion, not as theorizing, but grounded in the actual debates that took place. And those debates do not just involve major political figures, cast in marble or bronze. They involve ordinary Americans who took part in those debates, who contested issues in the courts, who fought for their rights collectively. That’s the story I think about how America really works. Now we often focus on powerful individuals, and I’m not opposed to that, but in a democracy, most power is expressed Collectively, we are members of groups that advocate for our interests and that can teach our students an awful lot about how power works in a democracy.
14:36
I think that’s so well said. Steve, one would think listening to you that there would be easy consensus around this and one would expect that, particularly in a state like Texas where you and I both teach that this would resonate with, Know more politically conservative ears, political conservatives who care about and claim to care a lot about presidential leadership, and executive power. why has this been so challenging? You’ve been involved deeply, through the American Historical Association and other organizations and trying to work on Texas history standards, and you have faced a lot of resistance. What’s the challenge at the state level?
15:20
Both sides believe rightly or wrongly, that the other side is acting in bad faith. When I read on Twitter from the Texas Public Policy Institute that the National Council of Social Sciences in the American Historical Association are fighting to advance a radical secular Marxist agenda. I wanna throw up my hands. As I’ve tried to explain to the State Board of Education, what concerns me is that students are coming into my class having never heard of the Enlightenment, the very philosophical foundation of this nation. How can that be? And part of the answer is that in our emphasis on mathematical literacy. And language arts. We’ve downplayed civics and social studies. We need to devote more time to this. I want students who are well prepared to take part in serious discussions, and I worry that’s not happening. But when I hear criticisms that. Seem to imply I have an ideological agenda or that the American Historical Association has an ideological agenda, my spine stiffens.
16:58
Yeah. Where do you think these, criticisms of historians, but not just historians, this is criticism of curricula in particular. it’s striking that this is a moment when, high school and middle school history curricula is at the center of national political debates. Why this attention to these questions now? What is making them such, potent political issues?
17:24
There is deep distrust. And there’s distrust on both sides. It’s not all on one party or the other. There is an unwillingness to accept a basic premise, which is that both sides want students to have a rigorous, substantive foundational education. No side here is talking about. Relevance for relevance sake or teaching current events. Both sides want a serious, historically grounded education for our students, but there is grave doubt on both sides that the other side really believes that.
18:17
And I guess why is that, Steve? That we’ve been a partisan society, speaking of political history throughout our history and, people have always distrusted the other side. Just go back to the founding moment in Jefferson and Hamilton. they, accused each other of bad faith, as did Hamilton and, Aaron Burr. So, what, is it right now that makes this so much more difficult than it was in prior moments?
18:45
Jeremi, that’s the, $64,000 question has often been said. That is, in so many ways this society is better off than it ever has been. We’re not engaged in a major war right now. We have new technologies like. Artificial intelligence, or should I say green power, that are really remarkable. Austin is filled with self-driving cars that do not get into accidents like real people do,
19:29
Right?
19:29
This should be a moment of one would think consensus when we could all agree that our students need post COVID. I. A stronger education. we can’t have a society where half of the students are below proficient in literacy or mathematics, and yet that’s not the society that we live in. And so it is up to each of us, I think, to be. Completely transparent about work, what our values and priorities are. My priority is educational. I want my students to get a good foundational understanding of history, geography, economics, and the other elements of the social sciences. I have no larger agenda than that. And I would hope that I could convince my adversaries. I am acting in good faith. I do not have a radical secular Marxist agenda. I want my students to be well prepared for my history class.
20:54
That makes, perfect sense. so say more s Steve about what you are proposing for history standards, what you are seeking to, to do, to correct the partisanship and the bias that you see. harming our discussion
21:11
Under state law, the state board of education is empowered to establish. Essential skills and knowledge that students are to acquire.
21:23
This is Texas State law you’re talking about?
21:25
Yes. This is Texas State law. The state Board of Education is not empowered to adopt a curriculum. Pedagogy, and lesson planning is specifically decentralized. That is, it is the responsibility of school districts. And of individual teachers, and I believe that’s exactly how it should be. Further under state law, the working groups that develop the techs as they’re known, the Texas Essentials knowledge and Skills, these are to be created by experienced educators. That is by teachers. By curriculum designers, by professors who have actual expertise teaching these subjects. And when we don’t do that, when we bring politically motivated nonprofits into this discussion, it’s a different discussion.
22:39
Yeah.
22:39
Teachers care about students. Teachers care about learning. They have practical experience in what works and what doesn’t, and we need to be willing to rely on them because they have professional judgment and experience.
22:59
Yeah.
23:00
Now, what is a learning objective? A learning objective is not too broad. That is know about the Civil War. It is not too narrow. What happened at the Battle of Bull Run. It’s something in between that, and it is measurable, and the job of the Board of Education is to spell out those essential learning objectives and not to dictate a curriculum. And certainly not to tell people how to learn. And further, the state says through law that the standards are to prepare students for college. 70% of high school students will go on to college in Texas. They need to be prepared for our classes, and that requires them to have certain foundational knowledge. And I want to ensure that. and so if you design a curriculum that downplays world history and world cultures, we are not preparing our students for the kind of education that they will receive, either a community college at a regional comprehensive university at a private university, or a flagship university. We need to do better and the way to do better is simply to follow the law.
24:41
So the, standard should lay out broad learning objectives, make perhaps suggestions of particular texts that can be used and then leave things to the local teachers to take it from there. Correct.
24:55
That’s my view and that’s my reading of the state statutes. And also I think it will get us away from these culture war issues. They don’t need to be fought at the state level. If Houston wants to do something and El Paso wants to do something else, as long as they cover the learning objectives, that should be fine. Texas believes in decentralization, and I think that’s a pretty good idea.
25:24
You know an old question that goes back to, the scopes trial and much earlier is, how do we fit religion into this? it’s not only in Texas, but it certainly is in Texas where we have, groups that, for instance, believe the Constitution was written by God. how do we, address that? They, would argue that under your model, their point of view will be excluded
25:50
When I teach US history. Religion occupies a very large chunk of what I communicate. You can’t teach American history without incorporating religion, but that is not religion as dima, that is not religion as, one position among many. Instead, what we’re teaching about is the role of religious groups, of religious ideas in shaping this nation. we can debate on specific cases. who was right, who was wrong, what were the limits? What should be the limits? But religion needs to occupy a place in the curriculum. But that is an academic place, not a doctrinal place. one thing that makes the United States unique among advanced developed countries is we have a much higher level of religious belief. That is an element in American exceptionalism, but it’s also an academic question. Why is it that the United States is a much more religious churchgoing society than any of the countries in Western Europe? this is a subject that we can discuss academically and should, I do believe that earlier versions of US history that downplayed religion were mistakes. Religion is a key element in shaping this society’s values. It has been the driving force behind almost every reform movement in America, whether we’re talking about the civil rights movement or the labor movement, or the social gospel that inspired progressivism. Religion has a place in the curriculum, but it is not. We are not to teach religion as dogma or doctrine.
28:16
Right. One would think that would fall under separation of church and state also, Steve?
28:21
Absolutely.
28:23
Zachary.
28:24
What about maybe the critics from the other side who might say that, civics education that focuses on politics or political actors or on the sort of key, political or military moments in American history? Misses a large chunk of the American population who, who aren’t included in many of those, traditional narratives of American politics. I guess this is the question of diversity. Where does diversity or diversity, equity and inclusion fit into this teaching of civics?
28:57
American debates were never exclusively among elite white males. One impact of the American Revolution. One impact that I’m afraid Ken Burns’ documentary does not discuss in sufficient depth is that the revolutionary period created a whole group of black intellectuals who were engaged in the debates of the time the American Revolution created. The first outspoken, what we would call feminist statements about the position of women in society. We shouldn't have a narrow conception of what debates count and what debates don't count. We should include all of the speakers who are part of these debates, which you'll discover. It's no challenge to include diversity in this kind of discussion. The diversities, they're the primary sources are there. it's only a matter of including them inside the courses that we teach.
30:20
Do you think, Steve, that this has been, a lacuna in the past, is that a fair criticism of past standards?
30:28
Steven Mintz: Absolutely. One thing that I know that the American Historical Association would be happy to do that I believe our own department would be happy to do, is to create a packet of primary sources that would bring in a diversity of voices who were engaged in the fundamental civics debates in this society. It’s not a challenge. We do it all in our courses anyway.
30:58
Right?
30:59
Let’s help teachers to do this.
31:02
Yes.
31:03
These debates will show our students that we’re not the first generation to ever debate justice or equity or the limits of rights. These are ongoing conversations. And I think it would be really helpful to our students who are often blind to previous debates to understand that they’re coming in pretty late to the dinner party and that the dinner party’s already been going on, and you’re joining in a conversation that is more than two centuries old.
31:48
Again, spoken like a great historian. You’ve given us so much. Steve, before we finish, I can’t help but ask you about technology. I think we need to talk about technology a little bit, especially because you’ve been such a pioneer. What role should technology play in this discussion?
32:06
Technology is a tool. It is not a substitute for teaching and certainly not a substitute for learning. Imagine being able to bring in infinite number of primary sources into every classroom in this society. And not just written texts, but music, film, clips, artworks, and the like. We can do that, and we can do that because of technology. You know what a wonderful opportunity. Also, we can create environments where students can make presentations using technological tools. They can create mini movies, they can create infographics and the like. This is not hard to do anymore. This is easy to do. So let’s do it. Let me just give. A couple of examples from my own class, things that I have students do. I give every student in my class a small cemetery on Cape Cod, and in that cemetery, they look at every gravestone. There’s usually only about 20 gravestones still existing in those cemeteries. And they look at the names, they look at the. Birth dates and the date of death, and then they have to draw conclusions. They look at the iconography on the top of the gravestone and they describe it. I can do that because of technology. And what an opportunity for the students they discover. To their surprise, children die more than anyone else. They discover. That if you lived over the age of 20, you lived not quite as long as we do today, but as long as our parents lived right, they lived into their seventies and eighties, they discovered that women died earlier than men. Unlike today when men died later than women, there is a lot to discuss in class and another. Technological tool I give my students is a sort of version, a flight simulator. You are Columbus and you have to sail from the new world, I mean from the old world to the new world and back using current wind and ocean currents and you discover it is not easy to do. You have to sail south along the coast of Africa from Spain, then cross over. You’re approaching Brazil, and then you sell northward before you can reach the Caribbean. It is not easy, and to get back, you have to sell northward towards Canada. Cross over towards Ireland and Britain before you can sail south. To Spain. People appreciate Columbus’ navigation skills when they do this, that this is not easy. Now there’s other conversations they can have about Columbus, but this one I think they find interesting and it’s hands-on learning using technology tools and that turns. History, education into active learning, not just passive listening.
36:01
Yes, I love that. I need to try the Columbus simulator myself. That sounds fascinating. I love how that makes the history, first of all, more tangible for students, Steve, but it also makes it more fun. It seems to me it’s a real great way to use technology, not to dumb things down, but to meet our audience where it is.
36:22
Absolutely.
36:24
Zachary, how do you think about all this? As someone who’s studying history in college now, and of course has just recently gone through high school history and all the, challenges of that, how do you think about history standards and does what Steve says here, does it resonate with you?
36:45
I think it does. I think one thing that I’ve certainly learned is that a lot of it doesn’t necessarily come down to the standards or the curricula, but it comes down to the teacher in the classroom. And I think part of the problem is that so much of the money and attention and accolades have gone. To those teaching STEM, courses, math, economics, science, computer science, engineering, et cetera. And less attention has been paid to building, sustaining, and encouraging, really effective and passionate teachers of civics and history. And I think, so in the same way that, good teachers at universities and colleges, make all the difference. I think in the same way it’s true at, in, at a high school level and middle school and elementary school.
37:30
Yeah. It’s really interesting. What, you say, Zachary? I’ve been struck, our daughter, Natalie, is teaching in fifth grade in San Antonio now through Teach for America, and they give almost no time to history or what they call social studies. It’s all math and science. I think this is part of the problem, too, Steve, isn’t it? That there’s just not. Actual attention in the classroom to history for a sufficient amount of time and space.
37:54
Absolutely. I totally agree with that. I would add something else. Our own department, which is very typical of history departments nationwide, does not offer specific classes to teachers or future teachers about how to teach history in their classrooms. And that’s a big loss. What we’re good at, above all, are anecdotes and stories. We know how to bring history to life, right?
38:28
Yes.
38:29
Cause we’ve spent a lifetime reading and most teachers have other pressures on them. Apart from that. And working together, I think we could really improve the quality of K-12 history and social studies education, not because we’re gonna be the nce of authority, not because we’re gonna be condescending, but simply sharing what we know. The teachers are the real experts in pedagogy, but we’re experts in facts and stories. And together we could do a great job.
39:10
This is something that both you and I and many of our colleagues participate in through, groups like the Gilda Lehrman Institute, humanities, Texas, other humanities councils around the country where teachers and historians come together. To discuss exactly these issues. And, I think where we are most helpful as historians, as you said, Steve, is sharing anecdotes and sharing primary sources that can be used, in this context to close us out, at least for the, for this discussion today. Steve, what should non-teachers who care about and non-pro professors who care about these issues, what should they do? What should ordinary citizens be doing right now? if they care about history as we do, how can they get involved? How can they, help you in your efforts?
39:55
I think they need to make the following argument that the challenge today is not to teach the right story about America, which I don’t know what it is. It’s to teach students how to think historically and reason responsibly and learn how to live in a pluralistic democracy. We need great teachers who can do that. We need great curricula that seek to do that. We need forms of pedagogy that actually engage our students. So I think what the public needs to insist upon is not social studies as some kind of ideological endeavor, but rather education as it ought to be. Yes, education as inquiry, education as problem solving. Education is building on evidence and primary sources. That’s the education our students need.
41:03
That sounds so persuasive and so compelling. I hope people listen. I hope that is the direction that comments go at school board meetings, too often people are arguing over some political issue, not over. What it seems to me is the meat and potatoes of this, which you just, I think, have highlighted so well. Professor Steven Minz, thank you so much for joining us today. Thank you for all of the work you do in this. Area, not just as a historian, but also in some ways as a, as an activist for the di discipline of history. Thank you, Steve.
41:37
Thank you very much
41:39
And thank you, Zachary, of course, for your moving poem, that got us started with the founders in Philadelphia and for your excellent questions. And thank you, most of all, to our loyal listeners and loyal subscribers to our Substack for joining us for this week of This Is Democracy.
Episode 314: Reflections on 2025, Lessons for 2026
00:20
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This is our first episode of 2026. That’s exciting, Zachary, isn’t it?
00:30
Yes. New year.
00:31
New Year, new possibilities. It’s always good to turn the page. Today we are going to not review 2025. That would take hour upon hour. And in a sense, everyone’s doing that, so we don’t need to repeat what others are doing. What we’re gonna do is talk about some of the impressions, lessons, uh, insights, um, feelings, even vibes from 2025, uh, that we’ve thought through. That we’ve discussed on this podcast in our Substack and elsewhere. And, uh, we’re gonna talk about what we think those impressions and experiences mean as we open this new year. As we open this year. Uh, still in a world of tumult. But also a world of possibility. The challenges are certainly great, uh, but the possibilities remain real and we’re gonna talk about those today. Uh, and of course I’m joined, uh, by our co-host, uh, Zachary. Siri. Zachary, did you have a good holiday?
01:26
I did, yes.
01:28
It’s nice to be back, back at work, isn’t it?
01:30
Yes.
01:31
So, uh, Zachary, you have, um, a snippet from the great George Orwell that you wanna read, and, uh, we are both big fans of Orwell’s work, as are I’m sure many of our listeners. Orwell was a fiction writer, an essayist, a journalist, uh, and, and left a legacy not only of insightful. Analysis about society, but also just good quality writing, writing that still speaks to us of the importance of words and how we use our words. So I’m gonna turn it over to you. Tell us maybe a little bit about the passage and uh, then you can go ahead and read it.
02:09
Yeah. So this is a section from, uh, can Socialists Be Happy, uh, by George Orwell. It was an essay published in 1943, I believe, in the left wing British newspaper. Um, the New Statesman. Um, and, uh, this to me is an essay that I’ve been coming back to a lot, uh, the last few months. I found myself reading a George Orwell essay pretty much every night before I go to bed. Um, I think,
02:35
I hope everyone does that. Yeah, I think his normal behavior.
02:39
I think his voice is, uh, particularly relevant in this moment. Uh, especially his unwillingness to tolerate nonsense from anyone, uh, and his sort of unflagging commitment to humanity. In, in world events. Uh, and this is a section that I think speaks to that, that maybe I hope also offers us some words of consolation, uh, and maybe also put some fire, uh, behind this as well. This is, uh, of section again from Can socialists be happy? The inability of mankind to imagine happiness except in the form of relief, either from effort or pain, presents socialists with a serious problem. Dickens can describe a poverty stricken family tucking into a roast goose and can make them appear happy. On the other hand, the inhabitants of perfect universes seem to have no spontaneous gaity and are usually somewhat repulsive into the bargain. But clearly we are not aiming at the kind of world Dickens described, nor probably at any world he was capable of imagining. The socialist objective is not a society where everything comes right in the end because kind old gentlemen give away turkeys. What are we aiming at, if not a society in which charity would be unnecessary? We want a world where Scrooge with his dividends and tiny Tim with his tuberculous leg would both be unthinkable. But does that mean we are aiming at some painless, effortless utopia? At the risk of saying something, which the editors of Tribune, sorry, Tribune was the paper it was published in May not endorse. I suggest that the real objective of socialism is not happiness. Happiness hither two has been a byproduct, and for all we know, it may always remain. So the real objective of socialism is human brotherhood. This is widely felt to be the case, though. What is not usually said or not said loudly enough. Mens up their lives in heartbreaking political struggles or get themselves killed in civil wars, or tortured in the secret prisons of the Gestapo. Not in order to establish some central heated, air conditioned, strip lighted paradise, but because they want a world in which human beings love one another instead of swindling and murdering one another, and they want that world as a first step. Where they go from there is not so certain, and the attempt to foresee it in detail merely confuses the issue. Nearly all creators of Utopia have resembled the man who has toothache, and therefore things happiness consists in not having toothache. They wanted to produce a perfect society by an endless continuation of something that had only been valuable because it was temporary. The wider course would be to say that there are certain lines along which humanity must move. The grand strategy is mapped out, but detailed prophecy is not our business. Whoever tries to imagine perfection simply reveals his own emptiness.
05:20
There’s a lot in that passage, Zachary. What, what’s going on there? What is Orwell saying?
05:26
Well, I think first of all, at a surface level, he’s answering his question, can socialists be happy? Really with the answer? No. Um, but I think it’s why, why? It’s more complicated than though, I think what he’s saying is that what happiness is is something temporary and fleeting. Uh, a feeling of community or a feeling of, uh, contentment or joy that only exists, uh, in contrast to the drudgery of everyday life or the injustices of everyday life. Um, and I think that’s very relevant for, for all of us who have celebrated holidays in the new year, in the last few weeks. Um, I think that’s probably something a lot of us have felt, not just this year, but in past years as well. Um, and I think he’s als what he’s also saying is that, uh, there’s danger. In seeing or seeking or defining your political program based on some perfect or idealized version of how the world should be, because human beings have limited imagination and the only way we can really imagine a perfect world. Is as one that is simply a continuation of all of the creature comforts and a universalization of all of the creature comforts of our world. Um, and so I think oral is really urging is for us to respond to inhumanity with humanity and to see injustice. Not as something that must be, um, completely eliminated to see, uh, to see pain and suffering, not as something that can ever be completely eliminated, but instead to see those as things that must be responded to. Not necessarily with a positive universal vision of what, of what the future must be, and we must all work to, but actually with a human feeling of brotherhood, as he calls it, with a commitment to fighting for justice, but not any sort of sense or promise that justice is ever going to come immediately in the present or in the future.
07:16
Right? Justice is the aspiration more than the achievement
07:19
Right
07:20
Now. Responding to Inhumanity with humanity. I think we all know what inhumanity is, right? And unfortunately, we were just talking about this before we, we started the recording. Uh, this was a year, maybe not with more inhumanity than other years, but certainly with a fair share of inhumanity. Um, and one, one can think about, uh, the murders, the cold-blooded murders, assassinations of, uh, a legislator and her, uh, husband in Minnesota. Followed a few months later by the assassination of Charlie Kirk. Uh, we can think also of the assassination that occurred of a insurance executive this year and, and many others. Uh, just this was a murderous year where extremists of one kind or another used excessive on un uh, un unacceptable illegitimate violence, uh, against individuals. Uh, of course there was mass violence as well. Thousands and thousands of deaths in Ukraine and elsewhere. Um, we saw also the violence and inhumanity of deportations within our own country. People being seized off the street sometimes when they had gone to a, um, immigration hearing that they were invited to, seized from a court. Uh, when they had come voluntarily to, uh, appear, uh, believing that they were getting, um, legal access to our country, but instead being in a sense kidnapped and often. Deported to a country that he never had any connection to. Uh, El Salvador, Sudan, uh, things of that sort. So, so there was plenty of inhumanity, uh, and plenty of inhumanity with all kinds of political stripes attached to it, uh, in all kinds of places. So I think we know what Inhumanity is and we know what Orwell’s referring to there as himself being a child of the revolutions of the 1930s and, uh, wars of the 1940s. Um. What is humanity? What, when, when, when Orwell encourages us to respond to inhumanity with humanity, to not simply respond an eye for an eye, to not simply respond to the murder of our guy by murdering their guy. Uh, what, what does he, what do you think he means? Because I think that’s the hard part here, Zachary. What do you think he means?
09:41
Well, I think what he’s saying, um, particularly when he talks about. Brotherhood. He says, the real objective of the socialists is human brotherhood. Um, the real objective of socialism is human brotherhood. He says, I think what he really means is that the, the true usefulness of ideology or political programs of any stripe. And particularly from his perspective of left-wing ideology, um, is to push us towards, uh, humanity, to, to, to encourage and goad people to fight for their fellow human beings. I mean, the examples he gives are people tortured in the secret prisons of the Gestapo or getting themselves killed in civil wars. All of things he, he witnessed, uh, in his life. Those are. Those are examples of people who really aren’t dying for ideology, but dying for humanity. The ideology is secondary. It’s a tool. It’s something they’re using to push towards that. I think really what he’s saying is that the most important thing is not to lose sight. Of the fact that our politics and our societies have to aim at something higher than, as he puts it, replacing a toothache with the absence of Right.
10:52
Right. Or replacing one tyranny with another tyranny, which is what he thinks socialism had become in his time.
10:57
Right. Or was at risk of become.
10:59
Right. Right. And, and those who don’t know his history, it’s worth just stating Orwell had been involved in the, uh, fight against fascism in Spain. And became deeply disillusioned with the socialists who were in many ways leading the anti-fascist fight for becoming, uh, in their own partisan work, a tyranny of their own against the tyranny, the horrible tyranny. They were, they were fighting. I, I think there were examples maybe to help us, uh, from this year describe what humanity in response to inhumanity is. There were examples we saw of this one that certainly moved me and I think moved you even more, Zachary. Was the experience of, uh, the hostages, uh, hostages in, um, Israel, uh, Israelis who had been taken hostage brutally by Hamas. Uh, some of them held hostage for more than two years. Uh, and the release of those high hostages, uh, in many ways, uh. Their experiences once released. Um, I know you had the opportunity to talk to a few of these former hostages yourself, Zachary. My impression is that they, after being released from this nightmare-ish horror that I cannot even imagine, um, it’s not that they. Wanted to forgive Hamas. They certainly didn’t. Uh, there’s nothing that says we have to forgive the people who do horrible things to us, but they also, it seems to me, became voices against more violence and voices for peace. Is is that right?
12:26
Yeah, I think that’s, that’s true. I think one of the things that’s been really moving to watch is to see those individuals who survived captivity in Gaza come out and, and, and either speak for peace or for an end to hostilities in the region or. Uh, to or, and or to go out into the world and speak about their experience and speak against that kind of violence. Um, often it has taken the form of very political statements or protests in Israel against the current government or, uh, in less political ways. You know, traveling around the world and just sharing their ordeal with, with audiences. And I think it’s something very powerful to think about someone who’s gone through. Uh, that kind of experience. And then it’s not only willing, but excited to, and committed to talking about it. And I, I think that that kind of human connection Yeah. Someone who’s experienced something horrible and is willing and wants to share it, that kind of human connection is part of what that humanity is.
13:27
It, it reminds me in some ways of, of watching from afar. And reading of the lives of people like Eli Viel. Yeah, Nelson Mandela. I mean, these are larger than life figures in some ways, although actually Eli Viel was a figure of very small stature. But these are individuals intellectually and in their image of they’re larger than, larger than life, but in some ways, like these former hostages, they were ordinary people who had suffered the unthinkable and then came out as voices, not a vengeance. Not of revenge nor of forgiveness, but voices of finding a common brotherhood and sisterhood in our response to the horrors that we’ve experienced. Yes.
14:12
Yeah. I think it also reminds me a lot of, some of the activism we’ve seen from students and parents after school shootings in the United States. Yes. The parents of Sandy Hook, in particular.
14:20
Yes.
14:21
I’m thinking of people
14:23
and Uvalde.
14:23
Right, and Uvalde people who have become committed. Not, not to political or polemical statements, but to real policy change. Yeah. And to sort of not refusing to let their friends, family, children be forgotten. I think that has been really moving to watch. And I, I think that kind of space where ordinary people, um, who’ve suffered immensely, actually speak about their experiences instead of having it filtered through political or ideological. Um. Uh, frameworks, I think is, is, is really powerful in our world. And one of the few things that I think can break through a lot of the, uh, partisan noise that we live with.
15:00
You know, I think as you speak, there’s a real insight in that. I mean, I think one of the real elements of, of humanity, what humanizes an inhumane situation, what I think Orwell is referring to, and, but he’s criticizing among socialists and fascists is the depersonalization of things.
15:16
Yes.
15:17
Uh, it’s, it’s, it’s easy to support a cause. That kills a lot of people when you don’t think about the people you’re killing. Right? But what these former hostages have done is they’ve brought out, it doesn’t matter what your political position is on Israeli politics or on Middle East politics, they remind you of the individuals and the suffering that cannot be justified.
15:41
Right. But also just I think, uh, the complexity of what it, what it means to be a human being in the course of these, uh, world events. And I mean, one thing that that struck me speaking with former hostages is the, their description of how difficult it was to organize themselves or to speak and get along with others. Yes. And such other hostages and such.
16:02
Yes.
16:03
Tight. Quarters. Um, that was not something I’d ever thought of, but that sort of human complexity of the situations
16:07
Totally.
16:08
Uh, is, is so startling. Um, and I, I, I do think, um, in a very different context, that’s what Orwell does so well in his, and in all of his essays. It’s, I think what makes his writing powerful to me right now, or what speaks to me about it. I mean, his most famous essay probably Shooting an Elephant, he describes basically the entire network or reality of. Imperialism, British, uh, British imperialism in Southeast Asia simply by one personal experience he had as a police officer. And it’s, it’s,
16:36
and the self-doubt.
16:37
The self-doubt, right? And also just sort of capturing the emo, the complex emotions that drive someone to make a decision that in hindsight, they regret. I think those are, that, that, that’s I think what a lot of political decisions, a lot of human mistakes, A lot of. Conflict in our world comes down to, and it’s the hardest thing to capture
16:55
And, and I think it’s our obligation. And one of the lessons from 2025, if I might say, is to avoid the effort to oversimplify what social media encourages. Encouraging us to find the good guys and the bad guys and to recognize without apologizing for. Uh, unacceptable behavior, illegal behavior, uh, immoral behavior, recognizing that in many cases, um, people are driven by complex experiences and motives. As you were speaking of the hostages, I was thinking of so many, uh, immigrants to the United States who have now been swept up by ice. Um, many of whom actually did break a law. Maybe they came on a student visa and overed. Maybe they came on a tourist visa at overstate, but then they’ve lived here for 10 years, 12 years. They’ve raised a family, they’ve worked diligently, and the reason they didn’t go back to their country, this could be true for our great grandparents, Zachary, the reason they didn’t go back was not because they wanted to break a law here, but because they were afraid to go back and face persecution or face abject poverty. Um, so are they people who broke a law? Maybe. But should they be deported for that as criminals? That’s, that’s a complex story, right? And we should avoid these simple, simple categories. Um, I think about that at universities too. As a, as a professor, as someone watching at my university, university of Texas and elsewhere, major changes in controversy swirling around everything we do. From discussions of diversity to curriculum, to hiring, to leadership, to funding, you know, um, one doesn’t have to believe that universities were perfect. They certainly weren’t. To also believe that there’s something that needs to be saved and preserved in academic freedom, an open inquiry. And, uh, we become oversimplified and polarized. And are you for DEI or against DEI? Well, I’m both. Are you, uh, for, um, people being free to think and speak as they wish, uh, or are you for protecting people from facing antisemitism? anti-ISIS, Islamophobia and things of that sort. Well, um, for both of those too, right? I mean, these are, these are complex issues we have to navigate. And I think 2025 has taught us, and I have a sense a lot of people coming out of 2025 realizing this, that the simple categories are not the realities, the complex realities, uh, we, we face. Uh, may, maybe one of the lessons from Orwell that you’re teaching, taking us to is not only to personalize, to understand the individuals who are affected by big ideas, but also. To move beyond labels. Right. Uh, Orwell’s not only attacking the socialist party, he’s attacking the label.
19:35
Yeah. Right. I think that’s right. I, I think also, uh, as you said, the, the, the. As someone who’s also at a university campus, I think the hardest part about the way that universities are being talked about and the worst part about how they’re being talked about, uh, on, on both sides, uh, in international discourse, uh, is, is the sort of insistence on labels, as you’ve said, the insistence on, on making every academic question. One of are is this DEI or is this anti DI is this is this anti Right. Instead of focusing on, uh, complexity. And I think, I think if there’s one hopeful. Hopeful thing that I think we can take out of this moment for universities is that, uh, I think for, I think a lot of the sort of. Urges to grasp for labels. The urge for simplification is actually rooted in a genuine frustration with the lack of complexity, if that makes any sense. Yeah. I think we’re taking, people are taking, um, frustration at academic environments that don’t allow for complexity or don’t allow for certain perspectives to be heard and actually doing the exact same thing and turning them into oversimplified labels and, and, and talking about universities in oversimplified ways in response. But I think the urge or the frustration that’s there. Is is very genuine.
20:48
Yeah. Well this is sort of replacing a toothache with a toothache, right? Yeah. They’re, they’re, they’re recreating, they’re mirroring the problem that they saw by doing the exact opposite. I think that’s definitely happened. Um, I don’t know if you agree. I think that we, and I said this before in our podcast and in many other settings, um, I think we went too far with certain elements of DEI. Demanding, you know, diversity statements from people in a kind of McCarthyite way, loyalty oaths to diversity. And I think we went too far. Um, but I think now the response to having gone too far is going much too far in the other direction, to the point where now diversity has become a dirty word for some people. And you’re not supposed to, uh, assign. Work that points to perhaps the critical and not savory parts of our history, um, that that’s overreacting in the other direction. That’s mirroring, that’s a toothache for a toothache. Uh, if you’re against, um, preference for one direction, there shouldn’t be preference in the other direction either. And, and I think, I think one of the lessons we have to learn is that if we’re not attentive to complexity, all we do is just, uh, swing the, the spectrum back and forth. It’s like a seesaw. Rather than progress. So, so that brings us to, I think, the theme we wanted to close on, which is community. Um, I, I think one of the real, um, outcomes of 2025 is I’ve seen this with my students, with my colleagues around the country. I’ve seen this with all kinds of settings I’ve been in. People seem to be returning to community. They seem to have found in many cases that the world and the lives they were living. Online and elsewhere, we’re not satisfied. Clearly people are still living in those ways. Uh, but there is, there does seem to be a return to community and, um, I don’t know. It might be worth talking about that. I think that’s been an important part of your experience also. Right, Zachary?
22:40
Yeah, I think so. I, I think one thing that is important to, to remember though, uh, that, that I think, or well worn stuff, is it’s not the, the, the danger is not replacing a toothache with another toothache. What he’s talking about is the danger of replacing or thinking that happiness, or that the answer is in replacing a toothache with the absence of a toothache. That I think part of the problem is that a lot of attacks on universities and in the last. 10 years, both from both sides. Um, were really aimed at replacing a problem that they saw that had some truth to it. Trying to just simply eliminate the problem. Whereas the real solution and the really important thing that I think is, is, is missing or needs to be strengthened on college campuses and in all aspects of our society, um, is something positive. It’s the kind of bonds of community, the bonds between people, the willingness to have open and frank conversations about hard topics. That’s what we should be focusing on. It’s not, it’s not about, you know, it’s not about trying to replace the toothache with the absence of a toothache, just end the toothache. It’s about trying to actually provide some sort of positive program in the opposite direction. It’s not. Utopia, but it’s like action. It’s actions that we need to be doing instead of, instead of, um, simple boxes we need to join.
23:53
And, and that’s exactly why we do this podcast. Right? It’s, it’s exactly, uh, for that reason. So, so what does it mean then people, I mean, everyone is now saying that, right? Viewpoint diversity. More open conversation, civility, but people talk about it more than they actually do it. What does it actually mean to do it? What are some examples that we can close on, some hopeful examples from 2025 that can take us into 2026?
24:15
Well, that’s not an easy question to answer, but I think that, um, you know, the kinds of conversations that. That people are able to, to have in this model, um, don’t happen by, you know, insisting or artificially, uh, looking for V viewpoint diversity. I think they happen with a sort of willingness to actually be frank and honest. Yes. And to, to be offended, but not, not see that as grounds for shutting down discussion. It’s a willingness to, it’s a willingness to be open. To other viewpoints that you might even find grossly offensive. It’s a willingness to listen to ’em at the very least.
24:53
Yeah
24:54
And to engage with those people as human beings.
24:56
And, and I’ve come to conclude, Zachary, that actually the way to do this is not to say, okay, we’re going to have an open conversation or viewpoint diversity. It becomes artificial in that sense. Yes. It’s creating a culture for that. Yes. It’s, it’s honestly what I strive to do in the classroom, in my professional settings, in my work. Uh, I don’t know if I succeed, but it’s certainly what I strive to do, what I’m doubling down on, which is, um. Cultivating a sense, a healthy skepticism toward any orthodoxy, which hopefully open space then for nothing to be sacred, but everything to be respected if it’s serious. So a serious idea should not be condescended to, but it shouldn’t be taken as an orthodoxy. That is beyond question, and that allows us then to take. Complex ideas such as, you know, the defense of the state of Israel or the defense of the stateless, uh, in areas that are occupied by Israel. Take these difficult problems and recognize that neither side has a monopoly of truth. And open the space where it is encouraged for people to ask hard questions. It doesn’t happen in one conversation. It happens in a culture that you create in a classroom, in a work setting. In your scholarship, in your public persona. And, and I think 2025 showed us, first of all, how hard it is to do that. It showed us how hard we need to work on that. And, and I think it did give us some examples, uh, of this. Um, I, I think we saw from certain religious leaders an incredible openness, uh, and cultivation of that kind of culture. Uh, this, this year, I think of the bishops and others who spoke out. In defense of immigrants, but didn’t speak out in defense of open borders. They weren’t talking about opening borders, they were talking about the humanity of immigrants. Um, I think of all the teachers I’ve witnessed, I work with a lot of teachers around the country, um, who have, who have done this in their classrooms. They’re unsung heroes. They don’t get, this doesn’t get talked about. I’ve seen this also with law enforcement officers build trust in their local communities. You know, this is happening every day. We just don’t focus on it because we don’t value it enough, but it’s actually the story that we, we, we should focus on. I think it’s what is happening. In many parts of our universities, it’s not always happening and sometimes it’s missing, uh, but it is happening in many parts of our universities.
27:24
Yeah. And I think it happens, uh, at its best when you put students in an environment to be around people who are different from them. I think what we’re talking about really is not just forming community or strengthening community like in and of itself, but forming and strengthening heterogeneous community. How do you deal with, uh, being in a place, being together? Working towards some common goal, whether that’s education or you know, law enforcement in the case that you mentioned, or you know, teaching in a classroom. How do you work towards a common goal when everyone comes with a very different perspective?
27:55
Yes.
27:56
And some of the people who are in that room don’t wanna be in the room with the other people.
27:59
Yes.
28:00
And I think, I think part of it is, is a willingness and an, and an openness. To talking to other people, but also just a basic recognition that whether we like it or not, you know, we are in the same room. Yes. We have to get along.
28:13
Yes. I think that’s, I think that’s absolutely right and I think that might be, gives us the, the proper, not close to this episode, but the proper opening to 2026, finding more ways. To create a culture, a space, an assumption of, as you said, and those are fireworks outside of our door here. Uh, as you said, Zachary heterogeneity, difference of viewpoint, um, and encouraging conversation, repeated conversation. Uh, my frustration has been that many people who know this don’t take the time to do this. All of us as leaders. All of us as individuals and communities should do more to reach out to talk to other people, not just for one conversation where we want to hear multiple points of view, but to build a culture of conversation across points of view. And we should resist what I think is happening in too many places, including sometimes at universities where people are separated, one group versus another. Categorize in one way. Will you go in one major will be people thinking this way in another school, people thinking this way. No, we need to actually. Build true bridges and talk across communities and make that part of our daily culture, the way we, the way we operate. And I think we can do that. I think we’ve seen examples of that, and I think we now know why we need to do that. So that’s a kind of lesson from 2025. It’s an impression that can carry us into 20 20, 26. And I’m, I’m optimistic about that. You have to be hopeful about that. Do you share my hope and optimism?
29:45
Yeah, I think so. I, I think, um. You know, what you’re really talking about is, you know, tearing down the silos a little bit and, you know, letting, letting people who maybe wouldn’t interact before interact and, and listen to each other. And I think, you know, that’s the purpose of the podcast. That’s the purpose of, of so much of what we do. And I think, um, for a lot of people, it’s become the only option now.
30:06
Yep. Yep. So keep listening to our podcast and listen to others. Keep subscribing to our Substack. And, uh, we love when people email us as they often do with suggestions for guests and topics or
30:18
or complaints
30:19
or complaints. Send the complaints to Zachary Suri. Um, uh, we are so fortunate to be able to do this, to have these conversations somewhat so as Zachary’s heard me say this, that I miss it when we don’t do it. Uh, and, uh, we will continue through this year. So thank you for joining us, uh, for a new year, and thank you in particular for joining us for this episode of This Is Democracy.
Episode 315: Venezuela Intervention
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This is Democracy. Today we’re going to focus on Venezuela, one of the, most significant and confusing, I think, crises of our current moment. But a crisis in a region, of longstanding, American intervention and conflict, A crisis in a region that has gone through, extraordinary changes over the last 250 years. And a region where the United States and its relations with Venezuela and other countries have. Always been, not just complicated, but often quite controversial. we are fortunate to be drawn to, this topic, not only because of the prominence that it has in the news, but because we have a colleague who I think is one of the most interesting scholars writing on the region as a whole, who has a lot to share with us today. This is my colleague and friend, Professor Kurt Weyland. Kurt, thank you for joining us.
01:19
Yes. Happy to be with you. Thank you for inviting me.
01:22
Kurt has been with us before. He is the Mike Hogg Professor in Liberal Arts at the University of Texas at Austin. He’s conducted original research in virtually every place one can go in South America, including Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Peru, and Venezuela. Professor Weyland is the author of seven books. All of them are worth reading. I’m going just to just name, some of my favorites, making waves, democratic contention in Europe and Latin America, which is really I think, a model of comparative politics, assault on democracy, communism, fascism and authoritarianism during the into war years. And then most recently, I believe, democracies resilience to populisms threat. So, Kurt has a strong background in the history of the region and, the dynamics of democracy, authoritarianism, and intervention, in this region. Kurt, I imagine you’ve been very busy with Venezuela in the news so much these days, yes?
02:26
Yes, there was really a surprise this intervention and the situation is so fluid that, you know, we have to pay attention every day to what new things are happening. So a lot of interest in that topic.
02:37
It’s extraordinary. As scholars, we need to continue to study the past but also keep up with the present. It gets quite difficult after a while, doesn’t it?
02:44
Absolutely, especially because a lot of the situation in Venezuela and the decision making in the US is quite murky. We don’t really know why Trump did this whole thing. Both sides are playing strange games. We don’t know how the opposition in Venezuela will try to get into the game. So, you know, a lot of moving parts here.
03:05
Absolutely. Absolutely. We're gonna talk about all of that. I wanted to open today, by just reading, the key section from President James Monroe’s, annual address to congress. In December of 1823. So more than 200 or more than a hundred years ago. Actually, no, 200 years. More than 200 years ago. I’m gonna have to work on my math here. This is the key passage, written in fact by Secretary of State John Quincy Adams. That becomes known as the Monroe Doctrine. It wasn’t known as the Monroe Doctrine initially, but it became over time known as the Monroe Doctrine. And what Monroe said was that we, the United States, owe it to candor and to the amiable relations existing between the United States. And those European powers, he means the European powers, operating empires in Latin America. We owe it to declare that we, the United States, should consider any attempt on their parts to extend their system to any portion of this hemisphere as dangerous to our peace and safety with the existing colonies or dependencies of any European power. We have not interfered and shall not interfere, but with the governments who have declared their independence and maintained it, and whose independence we have, on great consideration and unjust principles, acknowledged we could not view any interposition for the purpose of oppressing them or controlling in any other manner their destiny by any European power. In any other light than as the manifestation of an unfriendly disposition toward the United States. What it seems to me, president Monroe was saying in this somewhat flowery language, was that the United States, would do all it could. To, make it difficult to not recognize, to hinder European powers from returning to colonies that they had lost in countries like Argentina, Colombia, and Venezuela in this period of revolution and independence in the early 19th century. but it seems to me Monroe is not saying. United States, will necessarily intervene militarily. Kurt, how do you, as a scholar of this region, think about what the Monroe Doctrine meant for the next 200 years, bringing us to today? I, I know it’s a big question, but I’m curious your reaction to it.
05:28
So you see, you see various elements in that statement. I mean, you can read it from a more realist perspective. The United States as, even then most powerful country in the Western Hemisphere is trying to keep competing powers out of the hemisphere. It, it sounds in, as you say, it’s flowery language in some sense, more from an idealist perspective. We, the United States know, thrown off the yoke of colonialism, don’t want the yoke of colonialism, reimposed on our Latin American brothers and sisters. And you know, as you say, I mean, the Spanish and Portuguese would’ve liked to. Repose colonialism and the French and Brits might also have wanted to get into the game. And so the way it reads in some sense is, you know, quite idealistic. We wanna protect the liberty of those countries. And what you see, of course in the subsequent 200 years, a lot of shift be, I mean, in some sense, more with the increase in American power, especially after the Spanish American War, and then the Roosevelt corollary to the Monroe Doctrine where the unit is. States appointed itself as the policeman of the Western hemisphere. You see, in many ways the realist aspect predominate. Then of course, also kind of the economic, we wanna com keep competitors out in a number of crises in the early 20th century, but every once in a while, that idealistic aspect also came to the fore. You know, with. President Wilson in the early 20th century with JFK and the Alliance for Progress for years in the early 1960s with Jimmy Carter. And so you see the, I mean, United States foreign policy has always been shifted between a more realist focus, more that idealism. And I think you see that in the poster of the us vis-a-vis the Western Hemisphere.
07:24
That, that’s very helpful, Kurt, and insightful. And, and in a sense, recapitulates one of the classic ways of, of seeing us foreign policy toward this region, which is a tension, a constant tension between, as you say, realist, materialist impulses, and idealistic, perhaps even democratic, impulses. And you can certainly see both in the Monroe Doctrine. You mentioned the Roosevelt corollary, of course, from 19 oh. Four, which is Theodore Roosevelt’s more aggressive, contention that the United States has a right to intervene in countries that are misbehaving or are mismanaged. on the idealistic side, though, this, intervention in Venezuela, how would you characterize it? Is it, is there any idealism in it? Is it a complete rejection? Has the Trump administration gone entirely in the materialist direction? How do you think about and understand, based on the little we know so far? Of what the United States is doing in Venezuela right now.
08:19
I think you see precisely that strange mixture of different facets in that recent Venezuela intervention, and maybe less in the motivations of President Trump, which are hard to figure out because on the one hand this is, You know, if you wish, clear assertion of American predominance in the Western Hemisphere. I’m concerned that the Chinese and the Russians and the Iranis have been messing around there. And this is the, you know, so-called backyard of the United States. So get out in that realist kind of spirit. You, you see President Trump then afterwards highlighting oil, oil, oil, kind of from an economic materialist. We need our fingers unimportant. Element in. Maduro was an awful, repressive, corrupt dictator who had blatantly stolen an election in mid 2024. So while that was probably not the motivation that drove President Trump, Maduro certainly deserved his fate and he was not, I mean he was at Target that similar to Manuel Noriega in Panama in 1989. Clearly, you know, had had committed so many misdeeds that an idealist would be happy that the guy was removed. and what is interesting there is, which is what I really have struggled with thinking about, is. From President Trump’s perspective, I still don’t completely understand why he would’ve done it. He has that, that urge to assert American predominance. But I wonder to what extent this was also driven by the agenda of Marco Rubio and Marco Rubio, of course, has been at the forefront at combating the left axis of evil in Latin America. Know Venezuela, Nicaragua, and. regime change if you wish, democracy promoting agenda. And so I wonder to what extent this was not only Trump asserting predominance in terms of motivation, but also Rubio pushing that regime change agenda partly in light of the upcoming presidential succession in 2028 where he might wanna put his chips into the game. And so I think. I think you might see precisely that strange mix of kind of Trumpian realism and Rubio regime change. You know, maybe not idealism, but you know, clearly trying to get rid of these left dictatorships.
10:58
It makes a lot of sense. Zachary has joined us now. He had some computer glitches, but we’re glad you’re with us. Zachary please.
11:06
Yeah, I want to ask, I mean clearly with the historical backward of the Monroe Doctrine and the, was a corollary, there was a lot of precedent, within that framework and beyond it for American intervention in Latin America, but. Is there a precedent for the kind of a targeted intervention that we saw, in Venezuela this month? Is there precedent for this kind of, you know, targeted, arrest or kidnapping, however you wanna see it, of a leader of another country? or is this a sort of unique kind of operation that the United States engaged in?
11:48
I, I would like to make several points on that. I think the case that is most similar in Early American intervention in Latin America is the case of Manuel Noriega in Panama in 1989, when you also had a ruthless, brutal, corrupt dictator who defied the United States. The United States in that sense did a less surgical strike by actually invading Panama at good cost of civilian lives and taking over the whole country, and then actually instituting democracy afterwards. So the target in Panama in 89 was quite similar. Some, I mean, just awful dictator who clearly deserve to be, put on trial. The Venezuelan case is different because it’s obviously not a full scale invasion, but that very, very surgical strike. but so there is a president in terms of the target, and you see in the avoidance of a full scale invasion, president Trump’s concern about getting dragged into. Regime change, potential trouble and turmoil, domestic conflict that could drag the United States into what the Trumpians would call nation building, Allah, Afghanistan, and Iraq. And so there is, there is a similarity in the target, but there’s also a different approach in doing this in a much more targeted way, which of course has, if you wish the disadvantage that you’ve. You decapitated, autocratic, corrupt, repressive regime, but most of the power structure of the regime is still in place.
13:31
That’s what’s striking to me, Kurt, that this has been certainly a change in the. President of of Venezuela, the Vice President Del c Rodriguez has has taken over at least as interim president, but it doesn’t seem like much else has changed yet. At the same time, president Trump is claiming that he’s running the country from the United States claiming that oil will come to the United States yet. There has been no new investment in oil infrastructure, no commitments of investment. and of course one of the problems in Venezuela is not simply, who’s in charge. It’s that the infrastructure to extract the oil is so decrepit that, that, that’s also kind of shut, shut itself down. So what has changed, if anything?
14:17
So in terms of the domestic power structure, very, very little has changed and you see a very strange, kind of totally unlikely, but ultimately from a pragmatic perspective, logical a. Accommodation between right wing, imperialist Trump, and left wing anti-imperialist stillI Rodriguez, because Trump, to avoid the United States from getting dragged into Venezuela, all Afghanistan and Iraq. In some sense has an interest in maintaining stability, and the established regime is a firmly entrenched that they have a higher chance of maintaining stability than if you had a democratic transition with all the potential trouble in turmoil. So in terms of the domestic power structure, Venezuela very, very little has changed, but I think what will change is the foreign policy orientation of Venezuela. You know, essentially. If the United States takes over oil, then it won’t go to China anymore, and clearly the United States will push for Venezuela to sever its links with Russia, with Iran, and Hezbollah, all these kinds of things. And the United States will. In the kind of semi colonial way, look over the shoulder of Del Rodriguez and make sure that in foreign policy she aligns with the US and not with countries that are enemies of the us. And I think one of the most important reorientations of Venezuelan foreign policy would be, and that speaks again to my point about the, cutting off Cuba from oil and putting, putting an even bigger strangle on. If not suffocate that regime, just push them to the wall and force them to come to an accommodation with the United States. And so I think there will be a significant shift in Venezuela’s international alignments in foreign policy, and from Trump’s perspective, from Trump’s perspective, who doesn’t care about democracy? Who wants to avoid turmoil at all cost. That a of sense. Right. You know, you decapitated the regime you put.
16:29
So I, I see the logic of that, but the historian in me, Kurt asks if that’s really possible. I mean, this is a regime that has many different factions as all regimes do, right? we know Rodriguez. Doesn’t command the same authority with some of the institutions, particularly the military that Maduro and, and Hugo Chavez did. And of course, the Chinese and the Russians are not just gonna sit back and watch this, right? They’re trying to bribe and threaten their own, allies and the Chinese have, have a major presence on the ground. I isn’t. The effort to do what you just said from a distance from the United States, as you say, acting as a kind of distant colonial overseer isn’t that likely to lead to factionalization internal fighting in Venezuela and and something that becomes quite disorderly that the United States either has to get involved in directly or ignore.
17:23
There is certainly a possibility, and there is one reason why I’m surprised that then Donald Trump did this because there is clearly, there is a risk that Venezuela could dissent into internal strife and conflict and that somehow other, that could draw in the United States. And that’s of course what Donald Trump wants to avoid at all costs. So this, this is a possibility, but. I think when you think from the great powers that Trump wants to push out of Venezuela, but I think it’s much more likely not that the Chinese and the Russians, not to speak of Iran, are going to take a stand in or about Venezuela, but that this is the essentially. They will find compensation in their spheres of, in, in interest. And so what you see is that the whole Trumpian approach to international relations is kind of stone age realism. Great powers have their spheres of influence and they can do inside their sphere of influence as they wish. And so I think the. The kind of the, how should I say that? What China and Russia will get out of that is Trump’s acquiescence in them taking more control of their spheres of influence. You know, and I think you see that with Trump’s accommodation of Russia in the Ukraine war. I don’t know what it would exactly mean for China and the South China Sea in vis-a-vis Taiwan, but I think, I think kind of the game among the great powers will be less. That they will, that China and Russia will fight tooth and nail to maintain a stake in the US’ backyard, the western hemisphere, but that they will say, whoa, you did this in your own sphere of influence. Now we have a freer hand in our sphere of influence. I think that’s how that will work. And as regards to domestic power structure in Venezuela, I. I would assume that Trump knows about his own severe a tension deficit disorder, that he couldn’t pay attention to Venezuela very much. But I think he’s probably going to appoint kind of an informal Vice Roy in, in, in Ambassador in Vene in Venezuela. I bet the American Embassy in Venezuela is going to swell to hundreds of people who will keep an eye on things and the the factions. That are more radical and that are more they know, you know, have much clo, much more control of the organs of coercion in Venezuela, the defense minister, Patino and Di Caveo, who controls these thugs and goons and militias, the so-called collectives, I think they will know. That if they mess around too much and they cause too much trouble, they might get yanked out and put in the prison cell next to my daughter. And so I think they will have to swallow a lot of, what you call in Latin America, swallow a lot of toads and hang low for a while. They will of course, hope that the Trump administration will move on. You know, I, I think in many ways what, what the Venezuelan power structure is doing is what the Wolf did in the fairy tale of Little Red Riding Hole. They’re eating a lot of chalk and like, Hey, you know, we can play game. And of course, they’re hoping that Trump moves on, that the United States can’t actually control what’s going on and it sooner or later they can reassert their control. They can, you know, they can. Get their fingers again into the contraband, into the corruption, maybe not the drug trafficking as they did before. I think that’s the game that is being played, and in some strange way, it serves Trump and it serves that Venezuelan power structure. And who is left out in that cold is the Venezuelan opposition.
21:01
Right. And the Venezuelan people, it seems.
21:04
Yeah, no, of course. I mean, that is the big tragedy in all of this, that the Venezuelan people have suffered an unprecedented catastrophe and who are yearning for some kind of turnaround, and who had the courage to vote? You know, two thirds against the dictator in rigged elections in 2024, still will have to wait for, you know, a significant new start.
21:29
Yes, Zachary.
21:31
What about the larger international reaction, not just the potential, for Russia and China to use this as a sort of prerogative to, be more aggressive in their own. neighborhoods, if that’s even possible. But, the American relationship with our allies, do, has this moment you think further strained America’s relationship with its allies, is there a possibility at all for cooperation with American allies in Venezuela? not just allies in Europe, but also allies in, in Latin America?
22:07
The reaction has, in some sense been surprisingly muted because what is, you know, on the one hand, this is a brood reassertion of American power predominance, if you wanna use the term imperialism, but the, the reaction has been surprisingly mute. I think for two reasons. One is that this reassertion of American power scales a lot of allies. And so, you know, even the center left, left wing governments in Latin America, you know, like Lula and Brazil, they spoke out and whatever, but they’re not going really on the rampage. You know, Claudia Shane Baum in Mexico has to worry that she might be next in line and Trump threatened Pedro in colo and so that. Very reassertion of American power, I think has intimidated or kind of, if you wish, coercively motivated the reaction inside Latin America. Trump, of course, I don’t know whether it’s attention deficit or brilliant strategy, immediately move to Greenland, so the Europeans have something to worry about there, rather than getting involved in Venezuela. So in some sense, American power. I think has muted reaction among the allies, at least in the short one. You know, but you think in the long run, like OMG, this is awful. The other reason why I think the reaction has been muted is that Maduro was such an awful, dictator. I mean, you know, human rights violations in Corruption. I mean, he had indictments not only from the US but from the International criminal court. The head of the organization of American States at the time asked the ICC for an indictment of Maduro. And not only was he, you know, morally just awful, but utterly incompetent. I mean, who. Who in human history has destroyed a country as much as Maduro did during his 13 years in power? So who, who wants to defend Maduro? You know what I mean? You can say, well, the United States shouldn’t have intervened, but do you wanna look like sort of siding with defending, you know, one of the worst leaders that we can think of in recent decades?
24:19
Of course, I mean, this is the challenge, right? That one can be, very angry about the US intervention if you’re sitting in, in Brasilia, but you don’t wanna look like you’re defending Maduro. That that’s the, that’s the challenge. Do you see the other, sorry, Craig, go ahead. I.
24:30
You see the two facets again, you see the realist thing. You know, other countries are intimidated by American power, and you see the idealist streak. This. The United States chose a target that deserved its punishment. You see exactly that. Again, those two facets of kind of realist, power assertion, and idealists going after the bad guys, sorry to
24:50
No, not at all. Now, on this point of realism, do you see, large countries in the region like Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia to some extent, do you see them, In, in a, in a way working closely together to combat US intervention. Now, should we view, for example, Kurt, the, Mercosur, free trade agreement that was just signed with, Europe as, as an a way of pushing back on the United States.
25:19
Definitely. You think of you know, the European Union Agreement that had been lingering and languishing and being in the, in negotiation for 25 years and it just couldn’t break the resistance and deadlock and whatever. And I think the reason why that finally got signed is. You know, kind of if you wish, some sort of soft balancing against the United States, so you, you know, that would be an instance of that. Inland America. I haven’t seen any, I don’t know, like coordination, I don’t know what you would wanna call it. Alliance formation, partly because of course the ideological divisions. So you mentioned Argentina. You know, millet. Millet was bailed out by Trump a few months ago. He’s not going to oppose what Donald Trump, did in Venezuela. He’s ideologically happy that Donald Trump put it out, Maduro. And so, you know, given that a number of Latin American countries. governed by right-wing leaders who are ideologically have affinity with or alignment with Donald Trump. I think that is one big obstacle to any really coordinated Latin American response.
26:33
So, so where do we go from here? Kurt? What do you expect to see? fortunately for us, you’re not just a historian, I’m a historian. Zachary is a historian to some extent. You, you are a political scientist, so you’re supposed to know the future as well. So where do you see things going, Kurt?
26:47
So when I, when I think of political science, I don’t use the term, but the capital S you know, so, this situation in Venezuela is highly unpredictable. It’s very fluid, it’s uncertain what will happen. It is uncertain what will happen in Venezuela. It’s uncertain what will happen in the international system because Donald Trump is so highly unpredictable to typical populism. So, so. You know, in, in the Venezuelan case, which will also affect American foreign policy. I think one of the biggest points of uncertainty is that by. Constitution that Ugo Chavez himself pushed through in 1999 by the Constitution. If the presidency is vacant and you have a transition to somebody else, there should be the convocation of new elections. That would of course provide a very important opening for the Democratic transition that Trump has shockingly marginalized and kind of pushed aside to get into the game and that, you know, if there were a real election, real competitive. that could cause a good amount of uncertainty, trouble turmoil, especially if the Democratic opposition had a chance of winning and or no, of of course, especially if it won. And so how that will play out. I mean, the established power structure in Venezuela currently headed by Delcy Rodriguez has no interest in no elections. In some sense, Donald Trump has no interest and they might well maneuver. Collude in trying to avoid this. But you know, as you mentioned a couple of minutes ago, the Venezuelan people are yearning for a new start. The opposition will do everything they can to push for elections. De Marco Ruby or agenda in the US might wanna have a regime change in Venezuela. And so how that will play out, I think is one of the main sources of uncertainty because. Contested competitive election and if the opposition were to win and there’s trouble and term on the Venezuela and protests and counter protests and violence, that could really draw the United States into the domestic politics and, you know, greatly change the equation and turn the Venezuelan case maybe more similar to the story in Afghanistan and Iraq. And so it’s very unpredictable.
29:15
Right.
29:15
Unfortunately, political science, political science hasn’t, you know, come up with a general loss that we could confidently make any clear assertions about a case like Venezuela.
29:27
Right, right. What, what, we certainly see that there are high risks, but that we don’t know, what will happen, in, in, in closing, Zachary, I want to turn to you as one of many young people in the United States watching all of this unfold. How do you see your generation of Americans, responding to this, responding to what looks so different, at least from the rhetoric of American foreign policy for so long, the rhetoric of open markets and, freedom and democracy. does this, does this contradict that or does this look like more hip hop, more, more of the same hypocrisy? How, how are people viewing this?
30:06
I think for some it’s clear and for many it, it, it’s clear that this is something. at least, you know, to celebrate in the extent, to the extent that Maduro is gone, that that is obviously a positive development, for those who have relatives or family or friends in Venezuela or who fled Venezuela, which is not, not insignificant. Number of people in the United States. but I think there’s also a lot of concern that this could, you know, draw the United States into a larger war. and I think for, for the moment, a lot of people, young and not young alike are sort of waiting to see what happens. I think, you know. Obviously most hope that this does not draw the United States into a larger war with Venezuela. but, or with, you know, in the region in general. But I think a lot of the big questions that we raised today remain unanswered. So I think there is a degree of uncertainty and certainly there’s much greater fear of war in the region than there was before.
31:13
Right, right. I think that’s a perfect note to close on. I think it summarizes so much of what Kurt has said so well, which is, what, what we are witnessing is, a set of not historically unprecedented developments, but a set of, developments that have happened at very fast pace and have created a great deal of uncertainty. Uncertainty for the people of Venezuela, for the leadership of. Venezuela, and certainly for the United States and the world community, and this tension that, that Kurt has articulated so well between realism and idealism. It’s very hard to see where we’re going right now. And, I think that’s, that’s just one more reason why we’re going to have to watch, pay close attention and think about this in historical terms as we’ve done today. Kurt Weyland thank you so much for joining us today.
32:01
Yeah, my pleasure.
32:01
Zachary, thank you for your, excellent questions as well. And thank you most of all, to our loyal listeners and subscribers to our substack for joining us for this week of This is Democracy.
Episode 316: Minneapolis
00:19
Welcome to This Is Democracy. I’m Zachary Suri. Today we are joined by a scholar living at the center of perhaps one of the most consequential confrontations of our moment. That is, of course, the weeks long standoff between anti-ice protests in Minneapolis and the various immigration enforcement wings of the Department of Homeland Security standoff. That unfortunately, as we all know, has left at least two protestors, Renee Goode and Alex pretty dead. joining us is Professor David Iona Chang. Professor Chang is a historian at the University of Minnesota. He studies indigenous people, colonialism, borders, and migration in Hawaii and North America, focusing especially on the histories of Native American and Native Hawaiian people, as well as the history of social movements in the United States. Professor Chang, thank you so much for joining us.
01:10
Thank you for having me.
01:12
Thank you. We are of course also joined, as always by Professor Jeremi Suri. Jeremi, thank you for joining us today. for the first time in a while. we will start not with a speech or an essay, but with an original poem that I wrote. this is called, Nicolette Avenue, which is the street where Alex Pretty was killed. At night when the street is sleeping, it tosses and turns ice cracking sounds of agony, softly rising from the salt. I think the street has nightmares, and I think it remembers the dead, the bullets that bounced off its skin and buried themselves in another. At night when the street is sleeping, it feels the boots that stomped across to the tune of swinging rifles, beating time on its surface like a song. I think the street is singing in its sleep. A Durge for the Dead and departed for the Cold Press of cold flesh. It remembers too well waking up last Sunday with Bloodstains. Yeah. So Professor Chang, would you be able to tell us just from your experience, you know, what it’s been like to live, in the Twin Cities at this moment? To live through, what all of us around the country and around the world are seeing on the news every day.
02:36
Thank you for asking that. It has been, everybody’s experiences in the cities is going to be different, and I'm speaking to you of course, as you know, a person with a lot of privilege. I’m a university professor. I have a lot of. I have a lot of privileges that softened my life, if you will. At the same time, it’s a very, intense period in the Twin Cities. It’s been a time though where I would emphasize it’s been both a time of terror and sadness, but also a time of inspiration. And hope, ter and sadness are obvious to anyone around the globe, of course, because they see that federal forces, who are heavily armed and undertrained and very much under, Under supervised, if you will. and there’s very, and under-regulated are terrorizing our neighbors and our communities arresting people, taking them into custody, abducting them, Around the clock, and we’re talking about hundreds and hundreds of people, the numbers that ICE is giving out can’t really be trusted ’cause they’re not really backed up with a lot of numbers. But clearly many people are being abducted. Many people have been physically hurt, many people have been traumatized, and their families as well. At the same time, I do think the national and global media has started to pick up on what is one of the most important parts of this story. And that’s the solidarity of the response. That’s the, the loving kindness of the community, the bravery and the courage in responding in ways that are very dramatic for the cameras, such as standing between, Ice and someone that they’re trying to abduct and also much quieter driving kids to high school or dropping off groceries or necessary SAN supplies at people’s homes. so that response has, a. It is, profoundly inspiring. It gives me great hope, not only for this movement, but also for other, for the political work, which is also of course the human work of society and community that we’ll have to do in the coming years.
04:47
That makes sense. Could you explain plain to us, especially from the perspective of a historian, where you think this solidarity movement, as you described it, this movement against ICE in Minneapolis, came from, you know, it seems to me as an outside observer, like Minneapolis has been at the center of, some of the most consequential social movements of our time. Why is that and why this moment too?
05:11
I think that, I’d like to look to multiple routes. Like most things, they come from multiple. Most things that are strong, come from multiple roots. one of that is the very strong and specific social roots of the of, Minnesota. as well as the Twin Cities itself. There is a strong history. Civic nationalist, civic national engagement here with the notion that the United States is a nation of people committed to certain ideals. Those ideals are enshrined in certain documents, and those documents ensure certain rights and set up certain processes that must be followed. there is a strong commitment to this idea here, and, despite its limitations, view this kind of liberal nationalism right now, we’re seeing, what it can do in certain moments when institutions, processes, and the idea of EQ of equality under the law. Becomes threatened. That’s combined with a culture that has both religious and secular roots, that you know, everything from Lutheranism to Trotskyism that has been very strong in, Minnesota, the Northern Plains, and Minneapolis St. Paul for a very long time. And we can see this. In the strong religious, and church-based movements, that helped to create the welcoming environment that sponsored refugees from around the world after the American Secret War in Southeast Asia that welcomed people from East Africa, that west welcomed people from Korea after the Korean War, et cetera. This created a population that was, you know, diverse in a very specific way. and, and very globalized in a very specific way that combined with kind of the labor part of the farmer labor of the DFL, the democratic farmer labor, party, which is the form of the Democratic Party that we have here in the state, which has really strong, very labor left, kind of orientations, and that’s been important here. And then, so all of that’s local, right? and that’s been, it’s been nurtured here. And of course the, we’re coming here, you know, five years after the killing and the uprising following the murder of, of George Floyd on Chicago Avenue. And that created an idea. Solidarity. Many different kinds of ideas, many different kinds of soar where people understood themselves as responsible for the community. One of these ideas and practices, which is very strong here, is that of mutual aid. that we take care of us, that we stand up for us. and you see that in the everyday courage of people simply going around doing humble, simple things to support. Again, as well as the dramatic things that the cameras capture. All of that comes together with a national environment. We’re not the first city doing this, right? So there was Chicago, there was Portland, there was Los Angeles, there’s others, and already in those different places. One can find communities come together in order to support. We learned from Chicago, Chicago learned from other cities, right? The proliferation of neighborhood networks, of leaderless movements in order to, create a better, safer community that doesn’t come just from us. So and ho And I do not think it will stop just here either. Unfortunately, this is a national problem and it will continue in other cities, and I think that we can look forward to a historical moment that we can’t entirely anticipate, but it will be different because there is now a genealogy, a continuity of modes of resistance, which are drawing upon historical precedent elsewhere.
09:14
So, so David, I wanted you to reflect if you would on your students, how has this affected students and others who are obviously engaged with the issues, but also, you know, trying to, get on with their lives one way or another?
09:27
It is challenging for students. we were allowed to teach in a mixed modality if we needed to. because not all students are feeling comfortable coming to campus for many different reasons. and, the, so there’s a lot of anxiety, obviously. international students are feeling a particular anxiety, but that’s been going on for a while now. So this is a hard time for students. The undergrads, the grads, everything from, you know, the 19 year olds to the, to, to the postdocs and even say, are having a hard time.
10:04
And do you find that there’s solidarity between the students and, the protestors? Are there counter student, opinions? how is it, affecting that community? I, ask in part because. You know, there’s such a history of student movements related to many of the issues we’re concerned with. Here, you’ve written a lot about this yourself, and so I wonder how you see this moment in that historical context.
10:31
First of all, I am not in the classroom this semester. so I’m not having that. But I am, you know, communicating a lot with students anyway, I have not heard of counter. Movements, if you will, like, like the deport them all now, kind of a politics I haven’t encountered or heard tell of such a thing on campus, at all.
10:54
So, so you see a pretty uniform, perspective from, students and, then I, would ask you sort of beyond that, do you see, or is what we’re seeing on television where the, a polarized environment of ICE and the population of Minneapolis is, two separate groups, is that a fair representation of what we’re...
11:16
Sure that there’s more complexity, but that’s what vis that is what’s visible. Of course, I’m sure that there are some people are sympathetic, right to the golds and even perhaps the methods of these federal agents, right? But I have not seen, I have not that’s not apparent in on the streets, it’s not very apparent and opinion columns. It’s, you know, it’s more in the comments in social media, if you will. And that’s certainly available nationwide and you don’t know exactly where that’s coming from either. So, but no, it’s, it, is a very strong response. I think that partly this is, and this is something that I wanted to talk about, I thought it’d be interesting also to talk about, it’s partly. This is feels from here very much like a unilateral federal imposition on a state and it completely ignoring the elected leaders of that state.
12:14
Yes.
12:15
And so, you know, the mayors of St. Paul in Minneapolis, the governor of Minnesota, our senators, the majority of our delegations have, are, very upset about this force coming from Washington, unbidden in which refuses resolutely to respond to explain transfer documents to, the state government. so even people who I, do think that this creates a real unhappiness even among people who might be more inclined towards the expulsion of people that they think are here illegally or they suspect they just don’t even want here.
12:57
So, so is it fair, David, to call it an occupation force as a historian? Is that how you would refer to it?
13:03
In a legal sense, I doubt that’s probably going to fly, right? but I think that’s how people, that it’s perceived that way.
13:13
That makes sense. where do you see the protests, and the sort of clashes between, the HS officials and others going from here? Are they still ongoing? do you think that Trump administration has effectively backed down on this issue? Or, how are people perceiving that on the ground?
13:35
What’s really interesting is, okay, I can’t, again, speak for all on the ground. I’m not really in a position to do that. What I can say is I, we don’t know if they’re starting to back down. It does seem that they started to moderate their discourse, bringing Homan in and moving bovino out. seems like a way to try to signal that. At the same time, I. Your guess is as good as mine, what’s going to happen in the next two weeks? Right? because there’s a deliberate opacity here, right? I mean, think about the visuals of the mask, the refusals to explain oneself, the insulin. In the face of the judiciary, all of these are of a piece, right? It’s a claiming of absolute authority. So therefore, we don’t know what their intentions are. And I think that’s very much, a part of the, politics of what’s going on here. It’s this, the strong assertion of, unbridled federal power here.
14:38
What I was gonna ask David, what would improve the situation? Obviously most, certainly many, if not most residents of Minneapolis would like ice just to leave. And I would certainly feel that way if I were there. but, what short of that. we’ll bring, something back to at least, civic, normality. What, what would actually get us further along toward that end?
15:06
I honestly think that’s what has to happen, is there needs to be an end to this surge. I think that’s what will solve the problem.
15:13
Nothing else.
15:15
Again, I don’t have a crystal ball, right? My specialty is the past, not the. but, but yeah, I do, I think that it’s the ending of the search, which, which probably does that mean that all immigration courts immediately close and go away. All immigration officials all go away. Probably not, right? But this is not a normal situation. What’s going on here? And the people who have control over stopping it, are not headquartered here in Minneapolis.
15:49
Right. Right. That makes sense. Zachary.
15:51
Yeah. As a historian, looking at this, moment, Something you’re personally experiencing, but also something that obviously falls within your area of study. How do you think that this, I mean, obviously we’re, not in the business of prediction, but how do you think this moment will be remembered? Is there a, is it possible that this will have a larger, or outsized impact on, immigration discourse in our country, or, you know, even thinking only a few months in advance on the election this fall.
16:22
I think it will change. Yeah, I think this already is mattering a lot for the upcoming, elections this fall, midterm elections. It has Republicans in the state and I’m sort of nationally quite nervous, because the, it’s, not a good look including among, including among some Republicans and including among many people who, voted Trump but may not be, if you will, lifelong committed Republicans and they really need those. People. So that’s the second half of your question, and I forgot the first half, I’m afraid. Zachary.
16:53
My, the first half of my question is how do you think this moment we will be remembered by historians for its impact on
17:00
Well, first of all, somebody very bright, such as yourself needs to write a dissertation on this. it’s gonna be a good one. I truly hope that there are academic and non-academic researchers who are thinking about this very question. this is going to be, well, first of all, I think that if this is done right, it won’t be just. Streets of Minneapolis, right? studies of movements such as this, were going to need to look back at Roots as I was emphasizing to you a few minutes ago, right? Which are national, which are Chicago, which are important, which are la which are other cities. Place it in the context of other ways of pushing it back against, because this is not it, this. The energy that is behind this is about, the ice surge and the abductions, and the brutality of those, but it’s also part of a wider, it, it, draws energy and ideas from other recent movements. from the center, from the left, from the center, left right, against. The current administration, right. So that’s this. I, think it’s going to be remembered as one of the high points of a broader, response in 20 20, 20 25, 20 26. And I have no idea where we’re going in the future. It, will not be forgotten though.
18:30
Why David, do you think that in particular, in a way that to me, at least as a historian, echoes Kent State, why do you think these shootings of, Robin Goode and Alex Pretty, why do you think they’ve had such power as stories? ’cause there’s clearly been an effort by the administration to tell a different story. To make this out to be a story of domestic terrorism. And in the past that’s had some legs and it seems to have fallen flat, nationally this time. Why do you think that is?
19:00
I can think of a number of reasons. For one thing, I mean, they came out so quickly with this term, domestic terrorists and paid protests and all that stuff, and that’s just so patently not true, and so demonstrably not true in the case. Of Renee Goodnell is pretty right. okay, now they have video that says that Alex got into a scuffle with some agents and kicked at headlights or something like that. That’s not a domestic terrorist, right? That’s not a domestic terrorist. So they got, they, they spoke too strong, too quick, and the data is too strong to, refute their narrative. on top of that, these are appealing young-ish. White people who are idealistic and good. So in other words, the media narrative on them is, cleaner. Right? So, I mean, it, these are not, racialized people, right? and so therefore they, the story plays in a certain way and I, want to take nothing away from them, right? I’m just saying that in terms of how media works. They, figure in a particular strength. And I think also it’s, it is, they are being seen as in some ways emblematic of the Minnesota movement, what’s going on in Minnesota and Minnesota. The upper Midwest, as you know, it occupies a certain kind of. Image in the American political imaginary right of innocence of community and all that sort of a thing. I’m delighted at that, frankly. but at the same time, you can see how that would, answer back in a particular way.
20:43
Yeah.
20:44
They don’t look like terrorists and they look profoundly domestic, the both of them.
20:48
Right. And, just to, focus in on this, because again, as a fellow historian who’s written about Kent State and also the, silence around Jackson State, a similar shooting on a college campus where African Americans were shot, race seems to matter here, right? The fact that these were white victims makes it more resonant, you would think Yes.
21:11
Yes. And a lot of people, you know, we’re trying to, people are trying to say, don’t forget, you know, the many, brown people. Who’ve been hurt in this, and black people who’ve been hurt in this, the hundreds and thousands of people who’ve been abducted, and all these other things. But it’s hard to push back. We’ve been pushing for a longer historical narrative. I and others have been saying that, remember the Bishop Whipple Building is on Fort Snelling, and Fort Snelling is federal land that was involved in a war on the Dakota and the seizing. Of this region. Right? And so there’s an effort to create that broader historical context and to try to, if you say, this is not all about these white faces, right? But it’s also about, black and brown faces and bodies and voices. we’re pushing uphill on that, right?
22:00
Yes.
22:01
I thought your Kent, I did see your, Kent State piece. I thought that the piece that was, it really struck me that, this idea about, about untrained really unprepared, people with, powerful weapons and with, with authority that, that resonates very strongly here.
22:21
Very strongly here. and I’m glad you put that out there. It also made me think about what’s very interesting kind of in the history of American politics here, is the way that the expected roles that, we see from reconstruction through the Civil Rights Movement, between federal and local authority or state authority, in some ways are being reversed. We are used to seeing, calls to the federal government in order to protect African Americans after enslavement through the Freedoms Bureau you to control the Ku Klux Klan. We see this in this, in the, Civil Rights Movement, where you see the Voting Rights Act, right, for example, is very much about, we don’t trust local authorities. That is state, county, and, and municipal governments to protect the rights of racialized people or to right, protect the rights of the powerless. Therefore, we look to Washington. It’s so much the opposite now, and as an American historian, doesn’t it make your head spin?
23:19
A absolutely no, as you say, it’s a reverse of the, relationship in the 1960s and early seventies. And it’s sad because, it makes me as a historian, David, think if you don’t have at least some element of the Justice Department and some element of the executive that is concerned with enforcing federal laws at some level, it’s hard to imagine that they’ll be enforced fairly even when you have a competent state government.
23:49
We, it’s a delicate time and we really need the judiciary. Yes.
23:54
Yes, exactly right.
23:57
I, did wanna ask, What do you make of the sort of, I know we talked a little bit about why the public outcry. after the, two shoot, the two killings. I’m curious what you make of the Trump administrations and the Presidents, sort of backing down on, this front. It seems like there was, you know, there’s been a lot of public outcry about the immigration raids, at least locally. In, every city that they have surged in. And I’m curious what you make of the way that the Trump administration has responded or seemingly had to, you know, take back its own responses so quickly. what do you make of that and what do you think that says about the sort of lasting power of this as a political issue.
24:46
It is striking, isn’t it? because it, because we’re not talking about a, big backing down, but any backing down from this administration, any modulation is striking. Giving that, you know, giving how strident it is and how unapologetic it is. How take no prisoners. It’s kind of the ray cone, never apologize model is very strong here. I. I am watching it and I am hoping that it signals, a change in direction, but it definitely signals that they feel that they’re afraid to lose support among voters that they need. that’s what I think it’s about, is that they need the kind of Republicans who are like, well, I’m okay with you up to a point, Mr. President, but right, and, I think that’s where we are and they’re trying to hold onto those votes while not appearing, you know, to back down. Right. That’s where I think we are. It’s an interesting moment.
25:51
Yeah, I, think just to build on that, David, which you said so Well, I think. What’s happened, because of the excessive gross, excessive use of force in Minneapolis is that the issue of border security, which Trump is still relatively popular on, at least with some people that’s been lost and has become a discussion instead of brutality and federal overstep. and, there’s got, I would think that Republicans would like it to come back to a discussion of border security, which would mean taking the, the lens off of Minneapolis.
26:25
Yeah, I think that’s true.
26:26
So David, we, generally, close with actually a question for Zachary. So I’m gonna, I’m gonna do that and, maybe you can react to that if you have anything to say to, his, answer on this. The question we normally close on is, you know, how, are young people reacting to this young, aware, intelligent, people, the future of our democracy? And, Zachary, I mean, you’re, perfect to ask this question of, because you’ve been watching this, but you’re also far away. So, whereas David can give us both, you know, esteemed historical perspective and a personal view of it, you are, you’re watching it from far away as a young person or some background in these issues. and cares obviously, but, doesn’t have that direct, touch of this. So, so how, do you see this Zachary, and how do you think others like you are seeing what’s happening in Minneapolis?
27:17
Well, I think a lot of young people, and I think people across the board are, sort of reacting in shock to this. I think there are a lot of, I, I mean, I think the public opinion polls, and, Conversations with any young person or any person, period. show the kind of anger or frustration with, this moment? I think there are varying degrees of, you know, outrage. Like some people I think are outraged, at, you know, the particular killings of Alex Pretti or Renee Good, or they, see. They see, those as the, thing to be out, outraged about. I think there are those who find who are most horrified or most focused on, the impact of the deportations on immigrant communities. so I think there are a range of political responses. I mean, here in New Haven. There is a big sort of walkout today for in solidarity with Minneapolis. so there, there, are a range of different responses that I think people are engaging in, but I would say, I think it’s, almost universal, universal shock at the shootings of, protesters in particular.
28:37
David, any, last thoughts you wanna share? I know you’ve thought so much about this and we’re so grateful that you’ve taken the time in such stressful conditions to talk to us. any words you wanna close with?
28:48
Thank, well, first of all, thank you, but the gratitude is misplaced. I’m not, you know, I’m not in the front lines here, really, honestly. I do think that there is enormous. There’s a lot to take inspiration and hope from here. the, and, I think you’re talking about generation and young people. it’s not just young people, right? There are grandparents and and elders and middle-aged people, but also so many idealistic young people who are just saying, well, I have to help out in some way. And for some people that means a patrol. For some people, that means blowing whistles. For some people, that means packing food at a food shelf. It means all kinds of things. But looking at that kind of idealism and then hopefully watching it work, that really fills me with, Hope it does.
29:41
Wonderful. Well, thank you so much for joining us, Professor Chang, and thank you, Jeremi, and thank you most of all to our wonderful listeners for joining us for this latest episode of This Is Democracy.
Episode 317: Vigilantism and Violence in American Society
00:19
Welcome to our new episode of This Is Democracy. This week we are very fortunate. We’re joined by a wonderful famous historian and also someone who I have so much, high regard for. I met her years and years ago, and I’ve been following her career for a long time, and it’s really a pleasure to finally have her on, this, podcast. This is Heather Ann Thompson. she’s a historian at the University of Michigan, where she’s a professor of course, and among many things, she’s the winner of the Pulitzer Prize and the Bancroft Prize for. Her book on the Attica Prison Uprising of 1971 called Blood in the Water. Most recently, she has published this really, stimulating and in some ways angering, but angering in a useful way, book, about vigilantism and the Bernard Getz, episode, which we’ll talk about in New York City in 1984 and what happened thereafter. The book is called Fear and Fury, the Reagan eighties, Bernie Goetz Shootings. And the rebirth of White Rage. professor Heather Ann Thompson, thank you for joining us.
01:28
Oh, I’m so glad to be here with you both.
01:31
We’re of course, joined by Mr. Zachary Suri | as well. How are you today, Zachary?
01:35
Doing well. Hello.
01:36
You did not live through the early eighties in New York, so you’re gonna get quite an education today, Zachary.
02:02
Well, I think that we as historians, even while we live so much in the past, we cannot help but respond to the world unfolding around us with huge questions about how we got here. And, there’s always a million origin stories. But there is one thing for sure about where we were in, 20 23, 20 24, 20 22, that really felt jarring. I think just as a citizen of this country, just as a resident of the United States and that jarring feeling. So much to do with what was, what, just a palpable unleashing of, vigilante rage, episodes like Kyle Rittenhouse and, this, a Subway, much more recent subway, killing of a homeless man in New York City. Even more, probably more startling for most Americans. The storming of the capitol on January 6th, and then of course against all of this was the realization that when people were carrying out this rage, they were legally vindicated. Should it ever go to court. They were found not guilty. And I was just so struck by what felt to me as a historian is this weird return to. the 19th century, frankly, the, the unleashed lynching culture of 19 19th century and, something else that was happening that resonated with the 19th century, which was this extreme reconsideration of wealth. And I thought, God, these are two really interesting sides of the same coin. Let’s go back, let’s dig into it. And the eighties seemed like a really good place to start, both because we had taken a political detour, not even detour, I mean turn, abrupt turn with the Reagan, administration. And we also were witnessing one of the most dramatic of that period episodes of white vigilantism. So. Long-winded response, but that’s what got me there.
04:14
No, and you touched on so many things, obviously the, recurrence of violence from our past, the economic inequalities, the nature of urban decay. You have a really, very persuasive discussion of the South Bronx at the beginning, of your book. It brought back a lot of memories, to me. just to set the scene here. For many of our listeners who probably don’t know this particular incident, what is the Bernard Goetz shooting? Who is he and what is it that happens that you describe in such detail and details that I didn’t know at the time, from December of 1984?
04:55
Sure. for people of a certain age, we might be familiar with the name Bernard Goetz because he is this kind of rogue figure who ends up on a subway train in 1984 sitting across from four black teenagers, and, in a very, quick encounter suddenly leaps up. And pulls a gun out of his, waistband in a hidden holster and shoots one of them into the chest, shoots another in the back as he’s fleeing, shoots the third kid through his arm that went into his chest and with the fourth kid, tried to shoot him. And then walked over and coldly says to him, you look all right. Here is another, and shot in point, blank range. severing his spinal cord, paralyzing him for life. And that guy, became an overnight, folk hero celebrated by the tabloid media, gravitated to by countless. newly resentful and disaffected, white New Yorkers. and he became the stuff of Legends. He is in the lyrics of Billy Joel’s song. We didn’t Start the Fire. He’s in the song by the Beastie Boys. He is referenced, in so many popular culture context. So for some of us, we remembered his name, but notably, Speaking for myself anyway, I don’t think any of us really knew who his victims were. And, so I wanted to dig into that story because not only does he, shoot these kids, but then he is on the lamb. There’s a dramatic manhunt to find him, he turns himself in, offers a chilling videotape two hour long, confession. Where he doesn’t candy coat anything. He admits to everything. and nevertheless, what’s gonna unfold in my book, is this incredibly interesting story of how Americans are told that, up is down and down is up. There’s, this is the birth of the misinformation media. it takes, two grand juries to get ’em to trial. And, we can then talk about the trial, but it’s really a really pivotal moment in legal history because he will be acquitted. That acquittal sets us down a path, I think from which we really still real.
07:43
And just to get a couple of facts on the table that you go through in detail and document, very well in the book, the, four African American teenagers who approached him, actually, I guess only one or two approached him and they asked for $5, but they never violently threatened him. Is that correct?
08:01
Yeah, so this was a, this is super interesting to just go back and say, well, what, what actually happened? Because certainly the lore that has been handed down is that these four black teenagers, basically threatened Bernie Getz. They approached him with sharpened screwdrivers, armed with sharpened screwdrivers, threatened him and tried to rob him. For $5, but digging into the story, including the really, very detailed confession that gets himself offered, it turns out that’s not at all what happened. These are four kids from a very, economically depressed part of New York City, the South Bronx. Who were on their way that day downtown to a local video arcade where they’re going to, break into, Jimmy Open coin receptacles to get some quarters out. That’s really quite how poor they were. And so they did in fact have two screwdrivers in pockets, but they were never wielded, never taken out. No one even knew they were there. In fact, they were only found. Later as these kids are stripped, taken to the hospital, they’re in such extreme, extremely dire situation. And, the sharpened screwdriver was completely made up by, the media. And so what did they do? Well, it turns out that they had one kid, Joseph, only one had in fact asked him for $5. he said first, hi, how you doing? Gets returns to the greeting and then embolden. He says, Hey, do you have $5? Because in the eighties in New York, panhandling was as regular as breathing air. You might remember Jeremy, like everywhere you went, right? The squeegee guys?
09:52
Yes.
09:53
You know, you got five bucks, you got a dollar. Very, commonplace. And the kid who asked his name was Troy Canty. His, thought process was, we can’t go into this video arcade with no money and plausibly be there to play games while we’re gonna try to get some quarters, so maybe I can get $5 from this guy. So, was it maybe alarming to have four teenagers, boisterous, rowdy teenagers? Sure. But what will be made of this story is completely, absent of facts. And at the end of the day, it is gonna be these four teenagers that are the villains. And Bernie Goetz becomes the victim. And that kind of up is down moment was really what, made me think about like today.
10:44
Sure. Zachary.
10:45
I’m curious, obviously the looming figure in all of this is Donald Trump. I’m curious what role he and the his associates, in New York might have played? he’s not known for having been silent on racial politics in New York City.
11:03
Yeah, so it turns out that all of the key figures of today are, were very much, a part of this story that I tell in this book back in the eighties. And Donald Trump is one of them. He is, much, trying to become the king of New York, become one of the wealthiest New Yorkers. And he also was someone who always flirted with politics, was always interested in first he. He courted the Reagan Republicans and then he courted the Clinton White House. And for a while he was courting Ross Perot as an independent. He was trying to read the tea leaves, where was this country going? And he starts to get fascinated with the New York Post, which is this increasingly conservative. tabloid owned by another. Here’s another familiar figure. Rupert Murdoch, who, is really, encouraging stoking the flames of white racial resentment in this time period. But also celebrating, wealthy people like Donald Trump. this is the era of greed is good. TV shows like Dallas and Dynasty and Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous. So, all of these characters are on the scene watching how this case plays out. Watching what’s happening with public opinion about race, about, vigilante violence, seeing how far the media can go with misinformation. and Trump will run with all of that, but he’s not the only one. Rudy Giuliani is also a key figure here. And he will, become the mayor of New York running on these kinds of, politics of white racial resentment.
12:59
it’s one of the many strengths of your book in that, as you said, the cast of characters in front of us today are all displayed here in their farm system days, in a sense, right? In, a way sharpening their knives and learning their skills that they’re going to use later on for the politics of the next few decades. And that’s of course how you. Close the book, but I don’t wanna jump ahead. Why Heather, do so many people come out in support of Bernie Goetz? you have this extraordinary statistic in the book. I did not know this, that when the, police create a helpline to find tips, as you describe in the book, Bernie Getz actually goes out on the lamb. He runs to Vermont and, with a rental car and switches hotels and, is trying to stay away for a while. And you say 1500 people. Called into the, tip line soon after it was created to offer their support for the shooter. Why are people doing that?
13:57
Well, this of course is the million dollar question, and it’s, it, it’s the question that we ask often today, how is it that people can, for example, in Minneapolis, look at the murder of Alex Preti or Renee Goode and. say it’s okay, even celebrate it. And in, in fact say that what we just saw with our own eyes didn’t even happen. this is an origin story to that, and it turns out that, that emotion, that sentiment in ways I just did not fully appreciate. Was being curated, it was being deliberately stoked and it was being stoked in aid of a much broader, behind the scenes and frankly more insidious political agenda. And that was the agenda, particularly of the Reagan Republicans, but much more broadly, very wealthy Americans who were. really sick and tired of the liberal politics of the New Deal and of the great society. They hated the high taxes that the wealthy had to pay into it. They really did not like the, civil rights advances that they saw as. Cramping their style, in terms of who they might hire or who they might rent to. of course, Donald Trump’s father was really, very resentful of those things. And, these are people that had long, wanted to undo the new deal, but the seventies, the late seventies offered them this. Opportunity, frankly, a dual crisis, an economic crisis unfolding globally and the civil rights tensions at home that are already making white folks feel nervous and, uncomfortable. And the Reagan Republicans understand that this is an opportunity to really just say, look, liberalism in general. It’s all a failure. it’s the reason why we have crime. It’s the reason why the economy is going to hell in the hand basket. It’s a reason why, you, your, unions are not doing so well. you name it, they become the scapegoat. And then the irony here is that, this global fiscal crisis, it gets back on its feet everywhere else. But in this country, the Reagan Republicans doubled down on the austerity. That just creates a greater economic crisis at home. And yet they say that crisis is not because income inequality is getting worse and worse, and it’s not because your social services are getting cut and. Libraries are shuttering their doors and public schools are closing. It’s because of those thugs and criminals, that live in places like the South Bronx that don’t wanna work, The drug addicts that, and it was just this masterful narrative, the welfare queen, I didn’t appreciate the extent to which they relied on this burgeoning conservative media to promote it.
17:11
So, so just so, we’re clear, your argument is not necessarily that all the people who express support for Bernard Goetz understand this larger architecture around them, but that architecture is manipulating the way they see this incident, yes?
17:26
Absolutely. And in fact, the extent to which that was true was quite startling. people are making judgment calls about who’s the victim and who’s the villain in this based on what they’re learning in the media. But if you look at what they’re learning in the media, this is when I, keep using the word curated for a reason, because, people were given the facts. Many of the media had the facts in hand, but nevertheless distorted them. So. Thus the story of the sharpened screwdrivers. Here’s another really interesting one. These teenagers had amassed, really a slew of misdemeanor citations, in their youth. for things like jumping the sur subway, turnstiles, riding the subways ’cause they had no money. Or again, jimmying opened these coin receptacles. When they are in the hospital recovering from these horrendous gunshot wounds to Bronx judges, look at these misdemeanor ju violations, and they suddenly issue this blizzard of warrants for these kids’ arrest. So what do you think that does? Of course, the headlines then become. Victims, not so much. These, are, dangerous criminals who have 13 warrants out for their arrest. Right?
18:49
Gosh.
18:50
And, so quickly, it, so you’re reading this, what are you supposed to think, Right. Sharp and screwdriver criminals with 13 warrants. and, and what’s really going on, of course, meanwhile, is that the Reagan republicans are saying, you know what, Rupert Murdoch. Who owns the New York Post, who’s publishing so many of these stories. He’s our guy. He’s gonna help us to translate this domestic agenda that we want to put in place, and he is gonna help us. His papers in England will help us, translate our international agenda. So it’s sounds conspiratorial, but it actually isn’t. It’s just very, it is, it’s clear self-interest, and really remarkably effective.
19:36
Zachary?
19:37
I’m curious what happened in New York as you understand it. I, I think people who, besides myself who do remember the 1980s and seventies and the nineties, remember New York as you described. but I don’t think that’s how most people my age think of. New York or have experienced New York. So I’m curious, what changed in New York and why did that same change not happen, across the country?
20:07
So by that you mean that it becomes, for example, cleaned up and
20:13
right, or that the same kind of, I guess what I would say is, the high profile crime tabloid, stories, Become less the sort of dominant narrative of New York City.
20:27
Oh, interesting. Yeah. well, so what’s fascinating to me, I grew up in Detroit actually in the seventies and the eighties and spent a lot of time in New York as well. And so I think what’s on the one hand like New York is not unusual. It is in some respects, every city in the sense that. This, crisis of austerity, the urban crisis, if you will, of the eighties, is really playing out everywhere and in many cities. The kind of curation of how we understand it is going very similarly. ’cause even at some point, even the mainstream media and the nightly news is, beating the drum about crime and drug addiction and drug dealers and crack and wilding kids with zero context, not talking about. The fact that the entire social safety net had been eroded and so forth. So this is universal, but one thing that happens in New York, which is I think for particularly your generation, that becomes the, the bellwether of wow, cities get cleaned up. they gentrify, they know New York becomes a place people aren’t afraid to go anymore. It, and that’s. The Giuliani, years. And what I didn’t also quite appreciate was the extent to which, all of the Giuliani miracle of gentrification and kind of quote unquote cleaning up New York was still part and parcel of this same political moment that we were in, which is how did he accomplish cleaning up New York through extreme rates of policing? Some of the highest incarceration rates ever in the, in New York State’s history. by essentially moving poverty out of the city, places like out of Manhattan and into the boroughs. and meanwhile giving tax breaks and incentivizing development for rich people so that New York became one of the most glittery. Fun to be in if you have money, but most unequal cities, in the country. And that too ends up playing out in San Francisco, even in Detroit now. so we’re it is an interesting way in which it’s the same thing. It just, it looks a lot gl more glittery than it did in the eighties.
23:00
It’s interesting, as you were describing that, Heather, I was also thinking of Austin, Texas, and gentrification. Yes. In Austin. It’s really interesting. I think it’s a major contribution your book is making in taking this moment and saying that’s the moment that’s pregnant for our current world. Whereas the opposite is often I think what we think, certainly what Zachary expressed is to some extent what I feel as someone who grew up in New York, I go back to New York, it has all kinds of issues, but I at least until recently thought that the New Yorker, Bernard Goetz and Edward Koch, who was mayor then and others, that that was, that has gone away. that, that heavily racialized, violent vigilante in New York had gone away. Your argument is actually, it’s the origin of where we are today. Heather?
23:46
Yeah, and I think that was, someone who, like you have, spent time in, in the city. it was hard to get my head around the continuities. but then they became quite clear, I think, as I. Kind of peeled back the layers a little bit. There’s no question today that you know, you can go into New York City and it is, times Square. Times Square is no longer a place where you see. You know so much. Homelessness is not a place where you see the drug trade playing out in front of your eyes. It’s not a place that feels so unsafe, so, so crisis filled. But at the end of the day, New York has become a place that is. Utterly unlivable for people. And that means that you can look in the window of a Gucci store, right? And it is beautiful and it’s glittery and it glistens, but you can’t afford anything in it. And I think the real evidence of why that is the case or how true that is, is what’s happened in the recent. Mayoral election. the fact that a democratic socialist like Momani can win by a landslide indicates that, this glittery city, is, not in fact delivering. For the people who actually have to try to live there. And it is, again, it’s a lifting of the veil in New York City on the inequality, what it means to be in a city without sufficient safety net anymore. what it means to have undone the New Deal and the great society in our American cities. But the other thing we’ve inherited, of course, is meanwhile, we’ve inherited the carte bl for people who feel angry when they feel that, right? they can’t afford their rent. they can’t, make it anymore. They can’t put their own kids in college. Unfortunately, a lot of ’em are still susceptible to this idea. That’s because of the immigrants. That’s because of, the criminal class. That’s because of the people who are actually worse off than they are. So it’s a lot to unpack. I hope that the book, does it through this story because the tentacles to the past and present are pretty, pretty clear. Yeah. even the NRA gets. Intimately involved in the Bernie Goetz case, and it’s, it pays attention to what happens to the outcome of his trial and then runs with it. this is where we get stand your ground laws, this is where we get Supreme Court decisions that allow police officers and individuals to merely to say they felt unsafe. And it’s okay to kill another US citizen. So, it is, it’s a lot. I, it’s a, it leaves us a little bit with our head spinning, I think about where we are today, frankly.
26:54
I think so, but hopefully spinning in a productive direction. Zachary, you’ve spent a lot of time in New York City. you’re close to it and you’re there quite often. does, Heather’s account, or what parts of Heather’s account resonate most with you?
27:11
Well, I don’t know if I’m qualified as a New York City compensator, but I do think that, I do think that, one of the great ironies of our, political moment that we don’t talk about enough is that, for decades, the Republican Party in particular, Americans across the board complained that our politics was dominated by coastal elites or by New York City in particular. And yet the great, the sort of most successful populist of our generation came out of New York City. And I think this story might, take one step towards explaining that very strange phenomenon.
27:47
Yes. Yes. And also I think what Heather’s getting at so well is that there isn’t a certain way a crackdown on small scale violence from certain groups, but a permission structure, I don’t know if that’s a good way to talk about it, Heather, but a permission structure given to certain people to use more violence for their own defense. Is that sort of what you’re getting at, Heather?
28:09
Oh yeah. I think you’re both absolutely right on. New York. New York becomes the place where, so much of this is getting tested out, but at the end of the day, what is being tested out is. How do you essentially take a nation that after World War II in particular, builds an American middle class, albeit, overwhelmingly white middle class because of its discriminatory nature. the safety net was discriminatory. But we build an American middle class and it required buy-in, from, across the class spectrum, and many people benefited from it, but the people that always hated it were the uber wealthy. And what we have seen since the eighties is a very successful erosion. Of that social safety net and perhaps more alarmingly an erosion of the principles behind it. it’s been a cultural shift that helping out your neighbor is bad. the government is bad. liberals are bad. Any social programs are bad. Anything public is bad. Public schools, public hospitals, public housing, and what I think we need to think through is that took a great deal of work. to undo all of that. And it took a lot of work because in fact, it was against everybody’s interests, right? some of the people being harmed the most right now are in fact Trump voters by the economics of the Trump administration. And so to understand that we have to ask, well, how in the world would they have ever bought into it? And, people aren’t stupid. They’re not just dupes. But they are definitely trusting, of our media infrastructure. They’re trusting of, the people that they have been told, have made it as businessmen. And so, you start to understand in a whole new way, why was it significant that Donald Trump used to be on the Apprentice, for example, or. worldwide wrestling because he was very deliberately curating, his popularity among people who he would rely on later on to be his voters. And he’s quite explicit about it.
30:42
Yeah. Yeah. I think you show a lot of, new evidence of just that point. Heather, I want us to close, this really fascinating and stimulating discussion. we in a way, as you close the book, you really are at pains in the book to bring to life. The four African American teenagers who are both, liable throughout this story, but also are, are in, are invisible to us. We can’t see them in many respects. You wanna bring them back into light. You use their names, you tell their stories beautifully, and you close with Darrell K’s story in a photo of Darrell Kabe. I just wanted to give you a chance to close, not by talking about Trump or Bernie Goetz, but. But talking about the four, the four African American teenagers.
31:32
Well, I so appreciate that, Jeremy, because, again, I, began by saying, I’m embarrassed to say I didn’t know who the victims were, but I knew Bernie Goetz, and even to this day, he still alive. He lives in Greenwich Village. He gets to routinely tell the story through his perspective. And yet these teenagers lives were utterly destroyed. only two of them are still living and, not because they died of old age, but because of the wreckage that became of their lives and the one who is still living is paralyzed and brain damaged, and the other one has managed to escape this. He doesn’t wanna talk to anybody about this. It’s been so traumatizing and I thought it was really important that we, we, we told this story. From the perspective of the whole part of New York, that paid a huge price for all this, a huge price for the austerity politics We’ve been doubling down on with every administration since. Reagan, a huge price for the unleashing of racial violence, and I wanted to resurrect their stories, but also to end. With kind of a reminder that once we unleash this, that we, we forget about what it really looks like on the ground, when we endorse these kinds of politics. And so I wanted us to come back full circle to. The four teenagers who are going down trying to get some quarters out of a video machine because that’s what their lives are offering them, and then start back at that beginning as we imagine the future.
33:19
yes. Well, I think you do that very effectively. I hope, in fact, I’m certain our listeners. Have really been, first of all, intrigued by this story, wanting to learn more, but also get a sense of the color and the, ways in which this is a big story about politics, but also a very human story with, all the elements of tragedy and villainy. bill built into it. Heather, thank you so much for joining us today.
33:44
Well, thank you for giving me the opportunity to share this.
33:47
And Zachary, of course, thank you for joining us. And I wanna just reiterate, the title of the book is Fear and Fury, and this is by Professor Heather Ann Thompson available at all of your local bookstores. And please go to your local independent bookstore. Thank you most of all to our loyal listeners and loyal subscribers to our Substack for joining us for this week of This Is Democracy.
Episode 318: War In Iran
00:19
Hello and welcome to our latest episode of This is Democracy. Today we're going to talk about the conflict in Iran, which has obviously been ongoing for the last few days and has received extensive media coverage that I'm sure all of us have been following to varying degrees of closeness. But I don't think there's really been a chance for most of us, at least, and this conflict in historical perspective. Here joining us today to offer that perspective certainly probably not for policymakers who are in the room making decisions, to think about is Professor Michael Dennis. Professor Dennis is an Associate Professor of Practice at the LBJ School of Public Affairs at UT Austin. He also served as Chief of Intelligence Operations and Chief of Strategic Futures at Army Futures Command and was a member of the intelligence community serving at the National Ground Intelligence Center as a Senior Intelligence Analyst. He was also appointed an Exceptional Analyst Research Fellow at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and taught at the National Intelligence University Center for Strategic Intelligence and Research. Professor Dennis, thank you so much for joining us today.
01:28
Thank you for having me.
01:33
Wonderful. And joining us, of course, as always, is also Professor Jeremy Suri. Hello. Good morning.
01:39
Good morning, Zachary and Mike. I'm looking forward to the conversation.
01:43
I am as well. So Professor Dennis, just to make sure we all have sort of a sense of what's really happened and what is happening now, given the sort of constant turnover and ongoing nature of the conflict, could you give us a sense, from your perspective at least, of what the sort of most important developments in this, what has really been a larger, longer protracted conflict in the last few days?
02:12
Yeah. So we are now in day seven of this conflict. And as each day brings new developments, it, on the one hand, becomes clearer to see some of the challenges that all sides are going to face moving forward, but also it sort of reveals some of the strategies. And so, as you know, the campaign had started from the United States and Israel, airstrikes against Iranian air defense and naval systems and nuclear facilities, missile batteries, really degrading Iranian capabilities to achieve what the U.S. military often wants, which is air superiority and sort of superiority across domains. So I'm sure there's a lot happening sort of in the space and cyber domain as well, where domain dominance has not taken place, of course, is within the ground domain. And so as of right now, the U.S. and Israel are still hitting a series of targets across the country. Now, it's not just in Iran. As you know, there have been attacks from both sides outside of the country as well. And so sort of most prominently here, the United States, a naval vessel, a submarine for the first time since World War II, used a torpedo to sink an Iranian frigate off the coast of Sri Lanka. Again, sort of a very interesting development in this conflict. Iran, for its part, has been sending out a series of missiles and one-layer attack drones to a number of countries in the region, largely hitting sort of economic targets, but also diplomatic posts as well, with the threat of more to come. And then the last sort of two developments that have happened, either yesterday or the day before, the U.S. had admitted to being in talks with some of the Kurdish factions within Iran and within the region, and for us to look to give them sort of not so much covert, but overt support to help weaken the regime. And then the second bit of information that just came out is that the Russians are sharing tactical and operational intelligence with the Iranian, basically giving them info on where U.S. warships and military personnel are stationed so that Iran can target them.
04:41
That makes sense. Thank you for that very helpful summation. I'm wondering from your perspective, what you think the Trump administration's logic for going to war was. There's of course been talk in American policy circles for decades about the potential conflict with Iran, but this seems to be something else. There's talk of an effort to stir a popular uprising, or that this might be the result of Israeli pressure. How do you understand that decision to go to war, at least from what we know now, so soon after?
05:17
Yeah, one of the big challenges here is that the motivation for this attack and the sort of the trigger, right, the timing. Iran has been a threat of varying degrees for nearly 50 years. And so why now is a real puzzle. And that's something that we have to grapple with. And hopefully in the years ahead, future historians like yourself will grapple with that. But all evidence seems to suggest at this point that in light of the recent U.S. and Israeli attacks over the last couple of years against nuclear facilities, against prominent Iranian proxy forces like Hezbollah and Hamas and the Houthis, that essentially Iran as a regime, and then of course with, as you noted, popular, sort of the population here with these massive protests. I mean, there have been protests across the years against the regime in Tehran. None were ever as big as they were this past year. And the response and the slaughter of, I was reading it this morning, anywhere between 3,000 and some estimates put it at 30,000, which of course seems high, but protesters slaughtered. So all of those things in combination, I think, gave from the U.S. side, from the president's side, the perception that Iran was at its weakest, that it was ever going to be, and now was just a target of opportunity, a window of opportunity. And of course, as you noted, Israel has for a very long time pressed the United States to do more. So in some ways, it's kind of this perfect storm, moment.
06:51
Mike, if you, with all of your expertise, had been the person charged with planning for this conflict, that you weren't, but if you were, what would you have done in terms of planning, especially for the day after the bombing?
07:09
Yeah, I think there's two parts, and I'll float towards the second one. I think first, it's really interesting that we're doing this out of sequencing, at least as far as we can see. And that's the thing, we don't have all the information and that won't come out. But typically, when it comes to things like covert action or unconventional warfare, this is what the U.S. Special Forces and what the U.S. intelligence community, the CIA can do, it's that you go and you work with local partners, you provide material support or lethal aid or training or funding, and there's all sorts of problems with that. But you basically do that as a way to put pressure on the regime, as a way to shape conditions, and then you sort of have more kinetic action. And now, it's sort of operating in reverse, which again, it's on the one hand, we have to be very careful not to be quick in our judgment. It's the same thing with respect to the larger issues of decapitation and regime change. External regime change has a terrible record. Again, usually the external force is seen as illegitimate and they're working with illegitimate local partners, and it just never really works out. And we saw that to a degree in some of the recent conflicts that the U.S. has been involved in. But in this case, sort of decapitation without ground troops, we have to be attentive to or open to the idea that maybe this would work. And if so, how, why, and under what conditions? Now, to the idea of managing for post-conflict, this too is something that we always want to be attentive to history, right? But of course, he who remembers the past can commit the opposite mistakes. When we look at events in Iraq and Afghanistan and what seems on the face of it, how could we not know some of these dynamics and some of the violence and some of the things that happened in the aftermath, insurgencies and civil wars and proxy wars, that was not for the lack of planning. There was extensive planning across the U.S. government for that, but it just shows how difficult it is, right, to wage wars. Wars, it is far easier to start wars than end them, right? And I was just saying this to someone the other day. It's like all wars end, but they rarely end as expected. And even short, decisive wars like this can often produce post-conflict environments that are bloodier than the war itself. And not only that, the termination of one war often becomes the beginning of another. And then in doing so, the mistake that so many people make is they sort of graft on these a priori grievances and things onto the post-conflict environment. But the post-conflict environment, as we saw in Iraq, as we saw in Afghanistan, that violence unfolds over a range of complex evolving motives that can be even sort of either directly or even indirectly related to the war.
10:09
That makes sense. And I think there's a really interesting question that I hope we'll dive into a little bit more about the potential for a post-conflict or post-regime chaos in Iran. But I did want to ask first what you think, how plausible you think it is that the Iranian people, as President Trump has suggested in recent days, might actually rise up against the Iranian regime in a way that could effectively topple the regime? Is the regime really that weak in this moment?
10:38
Well, that's, again, the thing. The US and Israel have been successful at decapitating many of the senior Iranian leaders, right, from the Ayatollah down to sort of that top tier of leadership. But that is not the regime. And the regime itself, again, going all the way down to sort of sub-national municipal level, the regime is robust. You still have not just the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, you have their conventional military, the Artesh, you have what's called the Basij. These are sort of domestic kind of military forces. I mean, these folks are still ... They still have high capabilities. When it comes to resistance, one of the things that groups face are these typical challenges of coordination and collective action. And so here, thinking about, if the three of us were in Iran and we wanted to do something, how do we coordinate with the broader group of people that might want to do something? Technology is helping with that, but it also creates these vulnerabilities. Once we communicate, we're vulnerable. And of course, this has happened in Iran. But more broadly, the incentive structure is not for us to do something that is risky with an uncertain outcome that if someone else does it, we get to benefit from it. The incentive structure is to not do anything, to sit on the fence. And so when you talk about a resistance in Iran, you have to think about how are these populations going to overcome those central challenges. And there are more. There's something called sort of the GM squared guns, money, manpower. The idea is that in this type of environment, the state apparatus has the monopoly or the asymmetric comparative advantage on guns and money and manpower. And so from an insurgency perspective, you have to sort of secure those things. And it's a very, very difficult thing. And that's why most insurgencies fail right off the bat. Although in the ones that do become successful, conversely, the ones that are able to solve that problem tend to last on average about 10 to 12 years. So there are a lot of upfront sort of challenges that have to be made. The other side of this, of course, is, as I mentioned, the US has doctrine and dedicated forces to working with populations to help them overcome those challenges, to help them get the money and the guns and to give them the training. And that's where, again, we have to think analytically. When we talk about the quote unquote population in Iran, which population are we talking about? Once again, with the regime chain, I just want to say quickly, one of the big factors is you need to get regime defections to work. And we haven't seen that. But the other side is, again, what we saw in the news that I mentioned earlier. US is talking about supporting the Kurds, something that we've done for years and then withdrawn support and kind of left them in a fraught spot. But that's a different dynamic that what we're talking about here, this kind of unconventional warfare support to groups like the Kurds, or maybe even the Baluch, right, which is another ethnicity in Iran that's been fighting for independence for a number of years, and they are very capable militarily.
13:53
That makes sense. I do think, though, that there's maybe an even more basic question that hasn't been answered yet, which is, is there even will among the Iranian people for this kind of comprehensive regime change? And is there will on the American side for that? I mean, just today, President Trump said he doesn't care whether Iran becomes democratic or not. Do you think that's, at this point, a goal or even a desire of either side?
14:17
Yeah, I mean, that there is a great question. I mentioned the Kurds a moment ago. One of the things, despite our support to the Kurds over the years, and the Kurds, right, across whether you're talking about in Iran, in Iraq, in Turkey, in Syria, again, in all of these places, except for Turkey, we have supported the Kurds. But the Kurds in some places, like Iraq, have actually gotten a better deal not fighting for independence, but agreeing to regional autonomy. And so it's a great question to ask, what do these populations really want? Do they want regime overthrow, or do they want policy changes? And it seems that many of them do want some overthrow of the regime. But one of the other challenges that, again, if we go back to sort of history, it is extremely difficult analytically to gauge and to anticipate the very word that you used, will, right? Not just a word, it's a variable. The will to fight is often not just sort of revealed by conflict, but it's also sort of conditioned by conflict. And this is why during, most recently during the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, the United States sort of did not fully estimate the degree to which the government of Afghanistan had the will to persist after the US withdrawal in face of Taliban attacks. And then conversely, if just looking at Ukraine, here too, many in the US sort of, and even in the government structures, right? Not just talking about US public opinion, but many of the people that are tasked with knowing these things were really surprised that the Ukrainians not just sort of have lasted as long as they have, but even lasted outside of those original three days.
16:11
Mike, I think your comments on will are so revealing. And as you say, will itself is not revealed until the conflict occurs. But we do know that Iranian society has existed for hundreds, thousands of years, largely uncolonized, unoccupied. How does that history play into this set of circumstances?
16:34
Yeah, I think, and that's a great point too. You know, what has happened over the last 50 years is in some ways, you know, kind of anomalous to much of that history. But I think the broader point that you would want to take away from that fact is just once again, going back to these post-conflict dynamics. And, you know, this is just an ever moving target. Today is again, the president, President Trump had said that, you know, well, yesterday he said that he wanted to determine who the next leader was. And then today he was talking about unconditional surrender. But in both of those instances, you are ignoring this central fact that you just described. Any sort of the greater, like the greater than an external power interferes in the domestic politics of a country, the greater to some degree that it can control those outcomes. But paradoxically, the greater that actor becomes involved, the greater the risk of instability because you are an external actor. And because for the United States, we have this history, right? Going back to 1953 and the election of Mosaddegh overthrown in a CIA coup. You know, so the US does not have a lot of legitimacy here as a particular actor, but more broadly, anytime you have these dynamics, and again, right? Under what conditions do things happen? When you have a highly nationalist population, right? With a long, rich history of proud people, it just makes it exceedingly difficult. And this is why external regime change has a terrible record for success.
18:08
That makes sense. What, if you were an American policymaker, what are the tools that you would have at your disposal to try and encourage the lasting regime change that President Trump has stated as his goal? Is there work that special forces can do, covert operations, et cetera? What would that look like?
18:27
Well, so here, that's another great question. And let me just say again, to take that step back, when it comes to long-term stability, that's the key word, long-term. When you look back at Iraq and Afghanistan, despite how long we were there, that was not the intent, right? The US military is optimized for decisive conventional combat. Yes, and some special operations missions, but it's about achieving that technological domain dominance, right? Own the air, own the land. But post-conflict stabilization takes political bargaining, institutional development, long-term legitimacy building. And just from our military to even our political system, right? US electoral cycles, incentivizing quick wins and visible progress and exit timelines. You need that decades-long commitment. You need the tolerance for ambiguity. You need institutional patience. That is why people point to, even though it's not exactly analogous, people point to post-World War II Germany and Japan as the exemplars of what successful post-conflict management could look like. So that being said, what could we do? I have to note that one of the things that we could have done prior to the last year in which the administration is defunded and dismantling things like Voice of America, things like the Radio Free series, which going back to the Cold War would publish the truth, right? Countering regime narratives in local languages. For me, this was a tremendous source of information. And for my own work with the Chechens, a lot of the Chechens, Radio Free Europe, Radio Marshal, Radio Freedom, I mean, this was a really valuable tool. And that's something we're not talking about here, our soft power levers, right? We have just shifted to a world, and people from the administration have said this, right? The iron law, what is it? The iron laws of power for Time Memorial, Stephen Miller said. But that's not really what has worked empirically. So when you ask, what would I do? I would say, you have to get that thing going. You have to get soft power moving. I think with respect to special forces and others, working with locals can bring great reward, right? They know the terrain. They have the local intelligence. But the challenge there is that they don't always share the same objectives beyond the most proximate. Both sides want to get rid of the regime or something like that. And what you see is a lot of times when the US or other actors have backed local groups, you tend to see that that makes conflicts more violent, more lethal. It makes them more protracted. So again, these are the things that in the policy world, it's often not the choice between good policy and bad. It's the least bad option. And when it comes to that least bad option, so things like supporting proxy groups, perhaps like the Kurds or the Baluch, that's going to give the United States some military and political advantage on the ground. But there are some real inherent latent risks. And not just latent, there could be some explicit ones like I described earlier that we should be very, very cautious and aware of.
21:55
Just building on these very insightful comments, Mike, how should we choose leaders to work with? It seems to me as a historian that our track record is pretty poor, whether we're talking Amit Chalabi, Ngo Dinh Diem, even Hamid Karzai, right? I mean, we tend to choose people who, first of all, have dubious legitimacy with certain groups that are important to the post-war environment, as you've described it so well. And also the act of choosing them often delegitimizes them further, right? So how should we do this?
22:29
That, again, is one of the really important questions. Again, by the very nature of our anointing these leaders, we have, by definition, made them in some ways illegitimate. I'm trying to think of what's the best way to get out of this. And it has to be somehow that the US just sets the conditions for the people to choose to select their own leader and to just kind of go with it from there. One of the things that's really sort of important to note too is when we look at these historical examples and think, what can we learn? What are generalizable insights? A lot has been said about how the US prosecuted the war in Afghanistan after 9-11, when they were then suddenly, small footprint, fine local actors you could work with, even though, yes, as you described, Karzai was incredibly problematic. We ignored the sort of tribal dynamics because Afghanistan was very, very heterogeneous. We ignored all of that and we seemed to have some surface level successes. When the US was thinking about the 2003 invasion, there are so many sort of memoirs and other stories that have come out where people had to tell senior leaders, Iraq is not Afghanistan. That was almost like the coffee cup, right? Hey, Iraq is not Afghanistan. And there, again, the ethnic breakdown was very, very different. Now, once again, talking about Iran, Iran is more ethnically homogenous. And on the one hand, you would think you would avoid all of that kind of potential for ethnic factionalization, but there are so many other fissure points, right? There are so many other ways in which society could either coalesce or come apart. And again, my mind automatically goes to beyond the leadership question that you asked that I'm not really giving a great answer for, which I think just in some ways, again, talks to there is no great option here. It's what's the least bad option. But even thinking about that, again, I mentioned this post-conflict sort of dynamic. One of the things that you need too are things like lustration courts and a reckoning for the crimes of the regime. And that's where, again, these cleavages that we see in conflicts, often it's not sort of the population versus the regime. That is one, but it's these very micro-level dynamics. This tribe doesn't like this tribe. This village doesn't like this village. This neighbor doesn't like this neighbor. And that too is part of the complexity, the mosaic of challenges that you find in post-conflict environments.
25:11
Just to follow up briefly, Mike, on those comments, as you said so well, Mike, our role is not choosing the leader, but setting conditions. What do we do if the leader who turns out to be most popular and legitimate on the ground in Iran post-Mullah is someone who's even more anti-American?
25:30
Right. You know, that to me, the first thing that comes to mind, as I said earlier, we should be open to the possibility that this ostensibly new way of fighting war, get away with the old pottery barn, right, from Colin Powell during the first and second Gulf Wars. When you break it, you own it, that you have a responsibility to manage post-conflict. Now people are saying that is gone, very publicly saying, you know, that is gone. And we have this new way of warfare. If that is the case, then what you've just described and what is potentially happening with the Ayatollah's son being possibly put forward and the president, not President Trump, being dismissive of that, that type of outcome, the outcome where we have encouraged the Iranian people to rise up, but given the still robust capabilities of the regime, if 30,000 are slaughtered this time, those types of conditions really put this strategy,the viability of this strategy to the test. Because to your very question, Jeremi, what do we do then? And from all indicators, I don't think, I don't see, I don't see that we have a very good plan for that. And even, you know, again, I think it was the, one of the German official, I think came to the White House the other day and came out saying exactly that. I don't see any sort of day after planning. So that puts us really, puts again, this strategy, this ostensibly new strategy to the test. To the question itself, if a leader were to come to power that we're not sort of hopeful with, you know, not happy with, here too, I think we're kind of at a crossroad moment. And I think there's a question of what should we do? And then there's a question of what is the most likely thing that would happen? Again, if that were to happen, the administration would be faced with either having to sort of escalate or to use that as an off ramp. And to basically say what I just said, yeah, it's not our preferred candidate, but it's better than before. And it just allows you to exit. So that's that side of it. But at the end of the day, I think again, if you take a long view, right, a crooked line from a distance looks straight. I think as long as local leaders are not sort of, right, acting and plotting in ways that threaten the sovereignty of your nation, like, you know, we're, we're a democracy. So you let the people have their, have their preferred leader.
28:06
I think this has been super helpful at, especially illuminating the population dynamics in Iran, the political complexities. But I'm curious just sort of, as we wrap up here, if you might speak to the wider influence this conflict has already had on the region as a whole, thinking particularly of the Gulf countries that I think perhaps unexpectedly have become sites of conflict. I mean, dramatic images of missiles exploding over Dubai, et cetera, that, that I don't think a lot of us expected out of a conflict exploding over Dubai, et cetera, that, that I don't think a lot of us expected out of a conflict like this. You know, what is that, what does that dimension add to the, to the dynamics here?
28:40
Yeah, another great question. You know, in, so some of the classes I teach are, are, are on post-conflict. And I just taught this course in the fall, and we were talking about, like, you know, there's so many people in Washington at that point, we're not, you know, we're never going to do nation building again. We're never going to do these, these things again. And there was even a talk at UT with a very, with a former, I'm not going to name them, but a very senior US official. And now they're doing some consulting. And in response to a question, they said, you know, I'm going to tell you where we're telling, my company now is telling people to invest. It's the Middle East, because despite the October 7th attacks, in this person's estimation, the Middle East, because of some of the partnerships between Israel and the Gulf States, because of some of these other stabilization equilibrium that were sort of emerging, that it seemed like this was the place to invest. Liberalization was happening in Saudi Arabia, like all of these things. And it's just remarkable that we are in, you know, seven days later, we are in such a different world. You know, Iran is attacking from Azerbaijan, you know, to these Gulf states, economic targets. And, you know, for their part, I just want to say too, like the Gulf states, Qatar and the Emiratis and others, they are ready, you know, they are ready to kind of like end this right now. So there is some momentum to kind of off-ramp among some of these actors. But at this point, it just starts to go wider and wider and wider, right? The ripple effects, the kinetic ripple effects, have gone from the Indian Ocean in Sri Lanka to Azerbaijan. And what I would hope is, one of the things that I teach my students is, right, like, if you're proposing policies like this, you have to think about the unintended consequences. If you do this, what might happen? How? Why? Under what conditions? And this is very time and labor-intensive, but you need to kind of go around the map. So if the US and Israel are to start this, how does this matter for Iran, for India, for Sri Lanka, right? For Iran, you have to go through that. All of this to say, we are at a really fraught moment, and you know, things can settle down quickly. But that's not what appears to be happening right now, and not in the near term, to be sure. Again, there are sort of some ways in which this could sort of, you know, the US and Israel with respect to military operations, and we didn't even talk about that, Israel sort of expanding strikes into southern Lebanon, which has been going on for decades. You know, we can off-ramp, but then what? You know, then what? I just mentioned Lebanon, Lebanon is still feeling the effects of the civil war in the 1980s. I mean, we have destroyed so much infrastructure, and you know, it's the social rebuilding, the psychological rebuilding. You know, again, I work with the Chechens, those wars are 20 years old now, and those people still feel the scars of war.
31:46
Well, thank you. This has been such a comprehensive conversation. I think we've captured so many of the dynamics here, and really the sort of complexities and questions that remain completely unanswered. And I really appreciate you taking the time to point thing out for us, because we're often what gets lost in the heat of the moment. So thank you so much, Professor Dennis, for joining us.
32:08
Thank you for having me.
32:10
And thank you, Jeremi, for joining us as well.
32:12
Excellent, excellent, conversation.
32:14
And thank you, of course, most of all to our listeners for joining us for this episode of This Is democracy.